Bob is on the LA Chargers -3 1/2 this week as his top pick in the Wiseguys Contest.
You know what to do.
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Recap
Basketball
drive.google.com
Football
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Records
Last year records for reference - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-642#post-14682606
This year records through 10/06/2025 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-663#post-14710410
Horse Racing
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
Basketball
VSiN 2025 NBA Betting Guide.pdf
drive.google.com
Gold Sheet October 8-13.pdf
drive.google.com
Gridiron Gold Sheet CFB Week 7.pdf
drive.google.com
Gridiron Gold Sheet - NFL Week 6.pdf
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College Week 7.pdf
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL Week 6.pdf
drive.google.com
Playbook October 8-13.pdf
drive.google.com
Playbook Midweek Alert October 8-13.pdf
drive.google.com
Pointwise October 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Plays October 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Sweep October 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Powers' Ratings Week Seven Issue.pdf
drive.google.com
Totals Tipsheet #6.pdf
drive.google.com
Wise Guys Report Games thru October 13.pdf
drive.google.com
Last year records for reference - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-642#post-14682606
This year records through 10/06/2025 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-663#post-14710410
Horse Racing
Daily Racing Form - Keeneland -Friday, October 10.pdf
drive.google.com
Daily Racing Form - Keeneland - Saturday, October 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Daily Racing Form - Keeneland - Sunday, October 112.pdf
drive.google.com
College Football Week 7 Sharp Money Movement
Sharp Money On:- Southern Miss +2.5 to -3 at Georgia Southern – 60% tickets and 84% of the money.
- Army -14.5 to -17.5 hosting Charlotte – 45% tickets and 86% of the money.
- Missouri +6 to +3 hosting Alabama – 67% tickets and 99% of the money.
- Colorado +4.5 to +3 hosting Iowa State – 31% tickets and 85% of the money.
- Penn State -20 to -21.5 hosting Northwestern – 54% tickets and 68% of the money.
- Washington State vs Ole Miss over 56.5 to 58.5 – 20% tickets and 56% of the money.
- Oklahoma vs Texas under 46.5 to 43.5 – 91% tickets and 93% of the money.
- Michigan vs USC over 50.5 to 57.5 – 14% tickets and 51% of the money.
- Georgia vs Auburn under 50.5 to 46.5 – 29% tickets and 43% of the money.
- South Florida vs North Texas over 62.5 to 66.5 – 20% tickets and 74% of the money.
Jeremy Plonk: Major Friday Keeneland Changes After Scratches
We got roughed up in the Changes Dept. this morning as top choices in Races 5, 6 and 10 went by way of the scratch - including our day’s best Struck At Midnight in that middle race. We regroup and recalibrate with a $103,126 pick 6 carryover on the line. Fast track, good turf on a beautiful autumn day in Lexington, where favorites went 0-for-10 Thursday in a rapid plot twist to a formful meeting. Jose Ortiz won 3 races, while Kenny McPeek and Cherie DeVaux turned the corner with their first wins of a slow start to the stand. David Jacobson had one run a hole in the wind Thursday, so Antique Silver in Race 5 might be a pick 6 single to open things. Chris Hartman has a couple today that I love, Race 8 #9 Tiz Authority and Race 10 #7 Kentucky Smokeshow. Add those in with Race 3 #8 Beautiful McKinzie as my key plays on the card. Yesterday we got a key play home at a $21 win mutuel to build some steam. Today’s updated picks after scratches:
Jeremy Plonk’s Keeneland Keys for Friday, October 10, 2025 What to Watch for Today: Carryovers in the pick 6 ($103,126) and Toyota Super High 5 ($10,548) add extra zip to the Friday lineup. Stakes action returns in Race 9 with the Grade 2 $400,000 Sycamore Stakes for turf marathoners, including 2025 Spring Meet Elkhorn Stakes hero Utah Beach looking for a season sweep of sorts. There will be no Keeneland Turf Pick 3 on Friday with grass races slated only for Races 7 and 9. Handicapping Head-start: Be sure to join me at 8:30 pm ET on the night before each racing day’s card for the Keeneland Look-Ahead video podcast. It streams live on the Keeneland YouTube page as well on Twitter/X @Keenelandracing and @Horseplayernow. Weather: Sunny skies with temps nearing 70 are in the forecast. My Selections: You can get my top 3 picks in each race on the track simulcast feed before each race as well on the Keeneland.com handicappers’ consensus page (https://www.keeneland.com/racing/wagering/handicappers-conensus). Keeneland Handicapping 101: Most information is gleaned from the free Keeneland Handicapping database (http://apps.keeneland.com/awstats/Default.asp) that you can manipulate and search for yourself as well! 1st Race Starter allowance sprinters open the early pick 5 at 6 furlongs. Favorites are just 12-44 in Fall Meet starter allowance sprints with an average winner 5.5-1 odds. The average winner is only a length off the lead after the first half-mile and no winner has closed more than 3-1/2 lengths. Motown Dynamic was the only wire-to-wire winner on dirt in such a race on Thursday’s card. Busk should show inside speed and has been consistent with 10 straight in-the-money finishes, including a Spring Meet win over this trip at Keeneland. Shape Note is the morning line favorite and fits the conditions well – both horses come off Churchill preps, which have produced 20 of the 44 winners in these Fall starter sprints. Turn Up the Trees also hails via Churchill, has the requisite early speed and his trainer David Jacobson had a razor-sharp winner on Thursday. 2nd Race Non-winners of 2 lifetime (N2L) claimers sprint 6 furlongs as the early pick 4 gets underway. Churchill preppers dominate with 42 victories in Fall Meet N2L claimers over the years, including both N2Ls on Thursday (no other circuit more than 1…Ellis, next-best Indy with 10). Churchill reps here include Cinnamon Sugar and Magic Seeker. About a third of these race winners in N2L claimers made surface changes from turf or synthetic, so while it’s not preferred, it’s not a big hindrance. Trainer Eddie Kenneally has a sharp 5 wins in N2L claimers in Fall Meets on dirt, and Ashkenazi is his rep, while Wesley Ward has 7 such N2L Fall scores (most of any barn) and counters with Satisfied Mind. Both those runners attempt surface changes. 3rd Race Two-year-old maiden special weights sprint 6-1/2 furlongs in this one, and a split division of this race will go as Race 6. We’ve had 25 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 25. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year. First-timers have won all 4 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been a half-length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 3-1/2 lengths. Demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies. Trainer Eddie Kenneally’s Fall debut runners on dirt have a sharp 14: 3-3-1 record in these MSWs with a $2.29 ROI for every $1 bet. That points me heavily on Beautiful McKinzie with a consistent and strong workout tab. Of the experienced runners, Amazing Amanda is by razor-sharp local sire Vekoma and will be near the front throughout. 4th Race Dual-condition claimers sprint 7 furlongs. Favorites are 8-17 in past Fall Meet races for this class and distance with 13 winners at 9-2 or less odds. 8 of 17 winners prepped at Churchill Downs, 14 in dirt races and only 4 cut-back in distance from a longer race. Noble Gentleman, Big Salt Lick and Right On Right On are the Churchill sprint preppers in the cast who fit best. Big Salt Lick was a solid third here in the Spring Meet and the only horse in the field to have hit the board previously at Keeneland. Morning line favorite Truly Legit figures to contend, but is cutting back in distance vs. a field with some decent sprint options. 5th Race Lower-end $16,000 claimers match up over 6-1/2 furlongs in the opening leg of the pick 6 and its $103K carryover. We’ve had 40 Fall Meet open claiming dirt sprints at the $10K-$20K level and the average winner is a very representative 9-2 price. Favorites won just 12 of 40, so a contending price has been quite attractive. Churchill preppers won 10 of the 40, 5 from Horseshoe Indy and a smattering of other venues. No huge edges. Promises to Dance goes for a David Jacobson barn that won 2 similar races here in the Fall 2024 stand and popped a ‘wow’ winner here Thursday more recently. That’s my play via CD, along with Jacobson stablemate Antique Silver. Samarita is a 2-time winner over the track and offers a juicy 20-1 morning line price. Morning line favorite Hurricane Debbie also is a local dirt winner, breaking her maiden here in the 2022 Spring Meet when with Wesley Ward (she’s now with Saffie Joseph Jr.). 6th Race The late pick 5 starts with 2-year-old maiden special weights sprinting 6-1/2 furlongs (second division to what we saw in Race 3). We’ve had 25 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 25. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year. First-timers have won all 4 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been a half-length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 3-1/2 lengths. Demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies. On pedigree, Endless Glory (by Nyquist) and Queen of Queens (by Practical Joke) intrigue some based on their sire’s excellent local numbers with offspring. Struck At Midnight has to show more speed than the debut to be competitive, but his dam was a good local allowance performer in her racing days and I loved this one’s debut race at Kentucky Downs where the 1-3-4 finishers all held with speed and he was the closer to make a dent. Joe Sharp’s limited starters are running well at the meet. Among the rookies, Justice Addition trainer Brad Cox’s 12 debut winners in 2YO Fall Meet races at Kee on dirt are most of any trainer, but interestingly 0 of those worked at Ellis Park (8 Keeneland, 4 Churchill), so it’s curious this horse wasn’t with the A-string in recent months. 7th Race We hit the turf for the first time Friday in this late pick 4 opener, a first-level (N1X) allowance on grass at 1-3/16 miles. Kentucky Downs preppers have won 8 of the first 17 turf races at the current Fall Meet and there are 5 such options in this race. This specific N1X ALW at 1-3/16 miles has been a regular part of the schedule a few times per Fall Meet. We’ve had 13 of them in the database since 2015 with just 1 winning favorite and an average winner nearly 10-1 odds. Only 1 of the winners had an extended layoff, nothing like morning-line favorite Vina Arana bids, away the past 13+ months. The average winner is 2-1/4 lengths back after the first half-mile (3 led at half, none closed more than 5-3/4 lengths at that point). Kentucky Downs (6) and Churchill Downs (5) are trading punches in wins. Eight of the 13 prepped at 1-1/8 miles or farther last out. Local course winners in this lineup include Faith Understood, Hay Stack, El Joury and also-eligible Celtic Charm. El Joury has a classy pedigree for the trip and good record over the course and should be in the more forward positions that have had success in this race, and is my tab. 8th Race Two-year-olds stretch out to 1-1/16 miles in this main-track maiden special weight. Form has held well with favorites 26-55 in these races over the past Fall Meets. The average winner is 1-3/4 lengths back after the first half-mile while 11 led at that point (only 5 closed more than 5 lengths at that juncture). Churchill preppers have 27 of 55 wins with New Yorkers next at 8 wins … note only 3 first-time starters to score. There’s no advantage to the distance of the last prep, 28 exiting sprints, 27 exiting routes. Todd Pletcher’s 5 wins in these races is second-most of any barn (Dale Romans’ 7) and he’ll send out Vinco Vici off Saratoga sprints. Beale Street Boy is by sire Street Sense, responsible for 3 similar winners in past Fall Meets, and this one add blinkers for a Ben Colebrook barn going mostly well at the Fall Meet so far. Of the Churchill preppers, Beale SDttreet Boy and Tiz Authority interest me most, the latter coming out of a fast race and I project he’ll route very well and is a big threat as the top pick. 9th Race Friday’s featured race is the Grade 2 $400,000 Sycamore Stakes at 1-1/2 miles on turf. We have 17 years of this race on turf in our database. Favorites underperform at 4-for-17 and the average winner has been a juicy 6.7-to-1 odds. No circuits have shown dominance in terms of preps, Kentucky Downs slightly best with 5 of the winners. None of the 17 winners led after the first half-mile and the average winner has been a whopping 7-1/4 lengths back at that point. Think closers. Utah Beach was third in this race last year and won the Spring counterpart, the Elkhorn, over this course and distance. Anglophile was third in that Spring edition of the Elkhorn and will try to give trainer Brian Lynch back-to-back winners of this race (won last year…also via KD like this one…with Highway Robber). The stakes prowess last week from Todd Pletcher (Grand Sonata) and Brendan Walsh (San Siro) must be respected in a very competitive renewal of the Sycamore. 10th Race Starter allowance sprinters close the card at 6-1/2 furlongs in the Toyota Super High 5 race and its $10K carryover. Favorites underperform at 13 for 44 in such Fall sprints with an average winner a healthy 5.5-to-1. The average winner at 6F at this class is 1-1/2 length off the lead after the first half-mile Churchill preppers dominate with 20 of 44 wins and dominate the entry box here with 9 of the 11. Atarah fits the conditions best of all with a romping CD win for the max $50K level to be eligible. Brunch With Amy was second to that one in Louisville and factors right back, while trainer Chris Hartman may be sitting on a good day and has both Kentucky Smokeshow and Bolt On the Rocks here. Up The Creek is the only horse in the field with a local win vs. a mostly inexperienced cast over this surface. |
Daily Racing Form - Santa Anita - Friday, October 10.pdf
drive.google.com
Steve Byk Pick 6 at Santa Anita
SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MCLM, F&M-3/5yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Eastwick 4-1
Next Best: #4 Greta’s Ghost 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Thea 5-2
Super Add: #5 Big Whoosh 5-1
5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3=, 6.5F-DHT (P5, $3 TURF P3, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Egyptian Mau 3-1
Next Best: #4 Jane Austen 5-1
Best Value: #1 Fast Giselle 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Home Game 9-2
6th: MSW, 3/5yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Into Midnight 2-1
Best Value: #3 Simple Song 8-1
Next Best: #2 Jude 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Implacable 5-1
7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T ($3 Late P3, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Certitude 2-1
Next Best: #7 Paradise Lake 5-2
Best Value: #8 Hopeful 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Khinjani 8-1
8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f ($5 DD)
Most Likely: #2 Auditory 9-5
Best Value: #6 Woodbine Way 8-1
Next Best: #8 Feisty Mitole 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Rose of Jericho 10-1
$5 Late DD Grid:
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3×2 = 6 x $5 = $30
9th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5 ~ $36k C/O)
Best Value: #4 Freeport Joe 8-1
Next Best: #3 Vodka Vodka 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Oobubbakakayo 12-1
Super Add: #8 Winning Patriot 2-1
Hi-5 C/O Play: #2 Druidic 12-1
$2 P6 Grid:
4: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
P5 Grid:
5: 3-4 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4-9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-9 in 5th)
P4 Grid:
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 8 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4-9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MCLM, F&M-3/5yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Eastwick 4-1
Next Best: #4 Greta’s Ghost 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Thea 5-2
Super Add: #5 Big Whoosh 5-1
5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3=, 6.5F-DHT (P5, $3 TURF P3, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Egyptian Mau 3-1
Next Best: #4 Jane Austen 5-1
Best Value: #1 Fast Giselle 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Home Game 9-2
6th: MSW, 3/5yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Into Midnight 2-1
Best Value: #3 Simple Song 8-1
Next Best: #2 Jude 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Implacable 5-1
7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T ($3 Late P3, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Certitude 2-1
Next Best: #7 Paradise Lake 5-2
Best Value: #8 Hopeful 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Khinjani 8-1
8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f ($5 DD)
Most Likely: #2 Auditory 9-5
Best Value: #6 Woodbine Way 8-1
Next Best: #8 Feisty Mitole 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Rose of Jericho 10-1
$5 Late DD Grid:
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3×2 = 6 x $5 = $30
9th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5 ~ $36k C/O)
Best Value: #4 Freeport Joe 8-1
Next Best: #3 Vodka Vodka 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Oobubbakakayo 12-1
Super Add: #8 Winning Patriot 2-1
Hi-5 C/O Play: #2 Druidic 12-1
$2 P6 Grid:
4: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
P5 Grid:
5: 3-4 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4-9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-9 in 5th)
P4 Grid:
6: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 8 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-4-9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Frank Carulli (23.5 PTS - 1st) - (21-12-2)
Sat, Oct 11 - Arizona (+1.5) vs BYU * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - UAB at FL Atlantic - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Old Dominion (-14.5) at Marshall
Sat, Oct 11 - Boise ST (-16.5) vs New Mexico
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona ST
Chris Fallica (22.5 PTS - 2nd) - (21-13-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon ST (+3) vs Wake Forest
Sat, Oct 11 - Texas (+1) vs Oklahoma
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force (+7) at UNLV
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Jason Jarvis (22 PTS - 3rd) - (20-15-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan (+2.5) at USC
Chuck Edel (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (20-15-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCLA at Michigan ST - UNDER (53.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - UNDER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Nevada (+7) vs San Diego ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Kenny White (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (21-14-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia at Auburn - UNDER (46.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Wake Forest at Oregon ST - UNDER (50.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST
Drew Bridges (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ball ST (+9.5) at W Michigan
Fri, Oct 10 - Fresno ST (-6.5) at Colorado ST
Fri, Oct 10 - Washington (-11) vs Rutgers
Sat, Oct 11 - Cincinnati (-11) vs UCF
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Betti / Curtis (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST at Ole Miss - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Notre Dame (-23.5) vs NC State
Sat, Oct 11 - Penn ST (-21) vs Northwestern
Sat, Oct 11 - Northwestern at Penn ST - OVER (48)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Chris Piper (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - San Diego ST (-7) at Nevada * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST (-14.5) at Illinois
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - OVER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - UNLV (-7) vs Air Force
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma (-1) vs Texas
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida (+1.5) at North Texas
Mike North (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Panthers (+3) vs Cowboys
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Jaguars (PK) vs Seahawks
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Cris Zeniuk (18.5 PTS - 10th) - (17-18-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Mon, Oct 13 - Commanders (-4.5) vs Bears
Sun, Oct 12 - Patriots (-3.5) at Saints
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - UNDER (49)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Chris Macero (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas at Texas Tech - UNDER (59) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma vs Texas - UNDER (45)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Pittsburgh (+10) at Florida ST
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Dolphins (+4) vs Chargers
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Weston Stradtman (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos vs Jets - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys (-3) at Panthers
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Matt Ste. Marie (17 PTS - 14th) - (16-19-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Rams at Ravens - UNDER (44.5) * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers (+3) at Buccaneers
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers at Buccaneers - UNDER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns at Steelers - UNDER (38.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Tony Gordon (16.5 PTS - 16th) - (16-19-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions at Chiefs - UNDER (53)
Paul Bovi (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears at Commanders - OVER (50)
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force at UNLV - OVER (65)
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Alex White (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST * BEST BET
Jeff Petch (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Buccaneers (-3) vs 49ers
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan ST (-7.5) vs UCLA
Steve Fezzik (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST at Hawaii - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii
Fri, Oct 10 - Rutgers at Washington - OVER (61)
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida ST (-10) vs Pittsburgh
Brett McMurphy (15 PTS - 21st) - (14-21-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kent ST (-2) vs Massachusetts * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - UNDER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Bowling Green (+11) vs Toledo
Meyer / Sack (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-23-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy (-10) at Temple
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - South Carolina (+9.5) at LSU
Jim Feist (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-15-1)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - OVER (49) * BEST BET
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals at Colts - OVER (47)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Bengals at Packers - OVER (44.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Jeff Whitelaw (13 PTS - 24th) - (12-22-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Sat, Oct 11 - LA Monroe at Coastal Carolina - OVER (45.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - TCU (-2) at Kansas ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Randy Mckay (11 PTS - 25th) - (11-24-0)
Fri, Oct 10 - North Texas (-1.5) vs South Florida * BEST BET
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida at North Texas - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - SMU (-18) vs Stanford
Sat, Oct 11 - Rice at Texas-San Antonio - OVER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - OVER (43.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Arizona (+1.5) vs BYU * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - UAB at FL Atlantic - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Old Dominion (-14.5) at Marshall
Sat, Oct 11 - Boise ST (-16.5) vs New Mexico
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona ST
Chris Fallica (22.5 PTS - 2nd) - (21-13-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon ST (+3) vs Wake Forest
Sat, Oct 11 - Texas (+1) vs Oklahoma
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force (+7) at UNLV
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Jason Jarvis (22 PTS - 3rd) - (20-15-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan (+2.5) at USC
Chuck Edel (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (20-15-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCLA at Michigan ST - UNDER (53.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - UNDER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Nevada (+7) vs San Diego ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Kenny White (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (21-14-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia at Auburn - UNDER (46.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Wake Forest at Oregon ST - UNDER (50.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST
Drew Bridges (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ball ST (+9.5) at W Michigan
Fri, Oct 10 - Fresno ST (-6.5) at Colorado ST
Fri, Oct 10 - Washington (-11) vs Rutgers
Sat, Oct 11 - Cincinnati (-11) vs UCF
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Betti / Curtis (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST at Ole Miss - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Notre Dame (-23.5) vs NC State
Sat, Oct 11 - Penn ST (-21) vs Northwestern
Sat, Oct 11 - Northwestern at Penn ST - OVER (48)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Chris Piper (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - San Diego ST (-7) at Nevada * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST (-14.5) at Illinois
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - OVER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - UNLV (-7) vs Air Force
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma (-1) vs Texas
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida (+1.5) at North Texas
Mike North (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Panthers (+3) vs Cowboys
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Jaguars (PK) vs Seahawks
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Cris Zeniuk (18.5 PTS - 10th) - (17-18-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Mon, Oct 13 - Commanders (-4.5) vs Bears
Sun, Oct 12 - Patriots (-3.5) at Saints
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - UNDER (49)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Chris Macero (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas at Texas Tech - UNDER (59) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma vs Texas - UNDER (45)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Pittsburgh (+10) at Florida ST
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Dolphins (+4) vs Chargers
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Weston Stradtman (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos vs Jets - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys (-3) at Panthers
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Matt Ste. Marie (17 PTS - 14th) - (16-19-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Rams at Ravens - UNDER (44.5) * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers (+3) at Buccaneers
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers at Buccaneers - UNDER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns at Steelers - UNDER (38.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Tony Gordon (16.5 PTS - 16th) - (16-19-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions at Chiefs - UNDER (53)
Paul Bovi (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears at Commanders - OVER (50)
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force at UNLV - OVER (65)
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Alex White (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST * BEST BET
Jeff Petch (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Buccaneers (-3) vs 49ers
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan ST (-7.5) vs UCLA
Steve Fezzik (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST at Hawaii - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii
Fri, Oct 10 - Rutgers at Washington - OVER (61)
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida ST (-10) vs Pittsburgh
Brett McMurphy (15 PTS - 21st) - (14-21-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kent ST (-2) vs Massachusetts * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - UNDER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Bowling Green (+11) vs Toledo
Meyer / Sack (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-23-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy (-10) at Temple
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - South Carolina (+9.5) at LSU
Jim Feist (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-15-1)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - OVER (49) * BEST BET
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals at Colts - OVER (47)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Bengals at Packers - OVER (44.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Jeff Whitelaw (13 PTS - 24th) - (12-22-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Sat, Oct 11 - LA Monroe at Coastal Carolina - OVER (45.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - TCU (-2) at Kansas ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Randy Mckay (11 PTS - 25th) - (11-24-0)
Fri, Oct 10 - North Texas (-1.5) vs South Florida * BEST BET
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida at North Texas - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - SMU (-18) vs Stanford
Sat, Oct 11 - Rice at Texas-San Antonio - OVER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - OVER (43.5)
Circa Football Invitational - BY ENTRY
Frank Carulli (23.5 PTS - 1st) - (21-12-2)Sat, Oct 11 - Arizona (+1.5) vs BYU * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - UAB at FL Atlantic - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Old Dominion (-14.5) at Marshall
Sat, Oct 11 - Boise ST (-16.5) vs New Mexico
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona ST
Chris Fallica (22.5 PTS - 2nd) - (21-13-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon ST (+3) vs Wake Forest
Sat, Oct 11 - Texas (+1) vs Oklahoma
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force (+7) at UNLV
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Jason Jarvis (22 PTS - 3rd) - (20-15-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan (+2.5) at USC
Chuck Edel (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (20-15-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCLA at Michigan ST - UNDER (53.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - UNDER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Nevada (+7) vs San Diego ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Kenny White (21.5 PTS - 4th) - (21-14-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia at Auburn - UNDER (46.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Wake Forest at Oregon ST - UNDER (50.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Sat, Oct 11 - Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST
Drew Bridges (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ball ST (+9.5) at W Michigan
Fri, Oct 10 - Fresno ST (-6.5) at Colorado ST
Fri, Oct 10 - Washington (-11) vs Rutgers
Sat, Oct 11 - Cincinnati (-11) vs UCF
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Betti / Curtis (20.5 PTS - 6th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST at Ole Miss - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Notre Dame (-23.5) vs NC State
Sat, Oct 11 - Penn ST (-21) vs Northwestern
Sat, Oct 11 - Northwestern at Penn ST - OVER (48)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Chris Piper (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - San Diego ST (-7) at Nevada * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST (-14.5) at Illinois
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - OVER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - UNLV (-7) vs Air Force
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma (-1) vs Texas
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida (+1.5) at North Texas
Mike North (20 PTS - 8th) - (19-16-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Panthers (+3) vs Cowboys
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Jaguars (PK) vs Seahawks
Sat, Oct 11 - Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Cris Zeniuk (18.5 PTS - 10th) - (17-18-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Mon, Oct 13 - Commanders (-4.5) vs Bears
Sun, Oct 12 - Patriots (-3.5) at Saints
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - UNDER (49)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Chris Macero (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kansas at Texas Tech - UNDER (59) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Oklahoma vs Texas - UNDER (45)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Pittsburgh (+10) at Florida ST
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Dolphins (+4) vs Chargers
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Weston Stradtman (18 PTS - 11th) - (17-18-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos vs Jets - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns (+6) at Steelers
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys (-3) at Panthers
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Matt Ste. Marie (17 PTS - 14th) - (16-19-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Rams at Ravens - UNDER (44.5) * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers (+3) at Buccaneers
Sun, Oct 12 - 49ers at Buccaneers - UNDER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Browns at Steelers - UNDER (38.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Tony Gordon (16.5 PTS - 16th) - (16-19-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sun, Oct 12 - Lions at Chiefs - UNDER (53)
Paul Bovi (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bears at Commanders - OVER (50)
Sat, Oct 11 - Air Force at UNLV - OVER (65)
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Alex White (16 PTS - 17th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST * BEST BET
Jeff Petch (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Broncos (-7) vs Jets * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Colts (-7) vs Cardinals
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Buccaneers (-3) vs 49ers
Sat, Oct 11 - Michigan ST (-7.5) vs UCLA
Steve Fezzik (15.5 PTS - 19th) - (15-20-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5) * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST at Hawaii - UNDER (58)
Sat, Oct 11 - Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii
Fri, Oct 10 - Rutgers at Washington - OVER (61)
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida ST (-10) vs Pittsburgh
Brett McMurphy (15 PTS - 21st) - (14-21-0)
Sat, Oct 11 - Kent ST (-2) vs Massachusetts * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Ohio ST at Illinois - UNDER (51)
Sat, Oct 11 - Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Sat, Oct 11 - Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Sat, Oct 11 - Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53)
Sat, Oct 11 - Bowling Green (+11) vs Toledo
Meyer / Sack (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-23-0)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Sat, Oct 11 - Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Sat, Oct 11 - Navy (-10) at Temple
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - South Carolina (+9.5) at LSU
Jim Feist (13.5 PTS - 22nd) - (12-15-1)
Sun, Oct 12 - Cowboys at Panthers - OVER (49) * BEST BET
Mon, Oct 13 - Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Sun, Oct 12 - Cardinals at Colts - OVER (47)
Mon, Oct 13 - Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - UNDER (43.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Bengals at Packers - OVER (44.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Jeff Whitelaw (13 PTS - 24th) - (12-22-1)
Sat, Oct 11 - Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss * BEST BET
Sun, Oct 12 - Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Sun, Oct 12 - Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Sat, Oct 11 - LA Monroe at Coastal Carolina - OVER (45.5)
Sat, Oct 11 - TCU (-2) at Kansas ST
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Randy Mckay (11 PTS - 25th) - (11-24-0)
Fri, Oct 10 - North Texas (-1.5) vs South Florida * BEST BET
Fri, Oct 10 - South Florida at North Texas - OVER (67)
Sat, Oct 11 - Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Sat, Oct 11 - SMU (-18) vs Stanford
Sat, Oct 11 - Rice at Texas-San Antonio - OVER (47.5)
Sun, Oct 12 - Chargers at Dolphins - OVER (43.5)
Circa Football Invitational - BY GAME
CFB - Fri, Oct 10 at 7:30 PM ET - South Florida at North TexasRandy Mckay : North Texas (-1.5) vs South Florida * BEST BET
Chris Piper : South Florida (+1.5) at North Texas
Randy Mckay : South Florida at North Texas - OVER (67)
CFB - Fri, Oct 10 at 9:00 PM ET - Fresno ST at Colorado ST
Drew Bridges : Fresno ST (-6.5) at Colorado ST
CFB - Fri, Oct 10 at 9:00 PM ET - Rutgers at Washington
Drew Bridges : Washington (-11) vs Rutgers
Steve Fezzik : Rutgers at Washington - OVER (61)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Toledo at Bowling Green
Brett McMurphy : Bowling Green (+11) vs Toledo
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - UCF at Cincinnati
Drew Bridges : Cincinnati (-11) vs UCF
Steve Fezzik : UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5) * BEST BET
Chris Macero : UCF at Cincinnati - OVER (54.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Pittsburgh at Florida ST
Steve Fezzik : Florida ST (-10) vs Pittsburgh
Chris Macero : Pittsburgh (+10) at Florida ST
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Ohio ST at Illinois
Chris Piper : Ohio ST (-14.5) at Illinois
Chris Piper : Ohio ST at Illinois - OVER (51)
Brett McMurphy : Ohio ST at Illinois - UNDER (51)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - UCLA at Michigan ST
Jeff Petch : Michigan ST (-7.5) vs UCLA
Chuck Edel : UCLA at Michigan ST - UNDER (53.5) * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Alabama at Missouri
Chris Fallica : Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Kenny White : Missouri (+3) vs Alabama
Brett McMurphy : Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
Paul Bovi : Alabama at Missouri - OVER (51.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Stanford at SMU
Randy Mckay : SMU (-18) vs Stanford
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:00 PM ET - Louisiana at James Madison
Steve Fezzik : James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
Chuck Edel : James Madison (-18) vs Louisiana
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 12:45 PM ET - Washington ST at Ole Miss
Betti / Curtis : Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss
Jeff Whitelaw : Washington ST (+32) at Ole Miss * BEST BET
Betti / Curtis : Washington ST at Ole Miss - UNDER (58)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 2:30 PM ET - Massachusetts at Kent ST
Brett McMurphy : Kent ST (-2) vs Massachusetts * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Iowa ST at Colorado
Chris Fallica : Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Mike North : Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
Kenny White : Colorado (+3) vs Iowa ST
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - TCU at Kansas ST
Kenny White : Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Frank Carulli : Kansas ST (+2) vs TCU
Jeff Whitelaw : TCU (-2) at Kansas ST
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Old Dominion at Marshall
Frank Carulli : Old Dominion (-14.5) at Marshall
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Nebraska at Maryland
Alex White : Maryland (+7) vs Nebraska
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - NC State at Notre Dame
Betti / Curtis : Notre Dame (-23.5) vs NC State
Jeff Whitelaw : NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Chuck Edel : NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5)
Betti / Curtis : NC State at Notre Dame - OVER (58.5) * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Indiana at Oregon
Chris Fallica : Oregon (-7) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Chris Piper : Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Brett McMurphy : Oregon (-7) vs Indiana
Brett McMurphy : Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53)
Tony Gordon : Indiana at Oregon - OVER (53) * BEST BET
Chuck Edel : Indiana at Oregon - UNDER (53)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Wake Forest at Oregon ST
Chris Fallica : Oregon ST (+3) vs Wake Forest
Kenny White : Wake Forest at Oregon ST - UNDER (50.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Northwestern at Penn ST
Betti / Curtis : Penn ST (-21) vs Northwestern
Betti / Curtis : Northwestern at Penn ST - OVER (48)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Oklahoma vs Texas
Chris Piper : Oklahoma (-1) vs Texas
Chris Fallica : Texas (+1) vs Oklahoma
Chris Macero : Oklahoma vs Texas - UNDER (45)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Air Force at UNLV
Chris Fallica : Air Force (+7) at UNLV
Chris Piper : UNLV (-7) vs Air Force
Paul Bovi : Air Force at UNLV - OVER (65)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 3:30 PM ET - Ball ST at W Michigan
Drew Bridges : Ball ST (+9.5) at W Michigan
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 4:00 PM ET - Navy at Temple
Meyer / Sack : Navy (-10) at Temple
Steve Fezzik : Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
Frank Carulli : Navy at Temple - OVER (52.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 4:15 PM ET - Arkansas at Tennessee
Jeff Whitelaw : Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Meyer / Sack : Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Betti / Curtis : Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
Randy Mckay : Arkansas (+12) at Tennessee
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 6:00 PM ET - UAB at FL Atlantic
Frank Carulli : UAB at FL Atlantic - OVER (67)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:00 PM ET - Florida at Texas A&M
Chuck Edel : Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
Meyer / Sack : Florida (+7.5) at Texas A&M
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:00 PM ET - LA Monroe at Coastal Carolina
Jeff Whitelaw : LA Monroe at Coastal Carolina - OVER (45.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:30 PM ET - Georgia at Auburn
Weston Stradtman : Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn * BEST BET
Kenny White : Georgia at Auburn - UNDER (46.5) * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:30 PM ET - Kansas at Texas Tech
Chris Macero : Kansas at Texas Tech - UNDER (59) * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:30 PM ET - Michigan at USC
Jason Jarvis : Michigan (+2.5) at USC
Alex White : USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Tony Gordon : USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
Brett McMurphy : USC (-2.5) vs Michigan
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:30 PM ET - Rice at Texas-San Antonio
Randy Mckay : Rice at Texas-San Antonio - OVER (47.5)
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 7:45 PM ET - South Carolina at LSU
Meyer / Sack : South Carolina (+9.5) at LSU
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 8:00 PM ET - BYU at Arizona
Frank Carulli : Arizona (+1.5) vs BYU * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 8:00 PM ET - Troy at Texas ST
Alex White : Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST * BEST BET
Kenny White : Troy (+7.5) at Texas ST
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 9:45 PM ET - New Mexico at Boise ST
Frank Carulli : Boise ST (-16.5) vs New Mexico
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 10:15 PM ET - Arizona ST at Utah
Frank Carulli : Utah (-8.5) vs Arizona ST
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 10:30 PM ET - San Diego ST at Nevada
Chuck Edel : Nevada (+7) vs San Diego ST
Chris Piper : San Diego ST (-7) at Nevada * BEST BET
CFB - Sat, Oct 11 at 11:00 PM ET - Utah ST at Hawaii
Steve Fezzik : Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii
Drew Bridges : Utah ST (-1) at Hawaii * BEST BET
Steve Fezzik : Utah ST at Hawaii - UNDER (58)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 9:30 AM ET - Broncos vs Jets
Jeff Petch : Broncos (-7) vs Jets * BEST BET
Matt Ste. Marie : Broncos (-7) vs Jets
Weston Stradtman : Broncos vs Jets - UNDER (43.5)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Chargers at Dolphins
Weston Stradtman : Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Cris Zeniuk : Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Jeff Petch : Chargers (-4) at Dolphins
Chris Macero : Dolphins (+4) vs Chargers
Randy Mckay : Chargers at Dolphins - OVER (43.5)
Jim Feist : Chargers at Dolphins - UNDER (43.5)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Rams at Ravens
Meyer / Sack : Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Kenny White : Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Tony Gordon : Ravens (+7.5) vs Rams
Matt Ste. Marie : Rams at Ravens - UNDER (44.5) * BEST BET
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Browns at Steelers
Chris Macero : Browns (+6) at Steelers
Jason Jarvis : Browns (+6) at Steelers
Weston Stradtman : Browns (+6) at Steelers
Cris Zeniuk : Browns (+6) at Steelers
Matt Ste. Marie : Browns at Steelers - UNDER (38.5)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Cardinals at Colts
Chris Fallica : Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Tony Gordon : Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Jason Jarvis : Cardinals (+7) at Colts
Mike North : Cardinals (+7) at Colts * BEST BET
Cris Zeniuk : Colts (-7) vs Cardinals * BEST BET
Jeff Petch : Colts (-7) vs Cardinals
Jim Feist : Cardinals at Colts - OVER (47)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Seahawks at Jaguars
Mike North : Jaguars (PK) vs Seahawks
Meyer / Sack : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Jeff Petch : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Jason Jarvis : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars * BEST BET
Weston Stradtman : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Jim Feist : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Matt Ste. Marie : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
Drew Bridges : Seahawks (PK) at Jaguars
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Cowboys at Panthers
Mike North : Panthers (+3) vs Cowboys
Weston Stradtman : Cowboys (-3) at Panthers
Jim Feist : Cowboys at Panthers - OVER (49) * BEST BET
Cris Zeniuk : Cowboys at Panthers - UNDER (49)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 1:00 PM ET - Patriots at Saints
Cris Zeniuk : Patriots (-3.5) at Saints
Jason Jarvis : Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
Matt Ste. Marie : Saints (+3.5) vs Patriots
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 4:05 PM ET - Titans at Raiders
Mike North : Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
Jeff Whitelaw : Titans (+4.5) at Raiders
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 4:25 PM ET - Bengals at Packers
Jim Feist : Bengals at Packers - OVER (44.5)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 4:25 PM ET - 49ers at Buccaneers
Matt Ste. Marie : 49ers (+3) at Buccaneers
Jeff Petch : Buccaneers (-3) vs 49ers
Randy Mckay : Buccaneers (-3) vs 49ers
Matt Ste. Marie : 49ers at Buccaneers - UNDER (47.5)
NFL - Sun, Oct 12 at 8:20 PM ET - Lions at Chiefs
Cris Zeniuk : Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Weston Stradtman : Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Drew Bridges : Lions (+2) at Chiefs
Chuck Edel : Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Jeff Petch : Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Jeff Whitelaw : Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Meyer / Sack : Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Mike North : Chiefs (-2) vs Lions
Tony Gordon : Lions at Chiefs - UNDER (53)
NFL - Mon, Oct 13 at 7:15 PM ET - Bills at Falcons
Chris Macero : Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Mike North : Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Jason Jarvis : Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Jim Feist : Falcons (+4.5) vs Bills
Paul Bovi : Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
Jim Feist : Bills at Falcons - OVER (50)
NFL - Mon, Oct 13 at 8:15 PM ET - Bears at Commanders
Jason Jarvis : Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Tony Gordon : Bears (+4.5) at Commanders
Cris Zeniuk : Commanders (-4.5) vs Bears
Paul Bovi : Bears at Commanders - OVER (50)
Daily Racing Form (update) - Keeneland - Saturday, October 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Jeremy Plonk's Updated Keeneland Thoughts As $408K Pick 6 Carryover Rolls In
With a $408,657 pick 6 carryover today ($1 minimum, no jackpot provisions), my focus will be on attacking the dead money in that pool. It’s a horseplayer’s advantage and may be the best opportunity of the Fall Meet, so I’ll adjust my budget accordingly. That doesn’t mean that intra-race price plays still aren’t the best way to go, long term, nor will I be passing on a trio of 15-1 morning line top picks in Races 2,3,4.
After scratches, the only top pick I lost was Sinister Smile in the finale. I did lose few underneath considerations and have adjusted with the picks below. Key plays are in tact: Corman in Race 2 at a price; Lady Jancis in Race 5 from a turf sprint power post; and Chapman’s Peak in Race 7 coming out of a key race and my gutsy single in the pick 6. While I pick favorite Hillerito on top in Race 6 and he may be loose on the lead, I do think that will be the most singled horse in the Pick 6 and the value explodes if you beat that one - so it’s a spread race for me in that respect.
Here are my updated picks after scratches:
Here’s my Keeneland.com stats & trends blog for today …
Jeremy Plonk’s Keeneland Keys for Saturday, October 11, 2025
What to Watch for Today: A wild $408,657 pick 6 carryover welcomes horseplayers to the second Saturday of autumn at Keeneland. The meet’s final Grade 1 race welcomes top-class 3-year-old turf fillies in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup. Undefeated Laurelin looks for a sixth straight win to open her career against eight rivals.The Keeneland Turf Pick 3 on Saturday will be Races 5,7,9.
Handicapping Head-start: Be sure to join me at 8:30 pm ET on the night before each racing day’s card for the Keeneland Look-Ahead video podcast. It streams live on the Keeneland YouTube page as well on Twitter/X @Keenelandracing and @Horseplayernow.
Weather: Sunny skies with temps around 70 degrees are in the forecast.
My Selections: You can get my top 3 picks in each race on the track simulcast feed before each race as well on the Keeneland.com handicappers’ consensus page (https://www.keeneland.com/racing/wagering/handicappers-consensus).
Keeneland Handicapping 101: Most information is gleaned from the free Keeneland Handicapping database (http://apps.keeneland.com/awstats/Default.asp) that you can manipulate and search for yourself as well!
1st Race
Two-year-old maiden special weight sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs to start the early pick 5. The split division of this heat will be Race 4. We’ve had 27 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 27. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year – though Friday’s pair went to those from Del Mar and Colonial. First-timers have won 4 of 6 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been about a length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 4 lengths. The play has been to demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies, though Friday’s runners both rallied 3-4 lengths. Don’t Even is a first-time starter for Wesley Ward that figured prominently with bullet local workouts in tow. The experienced horses haven’t shown much in this one, led perhaps by Gnome, though he hasn’t shown much early foot.
2nd Race
Non-winners of 2 lifetime (N2L) claimers dash 6 furlongs as the pick 4 opens. Churchill preppers dominate with 42 victories in Fall Meet N2L claimers over the years, including both N2Ls on Thursday (no other circuit more than 1…Ellis, next-best Indy with 11 after adding a Friday tally at 19-1 in Race 2). Churchill reps here include 8 of the 12 entrants. About a third of these race winners in N2L claimers made surface changes from turf or synthetic, so while it’s not preferred, it’s not a big hindrance. Trainer Wayne Catalano is a sharp 6-20 in Fall Meet claiming races on the Kee dirt and his Corman changes barns with a solid workout tab for the return; Catalano won a race earlier this week. Pedigree players give a look to Memes (by Practical Joke) and Kunan (by Omaha Beach) given their high-impact sires on this track. Silver Halo has the best maiden win on paper, but it was February 2024 at Fair Grounds as this one takes a class plunge.
3rd Race
First-level (N1X) allowance 2-year-olds stretch out over 1-1/16 miles on the main track. We’ve had 27 such 2YO ALW routes on dirt in Fall Meets with an average winner a juicy 6.3-to-1 price. Favorites underperform at 7-27. The winners are pretty evenly distributed between sprint (12) and route (15) preps, while Churchill preppers own 12 wins (Kentucky Downs 5, Indy 3 are next-best). The Churchill crew here is led by So Special and Court of Appeal. So Special goes for a Kenny McPeek barn that’s perked up here during Week 2 with a couple of winners and red-hot Kee sire Vekoma makes this one a serious threat. Brad Cox has 5 wins in these 2YO ALW races on dirt in Fall Meets and looks for more with Vamos Ya and Rancho Santa Fe, who look similarly appealing. A third of these winners (9-27) made surface changes, so don’t be afraid of that. Gloves Off, for instance, has won on turf and yet to run on dirt, but his sire Nyquit’s progeny have been fantastic on the Kee dirt
4th Race
Two-year-old maiden special weight sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs in the split division of what we saw in Race 1. We’ve had 27 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 27. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year – though Friday’s pair went to those from Del Mar and Colonial. First-timers have won 4 of 6 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been about a length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 4 lengths. The play has been to demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies, though Friday’s runners both rallied 3-4 lengths. Upset time here via CD perhaps with Crypto Cory for veteran, Breeders’ Cup-winning trainer Donnie Von Hemel. That barn isn’t what it once was, but note a 13: 3-2-1 record with 2YO MSW runners at Keeneland in the Fall on dirt. He pressed a runaway winner in his debut before tiring at Churchill.
5th Race
Turf sprint 2-year-old maiden special weight runners clash to open the pick 6 and its bodacious $408,657.99 carryover. It’s the first leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. We’ve had 8 MSW turf sprints for the 2YOs in past Fall Meets, experienced horses winning 6, rookies 2, but the main body of this field has just 4 experienced runners to 8 debut runners. Favorites are 4-8 with an average winner 4-1 odds. Power posts 3-4-5 have a strong statistical edge in full-field turf sprints at Keeneland, particularly below the stakes cusp like this, so Super Dreamy, Pleasing and Lady Jancis are drawn perfectly before scratches. Irad Ortiz Jr., a 30% rider in Keeneland turf sprints, partners with Lady Jancis and gets my look. Triskelion is the experienced runner most intriguing off 2 solid efforts and a sire Leinster, who was a fantastic turf sprinter over this course in his day.
6th Race
The late pick 5 opener is a third-level (N3X) allowance at 6-1/2 furlongs. We’ve had 40 Fall Meet dirt ALW sprints at this 6-1/2 furlong distance over the years, with an average winner 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile and only 2 winners more than 3 lengths back at that point. Favorites are 16-40 (40%) with an average winner 4-1 odds, meaning these races are slightly more chalky than average. Overall, 23 winners added distance off their most-recent race, 3 stayed the same, 9 trimmed back slightly from 7 furlongs and 5 cut back from a mile or longer. Only 3 of these are adding distance: likely favorite Hillerito, Win N Your In and Xtreme Diva. Only 20% were won by horses making surface changes like Zadorsky and Win N Your In bid. Hillerito will be the one to catch as potential lone speed, while Easy Red is a winner over the track and by razor-sharp local dirt sire Omaha Beach. I’ll lean on those with a healthy respect for Grade 3 winner One Magic Philly in what might be a race that’s good to get some coverage in the pick 6 while many single Hillerito. Marmalade Skye also is a good option as is past Kee winner Zadorsky.
7th Race
Entry-level (N1X) allowance performers match up over 1-3/16 miles on turf to start the late pick 4. It’s the middle leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. This specific class/distance race has been a regular part of the schedule a few times per Fall Meet. We’ve had 14 of them in the database since 2015 (including Friday’s Race 7) with just 1 winning favorite and an average winner nearly 10-1 odds. The average winner is 2-1/4 lengths back after the first half-mile (3 led at half, Friday’s winner more than 8 lengths back at that point). Kentucky Downs (7) and Churchill Downs (5) are trading punches in wins. Nine of the 14 prepped at 1-1/8 miles or farther last out. Chapman’s Peak is one of my key plays on the card, running well here last year with no pace help when fourth and coming off a sharp Kentucky Downs win at an even longer trip that saw its 2-3 finishers come back and run 1-2 in a good maiden race here earlier this week. Morning line favorite Valentinan has been solid on dirt, but underachieved for a $1.5 million grandson of legendary Rachel Alexandra and now tries turf after 7 starts. Write Off Jerry is the kind of high-dollar veteran claim that Mike Maker often turns into turf marathon stakes starts. He’ll add blinkers and intrigues.
8th Race
Allowance sprinters clash at 6 furlongs in this one. We’ve had 13 N2X ALW races at 6F on dirt in Fall Meets, favorites winning 6-13 and an average winner just under 4-1 odds. No winner had been double-digit odds. The average winner is 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile and surprisingly 4 of 13 winners were 3 or more lengths back at that point (only 2 led after the first half-mile). Churchill preppers have 6 of the wins (all coming out of the September Meet. Mega Mil and last year’s Ellis Park Debutante winner Stilettos interest me most from CD, but Anakarina is by sharp Kee dirt sire Veokoma and merits consideration. The price on Mega Mil and apparent talent are a great draw for me.
9th Race
he featured $800,000 Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth Challenge Cup is the Saturday feature for 3-year-old fillies. It’s the final leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. We have 19 years of this stakes in our database with favorites 6-19 and the average winner 9-2 odds. The last 9 winners have been 5-1 or less odds in a race the public has a decent grasp of historically. In those 19 editions, 10 winners prepped in New York, 4 at Del Mar. I look for Laurelin via NY and Lush Lips via Dmr to give a solid chance at continuing that regional stronghold. Laurelin has won all 5 starts, while Lush Lips has been first or second in all 6 starts since coming to trainer Brendan Walsh, who has been a stakes dynamo already this Fall Meet. Past Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup winner Mark Casse has Candy Quest here, while the race’s 5-time winner Chad Brown counters with Opulent Restraint. The field has but 2 local starts on turf between them, including a third-place Appalachian Stakes run by Fionn during the 2025 Sprint Meet … she’s won all 3 starts since at Churchill, Saratoga and Kentucky Downs for Brad Cox.
10th Race
Starter allowance sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs in the nightcap, which will offer the Toyota Super High 5 wager. Favorites are just 13-45 in Fall Meet starter allowance sprints with an average winner 5.5-1 odds. The average winner is only a length off the lead after the first half-mile and no winner has closed more than 3-1/2 lengths. Wire-to-wire winners Motown Dynamic and Busk have scored in similar spots already this week at short prices on the front end. Churchill preps have produced 21 of the 45 winners in these Fall starter sprints. Dive Bomber is by redhot Kee dirt sire Omaha Beach and could factor in his local debut, while the exact sane case can be made for Practical Joke colt Sinister Smile – and both hail from CD preps. Countthebrave and Uncle William should be dangerous speed for a David Jacobson barn that pops with these kind.
With a $408,657 pick 6 carryover today ($1 minimum, no jackpot provisions), my focus will be on attacking the dead money in that pool. It’s a horseplayer’s advantage and may be the best opportunity of the Fall Meet, so I’ll adjust my budget accordingly. That doesn’t mean that intra-race price plays still aren’t the best way to go, long term, nor will I be passing on a trio of 15-1 morning line top picks in Races 2,3,4.
After scratches, the only top pick I lost was Sinister Smile in the finale. I did lose few underneath considerations and have adjusted with the picks below. Key plays are in tact: Corman in Race 2 at a price; Lady Jancis in Race 5 from a turf sprint power post; and Chapman’s Peak in Race 7 coming out of a key race and my gutsy single in the pick 6. While I pick favorite Hillerito on top in Race 6 and he may be loose on the lead, I do think that will be the most singled horse in the Pick 6 and the value explodes if you beat that one - so it’s a spread race for me in that respect.
Here are my updated picks after scratches:
Here’s my Keeneland.com stats & trends blog for today …
Jeremy Plonk’s Keeneland Keys for Saturday, October 11, 2025
What to Watch for Today: A wild $408,657 pick 6 carryover welcomes horseplayers to the second Saturday of autumn at Keeneland. The meet’s final Grade 1 race welcomes top-class 3-year-old turf fillies in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup. Undefeated Laurelin looks for a sixth straight win to open her career against eight rivals.The Keeneland Turf Pick 3 on Saturday will be Races 5,7,9.
Handicapping Head-start: Be sure to join me at 8:30 pm ET on the night before each racing day’s card for the Keeneland Look-Ahead video podcast. It streams live on the Keeneland YouTube page as well on Twitter/X @Keenelandracing and @Horseplayernow.
Weather: Sunny skies with temps around 70 degrees are in the forecast.
My Selections: You can get my top 3 picks in each race on the track simulcast feed before each race as well on the Keeneland.com handicappers’ consensus page (https://www.keeneland.com/racing/wagering/handicappers-consensus).
Keeneland Handicapping 101: Most information is gleaned from the free Keeneland Handicapping database (http://apps.keeneland.com/awstats/Default.asp) that you can manipulate and search for yourself as well!
1st Race
Two-year-old maiden special weight sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs to start the early pick 5. The split division of this heat will be Race 4. We’ve had 27 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 27. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year – though Friday’s pair went to those from Del Mar and Colonial. First-timers have won 4 of 6 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been about a length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 4 lengths. The play has been to demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies, though Friday’s runners both rallied 3-4 lengths. Don’t Even is a first-time starter for Wesley Ward that figured prominently with bullet local workouts in tow. The experienced horses haven’t shown much in this one, led perhaps by Gnome, though he hasn’t shown much early foot.
2nd Race
Non-winners of 2 lifetime (N2L) claimers dash 6 furlongs as the pick 4 opens. Churchill preppers dominate with 42 victories in Fall Meet N2L claimers over the years, including both N2Ls on Thursday (no other circuit more than 1…Ellis, next-best Indy with 11 after adding a Friday tally at 19-1 in Race 2). Churchill reps here include 8 of the 12 entrants. About a third of these race winners in N2L claimers made surface changes from turf or synthetic, so while it’s not preferred, it’s not a big hindrance. Trainer Wayne Catalano is a sharp 6-20 in Fall Meet claiming races on the Kee dirt and his Corman changes barns with a solid workout tab for the return; Catalano won a race earlier this week. Pedigree players give a look to Memes (by Practical Joke) and Kunan (by Omaha Beach) given their high-impact sires on this track. Silver Halo has the best maiden win on paper, but it was February 2024 at Fair Grounds as this one takes a class plunge.
3rd Race
First-level (N1X) allowance 2-year-olds stretch out over 1-1/16 miles on the main track. We’ve had 27 such 2YO ALW routes on dirt in Fall Meets with an average winner a juicy 6.3-to-1 price. Favorites underperform at 7-27. The winners are pretty evenly distributed between sprint (12) and route (15) preps, while Churchill preppers own 12 wins (Kentucky Downs 5, Indy 3 are next-best). The Churchill crew here is led by So Special and Court of Appeal. So Special goes for a Kenny McPeek barn that’s perked up here during Week 2 with a couple of winners and red-hot Kee sire Vekoma makes this one a serious threat. Brad Cox has 5 wins in these 2YO ALW races on dirt in Fall Meets and looks for more with Vamos Ya and Rancho Santa Fe, who look similarly appealing. A third of these winners (9-27) made surface changes, so don’t be afraid of that. Gloves Off, for instance, has won on turf and yet to run on dirt, but his sire Nyquit’s progeny have been fantastic on the Kee dirt
4th Race
Two-year-old maiden special weight sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs in the split division of what we saw in Race 1. We’ve had 27 such MSW races for 2YOs at this distance in Fall Meets, favorites winning 12 of 27. Winners have expectedly been evenly divided between first-time starters (9) and Churchill preppers (9) as most MSW sprints are at Keeneland this time of year – though Friday’s pair went to those from Del Mar and Colonial. First-timers have won 4 of 6 such 2YO MSW dirt sprint races at the current meet. The average winner has been about a length back after the first half-mile and no winner closed more than 4 lengths. The play has been to demand speed from the experienced horses and anticipate it from the rookies, though Friday’s runners both rallied 3-4 lengths. Upset time here via CD perhaps with Crypto Cory for veteran, Breeders’ Cup-winning trainer Donnie Von Hemel. That barn isn’t what it once was, but note a 13: 3-2-1 record with 2YO MSW runners at Keeneland in the Fall on dirt. He pressed a runaway winner in his debut before tiring at Churchill.
5th Race
Turf sprint 2-year-old maiden special weight runners clash to open the pick 6 and its bodacious $408,657.99 carryover. It’s the first leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. We’ve had 8 MSW turf sprints for the 2YOs in past Fall Meets, experienced horses winning 6, rookies 2, but the main body of this field has just 4 experienced runners to 8 debut runners. Favorites are 4-8 with an average winner 4-1 odds. Power posts 3-4-5 have a strong statistical edge in full-field turf sprints at Keeneland, particularly below the stakes cusp like this, so Super Dreamy, Pleasing and Lady Jancis are drawn perfectly before scratches. Irad Ortiz Jr., a 30% rider in Keeneland turf sprints, partners with Lady Jancis and gets my look. Triskelion is the experienced runner most intriguing off 2 solid efforts and a sire Leinster, who was a fantastic turf sprinter over this course in his day.
6th Race
The late pick 5 opener is a third-level (N3X) allowance at 6-1/2 furlongs. We’ve had 40 Fall Meet dirt ALW sprints at this 6-1/2 furlong distance over the years, with an average winner 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile and only 2 winners more than 3 lengths back at that point. Favorites are 16-40 (40%) with an average winner 4-1 odds, meaning these races are slightly more chalky than average. Overall, 23 winners added distance off their most-recent race, 3 stayed the same, 9 trimmed back slightly from 7 furlongs and 5 cut back from a mile or longer. Only 3 of these are adding distance: likely favorite Hillerito, Win N Your In and Xtreme Diva. Only 20% were won by horses making surface changes like Zadorsky and Win N Your In bid. Hillerito will be the one to catch as potential lone speed, while Easy Red is a winner over the track and by razor-sharp local dirt sire Omaha Beach. I’ll lean on those with a healthy respect for Grade 3 winner One Magic Philly in what might be a race that’s good to get some coverage in the pick 6 while many single Hillerito. Marmalade Skye also is a good option as is past Kee winner Zadorsky.
7th Race
Entry-level (N1X) allowance performers match up over 1-3/16 miles on turf to start the late pick 4. It’s the middle leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. This specific class/distance race has been a regular part of the schedule a few times per Fall Meet. We’ve had 14 of them in the database since 2015 (including Friday’s Race 7) with just 1 winning favorite and an average winner nearly 10-1 odds. The average winner is 2-1/4 lengths back after the first half-mile (3 led at half, Friday’s winner more than 8 lengths back at that point). Kentucky Downs (7) and Churchill Downs (5) are trading punches in wins. Nine of the 14 prepped at 1-1/8 miles or farther last out. Chapman’s Peak is one of my key plays on the card, running well here last year with no pace help when fourth and coming off a sharp Kentucky Downs win at an even longer trip that saw its 2-3 finishers come back and run 1-2 in a good maiden race here earlier this week. Morning line favorite Valentinan has been solid on dirt, but underachieved for a $1.5 million grandson of legendary Rachel Alexandra and now tries turf after 7 starts. Write Off Jerry is the kind of high-dollar veteran claim that Mike Maker often turns into turf marathon stakes starts. He’ll add blinkers and intrigues.
8th Race
Allowance sprinters clash at 6 furlongs in this one. We’ve had 13 N2X ALW races at 6F on dirt in Fall Meets, favorites winning 6-13 and an average winner just under 4-1 odds. No winner had been double-digit odds. The average winner is 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile and surprisingly 4 of 13 winners were 3 or more lengths back at that point (only 2 led after the first half-mile). Churchill preppers have 6 of the wins (all coming out of the September Meet. Mega Mil and last year’s Ellis Park Debutante winner Stilettos interest me most from CD, but Anakarina is by sharp Kee dirt sire Veokoma and merits consideration. The price on Mega Mil and apparent talent are a great draw for me.
9th Race
he featured $800,000 Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth Challenge Cup is the Saturday feature for 3-year-old fillies. It’s the final leg in the Keeneland Turf Pick 3. We have 19 years of this stakes in our database with favorites 6-19 and the average winner 9-2 odds. The last 9 winners have been 5-1 or less odds in a race the public has a decent grasp of historically. In those 19 editions, 10 winners prepped in New York, 4 at Del Mar. I look for Laurelin via NY and Lush Lips via Dmr to give a solid chance at continuing that regional stronghold. Laurelin has won all 5 starts, while Lush Lips has been first or second in all 6 starts since coming to trainer Brendan Walsh, who has been a stakes dynamo already this Fall Meet. Past Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup winner Mark Casse has Candy Quest here, while the race’s 5-time winner Chad Brown counters with Opulent Restraint. The field has but 2 local starts on turf between them, including a third-place Appalachian Stakes run by Fionn during the 2025 Sprint Meet … she’s won all 3 starts since at Churchill, Saratoga and Kentucky Downs for Brad Cox.
10th Race
Starter allowance sprinters go 6-1/2 furlongs in the nightcap, which will offer the Toyota Super High 5 wager. Favorites are just 13-45 in Fall Meet starter allowance sprints with an average winner 5.5-1 odds. The average winner is only a length off the lead after the first half-mile and no winner has closed more than 3-1/2 lengths. Wire-to-wire winners Motown Dynamic and Busk have scored in similar spots already this week at short prices on the front end. Churchill preps have produced 21 of the 45 winners in these Fall starter sprints. Dive Bomber is by redhot Kee dirt sire Omaha Beach and could factor in his local debut, while the exact sane case can be made for Practical Joke colt Sinister Smile – and both hail from CD preps. Countthebrave and Uncle William should be dangerous speed for a David Jacobson barn that pops with these kind.
