Monday 7/24/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: 4

#3 MOON TRAVELER (ML=7/2)


MOON TRAVELER - This gelding runs very well off of a vacation. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This horse has the highest in the group. I think he'll be close at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 EL KRACKEN (ML=9/5), #4 MOLTEN STEEL (ML=5/2), #2 FAITHFUL SERVANT (ML=6/1),

EL KRACKEN - That was just not a very good display in the last event. MOLTEN STEEL - No favorable outcomes for this horse in a short distance race over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult circumstance FAITHFUL SERVANT - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests of late. Doubtful to see him doing it this time out either. Finished fifth in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 MOON TRAVELER to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12100 Class Rating: 55

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 24 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 KRISTEN'S LIMITS 5/2

# 3 SUGAR PI SQUARED 3/1

# 1 SHE MY TRAP QUEEN 4/1

I like KRISTEN'S LIMITS here. Has run admirably when racing a dirt sprint race. With a solid rider who has won at a respectable 19 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. SUGAR PI SQUARED - Has run solidly when racing a dirt sprint race. Is a solid choice - given the 50 Equibase speed fig from her most recent race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6600 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 24, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ALOTTA ROAR 3/1

# 7 D'FOREST DIVA 8/1

# 5 INSPIRED VOYAGE 8/1

ALOTTA ROAR looks solid to best this field. Overall the speed figures of this horse look formidable in this race. Ran a sharp last race. Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 65 avg speed figure. D'FOREST DIVA - Ought to come out solid - I have liked the way this mare has moved swiftly to the lead recently. INSPIRED VOYAGE - With a sound 62 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me back this mare.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #8 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 4:55 PM EASTERN POST
The Caress Stakes
5½ FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#12 FAIR POINT
#6 PRETTY PERFECTION
#2 MISSISSIPPI DELTA
#5 RUBY NOTION

Named after the multiple-graded stakes winning mare trained by Hall of Famer H. Allen Jerkens. Caress, a daughter of Storm Cat, retired in 1996 with a record of 13-4-2 from 29 career starts, including victories in the Grade 3 Poker at Belmont Park as well as the Beaugay and Athenia, both Grade 3 events at Aqueduct Racetrack. Here in the 9th running of this stakes test, #12 FAIR POINT has turned in a quartet of "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in her last five outings, hitting the board in three of those "adventures," including "POWER RUN WINS" in both her 3rd and 5th races back. Jockey Jose Ortiz has been in her irons on 16 previous occasions, hitting the board in 12 of those races, winning 5 times, and is back this afternoon her in Elmont for another ride, gunning for a "double hat trick win!" #6 PRETTY PERFECTION, a 6-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her respective last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 4th and 5th races back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 5:10pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: 4

#6 SOUTHERN MISCHIEF (ML=5/2)


SOUTHERN MISCHIEF - Ran last time around the track against a better field at Santa Anita. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. This rider and handler have a high win percentage together. Just look at her last speed fig, 65. That one fits in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CLASS DISTINCTION (ML=3/1), #5 RIO BO (ML=7/2), #4 SEEKING A TRAINER (ML=6/1),

CLASS DISTINCTION - The Brain tells me to keep away from horses in sprint contests that haven't hit the board in short distance affairs recently. This less than sharp equine ran a quite unimpressive fig last time out. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that number. RIO BO - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the job completed occasionally. This filly recorded a speed rating in her last contest which probably isn't good enough in today's race. SEEKING A TRAINER - Hard to put your money on the win end of any mount that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does. Granted the last race was nice, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. Pedestrian speed figure last time out at Thistledown at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SOUTHERN MISCHIEF - One of the class angles that my buddy Solo and I play, is to look at the lifetime earnings per start. This thoroughbred is in the top spot in my book.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 SOUTHERN MISCHIEF is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with 4

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Valuline at Louisiana Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Louisiana Downs, Race 3 (Monday July 24, 2017)

CAROLINE CONQUEST
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

LAD-3 5.5f DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 12,500 F/M 3YUP $7,000
P# dd ex p3 p6 t s ML WP TVL

5 CAROLINE CONQUEST 6/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 MISS MISSISSIPPI 3/1 14% 6/1
3 SWIFTY CAT 7/2 14% 6/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 24


Cincinnati @ Cleveland

Game 975-976
July 24, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Adleman) 12.406
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 15.852
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-185
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-185); Over

Minnesota @ LA Dodgers

Game 973-974
July 24, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Colon) 14.547
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 16.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-240
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-240); Over

Miami @ Texas

Game 971-972
July 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Conley) 15.534
Texas
(Perez) 12.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-145
11
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+125); Under

Houston @ Philadelphia

Game 969-970
July 24, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Peacock) 18.099
Philadelphia
(Velsquez) 14.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-155); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

Game 967-968
July 24, 2017 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gnzalez) 13.085
Chicago Cubs
(Hendricks) 16.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-250
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-250); N/A

Boston @ Seattle

Game 965-966
July 24, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rodrguez) 16.099
Seattle
(Paxton) 14.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-150
8
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+130); Over

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 963-964
July 24, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 13.617
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.003
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-125); Under

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 961-962
July 24, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Hammel) 16.055
Detroit
(Verlnder) 14.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+130); Over

Oakland @ Toronto

Game 959-960
July 24, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Smith) 13.601
Toronto
(Liriano) 14.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-150); Under

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco

Game 957-958
July 24, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 13.253
San Francisco
(Cain) 14.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+135); Over

NY Mets @ San Diego

Game 955-956
July 24, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 15.282
San Diego
(Richard) 13.854
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-160); Under

Atlanta @ Arizona

Game 953-954
July 24, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Dickey) 14.477
Arizona
(Greinke) 16.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-185
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-185); Under

Colorado @ St. Louis

Game 951-952
July 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Senztela) 17.478
St. Louis
(Leake) 16.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+130); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Monday, July 24

National League
Rockies @ Cardinals
Senzatela is 2-1, 9.90 in his last four starts; his lat five starts went over. Colorado is 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-3-2

Leake is 0-2, 14.34 in his last three starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. St Louis is 3-7 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-3

Rockies won six of last seven games; over is 8-1 in their last nine. Colorado is 2-6 in last eight road series openers. St Louis lost four of its last five games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 11 games. Cardinals are 8-9 in home series openers.

Braves @ Diamondbacks
Dickey is 2-1, 1.80 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Braves are 3-5 in their road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Greinke is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five. Arizona is 11-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Braves lost five of last seven games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five. Atlanta is 11-2 in last 13 road series openers. Arizona lost four of last five home games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight. Snakes are 11-5 in home series openers.

Mets @ Padres
deGrom is 7-0, 1.84 in his last seven starts, last three of which went over. New York is 6-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-5-1

Richard is 0-3, 10.53 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. San Diego is 4-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-1

Mets won four of last five games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. New York is 3-7 in last ten road series openers. San Diego won three of last four games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Padres are 10-6 in home series openers.

Pirates @ Giants
Cole is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Pirates won his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-11-5

Cain is 0-7, 5.12 in his last ten starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Giants are 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-12-1

Pirates are 12-4 in last 16 games, but lost last two; under is 18-4-1 in their last 23 games. Bucs are 6-10 in road series openers. Giants lost three of last four games; over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games. SF is 5-10 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
A’s @ Blue Jays
Smith is 0-0, 3.46 in two starts (under 2-0). Road team won both his starts— Oakland’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0-1

Liriano is 1-2, 9.19 in his last four starts; over is 9-2 in his last 11 starts. Blue Jays are 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-6-3

Oakland lost four of last six games; over is 12-6-1 in their last 19 road games. A’s are 5-10 in road series openers. Toronto lost five of last six games; over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Blue Jays are 5-10 in home series openers.

Royals @ Tigers
Hammel is 0-2, 5.08 in his last five starts; over is 8-5 in his last 13. Royals are 1-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-4

Verlander is 0-3, 5.16 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Tigers are 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-9-4

Royals won their last five games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12. KC is 6-8 in road series openers. Detroit won six of last nine games; over is 5-2 in their last seven. Tigers are 10-5 in home series openers.

Orioles @ Rays
Gausman is 1-0, 10.38 in his last three starts (over 3-0). Orioles are 2-7 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12

Snell is 0-3, 6.93 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Rays are 1-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-6-1

Orioles won five of last seven games; over is 11-3 in their last 14. Baltimore is 4-11 in road series openers. Tampa Bay lost its last four games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Rays are 6-9 in home series openers.

Boston @ Seattle
Rodriguez is 0-1, 7.94 in his last two starts (under 8-3). Boston is 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5

Paxton is 4-0, 2.05 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Seattle is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-4-3

Boston lost three of last four games (over 3-1). Red Sox are 8-9 in road series openers. Mariners won seven of their last ten games; under is 7-4 in their last 11. Mariners lost their last four home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

White Sox @ Cubs
Gonzalez is 0-4, 7.89 in his last four starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. White Sox lost his last six road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-8-1

Hendricks is making his first start since June 4; he is 1-1, 6.19 in his last three starts. Over is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 4-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4

White Sox are 0-8 since All-Star break; under is 4-1 in their last five road games. ChiSox are 5-12 in road series openers. Cubs are 8-1 since All-Star break; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cubs are 6-10 in home series openers.

Astros @ Phillies
Peacock is 5-0, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Astros are 5-0 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 7-2-1

Velasquez is 0-3, 5.76 in his last six starts; under is 2-0-1 in his last three. Phillies are 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-1

Astros are 6-4 in last ten games; over is 9-1 in their last ten road games. Houston is 12-3 in road series openers. Philly won four of last five games; over is 3-1 in their last four. Phillies are 4-11 in home series openers.

Marlins @ Rangers
Conley is 1-2, 9.72 in his last four starts (over 6-1). Miami is 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-2

Perez is 3-1, 6.30 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Texas is 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9-3

Miami won seven of last nine road games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games overall. Marlins are 7-9 in road series openers. Texas won its last three games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Rangers are 8-7 in home series openers.

Twins @ Dodgers
Colon allowed four runs in four IP (82 PT) in losing his first Minnesota start, 6-3 vs NY — Twins’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Ryu is 1-0, 3.45 in his last three starts; he’s finished six innings in 4 of 13 starts. Over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Dodgers are 4-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8-1

Twins are 4-7 in last 11 games, 9-5 in road series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Dodgers are 16-3 in last 19 games, 12-5 in home series openers. Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.

Reds @ Indians
Adleman is 0-3, 6.64 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1). Reds are 1-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-8-2

Tomlin is 2-0, 3.14 in his last two starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Tribe is 4-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-3

Reds lost 8 of last 10 games, are 6-10 in road series openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cleveland won six of last seven home games; over is 3-1 in their last four overall. Indians are 7-9 in home series openers.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Col-StL: Senzatela 11-5; Leake 8-11
Atl-Az: Dickey 11-8; Greinke 13-6
NY-SD: deGrom 13-6; Richard 7-13
Pitt-SF: Cole 12-8; Cain 8-10

American League
A’s-Tor: Smith 1-1; Liriano 10-6
KC-Det: Hammel 5-14; Verlander 8-12
Balt-TB: Gausman 10-11; Snell 3-7
Bos-Sea: Rodriguez 7-4; Paxton 10-6

Interleague
Chi-Chi: Gonzalez 5-9; Hendricks 6-5
Hst-Phil: Peacock 8-2; Velasquez 4-7
Mia-Tex: Conley 3-4; Perez 7-11
Minn-LA: Colon 0-1 (5-8); Ryu 5-8
Cin-Clev: Adleman 7-10; Tomlin 7-11

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Col-StL: Senzatela 7-16; Leake 4-19
Atl-Az: Dickey 6-19; Greinke 2-19
NY-SD: deGrom 7-19; Richard 6-20
Pitt-SF: Cole 8-20 (5 of last 5); Cain 6-18

American League
A’s-Tor: Smith 0-2; Liriano 7-16
KC-Det: Hammel 2-19; Verlander 6-20
Balt-TB: Gausman 5-21; Snell 2-10
Bos-Sea: Rodriguez 4-11; Paxton 1-16

Interleague
Chi-Chi: Gonzalez 5-14; Hendricks 4-11
Hst-Phil: Peacock 1-10; Velasquez 4-11
Mia-Tex: Conley 2-3-2; Perez 7-18
Minn-LA: Colon 5-14; Ryu 7-13
Cin-Clev: Adleman 5-17; Tomlin 6-18

_________________________

Umpires
National League
.

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 46-38 AL, favorites -$820
AL @ NL– 51-46 NL, favorites -$559
Total: 92-88 AL, favorites -$1,379

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 47-40-2
AL @ NL: Over 51-39-3
Total: Over 98-79-5

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/23/17
Ariz 17-20-11……28-15–8……….44-35
Atl 21-20-7……19-25-4………..40-45
Cubs 23-24-3……21-19-7………..44-43
Reds 14-27-4……19-29–5…………33-56
Colo 27-17-6…….27-20-2……….54-37
LA 22-18-5…….34-15-5……….56-33
Miami 20-24-4…….23-19-6……..43-43
Milw 24-17-8…….25-20-7………48-37
Mets 22-19-2……..23-27-3………45-46
Philly 12-29-11……16-21-7……….28-50
Pitt 23-23-3…….19-22-9………42-45
St. Louis 18-22-8……28-15-7……….46-37
SD 14-31-6……..24-19–4………38-50
SF 10-35-7……..18-24-6……….31-59
Wash 34-14-4……21-17-7………….55-31

Orioles 16-27-4……..22-26-3………38-53
Boston 21-25-7………21-24-2…….42-49
White Sox 18-28-7……..18-21–3……..36-48
Cleveland 23-19-6……..23-20-5……..45-39
Detroit 19-24-8…….23-19-4……..42-43
Astros 24-15-8……..31-17-4……..55-32
KC 15-22-7………22-21-10…….37-43
Angels 18-25-7………21-18-11………39-43
Twins 23-14-6………22-26-6……..45-39
NYY 22-28-4……….25-15-3…..…47-43
A’s 17-24-7……..23-18-10……..40-42
Seattle 17-25-6……..25-19-9……..42-44
TB 23-17-10……..31-11-7……..54-28
Texas 25-18-10……..20-17-8………45-35
Toronto 20-29-3……..15-23-8……..35-52

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/23/17)
Ariz 14-47……..20-51………..34
Atl 10-48……..13-48………..23
Cubs 14-50……..17-47……….31
Reds 18-45……..19-52……….37
Colo 12-50……..17-50..……..29
LA 14-45……..20-53..……..34
Miami 20-48……..17-48………37
Milw 19-49……20-52…..…..39
Mets 19-43……..17-53……….36
Philly 15-52……..13-45………..28
Pitt 14-49……..16-50……….30
StL 12-48……..14-50………..26
SD 20-51……..14-47…………34
SF 12-52……..14-48…………26
Wash 22-52……..20-45……….42

Orioles 7-47……..17-52……….24
Boston 17-53……..10-47………27
White Sox 15-53……12-42……….27
Clev 9-48……..15-48……….24
Detroit 10-51…….20-46……..30
Astros 15-47……..21-51………36
KC 9-44……..10-53………..19
Angels 20-50…….12-50……….32
Twins 11-43……..12-54……….23
NYY 12-54……..14-43………26
A’s 10-46……..16-52………26
Seattle 16-47…….19-53………35
TB 14-50……..20-49……..34
Texas 17-53……..21-45………38
Toronto 16-52……..9-46……….25

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Monday, July 24

Trend Report

2:20 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CHI CUBS
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 18 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games

7:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games at home

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

8:05 PM
MIAMI vs. TEXAS
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

8:08 PM
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Colorado's last 25 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of St. Louis's last 25 games when playing at home against Colorado

9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games

10:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

10:10 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
Seattle is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

10:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5

Week 4 Recap

Last week in the CFL started on Thursday night with Winnipeg’s 33-25 victory against Toronto as a three-point home favorite. In the first of two Friday games, the home team won again with Montreal stunning Calgary 30-23 as a four-point underdog. Edmonton went on to beat Ottawa 23-21 in the nightcap, but it could not cover the three points at home.

Week 4 wrapped up on Saturday night with British Columbia breaking the streak of home team victories with a convincing 41-26 romp over Hamilton as a 3 ½-point road favorite.

Monday, July 25

Ottawa RedBlacks (0-3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1 ½
Total: 54

Game Overview

Ottawa has the unfortunate task of playing two games in a span of six days and fatigue on the road is bound to be a factor in this game regardless of what happens at home against Montreal on Wednesday night. The RedBlacks have been able to cover ATS in their last four road games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six games played in July.

Toronto finds itself in an excellent position to get back above .500 on the year against a division foe, but consistency has not been one of this team’s strong points this season. Ricky Ray has done his part at quarterback with a CFL-high 1,529 passing yards and his top target SJ Green also leads the league in receiving yards with 452 in his first four games.

Betting Trends

-- These two already met this season in Week 3 with Toronto coming away with a tight 26-25 win as a four-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings in this East Division tilt.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL

Week 5

Trend Report

Wednesday, July 19

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal


Thursday, July 20

7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton


Friday, July 21

10:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg


Saturday, July 22

9:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Monday, July 24

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. TORONTO
Ottawa is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 5

Monday, July 24


Ottawa @ Toronto

Game 359-360
July 24, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
109.043
Toronto
116.555
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Monday, July 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (1 - 3 - 1) at TORONTO (2 - 2) - 7/24/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL

Monday, July 24

Monday's CFL betting preview and odds: Redblacks at Argonauts

Toronto hopes that a resurgent Ricky Ray, who leads the CFL with 382 passing yards per game, can propel the Argos past Ottawa for the seventh time in the last nine meetings.

Ottawa Redblacks at Toronto Argonauts (-3, 55)

The Toronto Argonauts can take sole possession of first place in the East Division when they host the Ottawa Redblacks on Monday. The Argonauts have had more than a week to dissect their 33-25 loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and hope to make the proper adjustments to their red zone offence by beating the Redblacks for the second time in 16 days following a thrilling 26-25 victory in the nation's capital July 13.

Toronto had to settle for six field goals against the Blue Bombers and hopes that a resurgent Ricky Ray, who leads the CFL with 382 passing yards per game, can propel the Argos past Ottawa for the seventh time in the last nine meetings. Ottawa picked up its first win of the season after holding off the Montreal Alouettes 24-19 on Wednesday. The Redblacks had dropped their previous three games by a combined seven points, but the defence came up big by stuffing the Alouettes on a 3rd-and-1 on the 8-yard line with less than two minutes to play and hope to have enough energy in the tank to make the best of a scheduling quirk that will see them play their third game in 11 nights. "I was proud of our guys and the way we stepped up and made plays at the end of the game to win it," Ottawa coach Rick Campbell told reporters. "It's going to be tough to go on the road but if we can find a way to pull it off and be done with the first third of the season we could end up in first place."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Argos opened as one-point home favorites and by Sunday evening that number was bet up to -3. The total hit the bettings boards at 54 and was bumped slightly to 55.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-3-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Trevor Harris completed 29-of-41 passes for 376 yards and two touchdowns, including an 80-yard scoring toss to Greg Ellingson, who finished with six receptions for 149 yards, to help lift Ottawa past Montreal. "The parity in this league is crazy," Harris told reporters. "We just have to make sure we're coming to play every week and as long as we do I feel this is a team that can win a lot of games." The Redblacks signed defensive back C.J. Roberts, who had 26 tackles and two interceptions in seven games with Winnipeg last season, and defensive lineman Mike Wakefield.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Martese Jackson, who was playing in his second career CFL game, was named one of the league's Top Performers of the Week after racking up 339 return yards, including a 78-yard punt return touchdown against Winnipeg. "I just want to build off it and also change the things I did wrong," Jackson told reporters. "I think fielding kicks and judging kicks I can do that a little better." Toronto is set to honour Hall of Fame quarterback Doug Flutie, who led the Argonauts to two straight Grey Cup victories in 1996 and 1997, in a ceremony prior to Monday's game.

TRENDS:

* RedBlacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Argonauts are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
* Over is 6-1 in RedBlacks last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Argonauts last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The home favorite Argonauts are getting 70 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 54 percent of the totals wagers.

EXTRA POINTS:

* Ray has thrown for more than 300 yards in all four games in 2017.
* Harris leads the CFL in passing yards (1,755) and touchdowns (10).
* Toronto WR S.J. Green caught 10 passes for 210 yards and a touchdown against Ottawa in the first meeting of the season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

My Bonus Play is on the Kansas City Royals on the road in Motown, as a valuable underdog against the Detroit Tigers.

The Royals are on the move, as the 2015 World Series champs have won five in a row after last night's walk-off win over the Chicago White Sox, and are sitting a mere 1 1/2 games back of the Cleveland Indians.

Tonight the run continues against a Tigers team that returns home from Minnesota, and clearly isn't playing with the momentum Kansas City is at the present moment.

Kansas City is hitting .273 this month, eighth best in the league.

That's a huge climb for a squad that hit a league-worst .210 in April, then .248 in May and .277 last month. Though the Royals are hitting a mere four points less this month, it's the ascension that is impressive. The Royals have scored the league's fifth most runs (99) this month.

Now I know the Tigers have plated the fourth most runs this month, but it's the price that creates this an attractice play, making the value a game you have to play. Take Kansas City as a huge underdog.

2* ROYALS (straight action)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

Make up game from Progressive Field as the Reds and Indians resume their in-state rivalry. Thus far it is the Reds holding the 2-1 edge, but I like the Indians tonight, and I like them to win big.

Cincy has won just 2 of their last 10 games, and starter Tim Adleman is 0-3 his last 4 starts, with 14 earned runs allowed his last 20-plus innings pitched.

Cleveland returned home from a brutal road trip, and wound up sweeping Toronto over the weekend in their 3-game series. The Indians are also 15-2 their last 17 home games versus the Reds.

Starter Josh Tomlin looks like he has found a groove, as he enters this start having won his last pair of decisions, working into the 7th inning in both with 5 runs surrendered.

I think we see a Cleveland win tonight by at least 3 runs.

4* CLEVELAND -1 1/2 RUNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, July 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (58 - 42) at ST LOUIS (47 - 51) - 8:05 PM
ANTONIO SENZATELA (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 244-437 (-83.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
COLORADO is 83-183 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 439-694 (-136.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 250-159 (+65.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
COLORADO is 58-42 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 13-6 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 27-23 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 39-30 (+6.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 33-24 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-51 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-32 (-21.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 64-67 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 29-35 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 35-40 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LEAKE is 6-17 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 5-14 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 2-11 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SENZATELA is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LEAKE is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.53 and a WHIP of 2.115.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (47 - 50) at ARIZONA (56 - 42) - 9:40 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 56-42 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 34-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 40-27 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-30 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 121-83 (+29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 42-10 (+22.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 127-67 (+45.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 96-47 (+36.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 20-5 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 47-50 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 25-16 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 24-25 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 45-43 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 91-104 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 54-70 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-27 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DICKEY is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.61 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GREINKE is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.020.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (45 - 51) at SAN DIEGO (43 - 55) - 10:10 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 45-51 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 63-65 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-22 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 82-94 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-19 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 31-14 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 424-438 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
NY METS are 16-8 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 213-163 (+39.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+2.2 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DEGROM is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. NY METS since 1997
RICHARD is 2-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (49 - 50) at SAN FRANCISCO (38 - 62) - 10:15 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 96-111 (-25.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 202-151 (+40.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 43-26 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-62 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-48 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-28 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-37 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-44 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-36 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-30 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-31 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
COLE is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

MATT CAIN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CAIN is 3-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.084.
His team's record is 7-5 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (44 - 54) at TORONTO (44 - 54) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS SMITH (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 181-241 (-51.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-70 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 74-101 (-29.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LIRIANO is 9-2 (+7.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 44-54 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 15-22 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 7-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
TORONTO is 71-61 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-37 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 16-24 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

CHRIS SMITH vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LIRIANO is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.287.
His team's record is 8-7 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-4.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (50 - 47) at DETROIT (45 - 52) - 7:10 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HAMMEL is 1-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 15-31 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 22-46 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 15-22 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 50-47 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 64-53 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-31 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 28-22 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 15-25 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 25-37 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 29-41 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 17-26 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.25 and a WHIP of 1.917.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VERLANDER is 23-10 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.153.
His team's record is 27-17 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 19-21. (-3.3 units)

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BALTIMORE (47 - 51) at TAMPA BAY (51 - 48) - 7:10 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 51-77 (-26.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 54-85 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
GAUSMAN is 4-13 (-9.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 8-19 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 5-17 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 4-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 39-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 135-125 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-20 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 75-60 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 119-141 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-31 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 74-90 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-53 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GAUSMAN is 3-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SNELL is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 8.31 and a WHIP of 1.848.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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BOSTON (55 - 45) at SEATTLE (49 - 51) - 10:10 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 45-49 (-25.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 108-107 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 252-246 (-53.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 618-570 (-97.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 59-80 (-26.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PAXTON is 10-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+0.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.73 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAXTON is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.56 and a WHIP of 0.688.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (38 - 57) at CHICAGO CUBS (51 - 46) - 2:20 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-51 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 6-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-46 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 882-808 (-158.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-23 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-40 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-25 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 805-763 (-159.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 238-198 (-49.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HENDRICKS is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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HOUSTON (65 - 33) at PHILADELPHIA (34 - 62) - 7:05 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 428-426 (+46.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HOUSTON is 65-33 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-12 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-13 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 50-20 (+23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 23-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 21-7 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-26 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-41 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-47 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD PEACOCK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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MIAMI (44 - 52) at TEXAS (48 - 50) - 8:05 PM
ADAM CONLEY (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 143-120 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-50 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 10-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
TEXAS is 103-84 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-61 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 82-60 (+23.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-40 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ADAM CONLEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MARTIN PEREZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (49 - 48) at LA DODGERS (68 - 31) - 10:10 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 68-31 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 41-13 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 66-25 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-48 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-17 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-22 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-7 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
COLON is 147-112 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 21-9 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 25-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 13-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 97-121 (-39.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 183-139 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
RYU is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARTOLO COLON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
COLON is 2-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.331.
His team's record is 2-7 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (41 - 57) at CLEVELAND (51 - 45) - 7:10 PM
TIM ADLEMAN (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 51-45 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-35 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-8 (-12.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-24 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-32 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-12 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-27 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TOMLIN is 3-8 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TIM ADLEMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ADLEMAN is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.41 and a WHIP of 1.502.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TOMLIN is 2-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

PIRATES VS. GIANTS
PLAY: PIRATES -150

No need to go into great detail about the state of the San Francisco Giants. This season has been a disaster, and the team has the look of a squad that can’t wait for this all to end.

The Pirates got cooled off the last couple of days at Colorado. But the Bucs have been showing some life lately and they’re still very much in the NL Central race, currently only three games out of first place.

I don’t expect the Pirates to be buyers at the approaching deadline, because that’s just not what this organization does. So while they’re very much alive in the divisional race, I don’t honestly look at the Bucs as serious contenders.

Nevertheless, Pittsburgh has an opportunity to gain ground the next few days if they can win this series with the Giants. I would definitely expect the Pirates to be taking this opponent very seriously. Surely the Pirates haven’t forgotten what took place in Pittsburgh at the start of this month. The Bucs were swept at home by San Francisco. Among the victims was Gerrit Cole, who got absolutely ripped in an ugly 13-5 loss.

Payback time begins tonight and given how well series sweep avengers have done this season, I’m willing to lay a little more than I usually like to tonight. I’m on the Pirates.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andrew Marchenko

NK GOK Gabela vs. Zeljeznicar
Play: Zeljeznicar -1

Zeljeznicar has lost to AIK in Europe League and now they have only one focus - Bosnia League. In 3 previous home games against Gabela, Zeljeznicar won 5-0, 3-0, and 2-0. Everything lays on their part of weights today too. This win will be very important for the team in front of the home crowd in order to take some kind of a rematch for the loose in the Europe League