NCAA HOOPS ((( 151 )))

[one51rum]

also going offshore to get Marist -5 I do like this team this year, and every year there are teams that just end up covering, they will go on nice runs where they cover many in a row and those can make your season if ya happen to get on them when they start their runs, not sure if Marist is one, but I was on them at Dartmouth as a 2 pt dog they won by 19, I like them here vs Harvard at home, actually Marist should be 3-0 they lost by 4 at Xavier and again covered, but they lost that game even though they shot 48% to 34% for Xavier Xavier took 9 more shots and 7 more ft's because Marist had 18 to's to 11 and Xavier made 6 more ft's and took 7 more , Marist is giving up just 61 pts a game so maybe you under bettors should look at this one, total is just 129.5 I think at home they get this win its going to be close unless they somehow hold them to under 62 but I am seeing a 73-64 type of game



Marist -5

 

[one51rum]

this Wagner at UMBC game is interesting line is 7 but this Wagner team has played well, they played with Seton Hall and almost won and then lost by 2 to Fordham , Wagner plays a slower game as they avg just 65 pts but they are making 10 3's a game , both teams are shooting 40% or better from 3 , Wagner does get about 9.5 offensive reb's a game to 7 for UMBC this could be a close game actually going to use them in a teaser 2 dogs

Wagner +11.5/Kennesaw st +11.5 teaser 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

hell with it I am taking S Dakota again here, W Michigan does have a good duo of players in Griffith and Brewer and they can rebound, but they did lose to Campbell on the road in a game where there was 173 pts scored I kind of favor the over here also, I think SD gets 90+ but would rather lay -3.5 -120 ...



SD 93-84 SD -3.5

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

samford -6.5

 

[one51rum]

sorry for not posting here last night went 4-2 and won my only teaser plays all were posted at covers , so I'll post everything I have posted so far, some are just thoughts
11-18



well coming off a 4-2 night, and hit the one teaser I played so good night, made money Mich st vs KY in NY I am going to go with Michigan st +5.5 bet this earlier, really have no huge reasoning except I am a IZZO believer, this guy can coach and has been doing it at the highest level for the longest time, it seems every year he does well, and its with no super stars, no one and dones, he finds tuff players, and he gets them to play as a team, KY is good, they have a few who are expected to go right onto the NBA, but I'll go with Michigan st here, no thought

Mich st +5.5

just some thinking out loud here...Troy has been on a west coast run, and they have lost both games so far, after winning at Kent st, and at Furman, then playing a nobody at home, they go out west, lose to Loyola 63-74, then lose to C st North 85-94 now they go to SD st , SD st had won both games at home winning by 32 to long Beach and then by 16 vs Idaho st, now they are -15.5 vs Troy, Now Troy is not a bad team by any means, early in the year its hard for teams to travel out west or out east for a week to 10 days and do well, but I do think 15.5 is a lot...just my opinion, but also this is the 3rd game in a row out there so ......

also here's a tuff one to cap, Abilene Christian at Texas st Texas st-2 these 2 are identical in all stats , take a look

also Xavier has been struggling this year to cover, or even win as they are 0-4 ATS this year and 0-3 ATS at home, but ODU is also 0-3 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS away, I mean Xavier only beat Marist by 4 and they beat Lemoyne by just 5 and both at home, but ODU is shooting better than xavier, 42% to 37% and they are shooting the 3 a little better 33% to 32%, effective shooting is better 49% to 44.7%, ft shooting is better 74% to 69%, they each take about the same amount of shots with ODU averaging 2 more made shots, they are even on made 3's a game, ODU is averaging 3 more to's a game 14 to 11....one thing is ODU is avg 39 pts in 1st half to just 30 for Xavier anyway Xavier is -10.5 and my thought is that that seems a bit much for a team that is having problems covering .....again just thinking here....lol gl 151

 

[indiana]

R/151....nicely done (Mon.) buddy.....
continue those winning ways tonight .........indy

 

[one51rum]

ODU +11.5 -130 I am just grabbing an extra points I do not think 10.5 loses but its only extra juice if you lose so relax

 

[one51rum]

taking Boston U +6.5 vs Columbia Boston U is shooting really well , making almost 10 3's a game , also in this game the total is 144, I do think this has a good shot at going Over, I think Columbia wants to get to 80, and Boston would rather keep this around 72 , but they don't mind playing in the mid to high 70's may use the over in a teaser or a parlay, but will grab 6.5 at -115 they do not want to give 7.5 as that is -145

Boston U +6.5 and a big lean to the oVER


also going to go with Stephen F Austin again , this time on the road at Fresno st...I think this SFA team is very good, I have been on them 3 times and they have covered 3 times, averaging 82 pts a game and giving up just 66, and they have been getting ahead in the 1st half of games too as they avg 39 pts in 1st half, Fresno is avg 31, SFA has an effective shooting % of 57.4 they are shooting the 3 at 44% so far, and holding teams to 25%, and Fresno is at 33% and they hold teams to 31%, they are avg 59 shots a game making 28, and Fresno is avg 54 and making 24..they are making 4 more 3's a game than Fresno, and are avg 5.7 blocks a game this year, and SFA just came off a very good battle with Abilene Christian, as they won by 10 but it was what they needed I think with lots of lead changes, their player Jerald Colonel is 2nd in the nation in blocks with 17 already, and they are climbing in the mid major top 25, they have lots of scoring this year, their player Narit chotikavanic shot 80% from 3 making 8 of 10, and they had the player of the week in their conference Keon Thompson I'll lay 2.5 here at -120 Hardrock



SFA -2.5 -120

 

[one51rum]

do favor Kent st tonight, or maybe the OVER, their TT is 85.5 only worry I have is that this is their 3rd game in 4 days, EKY gave up 92 at Vandy and 87 at home to WKY, so I think Kent st should score over 86 but ya never know how tired they are , they scored 102 vs Clev st on the 15th and then scored 76 vs wright st on the 16th both on neutral court, now at home where they can score a lot....just thinking out loud

 

[one51rum]

going to take Santa Clara tonight -14.5 at home vs Idaho st, this Santa Clara team is a good team, averaging 88 pts a game and giving up just 72, while Idaho st is averaging 67 pts a game and giving up 72, Santa Clara is shooting 51.8% and their effective shooting is close to 60%, and they are shooting the 3 at 42%, and Idaho st is giving up 44% from 3, but what I like the most is they are avg 20 assist a game to 12 for Idaho st, at home its 22.5 assist, anytime your turnover to assist ratio is 1.7 that's good, and Idaho states is 0.9 , and they are avg 15 offensive boards a game at home, but they do need to get better at ft's they only shoot 61% but Idaho st is not much better, I think they get this by 19+ tonight I think a 1st half play would be worth a shot also at ike -8 to 9

Santa clara -14.5 -115
I see so many games that I think are worth a shot...lol will be putting a parlay together for sure tonight

 

[one51rum]

A OVER I think that may be worth taking is ECU at NC Wilmington the total is 143 UNCW is taking 66 shots a game and ECU 60 and UNCW is making 26.5 and ECU 27 now they both take about 20 3's a game but they each only make like 5 that's they key thing, over 60 shots a game shows a decent tempo, and they both do that, if they ever hit like 40% from 3 this could go way over, and ECU is avg 36 ft's a game making 24 and UNCW is avg 23 ft's making 17 so they could have 35-40 pts in ft's between them just throwing this out there want to see how totals are made. 53 shots 106, add 10 for the 10 3's made 116 35 for ft's made 151 if they avg what they have been this should go over

well I am adding over 143 ECU/UNCW went off shore to not have the half pt....ECU is avg 82 pts a game and giving up 88, UNCW avg 75 pts a game and givees up 73 too many things point to an OVER in this game sure it can lose, but when capping you have to find how many things point your way this one has a lot of them gl



Over 143 ECU/UNCW

PLAYS IN

Michigan st +5.5
ODU +11.5
Santa Clara -14.5
Boston U +6.5
SFA -2.5
OVER 143 ECU/UNCW
gl 151 3 dogs 2 fav's and a total

 

[one51rum]

3-3 here last night

well 4-3 last night not counting the over TT on Mich st because I posted it 4 mins into the game, was smart enough last night when Troy was up early to take them +6.5 live does not count could not believe they were +15.5 at SD st that line was wayyyy off



4-3 YTD 57-34 lost my teaser so 8-3 on teasers 1-4 on plays I put in parlays 27-12 on parlay plays 5-7 on parlays

tonight I am going to go OVER 157 Mich/MTSU I know Michigan wants to score, they do want games into the mid 80's if not higher, well MTSU I think also wants that, I think MTSU should be able to hit the 73-75 + mark, if Michigan can get to high 80's even 90 its going to help, a also think maybe MTSU could cover this, they do have a all conf 1st team player in Lands, and J Carter and Sean Smith are both pretty good, its a lot of points but the over is where I am going

OVER 157 Mich/MTSU

 

[one51rum]

going to go Under 136.5 in the s.alabama/Jax st game, looking at this I just do not see anyone getting to 70, this looks like a 66-62 style of game, I do hate unders but I do not mind trying them, and this one seems to fit



Under 136.5 Jax st game

going to go OVER 153.5 in the Arizona/U Conn game ...Arizona only scored 69 last game but that was against UCLA who wants their games lower scoring, U Conn has no problem scoring , they would rather play in the higher 80's, they avg 91 a game, and the only reason I think this total is 153-154 is because I think they think U Conn wins this big, the line is 6.5 , so they are looking at a 80-73 type of game, well I think U Conn gets over that, their TT is 80.5, so is Arizona going to try and change their style? maybe but I think U Conn will force them to play a little faster, I see this as a 86-76 type of game, blowout win by U Conn? 91-76



OVER 153.5 Ariz/U Conn

 

[one51rum]

some thoughts and a play

yes it does, Toledo is actually the better shooting team of the 2, there are a lot of OVERS I am liking tonight Belmont game, Temple game , UC Irvine game but it has went up 4 pts its at 150 now , Toledo a lot of them

I also am liking Belmont -12.5 over Lipscomb, Belmont has been playing really well, why do I like them?? well Belmont is averaging 83 pts a game and they are giving up just 67 +16 and Lipscomb is avg 67 and giving up 89, -22 avg score margin for Lipscomb is -21 and Belmont its +15.7 Lipscomb's effective shooting is 44% Belmont's is 57%, shooting % is 37.6% for Lipscomb and 51.4% for Belmont...Lipscomb shoots the 3 at 27% and Belmont 32% shooting the 2 Lipscomb is at 47% and Belmont 63%...LIP is making just over 23 fg's a game and Belmont is 29 a game, Lipscomb is the better ft shooting team 86% to 68% they avg 14 and make 12, Belmont averages 25 a game making 17 ...1st half scoring Lipscomb 28 pts giving up 43 Belmont 38 points giving up 36 was liking Belmont 1st half maybe too -6.5

also liking the OVER in the N Fla/Wofford game and also Wofford -11 ..both these teams have very bad defenses, N Fla is avg 65 pts a game and giving up 101, while Wofford is avg 72 and giving up 81 ...Wofford much better shooting team 41% to 34% 3 pt 33% to 27% 2 pt 49.6% to 43% Wofford commits 3 fewer to's and 5 fewer fouls , and for some reason N Fla is only averaging 7 assist a game this year and Wofford over 15 assist

Bethune Ohio game is another that should go OVer 157 Bethune cookman put up 82 at dayton and 90 at Auburn, and Ohio should be able to get over 80, their TT is 81.5, and Bethune's is 75.5 I am going to go OVER 156.5 OHIO game and maybe use the team totals in a parlay maybe
OVER 156.5 OHIO U

 

[maddog1987]

going to go Under 136.5 in the s.alabama/Jax st game, looking at this I just do not see anyone getting to 70, this looks like a 66-62 style of game, I do hate unders but I do not mind trying them, and this one seems to fit



Under 136.5 Jax st game

going to go OVER 153.5 in the Arizona/U Conn game ...Arizona only scored 69 last game but that was against UCLA who wants their games lower scoring, U Conn has no problem scoring , they would rather play in the higher 80's, they avg 91 a game, and the only reason I think this total is 153-154 is because I think they think U Conn wins this big, the line is 6.5 , so they are looking at a 80-73 type of game, well I think U Conn gets over that, their TT is 80.5, so is Arizona going to try and change their style? maybe but I think U Conn will force them to play a little faster, I see this as a 86-76 type of game, blowout win by U Conn? 91-76



OVER 153.5 Ariz/U Conn

No arguments on your comments but ARZ Tempo is already faster than CONN according to Kenpom

 

[one51rum]

going to go back on the Troy train and grab them +19.5 , they pulled out a 1 point win at Fresno, I just think they have the players to stay close here, again a 19.5 pt spread to a decent team....



C Michigan at home -3.5 vs N Ky this NK team is averaging just 59 pts a game, they shoot ft's at under 60% , C Mich should win this by 9+ they way they beat App st at home was enough for me to play them

This LIU team is a very good team this year, and they have shown they can play on the road also with 2 road wins, and Fordham just beat Wagner, but Wagner is not bad really, but they did lose at home to NJIT I just have to go with LIU here on the road +4

might be falling for the but I am going over 154.5 in the Memphis/Purdue game, I think Purdue could hit 87-90 , and that points to a big Purdue win, which I do think they cover , just hoping Memphis can get to 70, may have to back it up with a Purdue play just in case cause they could win 87-65 and have an under

troy+19.5

LIU+4

C Mich -3.5

Over 154.5 Purdue
UCF+2

also like Miss st, and maybe Texas tech

gl 151

 

[indiana]

R/151,,,,,,BOL with tonight's action......indy

 

[one51rum]

straight up plays



Steven f Austin W

over 150 s.car W

Hampton +2.5 thank you for buying W

StoneHill W

Coastal Carolina W

Montana st W

SIUE L 6-1 on just posted plays



Live over 172.5 Oakland W

Over 159.5 Butler W

Northwestern +3.5 foul shooting contest

lose a parlay with s,Alabama because a team finds it important to foul when they are down 6 with 8 seconds left

 

[one51rum]

I know it tipped but Wagner +26.5/Boston U +5.5 parlay paying +194 bought 1 on Boston

 

[one51rum]

over 153 UIC/S IND
Coastal Car-3