NBA Systems 2014/15

[rolltide]

sat:
Atlanta -3
Charlotte team total under 97
Ind/Por over 192.5
Memphis -10
LA Clippers -6
Detroit +5.5
Det/Sac over 195

Current Record: 79-60 (56.8%)
Sides: 45-32 (58.4%)
Totals: 34-28 (54.8%)


sunday:

PLAY ON midseason away dog, bad team off noncover, vs winning team off cover. 155-78-4 ATS, 7-2 (on Utah +11)


two team specifics for a bet:
Nuggets just 4-11 ATS home unrested vs rested opponent while Spurs 9-3 ATS away rested vs unrested home team. Nuggets also failed to cover 16 straight games after losing a game they led by DD and playing following night. (on Spurs -4.5)

 

[Biz]

39: OPPOSE Game 11+ lightly rested away fav vs decent team - New Orleans +5.5
ATS: 39-75-2 (34.2%)

25: UNDER divisional game after divisional away win - Toronto/New York Under 200
O/U: 16-34-2 (32%)

40: OPPOSE Game 15+ 4 in 5 home vs unrested - San Antonio -4.5
166-274-12 (37.7%)

 

[DT32]

Oppose home dog after a win where they were outrebounded (29-72) - Bulls -4, Raptors -7

 

[tripleh]

59 UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest (51 unders - 22 overs, 4-4 in 2014) Play on Port/SA Under 195.5

Team specific:
73 Sixers vs teams that steal and fast break -OPPOSE (29-11, 5-3 in 2014) Play on Boston
76 Blazers home vs unrested = home (better as HF) - not sure if Portland and maybe over qualify - need RT ruling here

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non cover VS home off cover - Boston -5
ATS: 131-72-4 (64.5%)

36: OPPOSE single digit dog VS opponent off div home fav loss - Boston -5
ATS: 35-66-2 (34.7%)

 

[rolltide]

76 Blazers home vs unrested = home (better as HF) - not sure if Portland and maybe over qualify - need RT ruling here

yes would qualify, up to you guys if you want to skip since line jumped from -5 to -8

 

[tripleh]

Just tried a query for Home favorites off OT win with no rest - 16-32. If the opponent had one day of rest or more, the home favorite is 4-19. If you liked this, then Orlando would be a play vs Toronto.

 

[rolltide]

sun:
Utah +11
SAS -4.5
TOR/NYK u200
NO +5.5
Tor -7
Bulls -4

Current Record: 83-62 (57.2%)
Sides: 48-34 (58.5%)
Totals: 35-28 (55.5%)

 

[rolltide]

Just tried a query for Home favorites off OT win with no rest - 16-32. If the opponent had one day of rest or more, the home favorite is 4-19. If you liked this, then Orlando would be a play vs Toronto.

you can open that up quite a bit without dropping much in %...

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0
SU: 72-99 (-2.13, 42.1%) ATS: 63-104-4 (-2.58, 37.7%) avg line: -0.5 O/U: 83-87-1 (-0.01, 48.8%) avg total: 194.9 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.57 43.9 18.72 76.9 6.51 34.7 4.86 11.91 42.25 21.05 20.71 13.56 24.3 23.7 23.5 24.0 96.4 Opp 36.95 45.6 18.43 75.5 6.18 36.0 4.94 11.48 41.99 21.42 21.47 13.01 25.5 23.9 24.1 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and P:W
SU: 46-60 (-2.60, 43.4%) ATS: 36-67-3 (-3.58, 35.0%) avg line: -1.0 O/U: 52-54-0 (-0.25, 49.1%) avg total: 194.5 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.37 43.5 18.58 77.1 6.49 34.2 4.78 11.78 41.92 20.78 20.42 13.26 23.8 23.8 23.2 24.2 95.8 Opp 37.12 45.9 18.11 74.9 6.05 36.4 5.27 11.53 42.53 21.23 21.12 13.08 25.7 23.7 24.1 24.1 98.4 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and p:A
SU: 52-62 (-1.08, 45.6%) ATS: 39-72-3 (-2.86, 35.1%) avg line: -1.8 O/U: 55-59-0 (0.26, 48.2%) avg total: 195.6 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.01 44.3 18.83 76.5 6.54 34.7 5.04 12.22 42.60 21.01 21.20 13.54 24.5 24.1 23.6 24.1 97.4 Opp 37.09 45.6 18.20 74.3 6.10 35.5 4.89 11.74 42.14 21.68 21.07 13.00 25.2 24.2 23.8 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and p:A and P:W
SU: 31-36 (-2.00, 46.3%) ATS: 21-43-3 (-4.06, 32.8%) avg line: -2.1 O/U: 31-36-0 (-0.45, 46.3%) avg total: 195.5 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.75 43.9 18.51 76.9 6.54 33.3 4.93 12.10 42.01 20.72 20.67 13.15 24.0 24.3 23.3 23.9 96.5 Opp 37.39 46.0 17.84 73.5 5.93 35.6 5.24 11.93 43.04 21.55 20.64 13.15 25.4 24.2 23.9 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[Grindstone30]

Looks like Orl is a great play and I'm heavily leaning that way. You guys playing it?

 

[rolltide]

looks like nothing from DT so we'll go with:


mon:
Boston -5
Portland -8
Orlando +7
POR/SAS under 195.5

 

[rolltide]

Looks like Orl is a great play and I'm heavily leaning that way. You guys playing it?

i'm not but it's definitely a strong enough system play to consider it and add to our daily tracking list

 

[tripleh]

Looks like Orl is a great play and I'm heavily leaning that way. You guys playing it?

I'm playing it, but you don't click on this thread to see what I'm doing.

 

[Grindstone30]

you can open that up quite a bit without dropping much in %...

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0
SU: 72-99 (-2.13, 42.1%) ATS: 63-104-4 (-2.58, 37.7%) avg line: -0.5 O/U: 83-87-1 (-0.01, 48.8%) avg total: 194.9 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.57 43.9 18.72 76.9 6.51 34.7 4.86 11.91 42.25 21.05 20.71 13.56 24.3 23.7 23.5 24.0 96.4 Opp 36.95 45.6 18.43 75.5 6.18 36.0 4.94 11.48 41.99 21.42 21.47 13.01 25.5 23.9 24.1 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and P:W
SU: 46-60 (-2.60, 43.4%) ATS: 36-67-3 (-3.58, 35.0%) avg line: -1.0 O/U: 52-54-0 (-0.25, 49.1%) avg total: 194.5 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.37 43.5 18.58 77.1 6.49 34.2 4.78 11.78 41.92 20.78 20.42 13.26 23.8 23.8 23.2 24.2 95.8 Opp 37.12 45.9 18.11 74.9 6.05 36.4 5.27 11.53 42.53 21.23 21.12 13.08 25.7 23.7 24.1 24.1 98.4 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and p:A
SU: 52-62 (-1.08, 45.6%) ATS: 39-72-3 (-2.86, 35.1%) avg line: -1.8 O/U: 55-59-0 (0.26, 48.2%) avg total: 195.6 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.01 44.3 18.83 76.5 6.54 34.7 5.04 12.22 42.60 21.01 21.20 13.54 24.5 24.1 23.6 24.1 97.4 Opp 37.09 45.6 18.20 74.3 6.10 35.5 4.89 11.74 42.14 21.68 21.07 13.00 25.2 24.2 23.8 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

or

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and p:A and P:W
SU: 31-36 (-2.00, 46.3%) ATS: 21-43-3 (-4.06, 32.8%) avg line: -2.1 O/U: 31-36-0 (-0.45, 46.3%) avg total: 195.5 <tbody> </tbody>
FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.75 43.9 18.51 76.9 6.54 33.3 4.93 12.10 42.01 20.72 20.67 13.15 24.0 24.3 23.3 23.9 96.5 Opp 37.39 46.0 17.84 73.5 5.93 35.6 5.24 11.93 43.04 21.55 20.64 13.15 25.4 24.2 23.9 24.1 98.5 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 15, 2014 recap Mon 2014 Raptors Magic home 0&1 -7.0 196.0 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

Rolltide trying to understand the language here

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 ( Means line less than 8, played OT and ​

p:W???​

rest=0 (no rest) what is p:w

not sure what these are​

​

p:A and P:W??? I know the site where this comes from ,would love to know the lingo. Thanks for your help

​

 

[rolltide]

Rolltide trying to understand the language here

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 ( Means line less than 8, played OT and ​

p:W???​

rest=0 (no rest) what is p:w

not sure what these are
p:A and P:W??? I know the site where this comes from ,would love to know the lingo. Thanks for your help​

p:W means the team that went to OT won the game last night

P:W means they won previous h2h vs today's opponent

so...

line < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and rest = 0 and p:A and P:W

means team won (p:W) in OT (pvertime>0) on road (p:A) yesterday, are either favorites or dogs up to 7.5 points tonight and facing a team they beat last meeting (P:W)​

 

[Grindstone30]

what's P:A??? Do you put in your own queries???

 

[DT32]

sun:
Utah +11
SAS -4.5
TOR/NYK u200
NO +5.5
Tor -7
Bulls -4

Current Record: 83-62 (57.2%)
Sides: 48-34 (58.5%)
Totals: 35-28 (55.5%)

Good stuff so far! Totals really coming around lately. Nothing from my list today.

 

[rolltide]

what's P:A??? Do you put in your own queries???

what's with all those question marks...you yelling at me for the answer? :think2: - trying to answer you the best i can

P:A means last h2h meeting was played at opponent
p:A= previously away (played last game away)

"Do you put in your own queries" = not quite sure what you're asking. for NBA there are 3 guys....hhh, dt32, and biz...who are kindly dividing up my normal daily query list. i have a few new ones I'm doing each day but they have the daily stuff for nba. every other sport i do them myself

 

[ILoveToWin]

People seem to be taking the Spurs as line moved from +12 to +8. Good luck with Portland play, I'll try my luck on Spurs +9.5.

 

[Grindstone30]

what's with all those question marks...you yelling at me for the answer? :think2: - trying to answer you the best i can

P:A means last h2h meeting was played at opponent
p:A= previously away (played last game away)

"Do you put in your own queries" = not quite sure what you're asking. for NBA there are 3 guys....hhh, dt32, and biz...who are kindly dividing up my normal daily query list. i have a few new ones I'm doing each day but they have the daily stuff for nba. every other sport i do them myself

No not at all sorry for the extra ? my bad thanks for all your help. Much appreciated