That is true, and I'm not exactly happy about that. You can go the other way, treating the nice + lines as opportunity plays. I think the Cubs are unfairly priced and might be a possible option against the Phillies, which have had a lot of days of cold bats this year. But then again the Cubs are horribly managed and have poor field defense. Mets and Mariners are also weaker teams that can also rear up when you least expect it. I also think the Nats have good hitting on their side this year and can surprise you. Bottom line is that I'm hoping to hit 65-70+% of the heavy favorites and come out on top.
A good dog bet today is the RedSox (+120). Sabathia is good but I think Beckett has the edge. Actually playing it (light, with a Jays OVER parlay. If the Jays come in UNDER I'll probably rebet it straight up), but not going to list in my favored plays.
Well, the Braves game isn't over, but it might was well be. (It's not top of the 7th, Braves down 7-0). Lowe had done such a good job on his last outing (and I had bet against him then), I thought he would be pretty good tonight. But I'm not seeing the same energy.
I made some tiny other plays (Diamondbacks, Brewers), but Braves were the big one. Dang.
I made some tiny other plays (Diamondbacks, Brewers), but Braves were the big one. Dang.
