Had some time today and thought I would see if we can get some discussion and thoughts going on the eagles/panthers game......I have included some my my thoughts and some stats below.....who do you like?
| Week | Favorite | XLS Line | | | | | | |
| 6 | Carolina Panthers | -0.6
| | | | | | |
Offensive Stats | |
Defense | | | | | | |
| Home | Away | | | | Home | Away | League Average |
| Carolina | Philadelphia | League Avg | | | CAR | | |
| Item | 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | | Item | 2017 | 2017 | 2017 |
| # of Games Played | 5 | 5 | 4.8 | | # of Games Played | 5 | 5 | 4.8 |
| Points Scored | 21 | 27.4 | 21.9 | | Points Allowed | 18.8 | 19.8 | 21.9 |
| Yards Req'd Per Point | 16.6 | 15.0 | 16.0 | | Yards Per Pt Allow | 14.57 | 17.47 | 15.3 |
| RANKS | | | | | RANKS | | | |
| Yards Gained (1=GOOD) | 18 | 3 | 17 | | Yards Allow (1=BAD) | 31 | 11 | |
| Rushing Yards Gained | 20 | 5 | 17 | | Rushing Yards Allow | 28 | 32 | |
| Passing Yards Gained | 15 | 10 | 17 | | Passing Yards Allowed | 29 | 4 | |
| Yards/Game - Total | 349.4 | 411.2 | 351 | | Yards/Game - Total | 274 | 346 | 334 |
| | +61.8 | | | | | +72 | |
| Yards/Game - Pass | 250.8 | 272.4 | 243.2 | | Yards/Game - Pass | 194.2 | 283.2 | 227.1 |
| | +21.6 | | | | | +89 | |
| Yards/Game - Rush | 98.6 | 138.8 | 107.6 | | Yards/Game - Rush | 79.8 | 62.8 | 106.7 |
| | +40.2 | | | | +17 | | |
| Passing Attempts per Game | 30.4 | 35.4 | 34.2 | | Passed on Per Game | 33.8 | 39.4 | 34.3 |
| Completion % | 66% | 62% | 63% | | Completion % Allowed | 70% | 66% | 64% |
| Yards Per Pass Att | 8.3 | 7.7 | 7.1 | | Yards Allow Per Pass Att | 5.7 | 7.2 | 6.6 |
| +0.55 | | | | | | +1.44 | |
| Yards Per Pass Completion | 12.4 | 12.4 | 11.2 | | Yds Allow Pass Compl | 8.2 | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| +0.03 | | | | | | +2.74 | |
| Rushing Attempts per Game | 29.0 | 30.8 | 26.3 | | Rushing Att per Game | 19.8 | 16.0 | 126.7 |
| Yards per Rush | 3.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | | Yards per Rush | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| | +1.1 | | | | +0.11 | | |
| Sacks Taken | 15 | 13 | 12 | | Sacks | 17 | 12 | 12 |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 50% | 53% | 40% | | 3rd Down Conversion % | 38% | 35% | 40% |
| Fumbles Lost (pass) | x | x | x | | Forced Fumbles | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Fumbles Lost (rush) | 2 | 1 | | | | | | |
| INTs Thrown | 5 | 3 | 4 | | INTs (takeaways) | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Penalties # | 24 | 35 | 34 | | | | | |
| Penalty Yards | 218 | 327 | 286 | | | | | |
| 1st Downs/Game | 20.2 | 23 | 20 | | | | | |
| Passing TDs | 8 | 10 | 7 | | Passing TD Allowed | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Rushing TDs | 2 | 3 | 3 | | Rushing TD Allowed | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Carolina Offense vs. Philly Defense
Statistically, teams have been able to throw the ball on the eagles, although some of that comes against prevent defenses in meaningless games. Carolina has been around league average in terms of overall efficiency, requiring an average of 16.6 yards to score a point. Philly’s defense has had some bend but don’t break to it with teams having to gain on average 17.47 yards to score a point vs. league average of 15.3 yards. Teams have not rushed the ball much against the eagles as they have been leading and/or facing passing teams. Cam’s completion percentage is above league average at 66% and philly’s d is allowing a surprising 70% completion rate year to date.
Philly Offense vs. Carolina Defense
The Eagles offense has been explosive year to date scoring well above league average at 27.4 points per game and gaining a healthy 4.5 yards per carry on the ground and Blount has been rolling. The Eagles have been able to control time of possession this year, but go up against a Carolina defensive including allowing ~60 less yards per game than league average and putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks as evidenced by 17 sacks year to date. Carolina is a much better D than Philly has been shining against, will be a big prime time test.
Other Factors
Penalties - Carolina has been very disciplined, racking up only 24 penalties year to date (although 7 were last week). Philly has taken around the league average at 35. This works out to be about two more penalties per game than Carolina (and has cost them 110 more yards season to date).
Turnovers – Cam has protected the ball better the last few games, but has five INTs this year vs. only one pick on D. Wentz has thrown three and they have picked three.
Strength of Schedule
Philly: @Redskins, @Chiefs, Giants, @Chargers, Cardinals
Carolina: @49ers, bills, saints, @pats, @lions
Key Injuries: Olsen (Car); Johnson (right tackle) in concussion protocol for philly
Situation: short week, can be tough on road team....Carolina coming off back to back road victories........philly's last three opponents....meh...this will be a step up
Formula Line: Carolina -0.6
Current Line: Carolina -3.5
Value: Philly (2.9 points)
Pick: 1* philly +3.5
