NFL week 1 trends 2023

[BigLouReturns]

"Do You Remember?" Mahomes is 13-3 SU and 9-7 ATS in September – 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in openers (over is 5-0 in Mahomes Week 1 openers, going over by 10.9 PPG).

Since 1987 there has only been one other QB to go 5-0 SU in his first five week one games. Any idea who that is?

 

[itchyback]

J R G

 

[BigLouReturns]

J R G

?

 

[itchyback]

?

James A k a jimmy

 

[BigLouReturns]

James A k a jimmy

It's not Garoppolo.

 

[itchyback]

Brady marino or briefs

 

[itchyback]

Brady marino or briefs

Breeze

 

[BigLouReturns]

Brady marino or briefs

Nope, nope and nope.

 

[itchyback]

is it relevant to 2023 ?

 

[BigLouReturns]

The answer is Joe Flacco. The year after winning the Super Bowl he had his first loss on opening day.

 

[itchyback]

• Detroit is 9-1 against the spread in its last ten games
• Kansas City has won five straight home games
• Kansas City is 0-6 against the spread over their past three seasons as a home favorite between 3.5 to 7 points
• Detroit is 1-5 over their past three seasons in September
• Jared Goff is 6-0 against the spread in his last six Week 1 starts

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The total has gone over in four of Carolina’s last five games
• Carolina is 6-2 in their past eight games against the spread
• The total has gone under in five of Atlanta’s last six games
• Bryce Young will start at QB for the Panthers. Number 1 picks who start at QB are 4-21-1 straight up in their first career start
• Panthers’ coach Frank Reich is 0-4-1 straight up and against the spread in Week 1 games as head coach

Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Houston is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games
• The Ravens are 2-10 against the spread in their last three seasons when they’re favored between 3.5 to 9.5 points
• Houston is 4-1 against the spread during September games over their past three seasons
• Baltimore is 5-0 SU in their last five games when playing at home against Houston
• The total has gone under in five of Baltimore’s last five games at home

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The Bengals are 4-1 against the spread as a road favorite of three points or less over the past three seasons
• Cincinnati is 5-1 against the spread in their past six games on the road
• Cincinnati is 10-1 in its last 11 games
• Cleveland has gone under in six of their past seven games
• Cleveland has won five straight home games against the Bengals

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The Jaguars are 1-6 against the spread as a favorite over their past three seasons
• Jacksonville is 6-1 against the spread over their past seven games
• The total has gone over in five of Indianapolis’s last six contests
• The Colts have won their last five games when playing at home against Jacksonville
• Trevor Lawrence is 4-14 straight up and 7-11 against the spread on the road

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Tampa Bay is 7-2 against the spread in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
• Minnesota has gone over in five straight home games
• The total has gone over in seven of Minnesota’s last eight games
• Todd Bowles has struggled as head coach when an underdog. He was 0-4 straight up in this spot last season, and is 10-34 overall since 2016
• The Buccaneers are 0-5 over the past three seasons as an underdog against the spread

​

Tennessee Titans vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The Titans are 14-7 since 1993 against NFC South divisional opponents
• New Orleans has gone under the total in five straight games
• As an underdog, Titans’ coach Mike Vrabel is 23-15-1 (61%) against the spread, including 22-9-1 (71%) when the spread is 3 points or higher
• The Saints are 6-9 over their past three seasons in dome games
• Tennessee is 4-1 in its last five games when playing on the road against New Orleans

San Francisco 49ers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The 49ers have won 12 of their past 13 games
• Pittsburgh is 6-1 against the spread in their past seven games
• The total has gone over in Pittsburgh’s last five games when playing against the 49ers
• In games ranging from a spread of +3 to -3, the Steelers are 11-3 against the spread over their past three seasons
• Pittsburgh has won and covered in three straight Week 1 contests under coach Mike Tomlin

Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders NFL Week 1 Trends​

• The total has gone over in four of Arizona’s last five games on the road
• Washington has played in five straight under games at home
• Washington has won five straight over Arizona at home
• Five of the past seven Cardinals vs. Commanders games have gone under
• In the Commanders’ last 24 home games, the under is 18-5-1

​

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Green Bay has won their last five games when playing Chicago
• The Bears have gone over the total in eight of their past 11 games
• The total has gone over in seven of Chicago’s last 10 games when playing at home against Green Bay
• Chicago is 2-10 over their past three seasons against divisional opponents
• Packers’ head coach Matt LaFleur is 13-4 (77%) against the spread as an underdog

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Denver enters with a 5-13 record against the spread over their last three seasons in games where the line ranges from +3 to -3 points
• Denver is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a home favorite of three points or less
• Las Vegas is 5-0 on the moneyline in their last five games when playing Denver
• Denver has gone over in five straight contests
• Las Vegas is 10-1 against the spread in its last 11 games when playing Denver
• The total has gone under in 10 of Denver’s last 13 games when playing Las Vegas

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Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Over the last 20 years, Miami holds a 47-23 record against AFC West opponents
• Miami is 4-8 over their past three seasons in games played on turf
• The total has gone under in 16 of Miami’s last 18 games when playing the LA Chargers
• Miami has lost five straight games away from home
• Tua Tagovailoa is 0-3 against the spread all-time on the road in the Pacific Time Zone

 

[itchyback]

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 1 Trends​

• New England is 3-12 on the moneyline as underdogs over their past three seasons
• The Patriots are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 September games
• Philadelphia is 7-1 in their last eight games on the road
• The total has gone over in four of New England’s last five games when playing Philadelphia
• Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts is just 3-9 against the spread in his career as a road favorite.
• Hurts is 6-13 on the road against the spread in his career

Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Under coach Sean McVay, the Rams are 5-1 on the moneyline and against the spread in Week 1 action
• The Rams are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games when playing on the road against Seattle
• Seattle is just 1-7 against the spread over the past three seasons when listed as a home favorite between 3.5 to 7 points
• The total has gone under in six of Seattle’s last eight games when playing LA Rams
• The total has gone under in four of Seattle’s last five games

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Dallas has won 11 of their past 12 games against the Giants
• The Giants have covered the spread in five of their last six games
• Mike McCarthy is 58-38 all-time against the spread when taking on a divisional opponent
• The Cowboys have yet to win a Week 1 game with Mike McCarthy as head coach, as they’re 0-3 during his time
• Dak Prescott is 13-4 on the moneyline in primetime home games
• The total has gone over in seven of NY Giants’s last nine games when playing Dallas

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets NFL Week 1 Trends​

• Buffalo has won eight of their past nine games
• The Jets have gone under the game total in five straight contests
• The total has gone under in seven of Buffalo’s last eight games on the road
• Since 2003, Buffalo is 14-6 against the spread in Week 1 games
• The Jets are 2-10 on the moneyline over their past three seasons when facing divisional opponents
• New York is 1-5 against the spread over their last six games in September