Green Bay Packers open 3 Point Favorites at Chicago Bears ??

[RenoChazz]

Yep and the Packers would be 6 to 7 pt favs n GB.

that would put the game at a pickem or -1 on the road no-3.5
the line IMO is purposely off by about 3 to 3.5 points in favor of the bears

 

[PatsFan1283]

Ill take GB. Rodgers is an animal

Besides special teams I don't see anything the bears do better than GB. Bears strength is their run D but who cares GB doesn't run the ball anyway.

 

[codeworks]

If that's the case then this number(almost 3.5) is too high. 3.5 not that different from 6. Home/road flip should be worth a lot more. 3.5 road fave ought to be -8 at least at home.

maybe -7.5 or 8 I think the Packers road playoff performance sets this at -3. A peek into the forcast looks good for the Packers offense.

Sun
Jan 23


Partly Cloudy



25°
16°


20%

 

[TonyMar]

I trust Rodgers, I do not trust Cutler, plain and simple.
I'll lay the three and continue to ride the Packer train through the SB.

martz is the wildcard...He can meltdown w/playcalling at anytime...

i have a hard time trusting martz in this spot vs capers...

rodgers is getting alot of 'pub'...But i have been impressed by the way the packer defense has been playing

 

[hockey8799]

Packers will win by 10+ points..I love them to win the super bowl..thinking super bowl odds are pitts 5/2 packers 3-1 bers 7-1 jets 10-1..thoughts..

 

[X-Files]

The oddsmakers are looking for equal action on both sides. If this thread
is any indication, they will get it.

Personally, though, i think this game should be about a pk or no more
than 2.5 either way.

 

[Fishhead]

The oddsmakers are looking for equal action on both sides. If this thread
is any indication, they will get it.

Personally, though, i think this game should be about a pk or no more
than 2.5 either way.[/QUOTE]


Why?

 

[steaktartar]

3 -25 on screen and some 3 1/2's offscreen already popping up..

 

[X-Files]

Why?

I'd make GB a 6 or 7 point favorite at home, and 2.5 to 3.5 in Miami or Dallas.
The present line [-3 -125] says they should be about -10 at home.

 

[Fishhead]

I'd make GB a 6 or 7 point favorite at home, and 2.5 to 3.5 in Miami.
The present line says they should be about -10 at home.

Anything less than GB -3 at CHICAGO is a bad line..........plain fact.

 

[X-Files]

Anything less than GB -3 at CHICAGO is a bad line..........plain fact.

In the sense that the oddsmakers don't care what the right line should be,
since their main concern is what will produce equal action {make money
for their employers, i.e. the books}.

 

[Fishhead]

in the sense that the oddsmakers don't care what the right line should be,
since their main concern is what will produce equal action {make money
for their employers, i.e. The books}.

huh?

 

[X-Files]

huh?

The books are out to make money, not set right lines. So in opening at 2.5 they either
made a mistake or wanted to sucker people into betting on GB. Of course they already
knew that the Bears beat the Packers at Chicago in their only meaningful encounter
this season. But they are also aware that GB is a public team being hyped by the media.
OTOH this will be the visitors third road game in a row, while the home dogs are better
rested relaxing in the Windy city.

 

[Fishhead]

]The books are out to make money, not set right lines. So in opening at 2.5 they either
made a mistake or wanted to sucker people into betting on GB[/B]. Of course they already
knew that the Bears beat the Packers at Chicago in their only meaningful encounter
this season. But they are also aware that GB is a public team being hyped by the media.
OTOH this will be the visitors third road game in a row, while the home dogs are better
rested relaxing in the Windy city.

INCORRECT

They are out to set CORRECT LINES and and line does not become CORRECT until everyone has wagered into that line..........they are not trying to sucker anyone into anything, that is a recipe for disaster.

 

[X-Files]

Chicago +3.5 -108 @ Pinnacle now looks tempting, but let's see if it will get to 4 or higher.

 

[X-Files]

INCORRECT

They are out to set CORRECT LINES and and line does not become CORRECT until everyone has wagered into that line..........they are not trying to sucker anyone into anything, that is a recipe for disaster.

So are you saying the closing line is the correct one? What happens when
there are two different closing lines, say 6.5 and 7? Can both be right?

 

[Fishhead]

So are you saying the closing line is the correct one? What happens when
there are two different closing lines, say 6.5 and 7? Can both be right?

The correct closing line would be at the more respected shop(s) and/or the one that has the most handle..........

In a very big game like these title games that draws tons of action, a good indicator would be the closing number at MATCHBOOK.

By the way, my opener on this game was PACKERS -2.5..........not a good line.

 

[X-Files]

The correct closing line would be at the more respected shop(s) and/or the one that has the most handle..........

In a very big game like these title games that draws tons of action, a good indicator would be the closing number at MATCHBOOK.

By the way, my opener on this game was PACKERS -2.5..........not a good line.

You seem confident the line will not return to close at 2.5.

 

[Fishhead]

You seem confident the line will not return to close at 2.5.

One will not see the PACKERS lower than -2.5 -120 again............

 

[RenoChazz]

One will not see the PACKERS lower than -2.5 -120 again............

I agree with that. but line makers do take in account that they wont get even action on all games. In fact lots of the times the action is very lopsided. They will give themselves extra advantage in these situations.