BMW Championship:
My focus has abruptly switched to football over the last two weeks, so some adjustments have been in order.
First, in building my selections and pulling the trigger, I need to rely more heavily on my impressions from the season to date rather than recent tracking or digging up of new ANGLES and INFORMATION.
Second, a few shortcuts have been in order, which include leaning a bit more on plays from fellow cappers when I can latch on to some rationale or theory or hunch for doing so.
Third, I don't want to be wreckless and give away most of the profits from an excellent season. On the other hand, just a couple more winning weeks would be tasty, and one big score would likely turn an excellent season into a great one. So the formula going forward (and for the prior two weeks for that matter) just has to be trying to score while exercising some restraint in my number of plays, but that strategy already has me feeling mildly frustrated this morning since it was the deciding factor at KLM in not making a play on David Howell(-5), and weighed heavily in not making plays on Soren Kjeldsen(-2) and Tom Lewis(-3), but it's early days.
Outrights:
Steve Stricker(20/1) e.w.
- - Early in the week I told a friend in a "draft" competion (odds don't matter) that Stricker would be my first choice ahead of Stenson, Woods, et al., but threafter I didn't like hearing Stricker has been working on the range with some heavier shafts in his irons, and he's just debating whether to make the switch this week, or next week, or before or after the Presidents Cup, but the change is coming.
Brendon de Jonge(125/1) e.w.
Kevin Streelman(125/1) e.w.
- - The two players I latched onto among the big priced outsiders . . . The ANGLE of a big bounce in de Jonge's step coming from a captain's selection to an imminent international team competition has paid off before . . . And with hints of a second wind in Streelman's breakout season, the local dude seems dangerous if he can just get untracked, and in that regard it helps that I can feel good about his comfortable pairing with Haas and Mahan.
Ian Poulter(50/1) e.w.
- - Operating under someone else's theory that current form merits additional weight when it starts getting to the end of the season, Poulter gets the nod among those options on the further ANGLE of who needs to step up somewhere to avoid a truly disappointing season, and the Chicago ANGLE is also there.
Rickie Fowler(66/1) e.w.
- - If it plays linksy then it suits his game, he's in need of a big moment every bit as much as Poulter, and at 36th in the standings he gets my nod as the strongest candidate to move up to the Tour Championship.
Dustin Johnson(33/1) e.w.
- - Gets my final selection ahead of Furyk and Spieth . . . Breezy and linksy would be good; can he finish off the season with some of what he started it with?
GL
