Monday Service Play Thread 6/10/2019

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CleInsidersports

ADDED NBA GAME 5
Warriors/Raptors UNDER 215.5

**In Game 5, the UNDER is 17-3 after going under in game 4, but 70%+ is on the over the next game (5). It moves to 14-0 with line movement towards the OVER (opened at 212, now at 215.5)
 

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Seabass : 400 warriors , 300 dbacks , 400 Red Sox game under , 400 Red Sox RL, 400 cubs , 700 Mets game over
 

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DR. CHUCK

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (529) Golden State Warriors at (530) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Golden State Warriors -110

View Analysis

Back to the well with the back to the wall spot. Last game was a back to the wall figuratively situation technically....but for all intent and purpose felt like literally....now IT IS literally. Durant is in...Klay is 1 game healthier...and I actually think the news will cause an overreaction to KD and Steph to go nuts for close to 40 again!

Raptors are likely gonna win the series now...but if anyone was gonna come back from 3-1 (again) it will be by adding back KD for the final 3...the exact guy they obtained by doing this exact feat to the Thunder.



Starts tonight...

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (913) New York Mets at (914) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Yankees -189

View Analysis

Tanaka v. Vargas

Big price but excellent trend system in a spot that is very rare but we can play tonight....fading Vargas always works for me as well....double whammy

Game: (903) St. Louis Cardinals at (904) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -135

View Analysis

Wacha v. Alcantara

Can't say I'm too excited to be on the Cards here...Wacha is rough to back, Molina is out and a rookie catching Wacha, they aren't hitting much at all, and also played at night last night on the road and on no rest travel again for another road game. Oddly though....this is a spot the road team if favored is 14 od 21 for solid profit....and Alcantara has a hard time with lefties of which the Cards should have at least 4 going!
 

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DR. CHUCK


Game: (911) Oakland Athletics at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -0.5 (-155)

View Analysis

Tanner Anderson v. Morton

Oakland no rest get away day from Austin to Tampa....huge lead they did everything to give away but held on for a win...played 4 games in 3 days and are rewarded with the Rays at home who also played 4 games...but tonight are going with regular starter and stud of the rotation Charlie Morton while the A's are spot starting a kid from AAA with a 6/5 K/BB ratio basically in his 10 starts down below...with a 7.27/5.95 FIP/XFIP ratio and a 25+% HR/FB rate.

Morton has flat out been as good statistically as he has sabermetrically and this is such a solid spot for his rolling offense off whipping up on Boston pitching all weekend....I would be tempted to get a better price and lay a full run for the first 5 here!


 

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Killer Sources

Augie J - Cubs

Champagne - Rays LAD Red Sox under

Philly Guy - Phils STL LAD Braves


 

Let's go Brandon!
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Brandon Lang
Monday selection -
My 75 dime selection is the Raptors over the Warriors. The current line on this game is -1 1/2 in Vegas and offshore at 10:30 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

ANALYSIS

I am going to ride them to get the job done again tonight.
All I have heard since the Raptors game four win in Golden State is how Kevin Durant is going to ride in here at Toronto and save the day and win game 5.
Everyone in the media, everyone associated with the Warriors, all saying the same thing......With K.D, we are going to win game 5 and get back home.

WRONG. WRONG. WRONG.

To expect this man, after a month off, to just show up against this Raptors team, and play at an elite level is just ludicrous.
I am one of the few people who believe the Warriors have a better chance to win this game if he doesn't play than if he does.
Bottom line: The Warriors are more methodical in the half court set with him.
Listen, if he does play or doesn't, I've seen nothing during the regular season's 2 meetings and the 4 games so far in this series that tonight's result will be any different.
In both games Kevin Durant played against the Toronto Raptors this year, Toronto won. They will beat him and the Warriors again this evening.
And they will be your NBA champions after tonight.
These two teams have played a total of 6 games this year, one went to OT, one without Steph Curry, one without Kawhi and 4 without Durant.
It all adds up to 293 minutes of NBA basketball.
With the exception of a 6-minute span in the 3rd quarter of game 3 of this series, the Raptors have been the better team all year long.
Of all the teams the Warriors have feasted on the last 4 years they have finally found a team that has their number and believe me, the Raptors do.
The Raptors have the best all around player on the floor in Kawhi Leonard.
The Raptors have the advantage inside with Gasol and Siakim.
The Raptors have the better bench.
You add it all together and what you are seeing and what you should be understanding after 4 games is this: The Raptors are the better T-E-A-M.
Let me simplify this for you: The Toronto Raptors are to the Warriors what the New York Football Giants are to the New England Patriots.
Sometimes you run into a team you just don't match up with and that is 100% the case here and Kevin Durant won't be able to save them tonight.
Congrats to the Raptors and their fans. You are NBA Champions.
 

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What are they going to do? Pull the fire alarm so game is replayed?!?!
I’m not an expert but listen to plenty of Vegas pods and their liability is on GS

especially tonight where line has swung 4 points. They will be just fine if Toronto closes it out tonight
 

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For live betting

TheGameofTheYear

Golden State Warriors
Spread +3 (+100)
 

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