Friday 09/07/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

MLB


Friday, September 7

National League
Padres (56-86) @ Reds (59-82)
Kennedy is 1-0, 2.81 in his last three starts (over 3-2). Team in his starts: 1-4, 0-2 away
5-inning record: 1-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5

DeSclafani is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his home starts. Team in his starts: 10-6, 6-4 home
5-inning record: 9-4-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-16

Padres lost three of their last five games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Cincinnati lost seven of its last nine games; over is 3-2 in their last five home games.

Marlins (56-84) @ Pirates (69-71)
Straily is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 10-12, 4-7 away
5-inning record: 8-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22

Archer is 0-2, 5.68 in his last four starts (over 3-2-1). Team in his starts: 2-4, 1-1 home
5-inning record: 4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6

Marlins are 2-14 in their last 16 road games, 6-15 in road series openers. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Pittsburgh won its last three games; they’re 14-9 in home series openers. Under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

Cubs (83-57) @ Nationals (69-72)
Lester is 3-0, 1.52 in his last four starts; over is 11-2 in his last 13 starts. Team in his starts: 21-7, 11-3 away
5-inning record: 16-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28

Ross is making his first ’18 start; he is 17-13, 3.95 in 45 MLB starts. He was 2-1, 2.39 in six AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0 home
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Cubs are 5-4 in their last nine games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Washington lost six of its last eight games; they’re 13-22 vs lefty starters- over is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.

Phillies (73-66) @ Mets (63-76)
Nola is 3-1, 1.87 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six road starts. Team in his starts: 19-9, 6-8 away
5-inning record: 11-8-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28

Matz is 0-1, 1.89 in his last three starts; over is 7-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 12-13, 5-7 home
5-inning record: 7-14-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-25

Phillies are 5-12 in their last 17 games; they’re 0-6 in last six road series openers, 16-15 vs left starters- four of their last six games stayed under. Mets won four of their last five games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 home series openers. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Giants (68-73) @ Brewers (79-62)
Holland is 1-0, 1.21 in his last four starts; under is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 14-12, 7-8 away
5-inning record: 9-10-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26

Anderson is 3-0, 4.42 in his last seven starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 14-13, 9-5 home
5-inning record: 15-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-27

Giants lost their last five games; they’re 12-11 in road series openers. Under is 10-1 in their last 11 games. Milwaukee won six of its last eight games; they’re 14-8 in home series openers, 17-16 vs lefty starters- over is 5-1 in their last six home games.

Dodgers (76-64) @ Rockies (77-62)
Kershaw is 3-0, 2.36 in his last seven starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-10, 5-4 away
5-inning record: 13-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-21

Gray is 2-0, 4.26 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 16-10, 6-4 home
5-inning record: 13-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-26

Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games, 13-1 in last 14 road series openers; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. This is ***************.com. Colorado won its last five games; they’re 9-13 in home series openers, 28-23 vs lefty starters- under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games.

Braves (77-63) @ Diamondbacks (75-65)
Gausman is 4-0, 1.64 in his last five starts (under 4-1-1). Team in his starts: 5-1, 2-1 away
5-inning record: 3-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6

Corbin is 3-1, 2.35 in his last six starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 16-12, 8-6 home
5-inning record: 14-7-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28

Braves lost six of their last nine games; seven of their last eight road games stayed under. Arizona lost five of its last six games; 11 of Arizona’s last 12 games stayed under the total.

American League
Indians (80-60) @ Blue Jays (63-77)
Carrasco is 1-2, 5.60 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 16-10, 8-4 away
5-inning record: 15-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26

Estrada is 0-2, 15.64 in his last two starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-13, 5-7 home
5-inning record: 9-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24

Indians are 5-4 in their last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Toronto lost eight of its last 11 games; three of their last five games stayed under.

Orioles (41-99) @ Rays (75-64)
Bundy is 0-4, 9.10 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 8-18, 3-8 away
5-inning record: 9-13-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-26

Snell is 5-0, 1.26 in his last five starts; under is 11-3-1 in his last 15. Team in his starts: 17-9, 8-3 home
5-inning record: 16-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-26

Orioles are 2-11 in their last 13 road games, 0-10 in last 10 road series openers; they’re 16-27 vs lefty starters- four of their last five games stayed under. Tampa Bay won four of its last five games; they’re 10-2 in last dozen home series openers- over is 3-1-1 in their last five home tilts.

Astros (87-53) @ Red Sox (97-44)
Cole is 3-0, 3.97 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 20-8, 9-5 away
5-inning record: 16-6-6Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28

Price is 3-0, 1.89 in his last six starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 20-6, 11-2 home
5-inning record: 13-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26

Astros won their last five games, are 17-5 in road series openers, 31-22 vs lefty starters- under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Boston won seven of its last nine games; they’re 16-5 in home series openers. Four of their last six games stayed under.

Royals (46-93) @ Twins (63-76)
Fillmyer is 2-0, 4.18 in his last five starts (over 5-3-1). Team in his starts: 3-6, 0-3 away
5-inning record: 3-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-9

Gonsalves is 0-2, 12.60 in his three starts (over 2-1). Team in his starts: 1-2, 0-2 home
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3

Royals are 2-12 in their last 14 road games, 6-16 in road series openers, 15-26 vs lefty starters— under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. This is ***************.com. Minnesota lost its last five games; they’re 8-1 in last nine home series openers- four of their last six games went over.

Angels (68-72) @ White Sox (56-84)
Pena is 0-1, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 5-8, 2-4 away
5-inning record: 4-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-13

Rodon is 3-1, 3.06 in his last five starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 8-7, 4-3 home
5-inning record: 5-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Angels are 5-10 in their last 15 games, 11-13 in road series openers, 16-25 vs lefty starter- under is 6-2 in their last eight games. White Sox are 8-5 in their last 13 games, 9-14 in home series openers- under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Rangers (61-79) @ A’s (84-57)
Gallardo is 1-2, 5.59 in his last four starts (over 9-3-1). Team in his starts: 10-3, 3-2 away
5-inning record: 8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-13

Bassitt is 2-0, 2.66 in his last four starts (over 3-3-1). Team in his starts: 4-3, 1-2 home
5-inning record: 3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7

Texas lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 7-3 in last ten road series openers- under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. A’s are 8-5 in their last 13 games, 8-3 in last 11 home series openers- five of their last six games went over.

New York (87-53) @ Seattle (78-62)
Tanaka is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 14-9, 9-4 away
5-inning record: 13-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-23

Paxton is 3-1, 4.07 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 15-10, 6-5 home
5-inning record: 10-9-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-25

New York lost three of its last four games; they’re 27-13 vs lefty starters, 13-10 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games, 15-7 in home series openers- under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Interleague
Cardinals (78-62) @ Tigers (57-83)
Gomber is 1.86 in his last five starts; over is 2-0-1 in his last three. Team in his starts: 7-0, 5-0 away
5-inning record: 7-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7

Norris 0-2, 4.63 in his three starts (under 3-0). Team in his starts: 0-3, 0-1 home
5-inning record: 0-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3

Cardinals are 2-3 in their last five games, 11-12 in road series openers, 24-15 vs lefty starters- three of their last four games went over. Detroit won three of its last four games; they’re 11-11 in home series openers, 17-18 vs lefty starters- over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/6
Ariz 37-24-10……34-24-10……..71-48
Atl 31-28-10…..34-27-10………65-55
Cubs 29-30-13……32-28-9…….61-58
Reds 22-44-5……25-33-10….…47-77
Colo 34-26-14……34-23-10……67-50
LA 34-24-8…….33-29-15……68-53
Miami 23-33-9…..31-30-15…….54-63
Milw 30-33-9…..36-26-7…….66-59
Mets 33-30-8……26-27-15…..59-55
Philly 27-28-15…..34-24-10……61-52
Pitt 31-29-8……32-27-13……..63-56
StL 36-25-11……30-31-7………66-56
SD 22-40-10……25-35-9…….47-75
SF 29-31-14…..27-25-15……56-56
Wash 29-28-13..…30-30-11……59-58

Orioles 19-42-12……21-37-11……40-79
Boston 36-28-14……41-18-6……..77-46
W Sox 23-40-6…..…24-38-10……47-78
Clev 28-27-13……44-19-10……..72-46
Det 25-37-10…..…30-30-11.……55-67
Astros 37-18-15……37-21-14…….74-38
KC 21-40-8…….29-33-10…..50-73
Angels 30-29-14……28-32-8……58-61
Twins 22-40-11……32-31-8…..54-71
NYY 33-24-11……42-23-8………75-46
A’s 26-32-11……32-27-13…..58-59
Sea 34-30-10……32-24-14…….66-52
TB 33-28-13……31-25-9……63-52
Texas 22-35-8…..28-39-8…….50-74
Toronto 19-39-11…24-33-15……43-72

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/6)
Ariz 29-70…….26-69…..…55
Atl 22-68……30-72………52
Cubs 14-71……..22-66……..36
Reds 18-73……..16-70……..34
Colo 23-73…….26-67.…….49
LA 22-65……..27-76..…..49
Miami 14-65……..21-75…….35
Milw 25-71…..…25-71…….50
Mets 27-71……..21-68……48
Philly 17-70……..22-69……39
Pitt 16-68……..21-74…….37
StL 25-72……..20-68…….45
SD 19-73……..19-69…….38
SF 15-72………21-70..…..36
Wash 25-70……..21-71…….46

Orioles 21-73……..20-68……..41
Boston 19-75……25-66………44
White Sox 19-68……20-71…….39
Clev 19-67…….29-72……..48
Detroit 24-72……..20-69….…44
Astros 20-69…..…17-72………37
KC 16-69..…….22-70…….38
Angels 19-71…..….18-68…….37
Twins 16-71………15-68…….31
NYY 16-68……..29-72………45
A’s 18-71…..…..21-72…….39
Seattle 28-72………22-70…….50
TB 22-74..……20-64…….42
Texas 10-65……20-74…….…30
Toronto 18-69………15-71….….33

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 71-67 NL, favorites +$100
AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
Total: 140-128 NL, favorites +$318

 

[bmd1803]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, September 7

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SAN DIEGO (56 - 86) at CINCINNATI (59 - 82) - 6:40 PM
BRETT KENNEDY (R) vs. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 14-41 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DESCLAFANI is 13-4 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DESCLAFANI is 18-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 145-179 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-24 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 413-376 (-83.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

BRETT KENNEDY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.786.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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MIAMI (56 - 84) at PITTSBURGH (69 - 71) - 7:05 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 132-100 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 659-587 (+63.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 52-48 (+4.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 108-126 (+3.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
STRAILY is 46-40 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 38-52 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 2-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 22-33 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
STRAILY is 3-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. MIAMI since 1997
ARCHER is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.850.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (83 - 57) at WASHINGTON (69 - 72) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JOE ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1778-1819 (-261.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 458-473 (-93.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1314-1355 (-202.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 97-82 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 866-794 (-151.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ROSS is 11-0 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-19 (+14.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 21-7 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 42-15 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 31-7 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 69-72 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-29 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-36 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-31 (-19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-44 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-23 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-36 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-39 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-21 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JON LESTER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LESTER is 2-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

JOE ROSS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ROSS is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (73 - 66) at NY METS (63 - 76) - 7:10 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-18 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-54 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-27 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 62-76 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 1-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
NY METS are 28-40 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 14-21 (-13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 130-146 (-57.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 27-36 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-52 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 100-122 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 55-74 (-24.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 11-20 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 203-254 (-68.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 8-5 (+4.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. NY METS since 1997
NOLA is 5-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MATZ is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.657.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (68 - 73) at MILWAUKEE (79 - 62) - 8:10 PM
DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-98 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-115 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-64 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 79-62 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-57 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-19 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-31 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-54 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-24 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ANDERSON is 17-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 68-73 (+2.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOLLAND is 65-51 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 12-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HOLLAND is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ANDERSON is 3-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.181.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

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LA DODGERS (76 - 64) at COLORADO (77 - 62) - 8:40 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 76-64 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 15-19 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-28 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-46 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 44-42 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-32 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 77-62 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 29-19 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 75-62 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 57-37 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 59-42 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 47-29 (+21.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 43-31 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 29-16 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GRAY is 9-2 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-7 (+1.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. COLORADO since 1997
KERSHAW is 21-7 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 28-10 (+13.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-20. (-3.4 units)

JON GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 6-3 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.6 units)

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ATLANTA (77 - 63) at ARIZONA (75 - 65) - 9:40 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
GAUSMAN is 16-31 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 6-17 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 14-31 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 169-137 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 77-62 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-8 (+9.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
ATLANTA is 40-29 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 26-18 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 53-56 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 38-35 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 28-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-23 (-12.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
ARIZONA is 902-805 (-103.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 635-581 (-81.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 22-37 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 13-20 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

PAT CORBIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CORBIN is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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CLEVELAND (80 - 60) at TORONTO (63 - 77) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 80-60 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-24 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 35-31 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 47-40 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 61-44 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 45-34 (-8.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 15-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
TORONTO is 49-45 (+5.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 63-77 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 32-44 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 83-104 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+1.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. TORONTO since 1997
CARRASCO is 3-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

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BALTIMORE (41 - 99) at TAMPA BAY (75 - 64) - 7:10 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 41-99 (-48.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-55 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 8-24 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-16 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-66 (-35.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-71 (-37.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-55 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUNDY is 1-16 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 75-64 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 41-24 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-4 (+11.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-29 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 45-40 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 52-47 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SNELL is 17-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 28-46 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 8-8 (+1.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.7 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUNDY is 3-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.419.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-7. (-6.7 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SNELL is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

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HOUSTON (87 - 53) at BOSTON (97 - 44) - 7:10 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 34-31 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 97-44 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 48-18 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 25-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-36 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 78-30 (+33.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 67-29 (+23.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 35-20 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PRICE is 20-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 15-3 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 9-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 47-21 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 30-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 20-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 33-12 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 34-13 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 151-138 (-49.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 237-235 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 (+1.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PRICE is 6-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 7-2 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (46 - 93) at MINNESOTA (63 - 76) - 8:10 PM
HEATH FILLMYER (R) vs. STEPHEN GONSALVES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 46-93 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 25-51 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 28-59 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 97-90 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 63-76 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 70-92 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-6 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.5 Units)

HEATH FILLMYER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
FILLMYER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

STEPHEN GONSALVES vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (68 - 72) at CHI WHITE SOX (56 - 84) - 8:10 PM
FELIX PENA (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+1.6 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

FELIX PENA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PENA is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CARLOS RODON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
RODON is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.087.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.6 units)

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TEXAS (61 - 79) at OAKLAND (84 - 57) - 10:05 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 84-57 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 30-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 43-29 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 50-38 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 56-33 (+28.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 47-36 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 43-13 (+26.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 18-2 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
TEXAS is 234-233 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 102-87 (+24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 108-120 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 48-44 (+17.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 8-3 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season.
TEXAS is 13-12 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 21-22 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
TEXAS is 24-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 39-38 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-13 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 10-6 (+2.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GALLARDO is 2-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.334.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. TEXAS since 1997
BASSITT is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (87 - 53) at SEATTLE (78 - 62) - 10:10 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 29-43 (-15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 23-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 7-13 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SEATTLE is 78-62 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 55-37 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 55-40 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 36-37 (+5.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 467-447 (-99.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TANAKA is 6-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.880.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PAXTON is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (78 - 62) at DETROIT (57 - 83) - 7:10 PM
AUSTIN GOMBER (L) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 24-37 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
DETROIT is 34-34 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-31 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-17 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
GOMBER is 7-0 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 121-181 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-22 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-116 (-39.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 44-75 (-29.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AUSTIN GOMBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

DANIEL NORRIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[bmd1803]

Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Preview and Predictions

NCAAF Previews 4th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/04/2018

No. 16 TCU did exactly what it was supposed to do in Week 1 by thrashing an FCS opponent, hopefully preparing it for a schedule that is about to get considerably tougher. The Horned Frogs will get their first shot in front of a visiting crowd when they travel across the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area to SMU on Friday.

TCU, which faces Ohio State in Week 3 before diving into the Big 12 slate, got a long look at the duel-threat abilities of sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson in the 55-7 victory over Southern last week. "It was awesome just to be out there with my guys," Robinson told reporters after his five-touchdown performance. "We've been working since January. Just to finally get out there and get a game under our belts, it was a really, really cool experience." The Mustangs are going to need to step up on defense against Robinson and company after surrendering 529 total yards in a 46-23 loss at North Texas on Saturday. SMU, which is under the guidance of new coach Sonny Dykes, trailed 36-0 in the fourth quarter and allowed at least 31 points in seven consecutive games going back to last season.


TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: TCU -21.5

ABOUT TCU (1-0): Robinson's three passing TDs and two rushing scores gave him a leg up on fellow sophomore Michael Collins in what is still an open quarterback competition. Collins impressed with his arm strength in Week 1, adding a passing score and 71 yards in five attempts. "Mike can sling it," wide receiver Jalen Reagor, who caught one of Robinson's TD passes, told reporters. "He is pretty consistent, and just like Shawn, if he can gel and get in a rhythm then we can just mold into one."

ABOUT SMU (0-1): Dykes' offense managed only 24 yards in the first half against North Texas, and the Mustangs finished with four rushing yards in the contest. Dykes, who took over last December and coached the 51-10 Frisco Bowl loss to Louisiana Tech, served as an offensive analyst under Gary Patterson at TCU last season after being fired as the coach of California and is known for his offensive acumen. SMU's most explosive offensive player in Week 1 was running back Braeden West, who did his best work as a receiver with three catches for 86 yards and a touchdown, and also rushed for a score.

EXTRA POINTS

1. TCU CB Michael Onyemaobi suffered an undisclosed season-ending injury in Week 1.

2. TCU took 10 of the last 11 meetings in the series, including a 56-36 victory last season.

3. Horned Frogs freshman WR Derius Davis was named Big 12 Newcomer of the Week after catching a TD pass and returning a punt for a score in the opener.

PREDICTION: TCU 50, SMU 17

 

[bmd1803]

Ottawa RedBlacks vs. BC Lions Preview and Predictions 09-07-2018 in CFL

CFL Previews 4th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/04/2018

The Ottawa Redblacks look to bounce back from their most disappointing loss of the season when they visit the BC Lions on Friday. The Redblacks suffered a 21-11 setback to the last-place Montreal Alouettes in Week 12 to see their lead at the top of the East Division shrink to two points, and hope to get back on track by completing the season sweep of the Lions following a 29-26 victory July 20.

"I don't think it takes away from who we think we are as a team and where we think we're going to go," Ottawa wide receiver Greg Ellingson told reporters. "It's just a bump in the road and we'll make the adjustments." BC was forced to return to the drawing board during its week off following back-to-back losses, including a 24-21 defeat to the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Aug. 25. The last-place Lions, who have dropped four of their last five games, are fighting for their playoff lives after missing the postseason in 2017, and hope to avoid another long winter by knocking off an East Division opponent for the first time since a 22-10 win against Montreal in Week 1. "It's major gut check time," BC quarterback Travis Lulay told reporters. "You can best believe we're going to work our ass off to get where we need to be."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN Plus

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (6-4): Trevor Harris completed 25-of-46 passes for 270 yards against the Alouettes, but finished without a touchdown toss for the second time in five games. Linebacker Kyries Hebert was suspended for the second time this season as he was handed a two-game ban by the league for a "reckless" hit on Montreal wide receiver B.J. Cunningham. Ottawa added defensive back Andrew Lue, who has played for four teams in his four-year CFL career, to the practice squad and released defensive lineman Evan Gill and Dalton Houghton.

ABOUT THE LIONS (3-6): Manny Arceneaux, who leads BC in receptions (32) and receiving yards (553), was placed on the six-game injured list after suffering a torn ACL in the loss to the Roughriders. "This gives somebody else an opportunity to get a little bit more of the limelight," Lions coach Wally Buono said. "There's also nothing wrong with bringing other guys into more of a leadership role as guys can step up." All-star linebacker Solomon Elimimian, who led the CFL with 144 tackles last season, is inching closer to a return after breaking his wrist July 14.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ottawa K Lewis Ward has made 27 consecutive field goals -- the sixth-longest streak in league history.

2. BC's last two losses have come by a combined four points.

3. The Lions play five straight games against East Division opponents.

PREDICTION: Lions 28, Redblacks 26

 

[bmd1803]

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Cincinnati (+14.5, ML +450) at UCLA, 26-17
Villanova (+14.5, ML +450) at Temple, 19-17
Hawaii (+13.5, ML +425) vs. Navy, 59-41
Maryland (+13, ML +400) vs. Texas, 34-29
Brigham Young (+11, ML +320) at Arizona, 28-23

The largest favorites to cover
Toledo (-48.5) vs. Virginia Military, 66-3
Mississippi State (-47.5) vs. Stephen F. Austin, 63-6
Texas A&M (-46.5) vs. Northwestern State, 59-7
Florida (-43) vs. Charleston Southern, 53-6
Ohio State (-40) vs. Oregon State, 77-31

Top 25 Notes

-- Top-ranked Alabama remains the gold standard in college football until further notice. They rolled up a 51-14 victory against Louisville as a 23 1/2-point favorite at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The only drama in this game came down to whether or not the over or under would cash. See bad beats below. ... There were concerns that Ohio State might be a bit distracted due to the Urban Meyer suspension, but Oregon State knows the Buckeyes were plenty focused. Ohio State covered the largest spread of any FBS vs. FBS game, hammering the beleaguered Beavers by a 77-31 score. They ended up getting the cover late, yet another big-time program dealing out a bit of a bad beat in the opening weekend. ... On the 11-year anniversary of their colossal upset in Ann Arbor, Appalachian State was at it again at Penn State. They entered the game as 24 1/2-point underdogs, but the Mountaineers put a scare into the Top 10 Nittany Lions. App State scored 28 points in the final quarter to force overtime, 38-38. Penn State survived in OT, 45-38, but soon Big Ten clubs are going to refuse to take calls from Boone, N.C. about future scheduling.

-- Auburn-Washington looked like one of the best matchups of the opening slate on paper, and it certainly lived up to the billing. Sure, there were some mistakes on both sides, but this one came right down to the end. Auburn ended up securing a 21-16 victory, potentially damaging Washington's playoff hopes before their second game of the season, while the Tigers earned a huge feather for their cap.

-- Michigan-Notre Dame was another highly anticipated matchup, as these two storied schools renewed their rivalry. Jim Harbaugh has a new toy under center in QB Shea Patterson, but the Wolverines were tripped up 24-17 to lose for the 17th straight time on the road against a ranked opponent.

-- Two games were cancelled due to inclement weather, including the Akron-Nebraska. It was supposed to be the celebration of Scott Frost's return to Lincoln. His debut will have to wait another week until Colorado pays a visit next week. The other cancelled game was South Dakota State-Iowa State, the first cancelled game for the Cyclones since 1963 when John F. Kennedy was assassinated. There are no plans to make up either contest.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) mostly did what they were supposed to do, and that is win. That is, except for Louisville. North Carolina-California was also a bit of a coin-flip game, and the Golden Bears came away with the 24-17 result. UNC slipped to 0-4 SU over the past four season openers, and a disturbing 0-5-1 ATS across the past six season openers dating back to Sept. 1, 2012. ... Wake Forest grinded out a tough 23-17 win in overtime on the road against Tulane as the Green Wave narrowly covered a seven-point number at most shops. The Demon Deacons have been favored by three or more points just four times since the start of the 2010 season. The last time they covered as favorites by a field goal or more on the road was Nov. 28, 2009 at Duke.

-- Mid-American giant killer Northern Illinois entered the weekend 4-1 SU in their past five against Big Ten opponents. Iowa was wearing their upset bug repellent and never gave the Huskies a chance to threaten. It was a 3-0 lead at halftime for Iowa, so the thought was NIU could still make it happen. But the Hawkeyes pulled away in the second half for an emphatic 33-7 victory. ... Indiana hung on tight for a 38-28 road victory against Butch Davis and Florida International despite hot and humid conditions in South Florida. The Golden Panthers did grab the cover, however. ... Northwestern handed Purdue a loss in Thursday's game, 31-27. While the Wildcats won at Ross-Ade, the Boilermakers showed they're not going to be a pushover any longer.

-- Oklahoma was expected to receive a little more resistance from Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic on Saturday, but the Owls remain a cream puff rather than a giant killer like App State, NIU, etc. Boomer Sooner laid down the boom, rolling up a 56-0 lead at one point before the Owls finally lit up their side of the scoreboard. ... It looks like another long season is in the offing for Kansas, as they suffered a 26-23 setback against FCS Nicholls State. Hey, at least the Jayhawks forced them to overtime. ... Kansas State almost joined their rivals in misery, as FCS South Dakota gave the Wildcats all they could handle at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan. In the end, K-State survived 27-24, but they have a lot of work to do. ... West Virginia humbled Tennessee in a neutral-site battle, as QB Will Grier kept his Heisman campaign on schedule.

-- UCLA was unable to pull any comeback heroics like last season against Texas A&M. It was Cincinnati spoiling the debut of Chip Kelly, 26-17. ... Southern California was a bit sluggish in their home opener against UNLV, but the alarm clock went off to start the fourth quarter. The Runnin' Rebels trailed just 19-14 going into the final 15 minutes, but the Trojans outscored the visitors 24-7 and they nearly covered. ... Washington State-Wyoming was supposed to be more of a defensive struggle, at least for the visiting Cougars. The Cowboys have an impressive defense, and they shut down New Mexico State in Week Zero. The Cougs weren't having any of it, piling up 41 points in a 41-19 win. It wasn't as lopsided as it looks, though. Wazzu entered the final 15 minutes up just 20-19 before running away.

-- Ole Miss looked mighty impressive on the road at Texas Tech, winning 47-27 to easily cover a 2 1/2-point number. ... South Carolina was not a very kind host to Coastal Carolina, smashing the Chanticleers by a 49-15 count. The Gamecocks covered the 30 1/2-point number, their largest spread covered since winning 70-10 as 34 1/2-point favorites on Nov. 23, 2013 against, yep...Coastal Carolina. ... Vanderbilt was supposed to receiver a bigger test against South Middle Tennessee, as they were just a three-point favorite. The Commodores roughed up the Blue Raiders by a 35-7 count.

Mid-Major Report

-- Temple was shocked by FCS Villanova at home, losing 19-17. The Owls led 17-13 heading to the final quarter, but the Wildcats ended up celebrating in the end. For FBS teams nicknamed the Owls (FAU, Temple and Rice), they ended up 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. Only Rice earned a cover in their 45-27 loss against Houston. ... Memphis lost a lot of key components, but it didn't show in their 66-14 victory over FCS Mercer. The Tigers piled up 28 points in both the first and second quarter to build a 56-0 halftime lead before letting the reserves bring it home. ... SMU had their lunch handed to them by North Texas, 46-23. The two sides combined for 33 points in the fourth quarter, but came up just short of the total (71 1/2).

-- Texas El-Paso entered their contest against FCS Northern Arizona as seven-point underdogs despite the fact the game was being played at home. Vegas got it right, and then some...as the Lumberjacks crushed their FBS opponent by a 30-10 count. It's gonna be a long season in El Paso, so be prepared to fade the Miners. ... Marshall picked up a 35-28 road win against rival Miami-Ohio, covering as one-point road 'dogs. The Thundering Herd is now 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS across their past six season openers. ... Old Dominion went to Liberty, favored by five points. The Flames, playing in their first game ever as an FBS program, never faltered in the 52-10 victory against the Monarchs.

-- Central Michigan opened on the road against Kentucky, and John Bonamego's crew hung around for a while. In fact, they trailed just 21-20 at halftime. But the Chips were scoreless in the second half to slip up 35-20. They were able to hang around for the cover, however. ... Ohio roughed up FCS Hampton in their opener last season, but this year they had trouble with Howard. The Bison won a game against the FBS last season at UNLV, and they were trying to spring another upset as 31 1/2-point 'dogs. Eventually the Bobcats won 38-32, but it wasn't pretty.

-- Idaho dropped back down to FCS, and Fresno State treated them rather rudely in their visit to the Valley. The Bulldogs scored seven rushing touchdowns en route to a 79-13 win. ... Nevada also went for a 70-burger against FCS Portland State, winning 72-19 to cover a four-touchdown spread. ... Offense was not missing in the Islands, either. Hawaii is off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start after sinking Navy. The Warriors are using the run-and-shoot and look like a very entertaining group early on. ... San Jose State is going to be terrible again. They were dropped 44-38 at home against FCS UC-Davis. Ouch.

Bad Beats

-- Oregon State was covering the 40-point number for the entire game, but Beavers side bettors were sunk by Buckeyes reserve RB Master Teague, as he ripped off a 33-yard touchdown run with 3:50 to go for the 77-31 win and cover.

-- Louisville didn't score much in their neutral-site battle against 'Bama, but they scored enough. 'Under' (60) were left muttering to themselves after Kemari Averett hauled in an 8-yard TD pass with 1:55 to play to close the Tide lead to 51-14, changing the 'under' to an 'over'. Why? WHY?!?!?!

-- Army was trailing 31-14, and they were attempting a long field goal in the closing minutes at Duke. The field goal was blocked, which was the good news for 'under' (46) bettors. The bad news is that the Blue Devils returned it deep into Black Knights territory. With 3:59 to go, Duke booted a 30-yard field goal which had no impact on the score or line, but it flipped an 'under' to an 'over'.

 

[bmd1803]

Early Line Moves - Week 2

The second week of the college football season is upon us and it is the first real week where we can track early line moves. The first week of the season was completely different because the college football odds were up for months in some cases. This time around the odds were released on Sunday night or Monday morning, so we will get true early line movement we can track.

Let’s look at the early line moves for Week 2 college football action, some line moves around the key number of three and a few smaller line moves on some of the marquee games for Week 2.

Week 2 Early Moves

TCU -17.5 to -22.5 at SMU
The first game of Week 2 is getting a lot of action, as bettors are pounding the TCU Horned Frogs at SMU. The Horned Frogs looked good last week in a 55-7 rout of Southern, while the Mustangs were routed 46-23 at North Texas. This Friday night game can be seen on ESPN 2.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, September 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (1 - 0) at SMU (0 - 1) - 9/7/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
SMU is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF

Week 2

Trend Report

Friday, September 7

Texas Christian @ Southern Methodist
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF

Week 2

Friday, September 7

TCU won its last six games with SMU (3-2-1 vs spread), winning 33-3/56-0 in last two visits here (short drive from Ft Worth to Dallas). Last seven years, Horned Frogs are 8-14 as road favorites, but were 3-1 LY. Last four years, SMU is 5-11 as home underdogs. Mustangs got pounded 46-23 at North Texas Saturday; they were outgained 529-256. TCU cruised over a I-AA opponent. Last five years, Big X teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams; they were 5-2 LY.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

Friday, September 7

TCU @ SMU

Game 301-302
September 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
102.738
SMU
69.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 33
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 22 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-22 1/2); Under

 

[bmd1803]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 12
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 12
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 12
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 12
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 12
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12

Analysis

Montreal (3-8) made another change under center this week, as head coach Mike Sherman stuck with QB Antonio Pipkin in Friday's 21-11 win at Ottawa (6-4). QB Johnny Manziel (concussion) cleared the concussion protocol, but Sherman stuck with Pipkin after his big performance in the previous game. Pipkin led the Als to a season-high second straight win, and they have now covered four in a row. Perhaps the biggest reason for the win streak is improvement on defense, allowing just 16.5 points per game (PPG) over the past two outings. They'll have two weeks to sort out their offense with a bye in Week 13.

The RedBlacks managed just 11 points in the loss, their second-lowest performance of the season. Ottawa entered averaged 24.0 PPG in their four previous home outings. After an opening game cover at home, the RedBlacks are 0-4 ATS across their past four at home.

It was a close shave for total bettors in Winnipeg (5-6)-Saskatchewan (6-4). The Roughriders vaulted into sole possession of second place with their victory, a half-game clear of Edmonton (6-5). The game appeared to be on the way to an 'under' (52) results, with 37 points on the through three quarters. The Riders were clinging to a 24-23 lead before Nick Marshall punched in a 1-yard touchdown run with just 66 seconds left, flipping the total from an under to over result. It also changed the side result, as the Bombers were covering the 3 1/2-point number for nearly the entire game.

The Bombers opened the season 5-2 ATS through their first seven outings, but they're 0-4 ATS across the past four. The 'over' has hit in a season-high three in a row for Winnipeg, and is 8-3 overall on the season. The bombers will look for revenge at home in Manitoba on Saturday in the second end of the home-and-home.

The Riders have covered three in a row and they have won a season-best three in a row. They have seen an uptick in offense, averaging 31.7 PPG over the three-game span.

Toronto (3-7) continues to struggle, as Hamilton (5-5) dropped the Argos 42-28. The Argos have allowed 38 or more points in four of their past six, as defense continues to turn good results into bad ones. The Argos were actually winning this won 28-24 heading to the final 15 minutes, but the defense failed when the visitors needed them most.

The Ti-Cats opened the season 2-4 SU/ATS, but they have rattled off victories in three of the past four while also going 3-1 ATS. They have picked up the pace on offense, rolling up 35.0 PPG across the past four after averaging just 21.8 PPG across their first six. It was a rare 'over' results, as the 'under' was 6-2-1 in Hamilton's first nine contests.

Calgary (9-1) slipped by their provincial rivals from Edmonton, 23-20. However, after opening the season 4-0 ATS, the Stamps are now just 2-4 ATS across the past six. These two rivals will have a quick turnaround, facing each other again on Saturday night.

 

[bmd1803]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
David Schwab

Week 12 Betting Recap

The extended Labor Day weekend schedule in the CFL got underway with a stunner on Friday night when Montreal shutdown Ottawa 21-11 as a heavy 16-point road underdog. Moving to Sunday’s matchup between Winnipeg and Saskatchewan, the Roughriders covered as 3 ½-point home favorites in a 31-23 victory.

Monday’s doubleheader of Labor Day action started with Calgary getting past Edmonton 23-20 as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Hamilton closed things out by hammering Toronto 42-28 as a nine-point favorite at home.

Friday, Sept. 7

Ottawa RedBlacks (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -2 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Ottawa continues to lead the East Division by one game, but the embarrassing loss to Montreal is another example of the overall weakness in this half of the league. The RedBlacks have failed to cover in five of their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five outings. One of the biggest concerns heading into this week’s game is the 328 yards of total offense in last week’s loss against the most porous defense in the league.

Coming off a Week 12 bye, the Lions have just one SU victory in their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 50 ½ points in a 24-21 loss to Saskatchewan their last time out as 2 ½-point home favorites and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six contests. Travis Lulay continues to get the call at quarterback and he has thrown for seven touchdowns and four interceptions in six previous starts.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won five of the last seven meetings SU, but BC is 6-2 SU in its last eight home games against the RedBlacks. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in BC.

 

[bmd1803]

CFL

Week 13

Trend Report

Friday, September 7

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
Ottawa is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Ottawa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

 

[bmd1803]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Friday, September 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (6 - 4) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 6) - 9/7/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Friday, September 7

Ottawa @ BC Lions

Game 651-652
September 7, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
111.839
BC Lions
110.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+2); Over

 

[bmd1803]

CFL

Week 13

Ottawa (6-4) @ BC Lions (3-6) (-2, 52)— RedBlacks won five of last seven series games; over is 3-0-1 in last four series games. Teams split the four games played here. Ottawa won four of its last six games; they’re 3-2 SU on road, 2-1 as road underdogs- their road losses were at Toronto (42-41), Calgary (24-14). Lions lost six of their last eight games; they’re 3-1 SU at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. BC had a bye last week.

 

[bmd1803]

Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, September 7, 2018
9/07 07:10 PM PT / 10:10 PM ET
MLB (977) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (978) SEATTLE MARINERS
Take: (977) NEW YORK YANKEES

 

[bmd1803]

Mike Wynn


Bonus Play: Free Oakland w/Bassitt -160 Over Texas

 

[bmd1803]

Razor Sharp


YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: Take CHICAGO CUBS/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 9 runs

 

[bmd1803]

Totals4U


Friday's Free Selection: Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets under 7