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Saturday, December 6

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
M-OH at WMU12:00 PMU 43.5+500
BYU at TTU12:00 PMTTU -12.5+500
VILL at LEH12:00 PMU 47.5+500
SDAK at MER12:00 PMU 54.5+500
ILST at NDSU01:00 PMU 51.5+500
UND at TARST01:00 PMU 58.5+500
YALE at MTST02:00 PMU 56.5+500
UGA at ALA04:00 PMUGA -2.5+500
IU at OSU08:00 PMU 47.5+500
DUKE at UVA08:00 PMUVA -4.5+500
URI at UCD10:00 PMUCD -7.0+500
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15


FCS

TsIZLq2.png
 

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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.......................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 9.00

TOTALS.........................13 - 3 - 0.......................81.25%......................+ 45.00
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA:
35.3— Luka Doncic, LAL
32.8— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
31.6— Tyrese Maxey, Phil
30.6— Donovan Mitchell, Clev
29.3— Austin Reaves, LAL
29.2— Nikola Jokic, Den

Quote of the Day
“If this game applies to and takes away from our résumé, I don’t think that’s right. I really don’t. I think the precedent’s been set and I don’t know how you can go into a conference playoff game when you’re the No. 1 seed and did all these things throughout the year — and playing in this game against one of the top teams in the country as well — how that can hurt you and keep you out of the playoff when again, we’ve done what we’ve done all year.”
Alabama football coach Kalen DeBoer

Sunday’s quiz
Where did Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert play his college football?

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady threw for the most yards in a season, in 2021.

Friday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ career home runs; of those 28 players, Ted Williams had the highest batting average.

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday…….

— Iowa State 81, Purdue 58
Cyclones shot 11-23 on arc, scored 1.25 ppp
Iowa State outscored Purdue 46-27 in second half.
First loss for 8-1 Purdue, which has played schedule #26.

— Duke 66, Michigan State 60
Michigan State shot only 29.5% inside the arc.
First loss for 8-1 Spartans, who have played schedule #35.
Duke is 10-0, with five top 100 wins.

— Washington 84, USC 76
Trojans led 48-30 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded USC, 45-31.
First loss for 8-1 USC, which has five wins by 5 or fewer points.

— Louisville 87, Indiana 78
Cardinals led 41-27 at halftime.
Louisville shot 13-31 on the arc, 12-23 inside the arc.

Ryan Conwell is a senior G for Louisville. His college career:
2022-23- South Florida- coach got fired after 14-18 season
2023-24- Indiana State- coach bolted to Saint Louis after a 32-7 season
2024-25- Xavier- coach bolted to Texas after a 22-12 season
2025-26- Louisville

— Memphis 78, Baylor 71
Memphis subs outscored Baylor’s thin bench, 37-15
Baylor’s subs play #356 minutes in country, bottom 10 figure.
Bears shot only 33.3% inside arc in this game.

Basketball Upsets of the Day:
Omaha (+8.5) 60, Portland State 55
SE Missouri State (+6.5) 74, Chattanooga 70
Western Michigan (+6.5) 83, SIU-Edwardsville 73
NC-Greensboro (+6.5) 82, East Carolina 78
Iowa State (+5.5) 81, Purdue 58
Boise State (+5.5) 77, Butler 68
Cal-Riverside (+5.5) 88, Cal Poly 84

— Georgia 28, Alabama 7

Alabama ran the ball 16 times, for minus-3 yards.
Just 2nd win For Georgia in last 12 games vs Alabama.
Alabama is on the bubble now to get into the 12-team playoff.

— Indiana 13, Ohio State 10
Down 13-10, Buckeyes missed a 27-yard field goal with 2:48 left.
Indiana wins its first league title since 1967.
Ohio State ran ball 26 times for only 58 yards.

— Duke 27, Virginia 20 OT
Virginia scored 10 points in last 4:00 to force overtime.
Duke scored TD in OT on a 4th down pass play.
8-5 Duke wins ACC title; will ACC have team in the playoff?

— Texas Tech 34, BYU 7
BYU drove 90 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Rest of game, BYU ran 45 plays for 110 yards.
Texss Tech likely gets a first-round bye in the playoff.

— Western Michigan 23, Miami OH 13
Broncos had a 67-yard TD run 1:27 into the game.
WMU ran ball 56 times for 286 yards (5.1 yards/carry)
Western Michigan is 9-3-1 against spread this year.

Famous birthdays, December 7th:
Ellen Burstyn, 93
Al Woodall, 80
Johnny Bench, 78
Larry Bird, 69
Mel Owens, 67
C Thomas Howell, 59
Eric Chavez, 48
Lou Amundson, 43
Jake McQuaide, 38
Kyle Hendricks, 36
Pete Alonso, 31
Hunter Henry, 31

One of my favorites, the late Ted Knight, was born on this day in 1923.

— Illinois 75, Tennessee 62
Tennessee led 32-30 at halftime.
Illinois shot 11-28 on arc, scored 1.21 points/possession.
Tennessee lost its last three gams, after a 7-0 start.

— New Hampshire 88, Boston U 82 OT
Terriers led 65-40 with 10:42 left in the game.
New Hampshire had been 0-7 vs Division I opponents.

— Oral Roberts 72, Montana State 68
Bobcats led 42-22 at halftime.
Oral Roberts was 24-26 on foul line, Montana State 9-13.
Ty Harper was 14-16 on foul line; took more FT’s than the other team.

— Arizona 97, Auburn 68
Arizona led 44-32 at halftime.
Arizona is 8-0, with four top 40 wins.
Auburn is 7-3, 3-3 vs top 100 opponents.
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— UNLV 75, Stanford 74- Good road win for the banged-up Rebels.
— SMU 93, Texas A&M 80 OT- Mustangs led by 15 early in second half.
— Nebraska 71, Creighton 50- Cornhuskers are 9-0, with four top 100 wins.
— San Francisco 65, Miss State 62- State shot 8-28 on arc, 2-8 on foul line.
— Kansas 80, Missouri 60- Frosh Peterson scored 17 in his return to action.
— Hofstra 80, Pittsburgh 73- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.

Quote of the Day
“Their strength of schedule was the highest in the top 11, and felt like in spite of their performance yesterday in the conference championship, they deserve to stay within that 9 spot.”
CFP selection committee chair Hunter Yurachek, on why Alabama is the #9-seed in the college football playoff

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, which major league team has hit the fewest home runs?

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady threw for the most yards in a season, in 2021.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Packers 28, Bears 21
Green Bay picked off a pass in end zone with 0:22 to preserve the win.
Packers converted 8-12 third down plays; Chicago was 8-16.
Green Bay is 9-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
As a head coach, Matt LaFleur is 12-1 against Chicago.
Chicago in first half: 29 plays, 76 yards, 3 points.
Bears’ 1st 3 drives in 2nd half: 34 plays, 184 yards, 17 points.
Chicago is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
With the loss, Bears slipped from #1 seed in NFC to #7 seed.

Bills 39, Bengals 34
Bengals led 28-18 with 8:00 left in the game.
Buffalo took lead for good on a pick-6 with 5:25 left.
Bills in second half: 35 plays, 240 yards, 21 points.
Cincinnati was 10-12 on third down, Bills 6-11.
Cincinnati lost nine of its last 12 games.
Bengals covered four of last five games as an underdog.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score 26+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
QB Allen threw for 251 yards, 3 TD’s on a snowy day.

Texans 20, Chiefs 10
Houston won five in row, 8 of last 10 games.
Texans are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Houston is 14-9 ATS last 23 games as an underdog.
Last ten games, Texans are +15 in turnovers.
Chiefs in first half: 27 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
Under is 7-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
Kansas City has lost four of its last five games.
Chiefs are 6-7, their worst record thru 13 games since 2012.

Titans 31, Browns 29
Titans led 31-17 with 5:00 left in the game.
Browns then scored two TD’s, but went 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
Tennessee ran ball 35 times for 184 yards.
Titans scored TD on their first drive for first time this year.
Browns’ QB Sanders threw for 364 yards, three TD’s.
Browns outgained Tennessee 412-292.
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Browns are 0-10 when they allow more than 10 points.

Steelers 27, Ravens 22
7-6 Steelers led 17-9 at half, took over first place in AFC North.
Rodgers threw for 284 yards and a TD, also ran for a TD.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Since 2018, Pittsburgh is 41-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Ravens outgained Pittsburgh, 420-318.
Baltimore is 0-6 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
Ravens are 5-10 ATS in last 15 AFC North home games.

Saints 24, Buccaneers 20
Tampa Bay led 10-7 at halftime.
Saints’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 153 yards, 17 points.
Saints won five of their last seven visits to Tampa.
Saints are 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 NFC South road games.
Buccaneers were 2-7 on 4th down conversions in this game.
Tampa Bay is 1-6 when they allow 24+ points.
Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
7-6 Buccaneers are tied with Carolina atop NFC South.

Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Gus Otto, 82
Kim Basinger, 72
Steve Dils, 70
George Rogers, 67
Wendell Pierce, 62
Teri Hatcher, 61
Jeff George, 58
Mike Mussina, 57
Vernon Wells, 47
Philip Rivers, 44
Josh Donaldson, 40
Dwight Howard, 40

Rams 45, Cardinals 17
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 60 yards, FG.
Rams’ second drive: 6 plays, 74 yards, TD.
Rams’ third drive: 10 plays, 65 yards, TD.
Rams’ last drive in 1st half: 7 plays, 92 yards, TD.
WR Nukua caught 7 passes for 167 yards, 2 TD’s.
Rams won seven of their last eight games.
Cardinals lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Cardinals are 0-7 when they allow more than 22 points.

Dolphins 34, Jets 10
Dolphins’ first three drives: 15 plays, 178 yards, 21 points.
Miami won its last four games, giving up 13.3 ppg.
Dolphins ran ball 41 times for 239 yards (5.8 yards/carry)
Miami is 14-6 ATS in last 20 AFC East road games.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook played most of game, his NFL debut.
Jets were outgained 358-207, were minus-3 in turnovers.
Jets are 0-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last five games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207 total yards.

Jaguars 36, Colts 19
Jaguars had short TD drives, of 21-28 yards.
Indy QB Jones tore his achilles, is out for the year.
Jacksonville won five of last six games, scoring 30.3 ppg
Jaguars are 9-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Indy lost four of last five games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts’ QB’s now: rookie Leonard, journeyman Brett Rypien.
Colts are 0-5 when they score less than 29 points.
Indy has lost its last ten visits to Jacksonville.

Seahawks 37, Falcons 9
Seattle kicked 48-yard FG with 0:04 left to tie game 6-6 at the half.
Shaheed ran back opening kick of 3rd quarter 100 yards for a TD.
Seahawks in second half: 33 plays, 259 yards, 24 points.
Seahawks won seven of their last eight games.
Falcons in second half: 31 plays, 163 yards, 3 turnovers, 3 points.
Falcons were 1-13 on third down, committed 3 turnovers.
Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games.
Atlanta is 1-9 when it allows more than 14 points.

Vikings 31, Commanders 0
Vikings’ first two drives: 26 plays, 159 yards, 14 points.
Vikings were +3 in turnovers; they were minus-15 coming into game.
Minnesota ran ball for 162 yards; they were 6-11 on third down.
Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Commanders are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Daniels re-injured his left (non-throwing) elbow.
Last eight games, Washington is minus-11 in turnovers.

Broncos 24, Raiders 17
Broncos won their last 10 games, last four by 3-3-3-1-7 points.
First game this season that Denver never trailed in.
Denver is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
Broncos outgained Las Vegas 356-229.
Denver was 7-12 on third down, Raiders 3-9.
Raiders lost seven games in a row, 11 of last 12.
Last eight games, Raiders ran the ball for only 47.8 yards/game.
QB Smith got hurt; Kenny Pickett/Aidan O’Connell are the backups.
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Army vs Navy


MZ6RK7K.png





NCAAF

Army vs Navy


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Trend Report
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Army VS Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 8 games.
Army is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Army is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games against Navy.
Army is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Navy is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Navy's last 11 games.
Navy is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Navy's last 19 games against Army.


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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-4.5)
— Bills (-1.5) @ New England
— Ravens (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Jets @ Jacksonville (-12.5)
— Chargers @ Kansas City (-4.5)
— Cardinals @ Houston (-9.5)

Quote of the Day
“There are a lot of older gentlemen with beards playing college basketball right now. He’s waving up into the stands at his kids. Crazy thing, he’s using NIL for his first wife’s alimony. Are we nuts?”
John Calipari

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets. Who were they?

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, Kansas City Royals have hit the fewest home runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Indianapolis Colts have QB injury issues, big ones; they’re actually bringing 44-year old Philip Rivers in for a workout Tuesday. He hasn’t played in the NFL since 2020; he will be on next year’s ballot for the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but if he plays this year, that pushes his Hall of Fame induction back a few years.
Rivers turned 44 Monday; he’s been a high school coach in Alabama the last five years, where he has posted a 44-16 record, losing in the state semi-finals the last two seasons.

— When the Dolphins beat the Jets on a cold day in New Jersey Sunday, it was Tua Tagovailoa’s first career win in eight games when the temperature was less than 47 degrees.

— Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray is out for the year with a foot injury; it is doubtful if Murray ever play for the Cardinals again, but his contract is an issue.
Murray’s contract the next three years:
2026- $42.5M
2027- $36.3M
2028- $46.35M

— Eight of the last 11 years, the team that won March Madness was still unbeaten on December 6th. Since 2008, every national champ was ranked in the top 12 of the AP poll in Week 6.
Here is this week’s top 12 in the AP poll:
Arizona-Michigan-Duke-Iowa State
UConn-Purdue-Houston-Gonzaga
Michigan State-BYU-Louisville-Alabama

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 84
Beau Bridges, 84
Michael Nouri, 80
Doc Medich, 77
John Malkovich, 72
Jim Haslett, 70
Otis Birdsong, 70
Richard Brooks, 63
Todd Van Poppel, 54
David Akers, 51

— If you don’t think Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti is a great freakin’ coach, think again. Here is Indiana’s 2023 season, the year before Cignetti went to the Hoosiers.
Indiana went 3-9
One of the wins was against Akron, in 4 overtimes.
Hoosiers lost four games by 17+ points.
Indiana’s last three losses were by 3-3-4 points.
In two years under Cignetti, Indiana is 24-2.

— College/minor league sports are off the rails; several teams declined invitations to bowl games. You’d think players would enjoy going to bowls, but some schools are queasy that bigger $$$ teams are going to scout their players, then poach them for next year.
Then there is Notre Dame, which is whining because they got left out of the playoffs; starting next year, if they’re ranked in the top 12 at this time, they’ll automatically be in the playoff.

— Georgia Southern is going bowling; seven teams declined a chance to play the Eagles in a bowl. Finally, Sun Belt rival Appalachian State signed up to play the Eagles in the Birmingham Bowl December 29th.
Georgia Southern won 25-23 at Appalachian State November 6th.

— Aside from that game between Sun Belt rivals, Sun Belt has eight other teams are going to bowls; they don’t get on national TV much. Five of those eight games will be a Sun Belt team against an opponent from Conference USA.

— Big X fined both Iowa State/Kansas State $500,000 for declining bowl bids; both teams had their coach leave (one bolted, one retired).

— 11 SEC teams are going bowling; Oklahoma-Alabama is a first round matchup in the 12-team playoff. Seven of the other nine SEC teams in bowls will be favored in their game.

— Eight Big X are going bowling; seven of them will be favored in their game.
 

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