This has actually become a game I don't mind losing, as Randolph does not deserve a win. This is the second straight game that his coaching blunder may have cost his team (thankfully I was against him yesterday). Pitching to Howard with an open base in the 6th was beyond me. Burgos has been plagued his entire career against left handed bats. Their OBA is .320 against them while right handers are batting just .230. He lost his closing role in KC last year because of his propensity to allow the long ball to left handed hitters. 1 in every 4.6 at bats he has allowed a home run to a left handed hitter. So Randolph allows him to pitch to the best left handed hitter in baseball with Burrell on deck? Especially after Burgos was prone to a letdown at bat after striking out Utley in a 11 pitch AB. Of course Burrell strikes out after Howard did the damage. Just bad managing.
maybe this is a good sign....
<table border="0" width="450"><tbody><tr align="left" valign="top"><td colspan="5">[SIZE=-1]6th race - Philadelphia Park - April 09, 2007[/SIZE] </td> </tr> <tr align="left" bgcolor="#e3dfcb" valign="top"> <th>[SIZE=-1]Pgm[/SIZE]</th> <th>[SIZE=-1]Horse[/SIZE]</th> <th align="right">[SIZE=-1]Win[/SIZE]</th> <th align="right">[SIZE=-1]Place[/SIZE]</th> <th align="right">[SIZE=-1]Show[/SIZE]</th> </tr> <tr align="left" valign="top"> <td align="left" bgcolor="#e3dfcb">[SIZE=-1] 3 [/SIZE]</td> <td>[SIZE=-1]Let's Go Mets[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 5.20[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 3.00[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 2.20[/SIZE]</td> </tr> <tr align="left" valign="top"> <td align="left" bgcolor="#e3dfcb">[SIZE=-1] 4 [/SIZE]</td> <td>[SIZE=-1]Just Don[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] [/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 3.20[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 2.20[/SIZE]</td> </tr> <tr align="left" valign="top"> <td align="left" bgcolor="#e3dfcb">[SIZE=-1] 7 [/SIZE]</td> <td>[SIZE=-1]Square One[/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] [/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] [/SIZE]</td> <td align="right">[SIZE=-1] 3.00[/SIZE]</td></tr></tbody></table>
Yankees @ Twins
Play: Twins +125
Intrinsic Value: +104
Consider Betting Price: +121
Comment:
Although they are not coming with as much value as they are on Tuesday, the Twins are coming with enough value to warrant a play in my opinion. The Yankees are simply not playing well enough to warrant this much respect by linesmakers. Pavano just isn’t the pitcher he once was. Injuries, deprecating mechanics, velocity and confidence has made him a much less effective pitcher, and it might take some time for him to regain what he has lost. He struggled in his first start, and is prone to struggling in this one as well. He has always struggled throughout his career pitching on the road, and especially struggles when pitching in parks for the first time, which will be the case for him in this game. He has also been prone to get worn down by left handed hitters, especially now because of the decrease in velocity. This does not bode well for his chances in this game, as the Twins two best hitters bat from the left side. Torre is sooner or latter going to make a sacrificial lamb out of one of his struggling pitchers, as his bullpen has been overworked of late. It might just be Pavano. This also does not bode well for him, as he is prone to wear down late in games. He is backed by a struggling bullpen, which should give the Twins the advantage in the later innings. The Twins are a much more dangerous hitting lineup when playing in their home park.
I am not a big fan of betting on Ponson, nor am I a big fan of betting against the best lineup in baseball. However, this mismatch is fully reflected in the line, and then some, as it does not reflect the potential favorable situational spot for Ponson. Ponson is always at his best when pitching with a chip on his shoulder, and that will be the case as he is up against his former team. The Yankees are not swinging the bat well, and might struggle in this game as well. ARod is the only hot hitter in the lineup, and is the hitter that has struggled most against Ponson in the past, as he is batting below .200 against him in over 60 at bats. Ponson has been known to struggle against left handed hitters, and although the Yankees are still dangerous from the left side, they are nowhere near as dangerous with both Damon and Matsui not in the lineup. Most importantly, the Twins will have a short leash on Ponson. Not only is the Twins backend bullpen the best baseball, but they have the deepest one as well.
Play: Twins +125
Intrinsic Value: +104
Consider Betting Price: +121
Comment:
Although they are not coming with as much value as they are on Tuesday, the Twins are coming with enough value to warrant a play in my opinion. The Yankees are simply not playing well enough to warrant this much respect by linesmakers. Pavano just isn’t the pitcher he once was. Injuries, deprecating mechanics, velocity and confidence has made him a much less effective pitcher, and it might take some time for him to regain what he has lost. He struggled in his first start, and is prone to struggling in this one as well. He has always struggled throughout his career pitching on the road, and especially struggles when pitching in parks for the first time, which will be the case for him in this game. He has also been prone to get worn down by left handed hitters, especially now because of the decrease in velocity. This does not bode well for his chances in this game, as the Twins two best hitters bat from the left side. Torre is sooner or latter going to make a sacrificial lamb out of one of his struggling pitchers, as his bullpen has been overworked of late. It might just be Pavano. This also does not bode well for him, as he is prone to wear down late in games. He is backed by a struggling bullpen, which should give the Twins the advantage in the later innings. The Twins are a much more dangerous hitting lineup when playing in their home park.
I am not a big fan of betting on Ponson, nor am I a big fan of betting against the best lineup in baseball. However, this mismatch is fully reflected in the line, and then some, as it does not reflect the potential favorable situational spot for Ponson. Ponson is always at his best when pitching with a chip on his shoulder, and that will be the case as he is up against his former team. The Yankees are not swinging the bat well, and might struggle in this game as well. ARod is the only hot hitter in the lineup, and is the hitter that has struggled most against Ponson in the past, as he is batting below .200 against him in over 60 at bats. Ponson has been known to struggle against left handed hitters, and although the Yankees are still dangerous from the left side, they are nowhere near as dangerous with both Damon and Matsui not in the lineup. Most importantly, the Twins will have a short leash on Ponson. Not only is the Twins backend bullpen the best baseball, but they have the deepest one as well.
pitchin to him in that situation,was one of the worst non moves ive seen a manager make,,this mets team is so loaded though that i think he ll get by wit it,,bg what do you think about 1st half plays,and how much is a half run worth,in 5 innings,,very informative posts bg,i read very little of the nonsense that these kids post,just happened to check the baseball forum one day,and im glad i did.thanks
