Exbookie wants to help the players week 1-17 Nfl 2013 season

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EX BOOKIE
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Start of week 2


bankroll. $75,000
INVESTMENT PLAYS. 0-1 -$2100.00
ACTION PLAYS. 2-2-1 -$2170.00

Total. 2-3-1. -$2170.00


Ace

 

EX BOOKIE
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This is what week 3 line where before week 1

WEEK 3


Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles (-3)
Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals (Pick)
St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5)
San Diego Chargers at Tennessee Titans (+2.5)
Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots (-7.5)
Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins (-2.5)
New York Giants at Carolina Panthers (+1)
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)
Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins (+1)
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3.5)
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Seattle Seahawks (-14)
Chicago Bears at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5)
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-13.5)


I know for a fact that Denver will be -16.5 and so will Seahawks
 

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ACE- U R BEAUTIFUL BUT YOU ALREADY KNEW THAT! Mom taught me to be polite anyway. TY!!!
 

EX BOOKIE
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ACE- U R BEAUTIFUL BUT YOU ALREADY KNEW THAT! Mom taught me to be polite anyway. TY!!!

Is it really more fun to give a gift than to receive one? Generosity has away of returning to the giver! everyone need to share what they know to help others.
 

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Stats vs ATS after 1st week

home 8
away 7


dogs 8
fav. 7

under 8
over 8

points that matter. 5 out of 16 games the points matter.....most years it's 17% or less this week it was 31%
 

EX BOOKIE
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Anyone know the records of these sheets and details about them?


For me it's not about what they pick...it's about looking at the game from there side and reading what they say.

statfox...I look hard at the outplays
winningpoint is in my mind the best one

Ace
 

Member Emeritus
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ACE......Really glad to see you are back, for another season, my friend.

For those not aware.......this man has forgotten more than 99% of the people here know about sports betting.

So open up your minds and learn something............your wallet will thank you.
 

EX BOOKIE
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ACE......Really glad to see you are back, for another season, my friend.

For those not aware.......this man has forgotten more than 99% of the people here know about sports betting.

So open up your minds and learn something............your wallet will thank you.

there was some great posted back in 2005...I had a list of 10 posted that I watch every day. Most players move on...game9000 is still here and is the only one that I make sure I see his posted. Thanks my friend I think we started the same time...wow its been 9 years!!!
 

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[h=1]How Sharps are Betting This Weekend's NFL Action[/h]
SAN DIEGO AT PHILADELPHIA: Interesting reaction here to Philadelphia’s impressive performance vs. Washington this past Monday Night. The first numbers up gave the Eagles respect for that result…with Philly laying -7.5 on the opener. Early money came in on the favorite, lifting the line in paces up to as high as Philadelphia -9. Sharps preferring the underdog then came in at that price, which has driven the line all the way back down to the Eagles by 7.5 as we go to press. Awkward spot for oddsmakers. The game is in the sharp teaser window from -7.5 up to -8.5 (where Wise Guys like to move favorites down past the 7 and the 3 for use in two-team teasers). If sportsbooks post a solid seven, then the favorite will get hit hard. A solid nine shows the underdog getting hit hard. In terms of volume, sharps will like Philadelphia at -1.5, -2, or -2.5 in two-team teasers, but San Diego +9 for straight bets.
CLEVELAND AT BALTIMORE: The first numbers up showed Baltimore by six. That was bet up (we hear because of respect for the extra preparation time after a Thursday Night game). We’re now seeing a tug-of-war with Baltimore -6.5 getting support, but Cleveland at +7 getting hit if the line moves up to the key number. The percentages are that tight when a game hits a key number like three or seven. Sharps who prefer the host Ravens either got in at -6, or are happy at -6.5. Sharps who like the dog will gladly take the full seven.
TENNESSE AT HOUSTON: Stores that opened with this line below Houston -9 saw action come in on the favorite…or simply moved on air with other stores who were concerned about teasers. Houston is a solid team when facing non-contenders, and Houston -2.5 or loser in two-team teasers would be extremely popular with sharps and squares (the public) alike in two-teamers. Some places offshore are as high as Houston -9.5. We’re not seeing sharps come in on the dog Tennessee, which they did do with San Diego in this price range. We’re hearing sharps would come in on the Titans at +10. This is not, right now, a heavily bet game from sharps.
MIAMI AT INDIANAPOLIS: Looks like a tug-of-war spot with sharps split between Miami +3 and Indianapolis -2.5 because of the percentage power of the key number three. Stores that opened any lower were bet up to this tug-of-war range. So…sharps would be supporting the Colts at -1.5 or -2. If the public bets the home favorite over the weekend, sharps will balance that out with their action at Dolphins +3. We have a few games this Sunday in this particular range. Remember that sharps will be looking to move any underdogs of +2.5 up to +8.5 in teasers. There will be Wise Guys rooting for Indianapolis -2.5 but Miami +8.5 because of the historical percentages.
CAROLINA AT BUFFALO: Another game on the three…another tug-of-war. Though, this time it’s a road favorite instead of a home favorite. Carolina was bet by sharps at -2.5 or any opener lower than that. Dog money does come in at +3…which is why many stores are charging -120 vigorish on Buffalo bets at +3. Beating the market in this sport is very much a matter of percentages. Sharps try to take advantage of any percentage edge they can find because they know that strategy will pay off over thousands of games and several years as bettors. Those with an opinion make sure they get the best line. Those without an opinion still try to bet the percentages.
ST. LOUIS AT ATLANTA: Openers varied, but money settled very quickly on a tug-of-war between Atlanta -6.5 and St. Louis +7. A lot of games on key numbers this week. Though, it should be said that oddsmakers did a pretty good job of estimating sharp preferences with their openers.
WASHINGTON AT GREEN BAY: Here it looks like we have a tug-of-war brewing on the other side of the key numbers. Green Bay -7 (or at any opener below that) was hit by sharps after seeing how poorly the Redskins defended Philadelphia’s offense. That pushed the game into the teaser window. Sharps took Washington +8 if it was offered anywhere, and many are investing at +7.5 as well. Those who had an opinion got their preferred line. Oddsmakers probably don’t want this game in the teaser window Sunday given the public’s tendency to bet Green Bay as a home favorite. It’s already a safe bet this early that a Houston/Green Bay combination would be a very popular teaser choice this Sunday.
DALLAS AT KANSAS CITY: To the degree you could say oddsmakers missed a game, it would be this one. Most early openers were in the Kansas City -1.5 to -2 range. Sharps hit that hard…pushing the line up into tug-of-war range at the key number. We’re now looking at Kansas City -2.5 and Dallas +3. The Chiefs were a big early position for the quickest acting sharps. We’re hearing that Dallas +8.5 would be a popular teaser choice for sharps if the tug-of-war settles on +2.5 before kickoff.
MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO: This could at least be considered as a minor miss by oddsmakers. Chicago opened at -5 or -5.5 in many spots…but was bet up to the six right away. Many stores saw a point move that wasn’t directly tied to a critical number of 3 or 7. So, we have real sharp support here for the Bears. Or, maybe better put…real sharp skepticism about the Vikings. You’ll recall sharps weren’t supporting the Vikes against Detroit last week. Given two weeks of this…we have to assume sharps have the Vikings rated lower than oddsmakers do in their ratings.
NEW ORLEANS AT TAMPA BAY: Support has been growing through the week for the Saints as a road favorite. Though, that’s been more heavy offshore than in Las Vegas. We’re hearing from our sources that sharps like the Saints at -3, but aren’t too keen on Tampa Bay at +3.5 given the negative headlines that continue to come out of that franchise. The public will probably bet Drew Brees. If YOU want to bet Drew Brees, and you’re still seeing -3…you should probably take care of business now. Sources anticipate this line being -3.5 of -4 by kickoff.
DETROIT AT ARIZONA: Most places opened at Detroit pick-em or -1. Sharps hit the visiting Lions with enough support to push the line to -1.5 or -2 in places. Sharps are okay with Arizona +7.5 or +8 in the teaser window, and would definitely come in on the home dog at +3 if the public were to drive the team side line any higher.
JACKSONVILLE AT OAKLAND: The earlier stores to open had Oakland too low. The Raiders were bet at -4.5 or better out of the gate, and still received support at -5 or -5.5. Jacksonville money did start coming in at +6. And, it came in hard enough to push the line back down to 5.5 in most locales as we went to press. Backers of either team got their preferred price. We may see a tug-of-war on game day between the public on Oakland at -5.5 (and Oakland does have a following in Vegas because of geographic proximity) and sharps on Jacksonville +6.
DENVER AT NY GIANTS: Oddsmakers anticipated market support for Denver off their big Thursday Night win vs. Baltimore. That caused them to overshoot the mark. Denver opened as a 6-point road favorite in many spots. Home dog money on the Giants came it at that number, as well as +5.5 and even +5. Some stores were testing 4.5 as we went to press. The “Manning Bowl” will be heavily bet in Las Vegas because it’s the marquee event of the late afternoon slate. The public is likely to bet Denver and Peyton Manning in the hours before kickoff. Sharps plus New York money will counteract that, creating a very big one-game handle.
SAN FRANCISCO AT SEATTLE: Too bad this great game is being played so early. These look to be the two best teams in the NFC…and some systems would have them as the two best in the whole NFL. Home field advantage is typically worth three points in the NFL. Naturally, Seattle is -3 in this game as a result. Stores are finding more support for the underdog 49ers at that price, so they’re charging -120 vigorish to take the underdog. Interesting…because some pundits will tell you that Seattle has a larger than average home field advantage. We do believe sharp support for Seattle would come in if the line dropped to -2.5 -120. Will be interesting to see how the public bets this one…and how sportsbooks deal with the number on what’s likely to be an extremely popular betting game in Vegas. Part of the current pricing may be anticipating “local” fan support for the Niners, who have a lot of fans in Nevada.
PITTSBURGH AT CINCINNATI: Generally speaking, this game opened below Cincinnati -7 and was bet to the key number. That’s a big line adjustment from what had been expected to be -3 or so before the season started. Pittsburgh really did look that bad vs. Tennessee that week! We’re hearing sharps would consider Pittsburgh at +7.5, but aren’t that keen yet on backing them at the seven. They may settle for the underdog +7 before kickoff if the public doesn’t bet the favorite higher. Longtime sharps tend to be skeptical of games that move THIS much from prior expectations in such a short time.
 

Mmm Hmm
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It's great to see your posts again, Ace! I've been out of the loop for 2 or 3 years, but ready to get back to it. Your posts are always the first I check! Good luck this year, buddy!
 

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two early plays $2200 - 105 Take #198 Baltimore (-6.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 15)
This is my Game of the Month. I really like Baltimore here. The Ravens were blown out in their opener against Denver. But now they are back home. This team was angry about having to play its first game on the road. But now they are in front of the home crowd and the Ravens are one of the best home teams in the NFL. This is the first time that the Super Bowl champions have played in front of their fans since winning the title. It will be an emotional game. Cleveland lost by two scores at home last week. That was a big disappointment for a team after a good preseason. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Most of these wins have been blowouts. The Ravens have also gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after giving up over 30 points. They will correct the issues on defense. And now they have a chance to beat up a division rival. Lay the points and look for a big win here.


$500.00 -105 Take #202 Indianapolis (-2.5) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 15)
The Colts just know how to win games. They came from behind to beat the Raiders last week and the Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Indianapolis beat the Dolphins last season here and I think that the Colts are even better now. The Dolphins are playing their second straight road game. They won at Cleveland last week and own and now are back on the road. But Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games and just 6-15-3 ATS when they play in September. The Colts are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games and I had this number at 4.5. I will put my money behind Andrew Luck and this winning Colts team. They will find a way to get it done again and maybe soon they will get some respect!
 

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It's great to see your posts again, Ace! I've been out of the loop for 2 or 3 years, but ready to get back to it. Your posts are always the first I check! Good luck this year, buddy!

thanks for the kind words Ace
 

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Agree with the BAL pick, they always seem to rebound against lower teams at home after a loss. A TD advantage is highly likely. Let´s go ACE!
 

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$800.00 -110 Take #213 New Orleans (-3) over Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 15)
The Saints are a new team this year. Sean Payton is back on the sideline. That has given this team a big list. The Saints also have new coordinator Rob Ryan on the sideline. He has brought a new toughness to the defense. The Saints defense held the high-scoring Atlanta offense to just 17 points last week. The Saints have dominated this series and they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against the Buccaneers. New Orleans is also 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Tampa. The Saints beat the Bucs twice last year. They won by a touchdown down in Tampa and they won 41-0 at home last year. The Saints also won the last game in 2011 by 11 points. I think that this one will be another blowout. Tampa Bay lost an ugly game to the Jets last week. I think they will lose an even uglier one this week. Take the Saints.
 

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1-1 so far today + $1675.00

will update after the next game is over

Ace
 

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