DaCoochieBets Favorite CBB Bet for Tuesday, Dec. 6th

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Wagner vs Fordham

Wagner +9.5 - 110​


This is a big spread being put up on this game in my estimation, for a variety of reasons, the first of which is the fact that Wagner’s pace is really quite slow. They rank outside of the top 100 in terms of possessions per game, and what this does is at the very least, limit how ugly this one gets if they can score at a respectable rate. And playing this Fordham team who comes in off the heels of a monster win against Tulane, I’m thinking they’ll have more than enough opportunities to get easy buckets —- because Fordham turns the ball over 15+ times a game.

Turnovers in low-possession games are doubly painful, and with Fordham not exactly being road runners themselves, this game is going to be one that is played at a pretty slow pace. Under scripts never hurt the underdog, and with Wagner shooting the ball a lot better this year (34% of jumpers), the concern that they just don’t hit enough shots might be a little bit overblown.

Honestly, if Wagner weren’t shooting under 60% from the foul line on the season this would be a spot where I’d sprinkle the ML —- but when you can’t trust a team you hit FTs as big dogs, you just shouldn’t bet them. That said —- covering nearly 10 points is somewhere I’m banking on here —- and it wouldn’t be so bad if you did too!
 
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CBB YTD Record ---- 106-94-1
Penn vs Villanova
Penn +13.5 -110

It’s not been a great start to the post-Jay Wright era for the Wildcats, and honestly, you could really see it coming when it became clear both Justin Moore and Cam Whitmore wouldn’t be available for what has been a very tough early season schedule. But even still —— I think this group is getting too much respect on name alone it feels like to be laying 13.5 against a very solid Penn team who’ve cashed me a couple of tickets already this year. Especially when you realize that Nova’s got one of the worst three-point shooting defenses in all of college basketball!

This isn’t the type of profile you want to have to play a group like the Quakers, who certainly may lack the athleticism and size to match up with bigger programs, but make up for it with outside shooting and sound decision-making. And I’d be remiss to not mention one the most low-key entertaining guys to watch hoop in the nation right now —- Jordan Dingle. The guy is just filling the tin up right now —- scoring 20+ in all but 2 of the team’s games on way to averaging nearly 24 a game.

The dude is HOT HOT HOT, and I don’t see Nova having the defensive consistency to keep him from finding rhythm —- and if he finds that rhythm, it feels very hard for the Wildcats to get the margin they need to cover this game. So give me the Quakers and the points at The Pavilion.

DINGLE and ready to MINGLE.

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