Top NFL Public Bets
#1221 Houston Texans 89% #2237 Pittsburgh Steelers 87% #3220 Cincinnati Bengals 82% #4228 Atlanta Falcons 81% #5223 Carolina Panthers 81% #6233 New England Patriots 80% #7218 New York Jets 67% #8103 Green Bay Packers 64% #9106 Dallas Cowboys 61% #10240 New Orleans Saints 61%
Top NCAAFB Public Bets
#1118 Western Michigan 89% #2149 Purdue 87% #3143 Rutgers 85% #4181 Florida State 83% #5196 Stanford 82% #6201 San Diego State 81% #7123 Houston U 80% #8190 Colorado State 77% #9208 Western Kentucky 77% #10132 Utah 75%
#1118 Western Michigan 89% #2149 Purdue 87% #3143 Rutgers 85% #4181 Florida State 83% #5196 Stanford 82% #6201 San Diego State 81% #7123 Houston U 80% #8190 Colorado State 77% #9208 Western Kentucky 77% #10132 Utah 75%
going to see family and will not be around today.
I do have one small play..and want to share it now
to all..................................Ace
$500.00 Take #107 San Francisco (+3) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 24)
The 49ers are still one of the most underrated teams in all of football. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 13-6-2 ATS against teams with a winning record. The Niners have covered the spread in every game that they have played this year and they are one of the best bets on the board again this week. Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games and they have not played well this year against anyone other than Pittsburgh. This game is being played at night so the travel shouldn't be a big issue for San Francisco. Their defense and running game is playing better than the Ravens right now and I think that the Niners take this one outright.
I do have one small play..and want to share it now
$500.00 Take #107 San Francisco (+3) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 24)
The 49ers are still one of the most underrated teams in all of football. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 13-6-2 ATS against teams with a winning record. The Niners have covered the spread in every game that they have played this year and they are one of the best bets on the board again this week. Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games and they have not played well this year against anyone other than Pittsburgh. This game is being played at night so the travel shouldn't be a big issue for San Francisco. Their defense and running game is playing better than the Ravens right now and I think that the Niners take this one outright.
ACE-ACE
EX BOOKIE
Join DateOct 2003LocationLiv, MichiganPosts16,775
Originally Posted by jets34
Thank you for last week. I am making some big plays again this week, so what do you think. I really like 3 teams this week. So we are going with the Giants, Phil, and Jacksonvillie. And small with Bal, Cleveland, and Indy. Bets are 10,000 Giants, 10,000 Phil, 20,000 Jacksonvillie. Small bets, 3,000 Bal, 3,000 Clev, and 3,000 Indy.
i'm asking you to start your only thread!!! dont its a big forum...this is my house...and you are a asshole!!!!!!
can't believe he couldn't find any overs this week
hno:
EX BOOKIE
Thank you for last week. I am making some big plays again this week, so what do you think. I really like 3 teams this week. So we are going with the Giants, Phil, and Jacksonvillie. And small with Bal, Cleveland, and Indy. Bets are 10,000 Giants, 10,000 Phil, 20,000 Jacksonvillie. Small bets, 3,000 Bal, 3,000 Clev, and 3,000 Indy.
i'm asking you to start your only thread!!! dont its a big forum...this is my house...and you are a asshole!!!!!!
can't believe he couldn't find any overs this week
hno:
Sunday, November 27
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (3 - 7) at ST LOUIS (2 - 8) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BUFFALO (5 - 5) at NY JETS (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVELAND (4 - 6) at CINCINNATI (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (7 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 7) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAROLINA (2 - 8) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 10) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TAMPA BAY (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (2 - 8) at ATLANTA (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (7 - 3) at OAKLAND (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (3 - 7) at SEATTLE (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND (7 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (5 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, November 28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY GIANTS (6 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 3) - 11/28/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Sunday, 11/27/2011
ARIZONA at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 6-0 Over after game w/ TO margin of -2 or worse
ST LOUIS: 9-26 ATS with same season revenge
BUFFALO at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-7 ATS off division game
NY JETS: 8-0 Over off an Under
CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under last six games
CINCINNATI: 1-9 ATS as home favorite
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 7-1 Under vs. conference
JACKSONVILLE: 9-1 Under in all games
CAROLINA at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 11-2 Under as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 0-7 ATS vs. team w/ losing record
TAMPA BAY at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 9-2 ATS as road underdog
TENNESSEE: 19-8 ATS as home favorite of 3 pts or less
MINNESOTA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 10-3 Under Away if the total is between 42.5 and 49
ATLANTA: 3-19 ATS at home off home win
CHICAGO at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
CHICAGO: 16-4 ATS vs. AFC West
OAKLAND: 12-28 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less
WASHINGTON at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
SEATTLE: 2-11 ATS off SU dog win by 14+ points
NEW ENGLAND at PHILADELPHIA, 4:15 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: n/a
PHILADELPHIA: 5-1 ATS off division road win
DENVER at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
DENVER: 8-1 Over off an Under
SAN DIEGO: 2-8 ATS this season
PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PITTSBURGH: 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
KANSAS CITY: n/a
Monday, 11/28/2011
NY GIANTS at NEW ORLEANS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
NY GIANTS: 22-9 Over vs. conference
NEW ORLEANS: 0-6 ATS off road win by 3 pts or less
Sunday, November 27
1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 16 games
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Buffalo
1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TENNESSEE
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
4:05 PM
CHICAGO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games at home
4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SEATTLE
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
4:15 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
4:15 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. KANSAS CITY
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Monday, November 28
8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (3 - 7) at ST LOUIS (2 - 8) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BUFFALO (5 - 5) at NY JETS (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVELAND (4 - 6) at CINCINNATI (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (7 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 7) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAROLINA (2 - 8) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 10) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TAMPA BAY (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (2 - 8) at ATLANTA (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (7 - 3) at OAKLAND (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (3 - 7) at SEATTLE (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND (7 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (5 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, November 28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY GIANTS (6 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 3) - 11/28/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Sunday, 11/27/2011
ARIZONA at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 6-0 Over after game w/ TO margin of -2 or worse
ST LOUIS: 9-26 ATS with same season revenge
BUFFALO at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-7 ATS off division game
NY JETS: 8-0 Over off an Under
CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under last six games
CINCINNATI: 1-9 ATS as home favorite
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 7-1 Under vs. conference
JACKSONVILLE: 9-1 Under in all games
CAROLINA at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 11-2 Under as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 0-7 ATS vs. team w/ losing record
TAMPA BAY at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 9-2 ATS as road underdog
TENNESSEE: 19-8 ATS as home favorite of 3 pts or less
MINNESOTA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 10-3 Under Away if the total is between 42.5 and 49
ATLANTA: 3-19 ATS at home off home win
CHICAGO at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
CHICAGO: 16-4 ATS vs. AFC West
OAKLAND: 12-28 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less
WASHINGTON at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
SEATTLE: 2-11 ATS off SU dog win by 14+ points
NEW ENGLAND at PHILADELPHIA, 4:15 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: n/a
PHILADELPHIA: 5-1 ATS off division road win
DENVER at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
DENVER: 8-1 Over off an Under
SAN DIEGO: 2-8 ATS this season
PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PITTSBURGH: 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
KANSAS CITY: n/a
Monday, 11/28/2011
NY GIANTS at NEW ORLEANS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
NY GIANTS: 22-9 Over vs. conference
NEW ORLEANS: 0-6 ATS off road win by 3 pts or less
Sunday, November 27
1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 16 games
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Buffalo
1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TENNESSEE
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
4:05 PM
CHICAGO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games at home
4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SEATTLE
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
4:15 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
4:15 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. KANSAS CITY
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Monday, November 28
8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
NFL poolies cheat sheet: Week 12
Thanksgiving not only means gorging on food, but gorging on football as the NFL serves up a three-game feast Thursday along with a dozen more games Sunday and of course the Monday Nighter. To the Week 12 poolies cheat sheet we go:
Green Bay (-6.5) at Detroit
Why Packers cover: Can anything negative be said about this team? They’ve won a whole season’s worth of games straight up – 16 in a row, including their run to the Super Bowl title. And they’ve been stout against the spread that entire time, going 12-4. The Lions are losers of seven in a row straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on Thanksgiving Day, including two double-digit defeats to Green Bay.
Why Lions cover: These aren’t the same Lions who annually get rolled by double digits while all of us pound turkey and stuffing. They’ve cashed 10 of their last 13 at home and six of seven as an underdog. Plus, they’re ridiculously resilient, coming from behind to win three times this year in games they’ve trailed by 17 or more points, including last week’s 49-35 home win over Carolina. This is a huge statement game for Detroit, and the team will be amped.
Total (55.5): That is a lot of points, but chew on this while waiting for the bird to finish cooking: Green Bay averages a league-leading 35.5 points per game while Detroit is close behind in third at 30.1. The game is indoors, so weather won’t hinder the offenses.
Miami at Dallas (-7)
Why Dolphins cover: By their standards, they are on fire, winning and covering three in a row after opening season 0-7 SU (1-5-1 ATS), with all three wins by 10 or more points. Miami is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 as road pup and Dallas is a meager 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 when laying points.
Why Cowboys cover: They enjoy Thanksgiving spotlight, covering five in a row on Turkey Day (4-1 SU), and they’ve beaten the books in the last six Thursday contests. Dallas has also won its last three at home by double digits (2-1 ATS) and is 17-7 ATS last 24 in November.
Total (44): Something’s got to give here. Miami has the under on a major run including 8-0-1 overall, 7-0 catching points and 20-6 on highway. Dallas, meanwhile, is on over streaks of 20-6 overall, 11-3 at home and 6-1 in November.
San Francisco at Baltimore (-3.5)
Why 49ers cover: They’re the best in the NFL against the spread this season, having not lost a single contest against the number at 9-0-1 ATS. In fact, they’re on an eight-game SU and ATS firestorm heading into Baltimore for a clash of the Fabulous Coaching Harbaugh Brothers.
Why Ravens cover: John Harbaugh’s troops get up for quality opponents and tend to play down to lesser opponents. They’ve beaten defending AFC champ Steelers twice this season SU and ATS, drubbed the Jets and Texans, and were up 17 in the fourth quarter last week against Cincinnati before settling for a push as 7-point favorites.
Total (38.5): Two of the NFL’s best defenses are involved, with Niners allowing a league-low 14.5 ppg and Baltimore third at 17.6 ppg. Jim Harbaugh’s San Fran squad has held foes to 20 points or fewer in six straight outings. Oddly enough, despite Ravens’ solid defense, the over has hit in four straight.
Carolina (-3.5) at Indianapolis
Why Colts cover: Boy, you know you’ve hit rock bottom when you’re catching 3.5 points at home against a 2-8 team. But this might be the breakthrough week for Indianapolis (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS). Carolina on three-game SU and ATS slide and in 1-6 ATS rut on road. Indy 4-0 ATS last four off bye week.
Why Panthers cover: There’s a reason Cam Newton & Co. are laying 3.5 points – Indy is awful. Carolina has cashed six straight as road favorite (a role they haven’t been in since October 2009), and Colts on slew of pointspread purges, including 0-6 overall and 1-6 at home dome.
Total (45.5): Total has gone high six of last seven with Panthers a road favorite, and over 8-3-1 Colts’ last dozen off a SU loss.
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (-9)
Why Bills cover: This is it for them. After starting out 4-1 SU, they’ve lost four of last five. If they harbor any playoff hopes, they need to not only cash, but win outright. And they’ve got further motivation, having been whipped at home by Jets 27-11 three weeks ago. Additionally, in this AFC East rivalry, the road team is on 7-1 ATS roll and the underdog has beaten the number in nine of last 12.
Why Jets cover: Rex Ryan’s squad is in a similar spot to Buffalo, desperately needing strong performance to reassert itself as playoff contender after back-to-back SU and ATS losses. The Jets have beaten Bills SU and ATS in each of the last four meetings.
Total (41.5): Buffalo has the over on an 8-2-1 run overall, 6-0-1 getting points and 5-0-1 on road. New York has the over on a 20-8 string overall, 8-3 off SU loss and 8-3 inside division.
Cleveland at Cincinnati (-9)
Why Browns cover: Not much to say in favor of Cleveland, but road teams in this rivalry have covered in eight of the last nine. Cincy's in 3-13 ATS rut laying points at home.
Why Bengals cover: Cleveland can’t score. The Browns have put up 17 or fewer points in eight straight games, including 14 or fewer in last five outings. Conversely, Cincy has scored 23 or more in six of its last seven starts. The Bengals are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 while the Browns are 0-7 ATS as underdogs.
Total (37.5): Cleveland’s lackluster offense certainly points to the under, which is 5-1 in Browns’ last six. The under has also cashed in the last four Browns-Bengals affairs in Cincy. On flip side, Cincinnati is on 6-1 over surge.
Arizona at St. Louis (N/A)
Why Cardinals cover: Boy, this is one of those games where you want to take your parents’ advice – if you can’t say something nice, don’t say anything at all. That said, in a meeting of lousy teams, Cards (3-1 ATS last four) are 6-2 ATS in their last eight against the Rams, who are on 2-9 ATS nosedive.
Why Rams cover: Despite the record, they’ve been better lately behind resurgent RB Steven Jackson, who had three straight games of 128 or more yards before last week’s letdown against Seattle. The Cards are 1-7 ATS in their last eight NFC West outings.
Total: St. Louis is averaging a league-worst 12 ppg, so looking low appears smart. The Cardinals have played under in six of seven and the last seven between the two clubs have ducked under the total.
Tampa Bay at Tennessee (-3.5)
Why Buccaneers cover: They're heartened by good showing at Green Bay last week, cashing as 14-point pup in 35-26 loss. This won't seem like as tough of a test. The Bucs are among best in league ATS on the road at 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall and 13-3 when catching points.
Why Titans cover: They’ve cashed in three of four, including last week at Atlanta and Mike Munchak’s unit is on a 6-1 ATS stretch when coming off a SU loss.
Total (43): The under has been the play in Tennessee’s last four games.
Houston (-3.5) at Jacksonville
Why Texans cover: Sure, they lost QB Matt Schaub, but they’ve got stud RB Arian Foster, who leads league’s second-best running attack (158.1 ypg). They should still be able to control the clock and sit fifth in the NFL at 27.3 ppg. Jacksonville's 31st at 12.5 ppg.
Why Jaguars cover: The home team is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in the last four of this AFC South rivalry.
Total (37.5): Jacksonville’s inability to score points, coupled with Houston’s desire to run ball makes under look good. The Jags sport under streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 against winning teams and 4-0 when getting points.
Minnesota at Atlanta (-9.5)
Why Vikings cover: Not much to say in Minnesota’s defense – or about Minnesota’s defense (27.1 ppg, 30th). What Vikes do have going for them is Atlanta's on pair of 2-5 ATS skids, as a favorite and coming off SU win.
Why Falcons cover: Minnesota's defense has allowed 27 points or more in four of last five weeks, including 39 at Chicago and 33 and 45 in home and road losses to Green Bay. Minny may not have stud RB Adrian Peterson (ankle), which will allow Atlanta to put heat on Vikes rookie QB Christian Ponder. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against losing teams.
Total (44): The Falcons have the under on a 6-0 run overall, 5-0 off SU wins and 5-1-1 as home favorites.
Chicago at Oakland (-4.5)
Why Bears cover: They are among hottest teams in league at moment, beating opponents and pointspreads in five straight. In four of those games, they’ve piled up 30 or more points - thanks in large part to RB Matt Forte (926 rushing yards, 465 receiving yards).
Why Raiders cover: Chicago won’t have QB Jay Cutler (thumb) for several weeks, meaning the inexperienced Caleb Hanie will start for the Bears. And despite Oakland likely missing RB Darren McFadden again, Michael Bush (115 ypg last four) is more than serviceable. The Raiders own the third best rushing attack in the league 156.8 ypg and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11.
Total (41.5): Oakland has scored 24 or more points in seven of its last nine and Chicago has topped 24 in six of seven, including five games of 30 or more.
Washington at Seattle (-3.5)
Why Redskins cover: Well, they haven’t won a game since Week 4, so not much to say here. About all they can hope for is that Seahawks QB Tarvaris Jackson plays poorly, which is surely within Jackson’s capabilities.
Why Seahawks cover: As much as we rag on Jackson in this space, there's no denying Seattle is actually 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight overall, 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 12-4 in its last 16 when laying points at home.
Total (37.5): A fairly low number here, but perhaps merited by fact that ‘Skins average just 16.0 ppg (27th) with the Seahawks only a tick better at 16.8 ppg (26th). Washington has played under in seven of its last nine and five of six on the road. However, the over is 8-2 in Seattle's last 10 at home and 15-6 in its last 21 overall.
Denver at San Diego (-6.5)
Why Broncos cover: Haven’t you heard? The miraculous Tim Tebow is the comeback king, helping Denver to a 4-1 SU and ATS mark since he's been under center. San Diego's in absolute tailspin, losing last five in a row SU and ATS.
Why Chargers cover: If Norv Turner wants to stay employed, the Bolts must win not only this week, but pretty much every game for the rest of season. Denver may be just the cure for Chargers, who have won eight of last 10 in this rivalry (7-1-2 ATS). The Broncos are 10-22-2 ATS in the last 34 matchups.
Total (43.5): Broncos have played over at a 22-9 clip in the last 31 overall, 21-8 last 29 against the AFC West), while Chargers play under at a 8-1 record in the last nine at home, 8-0 with Bolts as home favorites.
New England (-3) at Philadelphia:
Why Patriots cover: After a midseason stumble of two consecutive SU and ATS losses, the Pats posted SU and ATS routs of the Jets and Chiefs and now have legitimate shot at No. 1 seed in AFC. Bill Belichick’s troops have provided long-term ATS stability on road, going 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73. Philly is 1-7 ATS in its last eight at home.
Why Eagles cover: Desperation can be great motivator, as Eagles proved last week against the Giants behind backup QB Vince Young. Philly can’t afford to lose any more games. Quarterback Michael Vick (ribs) is not certain to play, but Young got the job done last week.
Total: The under has hit in four of five at home and six of eight overall for Philly. On the flip side, New England is on over runs of 21-8 overall and 10-4 on the highway.
Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Kansas City
Why Steelers cover: That’s a big number for a road team at Arrowhead, but K.C. has been awful lately, totaling just 16 points over three consecutive SU and ATS losses. The defending AFC champs, meanwhile, have won five of six (4-2 ATS) and own pair of 8-3 ATS streaks, as a favorite and against losing teams.
Why Chiefs cover: QB Tyler Palko can’t be much worse than last week (three INTs), as he replaces the injured Matt Cassel for rest of season. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in the last six as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in the last five as a home pup. Pittsburgh is 6-15 ATS in the last 21 when laying more than 10, while the Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 when catching more than 10.
Total (39.5): Almost all trends point to the over for Pittsburgh and to the under for the Chiefs. But in this occasional rivalry, the total has gone over in five straight overall and four in a row at Arrowhead.
N.Y. Giants at New Orleans (-7)
Why Giants cover: They’ve dumped two in a row SU and ATS and need to get the ship righted to keep NFC East hopes on track. Tom Coughlin’s squad likes the Monday night spotlight (4-0 ATS) and is a solid road bet (30-14 ATS in the last 44).
Why Saints cover: They’ve got home-dome advantage. New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four at the Superdome and coming off the bye week, the Saints have had extra week to rest up for Giants. Home team favorites are 6-1 ATS in the last seven Giants-Saints affairs.
Total (50.5): Big number, but with Saints averaging 31.3 ppg (second), the over is always in play. The over has cashed in New Orleans’ last four off its bye week.
Thanksgiving not only means gorging on food, but gorging on football as the NFL serves up a three-game feast Thursday along with a dozen more games Sunday and of course the Monday Nighter. To the Week 12 poolies cheat sheet we go:
Green Bay (-6.5) at Detroit
Why Packers cover: Can anything negative be said about this team? They’ve won a whole season’s worth of games straight up – 16 in a row, including their run to the Super Bowl title. And they’ve been stout against the spread that entire time, going 12-4. The Lions are losers of seven in a row straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on Thanksgiving Day, including two double-digit defeats to Green Bay.
Why Lions cover: These aren’t the same Lions who annually get rolled by double digits while all of us pound turkey and stuffing. They’ve cashed 10 of their last 13 at home and six of seven as an underdog. Plus, they’re ridiculously resilient, coming from behind to win three times this year in games they’ve trailed by 17 or more points, including last week’s 49-35 home win over Carolina. This is a huge statement game for Detroit, and the team will be amped.
Total (55.5): That is a lot of points, but chew on this while waiting for the bird to finish cooking: Green Bay averages a league-leading 35.5 points per game while Detroit is close behind in third at 30.1. The game is indoors, so weather won’t hinder the offenses.
Miami at Dallas (-7)
Why Dolphins cover: By their standards, they are on fire, winning and covering three in a row after opening season 0-7 SU (1-5-1 ATS), with all three wins by 10 or more points. Miami is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 as road pup and Dallas is a meager 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 when laying points.
Why Cowboys cover: They enjoy Thanksgiving spotlight, covering five in a row on Turkey Day (4-1 SU), and they’ve beaten the books in the last six Thursday contests. Dallas has also won its last three at home by double digits (2-1 ATS) and is 17-7 ATS last 24 in November.
Total (44): Something’s got to give here. Miami has the under on a major run including 8-0-1 overall, 7-0 catching points and 20-6 on highway. Dallas, meanwhile, is on over streaks of 20-6 overall, 11-3 at home and 6-1 in November.
San Francisco at Baltimore (-3.5)
Why 49ers cover: They’re the best in the NFL against the spread this season, having not lost a single contest against the number at 9-0-1 ATS. In fact, they’re on an eight-game SU and ATS firestorm heading into Baltimore for a clash of the Fabulous Coaching Harbaugh Brothers.
Why Ravens cover: John Harbaugh’s troops get up for quality opponents and tend to play down to lesser opponents. They’ve beaten defending AFC champ Steelers twice this season SU and ATS, drubbed the Jets and Texans, and were up 17 in the fourth quarter last week against Cincinnati before settling for a push as 7-point favorites.
Total (38.5): Two of the NFL’s best defenses are involved, with Niners allowing a league-low 14.5 ppg and Baltimore third at 17.6 ppg. Jim Harbaugh’s San Fran squad has held foes to 20 points or fewer in six straight outings. Oddly enough, despite Ravens’ solid defense, the over has hit in four straight.
Carolina (-3.5) at Indianapolis
Why Colts cover: Boy, you know you’ve hit rock bottom when you’re catching 3.5 points at home against a 2-8 team. But this might be the breakthrough week for Indianapolis (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS). Carolina on three-game SU and ATS slide and in 1-6 ATS rut on road. Indy 4-0 ATS last four off bye week.
Why Panthers cover: There’s a reason Cam Newton & Co. are laying 3.5 points – Indy is awful. Carolina has cashed six straight as road favorite (a role they haven’t been in since October 2009), and Colts on slew of pointspread purges, including 0-6 overall and 1-6 at home dome.
Total (45.5): Total has gone high six of last seven with Panthers a road favorite, and over 8-3-1 Colts’ last dozen off a SU loss.
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (-9)
Why Bills cover: This is it for them. After starting out 4-1 SU, they’ve lost four of last five. If they harbor any playoff hopes, they need to not only cash, but win outright. And they’ve got further motivation, having been whipped at home by Jets 27-11 three weeks ago. Additionally, in this AFC East rivalry, the road team is on 7-1 ATS roll and the underdog has beaten the number in nine of last 12.
Why Jets cover: Rex Ryan’s squad is in a similar spot to Buffalo, desperately needing strong performance to reassert itself as playoff contender after back-to-back SU and ATS losses. The Jets have beaten Bills SU and ATS in each of the last four meetings.
Total (41.5): Buffalo has the over on an 8-2-1 run overall, 6-0-1 getting points and 5-0-1 on road. New York has the over on a 20-8 string overall, 8-3 off SU loss and 8-3 inside division.
Cleveland at Cincinnati (-9)
Why Browns cover: Not much to say in favor of Cleveland, but road teams in this rivalry have covered in eight of the last nine. Cincy's in 3-13 ATS rut laying points at home.
Why Bengals cover: Cleveland can’t score. The Browns have put up 17 or fewer points in eight straight games, including 14 or fewer in last five outings. Conversely, Cincy has scored 23 or more in six of its last seven starts. The Bengals are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 while the Browns are 0-7 ATS as underdogs.
Total (37.5): Cleveland’s lackluster offense certainly points to the under, which is 5-1 in Browns’ last six. The under has also cashed in the last four Browns-Bengals affairs in Cincy. On flip side, Cincinnati is on 6-1 over surge.
Arizona at St. Louis (N/A)
Why Cardinals cover: Boy, this is one of those games where you want to take your parents’ advice – if you can’t say something nice, don’t say anything at all. That said, in a meeting of lousy teams, Cards (3-1 ATS last four) are 6-2 ATS in their last eight against the Rams, who are on 2-9 ATS nosedive.
Why Rams cover: Despite the record, they’ve been better lately behind resurgent RB Steven Jackson, who had three straight games of 128 or more yards before last week’s letdown against Seattle. The Cards are 1-7 ATS in their last eight NFC West outings.
Total: St. Louis is averaging a league-worst 12 ppg, so looking low appears smart. The Cardinals have played under in six of seven and the last seven between the two clubs have ducked under the total.
Tampa Bay at Tennessee (-3.5)
Why Buccaneers cover: They're heartened by good showing at Green Bay last week, cashing as 14-point pup in 35-26 loss. This won't seem like as tough of a test. The Bucs are among best in league ATS on the road at 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall and 13-3 when catching points.
Why Titans cover: They’ve cashed in three of four, including last week at Atlanta and Mike Munchak’s unit is on a 6-1 ATS stretch when coming off a SU loss.
Total (43): The under has been the play in Tennessee’s last four games.
Houston (-3.5) at Jacksonville
Why Texans cover: Sure, they lost QB Matt Schaub, but they’ve got stud RB Arian Foster, who leads league’s second-best running attack (158.1 ypg). They should still be able to control the clock and sit fifth in the NFL at 27.3 ppg. Jacksonville's 31st at 12.5 ppg.
Why Jaguars cover: The home team is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in the last four of this AFC South rivalry.
Total (37.5): Jacksonville’s inability to score points, coupled with Houston’s desire to run ball makes under look good. The Jags sport under streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 against winning teams and 4-0 when getting points.
Minnesota at Atlanta (-9.5)
Why Vikings cover: Not much to say in Minnesota’s defense – or about Minnesota’s defense (27.1 ppg, 30th). What Vikes do have going for them is Atlanta's on pair of 2-5 ATS skids, as a favorite and coming off SU win.
Why Falcons cover: Minnesota's defense has allowed 27 points or more in four of last five weeks, including 39 at Chicago and 33 and 45 in home and road losses to Green Bay. Minny may not have stud RB Adrian Peterson (ankle), which will allow Atlanta to put heat on Vikes rookie QB Christian Ponder. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against losing teams.
Total (44): The Falcons have the under on a 6-0 run overall, 5-0 off SU wins and 5-1-1 as home favorites.
Chicago at Oakland (-4.5)
Why Bears cover: They are among hottest teams in league at moment, beating opponents and pointspreads in five straight. In four of those games, they’ve piled up 30 or more points - thanks in large part to RB Matt Forte (926 rushing yards, 465 receiving yards).
Why Raiders cover: Chicago won’t have QB Jay Cutler (thumb) for several weeks, meaning the inexperienced Caleb Hanie will start for the Bears. And despite Oakland likely missing RB Darren McFadden again, Michael Bush (115 ypg last four) is more than serviceable. The Raiders own the third best rushing attack in the league 156.8 ypg and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11.
Total (41.5): Oakland has scored 24 or more points in seven of its last nine and Chicago has topped 24 in six of seven, including five games of 30 or more.
Washington at Seattle (-3.5)
Why Redskins cover: Well, they haven’t won a game since Week 4, so not much to say here. About all they can hope for is that Seahawks QB Tarvaris Jackson plays poorly, which is surely within Jackson’s capabilities.
Why Seahawks cover: As much as we rag on Jackson in this space, there's no denying Seattle is actually 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight overall, 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 12-4 in its last 16 when laying points at home.
Total (37.5): A fairly low number here, but perhaps merited by fact that ‘Skins average just 16.0 ppg (27th) with the Seahawks only a tick better at 16.8 ppg (26th). Washington has played under in seven of its last nine and five of six on the road. However, the over is 8-2 in Seattle's last 10 at home and 15-6 in its last 21 overall.
Denver at San Diego (-6.5)
Why Broncos cover: Haven’t you heard? The miraculous Tim Tebow is the comeback king, helping Denver to a 4-1 SU and ATS mark since he's been under center. San Diego's in absolute tailspin, losing last five in a row SU and ATS.
Why Chargers cover: If Norv Turner wants to stay employed, the Bolts must win not only this week, but pretty much every game for the rest of season. Denver may be just the cure for Chargers, who have won eight of last 10 in this rivalry (7-1-2 ATS). The Broncos are 10-22-2 ATS in the last 34 matchups.
Total (43.5): Broncos have played over at a 22-9 clip in the last 31 overall, 21-8 last 29 against the AFC West), while Chargers play under at a 8-1 record in the last nine at home, 8-0 with Bolts as home favorites.
New England (-3) at Philadelphia:
Why Patriots cover: After a midseason stumble of two consecutive SU and ATS losses, the Pats posted SU and ATS routs of the Jets and Chiefs and now have legitimate shot at No. 1 seed in AFC. Bill Belichick’s troops have provided long-term ATS stability on road, going 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73. Philly is 1-7 ATS in its last eight at home.
Why Eagles cover: Desperation can be great motivator, as Eagles proved last week against the Giants behind backup QB Vince Young. Philly can’t afford to lose any more games. Quarterback Michael Vick (ribs) is not certain to play, but Young got the job done last week.
Total: The under has hit in four of five at home and six of eight overall for Philly. On the flip side, New England is on over runs of 21-8 overall and 10-4 on the highway.
Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Kansas City
Why Steelers cover: That’s a big number for a road team at Arrowhead, but K.C. has been awful lately, totaling just 16 points over three consecutive SU and ATS losses. The defending AFC champs, meanwhile, have won five of six (4-2 ATS) and own pair of 8-3 ATS streaks, as a favorite and against losing teams.
Why Chiefs cover: QB Tyler Palko can’t be much worse than last week (three INTs), as he replaces the injured Matt Cassel for rest of season. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in the last six as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in the last five as a home pup. Pittsburgh is 6-15 ATS in the last 21 when laying more than 10, while the Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 when catching more than 10.
Total (39.5): Almost all trends point to the over for Pittsburgh and to the under for the Chiefs. But in this occasional rivalry, the total has gone over in five straight overall and four in a row at Arrowhead.
N.Y. Giants at New Orleans (-7)
Why Giants cover: They’ve dumped two in a row SU and ATS and need to get the ship righted to keep NFC East hopes on track. Tom Coughlin’s squad likes the Monday night spotlight (4-0 ATS) and is a solid road bet (30-14 ATS in the last 44).
Why Saints cover: They’ve got home-dome advantage. New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four at the Superdome and coming off the bye week, the Saints have had extra week to rest up for Giants. Home team favorites are 6-1 ATS in the last seven Giants-Saints affairs.
Total (50.5): Big number, but with Saints averaging 31.3 ppg (second), the over is always in play. The over has cashed in New Orleans’ last four off its bye week.
