Maddog4040 NCAAB 2016-17 Picks

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OVER Combined Totals Pick(s): Units to Play (1 to 6)
Monday, March 20, 2017 2 CS Bakersfield Colorado State 129.5

NOTE I let the line move on move (started at 127 yesterday...pissed I didn't get in early like normal but it is what it is and current line still has value, additionally it's backed by big money on the over - if you consider this a key factor in your plays).
 

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after last night's victory, i'm finally have lost zero units, leaving me with a 50% winning percentage (based on units played). NOTE this is still a loss (specifically the sportsbooks juice), as the payout is about 90% for a standard -110 line. however those who have followed know i changed my approach and it has been a very profitable turn around (from down 7 units to up 7 units (based on units played), this nets to zero but led to a very strong finish to the season).

overall, not going to push my luck further - i'm comfortable with my plays but i realize 95% or more of the season is done and time is not on my side to recoup a loss if it were to happen.

in the next day or so I will repost every single play as a formal recap.

below is the end results for 2016-17 as well as last year's record


OVERALL RECORD - 2016-17 NCAAB
Wins Losses Ties Win % (based on Picks) Total Picks Total Units Units Won Win % (based on Units Won)
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 36 40 0 47.37% 76 110 55 50.00%



Record since 2/9/17 - when I started weighing my picks/varying the units per pick
Wins Losses Ties Win % (based on Picks) Total Picks Total Units Units Won Win % (based on Units Won)
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 17 14 0 54.84% 31 65 36 55.38%


2015-16 Season Results (based on picks):
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 34 Wins / 23 Losses / 1 Ties / 58 Total Picks 59.65%
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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finish strong 4040, make the forum money
 

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OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):7 UNIT PLAY - LAST PLAY OF SEASONCS BakersfieldGeorgia Tech 123

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Pleased to announce with my victory tonight...7 unit play! Last game of season...im officially profitable...62 units won...played 117 units...52.99%

Overall, every season ive provided public plays has been profitable and look forward to future seasons across various sports
 

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OVERALL RECORD - 2016-17 NCAAB
Wins Losses Ties Win % (based on Picks) Total Picks Total Units Units Won Win % (based on Units Won)
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 37 40 0 48.05% 77 117 62 52.99%




RECORD SINCE I STARTED VARYING THE UNIT SIZE - 2016-17 NCAAB
Wins Losses Ties Win % (based on Picks) Total Picks Total Units Units Won Win % (based on Units Won)
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 18 14 0 56.25% 32 72 43 59.72%
 

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the next few messages will be all the picks for the season (77 games, 117 units played)
 

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DATEAWAYHOMELineUnits UNITS WON/LOSS AWAYHOMETOTAL +/-
1/11/2017Minnesota UMichigan State 139.01 (1)4765112 (27.00)
1/11/2017DaytonMassachusetts 142.51 (1)5567122 (20.50)
1/14/2017ValparaisoCleveland State 134.01 17867145 11.00
1/14/2017Texas StateSouth Alabama 132.01 16772139 7.00
1/14/2017Oregon StateOregon 131.51 (1)4385128 (3.50)
1/14/2017FurmanWofford 141.51 (1)5867125 (16.50)
1/16/2017Cleveland StateOakland 138.51 17665141 2.50
1/16/2017KansasIowa State 154.01 (1)7672148 (6.00)
1/17/2017Miami OhioNorthern Illinois 137.01 (1)5862120 (17.00)
1/18/2017MissouriAlabama 131.51 (1)5668124 (7.50)
1/19/2017ConnecticutSMU 122.01 (1)4969118 (4.00)
1/19/2017UABFlorida Atlantic 132.51 18078158 25.50
1/19/2017San DiegoLoyola Marymount 136.51 (1)6962131 (5.50)
1/19/2017Tennessee TechTennessee State 133.01 18074154 21.00
1/20/2017Cleveland StateWisc Milwaukee 127.01 (1)6263125 (2.00)
1/21/2017TowsonDelaware 129.51 17558133 3.50
1/21/2017Iowa StateOklahoma U 150.51 19287179 28.50
1/21/2017James MadisonCollege of Charleston 112.51 16073133 20.50
1/21/2017South AlabamaArkansas Little Rock 138.01 (1)5673129 (9.00)
1/21/2017Northern IowaSouthern Illinois 128.51 (1)5857115 (13.50)
1/21/2017Old DominionCharlotte U 134.01 17274146 12.00
1/21/2017UC DavisHawaii 134.51 17670146 11.50
1/21/2017NiagaraSt. Peter's 133.51 (1)5755112 (21.50)
1/22/2017Illinois ChicagoValparaiso 145.01 16596161 16.00
1/23/2017UL MonroeTexas State 124.01 (1)5763120 (4.00)
1/23/2017American UHoly Cross 116.01 15563118 2.00
1/24/2017RutgersMaryland 129.01 (1)5567122 (7.00)
1/25/2017Tennessee StateSIU Edwardsville 137.01 (1)7656132 (5.00)
1/25/2017BelmontEastern Illinois 144.51 (1)7764141 (3.50)
1/26/2017Cal Poly SLOCal Irvine 133.51 17966145 11.50
1/28/2017Texas StateCoastal Carolina 132.01 (1)5250102 (30.00)
1/28/2017James MadisonDelaware 119.01 16166127 8.00
1/28/2017South CarolinaMissouri 130.01 (1)6353116 (14.00)
1/28/2017Tennessee ChattanoogaEast Tennessee State 141.51 17176147 5.50
1/29/2017Wisc MilwaukeeOakland 138.51 17079149 10.50
1/29/2017Northern KentuckyValparaiso 143.51 (1)5865123 (20.50)
2/2/2017Michigan StateNebraska 135.01 (1)7261133 (2.00)
2/2/2017Florida InternationalOld Dominion 122.51 (1)5764121 (1.50)
2/2/2017ValparaisoWisc Milwaukee 131.01 (1)7153124 (7.00)
2/2/2017ArizonaOregon State 128.51 (1)7154125 (3.50)
2/2/2017Eastern IllinoisTennessee State 136.51 17767144 7.50
2/2/2017Portland StateIdaho 145.01 17289161 16.00
2/4/2017South DakotaNorth Dakota State 141.51 17666142 0.50
2/4/2017RadfordLiberty 120.51 (1)5457111 (9.50)
2/9/2017St. Peter'sQuinnipiac 137.01 (1)7645121 (16.00)
2/9/2017IdahoNorthern Colorado 134.05 58876164 30.00
2/14/2017DaytonSaint Louis 126.52 28563148 21.50
2/14/2017MaristSt. Peter's 127.03 (3)4671117 (10.00)
2/14/2017High PointLiberty 126.56 (6)5255107 (19.50)
2/15/2017FordhamRhode Island 131.01 (1)534396 (35.00)
2/18/2017Central FloridaEast Carolina 124.04 (4)6158119 (5.00)
2/19/2017ColgateLoyola Maryland 130.51 (1)6656122 (8.50)
2/19/2017Holy CrossAmerican U 109.51 16954123 13.50
2/22/2017Northern IowaIndiana State 124.01 15969128 4.00
2/22/2017Loyola MarylandHoly Cross 115.51 16263125 9.50
2/23/2017DelawareCollege of Charleston 123.56 66578143 19.50
2/24/2017Oregon StateCalifornia 123.02 (2)4676122 (1.00)
2/25/2017Western KentuckyOld Dominion 122.55 (5)5367120 (2.50)
2/25/2017Portland USan Diego 128.01 18285167 39.00
2/26/2017East CarolinaTulsa 129.01 17466140 11.00
2/27/2017South AlabamaTexas State 128.52 26490154 25.50
2/27/2017Norfolk StateHampton 136.01 (1)5963122 (14.00)
3/2/2017Old DominionUTEP 120.02 26261123 3.00
3/2/2017HawaiiUC Davis 134.01 (1)6859127 (7.00)
3/4/2017Texas StateUL Monroe 123.53 37065135 11.50
3/4/2017Old DominionTexas San Antonio 120.55 57355128 7.50
3/4/2017Robert MorrisMount St. Mary's 129.01 17566141 12.00
3/4/2017Sam Houston StateStephen F. Austin 135.51 (1)6456120 (15.50)
3/4/2017Grand CanyonCS Bakersfield 126.51 (1)5852110 (16.50)
3/5/2017Minnesota UWisconsin 132.51 (1)4966115 (17.50)
3/8/2017UNLVSan Diego State 129.01 (1)5262114 (15.00)
3/8/2017Oregon StateCalifornia 120.01 16267129 9.00
3/9/2017Cal RiversideCal Irvine 129.01 16776143 14.00
3/9/2017HowardMorgan State 130.51 16865133 2.50
3/11/2017Norfolk StateNC Central 130.01 (1)5967126 (4.00)
3/20/2017CS BakersfieldColorado State 129.52 28163144 14.50
3/28/2017CS BakersfieldGeorgia Tech 123.07 76176137 14.00

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