My Horse Thread

PacMan_2006 · Sep 9, 2006

September 8, 2006 - PM Results

Little on the rough side this evening as only one selection cashed (naturally the last race :lolBIG: )

Here's the results:
HOO 4/ 3 ( 5/10/15)===>wrong, 5th
HOO 5/ 4 (10/15/25) ===>wrong, 9th
HOO 5/ 6 (4/16/30)===>wrong, 7th
HOO 10/ 1 (7/14/29)===>wrong, 8th
HOO 11/ 3 (7/14/29)===>CORRECT, 1st paying $9.00, $4.20 & $3.40 :103631605

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 24
+/- $: +$1,291.15

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 17, 2006

Time to Start Studying

and if you think I'm joking/kidding, I am not. One of the files prints 113 pages - got enough ink? A little over a month and counting. Time to begin focussing on the year's best day.

http://letitride.com/na_free_pps.html

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 19, 2006

Deleware Park, Race 8 for September 19, 2006

Going to take a shot on number four, More Than Fast, with a five (w), ten (pl) and twenty-five (sh) dollar wager. Race is slated for three fifty-four this afternoon.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 19, 2006

Result For Today

Not in the top three.

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 25
+/- $: +$1,251.15

PacMan_2006 · Sep 21, 2006

09.21.06

CRC 8/ #7 Rgirl...f, 100/0/0 if even or better 2mtp
CRC 8/ #7 Rgirl...f, 50/50/400 if less than even 2mtp

Others that caught my attention are:
1/ Lilibet
2/ Shimmering Crystal
3/ Relentless Barbara, Ladyinblue and Heavenly Manner
4/ Declaration
5/ Stag Night (MTO)

BOL to all,

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 21, 2006

Results 09.21.06

CRC 8/ #7 Rgirl...f, 100/0/0 if even or better 2mtp
==>1st, $4.00,$2.80,$2.40 (+$100 from the wager) :103631605

CRC 8/ #7 Rgirl...f, 50/50/400 if less than even 2mtp==> N/A

Others that caught my attention are:
1/ Lilibet===>6th, raced wide entire race
2/ Shimmering Crystal===>1st, $5.20,$3.40,$2.80; easily handles 7f next
3/ Relentless Barbara===>3rd, $2.40; play again next race
3/ Ladyinblue===>2nd, $2.60,$2.40; needs 1 pole shorter
3/ Heavenly Manner===>4th; play again next race
4/ Declaration===>1st, $3.00,$2.60,$2.10; missed the break next but won
5/ Stag Night (MTO)===>6th, put in watch list, check works 4 next race

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 26
+/- $: +$1,351.15

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 25, 2006

For Monday the 25

Time to start grinding it out. :103631605

CRC
2/ 4 (2/4/24)
3/ 4 (2/4/24)
8/ 5 (2/4/24)
9/ 6 (2/4/24)
Risking a total of $120

GLD
1/ 2 (2/4/24)
2/ 1A (2/4/24)
6/ 9 (2/4/24)
7/ 6 (2/4/24)
Risking a total of $120

Total risked for the day/night $240

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 25, 2006

Results 09.25.06 - AM & PM

CRC
2/ 4 (2/4/24)===>3rd paying $3.00, returning $36.00 making $6.00
3/ 4 (2/4/24)===>Scratches in the race, +$6.00
8/ 5 (2/4/24)===>Scratches in the race, +$6.00
9/ 6 (2/4/24)===>Scratch in the race, +$6.00
Risking a total of $120

GLD
1/ 2 (2/4/24)===>Scratch in the race, +$6.00
2/ 1A (2/4/24)===>Scratched
6/ 9 (2/4/24)===>Scratch in the race, +$6.00 (2nd paying $3.00 & $2.60)
7/ 6 (2/4/24) ===>2nd paying $6.20 & $3.00, returning $48.40, making
================>$18.40 from the race and up $31.60 for the selections

Risking a total of $120
Total risked for the day/night $240

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 28
+/- $: +$1,382.75

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 26, 2006

09.26.06 AM Track

KD
1/ 7 (2/4/24) [$30]
2/ $2 ex box: 3,4,5,8 [$24]
2/ $2 tri: 4,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 [$24]
2/ $1 sup: 4,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 [$12]
4/ 20/0/0 on 1,6 and 8 IF ALL THREE ARE 5/2 of BETTER (2mtp) [$60]
6/ 20/0/0 on 1,2 and 3 IF ALL THREE ARE 5/2 of BETTER (2mtp) [$60]
8/ $2 tri: 3,4 with 3,4,8,10 with 3,4,8,10 [$24]
8/ $1 sup: 8,10 with 3,4,8,10 with 3,4,8,10 3,4,8,10 [$12]
10/ Playing the 5 and the 6 at the other's odds and adding a zero
to the wager. For clarity, the ml's are 3:1 on number 5 and 6:1
on number 6; the wager would then be 60/0/0 on number 3 and 30/0/0
on number 6. One should try to wait as late as they can when making
this type of wager (1mtp or less) but you run the risk of being
shutout. For here, my wagers will be based upon 1 mtp.
11/ 8 (2/2/16) [$20]
12/ No wager for here but like the one and seven but haven't
come up with a wager for them (yet). This race is slated for a
five thirty-six (local time) P.M..

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acez29 · Sep 26, 2006

Thanks for the response in my thread.

Ok, so if there is any scratch in a race you have bet on, the whole race does not count, or you just never put your bet in for that race?

I, for example, put all of my bets in on Pinny at 12 noon EST yesterday. Pinny only cancelled one of my bets, whereas you had a bunch of bets cancelled it seems. Do you wait until right before the race, and if there have been any scratches, you do not put your bet through?

If this is the case, is there any setting on Pinny that would allow me to cancel bets due to scratches, or is this just the benefit of waiting until right before the race to place bets?

Thanks.
Acez29

Dead$$ · Sep 26, 2006

Acez... Not speaking for PacMan here, but when I'm playing the ponies, I like to assign odds to horses I'm watching. If the horses go below those odds, I'll almost always pass on the race. A few scratches in a race will rarely increase my horses expected odds.
Pinny doesn't have any settings like you mentioned.

PacMan_2006 · Sep 27, 2006

acez29 said:
Thanks for the response in my thread.

Ok, so if there is any scratch in a race you have bet on, the whole race does not count, or you just never put your bet in for that race?

I, for example, put all of my bets in on Pinny at 12 noon EST yesterday. Pinny only cancelled one of my bets, whereas you had a bunch of bets cancelled it seems. Do you wait until right before the race, and if there have been any scratches, you do not put your bet through?

If this is the case, is there any setting on Pinny that would allow me to cancel bets due to scratches, or is this just the benefit of waiting until right before the race to place bets?

Thanks.
Acez29

You are correct if there's any scratch for the races listed, there is no wager. Be it the chosen one(s) or others UNLESS I am here (on-line) wagering; scratches are no plays for here - remember what I list here is in advance of the scratches and have no control over he is/isn't heading to post.

Pinny is fine for on-line, as are youbet and other sportsbooks. If I'm not here wagering race by race, I'm either at the track listed or one close by (yes, sometimes I'll go to the dog track and wager the t'breds). One of the features youbet has is that they allow you to cancell any wagers PRIOR to the race going off (limitted number of time but better than none) if you placed you wagers earlier in the day and came back to watch the race and/or check the results.

There will be a time when I will do a few lives races and in those cases I'll know about the scrathes and can adjust the figures/calculations and post any adjustment(s) needed.

Thanks for reading and hope this helps.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 27, 2006

Dead$$ said:
Acez... Not speaking for PacMan here, but when I'm playing the ponies, I like to assign odds to horses I'm watching. If the horses go below those odds, I'll almost always pass on the race. A few scratches in a race will rarely increase my horses expected odds.
Pinny doesn't have any settings like you mentioned.

Having your own ml, value selections and rating system is a given/granted. Those who have been wagering this for a while should have an idea of what the odds. Most (all?) tracks have some sort of tv person who pick for that track. Alot of the sheep will follow those $4.00 (or less) winners pushing the price even lower - fine by me, give me 3+ win/place tickets (same amount each race) in which the winner pays double digits and I'll make some cash.

Scrathes are a tough issue for advance selections. If a horse gets scratched for whatever reason, the pace senerio will be effected. For example, you have two early speed tpyes in the race and one of them scratches. The track was been playing to the speed all day. This make that horse even more dangerous (lone early speed). This is why I keep it simple for record keeping here - if there's a scratch (any) in the race listed, it's not a play.

Thanks for reading and responding to the comments/questions.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 27, 2006

Results From KD

KD
1/ 7 (2/4/24) [$30]
===>Scratched

2/ $2 ex box: 3,4,5,8 [$24]
2/ $2 tri: 4,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 [$24]
2/ $1 sup: 4,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8 [$12]
===>3 & 4 scrathed

4/ 20/0/0 on 1,6 and 8 IF ALL THREE ARE 5/2 of BETTER (2mtp) [$60]
===>-$60 for the race
===>1 showed $5.40
===>6 missed by a nose, $20+ to place
===>8 was out

6/ 20/0/0 on 1,2 and 3 IF ALL THREE ARE 5/2 of BETTER (2mtp) [$60]
===>Scrathes in the race

8/ $2 tri: 3,4 with 3,4,8,10 with 3,4,8,10 [$24]
8/ $1 sup: 8,10 with 3,4,8,10 with 3,4,8,10 3,4,8,10 [$12]
===>Scrathes in the race

10/ Playing the 5 and the 6 at the other's odds and adding a zero
to the wager. For clarity, the ml's are 3:1 on number 5 and 6:1
on number 6; the wager would then be 60/0/0 on number 3 and 30/0/0
on number 6. One should try to wait as late as they can when making
this type of wager (1mtp or less) but you run the risk of being
shutout. For here, my wagers will be based upon 1 mtp.
===>6 scratched

11/ 8 (2/2/16) [$20]
===>Scrathes in the race (hoss won paying $18.80, $7.80 & $3.00)

12/ No wager for here but like the one and seven but haven't
come up with a wager for them (yet). This race is slated for a
five thirty-six (local time) P.M..
===>#1 was victorious paying $9.60, $4.60 & $2.40
===>#7 showed ($2.10)
===>This race does not count in the record since the wager type(s) were not listed.

So out of all those listed, only one goes in/on the records (the 4th).

Remember, a bad day a the track is far better than a good day at the office. :103631605

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 29
+/- $: +$1,322.75

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 27, 2006

For 09.28.06, AM Track

CRC
1/ 4 (5/10/35)
3/ 2 (5/10/35)
7/ 11 (5/10/35)
8/ 2 (5/10/35)

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 28, 2006

Results 09.28.06 - AM

Results 09.28.06

CRC
1/ 4 (5/10/35)===>Scratched
3/ 2 (5/10/35)===>Won paying $10.00, $4.00, $2.80
7/ 11 (5/10/35)===>Scratched
8/ 2 (5/10/35)===>Scratched

Today's one AM race made us $44.00.
Totals will be updated after the PM race.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 28, 2006

PM Wager for 09.28.06

PM Wager for 09.28.06

HOO
3/ #4 Quick Fuse (2/8/32)

Totals will be updated after the race this evening.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 28, 2006

Results PM Wager for 09.28.06

PM Wager for 09.28.06

HOO
3/ #4 Quick Fuse (2/8/32)===>Won paying $4.40, $2.80, $2.40

Tonight's one PM race made us $12.
The two races made us $56 for the day.
Totals will be updated shortly.

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 28, 2006

Records Post - Horse Thread

The overall records are listed below:
number of races: 31
+/- $: +$1,378.75

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PacMan_2006 · Sep 29, 2006

09.29.06 Horses - AM

Horses that I like today with wagers in parenthesis:

CRC
1/ 2 (2/4/24)
2/ AE Snow Cone
3/ 3
4/ 10
5/ 6
6/ 1 and 4
7/ 3 and 5
8/ 4 (20/40/240)
9/ 10
10/ 7

HOO is on tap for this evening.

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