Finding the sucker bet of the day

[truguru]

s*it happens. square money loses in the long run.

true.. yea i know.. :toast:

 

[aknox]

Play the Bulls. I got them at +5.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Found one!
<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50px">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135px">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45px"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40px">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40px">ML
</td><td width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60px">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60px">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60px">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60px">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60px">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1261444" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1261444', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50px">2/10
8:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135px">773 L.S.U.
774 Arkansas
</td> <td id="bets" width="45px">7509
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">14%
86%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">12%
88%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60px">136 -108
-7.5-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60px">136u-113
-6.5-105
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60px">135.5 -110
-7-110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60px">136 -110
-7-110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60px">
-7.5-105
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60px">136 -110
-7.5-115
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60px">136 -110
-7-110
</td></tr></tbody></table>
1) Does the team lack public backing? Yes - 14%
2) Is the game featuring two prominent teams? Yes
3) Does Pinnacle have the best number on the board for the opponent? Yes -6.5 (-105)
4) Does SIA have the best number on the board for my team? Yes +7.5 (-105)
5) Is there reverse line movement at Pinnacle (optional)? Yes -7.5 to -6.5

Leg #4

LSU +7.5 (-105) SIA $180.92 to win $172.30

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Declaring this a loser and taking UNC +6.5 (-110) at SIA for the next leg.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50px">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135px">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45px"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40px">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40px">ML
</td><td width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60px">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60px">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60px">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60px">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60px">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1261456" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1261456', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50px">2/10
9:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135px">781 Duke
782 North Carolina
</td> <td id="bets" width="45px">20367
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">67%
33%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">77%
23%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60px">-5.5-105
155.5 -108
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60px">-5.5-105
155.5 -108
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60px">-5.5-110
155.5 -110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60px">-5.5-110
155.5 -110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60px">-6-115
155 -110
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60px">-6.5-110
155.5 -110
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60px">-5.5-110
155.5 -110
</td></tr></tbody></table>
1) Does the team lack public backing? Yes - 33%
2) Is the game featuring two prominent teams? Oh yeah.
3) Does Pinnacle have the best number on the board for the opponent? Yes -5.5 (-105)
4) Does SIA have the best number on the board for my team? Yes +6.5 (-110)
5) Is there reverse line movement at Pinnacle (optional)? No 5.5 to 5.5

Leg #5

North Carolina +6.5 (-110) Risk 388.54 to win 353.22

 

[letsgohoosiers]

2 legs left

Chase Record: 5-0 +$100
Overall Record: 5-10 -5.7 units

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Looking at the San Antonio Spurs tonight. NCAAB's card was really poor, saw only minimal value that I played SU - nothing with a 3%+ edge that was worth chasing on.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50px">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135px">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45px"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40px">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40px">ML
</td><td width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60px">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60px">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60px">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60px">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60px">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1262030" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1262030', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50px">2/11
11:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135px">555 Saint Marys CA
556 Gonzaga
</td> <td id="bets" width="45px">17244
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">33%
67%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">19%
81%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60px">152 -108
-5.5-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60px">151 -108
-5.5-104
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60px">152 -110
-5-110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60px">151.5 -110
-5.5-110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60px">152 -110
-6-110
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60px">151.5 -110
-6-115
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60px">151.5 -110
-6-110
</td></tr></tbody></table>
1) Does the team lack public backing? Yes - 33%
2) Is the game featuring two prominent teams? Yes - Best teams in WCC, high volume
3) Does Pinnacle have the best number on the board for the opponent? Yes -5.5 (-102)
4) Does SIA have the best number on the board for my team? Yes - +6 (-105)
5) Is there reverse line movement at Pinnacle (optional)? Yes -5.5 (-105) to -5.5 (-102)

Leg #6

St Mary's +6 (-105) $848.36 to win $807.96

 

[letsgohoosiers]

1 leg left:

Chase Record: 5-0 +$100
Overall Record: 5-11 -6.75 units

Review of this 6 game losing streak:

Texas +2.5 (-105)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +1.5 (-107)
EDGE: 6.16%

Providence +5.5 (-105)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +4 (-105)
EDGE: 9.39%

Air Force +3.5 (-105)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +2.5 (+100)
EDGE: 2.15%

LSU +7.5 (-105)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +6.5 (-101)
EDGE: 3.67%

UNC +6.5 (-110)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +5.5 (-105)
EDGE: 2.27%

St Mary's +6 (-105)
Closing number at Pinnacle: +5.5 (-108)
EDGE: 2.46%

Cumulative edge: 26.1%
Average edge: 4.35%

Would have lost 26.1% of my bankroll if I played these in non-chase format so I am fairly happy with only being down 16.36% right now... LOL. God what a terrible week. And most these teams covered 1H, that's what's so annoying.

Will be patient and find a winner on Saturday, doubt there will be much with huge public influence tomorrow.

 

[tiderinsider2]

Yeah its been a good week for the squares or it has for this one anyway. Just wanted to say thanks for the info you provide us with. I've learned a lot from you in a short amount of time.

 

[djmatt]

I normally dont jump in anybodys threads here but just wanted to tell ya you're solid my friend. You've got a good thing going, keep working and you'll come out.

Been reading your posts for a minute, even if I dispise the hoosier nation = P

no sense in following my alma matter.. although I did get a hard on watching them battle it out with Cuse at the end of Jan.

 

[truguru]

you will win the next game. i know it. i will also help you if i have a strong play. we always have the same plays anyway... bol bro.. you got this

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Taking a long look at Niagara +5.5 (-105). Pinnacle has this number at +4.5 (-107) giving you a 6.24% EDGE. Will wait for gametime but this is the one that stands out as of now.

 

[Puckhandler]

Sportsinteraction showing 91% on Siena. Always a good sign.

 

[NyMets609]

Taking a long look at Niagara +5.5 (-105). Pinnacle has this number at +4.5 (-107) giving you a 6.24% EDGE. Will wait for gametime but this is the one that stands out as of now.

I would actually wait it out a littlet longer, have a feeling SIA will spit out a 6.

 

[aknox]

I'm showing 3 1/2's and 4's at my books.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Just got steamed down. No way this hits 6. I'm thinking I should jump in at +5 (-105) right now.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40">ML
</td><td width="60">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1262272" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1262272', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">2/12
8:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">811 Siena
812 Niagara
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">16883
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">79%
21%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">88%
12%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">-3.5-105
147 -108
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">-4-101
150 -108
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60">-4-110
150.5 -110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60">-4-110
150 -110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60">-4-115
150 -110
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60">-5.5-115
150 -110
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60">-4-105
150.5 -110
</td></tr></tbody></table>
This looks REALLY good. EDIT - SIA has it at +5.5 (-105) now. What morons. I think this may be the 7th leg.

 

[aknox]

When it looks too good to be true it usually is.

 

[NyMets609]

wow, shocked that this got steamed back down to 4. great sign for Niagara backers.