Nfl Divisional Round Playoff Games

[3pointdog]

My cousins & friends all like the Saints, then again, they liked Atlanta last week & was an easy ML dog winner......my head is spinning from trying to figure it out.

buddy don't over think it... Minny is the right side..

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

sharpfootballanalysis loves Minn this week

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Official plays so far:


2 team ML parlay:


Pats ML (-900), Pitt ML (-370)........5 units wins 2.05 (example of payoff)

Pitt ML (-360), Vikings ML (-230).........5 units to win 4.16 (example if payoff)

3 team 10 point teaser:

Eagles +13, Titans +23, Steelers +2.5

 

[TheComputerGroup]

buddy don't over think it... Minny is the right side..

Just played Vikings ML & Pitt ML parlay........& I'm starting to think you're right, Vikings defense will be tough, I think it will be a great game, but will take ML, points make me a bit nervous in this game.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Trends for Philly/Atl game:


Atlanta is 1-7 SU past 8 road games in Philly......Philly is 6-1-1 ATS in those matchups.

Philly is 5-1 SU past 6 divisional playoff games.

Philly has been a home dog twice since 1995 & won SU both times.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Lines aren't moving much like they were last week......let's see if there's any movement Friday......the totals have moved.....only side line that's moved is Vikings from -3.5 to -5

 

[ca$hmoney]

Lines aren't moving much like they were last week......let's see if there's any movement Friday......the totals have moved.....only side line that's moved is Vikings from -3.5 to -5

im hearing most bets coming in on the saints meanwhile the line is on the rise. I know it’s the money and sharps who move the lines but how can I confirm.

 

[3pointdog]

im hearing most bets coming in on the saints meanwhile the line is on the rise. I know it’s the money and sharps who move the lines but how can I confirm.

More bets on Saints, yes..... more money on minny... that is why the line is moving in that direction....

 

[bmore]

Saints want revenge for week 1, but I believe the Vikings have a sour taste in their mouth cuz of Brett Favre throwing a pick & having Minny missing the SB in 2010....& Saints went on to win it......now Vikings want revenge & would like another shot.....still looking into this game.

There's maybe 2 players on that Minny team from 2010 that are still on the team. The coaching staff including Zimmer was not apart of that 2010 Minny team. I see analysis like this all the time and want to make sure people that stumble on this understand how worthless it is

 

[TIGERTOY]

I'm leaning on 2 home teams and two visitors.

Philadelphia as home dog on Saturday and Minnesota at home on Sunday.

Tennessee as a ugly dog but getting about 2 touchdowns and Jacksonville in a cold weather but more than a touchdown to warm things up.

All in all 3 dogs and only 1 chalk.

Good of luck on your plays

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I'm leaning on 2 home teams and two visitors.

Philadelphia as home dog on Saturday and Minnesota at home on Sunday.

Tennessee as a ugly dog but getting about 2 touchdowns and Jacksonville in a cold weather but more than a touchdown to warm things up.

All in all 3 dogs and only 1 chalk.

Good of luck on your plays

Good luck Tiger!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

More bets on Saints, yes..... more money on minny... that is why the line is moving in that direction....

^^^^ This........the line might move to -5.5 or -6 by game time.

 

[Hamilbet]

I don't have parlay calculator but what is the payoff on NE Ml and Pitt Ml per 100 think its a safe bet but ml on pats over 900 . If I had tmader money I could see the value here on straight bet but that's a ton of coin to put on table crossing even 20 percent of bankroll to earn peanuts. better return at a savings bank.

$100 Parlay with NE ML -900 and PIT ML -360 pays $42

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Copied & pasted from another site:


Since 1998, ten quarterbacks have started a playoff game with 3-or-fewer starts in that regular season (Nick Foles will be 11th). Those quarterbacks combined to go 0-10 SU in the playoffs.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Trend for Jags/Pitt & Saints/Vikings game.......


Teams that lost their last regular season game, then hosted their first playoff game at home and won are (2-22-1 ATS) in divisional round.......go "against" the Saints & Jags

 

[Serbone]

Teams that lost their last regular season game, then hosted their first playoff game at home and won are (2-22-1 ATS) in divisional round.......go "against" the Saints & Jags



This kind of stat befuddles me. Can anyone explain why this could be the case?
Jax didn’t play hard at Tennessee, had nothing to gain, lost to a fired up team on the road. Then struggled against Buffalo on an extremely windy day.
So how does this affect their game in Pittsburg?

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Teams that lost their last regular season game, then hosted their first playoff game at home and won are (2-22-1 ATS) in divisional round.......go "against" the Saints & Jags



This kind of stat befuddles me. Can anyone explain why this could be the case?
Jax didn’t play hard at Tennessee, had nothing to gain, lost to a fired up team on the road. Then struggled against Buffalo on an extremely windy day.
So how does this affect their game in Pittsburg?

I look at trends & systems & if they line up.with other stuff I look at to make a play, I go with it. I try not to analyze why a trend is a trend, & why it works a certain way, that can give you a major headache.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Official plays so far:


Eagles +3 (-115)

Titans +13 (-105)


2 team ML parlay:


Pats ML (-900), Pitt ML (-370)........5 units wins 2.05 (example of payoff)

Pitt ML (-360), Vikings ML (-230).........5 units to win 4.16 (example if payoff)

3 team 10 point teaser:

Eagles +13, Titans +23, Steelers +2.5

Eagles +13, Titans +23, Philly/Atl Under 51.5

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Official plays so far:


Eagles +3 (-115)

Titans +13 (-105)

Philly/Atl Under 40 (-105)

Pats/Titans Over 48 (-107)


2 team ML parlay:


Pats ML (-900), Pitt ML (-370)........5 units wins 2.05 (example of payoff)

Pitt ML (-360), Vikings ML (-230).........5 units to win 4.16 (example if payoff)

3 team 10 point teaser:

Eagles +13, Titans +23, Steelers +2.5

Eagles +13, Titans +23, Philly/Atl Under 51.5

 

[rolltide]

Teams that lost their last regular season game, then hosted their first playoff game at home and won are (2-22-1 ATS) in divisional round.......go "against" the Saints & Jags

playoff dbase doesn't go back far enough to match up all of these games but is on track....and if that last reg season loss was by >1 point it drops to 1-13-1 ATS

pp:L and pplayoffs = 0 and playoffs = 1 and p:WH and site = away
SU: 1-15-0 (-17.12, 6.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-13-1 (-11.03, 13.3%) avg line: 6.1 +6: 6-10-0 (37.5%) -6: 1-15-0 (6.2%) +10: 6-10-0 (37.5%) -10: 1-15-0 (6.2%) O/U: 9-7-0 (5.12, 56.2%) avg total: 44.8 +6: 6-10-0 (37.5%) -6: 13-3-0 (81.2%) +10: 5-10-1 (33.3%) -10: 15-1-0 (93.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.0 86.3 38.4 227.5 21.5 2.6 4.2 6.5 2.2 3.3 16.4 Opp 34.4 150.3 32.4 228.7 19.7 1.1 9.3 10.0 6.1 7.9 33.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 14, 2018 view Sunday 19 2017 Saints Vikings away 5.0 46.5 Jan 14, 2018 view Sunday 19 2017 Jaguars Steelers away 7.0 41.0