PLAYS IN
UT Martin -3
StoneHill +7
N Mex st ML
USC ML
G Mason -10
teaser Wake forest pk/Tex am +1.5
teaser U Conn+3.5/Winthrop -.5
Teaser Wagner+26.5/Mercer-6
3 team parlay moved the lines a little Lehigh ML/will-mary+7.5/Abilene Christian +3.5 +364
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UT Martin -3
StoneHill +7
N Mex st ML
USC ML
G Mason -10
teaser Wake forest pk/Tex am +1.5
teaser U Conn+3.5/Winthrop -.5
Teaser Wagner+26.5/Mercer-6
3 team parlay moved the lines a little Lehigh ML/will-mary+7.5/Abilene Christian +3.5 +364
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over 150 Lipscomb game WINNER
Arkansas +3.5 -125 place should be rocking
Presbyterian +6.5 just 33 miles from home, rivalry game
Columbia ML
FGCU +2
N Col -1.5
Over 152 Virginia game
Over 78.5 TT SMU
Lamar -9
ml parlay American -200/uncw-450/belmont-300/ pacific -300. +223.
parlay moved lines SC Upstate ML/Over 149 Memphis /over 153.5 Wisconsin +485 half unit
teaser Idaho st pk/Tenn st pk
Arkansas +3.5 -125 place should be rocking
Presbyterian +6.5 just 33 miles from home, rivalry game
Columbia ML
FGCU +2
N Col -1.5
Over 152 Virginia game
Over 78.5 TT SMU
Lamar -9
ml parlay American -200/uncw-450/belmont-300/ pacific -300. +223.
parlay moved lines SC Upstate ML/Over 149 Memphis /over 153.5 Wisconsin +485 half unit
teaser Idaho st pk/Tenn st pk
Mich st +2.5
LIU ML
Seton Hall +3.5
Butler -4
New Mex st -2.5
SC Upstate +2
Columbia -12.5
Over 157 Wisconsin
Over 160 Wofford
teaser Presbyterian -1.5/Utah Valley +6.5
Teaser American -5/SE Missouri st +9.5 like both these str up also, American should win this big, Maryland Eastern is avg just 55 pts a game , that's why this total is so low, at 130 73-57 type of game and SE Missouri st getting 4.5 or 5 at Chattanooga ,
LIU ML
Seton Hall +3.5
Butler -4
New Mex st -2.5
SC Upstate +2
Columbia -12.5
Over 157 Wisconsin
Over 160 Wofford
teaser Presbyterian -1.5/Utah Valley +6.5
Teaser American -5/SE Missouri st +9.5 like both these str up also, American should win this big, Maryland Eastern is avg just 55 pts a game , that's why this total is so low, at 130 73-57 type of game and SE Missouri st getting 4.5 or 5 at Chattanooga ,
coming off a 10-5 day Saturday and also posted over 71.5 nebraska TT posted how Mercer getting 23 should be looked into by everyone , Seton Hall covered talking out loud sometimes others can make money 2 close losses 1 close win should have had 4 more wins hopefully I just start posting everything I like ,
tomorrow looking at the Over 160 Queens/WF game both these teams shoot really well, and they both average a lot of assist which will help, looking at this queens last 3 games they are averaging 92 pts a game and giving up 82 and wake is averaging 76 and giving up 75 they are a 17 pt favorite tomorrow , queens on the road is averaging 75 pts a game and giving up 89 and wake at home is averaging 88 and giving up 70 GEEE wonder where they got 160 at? ...lol last 3 queens is shooting the 3 at 40%, the 2 at 61% and their effective shooting is 60% and over all shooting 50%, Wake last 3 they are shooting the 3 at 32% the 2 at 59% their effective shooting is 54% overall is 46.4%, queens is avg 13 offensive rebounds a game the last 3 games and they avg 9 on the road and wake averages 10 at home, to's a game are even , even away and at home, with queens giving up the points like they do I think WF should get close to 90 tomorrow if not 90, my thinking is can Queens get to 73-75 pts ?? they scored 74 vs Winthrop, scored 79 vs at Furman, 69 at Virginia , 74 at Villanova, ...American scored 74 at WF, northeastern scored 73, u Mass Lowell scored 75, I just think Queens can get close to 75 and if they can I think this goes over, both teams averages a lot of assist, offensive boards all that helps scoring , I am wondering if this line will drop or not my guess is no ..I can see a 93-74 type of game maybe closer queens is playing just 70 miles from home , just not sure if I should wait just do not see it going down
going to go ahead and take over 159.5 -120 just checked Betonline's odds they got 161.5 so I am grabbing it now they usually have the sharpest lines only reason I use it is too check other lines once in a while I bet there
over 159.5 queens/WF this was bet Saturday night and posted at covers
tomorrow looking at the Over 160 Queens/WF game both these teams shoot really well, and they both average a lot of assist which will help, looking at this queens last 3 games they are averaging 92 pts a game and giving up 82 and wake is averaging 76 and giving up 75 they are a 17 pt favorite tomorrow , queens on the road is averaging 75 pts a game and giving up 89 and wake at home is averaging 88 and giving up 70 GEEE wonder where they got 160 at? ...lol last 3 queens is shooting the 3 at 40%, the 2 at 61% and their effective shooting is 60% and over all shooting 50%, Wake last 3 they are shooting the 3 at 32% the 2 at 59% their effective shooting is 54% overall is 46.4%, queens is avg 13 offensive rebounds a game the last 3 games and they avg 9 on the road and wake averages 10 at home, to's a game are even , even away and at home, with queens giving up the points like they do I think WF should get close to 90 tomorrow if not 90, my thinking is can Queens get to 73-75 pts ?? they scored 74 vs Winthrop, scored 79 vs at Furman, 69 at Virginia , 74 at Villanova, ...American scored 74 at WF, northeastern scored 73, u Mass Lowell scored 75, I just think Queens can get close to 75 and if they can I think this goes over, both teams averages a lot of assist, offensive boards all that helps scoring , I am wondering if this line will drop or not my guess is no ..I can see a 93-74 type of game maybe closer queens is playing just 70 miles from home , just not sure if I should wait just do not see it going down
going to go ahead and take over 159.5 -120 just checked Betonline's odds they got 161.5 so I am grabbing it now they usually have the sharpest lines only reason I use it is too check other lines once in a while I bet there
over 159.5 queens/WF this was bet Saturday night and posted at covers
I know with NIL and everything we should not look at games between the 2 teeams even last year, but I think its ok to use as part of capping if the 2 teams still have a majority of players from last year still on the teams and being major players Merrimack at Vermont last year these 2 played 1st game of the year and it was at Merrimack and Vermont was a 7.5 pt favorite and Merrimack won 65-51 no huge diff in anything from that game both teams shot poorly , Vermont did have 5 more to's but no big diff's and in todays matchup Merrimack has maybe 1 guy back from that game, like the 2nd leading scorers Tye dorsett but Vermont has about 5 back from that game last year Sean Blake 25 mins a game.8 pts.......TJ Long 30 mins 15 pts....TJ Hurley 28 mins 14 pts....Noah Barnett 20 mins 7 pts a game...none of these is their leading scorers this year my point is sometimes players remember losing as a favorite, and the 1st game of the year as a 7 pt favorite and lose by 14 ..cant say it does not happen it was a big thing as far as handicapping before when players stayed at 1 school anyway something to look at or consider maybe ..Vermont is -6.5
man ya have to also think that Vermont would want to finally get a home win over a div 1 school, of all their games they have just 1 home game so far vs Yale a div 1 team and they lost a close one 74-77 so this would be their 1st true home win not against some div 2 or 3 school , and the total of 138 Vermont is 4-0 over the total after a win this year, they are 4-1 str up as a favorite Merrimack has won like 4 straight so I am thinking many may like that, but teams like playing at home and winning, each team takes about the same amount of shots with Vermont making close to 5 more a game, they shoot the ball better 47% to 38% , at home they are shooting 49% and Merrimack away is shooting 36%, and they shoot the 2 at home at 71% merrimack away shootis it at 42% must have a good inside game to shoot the 2 that well
going to go against a team that has won 4 in a row
Vermont -6
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man ya have to also think that Vermont would want to finally get a home win over a div 1 school, of all their games they have just 1 home game so far vs Yale a div 1 team and they lost a close one 74-77 so this would be their 1st true home win not against some div 2 or 3 school , and the total of 138 Vermont is 4-0 over the total after a win this year, they are 4-1 str up as a favorite Merrimack has won like 4 straight so I am thinking many may like that, but teams like playing at home and winning, each team takes about the same amount of shots with Vermont making close to 5 more a game, they shoot the ball better 47% to 38% , at home they are shooting 49% and Merrimack away is shooting 36%, and they shoot the 2 at home at 71% merrimack away shootis it at 42% must have a good inside game to shoot the 2 that well
going to go against a team that has won 4 in a row
Vermont -6
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One game I am looking at tomorrow is Marist at Georgia tech
Marist is on a nice winning streak, and they have played well on the road also, they are 3-0 ATS away and 2-0 as an away dog, and 3-1-1 ATS on 4+ days off, while g tech is 3-7 ATS on the year, and 2-5 ATS at home and as a favorite and yes they have not played in 10 days but they are 0-3 ATS on 4+ days off ...both teams avg about 72 pts a game and GT gives up 69, and Marist about 62 a game, Marist shoots better away in 3 pt shooting and 2 pt shooting and overall shooting than GT does at home both are about even in turnovers GT averages 14 at home and Marist 14 on the road Marist is forcing about 17 a game GT 8...much more to look into but so far I like what I am seeing , and getting 6.5 I like and Marist is +7.7 score margin on the road, GT is +8.5 at home
this is looking like a play I'd say look into it this line is tricky, it may mgo down but up I think I am playing it , we will look more , Marist has won 5 straight now GT has played a better schedule , but its still worth looking into
Marist +7
Delaware -9
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Had to redo whole write up on Delaware game fkn site is fucked up
anyway Rider at Delaware looking at this game , Delaware is by far the better shooting team here, their effective shooting is 54% to 38% for Rider, they shoot the 3 at 38% to 27% for Rider...they shoot the 2 at 50% to 37% for Rider, their overall shooting is 46% to 34%, ...Delaware is avg 70 pts a game and they give up 75, Rider is averaging just 55 pts a game and gives up 77, both teams take about 56 shots a game and rider is avg 19 made shots and about and Delaware makes an avg of 25, Delaware makes about 5 more 3's a game also, also Delaware averages fewer to's and fouls....Riders avg score margin away is -26 pts , they avg 56 pts and give up 83...also Delaware is averaging 14 assist and 16 at home and Rider is avg 7 assist and 7 away....riders assist to turnover ratio is 0.484 Delawares is 1.195 there is a lot here , both teams lost to Bucknell , Delaware the 1st game of the year 70-78 Rider just the last game where they scored just 38 pts and lost 38-51 I just think Delaware could have a big win here they are 4-1 ATS after a loss Rider is 1-5-1 as a dog 1-4-1 away
Delaware -9
Marist is on a nice winning streak, and they have played well on the road also, they are 3-0 ATS away and 2-0 as an away dog, and 3-1-1 ATS on 4+ days off, while g tech is 3-7 ATS on the year, and 2-5 ATS at home and as a favorite and yes they have not played in 10 days but they are 0-3 ATS on 4+ days off ...both teams avg about 72 pts a game and GT gives up 69, and Marist about 62 a game, Marist shoots better away in 3 pt shooting and 2 pt shooting and overall shooting than GT does at home both are about even in turnovers GT averages 14 at home and Marist 14 on the road Marist is forcing about 17 a game GT 8...much more to look into but so far I like what I am seeing , and getting 6.5 I like and Marist is +7.7 score margin on the road, GT is +8.5 at home
this is looking like a play I'd say look into it this line is tricky, it may mgo down but up I think I am playing it , we will look more , Marist has won 5 straight now GT has played a better schedule , but its still worth looking into
Marist +7
Delaware -9
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Had to redo whole write up on Delaware game fkn site is fucked up
anyway Rider at Delaware looking at this game , Delaware is by far the better shooting team here, their effective shooting is 54% to 38% for Rider, they shoot the 3 at 38% to 27% for Rider...they shoot the 2 at 50% to 37% for Rider, their overall shooting is 46% to 34%, ...Delaware is avg 70 pts a game and they give up 75, Rider is averaging just 55 pts a game and gives up 77, both teams take about 56 shots a game and rider is avg 19 made shots and about and Delaware makes an avg of 25, Delaware makes about 5 more 3's a game also, also Delaware averages fewer to's and fouls....Riders avg score margin away is -26 pts , they avg 56 pts and give up 83...also Delaware is averaging 14 assist and 16 at home and Rider is avg 7 assist and 7 away....riders assist to turnover ratio is 0.484 Delawares is 1.195 there is a lot here , both teams lost to Bucknell , Delaware the 1st game of the year 70-78 Rider just the last game where they scored just 38 pts and lost 38-51 I just think Delaware could have a big win here they are 4-1 ATS after a loss Rider is 1-5-1 as a dog 1-4-1 away
Delaware -9
going to go ahead and buy Dayton down to 6 they were 6.5 I hate those half points but I do think Dayton can get a 10+ pt win here, fla st has struggled lately, and Dayton can be a tuff place to play, Daytons last 3 games they have a +9 score margin and at home they have a +19 score margin this year ...fla st has a -15 score margin away this year, and Dayton much better team with assist, and their turnover/assist ratio is 1.754 and fla st's is 0.860 , fla st is avg between 14 and 15 turnovers on the road this year, and Dayton is avg 9 at home and forcing 14, Dayton is shooting the 2 at 65% at home and fla st is shooting the 2 at 47% away and over all shooting for Dayton at home is 51% to 36% away for fla st, ....and averaging 9 blocks and 10 steals a game at home should help, seeing a 10+ pt win here for Dayton unless they shoot poorly, we never know how teams will shoot that's why we go by averages , as they use when making a point spread, to be honest I always think its best to handicapp the same way they do to make a point spread ,
Dayton -6
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Dayton -6
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