Coochie vs The Bookie

[dacoochiebets]

WhiteSox vs Guardians
Guardians ML -105

The Cleveland Guardians find themselves below .500 for the first time since June 8 thanks to a 2-8 stretch in their last 10 games and will look to get back on the winning side of things on Monday when they play host to the Chicago White Sox.

And with White Sox starter Lance Lynn having struggled since coming off the injured list, I’m thinking we got a nice little buy-low spot on the Guardians in this match-up. Lynn’s made five starts this season with at least three runs surrendered in four of them, logging a 5.33 ERA, and allowing four home runs in 27 total innings. So despite all the K-struts and flamboyant celebrations, the dudes really not getting outs, and he’s getting squared up ALOT (ugly 46.5% hard-hit rate.)

And if Lynn struggles it doesn’t get a whole lot better behind Lynn either, as the White Sox have a bullpen that is 20th in the MLB in ERA and is 23rd in walks per nine innings.

On the otherside, the Guardians give Cal Quantrill the start, who has performed his best at home with a 3-0 record in his eight starts in Cleveland with a 3.24 ERA and 2.3 walks per nine innings and has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in 28 of his last 31 appearances. MODEL OF CONSISTENCY IN THE LAND.

He should be able to find some success today against a White Sox team who are hitting .038 lower against right-handed pitching versus left-handed pitching, and who ranks in the bottom 5 for home runs per game.

Dating back to last season the Guardians are 8-3 in Quantrill’s last 11 starts and will get the Guardians out of their funk on Monday

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[dacoochiebets]

ANYBODY CAN GIVE OUT 1 WINNER RIGHT?

Well I'm about to get so hot you'd burn to touch me --- and y'all will all be on board to watch.

Mariners ML -105

I'm going to put my money on the hot team in this matchup that features two teams that are on complete opposite ends of the spectrum in recent weeks. The Mariners have won ten out of their last 11 games, while the Nationals have lost ten of 11 —— so why the hell are we getting this number on the ML? That I cannot tell you, but I worry not about the opinions of sheep, for I am a Lion.

Moreover, Josiah Gray’s been BAD when he’s gotta pitch in the snake pit that is Washington DC; his home ERA is an alarming 6.42 and he's just 2-5 in when pitching in the nation’s capital. So while his BLISTERING month of June might be motivating the line remaining a pick’em, the man who's charged with pitching for the Mariners is also finding a very nice groove of late.

Flexen goes for the boating men of Seattle, and after a dismal May, Flexen has picked things up and has won each of his last three starts. He has given up just six earned runs in those three starts and appears to have found the stuff that helped make him a 14-game winner in 2021.

With how bad the Nationals are, I’m still really struggling to understand this line, and perhaps I’m just a rat walking into a trap. BUT I WANT THE CHEESE.

 

[dacoochiebets]

IT TOOK AN EXTRA DAY, BUT THATS 2 in a ROW my friends.

FOR MY THIRD TRICK ---- We got for some + MONEY JUICE.

Pirates ML x Over 7.5 SGP (+300)

After the Marlins walked the Pirates off last night these two teams meet for the last time this week in a VERY quick turnaround spot as this one is set to get underway at noon —- and ahoy matey the Pirates LIFE IS THE LIFE FOR ME.
Because on the mound for Bucs is Zac Thompson, who after a disastrous month of April has really rounded into form well, 3.94 xERA over the past 30 days—— and the key for Thompson throughout this run is he’s just not getting barreled up by opposition lineups. He is above average in Average Exit Velocity at 88.5 mph and will face a Marlins offense that’s been brutal without the talents of Jaz Chisolm and Jorge Soler. So while Thompson’s numbers might scare some people away from this spot (4.38 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP) —- it’s not going to scare me one bit. Marlins ain’t them guys.

Because while they might have an ever so slight starting pitching advtange with Braxton Garrett taking the hill for the Fish (4.33 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP), I don’t imagine we see either of the starters getting very deep in the game. Neither of them has thrown more than 6 1/3 innings this year, and that’s where I think the Pirates earn the win today.

The quick turnaround, as well as this being the last game of a tight 4 game series, will mean we’ll not be seeing either of these teams’ best bullpen arms. This is where the Pirates should have the advtange —- while no one out there in the outfield for the Pirates is lethal, they all own an xFIP below 4. Beyond that, over the past 30 days, the Pirates bullpen has been the 9th best in the Bigs, and if they get the lead they should be able to hold it in this matchup against a LIGHT-hitting Miami team.

So Both teams have far from A-list pitchers taking the hill on Thursday and the Pirates have scored at least four runs in four of their last five games the series finale in Miami will involve lots of runs, and most of them will come from the PIRATES.

 

[dacoochiebets]

Yesterday didn't go our way, and that's okay. We will be better today.

Giants vs Brewers​

Over 7 -115

Brandon Woodruff gets the start for Milwaukee this evening, and the man’s pitched significantly worse on the road than at home this season with a 5.63 ERA and .277 opponent batting average on the road compared to a 2.20 ERA and .177 opponents batting average at home this season. NOW THAT’S A STARK CONTRAST.

So with the BrewCrew visiting SanFran, I’m thinking we might see some fireworks. Espescially when considering this is a Giants team that is third in the league in runs per game, despite having just two players with more than 10 home runs this season. SMALLER BALL?!

But what about the Brewers?

Well, with Alex Wood getting the start for the Giants, who has an overall 4.43 ERA, which goes to 4.46 at home with opponents hitting .301 off of him at home, I’m thinking the Brewers find some runs of their own. The lads from Wisconsin are fourth in the league in home runs and are averaging over 4.6 runs per game on the road. THAT. WILL. DO.

The cherry on top of this is one is that both teams have been shaky in the bullpen of late, with Josh Hader having allowed at least one run in four of his last five appearances, while the Giants are 21st in the league in bullpen ERA.

So with The Giants having played just two of Wood’s last six games to the under and things are set up to have a lot of runs on Friday.

 

[dacoochiebets]

3-1 so far; looking to make some headway on a real impressive W/L record before the All-Star Break.

Tigers @ Guardians ​

Under 8.5 (-110)

IT’S BACK. WHEN YOU NEED A WIN, BET THE TIGERS UNDER. AND BOY I NEED A WIN.

As I’ve said over and over again now, the Tiger’s games are under fests ——- shaded 52-34-5 to the under, including a 26-15-3 mark on the road. The bats just can’t hit for power and lack the talent to string together hits throughout the line-up. The offseason acquisitions haven’t worked, and with the Guardians turning to Cal Quantrill, I think we see the struggles continue.

To the chagrin of many, the often faded Quantrill has actually impressed so far this year, posting a 5-5 record with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched. But if he is to get the win today he’ll have to spin up a gem, as the run support just doesn’t seem like it’s going to come —— because the boys from the Land rank dead last in the BigLeagues in avg. exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate. Fortunately for Quantrill, he’s backed up by one of the best defensive teams in the Bigs. Cleveland ranks among the top-five MLB teams in Defensive Runs Saved, and runs prevented count the same as runs scored.

And on the otherside of this match is Micheal Pineda, and those batted ball numbers should MUSIC TO THE EARS of the former Yankee/Mariner. The journeymen in the making are actually putting together a solid year himself despite horrific peripherals; his 2-4 record is not dreadful, he’s carrying a 3.58 ERA, and has a 1.19 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched season so far this season. So although the regression is certainly inbound for Pineda, I think he should be capable of limiting these Guardian hitters who have so far this season not shown the ability to take advantage of Pineda’s propensity to give up hard contact.

The reality is, it’s really hard to see this game having 9 or more runs; both teams have a wRC+ among the bottom 10 teams over the past month, the wind is projected to be blowing in from the center field, and with one eye on the break I’m thinking we see some free swinging at-bats.