Do any of you feel like 2nd halves are easier to handicap?

[whalewager]

So let me get this straight george, you won one lousy 2h wager on Nebraska and all the sudden you are a professional second half capper? Give me an effin break.

I got the other half of your momma tonight...

Oooooooooooo

 

[krk1030]

I'd have to think you have the optimal advanatge when you can watch the first half of a game and bet the 2H. Everyone is seeing the same thing, vegas doesnt know anything special.

 

[HAT]

I'd have to think you have the optimal advanatge when you can watch the first half of a game and bet the 2H. Everyone is seeing the same thing, vegas doesnt know anything special.

In the NBA....you don't even need to watch. You can find a play most days simply by watching the box scores & using the above 'cookbook' as a guide.

If you've got team A shooting 50% and team B shooting 32%...but Team B looks scrappier (more steals, more offensive boards, getting to the FT line more, etc.) + team A has a starter or 2 in foul trouble + the 2H line seems a little out of whack due to the 'cookbook'.......You've got a play on team B. Yes, team A may continue to shoot lights out & team B may continue to stink it up FG% wise.....but more often than not, FG%'s will regress to the norm.

It should be noted that I'm probably only lifetime even using this angle simply b/c I'm an action junkie & usually try to force what I think is a correlated parlay & play side + total + parlay. Oftentimes getting the split but winning the 'cookbook' portion.

FWIW

 

[whalewager]

good posts hat...very interesting stuff

 

[sparticus]

Look for ECC at nfl halftime plays as he is something like 60-28 ats so far this season.

 

[Doug]

I personally like H2 in hoops, not so much in foots.

 

[whalewager]

too much variance in hoops

 

[Doug]

I prefer totals to sides in H2 hoops, usually looking for the over. The problem is filling a bet at Matchbook. I often go unmatched offering the best price.

 

[nimue77]

2nd halfs are easy to handicap even if you know zilch about the teams. All you have to know is the closing line and the score.