DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (905) Pittsburgh Pirates at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Pittsburgh Pirates 0.5 (-115)
View Analysis
Musgrove v. Gausman
These 2 teams AND pitchers just met last week...now they swap venues and get after it again in ATL. The Pirates won that contest and the series after getting the win in the 3rd game as well. They made Gausman look as bad as he'd looked in his previous start as well against the Nats. He is throwing beach balls up to the plate and with Josh Bell staring down the barrel of the bat 2 to 3 times in the first 5 innings and the wind blowing out tonight...could be rough. Gausman has struggled mightily avoiding hard contact in fact in the 2 bad straight starts he has in a row has allowed over 50% of all contact be hard contact.
Musgrove got the win in that game and while he wasn't crazy sharp at his best and got a bunch of help from his offense...he is getting the half run here in the first 5...went 8 last time out...conversely limiting the Braves hitters to under 30% hard contact and a lower flyball rate than his counterpart as well. He also. dominated the Braves with his changeup while Gausman basically lost the game with a no value slider and unlikely to have been able to improve too much since last outing!
Oddly enough...and we aren't going with a full game here but the Braves have been close to the worst statistical hitting team against righties at home for the past few weeks! -5.6 wRAA and .259wOBA with only 56 wRC+ since 5/22!
Amazing value with minimal juice and Pirates can tie to win after 5!
Game: (905) Pittsburgh Pirates at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jun 10 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Pittsburgh Pirates 0.5 (-115)
View Analysis
Musgrove v. Gausman
These 2 teams AND pitchers just met last week...now they swap venues and get after it again in ATL. The Pirates won that contest and the series after getting the win in the 3rd game as well. They made Gausman look as bad as he'd looked in his previous start as well against the Nats. He is throwing beach balls up to the plate and with Josh Bell staring down the barrel of the bat 2 to 3 times in the first 5 innings and the wind blowing out tonight...could be rough. Gausman has struggled mightily avoiding hard contact in fact in the 2 bad straight starts he has in a row has allowed over 50% of all contact be hard contact.
Musgrove got the win in that game and while he wasn't crazy sharp at his best and got a bunch of help from his offense...he is getting the half run here in the first 5...went 8 last time out...conversely limiting the Braves hitters to under 30% hard contact and a lower flyball rate than his counterpart as well. He also. dominated the Braves with his changeup while Gausman basically lost the game with a no value slider and unlikely to have been able to improve too much since last outing!
Oddly enough...and we aren't going with a full game here but the Braves have been close to the worst statistical hitting team against righties at home for the past few weeks! -5.6 wRAA and .259wOBA with only 56 wRC+ since 5/22!
Amazing value with minimal juice and Pirates can tie to win after 5!
