Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

New York has lost 31 of its last 33 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
Jonathan Taylor has scored 2 TDs in three of his last four games when Indianapolis is the favorite.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four straight games.
Indianapolis has covered the spread in four of its last five games.




NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 9

Thursday game
NJ Jets (2-5) @ Indianapolis (3-5)
— Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards in winning first NFL start.
— Jets gave up 54-31 points in last two games.
— Jets have been outscored 44-7 in first quarter, 123-34 in first half.
— Last two years, Jets 2-9 ATS as road underdogs, 0-3 TY.
— Last five years, Jets are 5-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Last four Jet games went over the total.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 11-24 ATS so far this season.

— Colts covered five of their last seven games.
— Indy lost three of four home games SU this season, beating Texans.
— Last five weeks, Colts outscored opponents 57-35 in first half.
— Last three games, Colts outscored opponents 52-26 in second half.
— Colts have 17 takeaways in last seven games (+8)
— Last five years, Colts are 12-9-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
— Last 11 years, Indy is 4-2-1 ATS as double digit favorites.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Jets won five of last seven series games.
— Favorites covered four of last five series games.
— Jets won three of last four visits to Indianapolis.

 

[Udog]

Oh, great. We have to deal with this again?




NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 9

Sunday games
Houston (1-7) @ Miami (1-7)
— Texans lost last seven games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last seven games, Houston was outscored 123-39 in 2nd half.
— Houston was outscored 102-8 in last three road games.
— Last two years, Texans are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Texans are minus-8 in turnovers (3-11)
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 21-31 ATS this season.
— AFC South non-divisional dogs are 11-8 ATS, 7-3 on road.

— Miami lost last seven games, giving up 31 ppg.
— Miami is 0-5 ATS the last five weeks.
— Dolphins’ one win was 17-16 at New England in Week 1.
— Miami has only four takeaways in last five games (-5)
— Miami has given up 48 plays of 20+ yards, has only 29 themselves.
— Last five years, Miami is 7-2-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last seven games, Dolphins were outscored 134-71 in 2nd half.
— Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.

— Houston won eight of last nine series games.
— Texans won/covered three of last four visits to Miami.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.

Denver (4-4) @ Dallas (6-1)
— Denver lost four of last five games, outscored 64-30 in first half.
— Three of their four wins were against rookie/backup QB’s.
— Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
— Last four years, Denver is 11-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Denver gave up 13 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
— Six of eight Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos traded star LB Miller Monday; they’re building for future.
— AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 2-3 ATS. I

— No word yet if QB Prescott will play (check status)
— Cowboys won in Minnesota LW, backup QB Rush’s first NFL start.
— Dallas is 7-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
— Cowboys have 14 takeaways in last six games (+5).
— Dallas has converted 42-89 third down plays (47.2%).
— Cowboys scored defensive TD in three of last five games.
— Over is 5-2 in Cowboys’ games this season.
— Last six years, Dallas is 16-14-1 ATS as home favorites.

— Denver won five of last six meetings, scoring 42-51 points in last two.
— Broncos won their last three visits to Dallas.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

Minnesota (3-4) @ Baltimore (5-2)
— Six of Vikings’ seven games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Vikings converted only 1-13 third down plays vs Dallas LW.
— Minnesota is +4 in turnovers last two games (even first 5 games)
— Last eight years, Vikings are 19-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Minnesota is 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota has been outscored 60-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Four of Vikings’ last five games stayed under the total.
— NFC North road underdogs are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Baltimore won four of last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
— Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
— Baltimore is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 18-23-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 14-20-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Baltimore gave up 10+ yards/pass attempt in three of last six games.
— Over is 3-1 in Ravens home games this year.
— Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in last 19 post-bye games, 4-4 last eight.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Vikings lost last three visits here, by 3-7-16 points.
— Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five meetings.

New England (4-4) @ Carolina (4-4)
— New England won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— Patriots are 3-0 vs rookie QB’s, 1-4 vs everyone else.
— NE is 2-3 in games decided by 3 or less points, or in OT.
— Patriots are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last four games, New England had 24 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
— Last four years, New England is 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four Patriot games went over the total.
— AFC East favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Carolina QB Darnold (concussion) is a ??; check status.
— Carolina lost four of last five games after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers lost last two home games, by total of nine points.
— Carolina outscored opponents 88-52 in first half.
— Last five games, Panthers were outscored 83-45 in second half.
— Under is 6-2 in Carolina games this season.
— Carolina is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as home underdogs.
— Panthers converted 10-17 third down plays LW (were 9-42 previous 3 games).

— Carolina won last two meetings, by total of seven points.
— Patriots are 1-3 vs Carolina since beating them in Super Bowl 38.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
— New England lost 24-20/27-17 in last two visits to Charlotte.

Buffalo (5-2) @ Jacksonville (1-6)
— Bills won/covered five of its last six games.
— All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
— Buffalo has given up 11 TD’s on 72 drives.
— Bills are 6-4 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
— Last five games, Bills are +13 in turnovers.
— Buffalo outscored first seven foes 114-47 in first half.
— Buffalo has converted 41-82 third down plays (50%).
— Over is 7-2-2 in Bills’ last 11 road games.

— Jaguars lost 21 of their last 22 games.
— Jaguars are 0-3 ATS at home TY, losing by 10-12-18 points.
— Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
— Jacksonville is minus-11 in turnovers (2-13)
— Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 13-20 ATS as underdogs.
— Jaguars converted 26 of 81 third down plays (32.1%).
— Five of their last six games stayed under.
— AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 3-5 ATS.

— Home side won last four series games.
— Underdogs covered all four of those games.
— Bills lost five of last seven visits to Jacksonville.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.

Cleveland (4-4) @ Cincinnati (5-3)
— Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
— Browns scored 14-17-10 points in last three games.
— Last four games, Browns were outscored 74-36 in 2nd half.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of Cleveland’s four losses were by 5 or fewer points.
— Browns threw for 6.1+ yards/pass attempt in one of last six games.
— Last three games, opponents converted 23-49 third down plays.
— Last two years, Browns were 1-5 ATS in AFC North road games.

— Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
— Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards vs Bengals last week.
— LW was first game Bengals didn’t have had a TD play of 31+ yards.
— Bengals averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of last 6 games.
— Cincy outscored last five opponents 108-57 in 2nd half.
— Last five years, Bengals are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Cincinnati scored 34-41-31 points.
— Five of last seven Bengal games stayed under the total.

— Browns won five of last six series games.
— Cleveland won LY’s games, 35-30/37-34.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Browns lost nine of last 12 visits to Cincinnati.

 

[Udog]

Las Vegas (5-2) @ NY Giants (2-6)
— Raiders are 2-0 since Gruden left, scoring 34-33 points.
— Raiders threw for 348-323 yards, were +5 in turnovers.
— Raiders led last two games 17-7 at halftime.
— Las Vegas outscored opponents 112-82 in 2nd half/OT of games.
— Last four years, Raiders were 2-4-1 ATS as road favorites.
— Only 20 of Raiders’ last 115 plays came on third down.
— AFC West road teams are 6-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Raiders are 0-4 ATS in last four post-bye games.

— Giants are 1-3 SU at home; only SU win was over Carolina.
— Big Blue is 5-16 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
— Giants are 9-15-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Giants are 2-8 ATS last ten games vs AFC opponents.
— Giants have been outscored 61-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Opponents have started nine drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
— Giants are 9-6 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— NFC East teams are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.

— Giants won three of last four series games.
— Raiders lost 24-20/44-7 in last two meetings played here.

Atlanta (3-4) @ New Orleans (5-2)
— Atlanta won/covered last three games away from home.
— Falcons led their last five games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 121-65 in second half.
— Last three years, Atlanta is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Falcons have been outscored 111-62 in 2nd half of games.
— Atlanta threw for only 131 yards LW; its longest play was 18 yards.
— Atlanta’s last five games were all decided by 7 or less points.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.

— Unsure if Hill or Siemian will start at QB; Winston is OFY.
— Saints won last three games, scoring 27.3 ppg.
— New Orleans held six of seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
— Underdogs won/covered five of their seven games.
— Last seven years, Saints are 12-7 ATS in NFC South home games.
— Last four years, Saints are 10-12 ATS as home favorites.
— New Orleans has 16 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 32.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.

— Saints won six of last eight series games.
— Falcons are 3-7 ATS last ten trips to the Superdome.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

LA Chargers (4-3) @ Philadelphia (3-5)
— Chargers lost last two games, giving up 34-27 points.
— Last three games, Chargers gave up 186 rushing yards/game.
— Last three years, Bolts were 6-5-1 ATS as road favorites.
— LA is 3-9-2 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Bolts lost field position by 17 yards LW, also gave up defensive TD.
— Five of seven Charger games this year stayed under total.
— Last three years, Bolts are 7-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.

— Eagles lost five of their last seven games.
— Philly is 0-3 SU at home TY, losing by 6-12-6 points.
— Last week was first time Eagles were favored this year.
— Last six years, Eagles are 9-6 ATS as home underdogs.
— Philly had 236 YR last week (98.6 average previous five games)
— Last seven weeks, Eagles were outscored 101-60 in first half.
— Last four weeks, Philly outscored foes 72-29 in second half.
— NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.

— Eagles won three of last five series games.
— Last two meetings were decided by total of five points.
— Underdogs covered last three meetings.
— Chargers lost two of last three visits to Philly.

Green Bay (7-1) @ Kansas City (4-4)
— Green Bay won its last seven games (6-0-1 ATS)
— Packers have been positive in turnovers last seven games (+11)
— Green Bay is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 road games.
— Last two games, Packers converted 12-26 third down plays.
— Green Bay is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC teams.
— Last 4 years, Pack is 10-4-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last four Packer games stayed under the total.
— NFC North road teams are 6-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Short week for Chiefs after their 20-17 win Monday night.
— Kansas City is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Chiefs have only two TD’s on their last 18 drives.
— Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last seven games (-13)
— Kansas City is 0-3 ATS at home this season.
— KC has 29 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 38.
— Chiefs’ last three games stayed under the total.
— AFC West home teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Green Bay won last two series games, 31-24/38-28
— Teams split last two series games played here.

Arizona (7-1) @ San Francisco (3-4)
— Arizona won seven of first eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Cardinals played last Thursday, had extra time to prep for this.
— Arizona is 4-0 SU/ATS on road, scoring 35.8 ppg.
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 13-6-1 ATS on the road.
— Cardinals have 29 TD’s on 80 drives this season.
— Arizona has 202 points on 35 drives to red zone (5.77)
— Arizona has 34 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 20.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.

— 49ers are 0-3 SU at home, giving up 29.3 ppg.
— 49ers snapped 4-game skid with win at Chicago LW.
— All three of their wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
— Thru seven games, 49ers are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Last four games, 49ers ran ball for 137.8 yards/game.
— Last four games, SF converted 10-46 third down plays.
— Last four years, Niners are 4-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Last five years, 49ers are 4-8-1 ATS in NFC West home games.

— Cardinals (-6) nipped San Francisco 17-10 in Week 5.
— Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven meetings.
— Arizona won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Cardinals won four of last five visits to Santa Clara.
— Season series was swept five of last six years.

Tennessee (6-2) @ LA Rams (7-1)
— Tennessee won/covered six of last seven games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Star RB Henry broke his foot, is out 6-10 weeks.
— Titans gave up 27+ points in five of eight games.
— Last five weeks, Titans ran ball for 164.4 yards/game.
— Last five weeks, Titans are +6 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-5 ATS as road underdogs.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.

— Rams won last four games, scoring 32.5 ppg.
— Last three games, Rams scored 16 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last four games, LA is +6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Rams outscored opponents 69-19 in first half.
— Over is 6-2 in Rams’ games this season.
— Under McVay, Rams are 14-15 ATS as home favorites.
— Last four years, Rams are 6-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS.

— Teams split last four series games.
— Rams split last two visits to Nashville.

Monday’s game
Chicago (3-5) @ Pittsburgh (4-3)
— Chicago allowed 31 ppg in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— All five of their losses this year were by 10+ points.
— Last five games, Bears ran ball for 158 yards/game.
— Chicago threw for more than 4.8 yards/attempt once in eight games.
— Chicago has been outscored 115-55 in second half of games.
— Bears are 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year, losing by 20-20-35 points.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
— NFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 5-3 ATS.

— Steelers won last three games, giving up 16.3 ppg.
— Steelers ran for 127 ypg last 3 games, averaged 55.3 first four games.
— Last six games, Steelers were outscored 77-51 in second half.
— Underdogs are 4-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.
— Last five years, Steelers are 13-17 ATS as home favorites.
— Opponents have started nine drives in Pittsburgh territory (-8).
— Last seven years, Steelers are 16-10 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Five of seven Steeler games stayed under the total.

— Chicago won last three series games.
— Steelers’ last series win was in 2005.
— Bears split last two trips to Pittsburgh.

 

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall

 

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 9
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: New England at Carolina (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Panthers are 13-0 ATS since December 2000 coming off a win as a dog in which they scored 20 points or fewer.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)

-- The Packers are 0-10 ATS since November 2012 as a road dog facing an opponent that is averaging at least 36 passes per game.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Tennessee at L.A. Rams (8:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Titans are 11-0-1 OU since October 2019 when they had between 31:30 and 41 minutes time of possession last game.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Denver at Dallas (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Broncos are 0-18 OU since October 2017 coming off a game where they were at least two-point favorites.

NFL Factoid of the Week
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)

-- NFL teams that are 7+ point dogs that are in at least game 7 of the season and have won 85%+ of their game are 1-8-1 ATS (0-7-1 ATS since 2005). Green Bay is in this situation this week.

 

[Udog]

Miami has failed to cover the spread in five straight games.
Houston has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six road games.
Houston has lost 10 straight road games when playing as the underdog.
Houston has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Miami.
The favorite has covered the spread in four straight meetings.


Denver has lost nine of its last 10 games when facing a team with a winning record.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven straight games.
Dallas has gone OVER the point total in six straight home games.
Denver has lost four of its last five games.
Denver has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.


Baltimore has won 11 straight games when facing the NFC.
Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in five straight road games.
Minnesota has covered the spread in five of its last six games when playing as the underdog after losing the week prior.
Baltimore has won five of its last six games.


New England has gone OVER the point total in four straight games.
New England has seen the road team win seven of its last eight games.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.
New England has won three of its last four games.


Jacksonville has lost 21 of its last 22 games.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
The point total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in five straight home games.


New York has gone UNDER the point total in seven of its last eight home games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games when facing a team with a winning record.
Las Vegas has won four of its last five road games.


The point total has gone UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings.
New Orleans has won six of its last seven games when facing Atlanta.
New Orleans has seen the underdog cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
New Orleans has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Atlanta.


Philadelphia has lost four straight home games.
Philadelphia has gone UNDER the point total in nine straight games when playing in November.
Los Angeles has covered the spread in four straight road games when facing the NFC.


Green Bay has covered the spread in seven straight games overall.
Green Bay has covered the spread in four consecutive road outings.
Green Bay has cashed in four of the past five as an underdog.
Kansas City has covered in just four of the past 18 games as a favorite.
Kansas City has cashed in just one of the past five against winning teams.
The UNDER has connected in five straight for Green Bay.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six for Kansas City following a SU loss.


Arizona has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 road games.
Arizona has won seven of its last eight games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games.
The point total has gone UNDER in three straight meetings.


Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in six straight road games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in four straight games when playing as the underdog.
Los Angeles has won seven of its last eight games.
Tennessee has won four straight games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in six of its last eight games.

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

HOU at MIA 01:00 PM
HOU +5.0
O 46.0
+500 +500

BUF at JAC 01:00 PM
BUF -14.5
+500

ATL at NO 01:00 PM
ATL +6.0
U 41.5
+500 +500

MIN at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL -6.5
O 50.5
+500 +500

LV at NYG 01:00 PM
NYG +3.0
+500

NE at CAR 01:00 PM
NE -3.5
U 41.0
+500 +500

DEN at DAL 01:00 PM
DEN +10.0
U 48.5
+500 +500

CLE at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN -2.5
+500

LAC at PHI 04:05 PM
PHI +1.5
O 50.0
+500 +500

GB at KC 04:25 PM
GB +7.5
O 48.0
+500 +500

ARI at SF 04:25 PM
SF -3.0
O 45.5
+500 +500

TEN at LAR 08:20 PM
LAR -7.5
U 52.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL NOVEMBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........05-08-00 ..........38.46%............- 19.00

O/U Picks ........06-04-00 ...........60.00%...........+ 8.00

Totals..............11-12-00............47.82%...........- 11.00

BEST BETS:

ATS Picks ........03-06-00 ..........33.33%............- 18.00

O/U Picks ........04-04-00 ...........50.00%...........- 2.00

Totals..............07-10-00............41.17%...........-20.00


UPDATED ON 11/07/2021

 

[Udog]

ArmadilloSports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Denver 30, Dallas 16:
— Denver led this game 30-0 with 5:00 left; go figure.
— Broncos ran ball for 190 yards, outgained Dallas 407-290.
— Denver was 8-15 on third down, Cowboys 5-13.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.

— First eight Dallas drives: 37 plays, 130 yards, 5 first downs, 0 points.
— Cowboys were stopped on downs on their first two drives.
— Last 4 games, Cowboys are minus-4 in turnovers; they were +7 in first four.
— Broncos won their last four visits to Dallas.

Cleveland 41, Cincinnati 16:
— Browns opened scoring with a 99-yard pick-6.
— Cleveland also had a 17-yard edge in field position.
— Mayfield averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Browns had scored 14-17-10 points in previous three games.

— Bengals allowed 34-41 points in last two games.
— Cleveland averaged 7.8 yards/play.
— Last five years, Bengals are 5-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Browns won six of last seven series games.

Baltimore 34, Minnesota 31, OT
— Vikings are 1-4 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Minnesota started game with TD drives of 79-94 yards.
— Otherwise, Vikings ran 36 plays for 121 yards, 10 points.
— Vikings ran back opening kick of 2nd half 98 yards for TD.

— Baltimore won five of last six games, scoring 29.5 ppg.
— QB Jackson ran ball for 120 yards, threw for 266 more.
— Ravens: 89 plays, 500 yards. Vikings: 52 plays, 318 yards.
— Baltimore is 4-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.

Miami 17, Houston 9:
— Texans lost last eight games, seven of them by 8+ points.
— Houston was in red zone four times, scored nine points.
— Houston was outscored 119-17 in last four road games.
— There were two TD’s, nine turnovers in this game.

— Miami scored 10 points in last 1:07 of second quarter.
— Dolphins scored 17 points in both their wins.
— Miami ran ball 25 times for only 47 yards.
— Last five years, Miami is 8-2-2 ATS as home favorites.

New England 24, Carolina 6:
— New England won 4 of last 5 games, scoring 31.8 ppg.
— Patriots ran ball for 151 yards, threw for only 122.
— New England has 10 takeaways in last four games (+5)
— Patriots are +8 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.

— Carolina lost five of last six games after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers threw three INT’s on last four drives.
— Under is 7-2 in Carolina games this season.
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 93-45 in second half.

Jacksonville 9, Buffalo 6:
— Only 32nd game in last 20 years with no TD’s.
— Bills kicked FG’s on first two drives, didn’t score again.
— Buffalo was in Jaguar territory on six of nine drives.
— Last two games, Bills have no TD’s, 3 FG’s in first half.

— Jaguars won two of last three games, after an 0-20 skid.
— K Wright made a 55-yard FG, missed 42-yarder wide left.
— Jaguars converted 28 of 94 third down plays (29.8%).
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.

NY Giants 23, Las Vegas 16:
— Raiders were in red zone six times, scored 16 points.
— Raiders missed 25-yard FG, shortest miss in NFL this year.
— Las Vegas outgained Giants 403-245.
— Last four years, Raiders were 2-5-1 ATS as road favorites.

— Giants took lead for good on a pick-6 1:32 into second half.
— Giants ran ball for 149 yards, threw for only 96.
— Giants are 10-6 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Giants have been outscored 64-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

Atlanta 27, New Orleans 25:
— Falcons kicked GW 29-yard field goal at 0:00 for the win.
— Atlanta averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Falcons led their last six games at halftime.
— Atlanta won/covered last four games away from home.

— Saints scored three TD’s in 6:56 span, after trailing 24-6.
— NO failed on 2-point conversions after last two TD’s.
— Underdogs won/covered six of their eight games.
— New Orleans has 19 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 37.

LA Chargers 27, Philadelphia 24:
— Chargers kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left for win.
— LA didn’t punt; three TD’s, 2 FG’s, stopped on downs twice.
— Chargers got in red zone on six of seven drives.
— Herbert averaged 9.4 yards/pass attempt.

— Chargers outgained Eagles, 445-331.
— Philly ran for 176 yards, converted 8-12 on third down.
— Eagles lost six of their last eight games.
— Philly is 0-4 SU at home TY, losing by 6-12-6-3 points.

Kansas City 13, Green Bay 7:
— First start for QB Love; only TD came on their last drive.
— Packers went 3/out on half of their ten drives.
— Green Bay was 2-12 on third down, minus-2 in turnovers.
— Last four Packer games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs were outgained, 301-237.
— KC in second half: 25 plays, 88 yards, 5 first downs, no points.
— Mahomes completed only 20-37 passes, averaged 4.2 yards/attempt.
— Kansas City is 0-4 ATS at home this season.

Arizona 31, San Francisco 17:
— Backup QB McCoy was 22-26/249 in place of injured Murray.
— Arizona won eight of first nine games (6-2 ATS).
— Arizona is 5-0 SU/ATS on road, scoring 34.8 ppg.
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 14-6-1 ATS on the road.

— 49ers are 0-4 SU at home, giving up 29.8 ppg.
— Thru eight games, 49ers are minus-10 in turnovers.
— Last five games, SF converted 14-56 third down plays.
— Last five years, 49ers are 4-9-1 ATS in NFC West home games.

Tennessee 28, LA Rams 16:
— Titans’ defensive line totally dominated the Rams’ OL.
— Tennessee scored two TD’s in 0:11 span in 2nd quarter.
— Tennessee won/covered seven of last eight games.
— Titans didn’t have offensive play longer than 16 yards.

— Rams threw two INT’s in 0:15 span in 2nd quarter.
— LA converted only 4-15 third down plays.
— penalties: Rams 12-115 yards, Tennessee 4-19.
— Tennessee had 16-yard edge in field position, also scored defensive TD.

 

[Udog]

Pittsburgh has lost five of its last six games when playing as the favorite.
Pittsburgh has seen the underdog cover the spread in eight straight home games.
Chicago has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games.
Najee Harris has scored a TD in four straight games.
Damien Williams has scored a TD in four of his last six games when facing the AFC.
Chicago has lost three straight games.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CHI at PIT 08:15 PM
PIT -7.0
O 40.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL NOVEMBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........05-09-00 ..........35.71%............- 24.50

O/U Picks ........07-04-00 ...........63.63%...........+13.00

Totals..............12-13-00............48.00%...........- 11.50

BEST BETS:

ATS Picks ........03-07-00 ..........30.00%............- 23.50

O/U Picks ........05-04-00 ...........55.55%...........+ 3.00

Totals..............08-11-00............42.10%...........- 20.50


UPDATED ON 11/08/2021

 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 9
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 9 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-7

Against the Spread 4-9
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7

Against the Spread 4-9
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-7

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 80-54

Against the Spread 59-74-1
Wager Home-Away

Straight Up 65-69

Against the Spread 57-76-1
Wager Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 61-71-2

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Jaguars +16 (ML +700) vs. Bills, 9-6
Broncos +10 (ML +400) at Cowboys, 30-16
Titans +7 (ML +270) at Rams, 28-16
Falcons +6.5 (ML +250) at Saints, 27-25
Cardinals +5.5 (ML +200) at 49ers, 31-17
Giants +3 (ML +135) vs. Raiders, 23-16

The largest favorites to cover

Colts (-10) vs. Jets, 45-30 (Thu.)
Dolphins (-4) vs. Texans, 17-9
Patriots (-3.5) at Panthers, 24-6

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

If you were holding a Minnesota Vikings (+270) ticket, my condolences. Things were looking great in the first quarter, as QB Kirk Cousins hooked up with WR Justin Jefferson for a 50-yard touchdown, making it 7-3 in favor of Minnesota. The Vikings pushed that lead to 17-3 late in the second quarter, but RB Devonta Freeman had a touchdown with 19 seconds left in the first half, closing the lead to 17-10.

The second half started out great for the Vikings, as RB Kene Nwangwu ripped off a 98-yard kickoff return to restore the 14-point lead. That's how things stayed until Baltimore rattled off 21 straight points to take a 31-24 lead. Then, it was Cousins and WR Adam Thielen hooking up with 63 seconds left in regulation to force overtime, 31-31.

QB Lamar Jackson, who went over 100 yards rushing on the ground again, saved the day, and smartly used the clock to his advantage in overtime. The Ravens salted away the last minute in OT, setting up the field goal while not giving the Vikings a chance if PK Justin Tucker missed. But Tucker doesn't miss, especially from just 36 yards out. He banged it home, and the Ravens won, with the Vikings covering. But Minnesota money line bettors were oh-so-close to tripling up, and they settled for a crumpled up ticket instead.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

Total bettors in the Atlanta Falcons-New Orleans Saints (43) who had the UNDER are still muttering bad words.

We had a total of just three points on the board after the first quarter, and the Falcons led 10-0 at the break, as Saints QB Trevor Siemian could do nothing. He was starting for the injured QB Jameis Winston, who suffered an ACL and MCL injury last week and will be out for the season. So Siemian is the guy, with some QB Taysom Hill sprinkled in.

Things picked up slightly in the third quarter, as the teams combined for 10 points, with Atlanta leading 17-3. But UNDER bettors were will feeling good with 22 points to play with to still cash an UNDER.

PK Brian Johnson knocked through a 53-yard field goal for the home side, cutting the lead to 17-6. Then, WR Olamide Zaccheaus snagged a 6-yard touchdown with 10:39 to go, pushing Atlanta's lead to 24-6. But that was 10 quick points. Ut-oh.

It got worse. Siemian came alive with a 5-yard TD strike to WR Marquez Callaway with 7:57 to go, and then RB Alvin Kamara punched one in from two yards out to make it 24-19. A missed two-point conversion gave UNDER bettors hope at a push, but that went out the window with a Siemian strike to WR Kenny Stills with 1:01 to go.

A money line win for Falcons (+250) bettors looked like it slipped away, too, but vintage QB Matt Ryan helped Atlanta get positioned for a game-winning field goal, and PK Younghoe Koo came through from 29 yards out to win it 27-25. But 32 total points in the fourth quarter, that was ugly for UNDER bettors.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 9, at least on Sunday, was the New England Patriots-Carolina Panthers (41.5) game. It started off well for UNDER bettors with a scoreless first quarter. We had a total of 20 points in the second quarter, and 10 points in the third, but a scoreless fourth helped UNDER bettors get across the finish line.

The lowest total is in the Monday night game between the Chicago Bears-Pittsburgh Steelers (39), which we'll discuss below.

The second lowest total on the board was the Falcons-Saints game, and you know how that went.

On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 9 was the Sunday Night Football game between the Tennessee Titans-Los Angeles Rams (53). It was believed that the Titans would struggle with no RB Derrick Henry (foot) sidelined, although they were expected to pass more. The Titans offense was just fine, putting up 28 points. The game was never really in doubt, either. It was the Rams who struggled, posting just 16 points, while giving the Titans a short field on a miscue one time, and gifting a pick-six on another occasion. That still didn't move the needle on the total, which was well UNDER.

In the primetime games, the OVER/UNDER went 1-1, with the MNF game between the Bears and Steelers still pending. The OVER is now 12-11-1 (52.2%) through 24 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Jaguars (2-6) travel to meet the Colts (4-5), and Jacksonville pulled off the biggest upset in the NFL this season when it pushed past Buffalo 9-6 in a field-goal fest and Josh Allen fest in Duvalll.

Suddenly, Jacksonville has won two of the past three games, and it has alternated covers in the past six outings. In other words, the Jaguars are still not a great team, but they're also no longer a pushover.

The Colts will be rested after spanking the Jets 45-30 on Thursday night in Week 9. Indy gets a couple of extra days to mend, and that will help. Jacksonville has actually won two of the past three against Indianapolis straight up, while covering the past three. The Jaguars are also 8-1-1 ATS in the previous 10 meetings against the Colts, while cashing the OVER in three of the past four meetings.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Bills (5-3) and Jets (2-6) square off, and New York is going to get an angry visitor. Buffalo shockingly struggled in a 9-6 loss at Jacksonville, losing outright as 16-point underdogs.

The Jets are just 1-3 ATS across the past four outings, and 2-6 ATS across eight games overall. Total bettors love the Jets, however, as the OVER has hit in each of the past five outings, after a 3-0 UNDER run to start the season.

The road team has covered four of the past six meetings in this series, although the home team covered in each of the two matchups in 2020. The UNDER has hit in three of the past four meetings in this series, too.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Chiefs (5-4) and Raiders (5-3) tangle on Sunday night, and both teams are looking to get the offense back on track after some shaky recent outings.

Kansas City won 13-7 against the Green Bay Packers and QB Jordan Love, failing to cover in an easy UNDER result. The Chiefs have failed to cover in each of the past three, while averaging just 12.0 PPG. It's no surprise the UNDER hit in those three games, and each of the past four.

The Raiders entered Week 9 in first place, and facing what looked like a very favorable road game against the New York Giants. The G-Men disagreed, hanging a 23-16 loss on the Silver and Black before heading back to Vegas. The Raiders will be happy to be home, as they're 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in four home dates at Allegiant this season. These teams split the regular-season meeting last year, with the road team winning each, and the Raiders covering both. The OVER also hit in each contest.

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Rams (7-2) and 49ers (3-5) get together on Monday night. And like many of the teams above, both sides will be angry and looking for the bounce back.

L.A. stumbled to a 28-16 loss at home against the Tennessee Titans, and the offense struggled more than it has all season. QB Matthew Stafford really was knocked around, and he was limping after having his ankle rolled up on at one point. He already missed practice time with a sore back last week, so perhaps Father Time finally re-discovered Staff after losing track of him for a while.

The Niners were dumped at home by the Arizona Cardinals, even though QB Kyler Murray and WR DeAndre Hopkins were sidelined. Yes, Frisco was topped by QB Colt McCoy, who everyone just realized is still in the league.

San Francisco actually won both meetings last season, and the 49ers are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in the past four in this series. The Niners won 24-16 at Levi's Stadium last season in Week 6 as 2.5-point underdogs as the UNDER.

 

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

 

[Udog]

BALTIMORE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANAPOLIS are 57-33 ATS (20.7 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 75-40 ATS (31 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

ATLANTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season.

NY JETS are 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season.

LA CHARGERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.

GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 58-34 ATS (20.6 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season.

LA RAMS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a loss by 10 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 10

Thursday game
Baltimore (6-2) @ Miami (1-7)
— This is Ravens’ first road game since October 3rd.
— Baltimore won five of last six games, scoring 29.5 ppg.
— Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
— Baltimore is 4-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Last three years, Ravens are 8-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Baltimore trailed at halftime in three of last four games.
— Last three games, opponents are 12-39 on third down
— Three of their last four games went over.

— Miami lost seven of last seven games, giving up 28.3 ppg.
— Miami is 1-5 ATS the last six weeks.
— Dolphins scored 17 points in both their wins.
— Miami turned ball over 10 times in last three games (-3)
— Miami has given up 50 plays of 20+ yards, has only 30 themselves.
— Last six years, Miami is 14-10-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last eight games, Dolphins were outscored 137-71 in 2nd half.
— Three of last four Dolphin games went over the total.

— Baltimore won eight of last nine series games.
— Ravens won four of last five visits here (5-0 ATS)
— Over is 5-1-1 last seven series games.

Sunday games
Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (4-5)
— Jaguars won two of last three games, after an 0-20 skid.
— Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have one TD on their last 18 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-9 in turnovers (4-13)
— Last four years, Jaguars are 8-13-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last three years, Jacksonville is 14-20 ATS overall as dogs.
— Jaguars converted 28 of 94 third down plays (29.8%).
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.

— Colts covered five of their last six games.
— Indy is 14-10-2 last 26 games as a home favorite.
— Last six weeks, Colts outscored opponents 85-45 in first half.
— Last four games, Colts outscored opponents 69-46 in second half.
— Colts have 19 takeaways in last eight games (+10)
— Last five years, Colts are 7-11-2 ATS in AFC South home games.
— Last 11 years, Indy is 5-2-1 ATS as double digit favorites.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Jaguars are 3-1-2 ATS in last six visits to Indy.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Cleveland (5-4) @ New England (5-4)
— Cleveland lost three of its last five games.
— Browns allowed 14-15-16 points in last three games.
— Mayfield threw for 9.0 yards/attempt in first post-Beckham game.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Browns are 11-9-1 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Cleveland is 8-12 ATS in last 20 road games.
— Over is 3-1 in Browns’ four road games.

— New England won four of last five games, scoring 31.8 ppg.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU at home, with only win over Jets.
— Since 2013, New England is 43-23-3 ATS at home.
— Patriots are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Patriots are +8 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 13 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— Last five games, New England had 26 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
— Four of last five Patriot games went over the total.

— Patriots won seven of last eight series games.
— Browns covered once in last five trips to Foxboro.

Atlanta (4-4) @ Dallas (6-2)
— Atlanta won/covered last four games away from home.
— Atlanta’s last six games were all decided by 7 or less points.
— Falcons led their last six games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 146-82 in second half.
— Last three years, Atlanta is 9-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Falcons are 3-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 12-16 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

— Last two games, Cowboys were outscored 26-3 in first half.
— Dallas is 7-1 ATS; they gave up 31-30 points in losses.
— Cowboys have no takeaways in last two games (-4).
— Last three years, Dallas is 8-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last six years, Dallas is 16-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Cowboys are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as non-divisional HF.
— Over is 5-3 in Cowboys’ games this season.
— NFC East home teams are 5-10 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Last time these teams met, Dallas DC Quinn was Atlanta’s head coach.
— Cowboys won last two series games, 40-39/22-19.
— Falcons covered three of last four visits to Dallas.

Buffalo (5-3) @ NJ Jets (2-6)
— Bills lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
— Buffalo has given up 11 TD’s on 81 drives.
— Bills are 6-5 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
— Last six games, Bills are +11 in turnovers.
— Buffalo outscored first seven foes 120-53 in first half.
— Last two weeks, Buffalo didn’t score first half TD.
— Over is 7-3-2 in Bills’ last 12 road games.

— Jets have used three QB’s last three games; who starts here?
— Jets gave up 54-31-45 points in last three games.
— Last two games, Jets scored eight TD’s on 21 drives.
— Jets have been outscored 51-14 in first quarter, 151-44 in first half.
— Last three years, Jets are 10-6 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-24 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last five Jet games went over the total.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 13-25 ATS so far this season.

— Underdogs are 10-3 ATS last 14 series games (one pick ‘em).
— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— Bills are 6-6 ATS in last dozen meetings played here.

New Orleans (5-3) @ Tennessee (7-2)
— Siemian was 25-41/249, two TD’s in his first start for Saints.
— Saints won three of last four games, scoring 26.8 ppg.
— New Orleans held seven of eight opponents under 100 yards rushing.
— Underdogs won six of their eight games SU (7-1 ATS).
— Saints are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Last three years, Saints are 7-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— New Orleans has 19 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 37.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Tennessee won/covered seven of last eight games, scoring 30.5 ppg.
— First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game; last three, 88.3 ypg.
— Titans have eight takeaways in last three games.
— Last six weeks, Titans are +7 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Tennessee is 8-7 ATS as home favorites.
— Titans are 9-5 ATS last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
— Tennessee has only four TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Over is 4-2 in Tennessee’s last six games.

— Road team won last four series games.
— Saints won 38-28/22-17 in last two visits to Nashville.

Tampa Bay (6-2) @ Washington (2-6)
— Bucs won four of last five games, scoring 31.4 ppg.
— Buccaneers have 32 TD’s on 86 drives this season.
— Last seven games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Bucs scored 6.14 points/red zone drive.
— Last four games, opponents converted 14-51 on third down.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Tampa Bay games this season.
— Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in last six post-bye games.
— NFC South road favorites are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Washington lost its last four games, scoring 11 ppg in last three.
— Washington has covered once in eight games this year.
— Last three games, Washington was outscored 38-10 in second half.
— Washington opponents converted 65-1115 on third down (56.5%).
— Washington is 0-4 ATS at home this season.
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last three Washington games stayed under the total.
— NFC East home teams are 5-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Washington is 2-9 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.

— Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven meetings.
— Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits here.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

 

[Udog]

Detroit (0-8) @ Pittsburgh (5-3)
— Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLW vs spread.
— Last six games, Lions were outscored 81-22 in first half.
— Detroit has four TD’s on its last 40 drives.
— Lions have one takeaway in last three games (minus-3)
— Detroit gave up at least 7.1 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Last three years, Detroit is 8-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions lost twice on last-second FG’s, both 50+ yards.

— Steelers won last four games, giving up 19 ppg.
— Short week for Pittsburgh after their Monday night win.
— Pitt was outgained 414-280 Monday, gave up special teams TD
— Last seven games, Steelers were outscored 101-66 in second half.
— Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.
— Last five years, Steelers are 13-19 ATS as home favorites.
— Last seven years, Steelers are 16-11 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Five of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.

— Steelers won last five series games, four by 8+ points.
— Lions are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Heinz Field.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Minnesota (3-5) @ LA Chargers (5-3)
— Seven of Vikings’ eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Vikings lost last two games, by total of seven points.
— Minnesota is +6 in turnovers last three games (even first 5 games)
— Last eight years, Vikings are 20-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Minnesota is 11-13 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota has been outscored 70-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Four of Vikings’ last six games stayed under the total.
— NFC North road underdogs are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Chargers lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 183.3 rushing yards/game.
— Last four years, LA is 5-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Bolts are 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games vs NFC opponents.
— Chargers are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Charger games.
— AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.

— Minnesota won last two series games, 39-10/31-14.
— Vikings covered last four meetings.
— Home side won four of last five series games.

Carolina (4-5) @ Arizona (8-1)
— Carolina lost five of last six games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers scored one TD on their last 32 drives.
— Panthers are 8-2 ATS last ten games as road underdogs.
— Carolina outscored opponents 94-66 in first half.
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 93-45 in second half.
— Under is 7-2 in Carolina games this season.
— NFC South road underdogs are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Arizona won eight of first nine games (7-2 ATS).
— Cardinals covered six of their last seven games.
— Backup QB McCoy played well LW; check Murray’s status.
— Last seven years, Arizona is 11-20 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cardinals have 33 TD’s on 90 drives this season.
— Arizona has 202 points on 35 drives to red zone (5.76)
— Arizona has 41 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 23.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Arizona home games.

— Carolina won nine of last 12 series games.
— Underdogs are 3-1-1 ATS last five series games.
— Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six trips to Arizona.

Seattle (3-5) @ Green Bay (7-1)
— Wilson (finger) returns here, for first time since Week 5.
— Wilson played his last year of college ball at Wisconsin.
— Seahawks lost five of their last seven games overall.
— Seattle is 11-4-1 ATS last 16 games as a dog, 3-1 TY.
— Seattle is 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— Seattle has 37 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 24.
— Last four games, opponents converted 16-65 on third down.
— Three of Seahawks’ last four games stayed under total.

— Rodgers’ (COVID) status for this game is still unclear.
— Green Bay won seven of last eight games (7-0-1 ATS)
— Packers lost 13-7 at Arrowhead LW, in Love’s first NFL start.
— Last three years, Green Bay is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite (3-0 HF).
— Green Bay averaged 6.5 or less yards/pass attempt 5 of last 6 games.
— Last three years, Pack is 7-0 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last six Packer games stayed under the total.
— NFC North home favorites are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Home side won last eight series games.
— Seahawks are 0-7-1 ATS last eight visits to Lambeau.
— Last time Seattle covered here was 2003.

Philadelphia (3-6) @ Denver (5-4)
— Eagles lost six of their last eight games.
— Philly is 3-1 if it allows 18 or less points, 0-5 if it allows more.
— Last four years, Eagles are 6-10 ATS as road underdogs.
— Eagles are 6-13 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Philly had 236-176 YR last two games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Last eight weeks, Eagles were outscored 108-70 in first half.
— Last three weeks, Philly converted 19-35 on third down.
— Last three Eagle games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.

— Denver won its last two games, giving up 10-16 points.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
— Last four years, Broncos are 4-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
— Last two games, Denver converted 15-28 third down plays.
— Seven of nine Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 7-10-3 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-9 ATS.

— Home side won last four series games.
— Eagles lost 52-20/49-21 in last two visits to Denver.
— Last four series games went over (average total, 68.3).

Kansas City (5-4) @ Las Vegas (5-3)
— Chiefs scored only 12 ppg last three games.
— Kansas City averaged only 4.7/5.2/4.2 yards/pass in those games.
— Chiefs have only three TD’s on their last 28 drives.
— Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last eight games (-11)
— Kansas City is 0-4 ATS at home this season.
— KC has 31 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 41.
— Chiefs’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 14-4 ATS last 18 AFC West road games.

— Raiders scored 14-9-16 points in losses, 26+ in wins.
— Last five years, Raiders are 10-8-1 ATS as home dogs.
— Raiders led last three games at halftime.
— Las Vegas has allowed 7+ yards pass attempt once, in Week 2.
— Raiders are 8-4 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Raiders converted 11 of last 32 third down plays.
— Las Vegas outgained Giants 403-245 LW, were awful in red zone.
— Raiders had ball in red zone six times, scored only 16 points.

— Kansas City won 13 of last 16 meetings in this rivalry.
— Chiefs are 1-3 ATS last four visits to Las Vegas/Oakland.
— Chiefs scored 30+ points in six of last seven meetings.

Monday’s game
LA Rams (7-1) @ San Francisco (3-5)
— Rams won four of their last five games.
— Rams are 4-0 on road this year, scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Last five games, LA converted only 21-60 on 3rd down
— Over is 6-3 in Rams’ games this season.
— Last three years, Rams are 9-5 ATS as road favorites.
— Under McVay, Rams are 8-4-1 ATS in NFC West road tilts.
— Last five games, LA is +5 in turnovers.
— NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS.

— 49ers lost five of their last six games.
— 49ers are 0-4 SU at home, giving up 29.8 ppg.
— All three of their wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
— Thru eight games, 49ers are minus-10 in turnovers.
— Last four years, 49ers are 4-3 ATS s home underdogs.
— Last four games, SF converted 14-56 third down plays.
— Last five years, 49ers are 4-9-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— 49ers’ last three games went over the total.

— 49ers won last four meetings; they were underdog in last three.
— Under McVay, Rams are 2-2 ATS in Santa Clara.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 9

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Trend Report
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Baltimore @ Miami
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

New Orleans @ Tennessee
New Orleans
New Orleans is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ NY Jets
Buffalo
Buffalo is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Washington
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
Jacksonville is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cleveland @ New England
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland

Minnesota @ LA Chargers
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
LA Chargers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

Carolina @ Arizona
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Philadelphia @ Denver
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Seattle @ Green Bay
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games

Kansas City @ Las Vegas
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City

LA Rams @ San Francisco
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10