reg trends were 15-6 +$840. Unfortunately the 2 big trend plays and the other $200 play all lost
a lot of work for $30
last week 19-13 +$30
ytd
66-55 +$903
trends:
The first 2 weeks in October went well. Hopefully, this week continues. The ACC, MAC and MOUNTAIN WEST have really treated me great
ACC Last week 4-0 the ACC unders have been strong
NCAR/SYRACUSE UNDER 67 Hard to believe I am taking a Syracuse under but Carolina runs 76% to the under and Syracuse 75% prior to this yr and that trend has continued so far for the tarheels
DUKE/VA UNDER 45
VIRGINA +7.5 Both teams ran 60% to the under prior to the season and both ran under last week..I see this as a one score game and 7.5 just seems like too much Duke is a great dog but only 6-9 as a favorite. After last week Va is at 60% as a dog
AMERICAN CONFERENCE
CENTAL FLORIDA -21 They burned my ass last week but East Carolina is really a horrible dog as some of you found out against Temple
TEMPLE -3-120 The conference's best covering team .Odd that they are favored against a undefeated ranked team. We saw how that worked out for Colorado and KY the last 2 weeks
TULANE -7 -105 Should be interesting. Both teams have played very tough competition. It is rare that Tulane is a conference favorite, but when they are , they are 5-1.
BIG 10
OHIO STATE -13 The suckeyes have failed to cover for me 2 weeks in a row, but one can not get past Purdon'ts 1-9 record as a double digit home dog.
MINNY +4 Currently @ 3.5 . I will either wait for a 4 or buy 1/2 point. Another bet I really do not want to make but Minny was 68% on the rd and 69% as a dog before the season started was 25% at home and has lost to Purdue since.in fact they have lost every game this yr
MARYLAND/IOWA OVER 45 Maryland is a very live dog this week and I can see this in the 50's Both teams lean to the over.
CONFERENCE USA
MARSHALL/FLA ATLANTIC UNDER 62 Marshall defense is not as good as past years but 62 still seems very high
ODU/WESTERN KY OVER 55.5 Western KY used to score and ODU IS 6-1to the over this yr, In prior yrs both were over 60% to the over in conference games
UAB -2
NTEX/UAB UNDER 54.5 UAB has covered every home game since they came back from hiatus. They are 5-1 vs the spread this yr and now you get two of the better defenses. UAB has only given up 14 points in their last 3 weeks combined
MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE Only 2 stick out this week
AKRON/KENT ST UNDER 52 2 BIG UNDER TEAMS .Akron is 15-5 to the under after a loss prior to the season and went under again last week following their loss to Miami. Both of Kent States games this month went under their September game with Ball st went over
BOWLING GREEN +17 CURRENTLY @16.5Will wait or buy the 1/2 . As previously mentioned BOWLING GREEN is a covering machine in conference road games and did again 2 weeks ago versus Toledo
MOUNTAIN WEST A lot of strong plays this week
Friday:
AIR FORCE/UNLV OVER 56.5 AIR FORCE has been over 70% to the over and 15-5 after a loss and UNLV has given up 50 or more their last 2 games
COLORADO ST +23.5 BOISE was 5-15 as a double digit conference home favorite and lost outright in that spot 2 weeks ago.
Saturday:
NMEXICO/FRESNO UNDER 53.5 FRESNO STATE was 18-5 (78%) in conference egames after a win and 2-0 this yr. So now@ 80%
SAN JOSE ST/SAN DIEGO ST UNDER 48 Total seems low but SD state has given up only 30 combined last 2 games to much better offenses
$60 NEVADA +3
$40 NEVADA +135 ML HAWAII is a horrible 1-8 as a home favorite
UT ST OVER while they are strong to the over, the Wyoming offense is so pathetic that I have no choice but to pass
PAC 12 usually I skip this conference but
ARIZONA ST +2 -105 13-5 after a loss GAME IS TONIGHT
SOUTHEASTERN
MISS ST/LSU UNDER 45 Both teams are strong under plays but LSU has burnt me the last 2 weeks
ALABAMA TT OVER Waiting for a line. Bama is strong to the over as a road double digit favorite and we won that 2 weeks ago but I do not trust Tennessee. Line should be around 44
adding $100 ea:
MARYLAND +10 These are the types of games that Iowa has lapses against. Lately they have had home coming issues against lessor teams
ARKANSAS -7 They spent a lot in last weeks tough loss to Ole Miss but this is the kind of game where an SEC also ran can take it out on a lessor conference
WASH ST -3 Lower ranked team is the favorite. Oregon has a let down after last weeks home win over Washington
OKLAHOMA has had 2 weeks to simmer over that loss to texas. TCU is a good dog, but they just do not seem the same since that loss to OHIO STATE
MISSOURI -9.5 Memphis has tough run offense but Missouri has a good run defense. Not sure how much the Bama game took out of Missouri but Memphis lost both their previous rd games to below average teams Navy and Tulane. This is a huge step up
NORTH CAROLINA ST +17.5 Wow they have given Clemson more than the can handle the last few yrs and they have the much more experienced QB. Is this a trap?
UCONN +34 UCONN is one of the worst teams in college football. They would be better off with the girls hope coach. Now they come to sunny Florida where they will melt. over 90 degrees here. But USF is constantly playing from behind and up or down to their level of play. They have beat Illinois, East Carolina and Tulsa by a combined 14 points. Not exactly a resume item if you are looking for a better quality bowl bid
GOOD LUCK
a lot of work for $30
last week 19-13 +$30
ytd
66-55 +$903
trends:
The first 2 weeks in October went well. Hopefully, this week continues. The ACC, MAC and MOUNTAIN WEST have really treated me great
ACC Last week 4-0 the ACC unders have been strong
NCAR/SYRACUSE UNDER 67 Hard to believe I am taking a Syracuse under but Carolina runs 76% to the under and Syracuse 75% prior to this yr and that trend has continued so far for the tarheels
DUKE/VA UNDER 45
VIRGINA +7.5 Both teams ran 60% to the under prior to the season and both ran under last week..I see this as a one score game and 7.5 just seems like too much Duke is a great dog but only 6-9 as a favorite. After last week Va is at 60% as a dog
AMERICAN CONFERENCE
CENTAL FLORIDA -21 They burned my ass last week but East Carolina is really a horrible dog as some of you found out against Temple
TEMPLE -3-120 The conference's best covering team .Odd that they are favored against a undefeated ranked team. We saw how that worked out for Colorado and KY the last 2 weeks
TULANE -7 -105 Should be interesting. Both teams have played very tough competition. It is rare that Tulane is a conference favorite, but when they are , they are 5-1.
BIG 10
OHIO STATE -13 The suckeyes have failed to cover for me 2 weeks in a row, but one can not get past Purdon'ts 1-9 record as a double digit home dog.
MINNY +4 Currently @ 3.5 . I will either wait for a 4 or buy 1/2 point. Another bet I really do not want to make but Minny was 68% on the rd and 69% as a dog before the season started was 25% at home and has lost to Purdue since.in fact they have lost every game this yr
MARYLAND/IOWA OVER 45 Maryland is a very live dog this week and I can see this in the 50's Both teams lean to the over.
CONFERENCE USA
MARSHALL/FLA ATLANTIC UNDER 62 Marshall defense is not as good as past years but 62 still seems very high
ODU/WESTERN KY OVER 55.5 Western KY used to score and ODU IS 6-1to the over this yr, In prior yrs both were over 60% to the over in conference games
UAB -2
NTEX/UAB UNDER 54.5 UAB has covered every home game since they came back from hiatus. They are 5-1 vs the spread this yr and now you get two of the better defenses. UAB has only given up 14 points in their last 3 weeks combined
MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE Only 2 stick out this week
AKRON/KENT ST UNDER 52 2 BIG UNDER TEAMS .Akron is 15-5 to the under after a loss prior to the season and went under again last week following their loss to Miami. Both of Kent States games this month went under their September game with Ball st went over
BOWLING GREEN +17 CURRENTLY @16.5Will wait or buy the 1/2 . As previously mentioned BOWLING GREEN is a covering machine in conference road games and did again 2 weeks ago versus Toledo
MOUNTAIN WEST A lot of strong plays this week
Friday:
AIR FORCE/UNLV OVER 56.5 AIR FORCE has been over 70% to the over and 15-5 after a loss and UNLV has given up 50 or more their last 2 games
COLORADO ST +23.5 BOISE was 5-15 as a double digit conference home favorite and lost outright in that spot 2 weeks ago.
Saturday:
NMEXICO/FRESNO UNDER 53.5 FRESNO STATE was 18-5 (78%) in conference egames after a win and 2-0 this yr. So now@ 80%
SAN JOSE ST/SAN DIEGO ST UNDER 48 Total seems low but SD state has given up only 30 combined last 2 games to much better offenses
$60 NEVADA +3
$40 NEVADA +135 ML HAWAII is a horrible 1-8 as a home favorite
UT ST OVER while they are strong to the over, the Wyoming offense is so pathetic that I have no choice but to pass
PAC 12 usually I skip this conference but
ARIZONA ST +2 -105 13-5 after a loss GAME IS TONIGHT
SOUTHEASTERN
MISS ST/LSU UNDER 45 Both teams are strong under plays but LSU has burnt me the last 2 weeks
ALABAMA TT OVER Waiting for a line. Bama is strong to the over as a road double digit favorite and we won that 2 weeks ago but I do not trust Tennessee. Line should be around 44
adding $100 ea:
MARYLAND +10 These are the types of games that Iowa has lapses against. Lately they have had home coming issues against lessor teams
ARKANSAS -7 They spent a lot in last weeks tough loss to Ole Miss but this is the kind of game where an SEC also ran can take it out on a lessor conference
WASH ST -3 Lower ranked team is the favorite. Oregon has a let down after last weeks home win over Washington
OKLAHOMA has had 2 weeks to simmer over that loss to texas. TCU is a good dog, but they just do not seem the same since that loss to OHIO STATE
MISSOURI -9.5 Memphis has tough run offense but Missouri has a good run defense. Not sure how much the Bama game took out of Missouri but Memphis lost both their previous rd games to below average teams Navy and Tulane. This is a huge step up
NORTH CAROLINA ST +17.5 Wow they have given Clemson more than the can handle the last few yrs and they have the much more experienced QB. Is this a trap?
UCONN +34 UCONN is one of the worst teams in college football. They would be better off with the girls hope coach. Now they come to sunny Florida where they will melt. over 90 degrees here. But USF is constantly playing from behind and up or down to their level of play. They have beat Illinois, East Carolina and Tulsa by a combined 14 points. Not exactly a resume item if you are looking for a better quality bowl bid
GOOD LUCK
so far this week
TUESDAY
TROY -11.5 SBAMA is not good and Troy need this game
THURSDAY:
VA TECH -3.5 Much better team and a Thursday night home game. I had this as 7
SATURDAY
UTAH -10 the Utes are in control of the south and the Chip Kellys are going nowhere
MISSOURI -7 They are playing better and Kentucky is reverting to ordinary
IOWA ST -4.5 They are becoming an awesome home team
CLEMSON -14 They have been on a roll and Fla State's recent success has been against a bunch of nobodies
dabo swinney vs taggert..seriously?
TUESDAY
TROY -11.5 SBAMA is not good and Troy need this game
THURSDAY:
VA TECH -3.5 Much better team and a Thursday night home game. I had this as 7
SATURDAY
UTAH -10 the Utes are in control of the south and the Chip Kellys are going nowhere
MISSOURI -7 They are playing better and Kentucky is reverting to ordinary
IOWA ST -4.5 They are becoming an awesome home team
CLEMSON -14 They have been on a roll and Fla State's recent success has been against a bunch of nobodies
dabo swinney vs taggert..seriously?
SO FAR SO GOOD
THE ACC, MAC AND MOUNTAIN WEST have treated me well . Not so much the BIG 10
$100 ea:
ACC: THE UNDER CONFERENCE
GA TECH/VA TECH UNDER 59.5 THURSDAY NIGHT.. VTECH was 18-5 78% to the under before the season started and now 3 more this year
BOSTON COLLEGE +3.5 -115 FRIDAY NIGHT
MIAMI/BOSTON COLLEGE UNDER 49.5 I like BC to take this game outright they were 17-10 prior to the season and 76% to the under and Miami trends that way too
PITT +2.5 As mentioned last week Duke is a strong dog but a weak favorite and Pitt is 14-8 as a dog and beat the 'Cuse as one this yr too
UNC +9 Va is a great dog but only 1-7 in their last 8 as a conference favorite
VA/UNC UNDER 51 6 of the last 7 of the games between the 2 have gone under
NC ST/SYR UNDER 64.5 State has had to have a Clemson hangover . Both have been over 65% to the under
AMERICAN ATHLETIC
SFLA/HOUSTON UNDER 74.5 ED OLIVER or not this line is extremely high . Houston games have only gone over this number 2 of 7 times. I have this game in the low 60's
BIG 10 CAREFUL This conference has hurt me
NWESTERN+7 They have been a strong dog 17-7 after a win prior to this yr
PURDUE +2 There is probably a huge OHIO ST hangover but they are such strong road team
IOWA +7 Another strong road team
BIG 12
IOWA STATE -3 -120 65% HOME in conference prior to the yr and covered both this yr as well
CONFERENCE USA
ODU +4 Fading MID TENN as they are bad both on the road and as a favorite
MAC Road conference
AKRON/CMICH UNDER 45 AKRON UNDER @ 71% and Cmich @ 70% in October conference games
TOLEDO +7 -125 THURSDAY NIGHT Toledo good on the road and Western Mich not good at home
MOUNTAIN WEST..Treated me well so far
HAWAII/FRESNO ST UNDER 59.Fresno is a real under team and Hawaii's offense has tapered off
SAN DIEGO ST -3 +100
NEVADA/SDS UNDER 46 The Aztecs are 20-25 prior to this yr when they allow less than 20. First team to 20 wins this game. SDS is 1-6 ou with the 1 over by 1/2 point in their win over ARIZ ST
All 4 of Nevada's conference games have gone under
AIR FORCE /BOISE ST OVER 58
SOUTHEAST
FLA/GA UNDER 52 That is extremely high for a FLORIDA game. Can't see Dan Mullen trying to win a SHOOTOUT. I think he tries to slow the game down
MISS ST would have been a play due to all of Tex AM's horrible conference records. But with the new coach We'll pass. Looking at Arizona this year obviously the coaching was an issue
THE ACC, MAC AND MOUNTAIN WEST have treated me well . Not so much the BIG 10
$100 ea:
ACC: THE UNDER CONFERENCE
GA TECH/VA TECH UNDER 59.5 THURSDAY NIGHT.. VTECH was 18-5 78% to the under before the season started and now 3 more this year
BOSTON COLLEGE +3.5 -115 FRIDAY NIGHT
MIAMI/BOSTON COLLEGE UNDER 49.5 I like BC to take this game outright they were 17-10 prior to the season and 76% to the under and Miami trends that way too
PITT +2.5 As mentioned last week Duke is a strong dog but a weak favorite and Pitt is 14-8 as a dog and beat the 'Cuse as one this yr too
UNC +9 Va is a great dog but only 1-7 in their last 8 as a conference favorite
VA/UNC UNDER 51 6 of the last 7 of the games between the 2 have gone under
NC ST/SYR UNDER 64.5 State has had to have a Clemson hangover . Both have been over 65% to the under
AMERICAN ATHLETIC
SFLA/HOUSTON UNDER 74.5 ED OLIVER or not this line is extremely high . Houston games have only gone over this number 2 of 7 times. I have this game in the low 60's
BIG 10 CAREFUL This conference has hurt me
NWESTERN+7 They have been a strong dog 17-7 after a win prior to this yr
PURDUE +2 There is probably a huge OHIO ST hangover but they are such strong road team
IOWA +7 Another strong road team
BIG 12
IOWA STATE -3 -120 65% HOME in conference prior to the yr and covered both this yr as well
CONFERENCE USA
ODU +4 Fading MID TENN as they are bad both on the road and as a favorite
MAC Road conference
AKRON/CMICH UNDER 45 AKRON UNDER @ 71% and Cmich @ 70% in October conference games
TOLEDO +7 -125 THURSDAY NIGHT Toledo good on the road and Western Mich not good at home
MOUNTAIN WEST..Treated me well so far
HAWAII/FRESNO ST UNDER 59.Fresno is a real under team and Hawaii's offense has tapered off
SAN DIEGO ST -3 +100
NEVADA/SDS UNDER 46 The Aztecs are 20-25 prior to this yr when they allow less than 20. First team to 20 wins this game. SDS is 1-6 ou with the 1 over by 1/2 point in their win over ARIZ ST
All 4 of Nevada's conference games have gone under
AIR FORCE /BOISE ST OVER 58
SOUTHEAST
FLA/GA UNDER 52 That is extremely high for a FLORIDA game. Can't see Dan Mullen trying to win a SHOOTOUT. I think he tries to slow the game down
MISS ST would have been a play due to all of Tex AM's horrible conference records. But with the new coach We'll pass. Looking at Arizona this year obviously the coaching was an issue
IF NOT FOR VA TECH IT WOULD HAVE BEEN A GREAT START
ADDING $100 ea:
ARKANSAS ML +105
KANSAS ST +24 They are turning things around and have had 2 weeks to prepare
NMEX ST -1.5 Missed getting them at +3 DAMN
OK ST +3.5 Would not be surprised to see them win outright
TEXAS TECH +7 -125 I have ISU -3 Will shoot for the middle. Worth a shot
6 team parlay $50 to win $314
TCU ML -500
WASH ML -440
KAN ST +24
NMEX ST -1 -120 Bought 1/2 point
CLEM ML -1100
OREGON ML -340
GOOD LUCK
ADDING $100 ea:
ARKANSAS ML +105
KANSAS ST +24 They are turning things around and have had 2 weeks to prepare
NMEX ST -1.5 Missed getting them at +3 DAMN
OK ST +3.5 Would not be surprised to see them win outright
TEXAS TECH +7 -125 I have ISU -3 Will shoot for the middle. Worth a shot
6 team parlay $50 to win $314
TCU ML -500
WASH ML -440
KAN ST +24
NMEX ST -1 -120 Bought 1/2 point
CLEM ML -1100
OREGON ML -340
GOOD LUCK
