Finding the sucker bet of the day

[letsgohoosiers]

I played Duke, $22 to win $20

They were up 12 at half and were comfortably up 15-18 the rest of the game.

I declared it a winner and went onto the second chase which started with Cincinnati, who lost.

As of now I am 1-0 and on my second leg of my second chase.

Martingale Record: 1-0 +$20
All Picks Record: 1-1 -0.05 units

I will look primarily at NBA tonight to find something I like. Might not play today if nothing fits the criteria.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50px">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135px">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45px"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40px">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40px">ML
</td><td width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60px">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60px">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60px">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60px">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60px">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1252967" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1252967', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50px">2/5
7:05P
</td> <td id="team" width="135px">803 Detroit Pistons
804 Indiana Pacers
</td> <td id="bets" width="45px">4511
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">22%
78%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">25%
75%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60px">199 -105
-4-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60px">200o-109
-3-103
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60px">200 -110
-3-110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60px">200 -110
-3-110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60px">200 -110
-3-115
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60px">200 -110
-3.5-115
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60px">200 -110
-3-105
</td></tr></tbody></table>
One leg down...

1) Does the team lack public backing? Yes - 22%
2) Is the game featuring two prominent teams? Yes - NBA
3) Does Pinnacle have the best number on the board for the opponent? Yes -3 (-103)
4) Does SIA have the best number on the board for my team? Yes +3.5 (-105)
5) Is there reverse line movement at Pinnacle (optional)? Yes - from 4 to 3

Pistons +3.5 (-105) $43.05 to win $41

 

[daviddaman2]

Really like the logic behind this... good luck

 

[tlee4lizard]

Good luck but detroit is very ,very bad this year cant see them winning or staying to close on the road.. Too many games tomorrow to throw money on them..
But good luck

 

[Mistermj]

Good luck but detroit is very ,very bad this year cant see them winning or staying to close on the road.. Too many games tomorrow to throw money on them..
But good luck

You are completely missing the point...he is looking for value where people assume there isn't any.

If anything you have helped confirm his pick...just sayin. :toast:

 

[crazykind]

i like it, good thread man...at first glance I'd say Sac +3 qualifies as well (Phoenix the sucker bet)

 

[mpn]

OMG I love this thread! GL on approaching this new method letsgohoosiers

 

[tiderinsider2]

Thanks hoosiers. Numbers freak is also on this this so that makes me like the play even more

 

[letsgohoosiers]

You are completely missing the point...he is looking for value where people assume there isn't any.

If anything you have helped confirm his pick...just sayin. :toast:

He may be right though... the people I learned how to bet from kill the other sports and can't beat the NBA... it's the one league I'm not up on this year... numbers can be in your favor and you'll still lose.

Nothing worse than making a pick, then seeing the line move against you hours later and ruining your selection... Pistons closed at +4 (-110) or +3.5 (-105) and killed all value so this selection was a miss regardless of the results.

 

[Trapstar]

With this method, don't you think you should wait until closer to gametime to make your selections? Seems like the line can move too much thus making your rules 3 and 4 not applicable anymore. Just my 2 cents. I've been following your picks for awhile now and love your style. GL with all your future picks!

 

[roadreeler57]

GL Hoosiers...I'll be watching too.

 

[TheSportsPredictor+]

Still don't understand the concept.

Are you increasing your bet seven times in a row regardless? Do you only go to the next step if you win? If you lose?

Please explain.

 

[aknox]

Hey just stumbled upon your thread. It's funny you have started this thread. I've been doing something almost similar to this since the beginning of January and it has worked out pretty well. Starting with only a 20 dollar bet and so on. I do not use sports insights though. I've been using scoresandodds.com and taking the top public bet and fading it. Now I've tweaked it a little bit and instead of having a bet everyday, I wait to see the top public bet the first day after I close a bet. If the public hits, then I fade the next three days until it hits. If they lose the first one, I will follow the next three. It has worked up until now, but I'm sure it can't work forever. Any insights?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Down 2 legs...

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr class="HeadOrange" id="header"> <td id="score_header" width="50px">Time
</td> <td id="team_header" width="135px">Team
</td> <td id="bets_header" width="45px"># Bets
</td> <td id="spreadpct_header" width="40px">Spread
</td><td id="mlpct_header" width="40px">ML
</td><td width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh2" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,2);" width="60px">Pinnacle
</td> <td id="sbh47" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,47);" width="60px">CRIS
</td> <td id="sbh13" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,13);" width="60px">BetUS
</td> <td id="sbh20" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,20);" width="60px">Bodog
</td> <td id="sbh12" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,12);" width="60px">SIA
</td> <td id="sbh8" class="linebox_header" ondblclick="HighlightColumn(this,8);" width="60px">Sportsbk
</td> </tr><tr id="e1258788" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e1258788', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50px">2/6
12:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135px">531 Villanova
532 Georgetown
</td> <td id="bets" width="45px">11187
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">63%
37%
</td> <td id="mlpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40px">73%
27%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60px">151.5 -108
-1.5-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60px">149o-113
-2-102
</td> <td id="sb47_0" class="open" width="60px">150 -110
-1.5-110
</td> <td id="sb13_0" class="open" width="60px">149.5 -110
-1.5-110
</td> <td id="sb20_0" class="open" width="60px">150 -110
-1.5-110
</td> <td id="sb12_0" class="open" width="60px">151 -110
-1-110
</td> <td id="sb8_0" class="open" width="60px">149 -110
-1.5-110
</td></tr></tbody></table>
1) Does the team lack public backing? Yes - 37%
2) Is the game featuring two prominent teams? Yes - Big East
3) Does Pinnacle have the best number on the board for the opponent? Yes +2 (-108)
4) Does SIA have the best number on the board for my team? Yes PK (-110)
5) Is there reverse line movement at Pinnacle (optional)? Yes - from -1.5 to -2

Georgetown PK (-110) $69.36 to win $63.05

 

[aknox]

Yesterday, I followed with the suns -2.5 since the day before that the public lost betting on Georgia Tech. Today is Villanova. I will probably stay away and watch the action and then tomorrow see what happened.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

This chase will end with Georgetown. I am loving this play.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

With this method, don't you think you should wait until closer to gametime to make your selections? Seems like the line can move too much thus making your rules 3 and 4 not applicable anymore. Just my 2 cents. I've been following your picks for awhile now and love your style. GL with all your future picks!

Yes, normally I wait until 10-15 minutes before gametime, however I was busy last afternoon/early evening so I had to post it earlier.

Still don't understand the concept.

Are you increasing your bet seven times in a row regardless? Do you only go to the next step if you win? If you lose?

Please explain.

It is a chase system. I play the game, if it loses I double down next. I keep doubling down 7 times and if I lose the 7th bet I lose the bankroll.

 

[JimmyJet]

looking good for Georgetown at the half....good luck and thanks for this thread.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Looking at BC and Penn State... will let you know shortly.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

BC +8.5 (-110) to start the next leg... reasoning up in a bit I'm hitting the books.