$2100.00 -105 Take #227 Atlanta (+1.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 28)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I think that the wrong team is favored here. And my NFL 411 System suggests the same thing. Philadelphia is favored because they are at home. And because they are a very overrated team. The Eagles are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. And Philadelphia is just 3-8-1 ATS coming back after a loss. Atlanta is unbeaten and like the Eagles they are coming off a bye week. Atlanta beat the Eagles at home last year. And this year's Falcons team is the best they have had under Mike Smith and Matt Ryan. Philadelphia fired its defensive coordinator and they are going to be unsure on that side of the ball. Mike Vick keeps turning the ball over. Atlanta has the better team and the better quarterback. They are undervalued still and they will win this game outright.
$300.00 +110 Take #221 Indianapolis (+3) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 28)
Young Andrew Luck is playing well and taking care of business for the Colts. This team is 2-1 in its last three games and won a big one over Green Bay. Tennessee has won back to back games late in the fourth quarter. I do not think that they can do it again. I think the Colts win this game straight up. But there is not more than a field goal that separates these two teams. The underdog is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the Colts are 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings. They will get an outright win here but I will take the points in case it is another close game late.
$300.00 -107 Take #236 Pittsburgh (-4.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 28)
The Steelers are the play here. This team is tough at home. They won a big game in Cincinnati last Sunday night and that has them going in the right direction. Pittsburgh has gone 9-4 ATS in its last 13 home games and they will get the job done here. Washington is banged up. They just lost another starter this week. They had a tough loss to the Giants last week. It will be tough for this team to go on the road two weeks in a row and put up that type of effort. This is just a game that Pittsburgh has to win and they will.
$300.00 -110 Take #230 Detroit (-2.5) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 28)
The Lions are off a disappointing game against the Bears on Monday night. They had a lot of red zone chances in that game but turnovers kept them from winning. They are 2-0 ATS in their last two games and I think this team knows that its back is against the wall. They have only played one home game in their last five games. They will be excited to be back in front of a strong home crowd. That will be a big advantage here. Seattle is just 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games on the road. I think Russell Wilson will have a rough game against a Detroit defense that is improving. Detroit is the play here in a game where the Lions won't have to come from behind.