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Sunday, January 30


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 30

13 of Sunday’s best college hoop games

Providence @ Villanova

— Providence (16-5, 8-2) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #293
— Providence won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Providence is 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS on Big East road.
— Friars are #6 team in country on offensive boards.
— Providence is getting 22.2% on its points on foul line (#19)
— Friars are 4-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Providence’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #206
— Providence’s best win: 73-61 over #6 UConn.

— Villanova (10-10, 4-5) ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #133
— Villanova is 3-5 in its last eight games (2 wins vs Georgetown).
— Villanova is 3-7 against top 100 teams.
— Wildcats are shooting 53.3% inside arc (#59), 83.2% on line (#1)
— Wildcats are #96 team in country on defensive boards.
— Villanova is 4-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #271
— Villanova’s best win: 70-66 over #40 Oklahoma

— Villanova won eight of last ten series games.
— Friars lost 71-56/76-74 in last two visits to Villanova.

Michigan @ Penn State
— Michigan (11-9, 5-4) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #274
— Michigan lost four of its last six games.
— Michigan is 1-3 SU/1-3 ATS on Big 14 road, 0-3 as a road dog.
— Wolverines have #89 eFG% in country.
— Wolverines are 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
— Michigan is 4-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #282
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #33 Maryland

— Penn State (13-7, 4-5) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #136
— Penn State lost four of its last six games.
— Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in Big 14 home tilts, 3-1 as a home favorite.
— Lions get only 11.8% of points on foul line, 2nd-least in country.
— Lions are #44 team on defensive boards.
— Penn State has #20 eFG% in country.
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #126
— Penn State’s best win: 74-59 at #22 Illinois

— Michigan won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Wolverines won four of last five visits to Happy Valley.

Michigan State @ Purdue
— Michigan State (14-7, 6-4) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #151
— Continuity: #128
— Michigan State lost three of its last five games.
— Spartans are 2-2 SU/ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— Michigan State is #32 team in country on defensive boards.
— MSU is shooting 47.7% inside arc (#275), 37.6% on arc (#27)
— Spartans are 7-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #241
— Michigan State’s best win: 70-57 over #16 Rutgers

— Purdue (14-7, 6-4) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #299
— Purdue won its last seven games, last two by 3-5 points.
— Purdue is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as Big 14 home favorite.
— Boilers are shooting 53.7% inside arc (#50), 32.9% on arc (#227)
— Boilers are #3 team in country on offensive boards.
— Purdue has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #298
— Purdue’s best win: 75-70 over #8 Marquette

— Purdue won 64-63 at Michigan State January 16.
— Boilermakers won five of last six meetings.
— Spartans lost last five visits to Mackey Arena.

Quinnipiac @ Iona
— Quinnipiac (15-5, 6-3) ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #127
— Continuity: #46
— Quinnipiac won its last six games SU.
— Quinnipiac 3-1 SU/ATS on MAAC road, 2-0 as MAAC dog.
— Bobcats have #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Bobcats are #39 team on offensive boards, #63 on defensive end.
— Quinnipiac is #338 team in country on foul line.
— Quinnipiac’s schedule, to this point: #296
— bench minutes: #58
— Quinnipiac’s best win: 81-58 over #81 Iona

— Iona (13-7, 6-3) ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #91
— Experience: #226
— Continuity: #189
— Iona lost three of its last five games.
— Iona has #41 eFG% defense in country.
— Gaels are #264 team on defensive boards.
— Gaels are 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Iona is 3-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #171
— bench minutes: #199
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #79 Saint Louis.

— Quinnipiac beat Iona 81-58 at home January 8th.
— Iona won five of last eight series games.
— Bobcats won two of last three visits to New Rochelle.

Siena @ Marist
— Siena (14-7, 8-2) ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #125
— Siena is 9-2 in its last 11 games, overall.
— Siena is 3-1 SU/ATS on MAAC road, 1-1 as road favorite.
— Saints are shooting 35.8% on arc (#81)
— Siena is #79 team in country on defensive boards.
— Flat spot for Saints after Friday’s big win over Iona?
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #273
— bench minutes: #179
— Siena’s best win: 60-55 over #52 Seton Hall

— Marist (7-12, 3-7) ranked #312 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #327
— Marist lost its last three games, scoring 54.7 ppg.
— Marist is 1-4 SU/ATS in MAAC home games, 1-2 as home dog.
— Red Foxes are shooting 47.9% inside arc (#268), 31.2% on arc (#302)
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#53), 36.9% on arc (#315)
— Red Foxes are 5-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Marist’s schedule, to this point: #350
— bench minutes: #154
— Marist’s best win: 73-69 over #221 American

— Teams split their last four meetings.
— Saints won four of last five visits to Poughkeepsie.

Rider @ Fairfield
— Rider (10-9, 7-3) ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #30
— Rider won its last four games, giving up 61.5 ppg.
— Broncs are 3-2 SU in MAAC true road games, 2-1 ATS as road dog.
— Rider is shooting 31.8% on arc (#281), 48.2% inside arc (#259)
— Luckily for them, Rider is #48 team in country on offensive boards.
— Strangely, Broncs are #223 team in country on defensive boards.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #277
— bench minutes: #208
— Rider’s best win: 70-67 at #82 Iona.

— Fairfield (10-10, 6-4) ranked #231 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #82
— Fairfield won its last four games, giving up 55.5 ppg.
— Fairfield is 3-2 SU/ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Stags are shooting 28.1% on arc (#356), 47.1% inside arc (#297)
— Stags are getting 23.8% of their points on foul line (#5)
— Fairfield is 2-5 against top 200 teams.
— Fairfield’s schedule, to this point: #289
— bench minutes: #242
— Fairfield’s best win: 74-69 over #133 Towson

— Fairfield won last three series games.
— Rider lost 72-56/65-59 in last two visits here.

Georgetown @ St John’s
— Georgetown (6-15, 1-9) ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #356
— Last game, Georgetown snapped a 29-game Big East losing skid.
— Hoyas are 0-5 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big East road underdog.
— Georgetown is shooting 49.4% inside arc (#211), 31.4% on arc (#298)
— Hoyas have #305 eFG% defense in country.
— Georgetown is 0-11 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Georgetown’s schedule, to this point: #65
— bench minutes: #222
— Georgetown’s best win: 81-76 over #137 DePaul.

— St John’s (13-8, 3-7) ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #87
— St John’s lost seven of its last nine games SU.
— St John’s is 2-3 SU/ATS in Big East home games, 2-1 ATS as home favorite.
— Big East opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#11 of 11)
— St John’s is 2-8 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Red Storm has shortest offensive possessions in country (14.8 seconds)
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #147
— St John’s best win: 85-74 at #6 UConn

— St John’s won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in the Big Apple.

Rutgers @ Iowa
— Rutgers (14-6, 6-3) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #63
— Rutgers won eight of its last ten games.
— Knights are 2-2 SU on Big 14 road, 2-1 ATS as road dog.
— Rutgers is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#19)
— Rutgers has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Knights are #35 team in country on offensive boards.
— Rutgers’ schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #170
— Rutgers’ best win: 65-64 at #4 Purdue

— Iowa (12-8, 4-5) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #56
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #47
— Iowa is 4-5 in its last nine games SU.
— Iowa won its last three home games, scoring 83.3 ppg.
— Iowa is 3-1 SU/ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Hawkeyes are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#87)
— Hawkeyes are 7-6 vs top 100 teams.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #18
— bench minutes: #189
— Iowa’s best win: 76-65 at #16 Rutgers

— Iowa won 76-65 at Rutgers January 8th.
— Hawkeyes won five of last six series games.
— Rutgers lost 85-80/74-66 in last two visits to Iowa.

Detroit @ Youngstown State
— Detroit (8-14, 4-7) ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #181
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #286
— Detroit lost nine of its last 12 games.
— Titans are 2-4 SU/2-3-1 ATS on Horizon road, 2-3 as road dog.
— Detroit has #328 eFG% defense in country.
— Titans are #298 team in country on defensive boards.
— Titans are shooting 39.1% on the arc (#10)
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #189
— bench minutes: #60
— Detroit’s best win: 70-49 over #104 Charlotte

— Youngstown State (16-6, 8-3) ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #256
— Youngstown won nine of its last eleven games.
— Penguins are 5-1 SU at home in Horizon, 3-2 ATS as home faves.
— Youngstown is shooting 39.3% on arc (#7), 54.6% inside arc (#36)
— Penguins are #59 team in country on offensive boards.
— Youngstown has #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Youngstown’s schedule, to this point: #332
— bench minutes: #283
— Youngstown’s best win: 85-71 over #159 Cleveland State

— Youngstown won 84-79 at Detroit January 12
— Penguins won five of last seven series games.
— Detroit split its last four visits to Youngstown.

Drake @ Belmont
— Drake (16-6, 7-4) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #20
— Drake won five of its last six games.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS on MVC road.
— Drake has #72 eFG% defense in country.
— Bulldogs are #10 team in country on defensive boards.
— Drake is 8-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #227
— bench minutes: #270
— Drake’s best win: 86-61 over #89 Bradley

— Belmont (16-6, 9-2) ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #266
— Belmont won its last seven games SU.
— Bruins are 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS at home in MVC, 3-1 as a favorite.
— Bruins are shooting 40.4% on the arc (#3)
— Belmont is #302 team in country on defensive boards.
— Belmont is 8-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #165
— Belmont’s best wins: 63-60/78-76 over #89 Bradley

Furman @ NC-Greensboro
— Furman (16-6, 7-2) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #27
— Furman won six of its last seven games SU.
— Paladins are 4-1 SU/ATS on SoCon road.
— Furman is shooting 59.4% inside arc (#2)
— Paladins have #286 eFG% defense.
— Forman is 6-4 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Furman’s schedule, to this point: #260
— bench minutes: #301
— Furman’s best win: 89-74 over #118 Belmont

— NC-Greensboro (14-8, 8-1) ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #241
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #70
— NC-Greensboro won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Spartans won four of their five SoCom home games SU.
— NC-Greensboro has #49 eFG% defense in country.
— NC-Greensboro is shooting 47.4% inside arc (#288)
— Spartans are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#68).
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— NC-Greensboro’s schedule, to this point: #184
— bench minutes: #142
— NC-Greensboro’s best win: 75-67 over #76 Marshall

— UNCG won 88-80 in OT at Furman January 14th.
— Spartans won three of last four series games.
— Paladins won three of last four visits to Greensboro.

South Florida @ SMU
— South Florida (9-12, 2-6) ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #155
— South Florida lost six of its last eight games.
— Bulls are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS as an AAC road dog.
— South Florida is #39 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bulls are forcing turnovers 20% of time (#96)
— South Florida is 3-9 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— South Florida’s schedule, to this point: #157
— bench minutes: #214
— South Florida’s best win: 85-72 over #62 UCF.

— SMU (7-14, 2-6) ranked #180 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #271
— SMU lost six of its last seven games
— SMU is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in AAC home games.
— Mustangs are shooting 30.4% on arc (#323), 47.5% inside arc (#284)
— SMU is #262 team in country on defensive boards.
— Mustangs are 2-13 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— SMU’s schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #196
— SMU’s best win: 77-74 over #47 Utah State

— SMU won four of last five series games.
— USF lost 82-64/77-65 in its last two visits to Dallas.

Memphis @ Tulsa
— Memphis (16-5, 6-2) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #261
— Memphis won its last four games, scoring 80.8 ppg.
— Tigers are 1-5 ATS as an AAC favorite, 0-2 on road.
— Memphis is shooting 32.7% on arc (#237), 53.4% inside arc (#57)
— Memphis #24 eFG% defense in country (#335 on defensive boards)
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#51)
— Memphis schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #47
— Memphis best win: 82-73 over #28 Auburn.

— Tulsa (5-14, 1-7) ranked #249 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #229
— Tulsa lost eight of its last nine games SU.
— Hurricane is 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS as an AAC home dog.
— Opponents are shooting 55.6% inside arc (#345)
— Tulsa is #329 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tulsa is shooting 32.2% on arc (#265)
— Tulsa’s schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #157
— Tulsa’s best win: 81-79 in OT over #85 Tulane.

— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Memphis lost five of its last six visits to Tulsa.
 

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 29​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
STJOE at GMU12:00 PMGMU -6.5
U 139.5
+500 +500
BU at LEH12:00 PMLEH -2.0
U 137.0
+500 +500
PROV at VILL12:00 PMPROV -1.0
U 139.5
+500 +500
MICH at PSU12:00 PMPSU -3.5
U 141.5
+500 +500
WICH at ECU12:00 PMECU +3.5
O 132.0
+500 +500
MSU at PUR12:15 PMMSU +8.0
U 130.0
+500 +500
MAN at CAN01:00 PMCAN -6.0
U 139.0
+500 +500
QUIN at IONA01:00 PMQUIN +6.5
U 145.5
+500 +500
OAK at RMU01:00 PMRMU -2.5
U 140.5
+500 +500
SIE at MRST02:00 PMSIE -4.5
O 128.5
+500 +500
RID at FAIR02:00 PMRID +2.5
U 130.5
+500 +500
GTWN at SJU02:00 PMGTWN +10.0
O 156.5
+500 +500
RUTG at IOWA02:00 PMRUTG +3.5
U 141.0
+500 +500
DETU at YSU02:00 PMYSU -8.5
O 158.0
+500 +500
DRKE at BEL03:00 PMBEL -1.0
U 138.5
+500 +500
BRAD at UIC03:00 PMUIC +9.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
INDPU at CLEVST03:00 PMINDPU +17.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
FUR at UNCG03:00 PMUNCG +1.0
O 139.5
+500 +500
SIU at ILST03:00 PMSIU -4.5
U 124.0
+500 +500
USF at SMU04:00 PMSMU -2.5
U 146.5
+500 +500
MEM at TLSA05:00 PMTLSA +12.0
O 154.5
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
01/29/202316-25-139.29%-5750Detail
01/28/202394-78-354.57%+4100Detail
01/27/202310-9-152.50%+50Detail
01/26/202358-48-454.55%+2600Detail
01/25/202352-44-054.17%+1800Detail
01/24/202325-27-148.11%-2350Detail
01/23/202313-15-046.43%-1750Detail
01/22/202326-18-059.09%+3100Detail
01/21/2023137-132-350.92%-4100Detail
01/20/202312-14-046.15%-1700Detail
01/19/202376-71-551.64%-1050Detail
01/18/202337-27-357.46%+3650Detail
01/17/202327-31-246.67%-3550Detail
01/16/202331-37-145.65%-4850Detail
01/15/202318-8-069.23%+4600Detail
01/14/2023110-83-356.89%+9350Detail
01/13/202314-12-053.85%+400Detail
01/12/202340-28-258.57%+4600Detail
01/11/202348-42-253.26%+900Detail
01/10/202327-34-144.35%-5200Detail
01/09/202314-6-268.18%+3700Detail
01/08/202322-19-153.57%+550Detail
01/07/202379-61-156.38%+5950Detail
01/06/202313-12-151.92%-100Detail
01/05/202348-37-156.40%+3650Detail
01/04/202329-24-254.55%+1300Detail
01/03/202328-16-063.64%+5200Detail
01/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
01/01/202316-19-145.83%-2450Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

College basketball teams with best 2-point shooting %age:
61%— Marquette
59.3%— Indiana State
58.9%— Furman
58.5%— Cornell
57.9%— Southern Illinois
57.9%— Missouri

Quote of the Day
“That puts a lot of pressure (on us). But it’s not just the Padres, it’s the Mets, it’s the Phillies. This has been an interesting year. What the Padres are doing, I don’t 100% agree with, though I know that our fans probably agree with it. We’ll see how it works out.”
Colorado Rockies’ owner Dick Monfort, criticizing other teams’ spending $$$ on players

Monday’s quiz
First time the Minnesota Vikings played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, Ron Jaworski was their QB.

Saturday’s quiz
When ESPN’s Dick Vitale coached college basketball, he coached at Detroit Mercy.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— I’ve said this many times here the last few years, but it bears repeating:

NFL teams need to have THREE quarterbacks active for EVERY game, to protect the quality of the league’s product. Quality of the product is kind of an important thing.

San Francisco had two QB’s injured Sunday; they had zero chance once that happened— they put the first QB back in, even though he couldn’t throw a football more than 5-10 yards. This was the worst NFL game I’ve seen in a long time, and I watch a lot of games.

NFL franchises are worth $4B or so; they can afford an extra $500,000 a year to pay a #3 QB who can try to save their butts in games like this one. It is worth the additional expense- think about how much the TV ratings must have gone down in the second half of this game.

Eagles 31, 49ers 7
Total yardage was 269-164, Eagles; San Francisco completed only 11 passes the whole game.
49ers’ only touchdown drive was 46 yards.
San Francisco was an underdog twice this year; they lost those games 44-23/31-7.
I’m a Rams’ fan; this result is fine with me, but the game wasn’t fun to watch.

— San Francisco’s last five playoff appearances:
2012: W-W-L34-31 in Super Bowl
2013: W-W-L23-17 in NFC title game at Seattle
2019: W-W-L31-20 in Super Bowl
2021: W-W-L20-17 in NFC title game at LA Rams
2022: W-W-L31-7 in NFC title game at Philadelphia

Chiefs 23, Bengals 20
Butker kicked a 45-field goal with 0:03 left for the win.
Late hit on Mahomes out of bounds on previous play set up the winning FG.
Mahomes threw for 326 yards and two TD’s- he was the 10th pick of the 2017 Draft.
Bears took Mitch Trubisky with the 2nd pick in that draft, which explains a lot.

Chiefs’ first three drives: 27 plays, 175 yards, 13 points.
Chiefs rest of the game: 39 plays, 182 yards, 10 points.
Bengals had nine penalties for 71 yards, Chiefs 4 for 55 yards.
Kansas City is now 3-2 in AFC title games the last five years.

— Super Bowl losers who get to the conference title game the next season are now 8-6.

— This is the first time in five years that two #1-seeds are playing in a Super Bowl; last five times two number 1 seeds met in the Super Bowl, the underdog won four times.

— Opening Line on the Super Bowl: Chiefs opened at -1.5, with a total of 49.5, but soon after that money moved the line to Eagles -2.5.

— Was thinking about this tonight, I’m going to do it next year (2024) because I already have my vacations planned for this year: I want to be in Las Vegas the week the NFL schedule comes out, so I can sit in a sportsbook and watch people bet into the first odds that are posted after the schedule comes out. Just think it would be aa fun thing to do.

— Dallas Cowboys told offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to take a hike Sunday; there have to be scapegoats when teams lose playoff games.

Dallas had a top-five scoring offense this season.
Cowboys averaged 27.5 ppg this year, 4th-most in NFL.
Dallas averaged 27.7 ppg in Moore’s four years as OC, #2 in the NFL.

But by all means, fire the offensive coordinator. Head coach Mike McCarthy will now call plays, which should be interesting.

— Miami Dolphins are going to hire former Broncos’ coach Vic Fangio as their new defensive coordinator. Miami will be the fifth defense Fangio has coordinated. He is very good at it.

— LA Rams hired former Jets’ offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur as their new OC; LaFleur spent the last two years with the Jets, after spending four years with the 49ers.

— Atlanta Falcons hired Ryan Nielsen as their new defensive coordinator, replacing Dean Pees, who retired. Nielsen spent the last six years with New Orleans, the Falcons’ arch-rival.

— Random trivia: Eagles’ coach Nick Sirianni and NFL commish Roger Goodell both grew up in Jamestown, NY.

— Mets signed 2B/OF Jeff McNeil to a 4-year, $50M contract; McNeil hit .326 this past season. He is a .307 career hitter with a .370 career on-base %age.

— Phillies signed 2B Josh Harrison to a one-year, $2M contract.

— TCU’s best basketball player, Mike Miles, hurt his knee in Saturday’s loss at Mississippi State; the Frogs got a promising injury update after Miles had an MRI- the injury is not season-ending. Miles is averaging 18.1 ppg this season.

— Temple Owls are 8-2 in the AAC, after a 6-7 pre-conference mark; Temple has the best eFG% defense in AAC games- they won at Houston, an impressive win. Their rematch with Houston is Sunday in Philadelphia.

Providence 70, Villanova 65— Villanova is 3-6 in its last nine games; they’re 4-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.

Purdue 77, Michigan State 61— Boilermakers are 21-1; they’re looking like a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament. TV guys are praising coach Matt Painter left-and-right; one guy actually mentioned that he is a future Hall of Famer. Seth Greenberg said he is one of the five best coaches in America. Yikes.

Painter is a good coach, but he ain’t one of the five best coaches in America.

— Painter has made 15 of last 18 NCAA Tournaments, counting this year. That is very good.
— He is 10-4 SU/ATS in first round games. Pretty good, not great.
— He is 6-4/7-3 ATS in second round games. That approaches very good.
— 17-7 against the spread in first weekend games is impressive.

But then…….

— His record in Sweet 16 games: 1-5 SU, with the only win in overtime in 2019.
— His Sweet 16 losses came as a 2-seed, 3-seed, 4-seed (twice) and a 5-seed.
— Purdue lost a Sweet 16 game last year as a 13-point favorite against Saint Peter’s. He lost a second round game as a 9-point favorite to VCU in 2011.
— He lost his only Elite 8 game to Virginia in overtime in 2019.

In short, Painter’s career record in 2nd-weekend NCAA games is 1-6 SU/ATS, not exactly the stuff of Hall of Famers.

He has a solid chance to get to the Final Four this year, with a 7-4 center who is really good. Will be interesting to see if the Boilermakers can live up to expectations.

— Charles Barkley was at the Auburn-West Virginia basketball game Saturday; he did a brief stint on ESPN, where he uttered the phrase, “stupid-ass transfer portal” As usual, Charles spoke the truth.
 

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VIRGINIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a win by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

IOWA ST is 54-30 Over (21 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days in the last 3 seasons.

LOYOLA-MD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

NORFOLK ST is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

DELAWARE ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MD-EAST SHORE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

HOWARD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

ORAL ROBERTS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

MISSOURI-KC is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons...

ALCORN ST is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

ALABAMA ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

SOUTHERN U is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, January 30


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VIRGINIA (16 - 3) at SYRACUSE (13 - 9) - 1/30/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 101-136 ATS (-48.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 4-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO ST (6 - 17) at THE CITADEL (9 - 13) - 1/30/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
THE CITADEL is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 72-100 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 29-64 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S DAKOTA (10 - 12) at ORAL ROBERTS (19 - 4) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 since 1997.
S DAKOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORAL ROBERTS is 2-1 against the spread versus S DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA is 2-1 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA ST (11 - 11) at MISSOURI-KC (10 - 13) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 140-102 ATS (+27.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 136-98 ATS (+28.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA ST is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 4-0 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (16 - 5) at TEXAS (17 - 4) - 1/30/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
BAYLOR is 172-134 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 3-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA ST (15 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (11 - 10) - 1/30/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
IOWA ST is 306-255 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS TECH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS TECH is 153-198 ATS (-64.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TEXAS TECH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 5-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 4-2 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-MD (8 - 15) at COLGATE (16 - 7) - 1/30/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-MD is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-MD is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
COLGATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLGATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLGATE is 4-0 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 4-0 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC CENTRAL (9 - 10) at NORFOLK ST (14 - 7) - 1/30/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
NC CENTRAL is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
NORFOLK ST is 2-1 straight up against NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA A&M (7 - 13) at BETHUNE-COOKMAN (7 - 14) - 1/30/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA A&M is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
ALABAMA A&M is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA A&M is 2-0 straight up against BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE ST (3 - 16) at COPPIN ST (6 - 17) - 1/30/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DELAWARE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COPPIN ST is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
COPPIN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COPPIN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
COPPIN ST is 6-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MD-EAST SHORE (12 - 8) at MORGAN ST (11 - 10) - 1/30/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MD-EAST SHORE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
MD-EAST SHORE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
MD-EAST SHORE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MD-EAST SHORE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MORGAN ST is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MORGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons
MORGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA ST (3 - 19) at HOWARD (13 - 10) - 1/30/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
HOWARD is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HOWARD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOWARD is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons
HOWARD is 1-1 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALCORN ST (9 - 11) at GRAMBLING (13 - 7) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALCORN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ALCORN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ALCORN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAMBLING is 2-1 against the spread versus ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
GRAMBLING is 3-0 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA ST (5 - 15) at FLORIDA A&M (3 - 16) - 1/30/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA ST is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA ST is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA A&M is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (6 - 15) at SOUTHERN U (11 - 10) - 1/30/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSON ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
SOUTHERN U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SOUTHERN U is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
SOUTHERN U is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
SOUTHERN U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SOUTHERN U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in January games this season.
SOUTHERN U is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
SOUTHERN U is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
SOUTHERN U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN U is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SOUTHERN U is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 1-1 against the spread versus JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN U is 1-1 straight up against JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONDAY, JANUARY 30​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
L-MD at COLG07:00 PML-MD +16.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
NCCU at NORF07:00 PMNCCU +5.5+500
UVA at SYR07:00 PMSYR +5.0+500
CHS at CIT07:00 PMCIT -3.5
U 139.5
+500 +500
UMES at MORG07:30 PMMORG +1.5+500
DSU at COPP07:30 PMDSU +6.0
O 148.0
+500 +500
SCST at HOW07:30 PMSCST +11.0
O 151.5
+500 +500
AAMU at COOK07:30 PMCOOK +0.0+500
ALCN at GRAM08:00 PMGRAM -5.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
SDAK at ORU08:00 PMSDAK +15.0
U 152.0
+500 +500
SDST at KC08:00 PMKC -2.0
O 129.5
+500 +500
ALST at FAMU09:00 PMFAMU +2.5
O 127.0
+500 +500
ISU at TTU09:00 PMISU -1.0
U 129.0
+500 +500
BAY at TEX09:00 PMBAY +4.0
U 147.0
+500 +500
JKST at SOU09:00 PMSOU -9.0+500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
01/30/20238-12-341.30%-2600Detail
01/29/202316-25-139.29%-5750Detail
01/28/202394-78-354.57%+4100Detail
01/27/202310-9-152.50%+50Detail
01/26/202358-48-454.55%+2600Detail
01/25/202352-44-054.17%+1800Detail
01/24/202325-27-148.11%-2350Detail
01/23/202313-15-046.43%-1750Detail
01/22/202326-18-059.09%+3100Detail
01/21/2023137-132-350.92%-4100Detail
01/20/202312-14-046.15%-1700Detail
01/19/202376-71-551.64%-1050Detail
01/18/202337-27-357.46%+3650Detail
01/17/202327-31-246.67%-3550Detail
01/16/202331-37-145.65%-4850Detail
01/15/202318-8-069.23%+4600Detail
01/14/2023110-83-356.89%+9350Detail
01/13/202314-12-053.85%+400Detail
01/12/202340-28-258.57%+4600Detail
01/11/202348-42-253.26%+900Detail
01/10/202327-34-144.35%-5200Detail
01/09/202314-6-268.18%+3700Detail
01/08/202322-19-153.57%+550Detail
01/07/202379-61-156.38%+5950Detail
01/06/202313-12-151.92%-100Detail
01/05/202348-37-156.40%+3650Detail
01/04/202329-24-254.55%+1300Detail
01/03/202328-16-063.64%+5200Detail
01/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
01/01/202316-19-145.83%-2450Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

College basketball teams with best 3-point shooting %age:
40.7%— Utah State
40.6%— Sam Houston State
40%— Youngstown State
40%— Xavier
39.8%— Belmont
39.5%— Stephen F Austin

Quote of the Day
“Have a good sense of humor— winning (poker) players have learned to tolerate bad beats that happen. A gallows’ sense of humor may help them endure the bad times.”
Pro poker player Barry Greenstein

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was UCLA’s basketball coach the last time the Bruins made the Final Four?

Monday’s quiz
First time Minnesota Vikings played in a Super Bowl, Joe Kapp was their QB, in Super Bowl IV

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, Ron Jaworski was their QB.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— College basketball referee John Higgins has been busy the last week:
January 24— Penn State @ Rutgers
January 25— Utah State @ San Diego State— Long plane ride for a back/back
January 26— Utah @ Oregon State
January 28— California @ Stanford
January 29— Michigan State @ Purdue— Day game after long plane ride.
January 30— Baylor @ Texas— Six games in seven days, that’s a lot of running.

— Didn’t take long for Kellen Moore to find a new job; fired by the Cowboys Sunday night, Moore quickly landed as the Chargers’ new offensive coordinator.

Speaking of the Chargers, QB Justin Herbert recently had surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder.

— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy tore the UCL in his elbow Sunday, the injury is expected to keep him out for six months, so he’ll probably miss the start of training camp.

— Chiefs-Eagles last met in Week 4 last season, with Kansas City winning 42-30; Tyreek Hill caught 11 passes for 186 yards and three TD’s. Hill is in Miami now, of course. Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and two TD’s in that game.

— NFL salary cap is expected to go up to $224.8M next year, an increase of $16.6M per team.

Virginia 67, Syracuse 62— Not sure why, but Jalen Hurts was in the Carrier Dome for this game. Virginia wins its 7th game in a row; they trailed by 4 with 8:22 left to play.

Texas Tech 80, Iowa State 77 OT— Red Raiders were down 59-36 with 12:38 left in this game; they outscored Iowa State 26-12 on the foul line, rallied to get their first conference win after an 0-8 start in Big X play. Cyclones were only 12-21 on the foul line.

Texas 76, Baylor 71— 30+ NBA scouts watched the Longhorns snap Baylor’s six-game winning streak; Sir’Jabari Rice scored 21 points in 24:00 off the bench for Texas.

Wizards 127, Spurs 106— Washington had lost its previous 22 visits to San Antonio; their last win in the Alamo was December 11, 1999.

— College QB Sam Huard transferred from the Washington Huskies to I-AA Cal Poly; Sheldon Cross, Huard’s high school coach at Kennedy Catholic HS was recently hired as the offensive coordinator of the Mustangs. Huard’s dad is former NFL QB Damon Huard, who started four games for the Seahawks in 2000.

— College hoop teams who get highest %age of points on 3’s:
44.9%- Chattanooga
43.7%- Penn State
41.7%- Detroit Mercy
40.9%- San Francisco

— College hoop teams who get highest %age of points on foul shots:
28.4%- Saint Peter’s
25.6%- North Texas
25.4%- UConn
24.5%- Portland State

— College hoop teams who force the most turnovers:
26.8% of possessions- Iowa State
26.5%- UNLV
25.3%- Stephen F Austin
25.3%- Missouri

— College hoop teams that are best teams at offensive rebounding:
38.6% of their misses- Duke
38.5%- Tennessee
38.2%- Houston
38.1%- Purdue

— College hoop teams with most experience:
Penn State
Fort Wayne
Notre Dame
Virginia
UAB

— College hoop teams with most continuity:
Tulane
TCU
Pennsylvania
Fort Wayne
Stanford

— College hoop teams with least continuity:
St Bonaventure
Georgetown
New Mexico State
LSU
Milwaukee
 

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Tuesday, January 31


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Trend Report
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 31

13 of Tuesday’s best college hoop games

Virginia Tech @ Miami

— Virginia Tech (13-8, 3-7) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #177
— Virginia Tech won its last two games, after an 0-7 skid.
— Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU/0-4-1 ATS on ACC road, 0-1-1 as road dog.
— Hokies are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#42).
— Virginia Tech is 5-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hokies are 6-7 against top 100 teams.
— Virginia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #314
— Virginia Tech’s best win: 78-75 over #28 Duke

— Miami (16-5, 7-4) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #142
— Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
— Miami is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#30), 76.1% on line (#27)
— Hurricanes are #309 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hurricanes are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in ACC home games, 2-1 as home faves.
— Miami is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #318
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #13 Virginia

— Virginia Tech won six of last nine series games.
— Tech won last two visits to Miami, by 1-4 points.
— Last five series games were decided 3 or fewer points, or in OT
— ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-5 ATS.

Wake Forest @ Duke
— Wake Forest (11-9, 5-4) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #274
— Wake Forest lost its last three games, by 9-2-2 points.
— Last four games, Wake Forest allowed 78.3 ppg
— Deacons have #22 eFG% in country.
— Deacons are #76 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 5-7 against top 100 teams.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #282
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over over #28 Duke

— Duke (13-7, 4-5) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #341
— Duke is 5-4 in last nine games, after 10-2 start .
— Duke is 4-0 SU/1-2-1 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Blue Devils are 2-7-1 ATS in its ACC games.
— Blue Devils are #1 team on offensive boards.
— Duke has #36 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #118
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.

— Wake Forest beat Duke 81-70 at home December 20.
— Duke won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Since 2004, Deacons are 0-18 in Cameron (76-74 last year)
— ACC home favorites of 8 or fewer points are 12-17 ATS.

Texas A&M @ Arkansas
— Texas A&M (15-6, 7-1) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #82
— Texas A&M won nine of its last ten games.
— Aggies are 3-1 SU/ATS on SEC road, 2-1 as road underdogs.
— Texas A&M is #12 team in country on offensive boards.
— Texas A&M is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#77), 31.5% on arc (#300)
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#20)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #124
— Texas A&M’s best win: 79-63 at #29 Auburn

— Arkansas (14-7, 3-5) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #261
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas is 3-6 in its last nine games, after an 11-1 start.
— Arkansas is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in SEC home tilts. 2-1 as a home favorite.
— Hogs are shooting 53.7% inside arc (#48), 30.7% on arc (#316)
— Hogs are #57 team in country on defensive boards.
— Arkansas has #32 eFG% defense in country.
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #301
— Arkansas best win: 78-74 in OT over #24 San Diego State

— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Aggies lost last three visits to Arkansas, by 10-7-3 points.
— SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-2 ATS.

VCU @ Davidson
— VCU (16-6, 7-2) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #194
— VCU won six of its last seven games SU.
— VCU 3-1 SU/ATS on A-14 road, 2-0 as a road favorite.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#7)
— Rams are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#328)
— VCU is getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#10)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #103
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #58 Dayton

— Davidson (10-11, 3-6) ranked #140 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #188
— Continuity: #192
— Davidson lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Davidson is 1-3 SU/ATS in A-15 home tilts, 0-2 as home underdog.
— Wildcats are #264 team on defensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 30.1% on arc (#330), 51.7% inside arc (#113)
— Davidson is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Davidson’s schedule, to this point: #114
— bench minutes: #315
— Davidson’s best win: 89-80 over #97 San Francisco

— Davidson is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— VCU lost four of last five visits to Davidson
— A-15 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 6-7 ATS.

Kansas State @ Kansas
— Kansas State (18-3, 6-2) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #317
— K-State is 6-2 SU in Big X games, with three overtime wins.
— K-State is 2-1 SU/ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21.6% of time (#43)
— K-State have #43 eFG% defense.
— Wildcats are #258 team on defensive boards.
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #326
— K-State’s best win: 83-82 in OT over #9 Kansas

— Kansas (17-4, 5-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas lost three of its last four games SU.
— Kansas is 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Jayhawks are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#85), 35.8% on arc (#86)
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#57), 31.6% on arc (#75)
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#62)
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #346
— Kansas best win: 62-60 over #17 Iowa State

— K-State beat Kansas 83-82 in OT January 17.
— Kansas won seven of last nine series games.
— Wildcats lost their last 16 visits to Lawrence (102-83 LY)
— Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 ATS.

UConn @ DePaul
— UConn (16-6, 5-6) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #255
— UConn lost six of its last eight games, after a 14-0 start.
— Huskies are 1-4 SU/ATS as a Big East road favorite.
— UConn has #12 eFG% defense in country.
— UConn is #13 team in country on offensive boards, #35 on defensive end.
— Big East opponents are getting 25.4% of their points on foul line (#11 of 11)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #23
— bench minutes: #160
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #5 Alabama

— DePaul (9-13, 3-8) ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #296
— DePaul lost 10 of its last 13 games SU.
— DePaul is 2-3 ATS as a Big East home underdog.
— Blue Demons are #339 team in country on defensive boards.
— Blue Demons are shooting 35.9% on arc (#75), 46.6% inside arc (#308)
— DePaul is 2-10 against top 100 teams.
— DePaul’s schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #293
— DePaul’s best win: 73-72 over #22 Xavier

— Since re-joining Big East, UConn is 5-0 against DePaul.
— Huskies won 60-53/57-50 in their last two visits here.
— Big East home underdogs are 10-12 ATS

West Virginia @ TCU
— West Virginia (13-8, 2-6) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #331
— West Virginia won three of last four games, after an 0-5 skid.
— WVU is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— West Virginia is #28 team in country on offensive boards.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#40)
— West Virginia is 1-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #76
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #15 TCU

— TCU (16-5, 5-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
— TCU star Miles hurt his knee Saturday (check status)
— Frogs are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as Big X home favorites.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#15)
— Frogs have #24 eFG% defense in country.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #62
— bench minutes: #22
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #9 Kansas

— West Virginia beat TCU 74-65 at home January 18
— WVU won six of last eight series games.
— Mountaineers lost four of last five visits to TCU.
— Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-8 ATS

Indiana @ Maryland
— Indiana (15-6, 6-4) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #39
— Indiana won its last five games, giving up 61.2 ppg.
— Hoosiers are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS on Big 14 road, 1-2 ATS as road dog.
— Indiana has the #10 eFG% in the country.
— Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#27)
— Hoosiers have played only 4 games (2-2) decided by less than 12 points.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #92
— Indiana’s best win: 81-79 at #22 Xavier.

— Maryland (14-7, 5-5) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #159
— Maryland won three of its last four games SU.
— Maryland won/covered all five of its Big 14 home games.
— Maryland is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#49), 30.7% on arc (#314)
— Terps have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— Terps are 3-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #36
— bench minutes: #296
— Maryland’s best win: 71-66 over #23 Illinois.

— Indiana won last three meetings, by 8-13-10 points.
— Hoosiers lost four of last five visits to Maryland.
— Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 21-4 ATS.

Northwestern @ Iowa
— Northwestern (15-5, 6-3) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #224
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #68
— Northwestern won five of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 SU on Big 14 road, 2-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Northwestern has #45 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats have #310 eFG% in country.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#28)
— Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #79
— bench minutes: #297
— Northwestern’s best win: 84-83 at #19 Indiana

— Iowa (13-8, 5-5) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #47
— Iowa won five of its last seven games.
— Hawkeyes won/covered their last four home games.
— Iowa has 54.3% eFG% defense in Big 14 games, worst in league.
— Hawkeyes are 13-4 if they score 74+ points, 0-4 if they don’t.
— Iowa is 8-7 against top 100 teams.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #200
— Iowa’s best win: 75-56 over #17 Iowa

— Iowa won last eight meetings.
— Wildcats lost their last eight visits to Iowa City.
— Big 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 30-9 ATS

Kentucky @ Ole Miss
— Kentucky (14-7, 5-3) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #264
— Experience: #103
— Continuity: #199
— Kentucky won four of its last five games.
— Wildcats are 2-2 SU on SEC road, 1-1 ATS as road favorite.
— Kentucky is #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 36.2% on the arc (#65)
— Kentucky is 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #69
— bench minutes: #174
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #1 Tennessee.

— Ole Miss (9-12, 1-7) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #156
— Continuity: #204
— Ole Miss lost nine of its last ten games.
— Rebels are 0-4 SU in SEC home tilts, 1-2 ATS as home underdog.
— Rebels are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#328)
— Ole Miss is #250 team in country on defensive boards.
— Ole Miss is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #14
— Ole Miss best win: 80-67 over #38 Florida Atlantic

— Kentucky won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Wildcats won four of last six visits to Oxford.

UNLV @ Colorado State
— UNLV (14-7, 3-6) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #257
— UNLV won its last two games, after a 1-6 skid.
— Rebels are 1-3 SU on MW road; underdogs covered all four games.
— UNLV is forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#2)
— Rebels are #289 team on defensive boards.
— UNLV is 8-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #146
— UNLV’s best win: 84-77 at #45 New Mexico.

— Colorado State (10-12, 2-7) ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #179
— Colorado State lost eight of its last ten games.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/ATS in MW home games, 1-2 ATS as home fave.
— Colorado State has #278 eFG% defense in country.
— Colorado State is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#13)
— Rams are f3-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Colorado State’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #106
— Colorado State’s best win: 62-60 at #7 Saint Mary’s

— Colorado State won 82-81 in OT at UNLV January 14.
— Rams banked in a long 3-pointer at end of regulation to force OT.
— UNLV won three of its last four visits to Fort Collins.
— Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-4 ATS

Boise State @ Air Force
— Boise State (17-5, 7-2) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #185
— Continuity: #106
— Boise State won seven of its last eight games.
— Broncos are 2-2 SU/3-0-1 ATS on Mountain West road.
— Boise State is 4-2 ATS as a Mountain West favorite.
— Broncos are #6 team in country on defensive boards.
— Boise State is shooting 36.9% on arc (#42)
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #351
— Boise State’s best win: 86-71 over #41 Texas A&M

— Air Force (12-10, 3-6) ranked #156 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #65
— Air Force lost its last three games, scoring 61.7 ppg.
— Air Force is 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS in MW home games.
— Falcons are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#22)
— Air Force is #222 team in country on defensive boards.
— Falcons are 6-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Air Force’s schedule, to this point: #238
— bench minutes: #104
— Air Force’s best win: 85-74 in OT at #113 Colorado State

— Boise State won last five series games.
— Teams split their last six meetings played here.
— Mountain West home underdogs are 6-8 ATS

San Diego State @ Nevada
— San Diego State (17-4, 8-1) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #42
— San Diego State won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Aztecs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS as a Mountain West road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 30.7% on arc (#44), 51.6% inside arc (#248)
— San Diego State is #40 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aztecs are 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #44
— San Diego State’s best win: 88-77 over #27 Ohio State

— Nevada (16-6, 6-3) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #172
— Nevada lost three of its last five games.
— Wolf Pack is 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS in Mountain West home games.
— Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#69)
— Nevada is #63 team in country on defensive boards.
— Nevada is 6-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #27
— bench minutes: #329
— Nevada’s best win: 74-72 over #26 Boise State

— Aztecs beat Nevada 74-65 at home January 10.
— San Diego State won last nine series games.
— Aztecs wan 83-76/79-78 in last two visits to Reno.
— MW home teams are 10-6 ATS in games with spread of 4 or less points.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens

TUESDAY, JANUARY 31​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MSST at SCAR06:30 PMMSST -9.5
U 126.5
+500 +500
VCU at DAV07:00 PMVCU -4.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
MRST at QUIN07:00 PMQUIN -11.0
U 137.0
+500 +500
NEB at ILL07:00 PMNEB +14.5
O 135.0
+500 +500
TAM at ARK07:00 PMTAM +3.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
SLU at FOR07:00 PMFOR +4.0
O 146.5
+500 +500
NIU at WMU07:00 PMWMU -4.0
O 145.0
+500 +500
OHIO at EMU07:00 PMOHIO -8.0
U 156.0
+500 +500
BALL at BGSU07:00 PMBGSU +1.5
O 153.5
+500 +500
TOL at M-OH07:00 PMTOL -10.0
U 158.0
+500 +500
CMU at KENT07:00 PMCMU +18.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
AKR at BUFF07:00 PMBUFF +2.5
O 147.0
+500 +500
VT at MIA07:00 PMMIA -4.0
U 142.5
+500 +500
CLEM at BC07:00 PMCLEM -4.5
U 138.5
+500 +500
WAKE at DUKE07:00 PMWAKE +8.0
O 147.0
+500 +500
KSU at KU08:00 PMKSU +8.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
CONN at DEP08:00 PMDEP +11.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
VAN at ALA08:30 PMALA -15.5
U 155.5
+500 +500
L-IL at DAY09:00 PML-IL +14.5
O 130.0
+500 +500
WVU at TCU09:00 PMWVU +2.0
O 143.0
+500 +500
NW at IOWA09:00 PMNW +7.0
U 151.0
+500 +500
IND at MD09:00 PMIND +3.0
O 137.5
+500 +500
UK at MISS09:00 PMMISS +7.5
O 135.5
+500 +500
BSU at AFA09:00 PMAFA +8.0
O 130.5
+500 +500
UNLV at CSU09:00 PMCSU -3.0
U 143.0
+500 +500
FRES at WYO10:00 PMFRES +5.0
O 126.0
+500 +500
SDSU at NEV11:00 PMSDSU -3.0
U 137.5
+500 +500
 

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