Ok wannabe(and actual) SHARPIES........

[Iceman]

Nice!!

I made .......get this.........$19 yesterday after the smoke had cleared.

Oh well, never go broke showing a profit.

tried something different yesterday concerning beating openers and closers and went around 4-17. Expierment failed. Not happy as I pissed away half of monthly profits that I worked so hard for. Live and learn!!!

 

[Fishhead]

Laid -3 -105 with the PISTONS.

Game has no moved to a solid -3.5 -110 at most shops.

 

[Iceman]

Game has no moved to a solid -3.5 -110 at most shops.

you going to hope to scalp or middle game? Problem I am running into with middling an Nba side is that line movement (needing 1.5 point) is very difficult.

 

[Fishhead]

you going to hope to scalp or middle game? Problem I am running into with middling an Nba side is that line movement (needing 1.5 point) is very difficult.

Don't even want to begin where I stand on this game at the current time.........lets just say that I have about 40% of my ENTIRE offshore bankroll tied up in this game.........or will shortly.


But it should be MOSTLY GOOD...........(saying prayer now).

 

[Iceman]

Don't even want to begin where I stand on this game at the current time.........lets just say that I have about 40% of my ENTIRE offshore bankroll tied up in this game.........or will shortly.


But it should be MOSTLY GOOD...........(saying prayer now).

I hear ya. I am tired from yesterdays beat down. Nothing like working hard and then being rewarded by losing a shit load of money. Thank god for the slow day, I needed to clear my head before the weekend is upon us.

Good Luck and here is to the game getting to at least -4:toast: . Time to actually go back to work (my real job) for a little while.

 

[Fishhead]

I hear ya. I am tired from yesterdays beat down. Nothing like working hard and then being rewarded by losing a shit load of money. Thank god for the slow day, I needed to clear my head before the weekend is upon us.

Good Luck and here is to the game getting to at least -4:toast: . Time to actually go back to work (my real job) for a little while.

Thanks partner!

 

[fucnluc]

Ahhh, I gotcha. Thought the dash denoted a range...

It does. It's not 7-0 like Iceman says, it's if the score is between 0-7 for CIN and 0-7 for BAL.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Ice,
Explain what you did yesterday that was different and why you got hammered. Hopefully, someone can help you out or offer some reasoning or alternatives.

 

[Journeyman]

Would like to hear RAVENS expert, the one and only JOURNEYMAN, thoughts on this game as far as who he likes and what he thinks the line will do.

I am concerned for the Ravens sake here, I thought if the line did move it would go towards 3.5 ...I have not made my final decision, this is a tough one to really make a strong play on IMO...As it stands right now I am leaning to Cincy if anything.

The Ravens coming off an emotional win , dominating their most hated opponent , now asked to go on the road on a short week against a Bengals team that appears to be playing somewhat better football.

The first time around the bengals started the game miserably vs Balto and actually hade a decent chance to win at the end...that still is sticking in my mind....The Bengals were down 14-0 before they even blinked, and lost by 6! That game showed me something about them , they can move the ball vs Baltimore...When the Ravens struggle its against the really top passers.

As much as I don't want to see a letdown from Baltimore, it 'feels' ripe for just that.

I'm probably going to pass on the game and just hope for a Ravens win.

The Ravens have struggled on the road this year, these two teams do know each other well which usually spells close game, the only reason I 'm not saying take Cincy -3 is that the Ravens seem to be in a nice groove now offensively, they've been playing very consistently, which is unusual for them.

 

[Fishhead]

Thanks JMAN.....agree for the most part what you said.


Good luck to the RAVENS this evening.

 

[mj23]

J man put it the right way i cant make up my mind here im looking for a good prop.

 

[Fishhead]

J man put it the right way i cant make up my mind here im looking for a good prop.

Very tough game this evening..........no feel whatsoever from this end.


Pulling for the RAVENS though.............like the team and think they are the best in the NFL.

 

[D2bets]

1. Only NFL game.....on TV

2. 1-3 CENTS spreads.......on the number 3 no less.

3. Good match-up

How is that for starters!?


In fact, I would bet you $10 that you have a WINNING night yourself tonight................that is, if I were a gambling man.

:toast:

Not spending much time gambling today because the card is so light. Not worth my time. Plus I feel like crap. Probably won't stop me from in-game betting, the junkie I am.

 

[Iceman]

Seemed to work on Monday nite football, this pass Monday and most importantly was a very educational thread. Let's see what we can come up with predicting any line movement on tonite's game. Not trying to win the game but trying to BEAT THE CLOSING NUMBER and get a great bet down. That's really all we can do. The game will play itself out.

Remember line movement in the NFL takes alot of money and alot of time does not happen

Here is what it looks like right now:

Baltimore is -3 (-115)

and total is 41.5 (some 42's out there)

1st half somwewhere in the 1.5 to 2.5 range and total in the 21/21.5 range.


My thoughts: When Pinny first put this line(and it was only out there a few minutes) out I grabbed some -2.5 as I figured all it could do is go up into the 3's and even it if went down into the 2's those numbers are dead numbers so the reward out weighed the risk in this. -2.5 and coming back with +3 or even better +3.5 is a profitable side/middle and should be taken advantage of at all times (IMO) in the NFL. Not trying to sound like a know it all but more trying to show you how I think when I do this.

I knew I was going to dump most or all of my posistion on this bet come gameday as the public ususally loves to bet the more glamorus team in Cincinatti. Baltimore is a prime example of a good team that because of the style they play do not get as much respect as they probably should. 1 small trick I have learned is being in tune with the sport you are betting and thinking like how you think the public sees the game can go along way in getting good lines. Openers, though very risky, are a MUST to bet into if you are looking at a sport where line movement is not as common. Try to get numbers on the good side of a key number is my advice (i.e. -2.5, +3.5, -6.5, etc..) but be careful and try to put alot of thought in what you seen the most current week, that is the way I have noticed the public thinks.

Looking at todays numbers and using Pinny as a barometer of line movement, I am currently thinking that under 42 is the play for now and hoping the number drops and goes thru the 41 as weather(rain) maybe a factor I hear. Also think Baltimore backers know there best chance is low scoring game. 41 is a key totals number in NFL and if you can end up getting one at reduced juice (-105) than over 41 and under 42 is around breakeven and that hopefully worse case scenairio. I always try to think of what is the worse thing that could happen when trying to hit a middle and with Pinny at 41.5 under -110 (leaning lower) we have a little wiggle room with under 42 right now.

Still alot more to talk about. Lets figure this one out.

Bingo!!!! Total starting to see 40.5. Hopefully some players jumped on this, almost time to but back.

 

[regularguy]

Bingo!!!! Total starting to see 40.5. Hopefully some players jumped on this, almost time to but back.

I just missed 42 at SIA earlier today. Went to place it and it moved to 41. hno:

 

[Fishhead]

Started this tread for the NFL game, and here I sit with thousands and thousands invested the PISTONS/HEAT...........


.triple hno: hno: hno:

 

[boatboatboat]

fh is matchbooks site down?

I can't get the page to load?

 

[regularguy]

fh is matchbooks site down?

I can't get the page to load?

Same here.

 

[boatboatboat]

damn...

this sucks.

I always make 90% of my cash via live betting, on the early dog ++++ numbers, and then sell it off when they make a comeback.

damn...

 

[Fishhead]

fh is matchbooks site down?

I can't get the page to load?

Yes, this is very rare.