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Dumpster Fire Picks
- Thread starter LowTide
- Start date
YTD 25-25 -5.5
App State blows 13 point lead with under 7:00 to play. I am too fucking shitty at this to withstand those kinds of losses in addition to the ones I lose that aren't even close.
2* Georgia/Fullerton Under 143-105
Playing tougher competition is part of it, but when you can't shoot, you can't shoot. Fullerton 49%!from the line and 20% from 3. Neutral floor with both teams feeling each other out hopefully leads to a lower score.
2* Nebraska/UCF UNder 140-105
BJ Taylor out hurts UCF and Tacko Fall hopefully disrupts Neb's offense. Both teams struggle with the 3 ball- UCF 25% and Neb 30%.
2*St Mary's\Harvard Under 142.5 -105
Harvard has not crossed this number yet and shooting 29% from 3. Gaels one of the more methodical teams in the country.
2*SDSU/Sac State under 143.5-105
Aztecs get it after defensively and the Hornets are a complete mess offensively.
1* Hampton-5
No way in hell anybody is reading this. Happy Thamksgiving.
App State blows 13 point lead with under 7:00 to play. I am too fucking shitty at this to withstand those kinds of losses in addition to the ones I lose that aren't even close.
2* Georgia/Fullerton Under 143-105
Playing tougher competition is part of it, but when you can't shoot, you can't shoot. Fullerton 49%!from the line and 20% from 3. Neutral floor with both teams feeling each other out hopefully leads to a lower score.
2* Nebraska/UCF UNder 140-105
BJ Taylor out hurts UCF and Tacko Fall hopefully disrupts Neb's offense. Both teams struggle with the 3 ball- UCF 25% and Neb 30%.
2*St Mary's\Harvard Under 142.5 -105
Harvard has not crossed this number yet and shooting 29% from 3. Gaels one of the more methodical teams in the country.
2*SDSU/Sac State under 143.5-105
Aztecs get it after defensively and the Hornets are a complete mess offensively.
1* Hampton-5
No way in hell anybody is reading this. Happy Thamksgiving.
Indy, thank you. I hope you had a nice day with your family.
2* Arizona-7.5
Nothing gets your attention like a loss. We should see improved effort on the defensive end from the Wildcats and reasonably expect them to shoot better than 12% from 3 range. . The biggest problem for SMU is their lack of size and experience in the front court. I just don't see how they will contend with Ayton and Ristic for 40 minutes.
1* Arizona-4 first half
georgia referenced above is a home game for Fullerton. No matter.
2* Arizona-7.5
Nothing gets your attention like a loss. We should see improved effort on the defensive end from the Wildcats and reasonably expect them to shoot better than 12% from 3 range. . The biggest problem for SMU is their lack of size and experience in the front court. I just don't see how they will contend with Ayton and Ristic for 40 minutes.
1* Arizona-4 first half
georgia referenced above is a home game for Fullerton. No matter.
3* San Diego state -3
Georgia seems to be struggling to adjust to life after JJ Frazier. Maten is a beast, but the production thins out pretty quickly after him.
3*EMU/Indiana under 149.5
Against D1 competition, emu is allowing 40% and 20% from 3 range and 62 points. They run a nasty zone that should trouble a mediocre Indiana squad.
2* long Beach /osu over 154
2* Florida -2.5
1* Toledo -6
Georgia seems to be struggling to adjust to life after JJ Frazier. Maten is a beast, but the production thins out pretty quickly after him.
3*EMU/Indiana under 149.5
Against D1 competition, emu is allowing 40% and 20% from 3 range and 62 points. They run a nasty zone that should trouble a mediocre Indiana squad.
2* long Beach /osu over 154
2* Florida -2.5
1* Toledo -6
YTD 44-49 -14.90
2*Baylor+4.5 Not a lot separating these two teams. I think the decider will be offensive rebounds: Baylor gets them and Xavier gives them up. Also in Baylor's favor: fewer fouls and fewer turnovers. More cheap points and extra possessions will make a difference.
2* Brown+20
Annual rivalry game. Last year Brown covered easily as a 24 point dog. Matthews is out for RI and while the Rams do have depth at guard, they run a lot of 4 guard sets and I can handle losing by the jump shot as opposed to getting overwhelmed inside.
2*Illinois +3 No idea how Wake is favored after losses to Drake and Liberty among others. This seems like the trap of the night. Not surprisingly, I am on it.
2*Baylor+4.5 Not a lot separating these two teams. I think the decider will be offensive rebounds: Baylor gets them and Xavier gives them up. Also in Baylor's favor: fewer fouls and fewer turnovers. More cheap points and extra possessions will make a difference.
2* Brown+20
Annual rivalry game. Last year Brown covered easily as a 24 point dog. Matthews is out for RI and while the Rams do have depth at guard, they run a lot of 4 guard sets and I can handle losing by the jump shot as opposed to getting overwhelmed inside.
2*Illinois +3 No idea how Wake is favored after losses to Drake and Liberty among others. This seems like the trap of the night. Not surprisingly, I am on it.
Thanks guys. I need something.
ytd 44-52 -21.50
3*miami/Minnesota under 143
A prime time match up between 2 top 15 teams. Miami especially stingy on the defensive end as they allow 54 points a game are 7th nationally in defensive efficiency. They go 9 deep and while no one puts up eye popping stats, they all contribute. I think they win this game, but this feels like the safer bet. Cue the 90-80 track meet.
3*buffalo/niagara over 165.5
Two of the nation's fastest playing teams. It will simply be a matter of enough shots falling.
3*wyoming-5.5
Denver has a historically been a tough out at home with them wearing opponents down in the altitude. Not an issue here as Laramie is almost 2,000 feet higher than Denver. The Pioneers also don't play nearly as slow as they used to when they would knock off bigger name teams. Wyoming won comfortably at OSU, no reason they can't win here.
3* Northern Iowa -105
FAMU, Prairie View, EWU, Rice, Southern Utah.
UNC, SMU, NC State, Villanova.
Who has played the tougher competition? It's sure as hell not UNLV. And they will not be running free tonight as they will be too busy playing defense. Only 1 team out of 351 teams holds the ball longer than the Panthers and no matter how hard the Rebels try, they will not be able to speed this game up to a tempo of their liking.
ytd 44-52 -21.50
3*miami/Minnesota under 143
A prime time match up between 2 top 15 teams. Miami especially stingy on the defensive end as they allow 54 points a game are 7th nationally in defensive efficiency. They go 9 deep and while no one puts up eye popping stats, they all contribute. I think they win this game, but this feels like the safer bet. Cue the 90-80 track meet.
3*buffalo/niagara over 165.5
Two of the nation's fastest playing teams. It will simply be a matter of enough shots falling.
3*wyoming-5.5
Denver has a historically been a tough out at home with them wearing opponents down in the altitude. Not an issue here as Laramie is almost 2,000 feet higher than Denver. The Pioneers also don't play nearly as slow as they used to when they would knock off bigger name teams. Wyoming won comfortably at OSU, no reason they can't win here.
3* Northern Iowa -105
FAMU, Prairie View, EWU, Rice, Southern Utah.
UNC, SMU, NC State, Villanova.
Who has played the tougher competition? It's sure as hell not UNLV. And they will not be running free tonight as they will be too busy playing defense. Only 1 team out of 351 teams holds the ball longer than the Panthers and no matter how hard the Rebels try, they will not be able to speed this game up to a tempo of their liking.
