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Dunkel

Friday, January 27


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Long Sheet

Friday, January 27


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MANHATTAN (6 - 12) at NIAGARA (10 - 9) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 13) at ROBERT MORRIS (9 - 12) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus ROBERT MORRIS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against ROBERT MORRIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (13 - 6) at SIENA (13 - 7) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
SIENA is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
IONA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 2-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 2-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (9 - 9) at MARIST (7 - 11) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
RIDER is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (9 - 12) at YOUNGSTOWN ST (15 - 6) - 1/27/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-2 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-2 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPU-FT WAYNE (14 - 8) at CLEVELAND ST (12 - 9) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 107-75 ATS (+24.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 7-2 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAINT LOUIS (14 - 6) at DAVIDSON (10 - 10) - 1/27/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 244-184 ATS (+41.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 238-188 ATS (+31.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 118-79 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-0 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-0 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N DAKOTA (7 - 15) at N DAKOTA ST (8 - 13) - 1/27/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
N DAKOTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA ST is 3-3 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 5-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (9 - 10) at KENT ST (16 - 4) - 1/27/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
KENT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (12 - 9) at NEW MEXICO (18 - 3) - 1/27/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 62-34 ATS (+24.6 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 2-2 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 3-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, January 27


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Trend Report
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PFW @ Cleveland State
PFW
PFW is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
PFW is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing PFW
Cleveland State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

Detroit @ Robert Morris
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Robert Morris
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Robert Morris
No trends to report

Rider @ Marist
Rider
Rider is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Marist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 5 games when playing Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games when playing at home against Rider

Manhattan @ Niagara
Manhattan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Manhattan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Manhattan is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Niagara
Niagara
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
Niagara is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Iona @ Siena
Iona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Iona's last 8 games when playing Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Siena's last 8 games when playing Iona
Siena is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Saint Louis @ Davidson
Saint Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 5 games when playing Davidson
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Davidson
Davidson
Davidson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saint Louis
Davidson is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saint Louis

North Dakota @ North Dakota State
North Dakota
North Dakota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against North Dakota Stat
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 6 games when playing on the road against North Dakota Stat
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Dakota
North Dakota State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Dakota

Oakland @ Youngstown State
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Youngstown State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Youngstown State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Youngstown State's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Youngstown State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Buffalo @ Kent State
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Kent State
Kent State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Air Force @ New Mexico
Air Force
Air Force is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Air Force's last 22 games on the road
New Mexico
New Mexico is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
New Mexico is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Air Force


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 27

Friday’s college hoop games

Iona @ Siena

— Iona (13-6, 6-2) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #187
— Iona won six of its last eight games.
— Iona is 2-1 SU/1-2 ATS as a MAAC road favorite.
— Gaels have #34 eFG% defense.
— Iona is #276 team on defensive boards.
— Gaels are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#62)
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #188
— bench minutes: #188
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #81 Saint Louis

— Siena (13-7, 7-2) ranked #179 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #122
— Siena won eight of its last 10 games.
— Siena is 4-1 SU at home in MAAC; they’re 2-0 ATS as a MAAC dog.
— Saints are shooting 36.3% on arc (#62)
— Saints are 8-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Siena is 10-1 when it scores 69+ points, 3-6 when it doesn’t.
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #289
— bench minutes: #183
— Siena’s best win: 60-55 over #62 Seton Hall

— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Iona lost 65-64/70-64 in its last two visits to Albany.

Manhattan @ Niagara
— Manhattan (6-12, 4-5) ranked #312 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #161
— Manhattan lost nine of its last 12 games.
— Manhattan is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a MAAC road underdog.
— Jaspers are turning ball over 21.4% of time (#321)
— Jaspers are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#52)
— Manhattan is #358 team in country on offensive boards.
— Manhattan’s schedule, to this point: #324
— bench minutes: #211
— Manhattan’s best win: 56-53 over #233 Fairfield.

— Niagara (10-9, 5-5) ranked #253 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #260
— Niagara lost four of its last five games.
— Niagara is 2-2 SU in MAAC home games, 1-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Eagles are shooting 49% inside arc (#227).
— Eagles are #240 team on defensive boards.
— Niagara is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Niagara’s schedule, to this point: #294
— bench minutes: #257
— Niagara’s best win: 64-60 at #131 Quinnipiac

— Niagara lost 64-59 at Manhattan January 8th
— Manhattan won seven of last nine series games.
— Jaspers split their last four visits to Niagara.

Rider @ Marist
— Rider (9-9, 6-3) ranked #218 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #23
— Continuity: #30
— Rider won its last three games, by 3-3-2 points.
— Broncs are 2-2 SU in MAAC true road games, 0-1 ATS as road faves.
— Rider is shooting 47.6% inside arc (#278), 31.4% on arc (#302)
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#54), 37.1% on arc (#324)
— Broncs are #238 team in country on defensive boards.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #266
— bench minutes: #220
— Rider’s best win: 70-67 over #77 Iona

— Marist (7-11, 3-6) ranked #306 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #311
— Continuity: #326
— Marist lost its last two games, by 4-2 points.
— Marist is 1-3 SU in MAAC home games, 1-1 as a home dog.
— Red Foxes are shooting 48% inside arc (#259), 32% on arc (#269)
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#40), 36.7% on arc (#308)
— Marist is 5-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Marist’s schedule, to this point: #352
— bench minutes: #167
— Marist’s best win: 73-69 over #226 American

— Rider beat Marist 77-71 at home December 22.
— Rider won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Broncs won their last five visits to Poughkeepsie,

Saint Louis @ Davidson
— Saint Louis (14-6, 6-1) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #43
— Saint Louis won its last five games, giving up 64.2 ppg.
— Saint Louis won three of its four A-14 road games SU.
— Opponents are shooting 45.1% on arc (#28)
— Billikens are #85 team in country on defensive boards.
— Saint Louis is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Saint Louis’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #124
— Saint Louis’s best win: 76-73 over #1 Providence

— Davidson (10-10, 3-5) ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #188
— Continuity: #192
— Davidson is 4-9 in its last 13 games, after a 6-1 start.
— Davidson lost two of its three A-14 home games.
— Wildcats are shooting only 26.3% on arc in A-14 games.
— Wildcats are #230 team on defensive boards.
— Davidson is 4-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Davidson’s schedule, to this point: #122
— bench minutes: #314
— Davidson’s best win: 89-80 over #103 San Francisco.

— Davidson won three in row, seven of last eight meetings.
— Billikens lost last four visits to Charlotte, by 35-3-12-21 points.

Detroit @ Robert Morris
— Detroit (8-13, 4-6) ranked #224 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #286
— Detroit lost five of its last seven games.
— Detroit is 2-3 SU in Horizon road tilts, 2-2 ATS as a road dog.
— Titans are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#317), 38.7% on arc (#13)
— Opponents are shooting 52% inside arc (#260), 37% on arc (#321)
— Titans are #310 team in country on defensive boards.
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #198
— bench minutes: #54
— Detroit’s best win: 70-49 over #107 Charlotte.

— Robert Morris (9-12, 4-6) ranked #250 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #115
— RMC lost five of its last seven games.
— RMC is 2-1 SU in Horizon home games, 0-2 ATS as home favorite.
— Colonials are shooting 32.3% on arc (#251), 48.6% inside arc (#241)
— Opponents are shooting 37.1% on arc (#325), 46.3% inside arc (#51)
— Colonials are 3-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— RMC’s schedule, to this point: #277
— bench minutes: #313
— RMC’s best win: 75-70 over #204 Fort Wayne

— Detroit beat Robert Morris 87-75 at home January 14th.
— Antoine Davis scored 41 points, was 11-18 on the arc.
— Detroit won all five Horizon League meetings.

Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State
— Fort Wayne (14-8, 6-5) ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #2
— Continuity: #4
— Fort Wayne split its last six games, after an 11-5 start.
— Mastodons are 3-2 SU on Horizon road, 2-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Foes are shooting 29.5% on arc (#21), 54.9% inside arc (#331)
— Mastodons are 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Fort Wayne is #28 team in country on offensive boards.
— Fort Wayne’s schedule, to this point: #326
— bench minutes: #294
— Fort Wayne’s best win: 76-71 at #124 Youngstown.

— Cleveland State (12-9, 7-3) ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #202
— CSU won four of its last five games.
— CSU is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
— Vikings are #41 team on offensive boards, #350 on defensive end.
— Vikings are shooting 30% on the arc (#331)
— CSU forces turnovers 21.4% of time (#48)
— CSU’s schedule, to this point: #261
— bench minutes: #256
— CSU’s best win: 72-60 at #205 Fort Wayne

— Cleveland State won 72-60 at Fort Wayne January 16.
— Vikings won seven of last nine series games.

North Dakota @ North Dakota State
— North Dakota (7-15, 1-8) ranked #313 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #120
— North Dakota lost 12 of its last 13 D-I games.
— Hawks are 0-4 SU/ATS in Summit League road games.
— North Dakota is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hawks have #313 eFG% defense in country.
— Hawks are shooting 48.3% inside arc (#249)
— North Dakota’s schedule, to this point: #267
— bench minutes: #36
— North Dakota’s best win: 73-57 over #168 Cal-Fullerton.

— North Dakota State (8-13, 5-4) ranked #236 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #279
— State lost its last two games, giving up 92-75 points.
— State is 2-2 SU in Summit home games, 1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bison have the #286 eFG% defense in country.
— State is 4-6 against teams ranked outside top 200.
— Bison are #15 team in country on defensive boards.
— State’s schedule, to this point: #165
— bench minutes: #17
— State’s best win: 67-62 at #164 Portland.

— State (-1.5) won 71-49 at UND December 30.
— Bison won nine of last 11 series games.
— North Dakota lost last three visits to Fargo, by 2-9-10 points.

Buffalo @ Kent State
— Buffalo (10-10, 4-3) ranked #167 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #342
— Continuity: #349
— Buffalo split its last eight games.
— Bulls are 1-2 SU on MAC road, 1-0 ATS as a MAC road dog.
— Buffalo is turning ball over 19.8% of time (#260)
— Buffalo is #249 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bulls are 0-6 vs top 100 teams (5 losses by 18+ points)
— Buffalo’s schedule, to this point: #129
— bench minutes: #224
— Buffalo’s best win: 88-87 over #120 Colgate

— Kent State (16-4, 6-1) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #46
— Continuity: #54
— Kent State won nine of its last ten D-I games.
— Kent State is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as a MAC home favorite.
— Kent State is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#14)
— Flashes are #259 team in country on defensive boards.
— Flashes are 4-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Kent State’s schedule, to this point: #172
— bench minutes: #266
— Kent State’s best win: 75-63 over #104 Toledo.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Bulls lost 84-81/70-65 in last two visits to Kent.

Oakland @ Youngstown State
— Oakland (9-12, 7-3) ranked #258 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #49
— Oakland won seven of its last eight games.
— Grizzlies are 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Oakland is #341 team in country on defensive boards.
— Grizzlies have #321 eFG% defense in country.
— Oakland is 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #154
— bench minutes: #354
— Oakland’s best win: 64-63 at #200 Northern Kentucky

— Youngstown State (15-6, 7-3) ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #256
— Youngstown won five of its last six games.
— Penguins are 4-1 SU in Horizon home tilts, 3-1 ATS as a home fave.
— Youngstown is shooting 54.3% inside arc (#41), 39.2% on arc (#6)
— Penguins are #61 team in country on offensive boards.
— Youngstown has #312 eFG% defense in country.
— Youngstown’s schedule, to this point: #331
— bench minutes: #268
— Youngstown’s best win: 85-71 over #158 Cleveland State

— Youngstown won 85-69 at Oakland January 14.
— Oakland won five of last seven series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Air Force @ New Mexico
— Air Force (12-9, 3-5) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #316
— Continuity: #68
— Air Force is 3-5 in conference; they were 9-4 pre-conference.
— Falcons are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— Air Force is shooting 55.4% inside arc (#26).
— Opponents are shooting 28.4% on the arc (#9)
— Air Force is #222 team in country on defensive boards.
— Air Force’s schedule, to this point: #280
— bench minutes: #94
— Air Force’s best win: 85-74 in OT at #111 Colorado State

— New Mexico (18-3, 5-3) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #22
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #52
— New Mexico won four of its last five games.
— Lobos split last two games, both of which went to OT
— Lobos are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— New Mexico is shooting 35.8% on arc (#85), 53.4% inside arc (#57)
— New Mexico is #34 team in country on defensive boards.
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #104
— bench minutes: #332
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 at #7 Saint Mary’s

— New Mexico won five of last seven series games.
— Air Force lost its last 12 visits to Albuquerque (69-65 LY)
 

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FRIDAY, JANUARY 27​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MAN at NIAG07:00 PMMAN +6.0
O 126.0
+500 +500
IONA at SIE07:00 PMSIE +7.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
RID at MRST07:00 PMRID -2.5
U 129.0
+500 +500
SLU at DAV07:00 PMSLU -2.0
O 146.5
+500 +500
DETU at RMU07:00 PMDETU +2.5
U 143.5
+500 +500
PFW at CLEVST07:00 PMCLEVST -4.0
U 138.0
+500 +500
UND at NDSU08:00 PMNDSU -8.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
BUFF at KENT09:00 PMBUFF +10.5
O 150.0
+500 +500
OAK at YSU09:00 PMYSU -9.0
U 151.0
+500 +500
AFA at UNM10:00 PMUNM -12.5
U 142.5
+500 +500
 

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Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

College basketball teams with best eFG% defense:
38.5%— Tennessee
40.7%— Houston
41.3%— Alabama
42.3%— Utah
43.1%— Auburn
43.5%— Hawai’i

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Saturday’s quiz
When ESPN’s Dick Vitale coached college basketball, what team did he coach?

Friday’s quiz
The baseball scenes in The Natural were filmed in Buffalo.

Thursday’s quiz
Since 2000, UConn has won four national titles in basketball; Jim Calhoun was coach for three of those titles. Kevin Ollie was the coach of UConn’s 2014 championship team.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: College hoop teams/leagues I need to see in February

Little more than a month until the college basketball conference tournaments start; having ESPN+ on my TV now gives me a good chance to watch a lot of games from smaller leagues, so why you’re sleeping, I’ll be watching mid-major basketball.

Here are teams/leagues I need to see more of before then:

— Charleston is 21-1 vs schedule #286, Florida Atlantic is 20-1 vs schedule #198; ESPN has FAU as an 8-seed, so they might be able to survive a loss in the C-USA tournament, but Charleston is listed as an 11-seed, so they’ll probably need to win the CAA tournament to make the NCAA’s.

Both teams had their only loss way back on November 11.

— Towson has won seven of last eight games; they’ve got best continuity number in CAA, so they figure to be Charleston’s biggest threat.

— UAB is 14-7, 5-5 in C-USA, but their star G Jordan Walker missed their last four games; they are a threat in C-USA tourney if they Walker back, but only if. North Texas would be the other team that could make FAU squirm- they lost 66-62 to the Owls couple weeks ago.

— VCU, Saint Louis and Dayton are the three best teams in the A-15; this could be the first time since 2002 that the A-15 only gets only one team in the NCAA’s.

VCU won 11 of its last 12 games; they have sketchy losses to Duquesne, Jacksonville; a 63-59 loss to fellow bubble team Arizona State won’t help any.

Saint Louis beat Memphis/Providence, but lost to SIU-Edwardsville.

— I haven’t seen any Big Sky games yet this season; I’ll fix that today by watching a couple. Right now, Eastern Washington is 15-7/9-0; they’ve won their last 11 games, but lost to Texas Tech, which is winless in the Big X, and FIU, which is 4-6 in C-USA.

Montana State has best continuity number in Big Sky; they’re 7-2 in league games, but their non-league resume is pretty dismal.

Whoever wins the Big Sky tournament better enjoy it; they won’t last long in NCAA’s.

— There are 13 teams in the WAC this year, as schools migrate in/out of the league for mostly football-related reasons. Southern Utah has most experienced team; Seattle is the contender with best continuity number, while Sam Houston State has wins over Oklahoma/Utah to boost its resume. Bearkats are shooting 40.6% on arc, #2 in country.

Traditional WAC power New Mexico State has been in NCAA’s 8 of the last 10 years, but Aggies have had lot of off-court problems this year- they’re 0-8 in WAC games this year, which leaves the door ajar for someone new to represent the WAC in March.

— Missouri Valley Conference is #14 league so far this year, its 2nd-lowest ranking in the last 20 years. This is a one-bid league no matter what; Drake/Southern Illinois have best experience, continuity numbers, while Belmont is 9-2 in its first season in the Valley.

One thing about conference tournaments is that you need depth to win three games in three days. Belmont/Salukis have more depth than Drake does.

Northern Iowa is 8-3 in MVC games; they were 4-6 in pre-conference games.

— Sun Belt has 14 teams, stretching from Virginia to Texas; Marshall/James Madison have most experienced teams, Louisiana/Marshall have best continuity numbers. Mike D’Antoni’s brother has been the coach at Marshall for nine years; they play fast, #30 tempo in country.

With four top 100 teams, need to watch some Sun Belt ball in February. Every team in league has already lost 2+ conference games, so their conference tournament should be interesting.

— I’ve watched decent amount of Big West games already; looks like there are five teams with a legit shot at winning their league tournament. Cal-Davis has won six of its last seven games; along with Cal-Santa Barbara, they’re two teams with best experience/continuity numbers.

Cal-Riverside has the best team they’ve had since moving up to D-I; they’ve won eight of their last ten games. Cal-Irvine/Hawai’i are also good teams; Anteaters are little less experienced than usual, but they’re shooting 3’s better than they have since 2015, when they made the NCAA’s.

— ESPN needs to get some Southern Conference games on TV; this is a pretty good league, the league Steph Curry played in. This year, Samford, Furman, NC-Greensboro will be the favorites to win the league tournament; Greensboro has best experience/continuity numbers, Samford has #43 eFG% in country, so they can score the ball.

Furman is the team to watch; they’re 7-2 in SoCon games this year, 86-30 the last seven years, but they haven’t won the SoCon tourney during that time, losing the final in OT last year, also getting bounced in OT the year before. Paladins last made the NCAA’s in 1980.

— ESPN carries lot of Mid-American Conference games on TV, mostly Friday nights; Toledo and Kent State are the favorites this year, along with Akron.

Toledo is 14-6, 5-2 this year; they’ve got an older, experienced team with good continuity. Last three years, Toledo is 37-9 in MAC games, but they haven’t won the MAC tournament- their last NCAA appearance was 1980, just like Furman.

— MAAC tournament used to be here in Albany, but now they play it in Atlantic City, because they have casinos there. Not sure the league makes more $$$ this way, but some teams didn’t like playing the tournament on Siena’s home court every year.

Siena whacked Iona Friday night; they’re 8-2 in MAAC, just ahead of Rider, the team with the best experience/continuity numbers in the league. Iona has made five of last six NCAA’s, but they’re not as experienced this year, are 2-3 in their last five games.

Quinnipiac has won six games in a row; they’re 15-5 as they try to make the NCAA’s for the first time. Mike Dunleavy’s son is the Bobcats’ coach.
 

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Saturday, January 28


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 28

13 of Saturday’s college hoop games

Auburn @ West Virginia

— Auburn (16-4) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #56
— Auburn won five of its last six games.
— Auburn is #284 team on defensive boards, #18 on offensive end.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense.
— Auburn is shooting 29.4% on the arc (#341)
— Tigers are 7-4 vs top 100 teams.
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #28
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #22 Arkansas

— West Virginia (12-8) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #331
— West Virginia lost six of its last eight games.
— West Virginia is 5-8 against top 100 teams.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#36)
— WVU is #25 team in country on offensive boards.
— West Virginia is 0-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #74
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #13 TCU

Xavier @ Creighton
— Xavier (17-4, 9-1) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #16
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #39
— Xavier won 13 of its last 14 games.
— Xavier is 4-1 SU/ATS on Big East road, 2-0 as a road dog.
— Musketeers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#38), 40.3% on arc (#4)
— Musketeers are #78 team in country on offensive boards.
— Xavier is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #337
— Xavier’s best wins: 83-73/82-79 over #6 UConn

— Creighton (12-8, 6-3) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #92
— Creighton won six of its last eight games.
— Creighton is 5-0 SU/3-1-1 ATS as Big East home favorite.
— Bluejays are shooting 55.6% inside arc (#21).
— Bluejays are #18 team on defensive boards.
— Creighton is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #342
— Creighton’s best win: 90-87 over #22 Arkansas

— Xavier beat Creighton 90-87 at home January 11.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Xavier lost three of last four visits to Omaha.
— Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-4 ATS

NC State @ Wake Forest
— NC State (16-5, 6-4) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #51
— Experience: #50
— Continuity: #240
— NC State won eight of its last ten games.
— Wolfpack is 2-3 SU on ACC road, 1-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— NC State is #82 team in country on defensive boards.
— NC State is 14-1 when it allows less than 78 points, 2-4 if they allow 78+
— Wolfpack is 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #97
— bench minutes: #274
— NC State’s best win: 84-60 over #32 Duke

— Wake Forest (14-7, 6-4) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #299
— Wake Forest lost its last two games, giving up 76-81 points.
— Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in ACC home games, 2-0 ATS as home favorite.
— Deacons are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#42), 37.4% on arc (#30)
— Deacons are #65 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 4-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #298
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over over #32 Duke

— NC State won five of last six series games.
— Wolfpack split their last four visits to Winston-Salem.
— ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-4 ATS

Alabama @ Oklahoma
— Alabama (18-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #280
— Alabama won its last nine games SU.
— Alabama has #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Crimson Tide won all six of its true road games.
— Crimson Tide is #33 team in country on offensive boards.
— Alabama’s losses: to #6 UConn, #18 Gonzaga
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #92
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Oklahoma (11-9) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #324
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #154
— Oklahoma lost six of its last eight games.
— Last three games, Oklahoma scored 56 ppg.
— Sooners are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#40)
— Sooners are #75 team on defensive boards.
— Oklahoma is 4-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oklahoma’s schedule, to this point: #6
— bench minutes: #246
— Oklahoma’s best win: 77-76 over #21 West Virginia

Iowa State @ Missouri
— Iowa State (15-4) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #194
— Iowa State lost its last two road games, both by 2 points.
— Iowa State is 8-2 in its last ten games, overall.
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 28% of time (#1)
— Iowa State is #36 team in country on offensive boards.
— Cyclones are 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #196
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #9 Texas

— Missouri (15-5) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #324
— Missouri is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 14-1 start.
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#7)
— Tigers has #268 eFG% defense in country.
— Missouri is #361 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers are shooting 58.1% inside arc (#6)
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #80
— Missouri’s best win: 79-76 over #22 Arkansas

Arkansas @ Baylor
— Arkansas (14-6) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #63
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #332
— Arkansas won its last two games, after a 1-5 skid.
— Hogs lost its last four road games, by 3-13-13-3 points.
— Arkansas is shooting 30.8% on arc (#316), 53.5% inside arc (#52)
— Hogs are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#30)
— Arkansas is #34 team in country on offensive boards.
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #47
— bench minutes: #302
— Arkansas best win: 78-74 in OT over #26 San Diego State

— Baylor (15-5) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #160
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #203
— Baylor won its last five games, four of them by 7 or less points.
— Baylor is #8 team in country on offensive boards
— Bears are forcing turnovers 21% of time (#56)
— Bears have #53 eFG% in country.
— Baylor is 8-5 against top 100 teams.
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #122
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #4 UCLA

Arizona @ Washington
— Arizona (18-3, 7-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #10
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #164
— Arizona won its last three games, giving up 58.7 ppg.
— Wildcats are 16-0 scoring 70+ points, 2-3 scoring less than 70.
— Arizona is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#10)
— Wildcats are 1-3-1 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite.
— Arizona is 5-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #291
— Arizona’s best win: 75-70 over #2 Tennessee

— Washington (13-9, 5-6) ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #149
— Continuity: #242
— Washington won four of last five games, with two wins in OT.
— Washington is 4-2 SU in Pac-12 home games, 3-1 ATS as a home dog.
— Huskies are turning ball over 20.1% of time (#276)
— Washington is 4-7 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Huskies are #325 team in country on defensive boards.
— Washington’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #217
— Washington’s best win: 68-64 in OT over #7 Saint Mary’s

— Arizona beat Washington 70-67 at home January 5.
— Wildcats won last six series games.
— Arizona won its last three visits here, by 3-27-24 points.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-9 ATS this season.

Texas @ Tennessee
— Texas (17-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #75
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #152
— Texas won five of its last six games.
— Longhorns are 16-0 allowing less than 78 points.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#22)
— Texas is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#14)
— Longhorns are 6-3 vs top 50 teams.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #139
— Texas best win: 72-67 over #11 Creighton

— Tennessee (17-3) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #136
— Tennessee won eight of its last nine games.
— Last three games, Tennessee gave up 52 ppg.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#6)
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Vols are #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #66
— bench minutes: #97
— Tennessee’s best win: 64-50 over #10 Kansas

— Rick Barnes coached Texas from 1998-2015, going 402-180. He led Longhorns to the 2003 Final Four.

Kansas @ Kentucky
— Kansas (16-4) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas lost its last three games, giving up 80.3 ppg.
— Jayhawks are 8-2 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Kansas is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#55)
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#38)
— Jayhawks are 10-4 against top 100 teams.
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #345
— Kansas best win: 62-60 over #14 Iowa State

— Kentucky (14-6) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #198
— Kentucky won its last four games, giving up 61.8 ppg.
— Wildcats are 6-5 vs top 100 teams, 2-4 vs top 50 teams.
— Kentucky is shooting 36.9% on arc (#41)
— Wildcats are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Kentucky is 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #169
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #2 Tennessee

Arizona State @ Washington State
— Arizona State (15-6, 6-4) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #238
— ASU lost its last three games, scoring 65.7 ppg.
— Sun Devils are 3-1 SU on Pac-12 road, 2-0 ATS as a road dog.
— Opponents are shooting 43% inside arc (#8).
— Sun Devils are shooting 31.9% on the arc (#275)
— ASU is 8-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #133
— ASU’s best win: 73-71 over #11 Creighton.

— Washington State (9-13, 4-7) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #247
— Wazzu lost its last three games, scoring 58 ppg.
— Coogs are 3-3 SU/1-3 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— Coogs are shooting 47.7% inside arc (#277), 35.7% on arc (#86)
— Wazzu is #77 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wazzu is 2-11 against top 100 teams.
— Wazzu’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #256
— Wazzu’s best win: 74-61 at #15 Arizona.

— ASU beat Washington State 77-71 at home January 5th.
— ASU won five of last six series games.
— Sun Devils split their last four visits to Pullman.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-7 ATS

Utah @ Oregon
— Utah (15-7, 8-3) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #193
— Continuity: #53
— Utah won its last three games, giving up 56.7 ppg.
— Utes are 4-2 SU/ATS on Pac-12 road (2-1 as a road underdog).
— Opponents are shooting 27.4% on arc (#7), 42.9% inside arc (#7)
— Utes are 3-7 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Utah is 3-2 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #92
— bench minutes: #279
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #16 Arizona.

— Oregon (12-9, 6-4) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #130
— Oregon won three of its last four games.
— Ducks are 4-1 SU in Pac-12 home games, 1-3 ATS as home favorite.
— Oregon is shooting 30.6% on arc (#318), 54.8% inside arc (#32)
— Opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#56)
— Ducks are turning ball over 19.2% of time (#229).
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #129
— Oregon’s best win: 87-68 over #15 Arizona.

— Oregon won 70-60 at Utah January 7th.
— Ducks won last ten series games.
— Utah lost its last three visits to Eugene, by 18-3-13 points.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-10 vs spread.

Nevada @ UNLV
— Nevada (16-5, 6-2) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #176
— Nevada won eight of its last ten games.
— Wolf Pack is 2-2 SU on Pac-12 road (1-1 ATS as a road dog).
— Nevada is 12-1 when it scores 66+ points, 4-4 if it scores less than 66.
— Wolf Pack is getting 23.6% of its points on foul line (#8)
— Nevada is 6-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #331
— Nevada’s best win: 74-72 over #27 Boise State

— UNLV (13-7, 2-6) ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #259
— UNLV lost six of its last eight games
— UNLV is 1-3 SU/ATS in Mountain West home games.
— Rebels are have #274 eFG% defense.
— UNLV is #304 team in country on defensive boards.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#2)
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #146
— UNLV’s best win: 84-77 at #44 New Mexico

— UNLV swept Nevada LY, 69-58/62-54, ending an 0-8 series skid.
— Wolf Pack won four of last five meetings in Las Vegas.
— Mountain West home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-4 ATS.

Saint Mary’s @ BYU
— Saint Mary’s (18-4, 7-0) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #63
— Saint Mary’s won its last eight D-I games.
— Gaels are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
— Saint Mary’s shooting 37.4% on arc (#31), 52.1% inside arc (#100)
— Saint Mary’s is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
— Gaels are forcing turnovers 20.1% of time (#89)
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #79
— bench minutes: #346
— Saint Mary’s best win: 68-61 over #26 San Diego State.

— BYU (14-9, 4-4) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #36
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #236
— BYU lost four of its last six games SU.
— Cougars are 2-1 SU/ATS in WCC home games.
— BYU is #9 team in country on defensive boards.
— Cougars are turning ball over 22.2% of time (#340)
— BYU is 5-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— BYU’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #54
— BYU’s best win: 83-80 over #11 Creighton

— BYU won three of last four series games.
— Saint Mary’s lost last four visits to Provo, by 5-2-14-9 points.
— WCC single digit home underdogs are 5-4 ATS.
 

Active member
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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,162
Tokens

SATURDAY, JANUARY 28​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NE at DEL12:00 PMNE +7.0+500
TEM at UCF12:00 PMTEM +5.0+500
AUB at WVU12:00 PMAUB +3.5+500
LOU at ND12:00 PMLOU +10.0+500
MINN at NW12:00 PMMINN +12.0
U 128.0
+500 +500
BC at UVA12:00 PMBC +14.0
O 124.5
+500 +500
UMBC at UVM12:00 PMUVM -8.0+500
XAV at CREI12:15 PMXAV +5.0+500
BUCK at L-MD01:00 PMBUCK +0.0+500
SFPA at CCSU01:00 PMCCSU -1.5+500
LIU at SFBK01:00 PMLIU +7.5+500
WCU at VMI01:00 PMVMI +3.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
HC at ARMY01:00 PMARMY -9.0+500
MER at CIT01:00 PMCIT +2.0
O 135.0
+500 +500
STET at QNC01:00 PMQNC -4.0
O 154.5
+500 +500
NCST at WAKE01:00 PMWAKE -3.5+500
UMASS at UNH01:00 PMUMASS -3.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
MONM at NCAT02:00 PMNCAT -11.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
TTU at LSU02:00 PMTTU -2.5
O 133.5
+500 +500
ISU at MIZZ02:00 PMISU -1.5
U 142.0
+500 +500
ALA at OKLA02:00 PMOKLA +6.0+500
CLMB at DART02:00 PMDART -9.0+500
BRWN at COR02:00 PMCOR -8.0
O 154.5
+500 +500
HARV at PENN02:00 PMHARV +3.5+500
LAS at URI02:00 PMURI -6.0+500
GW at FOR02:00 PMFOR -3.5+500
SH at STONE02:00 PMSH +1.5+500
BGSU at TOL02:00 PMBGSU +13.0
O 164.5
+500 +500
OHIO at AKR02:00 PMAKR -6.5
O 139.0
+500 +500
MOSU at MURR02:00 PMMURR -1.5
U 132.0
+500 +500
SAM at WOF02:00 PMSAM -2.5
U 146.0
+500 +500
WIN at PRE02:00 PMWIN +0.0+500
RAD at SCUS02:00 PMRAD -3.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
HP at WEBB02:00 PMHP +8.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
UNCA at CAMP02:00 PMUNCA +2.5+500
AMER at NAVY02:00 PMAMER +4.5+500
LAF at COLG02:00 PMLAF +11.5+500
MARQ at DEP02:00 PMMARQ -9.0+500
BRY at BING02:00 PMBING +6.5+500
UNI at INST02:00 PMINST -6.0+500
CIN at HOU02:15 PMCIN +13.5+500
FDU at MW03:00 PMFDU +1.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
LNDNWD at TNST03:00 PMLNDNWD +7.0+500
SIUE at MORE03:00 PMMORE +0.0+500
ILL at WIS03:00 PMILL -2.0+500
DUKE at GT03:00 PMGT +8.5+500
SDST at WIU03:00 PMWIU +1.5
O 142.5
+500 +500
TXST at USM03:00 PMUSM -8.0+500
UAB at RICE03:00 PMRICE +3.5
O 153.5
+500 +500
UNCO at NAU03:00 PMNAU -2.0+500
EMU at M-OH03:30 PMM-OH -6.0+500
ODU at CCU04:00 PMCCU +1.0+500
HOF at COFC04:00 PMHOF +9.0+500
ULM at JMU04:00 PMULM +12.0+500
DREX at ELON04:00 PMDREX -6.0+500
CWM at TOWS04:00 PMTOWS -12.5+500
MORG at DSU04:00 PMMORG -4.0+500
SCST at NORF04:00 PMSCST +15.0+500
STON at HAMP04:00 PMSTON +1.5+500
AAMU at FAMU04:00 PMFAMU +4.5+500
COPP at UMES04:00 PMUMES -6.5+500
ALST at COOK04:00 PMCOOK -1.5+500
ARK at BAY04:00 PMARK +6.5+500
RICH at DAY04:00 PMDAY -9.0+500
DUQ at MASS04:00 PMMASS +1.0+500
UALR at TNTC04:00 PMTNTC -7.0+500
UCSD at UCRV04:00 PMUCRV -8.0+500
UCD at LBSU04:00 PMUCD +3.0+500
TROY at USA04:00 PMTROY +0.0+500
WKU at FAU04:00 PMFAU -12.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
HALL at BUT04:00 PMHALL -2.0+500
MIA at PITT04:00 PMPITT -1.0+500
JAC at CARK04:00 PMJAC -4.5+500
CHAT at ETSU04:00 PMCHAT +2.5
U 142.5
+500 +500
TCU at MSST04:00 PMTCU -2.0+500
JKST at GRAM04:00 PMGRAM -6.0+500
MILW at NKU04:00 PMMILW +5.5
O 133.5
+500 +500
LT at UTSA04:00 PMLT -7.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
NMSU at UVU04:00 PMUVU -10.5+500
NEB at MD04:30 PMMD -11.5+500
BALL at NIU04:30 PMNIU +4.0+500
SEMO at EIU04:30 PMSEMO -6.5+500
SIND at UTM04:30 PMUTM -2.0
O 155.0
+500 +500
ARST at APP04:30 PMARST +10.0+500
MCNS at AMCC04:30 PMAMCC -9.0+500
LAM at NWST04:30 PMLAM +15.5+500
PAC at SCU05:00 PMSCU -11.5+500
SPU at MSM05:00 PMMSM -2.5+500
PEAY at JVST05:00 PMJVST -7.0+500
SELA at UNO05:00 PMSELA -3.0
O 154.0
+500 +500
LIP at KENN05:00 PMO 144.5+500
CLEM at FSU05:00 PMFSU +2.0+500
IDST at IDHO05:00 PMIDST +2.5+500
WEB at EWU05:00 PMEWU -6.0+500
NICH at IW05:00 PMNICH -6.5+500
ARIZ at WASH05:30 PMWASH +9.5+500
SEA at SFA05:30 PMSFA -4.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
HCU at TAMCOM05:30 PMTAMCOM -7.0+500
SBON at VCU06:00 PMVCU -11.5+500
NCCU at HOW06:00 PMNCCU +3.5+500
FLA at KSU06:00 PMKSU -5.5+500
TEX at TENN06:00 PMTEX +6.0+500
CHSO at LONG06:00 PMCHSO +11.5+500
UTEP at UNT06:00 PMUNT -8.0+500
UNF at NORAL06:00 PMNORAL -2.0+500
SCAR at UGA06:00 PMSCAR +10.5+500
PV at TXSO06:00 PMTXSO -6.0+500
ALCN at SOU06:30 PMSOU -4.5+500
MVSU at ARPB06:30 PMARPB -7.5+500
GSU at MRSH07:00 PMGSU +12.5+500
GONZ at PORT07:00 PMGONZ -12.0+500
PRIN at YALE07:00 PMPRIN +3.0+500
WMU at CMU07:00 PMCMU +1.0+500
BELL at EKY07:00 PMEKY -6.5+500
FGCU at LIB07:00 PMLIB -14.0+500
MTU at FIU07:00 PMFIU +3.5+500
SYR at VT07:00 PMSYR +6.5+500
WIGB at WRST07:00 PMWRST -17.0+500
EVAN at VALP07:00 PMVALP -9.5+500
ME at ALBY07:00 PMME -1.0+500
USU at FRES07:00 PMFRES +4.5+500
UTECH at ACU07:00 PMACU -5.0+500
CALBA at UTRGV07:30 PMUTRGV +7.0+500
MISS at OKST08:00 PMOKST -9.5+500
KU at UK08:00 PMUK -2.5+500
GASO at ULL08:00 PMULL -9.0+500
DEN at KC08:00 PMDEN +6.0+500
OSU at IND08:00 PMIND -5.0+500
ASU at WSU08:00 PMASU +3.5+500
UTAH at ORE08:00 PMUTAH +4.0+500
NEOM at ORU08:00 PMNEOM +20.0
O 154.0
+500 +500
CSU at BSU08:00 PMBSU -8.0+500
SDAK at STT08:00 PMSTT -6.0+500
GRC at TST08:00 PMGRC -2.5
O 134.0
+500 +500
VAN at TAM08:30 PMTAM -10.5+500
CSN at UCI09:00 PMCSN +16.0+500
SJSU at SDSU09:00 PMSJSU +13.5+500
SMC at BYU10:00 PMBYU +6.5+500
SF at USD10:00 PMSF -3.5+500
CSF at CP10:00 PMCSF -4.0+500
CAL at STAN10:00 PMSTAN -10.5+500
MONT at PRST10:00 PMPRST +1.0+500
MTST at CSUS10:00 PMCSUS +3.0+500
NEV at UNLV10:00 PMNEV +1.5+500
COLO at ORST10:30 PMCOLO -8.0+500
PEPP at LMU11:00 PMLMU -10.0+500
CSB at HAW11:59 PMCSB +15.0+500
 

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Completed Picks​

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DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
01/28/202394-78-354.57%+4100Detail
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01/25/202352-44-054.17%+1800Detail
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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

College basketball teams with best shooting %age on 2-point shots:
62.3%— Dayton
57.4%— Gonzaga
57.4%— South Dakota State
57.0%— Furman
56.8%— Belmont
55.7%— Delaware

Quote of the Day
“You put humanity above team loyalty. You showed the world unity over division. I am not surprised by it, but I am deeply grateful and I will be forever thankful and indebted to that.”
Bills’ safety Damar Hamlin, thanking the people of Cincinnati in a video message Saturday

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Saturday’s quiz
When ESPN’s Dick Vitale coached college basketball, he coached at Detroit Mercy.

Friday’s quiz
The baseball scenes in The Natural were filmed in Buffalo.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday

— Big X went 7-3 against the SEC Saturday in the last Big X-SEC Challenge; SEC will get the last laugh when they poach Oklahoma/Texas away from the Big X down the road, but for this year, there is no doubt that the Big X is the best league in the country.

West Virginia 80, Auburn 77
Texas Tech 76, LSU 69
Oklahoma 93, Alabama 69


West Virginia/Texas Tech/Oklahoma have a combined Big X record of 4-20, so of course they went 3-0 against the SEC Saturday.

Oklahoma 93, Alabama 69— Lot of people were touting Alabama as the best team in the country, and they may still be, but they played their worst game here. Sooners scored 1.27 points/possession, led by 17 at the half in a shockingly easy win.

West Virginia 80, Auburn 77— Mountaineers’ senior guard Erik Stevenson is a 23-year old senior who has seen the country as a college ballplayer:
2018-20— Wichita State, 68 games
2020-21— Washington, 26 games
2021-22— South Carolina, 30 games
2022-23— West Virginia, 21 games

Stevenson scored 31 points in this game; he takes difficult shots, but he made them in this game, going 10-17 from floor, 7-10 on arc. West Virginia is a bubble team; they’ll need Stevenson to be very good down the stretch to make the Field of 68.

Baylor 67, Arkansas 64— Bears were 21-24 on foul line, Arkansas 6-11. Razorbacks have lost six of last nine games, have some injury issues- they used a 7-man rotation in this game, and only two of the seven guys scored more than 7 points.

Hogs led by 8 early in second half; Bracketology has them listed as an 8-seed, Eric Musselman is a very good coach— he’s coached two NBA teams, but they need to start winning some games pretty soon.

Kansas 77, Kentucky 68— Jayhawks snap a 3-game losing skid; Bill Self is a great coach, he’s never had a 4-game losing skid at Kansas. He has experienced losing as a head coach, though.

Self’s first head coaching job was at Oral Roberts; he went 6-21 his first year there, in 1993-94, with a 16-game losing streak. He went 10-17 the second year, but then 39-16 the two years after that, and he starting climbing the coaching ladder, all the way to the top of the college game.

Western Illinois 81, South Dakota State 73, OT— Rob Jeter has the Leathernecks headed for their first winning season in 10 years; they’re 14-8, 7-4 in the Summit League, after going 36-104 in Summit games the previous nine years.

Western Illinois trailed the Jackrabbits 39-17 in this game; they were down 18 with 8:48 left in the game. They out-rebounded South Dakota State 45-28.

Oral Roberts 73, Omaha 64— Golden Eagles are 19-4, 10-0 in Summit League; they’re four games ahead of everyone else in the league, but Bracketology has them listed as a 12-seed, so they better win the Summit tournament if they want to make it to the NCAA’s.

Milwaukee 75, Northern Kentucky 74— Norse led this game by 23 at one point, 47-27 at halftime, but Milwaukee stormed back for the road win. BJ Freeman was 3-10 from the floor, but 17-17 on foul line for the victorious Panthers.

Louisiana 94, Georgia Southern 87— Ragin’ Cajuns were down 19 at the half, but they wound up shooting 31-40 on foul line and improved to 8-2 in the Sun Belt, tied with Marshall for first place. All five Louisiana starters scored in double figures.

Clemson 82, Florida State 81— Clemson led this game 16-2 early on, but they were down 3 in last minute and needed a 3-point play from Chase Hunter with 0:04 left to nip the Seminoles, who made 13-30 3-pointers.

Clemson is having a dream season; they’re 18-4, 10-1 in ACC games, and only play one senior. Pat Riley called this type of season The Innocent Climb, when players first develop a trust that everyone is working towards the same goal and that greatness can be achieved, without anyone caring who gets the credit. Tigers are 8-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.

Saint Mary’s 57, BYU 56— Grinding, slow game (only 58 possessions) but the Gaels prevail and have now won nine D-I games in a row- they’re 8-0 in WCC, a game ahead of Gonzaga.

Bracketology has them listed as a 7-seed, but they also haven’t played the Zags yet- they play in Moraga next Saturday.

Hofstra 85, Charleston 81— We talked about this the other day; this was Charleston’s first CAA loss, their first loss anywhere since November 11, but now they probably need to win the CAA tournament to make the NCAA’s. A loss in the CAA tourney would be another bad loss; Hofstra is hovering around the #100 mark— five of their top seven players are seniors, though.

Creighton 84, Xavier 67— Bluejays have won four in row, seven of last nine games; they shot 66.7% inside arc in this a game, a game with only 13 foul shots taken the whole day.

Creighton is shooting 56.2% inside arc, their opponents 46.2%; they’re still only 6-7 against top 100 teams, but they’ve played really well the last couple weeks.

St Bonaventure 61, VCU 58— Bonnies are 11-11, 5-4 in A-15, despite having a whole new team this year; they’re #358 out of 363 teams in continuity. Mark Schmidt is an excellent coach; how some big $$$ program hasn’t gobbled him up is beyond me.

Draw a 100-mile circle around Olean, NY; tell me how many big-time high school players live in that circle, then explain to me how St Bonaventure is 100-49 in conference games the last nine years.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
VILLANOVA is 133-87 ATS (37.3 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread since 1997.

PURDUE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 7 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

ST JOSEPHS
are 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1997.

PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 13-4 Under (8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

LEHIGH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

ROBERT MORRIS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

MANHATTAN is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

QUINNIPIAC is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.

FAIRFIELD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a road win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Jerrod Calhoun is 19-8 ATS (10.2 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ g...

MARIST is 7-1 Under (5.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less in the current season.

IOWA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

GEORGETOWN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

IL-CHICAGO is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ILLINOIS ST is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better in the current season.

DRAKE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

FURMAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 ...

CLEVELAND ST is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

S FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games as a dog in the current season.

TULSA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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