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Monday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for Rivalry Week:
— Ohio State (-11) @ Michigan
— North Carolina @ NC State (-8)
— Vanderbilt @ Tennessee (-3.5)
— Clemson @ South Carolina (-1)
— Arizona @ Arizona State (pick ‘em)
— UCLA @ USC (-20)

Quote of the Day
“We make decisions in 10, 15, 20 seconds. You don’t have five minutes to talk about it. When you sign up to sit in this chair and be the playcaller, you have to make those calls. And again, you know, did the defense bail me out? Yeah. And sometimes that’s a good thing for a coach.”
Dallas Cowboys’ coach Brian Schottenheimer

Monday’s quiz
Bull Durham is a great movie about minor league baseball; in real life, which major league team has the Durham Bulls as a minor league affiliate?

Sunday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, Rex Grossman was their QB.

Saturday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls; Jets won Super Bowl III.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cowboys 24, Eagles 21
Eagles first three drives: 25 plays, 192 yards, 21 points.
Eagles rest of game: 33 plays, 147 yards, no points.
Cowboys’ first four drives: 25 plays, 120 yards, no points.
Cowboys rest of game: 43 plays, 353 yards, 24 points.

Last time the Eagles lost after leading by 21+ points? 1999.
Dallas is 12-3 ATS in last 15 NFC East home games.
Cowboys outgained Philadelphia, 473-339.
Eagles ran the ball 18 times for only 63 yards.

Chiefs 23, Colts 20 OT
Mahomes threw an INT on the Chiefs’ second play of the game.
Chiefs’ next three drives: 40 plays, 185 yards, three FG’s.
Colts led 14-9 at halftime.
Chiefs ran 91 plays for 494 yards; Indy 50 plays, 255 yards.

Mahomes threw for 352 yards, but no TD’s.
WR Rice caught eight passes for 141 yards.
Chiefs are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 0-4 giving up 21+.
Under is 6-0 in last six Kansas City games.

Lions 31, Giants 24 OT
RB Gibbs ran 69 yards for a TD on first play of overtime.
Gibbs ran ball 15 times for 219 yards, two TD’s.
Detroit made a 59-yard FG with 0:28 left to force OT.
Goff threw for 279 yards, two TD’s.

Giants led 27-17 early in the 4th quarter.
Winston threw for 366 yards, two TD’s, also caught a 33-yard TD pass.
Giants are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Giants outgained Detroit, 517-494.

Bears 31, Steelers 28
Chicago’s first four drives: 18 plays, 70 yards, 7 points.
Chicago’s next three drives: 25 plays, 180 yards, 21 points.
Bears won four in row, eight of last nine games.
Bears are 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 2-3 otherwise.

Backup QB Rudolph threw for 171 yards and a TD.
Steelers in second half: 42 plays, 134 yards, 7 points.
Pittsburgh lost four of its last six games.
Steelers are 1-5 when they allow more than 21 points.

Patriots 26, Bengals 20
Bengals led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Patriots won their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
QB Maye passed for 294 yards and a TD.
TE Henry caught seven passes for 115 yards and a TD.
Both teams scored a defensive TD in the first half.

Last five games, Bengals allowed 33.4 ppg.
Bengals in second half: 31 plays, 152 yards, 7 points.
Bengals lost four in row, eight of last nine games.

Packers 23, Vikings 6
Green Bay outgained the Vikings, 288-145.
RB Wilson ran for 107 yards and two TD’s.
Vikings are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Vikings converted only 15 of 57 third down plays.

Minnesota in 2nd half: 16 plays, 4 yards, no points, 2 INT
Vikings lost five of their last six games.
Last seven games, Minnesota is minus-14 in turnovers.
4 of last 5 games, Minnesota gained less than 270 yards.

Famous birthdays, November 24th:
Oscar Robertson, 87
Steve Yeager, 77
Henry Bibby, 76
Randy Velarde, 63
Ben McDonald, 58
Katherine Heigl, 47
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 43
Jeimer Candelario, 32
Ben DiMucci, 29
Tyler Soderstrom, 24

Movie of the Day: Number One (1969)- Charlton Heston plays a washed-up NFL quarterback who struggles in the transition from being an athlete to the next chapter in his life.

Jessica Walter, Diana Muldaur, Bruce Dern are in this movie. Lot of the real-life New Orleans Saints are also in the movie (one of them is Cooper Kupp’s grandfather)

If I said this was a good movie, I’d be lying; read once that when he was president of the Screen Actors’ Guild, Charlton Heston had the movie taken out of circulation- he didn’t like it much, but it does tell the story of how tough it can be for a pro athlete to move on in his life.

Ravens 23, Jets 10
Jets are 0-7 when they score less than 27 points.
Baltimore won its last five games, giving up 13.4 ppg
Last five games, Ravens are +7 in turnovers.
Last four weeks, opponents converted 11-51 third down plays.

Jets led this game 7-3 at halftime.
Ravens’ 1st three drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 127 yards, 17 points.
Jets in 2nd half: 24 plays, 132 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Ravens won despite going 2-11 on 3rd down, and being outgained 282-241.

Seahawks 30, Titans 24
Seattle’s first five drives: 31 plays, 247 yards, 23 points.
Seattle led 30-10 midway thru third quarter and held on.
QB Darnold threw for 244 yards, two TD’s.

WR Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 167 yards.
Seattle led 30-10 midway thru third quarter and held on.
Tennessee is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six games.
Titans were held under 300 TY in nine of 11 games.
Titans ran ball 22 times for only 64 yards.

Jaguars 27, Cardinals 24 OT
Cardinals drove 64 yards, kicked FG to force OT with 0:06 left.
Cardinals lost eight of their last nine games.
Arizona is 2-6 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.

Jaguars won despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
QB Lawrence threw for 256 yards, with 3 TD’s, 3 INTs.
Jaguars held 8 of last 10 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 7-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Jacksonville K Little had a pair of 52-yard field goals.

Browns 24, Raiders 10
Browns’ first four drives: 13 plays, 88 yards, two TD’s.
Cleveland led 14-0 after the first quarter.
In their three wins, Browns gave up 10-6-10 points.
Sanders is 42nd QB to start for Cleveland since 1999.

Las Vegas ran the ball 21 times for only 60 yards.
Raiders lost five games in a row, eight of last nine.
Las Vegas OL has allowed 20 sacks in their last three games.
Raiders had 13 penalties for 109 yards.

Falcons 24, Saints 10
Cousins threw for 199 yards, 2 TD’s; Falcons snapped a 5-game skid.
Atlanta is 8-6 ATS in last 14 NFC South road games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Falcons are 3-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 1-8 otherwise.

Only New Orleans TD was a pick-6 that cut Falcons’ lead to 10-7
Saints lost five of their last six games.
Saints missed field goals of 38-47 yards, in a dome.
New Orleans was 5-16 on third down, 2-5 on fourth down.

Rams 34, Buccaneers 7
LA’s first drives: 16 plays, 217 yards, 21 points.
Rams won last six games, allowing 3-7-10-26-19-7 points.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Last six games, Rams are +11 in turnovers.

Last seven games, Rams outscored foes 126-42 in first half.
Rams are 17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a favorite.
Buccaneers lost four of their last five games.
QB Mayfield hurt left shoulder; was in street clothes for 2nd half.
 

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WEEK FOURTEEN

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NCAAF

Week 14


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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 9 NFL spreads:
— Ravens (-7.5) @ Miami
— Falcons @ New England (-5.5)
— Chargers (-9.5) @ Tennessee
— Bears (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Colts (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— 49ers (-2.5) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“We cannot, for whatever reason, we cannot get rid of the inconsistent ones that break your back. I have to break through there and give them a path to success there — that’s on me — and just eliminate those plays because there’s really great things on the other side of that.”
Bengals defensive coordinator Al Golden

Tuesday’s quiz
Which former NFL kicker was the host of Wheel of Fortune for six months, in 1989?

Monday’s quiz
Ed Orgeron was the football coach at LSU before Brian Kelly.

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, JK Simmons plays the Tigers’ manager.


*********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

— Chiefs 28, Commanders 7
Mahomes threw for 299 yards, three TD’s.
For first time in his career, he threw INT’s on KC’s first two drives.
Chiefs’ next five drives: 43 plays, 336 yards, four TD’s.
Chiefs won/covered four of their last five games.
Washington lost four of its last five games.
Commanders in 2nd half: 20 plays, 81 yards, no points.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in six of last seven games.

— In Week 8, AFC teams were 7-1 SU against NFC teams, but for the season, NFC teams still lead, 26-18.

— Vikings’ QB Carson Wentz had a shoulder operation, is out for the year; he had been playing through a dislocated shoulder that included a torn labrum and fractured socket, all of which apparently happened October 5th.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East

Home teams 2-4 ATS divisional games
13-9 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
7-15 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
4-2 ATS non-divisional favorite
7-8 ATS non-divisional underdog.

AFC West
8-5 ATS non-divisional home games
3-7 ATS non-divisional road games

NFC East
6-5 ATS non-divisional favorite
4-5 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
5-2 ATS non-divisional home favorite
2-4 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC South
12-14 ATS non-divisional games

NFC West
13-7 non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:

American

Favorites 19-11 ATS

ACC
Road teams 22-17 ATS
Home favorites 10-12 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 24-19 ATS

Big X
Home teams 23-15 ATS
Favorites 24-15 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 12-7 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 21-6 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 11-10 ATS

SEC
Home teams 20-16 ATS
Home favorites 13-10 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 18-10 ATS

Famous birthdays, October 28th:
Lenny Wilkens, 88
Dennis Franz, 81
Annie Potts, 73
Randy Wittman, 66
Bob Melvin, 64
Jami Gertz, 60
Steve Atwater, 59
Julia Roberts, 58
Terrell Davis, 53
Jarrett Jack, 42

— New Mexico Lobos are 4-0 at home for the first time since 1962.

— Good news: Vanderbilt’s football team is in the top 10 for the first time since 1941.
Bad news: big $$$ teams are going to be coming after coach Clark Lea, much like they did for James Franklin back when he was winning at Vanderbilt.

— Lakers’ start Luka Doncic is out at least a week; he has a left finger sprain and a lower left leg contusion. He scored 92 points in his first two games this season, but now he is hurt.

— Baltimore Orioles hired Craig Albernaz as their new manager; he was associate manager for the Cleveland Guardians the last couple years. Albernaz managed two years in the low minor leagues, after a nine-year career as a minor league catcher, mostly with Tampa Bay.

— Los Angeles Angels only gave their new manager Kurt Suzuki a one-year contract; there is speculation that there may not be a 2027 season because of labor issues, so if that happens, will be interesting to see if they take care of Suzuki for 2027, or let him go elsewhere.

— RIP to the great actress June Lockhart, who passed away over the weekend, at age 100.
Best known for starring roles in Lassie and Lost In Space, she also appeared in one of the better episodes of Magnum PI in that show’s first season, with Jose Ferrer. Overall, she had 179 acting credits.
RIP, ma’am.
 

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Tuesday, November 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BGSU at MASS04:30 PMU 44.5*****+500
WMU at EMU07:30 PMEMU +7.5*****
U 47.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/25/2025..................0 - 3 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 16.50
11/22/2025...............13 - 23 - 1...................36.11%.............- 61.15
11/21/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%.............- 1.00
11/20/2025...................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%..............- 11.00
11/19/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/18/2025...................1 - 5 - 0....................16.66%...............- 22.50
11/15/2025.................10- 8 - 0.....................55.55%..............+ 6.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50


TOTALS......................69 - 71 - 0....................49.28%...............- 45.15
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 13:
— Cardinals @ Tampa Bay (-3.5)
— Vikings @ Seattle (-10.5)
— Raiders @ LA Chargers (-9.5)
— Bills (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Broncos (-6.5) @ Washington
— Giants @ New England (-7.5)

Quote of the Day
“I’m not ever going to go to somebody and say, ‘Yeah, I’m healthy, but I don’t think I should go out there and play’. That doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. I’m not going to live my life and play this game scared of something happening.”
Joe Burrow

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Baltimore Orioles were the only major league team this past season that didn’t have a player hit 20+ home runs.

Monday’s quiz
Bull Durham is a great movie about minor league baseball; in real life, the Durham Bulls are the AAA affiliate of the Tampa Bay Rays.

************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

There is ton of college basketball being played this week, but when this week is over, will have enough information to process and start thinking about conference play, which actually starts (a little bit) next week.

— I took a look at the last 10 Maui Classics that were actually played in Hawai’i (because of the pandemic, there were two that were not). Here is what I found out…….

Last 10 teams to win the Maui Classic in Maui, six of them made the Elite 8 in March. The last two years, Purdue/Auburn made the Final Four after winning a title in Maui.

2023 Arizona Wildcats were only one of last 10 Maui champs to lose in NCAA first round. Notre Dame’s 2017 team won the Maui Classic, didn’t make it to the NCAA’s.

Last 10 teams to lose the Maui Classic in Maui, only two teams made the Elite 8 and both of them lost their Elite 8 game.
Three of last 10 teams to lose the Maui Classic final in Maui also lost their first round NCAA game.

— Tennessee 76, Houston 73
Vols avenge their loss to Houston in last year’s Elite 8.
Houston led this game by 11, midway thru the first half.
Tennessee shot 55.9% inside the arc.
This was a very good game, seemed like a March game.

— USC 83, Seton Hall 81
Seton Hall led by 13 late in the first half.
USC was 31-38 on the foul line, Pirates 12-18.
Ezra Ausar was 15-19 on line; he took more FT’s than Seton Hall’s whole team.

— Arizona State 100, Washington State 94
Coogs led 48-42 at halftime, led by 11 early in second half.
ASU shot 66.7% inside arc, scored 1.41 points/possession.
Sun Devils play USC in the Maui Classic title game Wednesday.

— Cal 80, UCLA 72
Great win for a Golden Bears squad that has had eight straight losing seasons.
UCLA led this game 41-36 at halftime.
Cal made 11 of 22 shots on the arc
Cal is 7-1 this year, but this is only their second top 200 win, first top 100 win.

— Gonzaga 100, Maryland 61
Zags are 7-0 already, with five wins over top 90 teams.
Clemson/Gonzaga apparently have the oldest rotations, chronologically.
Looks like Gonzaga-Michigan is a very interesting addition to Wednesday’s schedule.

— St John’s 96, Baylor 81
Johnnies scored 1.33 points/possession, shot 11-22 on the arc.
Baylor out-rebounded St John’s 48-34; Bears only played seven guys.
Both teams play Wednesday, but this Players’ Era tournament is weird, so they haven’t said who is playing who when.

— Michigan 102, Auburn 72
Wolverines scored 1.44 points/possession, led 59-31 at halftime.
Auburn shot only 31.6% inside the arc.
Michigan is 4-0, vs a difficult schedule (#33) early on.

— George Mason 74, Florida Atlantic 65
Patriots of the A-14 are 7-0 this year; they were 27-9 last year. So far this year, Mason has played schedule #309 at a slow pace (#334)- they have the #26 eFG% defense in country. They only play one top 100 team before New Year’s, when they visit Virginia Tech January 6th.

Famous birthdays, November 26th:
Jan Stenerud, 83
Art Shell, 79
Roger Wehrli, 78
Richie Hebner, 78
Harry Carson, 72
Bob Walk, 69
Mike Moore, 66
Harold Reynolds, 65
Chuck Finley, 63
Mario Elie, 62
Shawn Kemp, 56
Cal Raleigh, 29

— St Louis Cardinals traded P Sonny Gray to the Red Sox Tuesday, for P Brandon Clarke and P Richard Fitts. Red Sox also get $20M to pay off some of Gray’s hefty contract.
36-year old Gray was 14-8 with a 4.28 ERA last year, making all his starts. He is guaranteed $41M over the next two seasons.

— Apparently there are two pro baseball leagues in Japan, but one of them still doesn’t use the DH- they’re going to, starting in 2027.

— Oklahoma State hired North Texas coach Eric Morris as its new football coach; Morris will stay with North Texas for the rest of the regular season as well as any appearances in the AAC title game and/or College Football Playoff.
Morris was 21-15 in three years at North Texas, 24-18 in three years before that at Incarnate Word. Oklahoma State won a lot under Mike Gundy, finishing in top 20 nine times, but the last two years, Cowboys lost their last 17 conference games.

— Hawai’i’s football team has a 26-year old kicker, a 29-year old punter. The kicker is from Japan; he taught himself how to kick by watching videos on YouTube.

— California fired football coach Justin Wilcox after he went 48-55 over nine years with the Golden Bears; Cal is 6-5 this year, bowl eligible for the third year in a row, but losing to Stanford earned him a pink slip.
Wilcox gets $10.9M as his parting gift.

— Former NBA player/current TV analyst Grant Hill not only owns part of the NBA’s Atlanta Hawks, he also owns part of the Baltimore Orioles. It must be fun to be really rich.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
best college football teams against the spread this year:
10-1— Texas Tech
9-1-1— Ohio State
9-2— North Texas
9-2— San Diego State
9-2— Utah State
9-2— Western Kentucky
8-2-1— Vanderbilt

Quote of the Day
“As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, from WKRP in Cincinnati

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year?

Wednesday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

Tuesday’s quiz
Baltimore Orioles were the only major league team this past season that didn’t have a player hit 20+ home runs.

*******************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy Thanksgiving, everyone……

Hope everyone has a happy Thanksgiving; thanks for reading every day (you do read this every day, right???) Hope you all enjoy the day.

— Michigan 101, Gonzaga 61
Wolverines were awesome this week, winning by 40-30-40 points.
All three of those wins were against top 50 teams.
Michigan shot 69.7% inside arc, shot 13-27 on arc.

— USC 88, Arizona State 75
Trojans shot 73.5% inside arc, win the Maui Classic.
One of USC’s best players, Rodney Rice, didn’t play in this game (shoulder)
Trojans are 7-0, with three wins by 3 or fewer points.

— Texas 102, NC State 97
Texas shot 16-32 on the arc, scored 1.42 points/possession.
NC State scored 1.35 points/possession but lost; unusual.
Texas is #5 experience team that is 6-2 vs schedule #312.

— Baylor 91, San Diego State 81
Baylor led 40-36 at halftime, pulled away in second half.
Bears improve to 5-1, with three top 60 wins.
Shaky start for the Mountain West; they’re only 51-30 SU this month, 7-15 against teams in the top 100.

— Kansas 81, Tennessee 76
Tennessee led this game 41-34 at halftime.
Kansas was 26-30 on foul line, Vols 17-22.
Kansas is 6-2, against schedule #26.
Jayhawks went 3-0 in Las Vegas this week, even though star freshman Peterson (hamstring) didn’t play in any of the games.

Famous birthdays, November 27th:
Don Strock, 75
Curtis Armstrong, 72
AJ Duhe, 70
Mike Scioscia, 67
Ken O’Brien, 65
Michael Rispoli, 55
Brooke Langton, 55
Nick Van Exel, 54
Ivan Rodriguez, 54
Adam Archuleta, 48
Jimmy Rollins, 47
Brendan Haywood, 46

— Toronto Blue Jays signed P Dylan Cease to a 7-year, $210M contract; Cease has started 32 or 33 games each of the last five years. He was 8-12, 4.55 for San Diego last year; for his career, he is 65-58, 3.88 in 188 starts.

— The baseball they use in the major leagues is slightly bigger than they one they use in the pro leagues in Japan, which may be why Japanese pitchers sometimes take a while to adjust to pitching in this country.

— Jim Mora Jr is the new football coach at Colorado State, which moves to the revived Pac-12 next season. Mora coached at UConn the last four years, going 18-7 the last two seasons. He was previously 46-30 in six years coaching UCLA, 31-33 in four years as an NFL head coach.
Colorado State has had only one winning season the last eight years, going 8-5 last year- they haven’t won a bowl game since 2013, losing their last five bowls.

— Baylor is the only college basketball team that, over the last five years, has had a player taken in the first 19 picks of the NBA Draft.

Movie of the Day: Searching for Bobby Fischer (1993)- A sportswriter discovers that his grade school-aged son is a chess prodigy.
Joe Mantegna is the sportswriter, Joan Allen is his wife. Ben Kingsley/Laurence Fishburne are chess experts who try and influence how the kid plays the game, in vastly different ways.
This is a very good movie.

— Auburn 85, St John’s 74
St John’s led 39-30 at halftime.
Auburn shot 59% inside the arc.
St John’s is 4-3, with only one top 100 win (Baylor).

— Saint Mary’s 70, Wichita State 65
Gaels outscored Wichita 6-0 over the last 1:16 of the game.
Brickfest; teams combined to shoot 6-30 on the arc.
Saint Mary’s is 7-0, but this was their first top 100 game.

— Wagner 103, Manhattan 101 OT
Jaspers led by 19 late in the first half.
Manhattan led 56-43 at halftime.
1-5 Wagner gets its first win; they shot 58.3% inside arc, 9-16 on arc.

— Virginia Tech 66, Colorado State 64
Tech is 6-0, with two top 100 wins (Providence, Colorado State)
Hokies were 13-16 on foul line, Colorado State 6-8.
Virginia Tech-Saint Mary’s is an interesting game Thursday

— VCU 78, South Florida 66
VCU was 23-32 on foul line, South Florida 12-20
Teams combined to shoot 9-37 on the arc.
VCU is 4-2, but this was their first top 300 win (lost to Utah State/NC State)
 

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Thursday, November 27

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NAVY at MEM07:30 PMNAVY +4.0*****
O 58.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/27/2025..................1 - 1 - 0....................50.00%.............- 0.50
11/25/2025..................0 - 3 - 0....................00.00%.............- 16.50
11/22/2025...............13 - 23 - 1....................36.11%.............- 61.15
11/21/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%.............- 1.00
11/20/2025...................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%..............- 11.00
11/19/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/18/2025...................1 - 5 - 0....................16.66%...............- 22.50
11/15/2025.................10- 8 - 0.....................55.55%..............+ 6.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50


TOTALS......................70 - 72 - 0....................49.29%...............- 45.65
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Highest-paid pitchers in the major leagues:
$70M/year— Shohei Ohtani
$42M— Zack Wheeler
$37M— Jacob deGrom
$36.4M— Blake Snell
$36M— Gerrit Cole
$35M— Corbin Burnes
$30M— Dylan Cease

Quote of the Day
“You’ve got to win every game now — and hope that’s enough. We’re going to play a lot of good teams coming up, if we’re going to make the playoffs, we’re going to have to win them all.”
Patrick Mahomes

Friday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that has never played on Thanksgiving Day?

Thursday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan was first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year.

Wednesday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thanksgiving…….

— Packers 31, Lions 24
Packers’ first six drives: 47 plays, 320 yards, 31 points.
Jordan Love threw for 234 yards, four TD’s.
Green Bay is 8-0-1 when it scores 23+ points
Since 2019, Packers are 18-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
WR Williams caught seven passes for 144 yards and a TD.
Detroit was 8-13 on third down, Green Bay 6-12.

— Cowboys 31, Chiefs 28
Dallas won its last three games, scoring 33-24-31 points.
Cowboys were 9-16 on third down, outgained Chiefs 457-362.
WR Lamb caught seven passes for 112 yards and a TD.
Cowboys are 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.
Chiefs’ first two drives: 14 plays, 109 yards, 14 points.
Chiefs’ next four drives: 25 plays, 94 yards, four punts.
Chiefs lost their last four road games, by 3-7-3-3 points.
Chiefs committed 5 pass interference penalties, most of any team in last 35 years.

— Bengals 32, Ravens 14
Ravens turned ball over five times on 12 drives.
Ravens are 0-5 when they allow more than 19 points.
QB Burrow threw for 261 yards, two TD’s.
Bengals were 8-19 on third down, Baltimore 3-10.
Just second win in last ten games for the Bengals.
Loss snaps the Ravens’ five-game winning streak.
Evan McPherson kicked six field goals for Cincinnati.
6-5 Steelers are atop AFC North, by half-game over 6-6 Baltimore.

— Navy 28, Memphis 17
9-2 Navy clinches at least a tie for AAC regular season title.
Middies ran ball 60 times for 200 yards.
Navy was 8-15 on third down, Memphis 4-12.
Memphis led this game 17-14 at halftime.

— South Florida 97, Western Kentucky 91 OT
Hilltoppers led 50-33 late in first half, by 6 with 1:14 left in regulation.
6-5 freshman Nyorha scored 11 points in 11:00 off the bench for USF.
South Florida shot 13-36 on arc; they’re 4-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams.

— TCU 84, Florida 80
Gators led 44-39 at halftime.
6-5 soph Posey scored 21 points in 21:00 off the bench for TCU
Florida had 19 turnovers, Horned Frogs only nine.
Florida is 4-2, vs schedule #48.

— Michigan State 74, North Carolina 58
Spartans were 5-10 on arc, North Carolina was 4-23.
7-0 Michigan State is #49 in continuity, 6-1 UNC is #310.
Spartans have 3 top 40 wins (Arkansas-Kentuckyp-UNC)

Famous birthdays, November 28th:
Ed Harris, 75
S. Epatha Merkerson, 73
Sixto Lezcano, 72
Preston Dennard, 70
George Andrews, 70
Dave Righetti, 67
Judd Nelson, 66
Jon Stewart, 63
Johnny Newman, 62
Matt Williams, 60
Pedro Astacio, 57
Robb Nen, 56
Leandro Barbosa, 43
Jarvis Landry, 33

— Indianapolis Colts’ QB Daniel Jones is dealing with a fractured fibula, a nice way of saying he will try to play through having a broken leg. Jones threw for 181 yards vs Kansas City in an OT loss last week, but ran the ball only three times.
Colts are 8-3, lead the AFC South by a game; they host Houston Sunday.

— Missouri Tigers signed football coach Eli Drinkwitz to a six-year contract extension, worth roughly $10.7M/year. Mizzou is 28-9 the last three years, and has played in a bowl game the last six years under Drinkwitz’s tutelage. There were rumors that Penn State was interested inn hiring him, which is part of why he had a lot more to be thankful for Thursday.

— Colorado Rockies named interim manager Warren Schaeffer their full-time manager for 2026. Schaeffer was the Rockies’ 3rd base coach during their 7-33 start last year, but was named interim manager when Colorado fired Bud Black- their front office was terrible.
Schaeffer has been a member of the Rockies organization for over a decade and becomes the eighth full-time manager in club history. Paul DePodesta is Colorado’s new front office boss; he is the Jonah Hill character in Moneyball, so the Rockies are becoming analytics-driven.

— Vanderbilt 89, VCU 74
Lot of fouls; Vandy was 24-33 on foul line, VCU 27-35.
7-0 Vandy has a 61.6 eFG%, 5th-best in the country.
Vandy is #7 in country experience; they play Saint Mary’s Friday.

— Saint Mary’s 77, Virginia Tech 66
8-0 Gaels never trailed, shot 59.5% inside the arc.
For season, Gaels are shooting 40.4% on arc (#22), 81.7% on foul line (#8)
Saint Mary’s has #9 eFG% defense; they beat Wichita/Va Tech last two days, both top 100 teams.

— Saint Louis 71, Santa Clara 70
Santa Clara led by 9 early in second half.
This was first top 100 win for Billikens, who are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#8)
First loss for Santa Clara, which has top 100 wins over Xavier/McNeese State

— Houston Rockets are only NBA team that hasn’t played on back/back nights yet this season. Warriors have done it five times, 76ers four times, most in the league so far.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday’s games
Ole Miss
(-7) @ Mississippi State
Ole Miss (10-1, 6-1)
Ole Miss scored 33.3 ppg in last four I-A games.
Rebels’ last three I-A wins were by 8-16-10 points.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 2,657 PY passing yards (14 TD’s, 3 INT’s).


Under Kiffin, Rebels are 27-21-2 ATS as a favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 10-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-19-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 21-25-2 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 3-0 in Ole Miss road games this year.


Mississippi State (5-6, 1-6)
Miss State lost six of its last seven games, after a 4-0 start.
Last four games, Bulldogs gave up 45-35-41-49 points.
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.


Since 2020, Bulldogs are 5-14-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this season.
Bulldogs are 9-6 ATS in last 15 SEC games.
Bulldogs have given up 428+ total yards in all seven SEC games.
Miss State’s last four games went over the total.


Ole Miss won four of last five series games.
Rebels are 4-1 SU/4-0-1 ATS last five visits to Starkville.
Last eight Egg Bowls stayed under the total.
Home underdogs are 8-9 ATS in SEC conference games.


Iowa (-5.5) @ Nebraska
Iowa (7-4, 5-3)
Iowa is 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 1-4 scoring 21 or less.
Hawkeyes are 2-4 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Hawkeyes are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Iowa is 11-5-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
In his career, Ferentz is 125-95-7 ATS in conference games.
Last four games, Iowa gained only 283.5 yards/game.
Iowa is 37-22-1 ATS in last 60 games coming off a win.


Nebraska (7-4, 4-4)
Nebraska is 6-0 when it scores 28+ points, 1-4 if they don’t.
Nebraska lost three of its last five games.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Lateef is subbing for injured starter Raiola.


In his career, Rhule is 32-27-2 ATS in home games.
Since 2017, Nebraska is 7-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 14-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 8-15-3 ATS in conference games.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine I-A games.


Iowa won nine of last ten series games.
Hawkeyes are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS last six visits to Lincoln.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.
Big 18 home underdogs are 16-13 ATS in conference games.


Georgia (-13.5) @ Georgia Tech
Georgia (10-1, 7-1)
Georgia won last seven games, last three by 20-25-32 points.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.


Georgia is 9-20-1 ATS last 30 games as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 12-14 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 44-51-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Smart is 50-40 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 9-20-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Three of last four Georgia games stayed under the total.
SEC road favorites are 4-2 ATS in non-conference games.


Georgia Tech (9-2, 6-2)
Tech lost 2 of last 3 games, after an 8-0 start.
Last three games, Tech allowed 48-34-42 points.
Yellow Jackets have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 103 returning starts on OL, but lot of transfers.
Senior QB King has 26 career starts.


Tech is 9-2 despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
Under Key, Tech is 9-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 11-5 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 20-13 ATS in ACC games.
Over is 6-2 in Tech’s last eight games.
ACC underdogs are 4-10 ATS in non-conference games.


Georgia won last seven meetings, Tech covered last three.
Dawgs won their last 12 visits to Georgia Tech (11-1 ATS)
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Texas A&M (-1.5) @ Texas
Texas A&M (11-0, 7-0)
Last six I-A games, Aggies scored 31-34-45-49-38-31 points.
A&M is 4-0 SU on road, despite allowing 31 ppg.
Last four games, Aggies are minus-6 in turnovers.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.


A&M is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Elko is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Aggies are 11-15-3 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win
A&M is 13-16-3 ATS in last 32 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 17-14 ATS in conference games.
Over is 5-0 in their last five SEC games.


Texas (9-3, 5-3)
Texas has won five of their last six games.
Longhorns were held to 7-21-10 points in their losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,929 yards (24 TD’s, 7 INT’s)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 2-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 48-53 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 19-25 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Texas won four of last five series games.
This is Aggies’ first visit to Austin since 2010.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Arizona (-1.5) @ Arizona State
Arizona (8-3, 6-3)
Arizona is 8-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts


Under Brennan, Arizona is 5-7 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Arizona is 7-11 ATS in its last 18 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 39-33-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in Arizona’s last three games.


Arizona State (8-3, 6-2)
Five of ASU’s six Big X wins were by 5 or fewer points.
Last four games, ASU is minus-6 in turnovers.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior backup QB Sims has 772 PY (7 TD’a, 2 INTs)


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 18-8-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 12-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 7-3 in Sun Devils’ last ten games.


Sun Devils won six of last eight series games.
Arizona is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six visits to Tempe.
Over is 10-2-1 in last 13 meetings.
 

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Friday, November 28

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UTAH at KU12:00 PMKU +10.5+500
IOWA at NEB12:00 PMU 39.0*****+500
KENT at NIU12:00 PMKENT +4.5+500
OHIO at BUFF12:00 PMOHIO -7.0*****
U 45.0*****
+500 +500
MISS at MSST12:00 PMMSST +7.0+500
AFA at CSU03:00 PMU 46.5*****+500
SDSU at UNM03:30 PMU 41.5*****+500
UGA at GT03:30 PMUGA -16.0+500
TEM at UNT03:30 PMUNT -20.0*****+500
BSU at USU04:00 PMUSU +3.0*****+500
TAM at TEX07:30 PMTAM -3.0*****+500
IU at PUR07:30 PMPUR +28.5+500
ARIZ at ASU09:00 PMARIZ -1.5*****+500
 

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CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/28/2025..................4 - 5 - 0....................44.44%.............- 7.50
11/27/2025..................1 - 1 - 0....................50.00%.............- 0.50
11/25/2025..................0 - 3 - 0....................00.00%.............- 16.50
11/22/2025...............13 - 23 - 1....................36.11%.............- 61.15
11/21/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%.............- 1.00
11/20/2025...................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%..............- 11.00
11/19/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/18/2025...................1 - 5 - 0....................16.66%...............- 22.50
11/15/2025.................10- 8 - 0.....................55.55%..............+ 6.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50


TOTALS......................74 - 77 - 0....................49.00%...............- 53.15
 

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