Money Lines:
Favorites: 115-63 for +24.99 units
Underdogs: 35-34 for +10.13 units
Total: 130-83 for for +35.12 units
Run Lines: 4-5 for +0 unit
Parlays: 0-2 for -2.97 units
_____________________________________________________
Yet another day ruined by some tough beats yesterday. The Colorado loss I can live with, because they played awful and didn't deserve to win, despite being tying it up in the 11th and then having 2 on and 1 out with Atkins at the plate. But the Baltimore loss really stung. Washington couldn't do anything all day long, only to be handed the win by Danny Baez. But that's why they play the full 9 innings. On to today.
Boston +143: I'm really having trouble comprehending this line. Let's run down a few stats here. The Yankees are barely .500 at home this year and are 4 games under .500 overall. The Sox are 14-6 on the road this year (20-6 last 26 road games) and 17 games over .500 overall. Boston has won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams, along with 4 of the last 5 in Yankee Stadium. Boston has a road ERA of 2.59 while NY has a home ERA of 5.21. Wakefield is 4-4 on the year with a 2.41 ERA while Wang is 2-3 with a 4.54 ERA. The Sox are 5-4 this year as an underdog, including their last matchup in Yankee Stadium against Wang when they won as more than a 2-1 dog with Julian Taverez pitching. The Yankees have won 2 of their last 8 games as favorites.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees have gone 3-7 while batting .255. Conversely, the Sox have gone 7-3 while batting .282 over that span. If we look at the bullpens, we also see quite a mismatch. NY's bullpen has put up an ERA of 4.18 on the year while Boston's pen has an ERA of 2.96. Finally, while the Yankees have hit Wakefield at times in the past (4.61 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, .232 BAA), the Sox have hit Wang much harder (5.05 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, .302 BAA). And after all this, I'm supposed to believe that not only do the Yankees deserve to be favored, but at -143? Sorry, I'll take Wakefield and his 1.39 road ERA over Wang and his 5.31 home ERA. 1 unit to win 1.??.*
*When I wrote this out, the available line on Matchbook was +143. It has now dropped to +140, so I will wait to see what line I can get and then post the line that I play. I assume that with all the Yankee backers I see here today, this line will go up again.
More to come later. BOL to everyone on their cards today.
Favorites: 115-63 for +24.99 units
Underdogs: 35-34 for +10.13 units
Total: 130-83 for for +35.12 units
Run Lines: 4-5 for +0 unit
Parlays: 0-2 for -2.97 units
_____________________________________________________
Yet another day ruined by some tough beats yesterday. The Colorado loss I can live with, because they played awful and didn't deserve to win, despite being tying it up in the 11th and then having 2 on and 1 out with Atkins at the plate. But the Baltimore loss really stung. Washington couldn't do anything all day long, only to be handed the win by Danny Baez. But that's why they play the full 9 innings. On to today.
Boston +143: I'm really having trouble comprehending this line. Let's run down a few stats here. The Yankees are barely .500 at home this year and are 4 games under .500 overall. The Sox are 14-6 on the road this year (20-6 last 26 road games) and 17 games over .500 overall. Boston has won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams, along with 4 of the last 5 in Yankee Stadium. Boston has a road ERA of 2.59 while NY has a home ERA of 5.21. Wakefield is 4-4 on the year with a 2.41 ERA while Wang is 2-3 with a 4.54 ERA. The Sox are 5-4 this year as an underdog, including their last matchup in Yankee Stadium against Wang when they won as more than a 2-1 dog with Julian Taverez pitching. The Yankees have won 2 of their last 8 games as favorites.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees have gone 3-7 while batting .255. Conversely, the Sox have gone 7-3 while batting .282 over that span. If we look at the bullpens, we also see quite a mismatch. NY's bullpen has put up an ERA of 4.18 on the year while Boston's pen has an ERA of 2.96. Finally, while the Yankees have hit Wakefield at times in the past (4.61 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, .232 BAA), the Sox have hit Wang much harder (5.05 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, .302 BAA). And after all this, I'm supposed to believe that not only do the Yankees deserve to be favored, but at -143? Sorry, I'll take Wakefield and his 1.39 road ERA over Wang and his 5.31 home ERA. 1 unit to win 1.??.*
*When I wrote this out, the available line on Matchbook was +143. It has now dropped to +140, so I will wait to see what line I can get and then post the line that I play. I assume that with all the Yankee backers I see here today, this line will go up again.
More to come later. BOL to everyone on their cards today.