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Alibaba surges more than 11% after it ups share buyback program to $25 billion​


KEY POINTS
  • Alibaba said on Tuesday it will increase the size of its share buyback program from $15 billion to $25 billion, effective for a two-year period through March 2024.
  • The Chinese e-commerce giant’s Hong Kong-listed stock surged more than 11%.
  • Alibaba appointed Weijian Shan, executive chairman of investment group PAG, to the its board as an independent director, replacing Ericsson CEO Börje Ekholm.]
Alibaba’s Hong Kong-listed stock closed more than 11% on Tuesday after the Chinese e-commerce giant said it would increase the size of its share buyback program from $15 billion to $25 billion.
The share repurchase scheme will be effective for a two-year period through March 2024, the company said.

Alibaba has bought back about 56.2 million American depositary shares (ADRs), worth about $9.2 billion, under the previously announced buyback program. ADRs are listed in the U.S. and act as proxies for foreign companies.
The Hangzhou-headquartered e-commerce giant is looking to boost investor confidence as its shares have lost around two-thirds of their value since hitting an all-time high in October 2020.
“Alibaba’s stock price does not fairly reflect the company’s value given our robust financial health and expansion plans,” the company’s Deputy Chief Financial Officer Toby Xu said in a statement.
Alibaba has faced a number of issues including macroeconomic headwindsand continued regulatory tightening from the Chinese government that led authorities to slap the company with a $2.8 billion antitrust fine last year.

China introduced sweeping new rules across the technology industry, often without warning, over the past 14 months. The moves shook investor confidence and wiped billions of dollars of value off the country’s publicly-listed giants.
On Tuesday, Alibaba also appointed Weijian Shan, executive chairman of Hong Kong-headquartered investment group PAG, to the its board as an independent director, effective March 31. Shan will serve on the board’s audit committee. He will replace Börje Ekholm, CEO of the telecommunications equipment giant Ericsson, who will retire from Alibaba’s board.
 

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With the global cloud computing market expected to grow from $445.3B in 2021 to $947.3B in 2026, at a CAGR of 16.3%, it is evident that BABA has plenty of room for growth given its current market penetration globally.
 

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What you should know about bear markets.​

There have been several instances of near-bear markets in recent decades, but it’s rare for them to hit the threshold.
absolutely ..Powell saying the rate will be low is one thing to consider ..given the fact I do think inflation or stagflation is on the horizon keeping rates low is going to be hard fundamentally without the FED providing more liquidity to institutions.
You can fight the FED.TLT trades will get more attractive as the rates near zero. I'm going to stay on the sideline and watch until the FED exhausts itself. Right now they're buying the treasury debt up and down the curve, mortgages, corporate debt (never been done) but I will be standing aside for now reluctantly..I cant figure out what's going to happen but it kept me up in the middle of the night last night.

Happy flipping this week..I won't call this trading.
stagflation ...it took a while but here we have it
 

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Big trouble​


B****

Note that the S&P 500 fell 1.2% on Monday. Below is a brief summary of the day’s market events. To read the full report from Morgan Stanley Wealth Management,
  • The S&P 500 Index fell 1.2% to 3,854 by the close of trading Monday. With the decline, the index is now down 19.1% year to date.

  • US equity markets traded lower ahead of a busy calendar week for economic data, the start of second quarter earnings on Thursday, and news of new COVID related lockdowns in China. Investors await Wednesday's CPI release with expectations for headline CPI of 8.8% y/y as well as Financial company 2Q22 earnings reports later this week.

  • Two of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed higher Monday, as Utilities (+0.6%) and Real Estate (+0.01%) outperformed the broad market while Communication Services (-2.8%) and Consumer Discretionary (-2.8%) lagged.

  • As of the 4pm equity market close, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 2.98%, while 2-year yields declined to 3.06%, resulting in the yield curve being inverted for the fifth straight session. WTI oil fell to $103.7 per barrel, while the US Dollar Index was up 1.1% to levels last seen in December 2002.

Sincerely,
Graystone Santa Rosa


 

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I'm good staying away from prime numbers with outrageous values...but thanks
 

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AVDL is looking secure IMO..They have loads of cash and JAZZ needs them... The FDA should make a call shortly
Very little downside on the Data..

22 dollar target placed on AVDL yesterday by a decent analyst.
Should see major upside shortly..buy out coming...
 

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$12-$15 incoming short-term. Deeper pockets should feel good about stepping in and the FDA full-approval should happen as soon as fiscal March with Q2 rollout. Longs...congrats. Enjoy the run. Also expect some give and take...big rises...small pullbacks...and so forth. This will now ladder up with the short float and hit a nice peak on launch date. Maybe we hear some news on the BO interest as well. Although I'm quite certain we will be the last to know. Full FDA approval will make this a clear BO target. Don't forget the management setting up their stock guarantees with the filing ly in the case of a company BO or partnership. The Avadel ship has officially set sail.
Bullish
 

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This is what I've been gaming on happening here for the past 2 years with AVDL
NYT today.

A Drug Company Exploited a Safety Requirement to Make Money​

With a history as a date rape drug, a medication needed strict distribution controls. Its maker, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, used that to delay competition.
  • Feb. 28, 2023
  • 6 MIN READ
The pharmaceutical industry is rife with tales of companies dreaming up ways to prolong their monopolies on lucrative drugs. They tinker with chemicals. They tweak dosing. They swap out capsules for tablets.
By piling up patents, drug companies delay the day when competitors can introduce similar, cheaper products.
Jazz Pharmaceuticals has figured out a way to push the boundaries even further — a feat that demonstrates the lengths to which drug makers go to eke out extra profits and that two federal courts have now ruled was improper.
Jazz’s most important product is a medication for the sleep disorder narcolepsy. The company patented the drug’s formulation. But Jazz also went further, arming itself with a new weapon to block competition.
Because of the drug’s serious side effects and its history of being abused for date rape, federal regulators required Jazz to come up with a plan to ensure that the drug was safely distributed to patients without falling into unintended hands. Jazz’s program included having a single pharmacy nationwide send the medication directly to patients.

Jazz took the unusual step of patenting that safety program and then listing those patents in a federal registry known as the Orange Book. Under an obscure federal rule, if a rival contested one of the patents in certain circumstances, federal regulators would be barred for more than two years from approving that competitor’s product.
That was precisely the strategy that Jazz deployed when a rival was poised to introduce an improved version of the drug.
Jazz’s narcolepsy drug, which is used by thousands of patients, is enormously lucrative, generating more than $13 billion in revenue since Jazz acquired it in 2005. Medicare now spends hundreds of millions of dollars annually for it. The drug accounted for 58 percent of Jazz’s revenue in 2021.
In other words, for every month that Jazz could delay the arrival of competition, the company and its shareholders stood to benefit financially.

But the tactics deprived narcolepsy patients of access to a new drug that was much easier to take.
Patent law experts say Jazz’s strategy of enforcing the patent on how the drug is distributed has strayed far from the ostensible purpose of the U.S. intellectual property regime, which is meant to reward drug makers for taking risks to develop and improve innovative products. The case, they say, is an egregious example of how drug companies exploit the patent system to shield their products from competition for as long as possible.
“It has very little to do with all of the reasons why we allow the patenting of drugs,” said Michael Carrier, a drug patent expert at Rutgers Law School in Camden, N.J. “A lot of this stuff is just a computer program.”
Jazz’s strategy has been criticized by the Federal Trade Commission and knocked down in court. A federal court in Delaware ruled in November that the company had inappropriately used the Orange Book to block the drug from its rival, Avadel Pharmaceuticals. Jazz appealed, and a federal circuit court on Friday upheld the lower court’s ruling.
The ruling won’t have a big impact on the availability of Avadel’s product, which was going to come to market in the coming months regardless of the court’s decision. But it is important because it shows there may be limits to how far the drug industry can go in exploiting the patent system to lock out rivals.
Aimee Christian, a spokeswoman for Jazz, defended the company’s patent strategy but said Jazz would comply with the court’s order to request that its patent be removed from the Orange Book, which is named for its brightly colored cover page.
“We remain confident in the strength of our patent portfolio and will continue to appropriately defend our intellectual property as we continue to focus on ensuring the safety of patients on oxybate therapy,” she said, referring to the company’s narcolepsy drug.
Since 2005, Jazz has enjoyed a near monopoly on treating the main symptoms of narcolepsy, which include excessive daytime sleepiness, loss of muscle control and interrupted sleep. Jazz sells two versions of its drug, called Xyrem and Xywav.
The list price of the highest dose of each version is now more than $200,000 annually, according to SSR Health, a data company. Xyrem is now 19 times as expensive as it was in 2007, when SSR began tracking it.
Jazz’s medication is a pharmaceutical-grade derivative of gamma-hydroxybutyric acid, or GHB, which is tightly regulated because of its history of abuse as a date rape drug after health food stores sold it as a dietary supplement in the late 1980s.
GHB was first synthesized and tested in the 1960s. Jazz, which is legally domiciled in Ireland but has many top executives based in California, did not do the original development work on the prescription version of the drug; the company acquired it nearly three years after its first approval.
Both versions of Jazz’s medication come as a bottled liquid. Patients mix it with water and drink it. Patients must take two doses daily: the first at bedtime and the second up to four hourslater.
Brian Mahn, a 53-year-old consultant in Cypress, Texas, said he had to stop taking Xyrem several years ago because the dosing schedule was too difficult. He would sleep through the multiple alarms he set between 2:30 and 3 a.m., disrupting his family. Mr. Mahn would often take the second dose too late, leaving him with such severe brain fog in the morning that he was unable to drive to work.
Avadel’s product, Lumryz, shares the same drug substance as Xyrem but comes as a powder and, crucially, has an easier dosing schedule. Avadel’s powder is taken only once daily at bedtime, so patients don’t have to wake up in the middle of the night.
Because of that advantage, many patients are expected to switch to the Avadel drug once it becomes available.
Jazz decided to take action to defend its golden goose. Its strategy hinged on the federally mandated safety program, known as Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies, or REMS, that it had patented and listed in the Orange Book.
Jazz’s REMS program consisted of a computerized system for tracking which physicians can prescribe a drug and having a single pharmacy ship the drug to patients nationwide.
About a decade ago, Jazz received seven patents related to its REMS program, and it listed them in the Food and Drug Administration’s Orange Book, according to an analysis by Mr. Carrier.
One of those patents, granted and listed in 2014, is at the center of Jazz’s dispute with Avadel.
Listing a patent in the Orange Book had important implications. Under a 1984 federal law, if a drug company accuses a rival of infringing on a patent in the Orange Book in certain circumstances, the F.D.A. cannot approve the competitor’s drug for at least 30 months.
The catch is that only certain types of drug patents — such as those protecting a medication itself or a method of using it — are allowed to be listed in the Orange Book. It is unclear how a REMS program, which is a system for getting the drug from a pharmacy to patients, fits either definition.
Because of those limitations, it is unusual but not unprecedented for a drug company to patent a REMS program and list it in the Orange Book.
Jazz has taken this strategy to a new level, with its chief executive even bragging to investors about how its REMS patents would make it hard for a manufacturer of generic drugs to set up its own REMS program.
Before the Avadel case, Jazz had sued nine companies that sought authorization for a generic version of Xyrem, accusing them of infringing on Jazz’s REMS patents. The strategy worked: Those manufacturers reached settlements with Jazz agreeing to delay the introduction of their products.
Experts in drug patents said such tactics were an abuse of the patent system.
REMS programs are “supposed to promote drug safety,” said Dr. Aaron Kesselheim, a professor of medicine at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School. “That’s not supposed to be a mechanism for extending revenue streams.”
In 2020, Avadel asked the F.D.A. to approve its powdered narcolepsy drug. Over the next two years, Jazz filed a barrage of lawsuits claiming that Avadel was infringing on various patents. Included in those was a suit last summer that accused Avadel of violating the 2014 REMS patent in the Orange Book.

Because of the 1984 federal law, the lawsuit automatically meant that for 30 months, the F.D.A. couldn’t approve Avadel’s drug, even though, days after the suit was filed, the agency determined that the product was safe and effective.

In this case, the automatic delay was to last only about 12 months, not 30, because Jazz’s REMS patent was set to expire on June 17.

Jazz’s lawyers, at the firms Sidley Austin and Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan, argued that Jazz’s REMS program represented “a method of using” the drug for the purposes of being included in the Orange Book.

But both federal courts rejected that argument, ruling that Jazz’s patent was inappropriately listed in the Orange Book because the REMS program was not related to the drug itself or to a method of using it. As a result, Jazz should not have been able to delay the F.D.A.’s approval of the rival drug.

“We have considered Jazz’s remaining arguments and find them unpersuasive,” judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit wrote in their ruling on Friday.
 

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currently 9.75 OPPENHEIMER just put a $20 price target on AVDL. They are conservative.
 

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currently 9.75 OPPENHEIMER just put a $20 price target on AVDL. They are conservative.
ADVL 13.50...Not the time to buy ,,Without a BO this will be a few year hold,,,potential 50 dollar stock
 

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I’m thinking above 20 in a few days. Once Jazz can document loss of patients they will be able to get around antitrust issues. This will begin to happen shortly. That makes AVDL likely to be offered BO in 30s. Personally, I have a good size position and would like to hold out until sales are underway. That will give more value including Jazz penalties. I’m sure it will go for much higher at that time.
 

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Hey Boz - wow, ADVL finally making a run! I got out of it a long time ago, sadly.

Hope you're doing well!

R/ CB
 

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AVDL primed for a buy out @ 14.20 today..

27.00 easily as a target price
 

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AVDL has returned more than 5x since summer 2022 (less than 22 months ago). it has another double coming next 12 months ...
 

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AVDL more room to run..

18.09 at the close
Going over $18.80 today, over $20 before Friday. Shorted big time..problem being how do over 11 million shares cover these shorts? could run to 25.00
 

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