Friday 9/1/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Pesos]

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Arlington - Race #2 - Post: 3:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: 4

#3 TOLL GUARD (ML=5/2)


TOLL GUARD - A repeat of that latest race on July 22nd where he earned a speed figure of 67 looks good enough to win in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 INSURGENT (ML=6/5), #1 SMART LIKE A FOX (ML=7/2), #2 CROWN MOMENT (ML=6/1),

INSURGENT - In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in sprint contests of late. SMART LIKE A FOX - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests recently. Not likely to see him doing it today either. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to earn a much better speed fig than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint. CROWN MOMENT - This gelding hasn't had any recent success in short distance contests. I find it hard to wager on him in this event. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's affair. Mark this mount as a possibly overvalued equine.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 TOLL GUARD to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Pesos]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Elko County Fair

Elko County Fair - Race 4

$2 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $2 Trifecta($1 Box)


Allowance • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $3,000 • Post: 2:15P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (OPEN TO MIXED BREEDS).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * A BIT OF MYSTERY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GL BURNING TEQUILA: Quarter horse has the highe st last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DK SPECIALK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
A BIT OF MYSTERY
6/1

3/1
1
GL BURNING TEQUILA
4/1

4/1
6
DK SPECIALK
10/1

7/1

 

[Pesos]

The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000, IF FOR $30,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 ALSO HOT 9/5

# 3 FERNET ME NOT 10/1

# 4 SHINE ON ME 12/1

I've got to go with ALSO HOT. This group is much less demanding than the last one she faced. Must be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Has been travelling admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. FERNET ME NOT - Has longshot potential and could score at a big price. Should be carefully examined based on the respectable speed rating posted in the last race. SHINE ON ME - pesos Badilla has a formidable 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.

 

[Pesos]

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 6:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: 4

#10 HOUSE ACCOUNT (ML=6/1)
#6 DI MAESTRO (ML=4/1)


HOUSE ACCOUNT - Turning for home is when this one will make a solid move. A great chance to win this race. Have to give this thoroughbred a serious look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figures on the turf at this distance. DI MAESTRO - When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This beautiful animal has the highest average class in the entire bunch. Coming off a fifth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may pass this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DIAMOND SQUARE (ML=3/1), #8 FOREVER ADMIRAL (ML=9/2), #7 NEVER BURN A COPY (ML=8/1),

DIAMOND SQUARE - This less than sharp equine hasn't won at this racing venue. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a much better speed rating than in the last race to vie in this turf route. FOREVER ADMIRAL - Trying to beat this thoroughbred in today's event at the value of 9/2. NEVER BURN A COPY - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HOUSE ACCOUNT - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm making a wager. Wasn't too far from the winner last time around the track.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #10 HOUSE ACCOUNT to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Pesos]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 8

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $11,400 • Post: 9:10P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 1. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RAISEDTOBEAWARRIOR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL
2/1

5/2
7
RAISEDTOBEAWARRIOR
9/2

7/1

 

[Pesos]

Valuline at Ruidoso Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Ruidoso Downs, Race 5 (Friday September 1, 2017)

K P WILDCAT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

RUI-5 6f DIRT Five Horses
"A" ALW 20,000 F/M 3YUP $13,100
P# ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

4 K P WILDCAT 8/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon
1 MIGHTY NICE 4/1 18% 9/2

 

[Pesos]

Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #10 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:48 PM EASTERN POST
The Lucky Coin
5½ FURLONGS TURF FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#5 DOWSE'S BEACH
#6 BIG ROCK
#8 LOSSE ON THE TOWN
#4 SPRING TO THE SKY

Here in the 4th running of "The Coin," #5 DOWSE'S BEACH has hit the board in four of his last five starts, including back-to-back "Circle Trips" in his 2nd and 3rd races back. #6 BIG ROCK, a 9-2 shot, has also hit the board in four of his respective last five outings, with two of those "board hit efforts," including a win in his last start, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Joel Rosario has been in his irons on 3 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning once, and is back today here at "The Spa" for his 4th ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!"

 

[Pesos]

The Walker Group at Timonium

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $4,000 TO $32,000 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 GRACIES BANDIT 3/1

# 3 RUBYS FIRE 8/1

# 4 BIRDIE'S HAT 10/1

GRACIES BANDIT figures to be the wager in here. Cannot be underestimated - Robb is a solid trainer with the babies, winning 28 of his races. There is a strong chance that this entry's late pace will improve on Lasix. Keep in the exotics as this trainer has been very strong lately with babies, whose combined ROI has been +48. RUBYS FIRE pesos - Is a definite contender - trainer has sported formidable numbers for two year olds with some good dividends for players. This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this lot. BIRDIE'S HAT - Must be given consideration given the sire numbers TrackMaster shows on this juvenile.

 

[Pesos]

Mike Wynn ; MLB

Texas pk

 

[Pesos]

Platinum Plays ; MLB

Baltimore -165

 

[Pesos]

John Anthony Sports ; MLB

St. Louis -110

 

[Pesos]

Arthur Ralph Sports ; MLB

Arizona -110

 

[Pesos]

Tommy Brunson ; MLB

Boston Under

 

[Pesos]

Dustin Hawkins ; MLB

Milwaukee -137

 

[Pesos]

Big Al ; MLB

Miami -161

 

[Pesos]

Joe Wiz ; CFB

Washington O42

 

[Pesos]

TJ Elliot ; CFB

Utah State O52

 

[Pesos]

Golden Lock Sports ; CFB

Rutgers

 

[Pesos]

Vegas Hotsheet ; CFB

Eastern Michigan

 

[Pesos]

Kevin 'Bubba' Smith ; MLB

Baltimore Over