i doubt i spend 2 hours or more, but i'm on and off the computer all day and always clicking back to double check something or take a second glance at something.
For baseball i can generally have an idea who i'm taking by just knowing the starters and how each team has been playing as of late and the overall BP's of the teams. i got games singled out in my head and just look up anything that i think i might have missed.
For baseball i can generally have an idea who i'm taking by just knowing the starters and how each team has been playing as of late and the overall BP's of the teams. i got games singled out in my head and just look up anything that i think i might have missed.
Well I might be the only one, but I definitely spend 2-3 hours studying the pitching matchups.
But keep in mind that I am not just studying. I do while watching the games on TV. So it isnt like I am wasting time or anything.
But I would never laugh at anyone who said that they study longer. Education is the key to life! Maybe if I studied longer and had better resources, then my % would be higher.
Just today I found a better site for stats than covers. They are mostly the same, but I like how this site arranges the information. It is statfox.com . I still think that covers needs to be on EVERYONE's favorites list though
But keep in mind that I am not just studying. I do while watching the games on TV. So it isnt like I am wasting time or anything.
But I would never laugh at anyone who said that they study longer. Education is the key to life! Maybe if I studied longer and had better resources, then my % would be higher.
Just today I found a better site for stats than covers. They are mostly the same, but I like how this site arranges the information. It is statfox.com . I still think that covers needs to be on EVERYONE's favorites list though
good topic...
i have spent 100's if not 1000's of hours keeping logs on either baseball or basketball .
spreadsheets up the ass...
and it has gotten me nowhere..
i had more success 20 years ago when all i did was read usa today and look at who was pitching and basically go with my gut...
i have spent 100's if not 1000's of hours keeping logs on either baseball or basketball .
spreadsheets up the ass...
and it has gotten me nowhere..
i had more success 20 years ago when all i did was read usa today and look at who was pitching and basically go with my gut...
I spend approximately 15 mins a day capping. I do watch the games but I don't count that as capping.
I'm up 157 units in MLB so far this season and I don't think I'd be doing any better or worse if I spent more time capping.
I refuse to spend more than 15-20 mins a day capping. I guess it's one's choice if they want to analyze stats, etc for much longer but I just don't see the point.
NFL is an exception where I spend a more time capping but not a lot more.
I'm up 157 units in MLB so far this season and I don't think I'd be doing any better or worse if I spent more time capping.
I refuse to spend more than 15-20 mins a day capping. I guess it's one's choice if they want to analyze stats, etc for much longer but I just don't see the point.
NFL is an exception where I spend a more time capping but not a lot more.
I read the preview of the game. I look at the pitching matuchups and how they have done recently and against the team they are facing. I look at the line ups. Then I look up the team notes on and maybe a couple local papers to see if there's any comments made about players saying they want to come out and really win this game, (especially in the NBA, motivation is a key factor cause those guys don't bring it day to day) etc or if there's any last minute injuries. I take a quick look at the weather but not always. I look at what kind of streak the team is on. Little things like that. I'm by no means an expert but this is the system I stick to. I'm a strong believer in not overanalyzing games.
For example today I looked at the Blue jays game. Read some notes about Halladay and he says he's fine. Looked at Nieman's stats and noticed that he doesn't go too deep in games. Tampa's bullpen is good but I don't expect Halladay to be on a pitch count so I went with Blue Jays. Tampa's won 5 straight and if their streak is going to be snapped, why not against a good hitting ball club at home with their ace back.
To summarize everything. I basically cram. Again, I'm not an expert, tout, etc. It's just my way of doing it. Although I don't agree with hours of looking into games, it's all a matter of choice. Maybe some people enjoy capping and looking at stats, etc. Sort of like a hobby. For me, the fun is watching the games, especially when you win.
That's about it.
I think you need to do your "homework" before the season. A couple of reasons. 1st the beginning of all seasons are when lines are the most likely to be exploited, if you are top of your game that is when you should do the best. After the first few weeks lines are just too tight. Get up, then be conservative. 2nd this is when you should get to know the teams. Once you have a feeling for the team and see how they perform you don't need to spend too much time as the season progresses. just brush up on any injury info, any new changes, and other updates.
there are things you are missing. how does toronto hit against righties? not as good....how are the teams at home/away, how are pitchers h/a splits, etc? any injury info...zobrist out, rios out. probably need to add another 5 mins a game, which could mean an extra hour a day. those things i mentioned are too crucial to bypass.
I agree with you. Also, watching each game, which is what I do, is sort or like capping because as you said, you get the feel for the players and pitchers etc.
I mean, you can look at stats on papers all you want about a pitcher or batter, but when you actually watched them play, you get a better feel of them and their capabilties and habits.
i have actually considered trying a handicapping angle where i track 2 or 3 teams in mlb and the same for nba .
and only bet on or against them all year.
wonder how one would do using this strategy...
actually i'd pick 2 teams in the al and 2 in the nl. 2 in the east and 2 in the west in the nba. that way you have some head to head matchups...
and only bet on or against them all year.
wonder how one would do using this strategy...
actually i'd pick 2 teams in the al and 2 in the nl. 2 in the east and 2 in the west in the nba. that way you have some head to head matchups...
I've learned a lot since I joined this site. Getting different points of views or tips from posters like yourself. It's been valuable.
Aside from capping, I've learned other things about how freeplay and rollovers work and how to make the best use of them and a lot of other things. It's a great site.
