NCAAF
Bowl Season
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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 16
9:00 PM ET
Troy VS Jacksonville State
Troy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games.
Troy is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 6 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville State's last 12 games.
Jacksonville State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville State's last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Wednesday, December 17
5:00 PM ET
Old Dominion VS USF
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games.
Old Dominion is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Old Dominion is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
South Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Florida's last 10 games.
South Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
South Florida is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
8:30 PM ET
Louisiana VS Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana's last 5 games.
Louisiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Louisiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Louisiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games played in December.
Delaware is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Delaware's last 7 games.
Delaware is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
Delaware is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing as the underdog.
Thursday, December 18
9:00 PM ET
Missouri State VS Arkansas State
Missouri State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Missouri State's last 11 games.
Missouri State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Missouri State is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing as the underdog.
Arkansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 10 games.
Arkansas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Friday, December 19
11:00 AM ET
Kennesaw State VS Western Michigan
Kennesaw State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kennesaw State's last 7 games.
Kennesaw State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kennesaw State's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
Western Michigan is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games.
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Western Michigan is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games played in December.
2:30 PM ET
Memphis VS NC State
Memphis is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis' last 5 games.
Memphis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games played in December.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games played in December.
North Carolina State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games played on a Friday.
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing as the favourite.
8:00 PM ET
Alabama VS Oklahoma
Alabama is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games.
Alabama is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games.
Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oklahoma's last 13 games.
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games against Alabama.
Saturday, December 20
12:00 PM ET
Miami-FL VS Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami-FL's last 9 games.
Miami-FL is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami-FL is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 10 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Texas A&M is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games.
Texas A&M is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
Texas A&M is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games at home.
3:30 PM ET
Tulane VS Ole Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulane's last 10 games.
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Tulane is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Mississippi.
Tulane is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against Mississippi.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 9 games.
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games against Tulane.
Mississippi is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games at home.
7:30 PM ET
James Madison VS Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of James Madison's last 7 games.
James Madison is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
James Madison is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
James Madison is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games played on a Saturday.
Oregon is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
Oregon is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Oregon is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games played in December.
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Bowl Season
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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 16
9:00 PM ET
Troy VS Jacksonville State
Troy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games.
Troy is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 6 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville State's last 12 games.
Jacksonville State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville State's last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Wednesday, December 17
5:00 PM ET
Old Dominion VS USF
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games.
Old Dominion is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Old Dominion is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
South Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Florida's last 10 games.
South Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
South Florida is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
8:30 PM ET
Louisiana VS Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana's last 5 games.
Louisiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Louisiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Louisiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games played in December.
Delaware is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Delaware's last 7 games.
Delaware is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
Delaware is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing as the underdog.
Thursday, December 18
9:00 PM ET
Missouri State VS Arkansas State
Missouri State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Missouri State's last 11 games.
Missouri State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Missouri State is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing as the underdog.
Arkansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 10 games.
Arkansas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Friday, December 19
11:00 AM ET
Kennesaw State VS Western Michigan
Kennesaw State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kennesaw State's last 7 games.
Kennesaw State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kennesaw State's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
Western Michigan is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games.
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Western Michigan is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games played in December.
2:30 PM ET
Memphis VS NC State
Memphis is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis' last 5 games.
Memphis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games played in December.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games played in December.
North Carolina State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games played on a Friday.
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing as the favourite.
8:00 PM ET
Alabama VS Oklahoma
Alabama is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games.
Alabama is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games.
Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oklahoma's last 13 games.
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games against Alabama.
Saturday, December 20
12:00 PM ET
Miami-FL VS Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami-FL's last 9 games.
Miami-FL is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami-FL is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 10 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Texas A&M is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games.
Texas A&M is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
Texas A&M is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games at home.
3:30 PM ET
Tulane VS Ole Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulane's last 10 games.
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Tulane is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Mississippi.
Tulane is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against Mississippi.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 9 games.
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games against Tulane.
Mississippi is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games at home.
7:30 PM ET
James Madison VS Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of James Madison's last 7 games.
James Madison is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
James Madison is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
James Madison is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games played on a Saturday.
Oregon is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
Oregon is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Oregon is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games played in December.
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Tuesday’s 7-pack:
There are seven unbeaten teams left in college basketball:
Arizona
Duke
Iowa State
Miami OH
Michigan
Nebraska
Vanderbilt
Quote of the Day
“It has been a tumultuous time. A lot of … first disbelief, then anger, then really, what we’re in right now is the kids, quite frankly, feel very betrayed, and we’re trying to work through that. Lots of arms around shoulders, lot of listening, lot of telling them that you love them, but showing it, because words are cheap, and that takes a lot of time. What it really takes is you being willing to listen.”
Michigan’s interim football coach, Biff Poggi
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.
******************************************
Rob Reiner was a film director, producer, screenwriter, actor, and political activist; he was smart, decent, funny and very talented. We need more decent people in this world.
Our world is a lesser place today. RIP to the Reiners.
— Steelers 28, Dolphins 15
Pittsburgh won its 23rd straight Monday night home game.
Steelers are 8-6, lead AFC North by a game over the Ravens.
Steelers-Ravens play in Week 18 in Pittsburgh.
Rodgers was 23-27/224 passing, with two TD’s.
Dolphins in first 3 quarters on a cold night: 26 plays, 82 yards, 3 points.
Kicker Patterson booted a career-high 54-yard FG for an early 3-0 lead.
Miami only ran the ball 16 times, for 63 yards.
Miami is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
— I’d like to see a breakdown of each quarterback’s interceptions:
Underthrows
Overthrows
Balls that bounced off of receivers’ hands
Deflected passes
Field position for the INT’s; think it would be interesting.
— First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye. All quarterbacks.
If that draft was held tomorrow, would they still go in the same order?
— Atlanta Falcons committed 19 penalties for 125 yards last week, and they still won at Tampa Bay. Hard to win with that many penalties.
— Famous birthdays, December 16:
Joyce Bulifant, 88
Jan van Breda Kolff, 74
Bart Oates, 67
Jeff Ruland, 67
Jerry Gray, 63
William Perry, 63
Bill Ripken, 61
Pete Fairbanks, 32
— Why are Oklahoma/Oklahoma State in different leagues?
Same with Washington/Washington State, Oregon-Oregon State.
It is nonsensical.
— Arizona Wildcats are first college basketball team in the last 30 years to beat five top 25 teams in the first nine games of a season.
— Hofstra beat Syracuse 70-69 in the Carrier Dome Saturday; Hofstra made 12-18 shots on the arc, 6-6 on the foul line, 10 days after they lost to Columbia of the Ivy League.
— Movie of the Day: A Few Good Men (1992)- A military lawyer tries to prove that two US Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were only following their base commander’s orders. Tremendous movie, directed by Rob Reiner, written by Aaron Sorkin.
Excellent cast: Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Kevin Pollak are the lawyers defending the Marines, Kevin Bacon is the opposing lawyer, Jack Nicholson is a Marine colonel- the scene when he is on the witness stand is one of the best scenes in movie history.
JT Walsh, Kiefer Sutherland, Noah Wyle, Joshua Malina are also in this movie, which you can see on BBC America these days.
Baseball transactions:
— Phillies signed OF Adolis Garcia for one year, $10M
— Twins signed 1B Josh Bell for one year, $7M
— Diamondbacks signed P Merrill Kelly for two years, $40M
— Mets signed IF/DH Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M
— Royals signed 3B Maikel Garcia for five years, $57.5M
— Blue Jays signed reliever Tyler Rogers for three years, $37M
— The guy that runs the Cardinals now, Chaim Bloom, is the guy who traded Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, when he was running the Red Sox. Yikes.
— Arizona 2B Ketel Marte’s no-trade list:
A’s
Pirates
Giants
Cardinals
Bronx
There are seven unbeaten teams left in college basketball:
Arizona
Duke
Iowa State
Miami OH
Michigan
Nebraska
Vanderbilt
Quote of the Day
“It has been a tumultuous time. A lot of … first disbelief, then anger, then really, what we’re in right now is the kids, quite frankly, feel very betrayed, and we’re trying to work through that. Lots of arms around shoulders, lot of listening, lot of telling them that you love them, but showing it, because words are cheap, and that takes a lot of time. What it really takes is you being willing to listen.”
Michigan’s interim football coach, Biff Poggi
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.
******************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
I write this with a heavy heart; this weekend in Los Angeles, Rob Reiner and his wife were murdered in their home- their 32-year old son is being charged with the crime.Rob Reiner was a film director, producer, screenwriter, actor, and political activist; he was smart, decent, funny and very talented. We need more decent people in this world.
Our world is a lesser place today. RIP to the Reiners.
— Steelers 28, Dolphins 15
Pittsburgh won its 23rd straight Monday night home game.
Steelers are 8-6, lead AFC North by a game over the Ravens.
Steelers-Ravens play in Week 18 in Pittsburgh.
Rodgers was 23-27/224 passing, with two TD’s.
Dolphins in first 3 quarters on a cold night: 26 plays, 82 yards, 3 points.
Kicker Patterson booted a career-high 54-yard FG for an early 3-0 lead.
Miami only ran the ball 16 times, for 63 yards.
Miami is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
— I’d like to see a breakdown of each quarterback’s interceptions:
Underthrows
Overthrows
Balls that bounced off of receivers’ hands
Deflected passes
Field position for the INT’s; think it would be interesting.
— First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye. All quarterbacks.
If that draft was held tomorrow, would they still go in the same order?
— Atlanta Falcons committed 19 penalties for 125 yards last week, and they still won at Tampa Bay. Hard to win with that many penalties.
— Famous birthdays, December 16:
Joyce Bulifant, 88
Jan van Breda Kolff, 74
Bart Oates, 67
Jeff Ruland, 67
Jerry Gray, 63
William Perry, 63
Bill Ripken, 61
Pete Fairbanks, 32
— Why are Oklahoma/Oklahoma State in different leagues?
Same with Washington/Washington State, Oregon-Oregon State.
It is nonsensical.
— Arizona Wildcats are first college basketball team in the last 30 years to beat five top 25 teams in the first nine games of a season.
— Hofstra beat Syracuse 70-69 in the Carrier Dome Saturday; Hofstra made 12-18 shots on the arc, 6-6 on the foul line, 10 days after they lost to Columbia of the Ivy League.
— Movie of the Day: A Few Good Men (1992)- A military lawyer tries to prove that two US Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were only following their base commander’s orders. Tremendous movie, directed by Rob Reiner, written by Aaron Sorkin.
Excellent cast: Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Kevin Pollak are the lawyers defending the Marines, Kevin Bacon is the opposing lawyer, Jack Nicholson is a Marine colonel- the scene when he is on the witness stand is one of the best scenes in movie history.
JT Walsh, Kiefer Sutherland, Noah Wyle, Joshua Malina are also in this movie, which you can see on BBC America these days.
Baseball transactions:
— Phillies signed OF Adolis Garcia for one year, $10M
— Twins signed 1B Josh Bell for one year, $7M
— Diamondbacks signed P Merrill Kelly for two years, $40M
— Mets signed IF/DH Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M
— Royals signed 3B Maikel Garcia for five years, $57.5M
— Blue Jays signed reliever Tyler Rogers for three years, $37M
— The guy that runs the Cardinals now, Chaim Bloom, is the guy who traded Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, when he was running the Red Sox. Yikes.
— Arizona 2B Ketel Marte’s no-trade list:
A’s
Pirates
Giants
Cardinals
Bronx
NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, December 16
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Tuesday’s game
Salute to Veterans Bowl (@ Montgomery, AL)
Troy (-1.5) vs Jacksonville State
Troy (8-5)
Trojans were held to 16 or fewer points in their losses.
Trojans’ losses were by 11-21-13-33-17 points.
Troy has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Trojans have 53 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Kilcrease started two games last year.
Troy is 3-1 ATS as a favorite TY
Troy is 7-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 5-0 in Troy’s last five games.
Trojans are 25-8 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Trojans won four of their last five bowl games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Jacksonville State (8-5)
Gamecocks lost two of last three games, after a 7-3 start.
Jax State ran ball for 210+ yards in 11 of their last 12 games.
Jax State has 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Gamecocks have 64 starts back on offensive line.
Frosh QB Creel has thrown for 1,437 yards (8 TD’s, 5 INTs)
Gamecocks are 5-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Jax State is 5-6 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last seven games, Jax State was +9 in turnovers.
Jax State split its two bowl games, both decided by 3 points.
Over is 8-3 in their last 11 I-A games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Underdogs covered this bowl the last three years.
Last 10 years, Sun Belt teams are 6-4 SU in this bowl.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS vs C-USA teams.
Weather Report
Tuesday, December 16
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Tuesday’s game
Salute to Veterans Bowl (@ Montgomery, AL)
Troy (-1.5) vs Jacksonville State
Troy (8-5)
Trojans were held to 16 or fewer points in their losses.
Trojans’ losses were by 11-21-13-33-17 points.
Troy has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Trojans have 53 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Kilcrease started two games last year.
Troy is 3-1 ATS as a favorite TY
Troy is 7-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 5-0 in Troy’s last five games.
Trojans are 25-8 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Trojans won four of their last five bowl games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Jacksonville State (8-5)
Gamecocks lost two of last three games, after a 7-3 start.
Jax State ran ball for 210+ yards in 11 of their last 12 games.
Jax State has 3 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Gamecocks have 64 starts back on offensive line.
Frosh QB Creel has thrown for 1,437 yards (8 TD’s, 5 INTs)
Gamecocks are 5-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Jax State is 5-6 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last seven games, Jax State was +9 in turnovers.
Jax State split its two bowl games, both decided by 3 points.
Over is 8-3 in their last 11 I-A games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Underdogs covered this bowl the last three years.
Last 10 years, Sun Belt teams are 6-4 SU in this bowl.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS vs C-USA teams.
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.......................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.......................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 9.00
TOTALS......................15 - 8 - 0......................65.21%........................+ 27.50
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.......................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.......................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 9.00
TOTALS......................15 - 8 - 0......................65.21%........................+ 27.50
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana
Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
***************************************
Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.
— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.
— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs
— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.
— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)
— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.
— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.
— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)
— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)
— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.
— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22
— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.
— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.
— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?
— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.
— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.
— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.
— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.
— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana
Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
***************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Jacksonville State 17, Troy State 13Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.
— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.
— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs
— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.
— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)
— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.
— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.
— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)
— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)
— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.
— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22
— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.
— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.
— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?
— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.
— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.
— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.
— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.
— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara
NCAAF
Weather Report
Wednesday, December 17
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Wednesday’s games
Cure Bowl (@ Orlando)
Old Dominion vs South Florida (-3)
Old Dominion (9-3)
Old Dominion won its last five games, giving up 9.4 ppg.
In their losses, Monarchs gave up 309-223-311 rushing yards.
ODU has 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Monarchs have 52 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Joseph started eight games last year.
This year, Old Dominion is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, ODU is 2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Monarchs are 1-2 SU in bowl games; they lost in OT two years ago.
Monarchs are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Last five ODU games slayed under the total.
South Florida (9-3)
USF 48+ points in its last seven wins.
Bulls gave up 49-34-41 points in their losses.
Bulls have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Brown started five games last year.
This year, Bulls are 5-2 ATS as a favorite.
This year, USF is 2-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
USF won four of last five bowl games, with two OT wins.
Bulls ran ball for 200+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine I-A games.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Last nine years, underdogs are 8-1 ATS in this bowl.
This year, C-USA teams are 2-0 vs AAC opponents.
68 Ventures Bowl (@ Mobile, AL)
Louisiana (-3) vs Delaware
Louisiana (6-6)
Louisiana won its last four games, after a 2-6 start.
Cajuns are 0-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Louisiana is 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
ULL has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Cajuns have 63 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.
This year, Louisiana is 0-3 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Louisiana is 4-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Cajuns lost their last three bowl games, giving up 23-34-34 points.
Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Delaware (6-6)
This is Delaware’s first year as a I-A team.
Blue Hens are 3-5 SU in last eight games.
Delaware is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Delaware has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Blue Hens have 77 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Minicucci has thrown for 3,495 yards (22 TD’s, 7 TD’s)
This year, Delaware is 3-3 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Delaware is 4-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Since 2020, Blue Hens were 4-3 SU in I-AA playoff games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
Last five years, favorites are 4-1 ATS in this bowl.
Since 2015, Sun Belt teams are 9-0 SU/8-1 ATS in this bowl.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS vs C-USA teams.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Weather Report
Wednesday, December 17
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Wednesday’s games
Cure Bowl (@ Orlando)
Old Dominion vs South Florida (-3)
Old Dominion (9-3)
Old Dominion won its last five games, giving up 9.4 ppg.
In their losses, Monarchs gave up 309-223-311 rushing yards.
ODU has 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Monarchs have 52 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Joseph started eight games last year.
This year, Old Dominion is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, ODU is 2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Monarchs are 1-2 SU in bowl games; they lost in OT two years ago.
Monarchs are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Last five ODU games slayed under the total.
South Florida (9-3)
USF 48+ points in its last seven wins.
Bulls gave up 49-34-41 points in their losses.
Bulls have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Brown started five games last year.
This year, Bulls are 5-2 ATS as a favorite.
This year, USF is 2-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
USF won four of last five bowl games, with two OT wins.
Bulls ran ball for 200+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine I-A games.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Last nine years, underdogs are 8-1 ATS in this bowl.
This year, C-USA teams are 2-0 vs AAC opponents.
68 Ventures Bowl (@ Mobile, AL)
Louisiana (-3) vs Delaware
Louisiana (6-6)
Louisiana won its last four games, after a 2-6 start.
Cajuns are 0-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Louisiana is 4-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
ULL has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Cajuns have 63 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.
This year, Louisiana is 0-3 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Louisiana is 4-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Cajuns lost their last three bowl games, giving up 23-34-34 points.
Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Delaware (6-6)
This is Delaware’s first year as a I-A team.
Blue Hens are 3-5 SU in last eight games.
Delaware is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Delaware has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Blue Hens have 77 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Minicucci has thrown for 3,495 yards (22 TD’s, 7 TD’s)
This year, Delaware is 3-3 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Delaware is 4-4 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Since 2020, Blue Hens were 4-3 SU in I-AA playoff games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
Last five years, favorites are 4-1 ATS in this bowl.
Since 2015, Sun Belt teams are 9-0 SU/8-1 ATS in this bowl.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS vs C-USA teams.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.......................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.......................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 9.00
TOTALS......................19 - 8 - 0......................70.37%........................+ 47.50
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.......................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.......................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 9.00
TOTALS......................19 - 8 - 0......................70.37%........................+ 47.50
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee
Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
******************************************
— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed
— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18
— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.
— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.
— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.
— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.
— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200
— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.
— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.
— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.
— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS
AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS
AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS
AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS
NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS
NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS
NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee
Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
******************************************
Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, and NCAA Tournament trends……..
Was wondering if there are any trends that could identify teams that will win March Madness this year, so I broke down the last 13 teams that won the national title.— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed
— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18
— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.
— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.
— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.
— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.
— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200
— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.
— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.
— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.
— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS
AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS
AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS
AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS
NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS
NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS
NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS
NCAAF
Weather Report
Thursday, December 18
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Thursday’s game
Xbox Bowl (@ Frisco, TX)
Missouri State (-1.5) vs Arkansas State
Missouri State (7-5)
This is Missouri State’s first year as a I-A team.
Bears lost their last two games, 41-34/42-30
Red Wolves have 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Wolves have 67 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Clark has 28 career starts.
Missouri State is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bears are 5-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Missouri State is 5-2 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears allowed 500-475 TY in their last two games.
Bears’ last three games went over the total.
C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-1 ATS this year.
Arkansas State (6-6)
Red Wolves won five of their last seven games.
ASU is 2-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Last five games, ASU is minus-9 in turnovers.
Red Wolves have 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Red Wolves have 33 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Raynor has 3,076 PY (16 TDs, 11 INTs)
Arkansas State is 3-4 this year in games decided by 8 or less points.
Arkansas State is 6-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Jones, Redhawks are 25-20 ATS as an underdog.
Redhawks are 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Red Wolves lost three of their last five bowl games.
Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 11-18 ATS
This is the first-ever Xbox Bowl; it replaces the Bahamas Bowl
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-4 SU/6-5 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Weather Report
Thursday, December 18
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Thursday’s game
Xbox Bowl (@ Frisco, TX)
Missouri State (-1.5) vs Arkansas State
Missouri State (7-5)
This is Missouri State’s first year as a I-A team.
Bears lost their last two games, 41-34/42-30
Red Wolves have 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Wolves have 67 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Clark has 28 career starts.
Missouri State is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bears are 5-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Missouri State is 5-2 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears allowed 500-475 TY in their last two games.
Bears’ last three games went over the total.
C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-1 ATS this year.
Arkansas State (6-6)
Red Wolves won five of their last seven games.
ASU is 2-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Last five games, ASU is minus-9 in turnovers.
Red Wolves have 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Red Wolves have 33 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Raynor has 3,076 PY (16 TDs, 11 INTs)
Arkansas State is 3-4 this year in games decided by 8 or less points.
Arkansas State is 6-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Jones, Redhawks are 25-20 ATS as an underdog.
Redhawks are 4-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Red Wolves lost three of their last five bowl games.
Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 11-18 ATS
This is the first-ever Xbox Bowl; it replaces the Bahamas Bowl
This year, Sun Belt teams are 7-4 SU/6-5 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00
TOTALS.....................19 - 10 - 0.....................65.51%.....................+ 36.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00
TOTALS.....................19 - 10 - 0.....................65.51%.....................+ 36.50
Friday’s 6-pack:
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros
Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade
Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.
*********************************************
Rams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.
— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.
— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.
— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.
— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46
— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.
— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State
— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.
— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.
— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.
— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19
— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)
— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)
— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.
— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros
Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade
Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.
*********************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….
— Seattle 38, Rams 37 OTRams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.
— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.
— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.
— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.
— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46
— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.
— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State
— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.
— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.
— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.
— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19
— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)
— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)
— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.
— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.
NCAAF
Weather Report
Friday, December 19
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Friday’s games
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan (-3)
Kennesaw State (10-3)
Kennesaw won 10 of last 11 games (loss was to Jax State)
Last three games, Owls allowed 35-34-42 points.
Kennesaw has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Owls have 92 starts back on offensive line, including 10 transfers.
Soph QB Odom started 8 games LY, at I-AA Wofford.
Owls are 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Kennesaw is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls are 7-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Kennesaw is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
This is Kennesaw State’s first-ever bowl game/
Western Michigan (9-4)
WMU won nine of its last ten games, after an 0-3 start.
Broncos are 0-4 when they allow more than 21 points.
Broncos have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
WMU has 23 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Lowry has 1,920 PY (6 TD’s, 3 INT’s).
WMU is 6-1-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last four games, WMU ran ball for 283.4 yards/game.
Over is 4-2 in WMU’s last six games.
Broncos lost four of their last five bowls.
MAC favorites are 1-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Favorites are 4-1 ATS in the Myrtle Beach Bowl
MAC teams are 2-0 SU/ATS vs C-USA teams this year.
Gasparilla Bowl (@ Tampa)
Memphis vs NC State (-3.5)
Memphis (8-4)
Tigers lost their last three games; after an 8-1 start.
Memphis coach Silverfield bolted to Arkansas; they have an interim coach
Memphis gave up 31-38-31-28 points in their losses.
Memphis has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Lewis started 12 games at Nevada LY.
Memphis is 7-1 when it scores 32+ points.
Tigers are 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Memphis is 3-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Memphis allowed 450+ yards in four of last six games.
Over is 4-1 in last five Memphis games.
Memphis won its last four bowl games, scoring 35.3 ppg.
AAC underdogs are 13-12 ATS in non-conference games.
NC State (7-5)
NC State won three of last four games, after a 4-4 start.
Wolfpack gave up 485+ yards in four of last six games.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY.
This year, Wolfpack is 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
State is 5-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
State allowed 36+ points in four of their five losses.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten I-A games.
Wolfpack lost their last four bowls, three of them by 5 or fewer points.
ACC favorites are 12-18 ATS in non-conference games.
ACC teams are 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS vs AAC opponents this year.
Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven Gasparilla Bowls.
College football playoff
Alabama @ Oklahoma (-1.5)
Alabama (10-3)
Alabama is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Alabama was held to 17-21-7 points in its three losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Alabama is 1-3 when it allows more than 21 points.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, DeBoer is 6-2 as an underdog.
Crimson Tide lost three of its last four bowl games.
Alabama is 2-2-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Nine of last ten Alabama games stayed under the total.
Oklahoma (10-2)
Oklahoma won its last four games, giving up 16.8 ppg.
Oklahoma was outgained 406-221 in their win at Alabama last month.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Oklahoma is 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
TY, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Sooners are 10-2 despite being minus-2 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 12-17-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 9-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Oklahoma (+6.5) won 23-21 at Alabama in November.
Sooners won five of last six series games.
Oklahoma was +13 in turnovers in those games.
Alabama (-14) lost 24-3 in Norman last year.
Home favorites are 22-19 ATS in SEC games.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
Weather Report
Friday, December 19
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Friday’s games
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan (-3)
Kennesaw State (10-3)
Kennesaw won 10 of last 11 games (loss was to Jax State)
Last three games, Owls allowed 35-34-42 points.
Kennesaw has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Owls have 92 starts back on offensive line, including 10 transfers.
Soph QB Odom started 8 games LY, at I-AA Wofford.
Owls are 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Kennesaw is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls are 7-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Kennesaw is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
C-USA underdogs are 14-11 ATS in non-conference games.
This is Kennesaw State’s first-ever bowl game/
Western Michigan (9-4)
WMU won nine of its last ten games, after an 0-3 start.
Broncos are 0-4 when they allow more than 21 points.
Broncos have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
WMU has 23 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Lowry has 1,920 PY (6 TD’s, 3 INT’s).
WMU is 6-1-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last four games, WMU ran ball for 283.4 yards/game.
Over is 4-2 in WMU’s last six games.
Broncos lost four of their last five bowls.
MAC favorites are 1-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Favorites are 4-1 ATS in the Myrtle Beach Bowl
MAC teams are 2-0 SU/ATS vs C-USA teams this year.
Gasparilla Bowl (@ Tampa)
Memphis vs NC State (-3.5)
Memphis (8-4)
Tigers lost their last three games; after an 8-1 start.
Memphis coach Silverfield bolted to Arkansas; they have an interim coach
Memphis gave up 31-38-31-28 points in their losses.
Memphis has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Lewis started 12 games at Nevada LY.
Memphis is 7-1 when it scores 32+ points.
Tigers are 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Memphis is 3-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Memphis allowed 450+ yards in four of last six games.
Over is 4-1 in last five Memphis games.
Memphis won its last four bowl games, scoring 35.3 ppg.
AAC underdogs are 13-12 ATS in non-conference games.
NC State (7-5)
NC State won three of last four games, after a 4-4 start.
Wolfpack gave up 485+ yards in four of last six games.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY.
This year, Wolfpack is 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
State is 5-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
State allowed 36+ points in four of their five losses.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten I-A games.
Wolfpack lost their last four bowls, three of them by 5 or fewer points.
ACC favorites are 12-18 ATS in non-conference games.
ACC teams are 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS vs AAC opponents this year.
Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven Gasparilla Bowls.
College football playoff
Alabama @ Oklahoma (-1.5)
Alabama (10-3)
Alabama is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Alabama was held to 17-21-7 points in its three losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Alabama is 1-3 when it allows more than 21 points.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, DeBoer is 6-2 as an underdog.
Crimson Tide lost three of its last four bowl games.
Alabama is 2-2-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Nine of last ten Alabama games stayed under the total.
Oklahoma (10-2)
Oklahoma won its last four games, giving up 16.8 ppg.
Oklahoma was outgained 406-221 in their win at Alabama last month.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Oklahoma is 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
TY, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Sooners are 10-2 despite being minus-2 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 12-17-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 9-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Oklahoma (+6.5) won 23-21 at Alabama in November.
Sooners won five of last six series games.
Oklahoma was +13 in turnovers in those games.
Alabama (-14) lost 24-3 in Norman last year.
Home favorites are 22-19 ATS in SEC games.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%......................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00
TOTALS.....................20 - 13 - 0.....................60.60%.....................+ 25.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%......................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%.....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%.....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00
TOTALS.....................20 - 13 - 0.....................60.60%.....................+ 25.00
Saturday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Jaguars @ Denver (-3.5)
— Falcons (-3) @ Arizona
— Raiders @ Houston (-14.5)
— Steelers @ Detroit (-7)
— Patriots @ Baltimore (-3)
— 49ers (-5.5) @ Indianapolis
Quote of the Day
“My guess is most of the teams will not allow their pitchers to do it. That would be my guess.”
Reds manager Terry Francona, on whether teams will let their pitchers use the new challenge system when the season starts. Only pitchers, catchers, hitters can challenge pitches.
Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, what well-known actor played George Costanza’s father?
Friday’s quiz
Shreveport, LA hosts the Independence Bowl every year.
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
*****************************************
Oklahoma led 17-0 early in the second quarter.
Alabama tied game on a pick-6 1:18 before halftime.
Sooners QB Matter threw for 307 yards, but the pick-6 was costly.
Crimson Tide advances to play Indiana in the next round of the playoffs.
— NC State 31, Memphis 7
Wolfpack’s first four drives: 16 plays, 144 yards, 21 points.
NC State led 31-7 at the half; rest of game was scoreless.
Memphis lost its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Gasparilla Bowls.
— Western Michigan 41, Kennesaw State 6
WMU scored on a 65-yard TD run on first play of theme.
Broncos ran ball 43 times for 303 yards (7 yards/carry)
Jalen Buckley ran ball for 174 yards and a TD.
Kershawn Fisher scored on a 47-yard fumble return.
— There was a three-way trade in baseball Friday:
Pirates acquired 2B Brandon Lowe, OF Jake Mangum, P Mason Montgomery
Astros acquired P Mike Burrows
Rays acquired OF Jacob Melton, P Anderson Brito
— Baltimore Orioles acquired P Shane Baz from division rival Tampa Bay; Orioles sent prospects to the Rays:
OF Slater de Brun
C Caden Borine
OF Austin Over
P Michael Fornet
Baz isn’t a free agent until after the 2028 season.
— NBA All-Star Game this year is going to be US vs the World; they’re trying to make the game more competitive. Hopefully this won’t make the game too competitive, but it should be more fun to watch this year.
— Baylor, Memphis, Miami are three college basketball teams who have totally new rosters this season. Baylor is 8-2, Memphis 4-6 (but they did upset Baylor), Miami is 10-2, albeit vs schedule #313.
— Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 79 (producer of Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 76
Jenny Agutter, 73
Tom Newberry, 63
Rich Gannon, 60
James Shields, 44
David Wright, 43
Jonah Hill, 42
De’Aaron Fox, 28
The great actor John Hillerman was born on this day in 1932.
— Villanova 76, Wisconsin 66, OT
Villanova led by 15 early in second half.
Wisconsin committed 16 turnovers, Wildcats only 8.
Villanova is 9-2, 1-2 vs top 100 teams.
— San Diego 82, Cal-San Diego 80
Toreros banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left for the win.
Toreros were a 13-point underdog.
San Diego led by 15 with 13:49 left in the game.
Cal-San Diego shot 66.7% inside arc, only 8-26 on the arc.
— Seton Hall 72, Providence 67
11-1 Seton Hall wins Big East opener; they played non-conference schedule #304
Providence is 7-6, 0-6 vs teams in the top 100.
Seton Hall plays Villanova Tuesday, which should be interesting.
— College sports has become minor league sports:
USC’s best player Rodney Rice is out for the year with an injured shoulder; Trojans then added Kam Woods to replace Rice. Woods has had an interesting career:
2020-21- Troy State
2021-22- Northwest Florida CC (won a national title there)
2022-23- North Carolina A&T
2023-24- NC State
2024-25- Robert Morris (scored 14.9 ppg)
2025-26- USC……..Mr Woods should write a book someday.
— Seattle 70, Washington 66
Impressive win for the Redhawks, who just moved up to the WCC.
Washington led by 9 early in the second half.
Teams combined to shoot 4-37 on the arc.
10-2 Seattle’s two losses were by a total of five points (Cal Poly/UCSB)
— Tulsa 82, Western Kentucky 81
Hilltoppers led 37-30 at halftime.
Tulsa has won eight in a row, is 11-1- they’re shooting 40.9% on arc (#5)
Tulsa shot 65% inside the arc.
— Louisville has a player, Isaac McKneely, who has an interesting stat line:
foul shots: 10-12
2-point shots: 8-14
3-point shots: 31-80
If you’re guarding this guy, you shouldn’t play help defense; McKneely’s only job is to shoot 3’s, can’t leave him alone on the arc.
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Jaguars @ Denver (-3.5)
— Falcons (-3) @ Arizona
— Raiders @ Houston (-14.5)
— Steelers @ Detroit (-7)
— Patriots @ Baltimore (-3)
— 49ers (-5.5) @ Indianapolis
Quote of the Day
“My guess is most of the teams will not allow their pitchers to do it. That would be my guess.”
Reds manager Terry Francona, on whether teams will let their pitchers use the new challenge system when the season starts. Only pitchers, catchers, hitters can challenge pitches.
Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, what well-known actor played George Costanza’s father?
Friday’s quiz
Shreveport, LA hosts the Independence Bowl every year.
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
*****************************************
Saturday’s Den: Random notes on a very windy night…….
— Alabama 34, Oklahoma 24Oklahoma led 17-0 early in the second quarter.
Alabama tied game on a pick-6 1:18 before halftime.
Sooners QB Matter threw for 307 yards, but the pick-6 was costly.
Crimson Tide advances to play Indiana in the next round of the playoffs.
— NC State 31, Memphis 7
Wolfpack’s first four drives: 16 plays, 144 yards, 21 points.
NC State led 31-7 at the half; rest of game was scoreless.
Memphis lost its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Gasparilla Bowls.
— Western Michigan 41, Kennesaw State 6
WMU scored on a 65-yard TD run on first play of theme.
Broncos ran ball 43 times for 303 yards (7 yards/carry)
Jalen Buckley ran ball for 174 yards and a TD.
Kershawn Fisher scored on a 47-yard fumble return.
— There was a three-way trade in baseball Friday:
Pirates acquired 2B Brandon Lowe, OF Jake Mangum, P Mason Montgomery
Astros acquired P Mike Burrows
Rays acquired OF Jacob Melton, P Anderson Brito
— Baltimore Orioles acquired P Shane Baz from division rival Tampa Bay; Orioles sent prospects to the Rays:
OF Slater de Brun
C Caden Borine
OF Austin Over
P Michael Fornet
Baz isn’t a free agent until after the 2028 season.
— NBA All-Star Game this year is going to be US vs the World; they’re trying to make the game more competitive. Hopefully this won’t make the game too competitive, but it should be more fun to watch this year.
— Baylor, Memphis, Miami are three college basketball teams who have totally new rosters this season. Baylor is 8-2, Memphis 4-6 (but they did upset Baylor), Miami is 10-2, albeit vs schedule #313.
— Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 79 (producer of Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 76
Jenny Agutter, 73
Tom Newberry, 63
Rich Gannon, 60
James Shields, 44
David Wright, 43
Jonah Hill, 42
De’Aaron Fox, 28
The great actor John Hillerman was born on this day in 1932.
— Villanova 76, Wisconsin 66, OT
Villanova led by 15 early in second half.
Wisconsin committed 16 turnovers, Wildcats only 8.
Villanova is 9-2, 1-2 vs top 100 teams.
— San Diego 82, Cal-San Diego 80
Toreros banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left for the win.
Toreros were a 13-point underdog.
San Diego led by 15 with 13:49 left in the game.
Cal-San Diego shot 66.7% inside arc, only 8-26 on the arc.
— Seton Hall 72, Providence 67
11-1 Seton Hall wins Big East opener; they played non-conference schedule #304
Providence is 7-6, 0-6 vs teams in the top 100.
Seton Hall plays Villanova Tuesday, which should be interesting.
— College sports has become minor league sports:
USC’s best player Rodney Rice is out for the year with an injured shoulder; Trojans then added Kam Woods to replace Rice. Woods has had an interesting career:
2020-21- Troy State
2021-22- Northwest Florida CC (won a national title there)
2022-23- North Carolina A&T
2023-24- NC State
2024-25- Robert Morris (scored 14.9 ppg)
2025-26- USC……..Mr Woods should write a book someday.
— Seattle 70, Washington 66
Impressive win for the Redhawks, who just moved up to the WCC.
Washington led by 9 early in the second half.
Teams combined to shoot 4-37 on the arc.
10-2 Seattle’s two losses were by a total of five points (Cal Poly/UCSB)
— Tulsa 82, Western Kentucky 81
Hilltoppers led 37-30 at halftime.
Tulsa has won eight in a row, is 11-1- they’re shooting 40.9% on arc (#5)
Tulsa shot 65% inside the arc.
— Louisville has a player, Isaac McKneely, who has an interesting stat line:
foul shots: 10-12
2-point shots: 8-14
3-point shots: 31-80
If you’re guarding this guy, you shouldn’t play help defense; McKneely’s only job is to shoot 3’s, can’t leave him alone on the arc.
NCAAF
Weather Report
Saturday, December 20
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Saturday’s games
College football playoff
Miami @ Texas A&M (-3.5)
Miami (10-2)
Miami won its last four games, by 28-34-17-27 points.
Hurricanes are +9 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 5-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 32-31 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-22 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami lost its last five bowl games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
In his career, Cristobal is 3-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 12-22 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
ACC non-divisional road underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Texas A&M (11-1)
Aggies lost their last game, 27-17 at Texas.
A&M scored 31+ points in 10 of its 11 wins.
Last five games, Aggies are minus-8 in turnovers.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.
Under Elko, A&M is 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 11-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss
A&M is 4-3 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
A&M lost bowls the last two years, 31-23/35-31.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Miami (+3) beat Texas A&M 48-33 at home, in 2023.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
This year, SEC teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Tulane @ Ole Miss (-17.5)
Tulane (11-2)
Coach Sumrall’s dad passed away Thursday.
Tulane gave up 45-48 points in their two losses.
Tulane is 5-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Green Wave has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Green Wave has 93 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started 13 games at BYU last year.
Sumrall is 33-19-2 ATS overall as a head coach.
In his career, Sumrall is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Tulane is 12-8 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
Green Wave lost 3 of last 4 bowls (lost last two, 41-20/33-8)
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
AAC non-divisional road underdogs are 10-6 ATS.
Ole Miss (11-1)
Coach Kiffin bolted to LSU; some of his assistants have stuck around to help with this game..
Rebels won last four I-A games, scoring 34 ppg
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 3,016 PY passing yards (18 TD’s, 3 INT’s).
Rebels are 28-21-2 ATS last 50 games as a favorite.
Rebels are 11-7-1 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Only Ole Miss loss: 43-35 at Georgia.
Ole Miss is 3-2 SU/ ATS in last five bowl games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine Ole Miss games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Ole Miss (-12) blasted Tulane 45-10 in September.
Rebels outgained Tulane 548-282 in that game.
Ole Miss is 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight series games.
Both coaches in this game bolted to other jobs.
This year, SEC teams are 5-2 SU/2-5 ATS vs AAC opponents.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
James Madison @ Oregon (-20.5)
James Madison (12-1)
JMU’s coach is leaving to coach UCLA.
JMU’s only loss was 28-14 at Louisville.
Dukes have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Dukes have 29 returning I-A starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Bennett started 12 games last year.
This is JMU’s fourth season at I-A level.
Last three years, JMU is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2015, JMU is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
JMU is 12-1 despite having a minus-1 turnover ratio.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Dukes split their two bowl games as a I-A team.
Sun Belt non-divisional road underdogs are 8-13 ATS.
Oregon (11-1)
Oregon won last six games, giving up 14.5 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 15-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Ducks are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
Oregon lost three of its last five bowl games,
Big 18 non-divisional home favorites are 13-13 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
This year, Big 18 teams are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
Weather Report
Saturday, December 20
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Saturday’s games
College football playoff
Miami @ Texas A&M (-3.5)
Miami (10-2)
Miami won its last four games, by 28-34-17-27 points.
Hurricanes are +9 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 5-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 32-31 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-22 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami lost its last five bowl games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
In his career, Cristobal is 3-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 12-22 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
ACC non-divisional road underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Texas A&M (11-1)
Aggies lost their last game, 27-17 at Texas.
A&M scored 31+ points in 10 of its 11 wins.
Last five games, Aggies are minus-8 in turnovers.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.
Under Elko, A&M is 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 11-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss
A&M is 4-3 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
A&M lost bowls the last two years, 31-23/35-31.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Miami (+3) beat Texas A&M 48-33 at home, in 2023.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
This year, SEC teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Tulane @ Ole Miss (-17.5)
Tulane (11-2)
Coach Sumrall’s dad passed away Thursday.
Tulane gave up 45-48 points in their two losses.
Tulane is 5-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Green Wave has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Green Wave has 93 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started 13 games at BYU last year.
Sumrall is 33-19-2 ATS overall as a head coach.
In his career, Sumrall is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Tulane is 12-8 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
Green Wave lost 3 of last 4 bowls (lost last two, 41-20/33-8)
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
AAC non-divisional road underdogs are 10-6 ATS.
Ole Miss (11-1)
Coach Kiffin bolted to LSU; some of his assistants have stuck around to help with this game..
Rebels won last four I-A games, scoring 34 ppg
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 3,016 PY passing yards (18 TD’s, 3 INT’s).
Rebels are 28-21-2 ATS last 50 games as a favorite.
Rebels are 11-7-1 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Only Ole Miss loss: 43-35 at Georgia.
Ole Miss is 3-2 SU/ ATS in last five bowl games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine Ole Miss games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Ole Miss (-12) blasted Tulane 45-10 in September.
Rebels outgained Tulane 548-282 in that game.
Ole Miss is 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight series games.
Both coaches in this game bolted to other jobs.
This year, SEC teams are 5-2 SU/2-5 ATS vs AAC opponents.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
James Madison @ Oregon (-20.5)
James Madison (12-1)
JMU’s coach is leaving to coach UCLA.
JMU’s only loss was 28-14 at Louisville.
Dukes have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Dukes have 29 returning I-A starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Bennett started 12 games last year.
This is JMU’s fourth season at I-A level.
Last three years, JMU is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2015, JMU is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
JMU is 12-1 despite having a minus-1 turnover ratio.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Dukes split their two bowl games as a I-A team.
Sun Belt non-divisional road underdogs are 8-13 ATS.
Oregon (11-1)
Oregon won last six games, giving up 14.5 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 15-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Ducks are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
Oregon lost three of its last five bowl games,
Big 18 non-divisional home favorites are 13-13 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
This year, Big 18 teams are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
