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[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, December 26

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Friday’s games
GameAbove Sports Bowl (@ Detroit)
Central Michigan vs Northwestern (-10)
Central Michigan (7-5)
Chippewas won four of their last six games.
Chippewas are 6-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-5 when they don’t.
Chippewas have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Chippewas have 40 returning starts on OL, plus lot of transfers.
Junior QB Labas started 6 games LY; he was at Iowa for two years.


CMU has three losses this year by 18+ points.
Chippewas lost 63-3 at Michigan in September.
Chippewas are 13-10-1 ATS last 24 games as an underdog.
This is CMU’s first bowl game in four years.
Chippewas are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five bowl games.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
MAC non-conference underdogs are 23-17 ATS this year.


Northwestern (6-6)
Northwestern lost four of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
Two of their five I-A wins were by 19+ points.
Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lausch has 2,174 PY (14 TD’s, 12 INTs)


Wildcats are 2-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Braun, Northwestern is 3-5 ATS as a favorite.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Northwestern is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 17-17 ATS this year.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, MAC teams are 0-13 SU/7-6 ATS vs Big 18 teams.
Last five years, MAC teams are 3-2 ATS in this bowl.


Rate Bowl (@ Phoenix)
Minnesota (-1.5) vs New Mexico
Minnesota (7-5)
Minnesota is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Gophers allowed 38+ points in four of their five losses.
Gophers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Minnesota has 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lindsey has 2,235 PY (16 TD’s, 6 INTs).


Minnesota is 0-3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 27-23-3 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Minnesota is 3-4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Golden Gophers have won their last eight bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 17-17 ATS this year.


New Mexico (9-3)
Lobos have won six on a row, their longest win streak since 1997.
Lobos allowed 34-35-41 points in their losses.
New Mexico has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Lobos have 100 starts returning on OL (added 6 transfers).
Junior QB Layne started six games at Idaho.


This is New Mexico’s first bowl game since 2016.
New Mexico is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Lobos are 4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 15-9 ATS


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Big 18 teams are 4-2 SU/1-5 ATS vs Mountain West foes.
Favorites covered four of last five Rate Bowls.


First Responders Bowl (@ Dallas)
Florida International vs Texas-San Antonio (-5.5)
Florida International (7-5)
Panthers won their last four games, scoring 42.3 ppg.
FIU gave up 34+ points in four of its five losses.
FIU has 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
FIU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 23 games last two years.


Last two games, FIU ran ball for 202-303 yards.
FIU is 4-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Panthers are 5-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
This is FIU’s first bowl game since 2019
Panthers lost three of their last four bowls.


Texas-San Antonio (6-6)
Roadrunners are 1-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
UTSA is 0-6 giving up 27+ points, 6-0 giving up less than 27.
Roadrunners have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
UTSA has 106 starts returning on the offensive line.
Roadrunners’ soph QB McCown has thrown 27 TD’s, 7 INT’s this year.


UTSA is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Roadrunners are 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last five games, Roadrunners are +5 in turnovers.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
UTSA won its last two bowls, 35-17/44-15.


UTSA (-33) beat Florida International 30-10 in 2022.
AAC-Conference USA teams split two games this season.
Last seven years, underdogs are 4-3 ATS in this bowl.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, December 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CMU at NW	01:00 PM	CMU +10.5****** O 43.5******	+500 +500
UNM at MINN	04:30 PM	MINN -1.5****** U 43.5******	+500 +500
FIU at UTSA	08:00 PM	FIU +5.5****** U 60.5******	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................28 - 23 - 0......................54.90%......................+ 10.00

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
NFL yeams’ records in one-score games:
1-7— Chiefs, Giants
2-8— Cardinals
1-6— Browns
2-5— Lions
1-5— Raiders
1-4— Commanders

Quote of the Day
“We don’t care enough right now. And that’s the part that bothers you a lot. We don’t care enough to do the things that are necessary. We don’t care enough to be a professional……”
Lakers coach JJ Redick

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Boston Celtics, who has made the most 3-point shots?

Friday’s quiz
Don Shula (Colts/Dolphins) was the first head coach to lead two different franchises to a Super Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Red Miller coached the Denver Broncos, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Minnesota 20, New Mexico 17 OT
Golden Gophers won their 9th straight bowl game.
Down 14-7, New Mexico ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
This was New Mexico’s first bowl outside of Albuquerque since 2004.
— If you were wondering, the all-time record for most consecutive bowl wins is 11, set by Bobby Bowden’s Florida State teams from 1985-95.

— Northwestern 34, Central Michigan 7
QB Stone threw for 226 yards, 3 TD’s.
Central Michigan lost three fumbles, committed four turnovers in all.
Wildcats have won six bowl games in a row.

— Texas-San Antonio 57, FIU 20
FIU actually led this game 14-0 in first quarter.
Roadrunners led 31-14 at halftime.
FIU went for it on 4th down 10 times, were 1-10.

— Michigan hired former Utah coach Kyle Whittingham as their new coach; Whittingham was 177-88 in 22 years at Utah, going 11-6 in bowls (they lost the last five). Utah is 10-2 this year; this is a big upgrade for the Wolverines.

— Green Bay Packers ruled out QB Jordan Love (concussion) for tonight’s game with the Ravens; Green Bay clinched a playoff spot when Detroit lost Thursday. Malik Willis will start for the Packers; he is 3-2 as an NFL starter, has thrown for 134 yards in three games this year.

— Famous birthdays, December 27th:
Tovah Feldshuh, 77
Craig Reynolds, 73
Mark Budaska, 73
Kent Benson, 71
Donald Igwebuike, 65
Eva LaRue, 59
Kevin Ollie, 53
Deuce McAllister, 47
Carson Palmer, 46
Cole Hamels, 42
Greg Zuerlein, 38
Rick Porcello, 37
Jordan Montgomery, 33
JJ Koski, 29
Brock Purdy, 26

— It was freakin’ freezing here in upstate New York Friday, and now it is snowing out; this is my annual “Why the hell don’t I live in Las Vegas?” night. Once a year, I curse myself out for living in a place where it occasionally gets very cold, and it costs me $40 to get my driveway plowed.

— They’re remodeling the grocery store I go to; its been taking a long time- they’re supposed to finish next month. It is funny going there; no one seems to know what aisle anything is in any more. Used to take me 10 minutes to do my shopping; takes a lot more now. I’m wondering how much it costs to do all that work.

— Thursday night in Denver, the Nuggets beat Minnesota 142-138 in OT; Nikola Jokic scored 56 points, grabbed 16 rebounds, had 15 assists— he scored 18 of his points in the 5:00 overtime, the most any player has ever scored in an overtime.

— College/minor league sports are off the rails; quarterbacks are transferring:
UNLV QB Anthony Colandrea is in the portal, after leading the Rebels to a 10-4 record. He played at Virginia in 2023-24.

(The last four Heisman Trophy winners have all been transfers)
Some other QB’s who are in the transfer portal:
Sam Leavitt, Arizona State
Drew Mestemaker, North Texas
Dylan Raiola, Nebraska
Josh Hoover, TCU
Rocco Becht, Iowa State
Brendan Sorsby, Cincinnati
DJ Lagway, Florida
Byrum Brown, South Florida
Aaron Philo, Georgia Tech

— Since the weather sucks outside, here are some baseball tidbits to help us feel warmer; most of this info came from an article by David Schoenfield on ESPN.com

Pittsburgh Pirates hit 117 home runs last year, 31 fewer than any other team,. Which why they acquired Brandon Lowe, Ryan O’Hearn. Paul Skenes had a 1.97 ERA but was only 10-10, because the Pirates don’t score enough freakin’ runs.

Mets ranked 27th out of 30 teams in IP by starting pitchers, now they let their closer walk to the Dodgers. Mets are going to be very interesting to watch between now and the start of spring training- they need to add talent, both hitting and pitching.

St Louis Cardinals went 232-254 the last three years, their worst three-year stretch since 1988-90, which is why they’re cleaning house now. This year’s attendance was 991,084 fans lower than the Cardinals’ home attendance in 2023- the natives are restless.

Milwaukee Brewers hit .258 as a team last year, but they hit .279 with runners in scoring position, that doesn’t happen much. It probably isn’t sustainable either, so Milwaukee’s offense could suffer this coming season.

Orioles/Marlins both got only 62 RBI from their first basemen last year, tied for worst in the major leagues. That explains why the Orioles went after Pete Alonso.

Cincinnati Reds got only 51 home runs from outfielders; they play their home games in one of the best home run parks there is, which may explain why they moved Noelvi Marte to RF.

Arizona Diamondbacks got saves from 17 different pitchers last year, an all-time record (’21 Rays, ’24 Dodgers each got saves from 14 pitchers).

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, December 27

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday’s games
Military Bowl (@ Annapolis, MD)
Pittsburgh (-10) vs East Carolina
Pittsburgh (8-4)
Pitt allowed 31+ points in all four of its losses.
Panthers are 0-4 when they score less than 30 points.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel has 2,101 PY (15 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Pitt is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 38-30-3 ATS as a a favorite.
Panthers are 8-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.
Over is 6-3 in Pitt’s last nine games.
Pitt is 2-3 in last five bowls (4 of 5 decided by 4 or fewer points)
ACC non-conference favorites are 13-20 ATS.


East Carolina (8-4)
ECU won five of its last six games, after a 3-3 start.
ECU was held to 17-13-19-24 points in its losses.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other schools.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.


ECU’s losses this year are by 7-21-7-34 points.
Pirates are 1-1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Over is 5-1 in East Carolina’s last six games.
ECU (+7) upset NC State 26-21 in this bowl last year.
East Carolina won three of its last four bowl games.
AAC non-conference underdogs are 13-14 ATS.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
ACC teams are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS vs AAC foes this year.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Military Bowls


Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx, NY)
Penn State vs Clemson (-3)
Penn State (6-6)
Penn State won its last three games, after an 0-6 skid.
Penn State is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Nittany Lions have 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Penn State has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Allar started 29 games last two years.


Penn State is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Penn State is 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Penn State is +4 in turnovers TY (were +38 last three years)
Nittany Lions won three of their last five bowl games.
Over is 8-2 in last ten Penn State games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS.


Clemson (7-5)
Clemson won its last four games, after a 3-5 start.
Tigers are 0-4 when they allow 20+ points.
Clemson is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Clemson has 122 returning starts on the offensive line.


Tigers are 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season.
Clemson is 3-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Tigers are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 13-20 ATS.


Winter weather could be a factor in this game.
Since 2016, ACC teams are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in the Pinstripe Bowl.
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.
Big 18 teams are 2-1 SU/1-2 ATS vs ACC teams this year.


Fenway Bowl (@ Boston)
UConn vs Army (-8.5)
UConn (9-3)
Coach Mora bolted UConn for Colorado State.
UConn won four in row, eight of its last nine games.
UConn has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
UConn has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Fagnano has 3,441 passing yards (28 TDs, 1 INT)


Huskies’ losses this year are by 7-3-3 points.
UConn gave up 200+ rushing yards in four games TY.
UConn is 1-0-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Huskies are 5-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 7-3 in UConn’s last ten games
UConn lost three of their last four bowls.


Army (6-6)
Army’s last six games (3-3) were all decided by 7 or less points.
Army is 5-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Army has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Black Knights have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Coleman started one game last year.


Black Knights have run ball for 224+ yards in 10 of 12 games.
Army is 4-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Army is 2-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Army is 4-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Army won/covered four of its last five bowl games.
Seven of last nine Army games stayed under the total.
AAC non-conference favorites are 9-9 ATS.


Underdogs won two of three Fenway Bowls.
UConn (+2.5) upset Belichick/UNC in this bowl LY.
Army won last two games vs UConn 52-21/34-17 in 2021/2022.


Pop Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
Georgia Tech vs BYU (-4)
Georgia Tech (9-3)
Tech lost three of last four games, after an 8-0 start.
Tech’s losses are by 12-14-7 points.
Yellow Jackets have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 103 returning starts on OL, but lot of transfers.
Senior QB King has 26 career starts.


Tech is 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
Tech is 3-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Tech is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Yellow Jackets are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
ACC non-conference underdogs are 6-11 ATS this year.


BYU (11-2)
BYU’s two losses were 29-7/34-7, both to Texas Tech.
BYU is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier has 2,823 passing yards (14 TD’s, 8 INTs)


BYU is 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
BYU is 6-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
BYU’s last four wins were all by 12+ points.
BYU won three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 7-5 in BYU games this season.
Big X non-conference favorites are 13-11 ATS.


Big X teams are 5-1 ATS vs ACC opponents this year.
Favorites are 7-2 ATS in last nine Pop Tarts Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.


Arizona Bowl (@ Tucson)
Miami OH vs Fresno State (-5.5)
Miami (7-6)
Redhawks won 7 of last 10 games, after an 0-3 start.
Miami is 6-1 when they score 25+ points.
Miami is 0-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Redhawks have 1 starter back on offense, 5 on defense.
Miami has 3 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Finn had 32 career starts at Toledo/Baylor.


Miami is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Redhawks are 46-34-2 ATS as an underdog under Martin.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Miami is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Over is 7-4 in Miami’s last eleven games.
Redhawks are 2-3 SU/5-0 ATS in their last five bowls.
MAC non-conference underdogs are 23-17 ATS


Fresno State (7-3, 4-2)
Fresno won its last two games, allowing 7-3 points.
Bulldogs’ three losses were by 24-28-23 points.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Conklin started 10 games at I-AA level last year.


Fresno is 3-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Overall, Fresno is 10-14-1 ATS last 25 games as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 6-2 in last eight games.
Fresno won four of its last five bowl games.
Mountain West non-conference favorites are 7-7 ATS


This year, Mountain West teams are 3-2 SU/ATS vs MAC opponents.
Favorites are 4-3 ATS in last eight Arizona Bowls (one pick ‘em)
These teams haven’t met in the last six seasons.


New Mexico Bowl
North Texas (-6.5) vs San Diego State
North Texas (11-2)
Coach Morris has bolted to Oklahoma State.
Nine of UNT’s 11 wins were by 14+ points.
Mean Green gave up 63-34 points in its two losses.
Mean Green has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
North Texas has 72 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Mestemaker started UNT’s bowl game last year.

North Texas is 9-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
North Texas is 5-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
UNT gave up 190+ rushing yards in 8 of last 10 games.
North Texas lost its last five bowls (were underdog in all five)
Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.
AAC non-conference favorites are 9-9 ATS.


San Diego State (9-3)
Aztecs split last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Aztecs were held to 13-6-17 points in their losses.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.


San Diego State is 1-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Aztecs are 4-6 ATS last ten games as an underdog.
San Diego State is 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 8-2 in Aztecs’ last ten games.
San Diego State is 2-3 in its last five bowls.
This is Aztecs’ first bowl since 2022.
Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 15-9 ATS


This year, AAC teams are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS vs Mountain West teams.
Underdogs covered four of last five New Mexico Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Gator Bowl (@ Jacksonville, FL)
Virginia vs Missouri (-4)
Virginia (10-3)
Virginia’s three losses were by 4-7-7 points.
Cavaliers split last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.


Under Elliott, Virginia is 18-9 ATS as a underdog.
This year, Virginia is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
Cavaliers are 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Virginia is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last eight Virginia games stayed under the total.
This is Virginia’s first bowl since 2019 (’21 bowl was cancelled)
ACC non-conference underdogs are 6-11 ATS this year.


Missouri (8-4)
QB Pribula will transfer, won’t play in this game.
Mizzou is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 5-0 start.
Tigers are 6-0 when they score 31+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Zollers has 402 PY TY (4 TDs, one INT)


Mizzou is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Mizzou is 4-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Tigers are 8-0 when they run for 200+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Mizzou is 8-4 despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
Four of last six Mizzou games stayed under the total.
Tigers won their last two bowl games, 14-3/27-24
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 13-18 ATS.


This year, SEC teams are 6-3 SU/5-4 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine Gator Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Texas Bowl (@ Houston)
LSU @ Houston (-1.5)
LSU (7-5)
LSU has an interim coach with Lane Kiffin the new HC.
Tigers are 3-5 in last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)


LSU is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
LSU is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Tigers’ last three games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Tigers scored 13 or fewer points in three of last four games.
Under is 9-2 in their I-A games.
LSU won five of their last six bowl games.


Houston (9-3)
Houston scored 24+ points in all its wins.
Cougars are 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Houston has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Cougars have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Weigman started five games at Texas A&M last year.


Houston ran for 210+ yards in its last three games.
In his career, Fritz is 30-26 ATS as a home favorite.
Houston is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Cougars are 5-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Houston won last two bowl games, 17-13/23-16
This s Houston’s first bowl since 2022.
Over is 7-4 in Houston’s last eleven games.


Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Texas Bowls.
SEC teams are 3-0 SU/ATS vs Big X teams this year.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, December 27​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PITT at ECU	11:00 AM	PITT -13.5***** U 52.5*****	+500 +500
PSU at CLEM	12:00 PM	U 47.5*****	+500
CONN at ARMY	02:15 PM	ARMY -7.5*****	+500
GT at BYU	03:30 PM	O 56.5*****	+500
UNT at SDSU	05:45 PM	UNT -6.5***** O 53.5*****	+500 +500
UVA at MIZZ	07:30 PM	UVA +4.0***** U 44.5*****	+500 +500
LSU at HOU	09:15 PM	LSU +1.5	+500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/27/2025.................6 - 3 - 0......................66.66%....................+ 13.50
12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................34 - 26 - 0......................56.66%......................+ 23.50

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Spreads on Week 18 NFL games:
— Panthers @ Tampa Bay (-3)
— Seahawks (-1.5) @ San Francisco
— Colts @ Houston (-10)
— Cowboys (-4.5) @ NJ Giants
— Browns @ Cincinnati (-7)
— Saints @ Atlanta (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“I hate that’s what people are saying or thinking. We’re not trying to lose. I’m trying to go out and do my best because I don’t know if I’m going to be here next year.”
Raiders defensive tackle Jonah Laulu, talking about tanking accusations

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy was coach of the Green Bay Packers, last time they won a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Boston Celtics, Paul Pierce has made the most 3-point shots.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..​

49ers 42, Bears 38
Purdy threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
49ers scored a TD on four of their next five drives.
Bears’ last four drives: 46 plays, 286 yards, 17 points.
Chicago had ball on SF’s 2-yard line on last play, but didn’t score.
49ers outgained Chicago, 496-440.
First game in NFL this year that both teams had 2 TD’s in first quarter.
49ers are 10-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Seahawks @ 49ers next week is for the NFC West title.

Seahawks 27, Panthers 10
Seahawks won ten of their last eleven games.
Seattle ran ball 36 times for 163 yards.
Seattle in second half: 35 plays, 167 yards, 24 points.
Seahawks will be #1 seed in NFC if they beat 49ers next week.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Carolina in second half: 25 plays, 71 yards, 2 turnovers, 7 points.
Panthers @ Tampa Bay next week will decide NFC South title.
Carolina is 3-7 when they score less than 27 points.

Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 17
Rookie QB Ewers threw for 172 yards, two TD’s.
Miami was outgained 380-298; they were +3 in turnovers.
Dolphins are 7-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Miami is 11-7 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
Tampa Bay lost four in row, seven of its last eight games.
Tampa Bay lost last four games by total of eleven points.
Bucs are 9-13 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Panthers @ Tampa Bay next week, for NFC South title.

Browns 13, Steelers 6
Cleveland led 10-3 at halftime.
Steelers in 2nd half: 37 plays, 146 yards, no points.
Ravens-Steelers next week is for AFC North title.
Steelers have lost their last four visits to Cleveland.
Only TD of game was Sanders’ 28-yard pass to Fannin in 2nd quarter.
Pittsburgh averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
Browns are 12-7-1 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
Browns allowed 10-6-10-6 points in their four wins.

Patriots 42, Jets 10
QB Maye threw for 256 yards and five TD’s.
Patriots are 12-1 SU/10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
Last seven games, Patriots scored 30.9 points/game.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Patriots’ first six drives: 47 plays, 391 yards, six TD’s.
New England outgained Jets 440-307, led 35-3 at halftime.
Jets lost their last four games, giving up 34-48-29-42 points.
Jets are 0-11 when they score less than 27 points.

Famous birthdays, December 29th:
Ted Danson, 78
Sean Payton, 62
Richie Sexson, 51
Jack Wilson, 48
Kate Moennig, 48
Laveranues Coles, 48
Clint Stoerner, 48
Julio Rodriguez, 25

Saints 34, Titans 26
Tennessee led this game 20-10 at halftime.
Saints in 2nd half: 28 plays, 334 yards, 24 points.
Saints are 5-2 in last seven games, after a 1-8 start.
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 5-3 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 9-18 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-11 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
Titans were 1-8 SU/4-5 ATS at home this season.
Over is 7-3 in Tennessee’s last ten games.

Jaguars 23, Colts 17
Jacksonville won its seventh game in a row.
Jaguars are 12-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
QB Lawrence threw for 263 yards, also ran for two TD’s.
Jaguars can clinch AFC South with win over Tennessee next week.
Colts are first team since 1995 to start a season 7-1, but miss the playoffs.
Colts led this game 10-7 at halftime.
Jaguars outgained Indianapolis 370-204.
Colts ran ball 22 times for only 69 yards.

Bengals 37, Cardinals 14
Bengals’ first five drives: 40 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
QB Burrow threw for 305 yards, two TD’s.
Bengals scored 31+ points in their last five wins.
WR Chase is first player ever with 80+ catches, 1,000+ RY and 7+ TD catches in each of his first five years in the NFL.
Bengals outgained Arizona, 429-233.
Cardinals lost eight in row (1-7 ATS) , 13 of last 14 games.
Cardinals are 0-10 when they allow more than 22 points.
Last four weeks, Cardinals allowed 37 points/game.

Giants 34, Raiders 10
Raiders lost their 10th game in row, will probably get #1 pick in ’26 draft.
QB Smith sprained his ankle late in this game.
Raiders are 13-19-2 ATS last 34 games as an underdog.
Las Vegas has nine losses by 11+ points this season.
Giants first two drives: 11 plays, 34 yards, two punts.
Giants rest of game: 51 plays, 311 yards, 27 points.
2nd year in row Giants won in Week 17 to lose first pick in draft.
WR Robinson caught 11 passes for 113 yards.

Eagles 13, Bills 12
Buffalo scored TD with 0:05 left, went for 2 points but failed
Down 12-0, Bills scored TD with 5:11 left, but missed PAT
Philadelphia is now 7-3 this year in one-score games.
Eagles’ only TD came on a 45-yard drive in first quarter.
Philly is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Bills outgained the Eagles, 331-190.
Buffalo’s loss clinches AFC East for New England.
Right now, Buffalo is the #7-seed in the AFC.

— Northern Colorado 86, Colorado 81
Bears snapped a 13-game losing streak against Colorado.
Northern Colorado shot 11-21 on the arc.
Señor G Denker scored 33 points, had 8 rebounds, 8 assists.

— Saint Mary’s 78, Loyola Marymount 73
LMU led by a hoop with 4:43 left in the game.
Saint Mary’s shot 7-14 on arc, scored 1.31 ppp.
Gaels are 12-2, despite being experience team #333.

— San Francisco 67, Seattle 59
Seattle shot 32% inside arc, 4-17 outside arc.
USF has #38 eFG% defense ; they’ve won three games in row.
Seattle is 11-3, vs schedule #266.

— Charleston Southern 77, Richmond 72
Bad loss for Richmond, which is 10-3 vs schedule #345.
Spiders were 25-29 on foul line, Charleston Southern 15-23
Charleston Southern shot 10-37 on arc, 16-28 inside arc.

— Washington State 67, Portland 62
Portland led by 8 with 9:28 left in the game.
Portland shot 8-31 on the arc, 14-24 on foul line.
Wazzu won WCC opener, after going 4-8 in non-league games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Monday, December 29

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Monday’s game
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Southern (-8.5) vs Appalachian State
Georgia Southern (6-6)
Eagles won three of their last four games.
Eagles are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
GSU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Eagles have 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB French has 2,753 PY, with 19 TD’s, 8 INTs


Georgia Southern is 3-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
Under Helton, Eagles are 12-5 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Helton is 38-29 ATS as a favorite.
TY, Georgia Southern is ATS in games with single digit spread.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Georgia Southern lost four of its last five bowl games.


Appalachian State (5-7)
App State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-2 start.
App State is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
App State has 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
App State has 22 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Kohl has 1,812 PY (18 TD’s, 2 INTs.)


App State is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year
App State is 12-6-1 ATS last 19 games as an underdog.
TY, App State is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
App State won four of its last five bowl games.


These teams are both in the Sun Belt Conference.
Georgia Southern (+5) upset App State 25-23 November 6.
Eagles led 19-3 at halftime, hung on for the road win.
Teams split last six series games.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 29

Georgia Southern VS Appalachian State
Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games.
Georgia Southern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Appalachian State.
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Appalachian State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Appalachian State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Appalachian State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the East Division division.

Tuesday, December 30

Coastal Carolina VS LA Tech
Coastal Carolina is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games played in December.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
Louisiana Tech is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games.
Louisiana Tech is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games played in December.

Tennessee VS Illinois
Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 16 games.
Tennessee is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Illinois is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois' last 6 games.
Illinois is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
Illinois is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games played in December.

USC VS TCU
Southern California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 7 games.
Southern California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Texas Christian is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
Texas Christian is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Texas Christian is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games played in December.
Texas Christian is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing as the underdog.

Wednesday, December 31

Iowa VS Vanderbilt
Iowa is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
Iowa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Iowa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Iowa is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games.
Vanderbilt is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games played in December.

Arizona State VS Duke
Arizona State is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona State's last 11 games.
Arizona State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 14 games.
Duke is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games played in December.

Michigan VS Texas
Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Michigan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games played in December.
Texas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Texas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games played in December.

Nebraska VS Utah
Nebraska is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nebraska's last 11 games.
Nebraska is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Utah is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Miami-FL VS Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 10 games.
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami-FL is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Miami-FL is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games played in December.
Ohio State is 14-2-1 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games.
Ohio State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games.
Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

Thursday, January 1

Oregon VS Texas Tech
Oregon is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon's last 12 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Oregon is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games played in January.
Oregon is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games played on a Thursday.
Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas Tech's last 11 games.
Texas Tech is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Alabama VS Indiana
Alabama is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games.
Alabama is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Indiana is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games.
Indiana is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Ole Miss VS Georgia
Ole Miss is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ole Miss' last 5 games.
Ole Miss is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Ole Miss is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Georgia.
Georgia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games.
Georgia is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia's last 12 games against Ole Miss.

Friday, January 2

Rice VS Texas State
Rice is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games.
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rice's last 7 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Texas State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Texas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing as the favourite.

Navy VS Cincinnati
Navy is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Navy's last 12 games.
Navy is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games.
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games played on a Friday.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Cincinnati is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the West Division division.

Arizona VS SMU
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played on a Friday.
Southern Methodist is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games.
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Southern Methodist is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Wake Forest VS Mississippi State
Wake Forest is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 10 games.
Wake Forest is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games.
Mississippi State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Spreads on Week 18 NFL games:
— Chiefs (-5.5) @ Las Vegas
— Dolphins @ New England (-11.5)
— Commanders @ Philadelphia (-7.5)
— Lions @ Chicago (-2.5)
— Jets @ Buffalo (-7)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“Health and winning, that’s it. There’s no way to predict. We’re going on the road, first round. All potential teams would be good, and we’ll get ourselves ready for that.”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, four friends drive to Las Vegas in what car?

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, Derek Carr was their QB.

Sunday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy was coach of the Green Bay Packers, last time they won a Super Bowl.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

I don’t care who wins individual awards; understood there are degenerates who bet on this stuff, but to me, it isn’t important.
I don’t give a rat’s ass who wins MVP.
I don’t care who wins Coach of the Year. In any sport.
It. does. not. matter.
I care about who makes the playoffs.
I care about who wins the Super Bowl……you know, team stuff.
Down the road, Hall of Fame inductions should not rely on how many MVP’s you won; stats and the eye test should determine who gets in the Hall of Fame. MVP voting is subjective.

— Falcons 27, Rams 24
Atlanta kicked a 51-yard FG with 0:21 left for the win.
Falcons had an early pick-6, led 21-0 at halftime.
Atlanta won its last three games, scoring 29-26-27 points.
Last two years, Falcons are 11-10 when Cousins is the QB, 4-8 when he isn’t.
Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, and lost a road game.
Week 13 at Carolina, Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, and lost a road game.
LA blocked a field goal for a TD and had a long kick return.
Bijan Robinson ran ball 22 times for 195 yards; he had 34 receiving yards.

— Georgia Southern 29, Appalachian State 10
Arnold carried ball 11 times for 152 yards.
Georgia Southern ran for 242 yards, outgained App State 413-379.
App State QB’s threw 4 INT’s, were minus-3 in turnovers.

— Bowl records, by conference (SU/ATS):

AAC- 4-3/3-4

ACC- 4-4/3-5

Big X- 2-0/2-0

Big 18- 5-0/4-1

Conference USA- 3-3/3-3

MAC- 2-3/3-2

Mountain West- 2-5/3-4

SEC- 2-4/2-4

Sun Belt 3-5/4-4

— Do college football players enjoy going to bowl games in cold weather places?
Boise, Boston, New York City; I’m guessing Florida, Arizona, Las Vegas, New Orleans are much better options for bowls.

— Famous birthdays, December 30:
Sandy Koufax, 90
Tracey Ullman, 66
Kerry Collins, 53
AJ Pierzynski, 49
Grant Balfour, 48
Dominic Raiola, 47
LeBron James, 41
Carson Wentz, 33
Drew Waters, 27

— Indiana State 81, Belmont 80 OT
Belmont led by 11 late in the first half.
Sycamores won despite going 13-26 on foul line.
Tyler Lunblade was 7-14 on arc, scored 26 points; for the season, he is 51-120 (42.5%) on the arc, 16-29 inside the arc. He doesn’t come inside the arc much.

— Murray State 84, Southern Illinois 81
Racers shot 63.3% inside arc, led 47-34 at halftime.
Murray State led by 20 with 2:13 left in first half.
Racers start four seniors, are 11-3, 3-0 in MVC, vs schedule #258.

— Bradley 76, Evansville 68
Evansville led 35-31 at halftime.
Bradley is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#15)
Bradley has won seven in a row, is 10-4 vs schedule #297.

— Charleston 72, Drexel 63
Drexel led 17-3 at the second TV timeout.
Charleston shot 66.7% inside the arc.
Jlynn Counter was 11-14 from floor, scored 29 points.

— Michigan State 114, Cornell 97
Spartans led 55-53 at halftime.
83-possession game, very fast tempo.
Michigan State was 29-43 on foul line, Cornell 18-23.

— Alabama 102, Yale 78
Alabama shot 22-54 on the arc, 12-23 inside arc, scored 1.48 ppp.
Alabama also had 21 offensive rebounds.
Yale is good; they’re 11-2- this was their first game in 19 days.

— Washington 74, Utah 65
Utah led 37-36 at halftime.
Washington shot 63.2% inside the arc.
Huskies are most experienced team in country; they have #9 eFG% defense.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, December 30

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Tuesday’s games
Independence Bowl (@ Shreveport, LA)
Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech (-10)
Coastal Carolina (6-6)
Coastal lost last three games, giving up 45-51-59 points.
Chanticleers have five losses by 38+ points.
CCU is minus-8 in turnovers in its losses, +8 in wins.
Coastal has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Coastal has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Hudson has 942 PY (4 TD’s, 5 INTs)


Chanticleers are 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year.
Coastal gave up 277+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Coastal scored 38+ points four of their six wins.
Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.
Chanticleers split their four bowl games SU/ATS
This year, Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 12-18 ATS
This year, Sun Belt teams are 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS in bowls.


Louisiana Tech (7-5)
Tech scored 30+ points in their six I-A wins.
Bulldogs are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Tech has six wins by 10+ points.
Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Tech has 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Baker has 1,252 passing yards (5 TD, 3 INTs).


Tech is 4-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 10-13 ATS as a favorite.
Tech is +10 in turnovers this year.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
This year, C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-1 ATS
Bulldogs lost their last two bowl games, 38-3/27-6.


This year, Sun Belt teams are 8-6 SU/7-7 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
Favorites won/covered last two Independence Bowls.
Louisiana Tech lost this game last year, 27-6 to Army.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Music City Bowl (@ Nashville)
Illinois vs Tennessee (-3.5)
Illinois (8-4)
Illinois won three of its last four games.
Illini is 2-4 when they allow 27+ points.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


This year, Illinois is 1-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-12 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Illinois is 3-3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS
Illinois lost three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in last four Illinois games.


Tennessee (8-4)
Vols split their last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Vols allowed 33+ points in all four losses.
Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Vols have 46 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Aguilar started 24 games at Appalachian State.


This year, Tennessee is 3-6 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-18 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vols are 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, SEC non-conference favorites are 17-22 ATS
Over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Tennessee is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
SEC teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Big 18 teams this year.
Favorites are 5-4 ATS in last nine Music City Bowls


Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
USC (-6.5) vs TCU
USC (10-3)
Trojans won four of their last five games,.
Trojans allowed 34-34-42 points in their three losses.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.


This year, USC is 4-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, USC is 1-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
USC won its last two bowls, 42-28/35-31
In his career, Riley is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
Under is 5-2 in last seven USC games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 19-16 ATS this year.


TCU (8-4)
TCU scored 17-13-17 points in its last three games.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


This year, TCU is 0-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, TCU is 5-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
In his career, Dykes is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
TCU won three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 6-4 in last ten TCU games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Alamo Bowls.
Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday, December 30​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CCU at LT	02:00 PM	CCU +10.0***** U 49.5*****	+500 +500
TENN at ILL	05:30 PM	ILL +3.0***** U 61.5*****	+500 +500
USC at TCU	09:00 PM	TCU +5.5***** U 56.5*****	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

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12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................39 - 27 - 0......................59.09%......................+ 43.00

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
If the NFL Draft were tomorrow……
1- Raiders
2- Giants
3- Jets
4- Titans
5- Cardinals
6- Commanders

Quote of the Day
“Real simple. The rules be the rules, so if you put your name in the [NBA draft], I don’t care if you’re from Russia and you stay in the draft, you can’t play college basketball. Well, that’s only for American kids.’ What? If your name is in that draft and you got drafted, you can’t play because that’s our rule.”
John Calipari

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NFL team this season is the only team in the last 60 years to lose three games in a season when they didn’t punt in any of the games?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, four friends drive to Las Vegas in a silver Mercedes.

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, Derek Carr was their QB.

*************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— Cincinnati Bengals are worth $5.5B, the least of any NFL team.
There are only four major league baseball teams worth more than the Bengals:
Cubs, Red Sox, Dodgers, Bronx.

— Louisiana Tech 23, Coastal Carolina 14
Chanticleers led 14-3 at halftime.
Coastal in second half: 41 plays, 107 yards, 3 turnovers.
La Tech in second half: 34 plays, 175 yards, 3 turnovers, 20 points.

— Illinois 30, Tennessee 28
Illinois drove 65 yards, kicked game-winning FG at the gun.
Tennessee had taken lead on 94-yard kick return with 4:58 left.
Illini ran for 221 yards, outgained Tennessee 417-278.

— TCU 30, USC 27 OT
TCU scored 10 points in last 4:24 to force overtime.
TCU scored TD on 3rd-and-20 play to win game in OT.
Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last eleven Alamo Bowls.

— Former Eagles-49ers-Oregon-UCLA head coach Chip Kelly is the new offensive coordinator at Northwestern. Kelly was OC for the Raiders this year, at Ohio State last year. Football coaches move around a lot.

— Clemson fired offensive coordinator Garrett Riley, making him the scapegoat for the Tigers’ 7-6 season. Clemson was 26-14 in Riley’s three years there; he is the brother of USC head coach Lincoln Riley.

— Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert (left thumb) won’t play against Denver this week; Trey Lance (2-3 as an NFL starter) will get the nod.

— Famous birthdays, December 31:
Anthony Hopkins, 88
Ben Kingsley, 82
Tim Matheson, 78
Bebe Neuwirth, 67
Rick Aguilera, 64
Bryon Russell, 55
Esteban Loaiza, 54
Brent Barry, 54
Heath Shuler, 54
Jason Campbell, 44

— Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A scout for the 76ers discovers a phenomenal streetball player while in Spain and sees the prospect as his opportunity to become an assistant coach. If you like basketball, this is an excellent movie.
Adam Sandler is the coach, Queen Latifah is his wife, Juancho Hernangomez is the player who gets discovered on a playground in Spain. There are a lot of NBA players/executives in this movie. The basketball workout scenes are well-done.

— Creighton 89, Butler 85
Bluejays shot 58.1% inside the arc, scored 1.23 ppp.
Butler had 21 offensive rebounds (#14 on offensive boards)
Creighton is 3-0 in the Big East, scoring 90.3 ppg.

— Oregon State 70, San Francisco 62
Good bounce back for Beavers (lost by 38 to Santa Clara Sunday)
San Francisco led 30-25 at halftime.
Oregon State was 11-23 on arc, Dons 4-21

— Seton Hall 79, Marquette 73
Marquette led by 6 with 2:50 left in the game.
Seton Hall out-rebounded Marquette, 51-33.
12-2 Pirates are #15 experience team; they’re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#8)

— Duquesne 89, Davidson 83, 2OT
Dukes shot 35.3% inside arc, 16-35 outside arc.
Duquesne out-rebounded Davidson, 53-39
6-2 senior Guinyard played 46:00, scored 24 points, had 6 assists.

Some baseball notes…….

— Last year, Houston Astros scored 4.23 runs/game, their worst mark since 2014; they missed the playoffs last year for the first time since 2016. Altuve-Alvarez were hampered by injuries last year; they need to be healthier and to score more runs this coming season.

— 2024 White Sox scored the fewest runs of any team since 1972; last year, they scored 140 more runs than they did the year before, and now they’ve added 1B Munetaka Murakami, so their offense figures to improve again.
Last three years, Chicago won 61-41-60 games, after going 81-81 in 2022.

— Last year, the 12 worst teams in on-base %age missed the playoffs; Rockies/Royals walked the fewest times in the major leagues. Adding Isaac Collins from Milwaukee figures to spruce up the Kansas City offense (his OBP% was .368).

— Orioles re-signed P Zach Eflin for one year, $10M; last year, Eflin was 6-5, 5.93 in 14 starts in a injury-hampered season. He had a 2.60 ERA in 2024, is 68-67, 4.28 in 188 career starts.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, December 31

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Wednesday’s games
Reliaquest Bowl (@ Tampa)
Iowa vs Vanderbilt (-5.5)
Iowa (8-4)
Iowa is 7-0 scoring 25+ points, 1-4 scoring 21 or less.
Hawkeyes are 2-4 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year. .
In his career, Ferentz is 57-44 ATS as an underdog.
Iowa is 8-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 3-1 in Iowa’s last four games.
Iowa lost three of its last four bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.


Vanderbilt (9-2, 5-2)
Vandy scored 31+ points in nine of their 11 games.
Commodores allowed 30-34 points in their two losses.
Commodores have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 139 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
Senior QB Pavia has started 36 college games


Vandy is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Lea, Vandy is 7-9 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vandy is 8-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Vandy is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 7-2 in Vandy’s last nine games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.


Last eight years, underdogs are 6-2 ATS in this bowl.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Sun Bowl (@ El Paso)
Arizona State vs Duke (-3.5)
Arizona State (8-4)
Five of ASU’s last six wins were by 5 or fewer points.
ASU is 8-0 when they score 24+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior backup QB Sims has 886 PY (7 TD’a, 5 INTs)


Sun Devils are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year..
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-9 ATS as an underdog.
This year, ASU is 4-4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
ASU lost four of its last five bowl games.
Under is 8-3 in Sun Devils’ last eleven games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS.


Duke (8-5)
Duke is 1-4 when it scores less than 32 points.
Blue Devils are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
Duke gave up 467+ TY in four of last six games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.


Duke is 5-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Manny Diaz, Duke is 8-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Duke is 7-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Duke won four of its last five bowl games.
Over is 8-4 in their I-A games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 12-18 ATS.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Big X teams are 6-1 SU/ATS vs ACC opponents.
Underdogs are 4-2 ATS in last six Sun Bowls.


Citrus Bowl (@ Orlando)
Michigan vs Texas (-7)
Michigan (9-3)
Wolverines hired a new coach last week.
Michigan won last five of its last six games.
Michigan was held to 13-13-9 points in losses (24-13/31-13/27-9)
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood has thrown for 2,166 yards (9 TDs/5 INTs).


Michigan is 0-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Michigan is 2-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last four games, Michigan is minus-5 in turnovers.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Michigan won its last three bowl games.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.


Texas (9-3)
Texas has won six of their last seven games.
Longhorns were held to 7-21-10 points in their losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,553 yards (20 TD’s, 7 INT’s)


Texas is 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 26-23 ATS as a favorite.
Texas is 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Texas is 2-3 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.


Last year, Texas (-6.5) won 31-12 at Michigan.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Citrus Bowls.


Las Vegas Bowl
Nebraska vs Utah (-14.5)
Nebraska (7-5)
Nebraska is 6-0 when it scores 28+ points, 1-5 if they don’t.
Nebraska lost its last two games, giving up 37-40 points.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Backup QB Lateef has 722 PY (4 TD’s, 0 INTs)


Nebraska is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 9-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, Rhule is 36-22-1 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten I-A games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Nebraska is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.


Utah (10-2)
Utah’s longtime coach bolted to Michigan last week.
Utah won its last five games, scoring 47 points/game
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Utah is 7-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utah ran ball for 226+ yards in 10 of their 12 games.
8 of their 10 wins were by 25+ points.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Utah lost its last five bowl games (favored in 3 of the 5)
Big X non-conference favorites are 15-11 ATS


Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.
Favorites covered four of last six Las Vegas Bowls.
Utah (-6.5) lost this game 14-7 two years ago.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Cotton Bowl (@ Dallas)
Miami vs Ohio State (-9.5)
Miami (11-2)
Miami won its last five games, giving up 8.8 points/game.
Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 on December 20th.
Hurricanes are +11 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 5-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.


Under Cristobal, Miami is 6-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 33-31 ATS as an underdog.
Miami lost five of its last five six bowl games.
In his career, Cristobal is 4-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 13-22 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
ACC non-divisional underdogs are 8-14 ATS.


Ohio State (12-1)
Buckeyes lost 13-10 to Indiana in Big 18 title game Dec 6th.
Ohio State’s last 11 wins were all by 18+ points.
Ohio State has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Buckeyes have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Sayin has 3,323 PY, with 31 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Under Day, OSU is 46-28-3 ATS as a favorite.
Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Buckeyes were even in turnovers in each of their last six games.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
OSU won last four bowl games, all by 14+ points.


Big 18 teams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS vs ACC teams this year.
Favorites are 8-2 ATS in last 10 Cotton Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.

 

[indiana]

C. Notes and U dog........thank you for all your time and info this past year guys....
you and your families have a safe and prosperous New Year....
enjoy all the games....indy

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday, December 31​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
IOWA at VAN	12:00 PM	IOWA +4.0***** O 45.5	+500 +500
ASU at DUKE	02:00 PM	ASU +3.0***** O 47.5*****	+500 +500
MICH at TEX	03:00 PM	MICH +7.0***** U 48.5*****	+500 +500
NEB at UTAH	03:30 PM	NEB +14.5***** U 50.5	+500 +500
MIA at OSU	07:30 PM	MIA +9.5***** O 40.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

C. Notes and U dog........thank you for all your time and info this past year guys....
you and your families have a safe and prosperous New Year....
enjoy all the games....indy

Happy New Year Indy!