MLB: Friday April 6th Plays

[buffettgambler]

OSU,
No credit for my White Sox play yesterday? Thats no fun.

Steve/Jibba,
Interesing play with the Wakefield game, as no other pitcher in the leauge is more dependent on the weather than he. This game provides weather conditions that are negatively and positively correlated to his pitching performance. Usually during the day, his knuckle is much more live and harder to pick up. That needs to be factored as well.
Good luck.

 

[OSUCOWBOYS]

CORRECTION:

+.08 Yesterday

+11.39 TYD

I made an error and left out the winner on the Chisox. My sincere apologies, sir.

Thanks for your TIME. You spend countless hours doing what you do and it is appreciated.

Travis

 

[buffettgambler]

CORRECTION:

+.08 Yesterday

+11.39 TYD

I made an error and left out the winner on the Chisox. My sincere apologies, sir.

Thanks for your TIME. You spend countless hours doing what you do and it is appreciated.

Travis

No problem. Thanks for the correction and your contributions as well.

 

[BadassMoFo]

BG, are you adding anymore games today. thax

 

[buffettgambler]

Legend,
Probably not, unless the Tigers line slides a bit more. Here are my intrinsic values and price targets on the remaining games.

Phillies Intrinsic Value: +100 Price target +116
Marlins: IV: -100 PT: +116

Braves IV: -114 PT: +101
METS IV +114 PT:+136

Cards: IV: -108 PT +107
Hou: IV: +108 PT:+127

Bos: IV: -104 PT: +106
TEX IV: +104 PT: +121

Orioles: IV +183 PT: +215
NYY: -183 PT: -166

Tigers IV: Tigers -171 PT: -151
KC: IV: +151 PT: +215

 

[Jibba]

Wish I would have waited on Seattle. Thought the public might be a little too high on the Tribe. Up to +142 on MB.

And btw, Braves are now at +101 on MB as well.

 

[a153]

The white sox really?? Vazquez is so bad and gets LIT up by the twins always. good luck though

 

[buffettgambler]

Wish I would have waited on Seattle. Thought the public might be a little too high on the Tribe. Up to +142 on MB.

And btw, Braves are now at +101 on MB as well.

Ya, I miss- timed that one. That hurts, because it was a considerable jump.

As far as the Braves go, due to the liquidity at MB, I would have to DCA between +101 and -100 as of now, but and watching closely.

 

[buffettgambler]

The white sox really?? Vazquez is so bad and gets LIT up by the twins always. good luck though

And what is Silva? They got to Vazquez predominantly inside their dome where they are much more dangerous hitting the ball. Away from the dome, they are nothing special, and Vazquez's numbers against them at home were decent enough. If I recall correctly, he was very solid in both his starts at home agianst them, but Guillen left him out to dry in one of them when he had nothing left, and his stats suffered because of it.

Good luck.

 

[Jibba]

Ya, I miss- timed that one. That hurts, because it was a considerable jump.

As far as the Braves go, due to the liquidity at MB, I would have to DCA between +101 and -100 as of now, but and watching closely.

Happens. On the other hand, you nailed the TB game, which is down to +108 on VIP.

 

[RunsWithKnives]

wow... I'm against you on all 3 of my picks today. Took the Phils, Cubs, and Dodgers.

But I've followed you the past two days... going it alone today

 

[Boxslayer]

Nice write-ups as always buffett. Very happy you are sticking around as I am beginning to make a habit out of reading your stuff.

Thanks for the insight. Good luck this year.

 

[buffettgambler]

wow... I'm against you on all 3 of my picks today. Took the Phils, Cubs, and Dodgers.

But I've followed you the past two days... going it alone today

Good luck tommorrow.

 

[buffettgambler]

Nice write-ups as always buffett. Very happy you are sticking around as I am beginning to make a habit out of reading your stuff.

Thanks for the insight. Good luck this year.

The same could be said for you. No matter the sport, its a pleasure reading your stuff. It's hard to make a case against your picks not having a postive EV.

Good luck to you as well.

 

[UncleSteve]

Steve/Jibba,
Interesing play with the Wakefield game, as no other pitcher in the leauge is more dependent on the weather than he. This game provides weather conditions that are negatively and positively correlated to his pitching performance. Usually during the day, his knuckle is much more live and harder to pick up. That needs to be factored as well.
Good luck.[/quote]

Agreed with Wakefield. But, having attend The Ballpark in Arlington, when a rare North wind whips in, balls fly outta that park. Plus, Texas is a team that a tries to beat you with runs, not pitching.

Current wind speed at 14-19mph N-NE direction with gusts upward to 25-30 mph. Put ANY ball into the air and see ya later. That park hardly EVER gets a north wind, usually hot as hell, south wind blowing in.

Not today. Blowing out like a whale spout, heh! LOL!

Might have to take some OVER, as in OVER THE FENCES. If Wake makes a wrong move, it's trouble. ANd, if he has some control issues with that cross-wind, walks some guys, then serves up a big fatty, it's outta here.

Texas is fired up today watching the news around here. Game is 100% sold out, even the standing room is not available. Beautiful, sunny day, cool with some wind chill, but a strong north wind blowing out.

I think bats prevail today. Tejada is OK, especially if Rangers can pile up some runs for him. Feels like a good play today, like all the cogs are in place.

BOL and thanks for the extra pick with MIL and Bush = he is a damn good pitcher, I watched him last year, they did well with him.


US in Arlington TX, Ranger Land
:bigfinger

 

[buffettgambler]

Steve/Jibba,
Interesing play with the Wakefield game, as no other pitcher in the leauge is more dependent on the weather than he. This game provides weather conditions that are negatively and positively correlated to his pitching performance. Usually during the day, his knuckle is much more live and harder to pick up. That needs to be factored as well.
Good luck.

Agreed with Wakefield. But, having attend The Ballpark in Arlington, when a rare North wind whips in, balls fly outta that park. Plus, Texas is a team that a tries to beat you with runs, not pitching.

Current wind speed at 14-19mph N-NE direction with gusts upward to 25-30 mph. Put ANY ball into the air and see ya later. That park hardly EVER gets a north wind, usually hot as hell, south wind blowing in.

Not today. Blowing out like a whale spout, heh! LOL!

Might have to take some OVER, as in OVER THE FENCES. If Wake makes a wrong move, it's trouble. ANd, if he has some control issues with that cross-wind, walks some guys, then serves up a big fatty, it's outta here.

Texas is fired up today watching the news around here. Game is 100% sold out, even the standing room is not available. Beautiful, sunny day, cool with some wind chill, but a strong north wind blowing out.

I think bats prevail today. Tejada is OK, especially if Rangers can pile up some runs for him. Feels like a good play today, like all the cogs are in place.

BOL and thanks for the extra pick with MIL and Bush = he is a damn good pitcher, I watched him last year, they did well with him.


US in Arlington TX, Ranger Land
:bigfinger[/quote]

Well said in regards to everything.

 

[UncleSteve]

Steve/Jibba,
Interesing play with the Wakefield game, as no other pitcher in the leauge is more dependent on the weather than he. This game provides weather conditions that are negatively and positively correlated to his pitching performance. Usually during the day, his knuckle is much more live and harder to pick up. That needs to be factored as well.
Good luck.

Agreed with Wakefield. But, having attend The Ballpark in Arlington, when a rare North wind whips in, balls fly outta that park. Plus, Texas is a team that a tries to beat you with runs, not pitching.

Current wind speed at 14-19mph N-NE direction with gusts upward to 25-30 mph. Put ANY ball into the air and see ya later. That park hardly EVER gets a north wind, usually hot as hell, south wind blowing in.

Not today. Blowing out like a whale spout, heh! LOL!

Might have to take some OVER, as in OVER THE FENCES. If Wake makes a wrong move, it's trouble. ANd, if he has some control issues with that cross-wind, walks some guys, then serves up a big fatty, it's outta here.

Texas is fired up today watching the news around here. Game is 100% sold out, even the standing room is not available. Beautiful, sunny day, cool with some wind chill, but a strong north wind blowing out.

I think bats prevail today. Tejada is OK, especially if Rangers can pile up some runs for him. Feels like a good play today, like all the cogs are in place.

BOL and thanks for the extra pick with MIL and Bush = he is a damn good pitcher, I watched him last year, they did well with him.


US in Arlington TX, Ranger Land
[/quote]

OOps, sorry, wrong icon, that one is mean , how 'bout this one :aktion033

US - gotta watch these sneaky icons.

 

[UncleSteve]

sorry about the wrong icon in salutation!

Dang! That one is mean.

Here's what I wanted.

:aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033

 

[buffettgambler]

sorry about the wrong icon in salutation!

Dang! That one is mean.

Here's what I wanted.

:aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033

LOL

 

[Jibba]

ChiSox cancelled. hno: