Illinois @ Iowa +4.5 with in-depth analysis

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Both Clark and Sanders will accompany the Iowa captains to the center of the field for the pre-game coin-flip. They will also be with the Hawkeyes on the sidelines and in the locker room before and after the game.

TO BAD THEY ARE NOT ALLOWED TO SUIT UP..........
 

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As an iowa state student and watching state beat iowa but lose to kent state, then watching the hawkeyes not put up point last weekend til the second or third half i will be on the other side. GL with your wager tho.The hawkeyes offense is struggling and they let up points on D.
 

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The last 22 road games mean nothing. They were playing with Iowa, OSU, and Michigan's rejects at that time. Now they're playing with kids that those schools wanted.

The homecrowd will give Iowa an edge, but the roster of Illinois kids won't. Iowa can stop PJ Hill, but can they stop a triple option with 2 playmakers? Can they stop the screen passes to Arrelious Benn? How is Iowa going to score? They aren't going to be able to run it, their QB is below average, and their receivers are hurt. Iowa shows heart in this, but they are outmatched. Illinois 27-10.
 

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The last 22 road games mean nothing. They were playing with Iowa, OSU, and Michigan's rejects at that time. Now they're playing with kids that those schools wanted.

Very good point

The homecrowd will give Iowa an edge, but the roster of Illinois kids won't. Iowa can stop PJ Hill, but can they stop a triple option with 2 playmakers? Can they stop the screen passes to Arrelious Benn? How is Iowa going to score? They aren't going to be able to run it, their QB is below average, and their receivers are hurt. Iowa shows heart in this, but they are outmatched. Illinois 27-10.

The under 44 is a very good play, as is the Iowa team under. I would be shocked if they scored more than 17.
 

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Fishhead have you ever bet against Iowa? It seems you let your emotions get in the way of handicapping the game failry and not looking for trends that favor Iowa. I like the breakdown but question your loyalty towards Iowa and do not know if you really like the handicapping angle.

Mario Dolbin
 

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5. If Iowa has any strength, it is their ability to stop the run..........and this is exactly what the talented running game will attempt against Iowa. I certainly do not like the fact that Iowas MLB may be out in this game, as he is a very good one. Iowa still has a very good front 6-7 on defense.........many with NFL potential. A concern here is the ILLINOIS QB.......as he can scramble and in the past these types of caused Iowa trouble in the past few years and this is something to be leary of throughout this game.
So this would benefit the under in your opinion right? Worst case scenario what is the final score here? I would say 35-17 or something.
 

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The last 22 road games mean nothing. They were playing with Iowa, OSU, and Michigan's rejects at that time. Now they're playing with kids that those schools wanted.

The homecrowd will give Iowa an edge, but the roster of Illinois kids won't. Iowa can stop PJ Hill, but can they stop a triple option with 2 playmakers? Can they stop the screen passes to Arrelious Benn? How is Iowa going to score? They aren't going to be able to run it, their QB is below average, and their receivers are hurt. Iowa shows heart in this, but they are outmatched. Illinois 27-10.


:103631605 agree 100 percent, minus the part about Iowa showing heart. Illinois wins this one 38-10.
 

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I have recieved numerous inquires(mostly by email) for me to give out more selections with ANALYSIS as I did last week in the offshore forum............thus I will do so here.


Had Florida Atlantic and Florida both covering the number last week and of course the relatively easy winner with the Bills on MNF which we discussed at length about here in the offshore forum.

This week my thoughts are concerning the ILLINOIS visiting the Hawkeyes at Kinnick Stadium.

First off, it is always rather difficult in teams of handicapping a game that involves a team where your heart lies greatly, in this case Iowa with me.........but this is the game that to me presents the biggest possible edge for myself since I've viewed both teams quite a bit this year.

To begin with, this fits the BILLS MNF game in many facets. Lets look at two of those first off.

1. The Illinois, much like DAL, is a very good football team, but overrated at this time much like the Cowboys I believe still are to most.

2. The Hawkeyes, much like the Bills, are being crucified by not only the national media, but by many of their loyal fans as well, making this team underrated at this time........or better stated, not as bad as many think they are.

Now having said that, the Hawks are reeling in major injuries as they have lost their top THREE recievers since game one of the season.......two WR and TE...........and know their highly touted MLB Klinkenburg is ?? for the game this Saturday.

Let's get to my opinion/play here.

I like IOWA +4.5 and hopefully more and here is my reasoning other than what I stated above..............

1. WAGERLINE is showing 70% leaning towards the Fighting Illini in this affair.

2. The game opened at -3.5 and is up to 4.5 now.

3. The Illini are a misearable 3-19 on the road in their last 21 games.

4. Next is something that came to me last evening as I was thinking of this game and that is how many players are from Illinios on the Iowa roster and viceversa. Well I did the research and the result is what I expected. The Illinois has one player from the state of Iowa.........whereas the Hawkeyes have thirteen players from the state of Illinois. However small, I do believe this plays a factor emotionally in this game and is something John Q. Bettor would not even consider----edge to us.

5. If Iowa has any strength, it is their ability to stop the run..........and this is exactly what the talented running game will attempt against Iowa. I certainly do not like the fact that Iowas MLB may be out in this game, as he is a very good one. Iowa still has a very good front 6-7 on defense.........many with NFL potential. A concern here is the ILLINOIS QB.......as he can scramble and in the past these types of caused Iowa trouble in the past few years and this is something to be leary of throughout this game.

6.

IOWA CITY, IA - Former Iowa all-Americans Dallas Clark and Bob Sanders have been selected Iowa's honorary captains for Saturday's contest against Illinois. The Hawkeyes face the Illini in a televised game with kickoff set for 11:02 a.m. in sold out Kinnick Stadium.
Both Sanders and Clark are starters with the defending Super Bowl Champion Indianapolis Colts. Sanders is a defensive back and Clark a tight end.
Clark, a three-year letterman (2000-2002), was a consensus all-American with the Hawkeyes. He was named winner of the 2002 John Mackey Award as the top tight end in collegiate football. He is still 21st on Iowa's all-time receiving charts with 1,281 yards. He was an important part of Iowa's 2002 Big Ten championship team. He caught 81 career passes and had eight touchdowns.
Clark has been just as important to the world champion Colts as their starting tight end. He was selected as the 24th pick in the first round of the 2003 NFL draft.
Sanders lettered four times (2000-03) with the Hawkeyes as a defensive back from Erie, PA. He was an all-American as a senior. He was also a team captain and MVP during his final season with the Hawkeyes. He was a three-time member of the first all-Big Ten team. He still ranks ninth in career tackles at Iowa with 348. He had seven career interceptions and 16 tackles for loss. He's considered, pound-for-pound, one of the hardest hitters in Iowa football history. Sanders took his talents to the NFL where he was selected as the 44th pick in the 2004 draft (the first pick of the Colts). He was named to the AFC's Pro Bowl team last year and is considered one of the most valuable defensive players in the NFL. <!-- STORY AD BEGINS HERE -->


Both Clark and Sanders will accompany the Iowa captains to the center of the field for the pre-game coin-flip. They will also be with the Hawkeyes on the sidelines and in the locker room before and after the game.


If I have information to pass along before game time, will do so here.



so you're picking Iowa because the Bills covered against Dallas last week? Call me John Q, but your analysis makes me like my Illinois play even more.

:think2::think2:
 

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so you're picking Iowa because the Bills covered against Dallas last week? Call me John Q, but your analysis makes me like my Illinois play even more.

:think2::think2:

There are MINOR similarities........two of which I pointed out.

Did you not read the entire post?
 

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There are MINOR similarities........two of which I pointed out.

Did you not read the entire post?

ya I did. I guess I just don't agree with you that Illinois is overrated right now. They are easily a top 25 team this year. I might even go a far and say they are still underrated.
 

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ya I did. I guess I just don't agree with you that Illinois is overrated right now. They are easily a top 25 team this year. I might even go a far and say they are still underrated.

I can certainly understand that..........they are definetly a good football team and perhaps even better than I give them credit for.

The Hawkeyes will indeed have to play their best game of the year to cover the spread.
 

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My biggest concern in this game is the Iowa kicking game and the loss of all big ten Lb Klickenburg(a longshot to play says Ferentz).................and of course the explosiveness of the Illini offense.
 

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My biggest concern in this game is the Iowa kicking game and the loss of all big ten Lb Klickenburg(a longshot to play says Ferentz).................and of course the explosiveness of the Illini offense.

My biggest concern right now is actually CC Sabathia...........way more than this Iowa game.

Tonights game should be a thriller at the FENS.

By the way, if BOS wins tonight, I really like CLEVE in game two..........perhaps even more so than this Iowa game. Hopefully BOS can win this evening to set this oppurtunity up.
 

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exactly you keep talking about Iowa injuries, and how they have had trouble with running qbs, and then say they will have to play their best game to date to cover the spread. I'm still confused why you are on Iowa.

:think2:
 

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exactly you keep talking about Iowa injuries, and how they have had trouble with running qbs, and then say they will have to play their best game to date to cover the spread. I'm still confused why you are on Iowa.

:think2:


By the same token, the ILLINI will have to play their best game of the year to cover the 4.5 pts.............yes, I believe this is a tougher game for Illinois than their game last week.

Look at how great Illinois played last week..........well, this game is basically the same spread.........and it's a road game.

This will be a bigger win for Illinois than them beating a very, very, very overhyped Wisky team in my mind..........a team Iowa should have beaten at Wisky and let them off the hook.

This is not saying Iowa is a good team, but very average much like Wisky..............
 

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If Iowa can provide a little offense...and I mean a little, they have a chance. IS 14 points or close too much to ask? Iowa is not the normal Iowa team but look at their home record in the last 5 years. Great coach too.
 

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If Iowa can provide a little offense...and I mean a little, they have a chance. IS 14 points or close too much to ask? Iowa is not the normal Iowa team but look at their home record in the last 5 years. Great coach too.

If Iowa can provide some holes, they still have two of the best RB's in the Big Ten in Simms and Young..............let's not forget this.
 

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Fishhead your pushing this game to maybe move the line?

I will watch RX Line Service closely to see
 

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