Mjetfan 2018-2019

[METFAN]

EARLY PLAYS

TUESDAY NIGHT
BUFFALO -7 SUPER STRONG AT HOME

THURSDAY:
OHIO +2

SATURDAY:
IOWA +1.5
SYRACUSE -4
MEMPHIS -13 EAST CAROLINA is a mess
OKLAHOMA -10.5
BYU +14.5
WASH ST -10 BUY 1/2 Hope there is no let down after the last 2 weeks
STANFORD +9.5 Washington is one of the biggest underachievers out there
BAMA -14 -120 BUY 1/2
UT ST -18 What happened to Hawaii?

4 team parlay $50 to win $449

OHIO +2
WASH ST -10 -120
BAMA -14 -120
MEMPHIS -10 Bought 3

 

[METFAN]

TOP 20 TRENDS

Do not have time to review all of them but since the MAC starts tonight we will do them first

TONIGHT
BUFFALO -7 Buffalo started the yr 14-5 74% covering conference games at home and they are 2-0 this yr. but be careful as Miami Ohio has covered both of their road games as well

THURSDAY

OHIO +2 Bet it early line has dropped
W MICH UNDER 66.5 The line seems high as this is the time of year that Ohio starts picking up steam toward the Championship game and the bowls Plus you never know the weather in that region and the game is at night

NILL AKRON UNDER 37.5 First team to 20 wins..2 teams with good defense but having trouble scoring
that's it for now

 

[indiana]

M.Fan……...appreciate the added info buddy...…….continue your winning ways this weekend...…..indy

 

[METFAN]

got the win though tough as expected. Maybe the luck will be on my side for a change

tonight $50

TOLEDO -18.5 ball State QB is probably out and their top 2 running backs are hurting

 

[METFAN]

TOP 20 TRENDS

Do not have time to review all of them but since the MAC starts tonight we will do them first

TONIGHT
BUFFALO -7 Buffalo started the yr 14-5 74% covering conference games at home and they are 2-0 this yr. but be careful as Miami Ohio has covered both of their road games as well

THURSDAY

OHIO +2 Bet it early line has dropped
W MICH UNDER 66.5 The line seems high as this is the time of year that Ohio starts picking up steam toward the Championship game and the bowls Plus you never know the weather in that region and the game is at night

NILL AKRON UNDER 37.5 First team to 20 wins..2 teams with good defense but having trouble scoring
that's it for now

THE REST
ACC:

PITT +7.5 -120 PITT is a strong dog and 3-0 this yr as well

DUKE +10 -120 BUY 1/2 Not thrilled with the Dukies history against Miami but right now Miami and their QB situation is a real mess

AMERICAN ATHLETIC

TEMPLE +10.5 ( I WILL NOT BE BETTING THIS ) TEMPLE IS 25-7 ATS their last 32 games 14-4 last 18 Nov conference games. 17-5 on the road and 3-0 this yr ATS
But if Milton is healthy he is just so much better than Russo and he has so much more to play for

MEMPHIS -13 Already bet this game this is not additional. ECU is a 2-13 ATS in conference and 3-0 more this year

HOUSTON /SMU OVER 71.5 SMU is 20-8 to the over after a loss

BIG 12

TEXAS TECH +14 -120 BOUGHT 1/2 Already have Okla -10.5 wish I had bought down to 10. Not just trying for the middle but I do not like all the HC Lincoln Riley heading to the Browns talk.Based on Oklahoma as 2-12 as a double digit road favorite before the season and then failing at ISU

TEXAS TECH /OKLA OVER 78 . Until last years under the previous 6 went over

BIG 10

IOWA +3 Iowa controls their destiny. Great on road. aside from their wipeout of Ohio State , Purdue has been horrible as a conference home Favorite.

MICH ST -3 MD is 2-12 after a conference win and has gone 0-2 this yr. Cover /no cover etc

MINNY -9.5 Do not like the play but they are 14-5 in Nov conference games.

CONFERENCE USA

FIU -3 home team rivalry game they are 6-2 ATS this yr while Fla Atlantic is 1-7.

MOUNTAIN WEST

BYU+13 BOISE is 5-15 as a double digit home dog and split this yrs

UT STATE -18.5 Hawaii is 3-14 after a loss and has been going downhill

PAC 12

STANFORD +10 9-2 After a loss

USC/ORE ST UNDER 61.5 USC is under after a loss and 12-4 under in November

OREGON -10 UCLA is 1-14 (7%) when they give up 35 + and I have a feeling that is exactly what will happen when the stick it to Chip Kelly

SEC

GEORGIA -9 KY is not the same crappy team but it is hard to ignore their 2-12 November record

OLE MISS/SCAROLINA Under 67 SCarolina is 9-1 under as a single digit road dog
SCAR +1 SCAR is a strong dog and old miss a poor favorite

SUNBELT

ARK ST -16 21-8 AFTER A WIN SBAMA is 4-11 in November conference games.

that's it for now

 

[METFAN]

SO FAR 4-2 +$130

I would love to fade S Florida again this week but I am not sure that I can trust Tulane

ADDING $100 ea:

BC-2 They control their destiny and after watching Va Tech destroy me last week against an average GTECH team it's obvious that something is rotten in Blacksburg

MICH ST -3 -105 had Maryland not fired the coach I would have made this $300, Just too much distraction in college park and it would seem the MSU is starting to figure things out

SYRACUSE -5 I just think they are a little too powerful for Wake

MARSHALL -3.5 Sometimes you just have to go with the better team. I mean what has Southern Miss done

NAVY +14 -120 Bought 1/2 point.
NAVY TT OVER 18 Just think the Navy ground game should keep this close. cincy D is good but "THAT GOOD"?

IOWA ST -15 -116
IOWA ST TT OVER 30.5 Kansas was totally outplayed by TCU last week and just got lucky on red zone turnovers and TCU still got 26

GTECH -4.5 They has extra rest, let's see if they can keep it going

TEXAM +4 -118 Bought 1/2 Right now they are the better team and the better coach

LA TECH +23.5 Not fading MISS ST because it has Bama on deck, just playing on Coach Holtz who is an excellent coach at getting his team ready as dogs much like Texas' Tom Hermann

OREGON TT OVER 36.5 I bet them in the trends because I felt UCLA would give up more than 35 so what is another point

 

[METFAN]

WASH ST needs to WAKE THE FREAK UP

COMPLETE MY GREAT DAY DON'T RUIN IT

Was at the 21 Pilots concert and did not get a chance to hedge

 

[METFAN]

$100
ut st -4 2nd half

 

[METFAN]

JESUS THE ONE TIME I CAN'T HEDGE THE DAMN PARLAY !!!!

LEACH is constantly screwing me between here and the bad ol' days at Texas tech

 

[METFAN]

I SHOULD HAVE FADED SOUTH FLORIDA..PATHETIC. Will definitely fade versus Cincy

What happened to iowa st they scored 20 first 1/2 and only 7 the next half? Maybe Kansas defense is not that bad

GOOD NEWS won back more than double last weeks losses and between this and the NFL won over $2000

29-14 +$1360

ytd 129-104 +$1787

 

[indiana]

M/Fan......solid week buddy, thank you for some of those wins...…...continued success this week...…….indy

 

[METFAN]

THANK YOU INDY

I will start with these

CINCY -12 Still under rated one blown lead vs Temple from being an undefeated top 15 team .Maybe top 10. So Fla is pathetic and will have trouble winning another game this yr.

TEMPLE +4 WILL add them money line. Win or lose they have a lot of heart. At least a team you can root for

PITT -2.5 Not a team you want to take as a favorite but they are playing well and Va Tech has issues

GA TECH -4 -120 Bought half. Same as above just switch Miami for Va tech. Richt is a joke

KENTUCKY -4 They may be heartbroken but Tenn scored a big fat zero the last 3 quarters against a nobody.

ARK STATE -6 They are coming around and November has been their month

NMEX +14 -120 Bought half. Seems like 114 points is a lot in this rivalry and Air Force left sooooo much on the field the last 2 weeks against Boise and Army. They usually do not cover after playing the other academies

MICH ST ..Will hold out for 4 and ml..Ohio st is so overrated. When is the last time they covered? Their "lucky' victory over Penn State not looking like such a big deal now. Bama would beat them by over 20 probably 30 points

MISSOURI -14..They need a roll to move up the Bowl picture ladder

10 TEAM ML PARLAY $200 TO WIN $254

BUFFALO -1450
NC ST -950
SYRACUSE -1400
CLEMSON -1000 I will playing BC + points this week waiting for more
OKLAHOMA -900
CINCY -500
STANFORD -1700
BAMA -4000
LA TECH -3250
NDAME -1100

 

[METFAN]

10 team 10 point teaser ties reduce $50 to win $338

BC +30
KAN ST PK
MD +11.5
ORE +15
MTENN ST -3
BAMA -13.5
PURDUE -1.5
SCAROLINA +16.5
TEXAS+9

 

[METFAN]

$100 ea

ACC

BOSTON COLLEGE Now + will wait for 21 and hope for snow Saturday night . BC is a strong dog

NCAROLINA +10 As previously stated Duke great dog and lousy favorite in conference play 0-3 this yr too. Not the same intensity as the Basketball teams but still neighbors

AMERICAN ATHLETIC

TULANE -13.5 Line seems high but over the last 5 yrs 5-1 as conference favs in the rare times that they are and ECU is a disaster in conference games ATS

TEMPLE +4.5 Already made the bet. As stated last week Temple is 14-4 after a loss and 14-4 in November
HOUSTON/TEMPLE under 69 HOUSTON is 10-1 to the under as a single digit home favorite

BIG 12

WESTVA/TCU UNDER 56 Both teams play toward the under and TCU goes under after a loss

KANSAS ST/KANSAS OVER 46.5 KST is 14-6 to the over in conference games

OKLA/OK ST OVER 79 will only bet $50 on this game , OK State is 13-5 to the over in Nov but since Mason Rudolph graduated to the Steelers it has been more difficult than expected to score. To win this I believe Oklahoma will have to hit the 50's

BIG 10

MD +1 Maryland has been win 1 lose 1. last week lost so this week win. Indy 1-5 in conference games this yr. Barely beating but not covering against Rutgers

MICHIGAN -39 Not a big game for the Wolverines but Rutgers is 5-14 ATS in November conference games.

MICH ST +4 WILL BUY 1/2 POINT State is great as a dog and Ohio st hasn't covered since Penn State and looks terrible

CONFERENCE USA

UAB -12 They have been strong since reestablishing the program and Smiss is a weak dog

MID AMERICAN

AKRON/EMICH UNDER 43.5 AKRON is a huge under team especially after a loss 15-5 to the under prior to this yr and 2-0 this yr

MOUNTAIN WEST

NMEXICO +14 -120 Bought 1/2
NMEXICO/AIR FORCE OVER 57 AIR FORCE is a bad favorite and rarely covers after playing another academy. Falcon games run over after a loss

FRESNO -2.5
BOISE/FRESNO UNDER 54 FRESNO IS 18-5 to the under and strong on the road. Boise 6-16 at home

PAC 12

ASU -13.5 As mentioned last week UCLA is 1-14 if they give up over 35 points and both times this yr too. I like ASU to hit the 40's

WASH ST -6 COUGARS are strong on the road and as a favorite . Expect a lot more after last weeks lethargic show versus Cal

CAL/USC UNDER 48 USC is 12-4 to the under in November and went under last week agqin

SEC

SCAROLINA +6
FLA/SCAROLINA UNDER 54 Carolina is a good dog and 9-1 as a single digit road dog

MISS ST BAMA UNDER 53 State is under after a win
GOOD LUCK

 

[METFAN]

DECIDED TO PASS PN MICH STATE!!!!!!!!

WELL THAT WAS A REAL KICK IN THE BALLS!

NC STATE was a complete disgrace on national TV. Losing at home as a 20 point fav to a wake team using a backup QB.What a horrible coaching job in the second half

adding $100 ea:

TROY -1
NWEST +11
MID TENN -13.5 OVER UTEP
WISCONSIN +9
NEBRASKA -17
TEXAS -1.5

TEAM TOTALS:

PITT O 28.5
MARY O 27
CINCY O 35
MID TENN O 31
PENN ST U 32
FLORIDA U 30
LA TECH O 38
NDAME O 33.5
ARIZ ST O 37.5

Good Luck

 

[METFAN]

FUCK NUTS NC ST cost me $454 swing on the parlay and PURDON'T cost me an add'l $388 on the teaser

of well almost
23-19 +180

ytd 152-123 +$1967

 

[METFAN]

so far this week

$100 ea:

TOLEDO -13 HOLY TOLEDO I had them winning by more than 20. Just better in every aspect of the game

NWEST -2.5 Probably a trap . I'll bite. Minny is excellent at home but NWest is great on the road and a much better team and more to play for

ARKANSAS +21 MISS ST has to be drained after last week much like LSU has last week

UCONN +17 ECU can not even cover as a dog. How can they possibly cover as a 3 score favorite?

INDIANA +28 If Michigan wins out they are in the Final Four. This is a huge look ahead spot to Ohio State next week. Indiana can score and 17 points should be enough

UTAH ST -28
UTAH ST/COL ST O 68 Utah State will score at least in the mid to high 40's maybe more. The only way Col St can cover then is if the score mid to high 20s

SYRACUSE Will buy to 11 when available currently 10.5 . Just too much. These are the games that the Orange get up for and even though it is a home game for Notre Dame it is not on the campus stadium

SD STATE +13 just too many points . state has a chance to still win the west. I expect a 1 score game with either team capable of winning

Good Luck

 

[indiana]

M/Fan...…..any profitable week is a good week, well done buddy...…….BOL with all your action this weekend as well......on Ut. St. and Syr. with you...…...indy

 

[METFAN]

THANKS INDY

Recovering from surgery so will post my final card now..this week I will take the winnings and instead of one of those crazy ml parlays I will bet $20 on 12 ML DOGS. I will also do a continuation play to be explained but first I am adding:

$100 EA:

SYRACUSE +10 should have grabbed the 10.5. Weather should not be a problem at Yankee stadium

COLORADO +7 Expect snow which should not affect either team but Colorado is not the easiest place to play especially missing your starting QB and running back. Just too many points

BAYLOR +1 TCU has got to be the biggest disappointment in the Big 12 and one of the biggest in the country. Baylor can go bowling

BGREEN +7 All year long I have been saying how good a road team they are and now they are getting 7 against an Akron team that is having one of their worse yrs in a game that probably won't reach 40 unless Bowling Green hits the 20s

NAVY -6 Navy's final home game in a horrible season . Tulsa is horrible against the run and the weather will be soso. By half time they will wish they were on the plane home

BYU -24 tough game on deck. they will need this to go bowling. That 21 dog win at Wisky looks so long ago

IOWA ST +3 -120 this yrs darlings . Texas like the Cowboys has been great dogs and lousy favorites. The Texas defense has been lacking lately. Hopefully the stage will not be too big for Purdy

MICH/INDY UNDER 53.5 Hopefully this is a big look ahead for Michigan and they just run a vanilla offense before the Buckeye game

TEAM TOTALS $50 EACH

PITT OVER 32.5
AIR FORCE OVER 19.5
STANFORD UNDER 23.5
NAVY OVER 29
ARKANSAS OVER 13
WEST VA OVER 40
IOWA ST OVER 22.5

$20 ea:ML DOGS Not going with the obvious like Cal , Nebraska and Iowa st .
They are either already bet or in my continuation play

VA +185
KAN ST +220
UCONN +568
TENN +220
AIR FORCE +120
COLORADO +250
ARIZ ST +157
ARIZ +340
ARKANSAS +1150
BGREEN +235
SD ST +435
UNLV +220

need to rest I will post the continuation play later

GOOD LUCK

 

[METFAN]

Normally I would do the following parlay

$50 to win $264

NEBRASKA +1
NAVY -6
CAL +3 -140 BOUGHT 1 POINT

INSTEAD I will bet:

$55 on NEBRASKA TO GET BACK $105

IF THAT LOSES the bet is over if it wins I will bet $105 to win $100 on NAVY -6

IF THAT LOSES THE BET IS OVER

IF THAT WINS I will bet $140 to win $100 on CAL +3 AND take the $65 balance and put it back into my account guaranteeing a $5 win but a potential $245 win or I could put the whole $205 on Cal to get a larger return but I will make the first choice