Nico's System Picks, BeatTheLine, season 2013-2014

Search

Member
Joined
Apr 30, 2009
Messages
4,888
Tokens
Some places offer -1 lines, especially on baseball. Nothing stupid about your comment, just a different explanation.
Good luck.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 19, 2011
Messages
2,531
Tokens
I actually spoke with 70kgman about the play today. He says that this way of playing -1 often will give you better -1 lines, than just playing them straight as -1

As an example, use Pinnacle right now.
ML: -211
PL: +136
-1: -132

If you play PL for 38.45% and ML for 61.55%, you will get -1 for line -125 !
So you actually gain 7 cents on the -1 line. A great tool, I should start to use myself :)

If PIT wins with 2 you gain 81.5 with the double wager method, and 75.8 with the -1 line.
If PIT lose you will lose 100 in both cases.
If PIT wins by 1, you will win 23.12 in the double wager case, and break even in the -1 line!

So all in all, this is a great tool to great advantage.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 19, 2011
Messages
2,531
Tokens
MON (-125)
EDM (+131)
PHI-MON Over 5.5 (-110)
TB-CHI Over 5.5 (-113)
WAS-DAL Over 5.5 (-108)
ANA-MIN Over 5 (-119)

The system finally begins to spit out some plays. Remember, last year I posted all my plays. This is not all my plays, what could be called 2-3 units last year, is leans now, and i think there are 5 of them. So the system begins to see value already :) BOL everyone!
 

New member
Joined
Jan 2, 2013
Messages
64
Tokens
Yes. Everything I will post this season should be seen as the same unit size. Wether you plays 1,2,3,4,5 units. I don't care how much you want to play on each game, but I play 1 u = 1% of my bankroll :)

With the exception of 70kg's bets which apparently come in decimals... lol
 

New member
Joined
Oct 19, 2011
Messages
2,531
Tokens
Well 70kgman and I are not the same person. He also plays 1 unit on all of his games.
The game he gave today, was just a split of 1 unit between ML and PL So it is still PL -1 1unit ;)
He could also just have played -1 for 1u straight, but he thought he could get a better line this way, instead of waiting for the -1 line to come up.

Follow what i post. If i don't post stuff like 0.XX then it's always 1 unit. If i post in decimals, it would probably sum up to 1 unit as well :)

For 70kgman's play, I ended up playing 1% of my bankroll as well, just split on ML and PL. I am not post here to trick you.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 2, 2013
Messages
64
Tokens
Well 70kgman and I are not the same person. He also plays 1 unit on all of his games.
The game he gave today, was just a split of 1 unit between ML and PL So it is still PL -1 1unit ;)
He could also just have played -1 for 1u straight, but he thought he could get a better line this way, instead of waiting for the -1 line to come up.

Follow what i post. If i don't post stuff like 0.XX then it's always 1 unit. If i post in decimals, it would probably sum up to 1 unit as well :)

For 70kgman's play, I ended up playing 1% of my bankroll as well, just split on ML and PL. I am not post here to trick you.

I know you aren't out to trick us nicolai! I was just being silly. The only thing I see different on his pick like that would be do we play those split picks to WIN 1u (typical of -xxx bets) or RISK 1u (typical of +xxx bets). The way it was explained it seems to fall on the risk side of betting.

Side note: looking like a good night tonight if the Oilers come through!
 

Member
Joined
Sep 14, 2006
Messages
766
Tokens
How does this look like a "good night"? He's 2-3 w Edm pending....
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,110,149
Messages
13,466,371
Members
99,513
Latest member
Xuongmaytuivai
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com