2018 MistaFlava's CFB Record: 32-18 ATS (+253.00 Units)
Went 3-6 ATS last week, my worst week of the season and a couple of bad beats but it's time to bounce back hit some winners in Week 9. LETS GO!
Good luck to everyone
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Tuesday, October 23
Troy Trojans -10.5 (10 Units)
Nothing like some Tuesday night college football action and it should be a good one. Not many people know this because nobody follows these two programs but this is a rivalry that is very recent and very new and the teams started playing for some kind of WWE looking belt back in 2015. Troy comes into this game off their worst loss of the season, a 22-16 loss against Liberty as a -12 point home favorite. Can you say bounce back time? It's funny because this is Troy's third true road game of the season and they have been badly outyarded in both road games at UL Monroe and Nebraska but they came away with wins anyways at both beating the Warhakws 35-27 (outyarded by 21 total yards) and beating Nebraska 24-19 (outyarded by 111 total yards). Now this is a game where they should win the yardage battle and win the game big. The Troy offense is averaging 32.7 points per game their last three games on a whopping 7.3 yards per play and 438 total yards of offense (that is 2.1 yards per play and 95 total yards per game more than South Alabama during that time span). The South Alabama defense is brutal and has allowed 35.7 points per game in their last three on 6.7 yards per play. They cannot stop the run for their lives allowing 242.7 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry their last three while Troy comes into this averaging 250.7 rushing yards per game on 7.0 yards per carry in those games. In the air protection has been an issue for Troy allowing 7 sacks their last three games but South Alabama has no pass rush to speak of, they force almost no turnovers and they allow huge plays both in the air and on the ground. Troy's offense will roll in this one.
The South Alabama Jaguars are 2-5 SU and 3-3 ATS on the season but they are coming off their best game of the season, a 45-7 win over Alcorn State (FCS opponent) marking only the second time this season the managed to outyard an opponent in a game and the first since their second win of the season over Texas State earlier in the year. I know South Bama played Lousiana Tech tough here earlier this season but right now they have absolutely nothing going for them. Their defense has been shredded to pieces by every single opponent they have faced and their offense has stalled averaging only 21.7 points per game their last three games and averaging only 343.3 total yards of offense and 5.2 yards per play in those games. You can try to run against Troy's defense but it won't work as they have allowed only 2.7 yards per carry in their last three games despite being run on 44.7 times per game. That's a problem for South Alabama because they run 39.3 running plays to 27.0 passing plays in their last three games. The Trojans do give up yards in the air but they have a relentless D-Line and pass rush that has 13 sacks in their last three games to go with the 2 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries by this defense as a unit. This defense is going to be hyped up for this one, they will make some plays and score on turnovers.
The rivalry is not a known one but we are talking about two teams from Alabama going at it in some Tuesday Night Lights. Troy is coming off an embarrassing loss last weekend and will be even more hyped up to play well. TROY COMES INTO THIS GAME 6-0 ATS IN THEIR LAST SIX TUESDAY NIGHT GAMES and they are one of the best spread teams in college football the last 12 months going 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games versus conference opponents. South Alabama has been good at home this season but that's about it. They are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games coming off a straight up win (beat Alcorn State last time out) and they are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games versus conference opponents. Everyone knows how tough South Alabama plays Troy most of the time but the Road Team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and Troy is playing in a bounce back spot. I'm going Trojans to win big.
Trend of the Game: Troy is 6-0 ATS in their last six Tuesday Night Games.
Troy 38, South Alabama 16
more to come...
Went 3-6 ATS last week, my worst week of the season and a couple of bad beats but it's time to bounce back hit some winners in Week 9. LETS GO!
Good luck to everyone
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Tuesday, October 23
Troy Trojans -10.5 (10 Units)
Nothing like some Tuesday night college football action and it should be a good one. Not many people know this because nobody follows these two programs but this is a rivalry that is very recent and very new and the teams started playing for some kind of WWE looking belt back in 2015. Troy comes into this game off their worst loss of the season, a 22-16 loss against Liberty as a -12 point home favorite. Can you say bounce back time? It's funny because this is Troy's third true road game of the season and they have been badly outyarded in both road games at UL Monroe and Nebraska but they came away with wins anyways at both beating the Warhakws 35-27 (outyarded by 21 total yards) and beating Nebraska 24-19 (outyarded by 111 total yards). Now this is a game where they should win the yardage battle and win the game big. The Troy offense is averaging 32.7 points per game their last three games on a whopping 7.3 yards per play and 438 total yards of offense (that is 2.1 yards per play and 95 total yards per game more than South Alabama during that time span). The South Alabama defense is brutal and has allowed 35.7 points per game in their last three on 6.7 yards per play. They cannot stop the run for their lives allowing 242.7 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry their last three while Troy comes into this averaging 250.7 rushing yards per game on 7.0 yards per carry in those games. In the air protection has been an issue for Troy allowing 7 sacks their last three games but South Alabama has no pass rush to speak of, they force almost no turnovers and they allow huge plays both in the air and on the ground. Troy's offense will roll in this one.
The South Alabama Jaguars are 2-5 SU and 3-3 ATS on the season but they are coming off their best game of the season, a 45-7 win over Alcorn State (FCS opponent) marking only the second time this season the managed to outyard an opponent in a game and the first since their second win of the season over Texas State earlier in the year. I know South Bama played Lousiana Tech tough here earlier this season but right now they have absolutely nothing going for them. Their defense has been shredded to pieces by every single opponent they have faced and their offense has stalled averaging only 21.7 points per game their last three games and averaging only 343.3 total yards of offense and 5.2 yards per play in those games. You can try to run against Troy's defense but it won't work as they have allowed only 2.7 yards per carry in their last three games despite being run on 44.7 times per game. That's a problem for South Alabama because they run 39.3 running plays to 27.0 passing plays in their last three games. The Trojans do give up yards in the air but they have a relentless D-Line and pass rush that has 13 sacks in their last three games to go with the 2 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries by this defense as a unit. This defense is going to be hyped up for this one, they will make some plays and score on turnovers.
The rivalry is not a known one but we are talking about two teams from Alabama going at it in some Tuesday Night Lights. Troy is coming off an embarrassing loss last weekend and will be even more hyped up to play well. TROY COMES INTO THIS GAME 6-0 ATS IN THEIR LAST SIX TUESDAY NIGHT GAMES and they are one of the best spread teams in college football the last 12 months going 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games versus conference opponents. South Alabama has been good at home this season but that's about it. They are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games coming off a straight up win (beat Alcorn State last time out) and they are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games versus conference opponents. Everyone knows how tough South Alabama plays Troy most of the time but the Road Team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and Troy is playing in a bounce back spot. I'm going Trojans to win big.
Trend of the Game: Troy is 6-0 ATS in their last six Tuesday Night Games.
Troy 38, South Alabama 16
more to come...