Happy Birthday Sara my daughter, not famous yet!
Time to say good bye to Bengals this year and Zac forever!
With a loss, Bengals would go under their win total in three straight years, going 8-2 to their win total under in the last decade.
Great info C-Note
Time to say good bye to Bengals this year and Zac forever!
With a loss, Bengals would go under their win total in three straight years, going 8-2 to their win total under in the last decade.
Great info C-Note
Top NFL Things To Know
Public Problem
Gone in 60 SecondsEnd the madness.
According to Action Network's betting data, NFL teams getting 60% of tickets or more are 42-73 ATS (36.5%) through 12 weeks entering the Thanksgiving slate.
These 60%+ ticket teams are below .500 ATS in 11 of 12 weeks. The 36.5% mark is the worst through 12 weeks in the 23-year history of our database.
Here's the kicker. In games played in the 1p ET window or earlier, these 60%+ ticket teams are 15-46 ATS; later than that, 27-27 ATS.
Tide Turn
Early Window ChaosThe early 1 p.m. ET window on Sunday has been a wild ride this season.
- In the first 8 weeks of the season, favorites went 39-20 ATS, going .500 ATS or better in all 8 weeks, including 42-17 (71%) 1H ATS.
- Since Week 9, favorites are now 7-21-1 ATS in the early window, including 6-23 against the 1H spread.
Big Numbers
Hello Eli➤ As a road favorite, the Rams and Sean McVay are 37-8 SU and 28-17 ATS in that spot, winning 15 in a row outright.
As above a 4-point favorite on the road or neutral site, McVay and the Rams are 20-0 SU, winning by 13.7 PPG (he is 12-8 ATS in those games, 19-0-1 in a 6-point teaser).
➤ We have a team .500 on the season, at 6-6 in Carolina, currently about a double-digit home underdog this week.
The last time we saw a .500 or better team, 10+ games into the season, as a double-digit home dog with their starting QB in? The 2007 Giants with Eli Manning against the Patriots in Week 17. Giants lost 38-35, but covered the 13-point spread.
Points Beware
Scoring ≠ CoverTeams scoring 24 pts or more are 118-53 ATS (69%) this season. That would be the 2nd-lowest mark over a full season since 1990. The lowest came in the 2020 COVID year at 67%.
Bad Starters
Saints EarlySaints are 1-10 against the 1st quarter spread this season, the worst mark in the NFL. New Orleans has been outscored 85-19 in the eleven 1st quarters.
Pound of Horrors
Cleveland at HomeCleveland is a house of horrors for good teams traveling on the road.
Since 2020, the Browns are 13-5 SU at home vs. teams above .500 on the season. Cleveland has profited a $100 bettor $1,281 in that span, the best mark of any team in the NFL.
When the Browns are away from home vs. teams above .500, they are 5-18 SU in that span.
Post Turkey Impact
Hello, WeekendAfter the holiday games, family, meals, rest, change of schedule, etc. What are the results of the Sunday and Monday games after Thanksgiving through the years?
- The under has gone .500 or better in 7 of the last 8 years for the Sunday and Monday games the week of Thanksgiving, including 13 of the last 18 years.
- Home teams after Thanksgiving in the Sunday/Monday window are .500 ATS or better in 11 straight seasons, in that span they are 84-54 ATS (61%).
CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................27 -36 - 0............42.85%.............- 63.00
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................27 -36 - 0............42.85%.............- 63.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
Highest-paid pitchers in the major leagues:
$70M/year— Shohei Ohtani
$42M— Zack Wheeler
$37M— Jacob deGrom
$36.4M— Blake Snell
$36M— Gerrit Cole
$35M— Corbin Burnes
$30M— Dylan Cease
Quote of the Day
“You’ve got to win every game now — and hope that’s enough. We’re going to play a lot of good teams coming up, if we’re going to make the playoffs, we’re going to have to win them all.”
Patrick Mahomes
Friday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that has never played on Thanksgiving Day?
Thursday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan was first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year.
Wednesday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State
*********************************************
Packers’ first six drives: 47 plays, 320 yards, 31 points.
Jordan Love threw for 234 yards, four TD’s.
Green Bay is 8-0-1 when it scores 23+ points
Since 2019, Packers are 18-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
WR Williams caught seven passes for 144 yards and a TD.
Detroit was 8-13 on third down, Green Bay 6-12.
— Cowboys 31, Chiefs 28
Dallas won its last three games, scoring 33-24-31 points.
Cowboys were 9-16 on third down, outgained Chiefs 457-362.
WR Lamb caught seven passes for 112 yards and a TD.
Cowboys are 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.
Chiefs’ first two drives: 14 plays, 109 yards, 14 points.
Chiefs’ next four drives: 25 plays, 94 yards, four punts.
Chiefs lost their last four road games, by 3-7-3-3 points.
Chiefs committed 5 pass interference penalties, most of any team in last 35 years.
— Bengals 32, Ravens 14
Ravens turned ball over five times on 12 drives.
Ravens are 0-5 when they allow more than 19 points.
QB Burrow threw for 261 yards, two TD’s.
Bengals were 8-19 on third down, Baltimore 3-10.
Just second win in last ten games for the Bengals.
Loss snaps the Ravens’ five-game winning streak.
Evan McPherson kicked six field goals for Cincinnati.
6-5 Steelers are atop AFC North, by half-game over 6-6 Baltimore.
— Navy 28, Memphis 17
9-2 Navy clinches at least a tie for AAC regular season title.
Middies ran ball 60 times for 200 yards.
Navy was 8-15 on third down, Memphis 4-12.
Memphis led this game 17-14 at halftime.
— South Florida 97, Western Kentucky 91 OT
Hilltoppers led 50-33 late in first half, by 6 with 1:14 left in regulation.
6-5 freshman Nyorha scored 11 points in 11:00 off the bench for USF.
South Florida shot 13-36 on arc; they’re 4-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams.
— TCU 84, Florida 80
Gators led 44-39 at halftime.
6-5 soph Posey scored 21 points in 21:00 off the bench for TCU
Florida had 19 turnovers, Horned Frogs only nine.
Florida is 4-2, vs schedule #48.
— Michigan State 74, North Carolina 58
Spartans were 5-10 on arc, North Carolina was 4-23.
7-0 Michigan State is #49 in continuity, 6-1 UNC is #310.
Spartans have 3 top 40 wins (Arkansas-Kentuckyp-UNC)
— Famous birthdays, November 28th:
Ed Harris, 75
S. Epatha Merkerson, 73
Sixto Lezcano, 72
Preston Dennard, 70
George Andrews, 70
Dave Righetti, 67
Judd Nelson, 66
Jon Stewart, 63
Johnny Newman, 62
Matt Williams, 60
Pedro Astacio, 57
Robb Nen, 56
Leandro Barbosa, 43
Jarvis Landry, 33
— Indianapolis Colts’ QB Daniel Jones is dealing with a fractured fibula, a nice way of saying he will try to play through having a broken leg. Jones threw for 181 yards vs Kansas City in an OT loss last week, but ran the ball only three times.
Colts are 8-3, lead the AFC South by a game; they host Houston Sunday.
— Missouri Tigers signed football coach Eli Drinkwitz to a six-year contract extension, worth roughly $10.7M/year. Mizzou is 28-9 the last three years, and has played in a bowl game the last six years under Drinkwitz’s tutelage. There were rumors that Penn State was interested inn hiring him, which is part of why he had a lot more to be thankful for Thursday.
— Colorado Rockies named interim manager Warren Schaeffer their full-time manager for 2026. Schaeffer was the Rockies’ 3rd base coach during their 7-33 start last year, but was named interim manager when Colorado fired Bud Black- their front office was terrible.
Schaeffer has been a member of the Rockies organization for over a decade and becomes the eighth full-time manager in club history. Paul DePodesta is Colorado’s new front office boss; he is the Jonah Hill character in Moneyball, so the Rockies are becoming analytics-driven.
— Vanderbilt 89, VCU 74
Lot of fouls; Vandy was 24-33 on foul line, VCU 27-35.
7-0 Vandy has a 61.6 eFG%, 5th-best in the country.
Vandy is #7 in country experience; they play Saint Mary’s Friday.
— Saint Mary’s 77, Virginia Tech 66
8-0 Gaels never trailed, shot 59.5% inside the arc.
For season, Gaels are shooting 40.4% on arc (#22), 81.7% on foul line (#8)
Saint Mary’s has #9 eFG% defense; they beat Wichita/Va Tech last two days, both top 100 teams.
— Saint Louis 71, Santa Clara 70
Santa Clara led by 9 early in second half.
This was first top 100 win for Billikens, who are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#8)
First loss for Santa Clara, which has top 100 wins over Xavier/McNeese State
— Houston Rockets are only NBA team that hasn’t played on back/back nights yet this season. Warriors have done it five times, 76ers four times, most in the league so far.
Highest-paid pitchers in the major leagues:
$70M/year— Shohei Ohtani
$42M— Zack Wheeler
$37M— Jacob deGrom
$36.4M— Blake Snell
$36M— Gerrit Cole
$35M— Corbin Burnes
$30M— Dylan Cease
Quote of the Day
“You’ve got to win every game now — and hope that’s enough. We’re going to play a lot of good teams coming up, if we’re going to make the playoffs, we’re going to have to win them all.”
Patrick Mahomes
Friday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that has never played on Thanksgiving Day?
Thursday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan was first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year.
Wednesday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State
*********************************************
Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thanksgiving…….
— Packers 31, Lions 24Packers’ first six drives: 47 plays, 320 yards, 31 points.
Jordan Love threw for 234 yards, four TD’s.
Green Bay is 8-0-1 when it scores 23+ points
Since 2019, Packers are 18-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
WR Williams caught seven passes for 144 yards and a TD.
Detroit was 8-13 on third down, Green Bay 6-12.
— Cowboys 31, Chiefs 28
Dallas won its last three games, scoring 33-24-31 points.
Cowboys were 9-16 on third down, outgained Chiefs 457-362.
WR Lamb caught seven passes for 112 yards and a TD.
Cowboys are 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.
Chiefs’ first two drives: 14 plays, 109 yards, 14 points.
Chiefs’ next four drives: 25 plays, 94 yards, four punts.
Chiefs lost their last four road games, by 3-7-3-3 points.
Chiefs committed 5 pass interference penalties, most of any team in last 35 years.
— Bengals 32, Ravens 14
Ravens turned ball over five times on 12 drives.
Ravens are 0-5 when they allow more than 19 points.
QB Burrow threw for 261 yards, two TD’s.
Bengals were 8-19 on third down, Baltimore 3-10.
Just second win in last ten games for the Bengals.
Loss snaps the Ravens’ five-game winning streak.
Evan McPherson kicked six field goals for Cincinnati.
6-5 Steelers are atop AFC North, by half-game over 6-6 Baltimore.
— Navy 28, Memphis 17
9-2 Navy clinches at least a tie for AAC regular season title.
Middies ran ball 60 times for 200 yards.
Navy was 8-15 on third down, Memphis 4-12.
Memphis led this game 17-14 at halftime.
— South Florida 97, Western Kentucky 91 OT
Hilltoppers led 50-33 late in first half, by 6 with 1:14 left in regulation.
6-5 freshman Nyorha scored 11 points in 11:00 off the bench for USF.
South Florida shot 13-36 on arc; they’re 4-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams.
— TCU 84, Florida 80
Gators led 44-39 at halftime.
6-5 soph Posey scored 21 points in 21:00 off the bench for TCU
Florida had 19 turnovers, Horned Frogs only nine.
Florida is 4-2, vs schedule #48.
— Michigan State 74, North Carolina 58
Spartans were 5-10 on arc, North Carolina was 4-23.
7-0 Michigan State is #49 in continuity, 6-1 UNC is #310.
Spartans have 3 top 40 wins (Arkansas-Kentuckyp-UNC)
— Famous birthdays, November 28th:
Ed Harris, 75
S. Epatha Merkerson, 73
Sixto Lezcano, 72
Preston Dennard, 70
George Andrews, 70
Dave Righetti, 67
Judd Nelson, 66
Jon Stewart, 63
Johnny Newman, 62
Matt Williams, 60
Pedro Astacio, 57
Robb Nen, 56
Leandro Barbosa, 43
Jarvis Landry, 33
— Indianapolis Colts’ QB Daniel Jones is dealing with a fractured fibula, a nice way of saying he will try to play through having a broken leg. Jones threw for 181 yards vs Kansas City in an OT loss last week, but ran the ball only three times.
Colts are 8-3, lead the AFC South by a game; they host Houston Sunday.
— Missouri Tigers signed football coach Eli Drinkwitz to a six-year contract extension, worth roughly $10.7M/year. Mizzou is 28-9 the last three years, and has played in a bowl game the last six years under Drinkwitz’s tutelage. There were rumors that Penn State was interested inn hiring him, which is part of why he had a lot more to be thankful for Thursday.
— Colorado Rockies named interim manager Warren Schaeffer their full-time manager for 2026. Schaeffer was the Rockies’ 3rd base coach during their 7-33 start last year, but was named interim manager when Colorado fired Bud Black- their front office was terrible.
Schaeffer has been a member of the Rockies organization for over a decade and becomes the eighth full-time manager in club history. Paul DePodesta is Colorado’s new front office boss; he is the Jonah Hill character in Moneyball, so the Rockies are becoming analytics-driven.
— Vanderbilt 89, VCU 74
Lot of fouls; Vandy was 24-33 on foul line, VCU 27-35.
7-0 Vandy has a 61.6 eFG%, 5th-best in the country.
Vandy is #7 in country experience; they play Saint Mary’s Friday.
— Saint Mary’s 77, Virginia Tech 66
8-0 Gaels never trailed, shot 59.5% inside the arc.
For season, Gaels are shooting 40.4% on arc (#22), 81.7% on foul line (#8)
Saint Mary’s has #9 eFG% defense; they beat Wichita/Va Tech last two days, both top 100 teams.
— Saint Louis 71, Santa Clara 70
Santa Clara led by 9 early in second half.
This was first top 100 win for Billikens, who are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#8)
First loss for Santa Clara, which has top 100 wins over Xavier/McNeese State
— Houston Rockets are only NBA team that hasn’t played on back/back nights yet this season. Warriors have done it five times, 76ers four times, most in the league so far.
NFL
Weather Report
Friday, November 28
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Friday’s game
Bears @ Eagles (-7)
Bears (8-3)
Bears won four in row, eight of last nine games.
Bears are 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 2-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +19 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 8-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 13-15 as an NFL starter.
Chicago is 15-22-1 ATS last 38 games as a road underdog.
Chicago is 10-15-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
NFC North underdogs are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles (8-3)
Eagles won four of their last five games.
Four of their last five games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
Eagles were held to 17-17-21 points in their losses.
QB Hurts is 59-26 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-26 as an NFL coach.
Eagles are 18-13-1 ATS last 32 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Eagles led 21-0 at Dallas LW, lost 24-21, biggest blown lead since 1999
Eagles ran for less than 100 yards in six of last nine games.
NFC East favorites are 8-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles won last six series games (5-1 ATS).
Bears lost last three visits to Philly, by 8-28-43 points.
Under is 4-0 in last four meetings.
Weather Report
Friday, November 28
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Friday’s game
Bears @ Eagles (-7)
Bears (8-3)
Bears won four in row, eight of last nine games.
Bears are 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 2-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +19 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 8-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 13-15 as an NFL starter.
Chicago is 15-22-1 ATS last 38 games as a road underdog.
Chicago is 10-15-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
NFC North underdogs are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles (8-3)
Eagles won four of their last five games.
Four of their last five games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
Eagles were held to 17-17-21 points in their losses.
QB Hurts is 59-26 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-26 as an NFL coach.
Eagles are 18-13-1 ATS last 32 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Eagles led 21-0 at Dallas LW, lost 24-21, biggest blown lead since 1999
Eagles ran for less than 100 yards in six of last nine games.
NFC East favorites are 8-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles won last six series games (5-1 ATS).
Bears lost last three visits to Philly, by 8-28-43 points.
Under is 4-0 in last four meetings.
CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !
11/28/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................28 -37 - 0...........43.07%.............- 63.50
11/28/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................28 -37 - 0...........43.07%.............- 63.50
Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Hawks 130, Cavaliers 123- Jalen Johnson had 29 points, 12 rebounds, 12 assists
— 76ers 115, Nets 103- Brooklyn is 0-9 at home this season.
— Magic 112, Pistons 109- Detroit last last two games, after a 13-game win streak.
— Thunder 123, Suns 119- Thunder is 19-1, has won 11 in a row.
— Spurs 139, Nuggets 136- San Antonio advances to NBA Cip quarterfinals.
— Knicks 118, Bucks 109- Jalen Brunson scored 37 points for the 12-6 Knicks.
Quote of the Day
“I’m very grateful for the time that I spent there (Minnesota), all the people that I created relationships with, all the people in that locker room, all the coaches there, the people in that building. But I am very excited to be here and to continue doing what we’re doing this year.”
Seattle QB Sam Darnold, who played for the Vikings last year
Saturday’s quiz
Which NFL team picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft?
Friday’s quiz
Jacksonville Jaguars are only NFL team that has never played on Thanksgiving Day.
Thursday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan was first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year.
*******************************************
Chicago ran ball 47 times for 281 yards (6.0 yards/carry)
Bears won five in row, nine of last ten games
Chicago was 10-17 on third down, Eagles 4-12.
Bears are 9-3, 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Eagles’ first six drives: 23 plays, 63 yards, 3 points.
Philly ran for less than 100 yards in seven of last ten games.
AJ Brown caught 10 passes for 132 yards.
Last four games, RB Barkley has run ball for only 54.3 yards/game.
— Vanderbilt 96, Saint Mary’s 71
Gaels beat Vandy 59-56 last year, in NCAA Tourney game (59 possessions)
Vandy gets revenge here, in much faster game (72 possessions)
Commodores scored 1.33 ppp, led 51-34 at halftime.
Vandy is 8-0, with three top 100 wins, and the #5 eFG% in country.
— Stanford 78, Saint Louis 77
Billikens led by 15 midway thru the first half.
Stanford trailed Minnesota by 10 in Thursday’s win.
Stanford shot 29.7% inside arc, 13-27 outside arc.
— Pittsburgh 67, Ohio State 66
Demarco Miner scored 18 points, hit 3-pointer at the buzzer.
Pitt played seven guys, and the 7th guy only played 7:00.
Buckeyes led by 5 with 4:12 left in the game.
— UConn 74, Illinois 61
UConn never trailed; Illinois shot only 6-29 on the arc.
Huskies are 6-1, with #10 eFG% defense in country.
Illinois is 6-2, losing both their games away from Evanston.
— SMU 87, Mississippi State 81 OT
Miss State led by 9 with 7:36 left in the game.
SMU is 8-0, with top 100 wins over Butler (87-85) and this game.
Mustangs start four seniors; they had a 50-40 edge on the boards.
Top 5 experience teams in country:
1) Indiana
2) SMU
3) Liberty
4) Gonzaga
5) Texas
— Famous birthdays, November 29th:
Mike Easler, 75
Kim Delaney, 67
Howard Johnson, 65
Andrew McCarthy, 63
Don Cheadle, 61
TJ Rubley, 57
Mariano Rivera, 56
Jamal Mashburn, 53
Anna Faris, 49
Russell Wilson, 37
Stefan Diggs, 32
Julius Randle, 31
— BYU 83, Dayton 79
Dayton led 36-30 at halftime.
Richie Saunders scored 29 points for BYU.
Dayton lost, despite shooting 15-33 on the arc.
This was a high-level game.
— BYU’s Saunders is the grandson of the guy who founded frozen foods company Ore-Ida- they invented Tater Tots. Saunders has an NIL deal with Ore-Ida, which makes sense.
— Oklahoma 75, Marquette 74
Oklahoma shot 11-28 on arc; Nijel Pack scored 24 points.
Marquette is 0-4 vs top 100 teams; they led by 12 with 13:19 left to play
— VCU 86, Virginia Tech 68
VCU shot 11-21 on the arc, led 45-35 at halftime.
Rams are 5-3; five of their eight games were against top 100 teams.
— Some teams who’ve played the hardest schedules so far:
1) Oakland
2) Alabama
6) Rider
8) Morehead State
9) Michigan
— Western Kentucky 75, Wichita State 70
Wichita led by 9 with 13:24 left to play.
Hilltoppers went 1-2 in Atlantis tourney; games were decided by 5-6-5 points.
Only six guys scored for WKU, only four of them had more than 5 points.
— Top five teams in country, via KenPom’s ratings:
1) Michigan
2) Purdue
3) Duke
4) Iowa State
5) Gonzaga
— Hawks 130, Cavaliers 123- Jalen Johnson had 29 points, 12 rebounds, 12 assists
— 76ers 115, Nets 103- Brooklyn is 0-9 at home this season.
— Magic 112, Pistons 109- Detroit last last two games, after a 13-game win streak.
— Thunder 123, Suns 119- Thunder is 19-1, has won 11 in a row.
— Spurs 139, Nuggets 136- San Antonio advances to NBA Cip quarterfinals.
— Knicks 118, Bucks 109- Jalen Brunson scored 37 points for the 12-6 Knicks.
Quote of the Day
“I’m very grateful for the time that I spent there (Minnesota), all the people that I created relationships with, all the people in that locker room, all the coaches there, the people in that building. But I am very excited to be here and to continue doing what we’re doing this year.”
Seattle QB Sam Darnold, who played for the Vikings last year
Saturday’s quiz
Which NFL team picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft?
Friday’s quiz
Jacksonville Jaguars are only NFL team that has never played on Thanksgiving Day.
Thursday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan was first major league baseball player to sign a contract worth $1M+ per year.
*******************************************
Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..
— Bears 24, Eagles 15Chicago ran ball 47 times for 281 yards (6.0 yards/carry)
Bears won five in row, nine of last ten games
Chicago was 10-17 on third down, Eagles 4-12.
Bears are 9-3, 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Eagles’ first six drives: 23 plays, 63 yards, 3 points.
Philly ran for less than 100 yards in seven of last ten games.
AJ Brown caught 10 passes for 132 yards.
Last four games, RB Barkley has run ball for only 54.3 yards/game.
— Vanderbilt 96, Saint Mary’s 71
Gaels beat Vandy 59-56 last year, in NCAA Tourney game (59 possessions)
Vandy gets revenge here, in much faster game (72 possessions)
Commodores scored 1.33 ppp, led 51-34 at halftime.
Vandy is 8-0, with three top 100 wins, and the #5 eFG% in country.
— Stanford 78, Saint Louis 77
Billikens led by 15 midway thru the first half.
Stanford trailed Minnesota by 10 in Thursday’s win.
Stanford shot 29.7% inside arc, 13-27 outside arc.
— Pittsburgh 67, Ohio State 66
Demarco Miner scored 18 points, hit 3-pointer at the buzzer.
Pitt played seven guys, and the 7th guy only played 7:00.
Buckeyes led by 5 with 4:12 left in the game.
— UConn 74, Illinois 61
UConn never trailed; Illinois shot only 6-29 on the arc.
Huskies are 6-1, with #10 eFG% defense in country.
Illinois is 6-2, losing both their games away from Evanston.
— SMU 87, Mississippi State 81 OT
Miss State led by 9 with 7:36 left in the game.
SMU is 8-0, with top 100 wins over Butler (87-85) and this game.
Mustangs start four seniors; they had a 50-40 edge on the boards.
Top 5 experience teams in country:
1) Indiana
2) SMU
3) Liberty
4) Gonzaga
5) Texas
— Famous birthdays, November 29th:
Mike Easler, 75
Kim Delaney, 67
Howard Johnson, 65
Andrew McCarthy, 63
Don Cheadle, 61
TJ Rubley, 57
Mariano Rivera, 56
Jamal Mashburn, 53
Anna Faris, 49
Russell Wilson, 37
Stefan Diggs, 32
Julius Randle, 31
— BYU 83, Dayton 79
Dayton led 36-30 at halftime.
Richie Saunders scored 29 points for BYU.
Dayton lost, despite shooting 15-33 on the arc.
This was a high-level game.
— BYU’s Saunders is the grandson of the guy who founded frozen foods company Ore-Ida- they invented Tater Tots. Saunders has an NIL deal with Ore-Ida, which makes sense.
— Oklahoma 75, Marquette 74
Oklahoma shot 11-28 on arc; Nijel Pack scored 24 points.
Marquette is 0-4 vs top 100 teams; they led by 12 with 13:19 left to play
— VCU 86, Virginia Tech 68
VCU shot 11-21 on the arc, led 45-35 at halftime.
Rams are 5-3; five of their eight games were against top 100 teams.
— Some teams who’ve played the hardest schedules so far:
1) Oakland
2) Alabama
6) Rider
8) Morehead State
9) Michigan
— Western Kentucky 75, Wichita State 70
Wichita led by 9 with 13:24 left to play.
Hilltoppers went 1-2 in Atlantis tourney; games were decided by 5-6-5 points.
Only six guys scored for WKU, only four of them had more than 5 points.
— Top five teams in country, via KenPom’s ratings:
1) Michigan
2) Purdue
3) Duke
4) Iowa State
5) Gonzaga
Sunday’s 6-pack:
Players who were hit by the most pitches last year:
27— Randy Arozarena
24— Caleb Durbin
23— Willson Contreras
21— Ty France
17— Heliot Ramos
16— TJ Friedl, Francisco Lindor, Eugenio Suarez
Quote of the Day
“You don’t have to be great to start, but you have to start to be great.”
Zig Ziglar
Sunday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban?
Saturday’s quiz
New Jersey Jets picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft.
Friday’s quiz
Jacksonville Jaguars are only NFL team that has never played on Thanksgiving Day.
*************************************************
Golden Bears led 31-14 with 14:00 left in the game.
SMU rallied to take lead, but Cal scored game-winning TD with 0:43 left.
Mustangs missed a 52-yard field at the end that would’ve forced overtime.
Result puts 7-5 Duke in the ACC title game, against Virginia.
— Alabama 27, Auburn 20
Alabama drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 3:50 left.
Alabama led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
Alabama-Georgia is the SEC title game next Saturday.
— Ohio State 27, Michigan 9
Buckeyes snap a four-game losing skid against their arch-rival.
Michigan scored on 3 of first 4 drives, but they kicked 3 field goals.
Rest of game, Michigan ran 18 plays for 39 yards, and no points.
— Troy 28, Southern Miss 18
Goose Crowder threw three TD passes for the 8-4 Trojans.
Troy outgained Southern Miss 428-304, overcame 11 penalties for 87 yards.
Troy will play James Madison in the Sun Belt title game next weekend.
— Vanderbilt 45, Tennessee 24
QB Pavia threw for 268 yards, ran for 165 more.
Game was tied 21-21 at halftime.
First time ever Vanderbilt won 10+ games in the regular season.
— Upsets of the Week:
California (+13.5) 38, SMU 35
Georgia Southern (+9.5) 24, Marshall 19
UAB (+7.5) 31, Tulsa 24
Army (+7.5) 27, Tex-San Antonio 24
Troy (+6.5) 28, Southern Miss 18
Kent State (+5.5) 35, Northern Illinois 31
Navy (+5.5) 28, Memphis 17
Middle Tennessee (+4.5) 31, New Mexico State 24 OT
— Baltimore Orioles signed reliever Ryan Helsley to a 2-year, $28M contract; Helsley had 21 saves for St Louis last year, but they traded him to the Mets at the trade deadline and he didn’t do well in New York, posting a 7.20 ERA in 22 games as a set-up man.
— Stanford Cardinal hired Washington Commanders QB coach Tavita Pritchard as its new football coach. Pritchard is a former Stanford quarterback who was also an assistant coach there from 2010-22.
— Texas A&M is 11-1 after getting upset Friday; they’ve beaten four teams who fired their coach during the season.
— Lions/Cowboys both play every year on Thanksgiving; how do they do the next week, with the little mini-bye built into their schedules?
Last 11 years, Dallas is 7-4 ATS in their game after Thanksgiving.
Last five years, Detroit is 4-1 in their game after Thanksgiving.
— Famous birthdays, November 30th:
Jim Chones, 76
Bob Tewksbury, 65
Bo Jackson, 63
Ben Stiller, 60
Shane Victorino, 45
Rich Harden, 44
Elisha Cuthbert, 42
Kaley Cuoco, 40
Chase Anderson, 38
Daylen Lile, 23
— Drake 84, Georgia Tech 74
Bad loss for ACC, losing to an MVC team that is outside the top 100.
Drake was 20-2y on foul line, Tech was 7-18.
Tech is 5-3, but 0-3 vs top 200 teams.
— Cal-Santa Barbara 74, Seattle 71
Seattle led by 8 early in the second half.
Seattle was +8 in turnovers, but got out-rebounded 33-18
Gauchos were 22-25 on foul line, Seattle 14-22.
— Penn 73, LaSalle 71
LaSalle led by 15 early in the second half.
Penn was 10-20 on the arc; they got out-rebounded 40-31.
6-9 junior Power played all 40:00, scored 29 points for Penn.
— LSU 96, DePaul 63
Tigers led 50-22 at halftime.
7-0 LSU has played schedule #328 so far.
It gets tougher now; next 3 games: @ Boston College, vs Texas Tech, SMU
— Some teams with worst continuity coming into the year:
Xavier
Baylor
Central Florida
Indiana
Maryland
Memphis
Miami FL
West Virginia
Players who were hit by the most pitches last year:
27— Randy Arozarena
24— Caleb Durbin
23— Willson Contreras
21— Ty France
17— Heliot Ramos
16— TJ Friedl, Francisco Lindor, Eugenio Suarez
Quote of the Day
“You don’t have to be great to start, but you have to start to be great.”
Zig Ziglar
Sunday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban?
Saturday’s quiz
New Jersey Jets picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft.
Friday’s quiz
Jacksonville Jaguars are only NFL team that has never played on Thanksgiving Day.
*************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….
— SMU 35, California 38Golden Bears led 31-14 with 14:00 left in the game.
SMU rallied to take lead, but Cal scored game-winning TD with 0:43 left.
Mustangs missed a 52-yard field at the end that would’ve forced overtime.
Result puts 7-5 Duke in the ACC title game, against Virginia.
— Alabama 27, Auburn 20
Alabama drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 3:50 left.
Alabama led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
Alabama-Georgia is the SEC title game next Saturday.
— Ohio State 27, Michigan 9
Buckeyes snap a four-game losing skid against their arch-rival.
Michigan scored on 3 of first 4 drives, but they kicked 3 field goals.
Rest of game, Michigan ran 18 plays for 39 yards, and no points.
— Troy 28, Southern Miss 18
Goose Crowder threw three TD passes for the 8-4 Trojans.
Troy outgained Southern Miss 428-304, overcame 11 penalties for 87 yards.
Troy will play James Madison in the Sun Belt title game next weekend.
— Vanderbilt 45, Tennessee 24
QB Pavia threw for 268 yards, ran for 165 more.
Game was tied 21-21 at halftime.
First time ever Vanderbilt won 10+ games in the regular season.
— Upsets of the Week:
California (+13.5) 38, SMU 35
Georgia Southern (+9.5) 24, Marshall 19
UAB (+7.5) 31, Tulsa 24
Army (+7.5) 27, Tex-San Antonio 24
Troy (+6.5) 28, Southern Miss 18
Kent State (+5.5) 35, Northern Illinois 31
Navy (+5.5) 28, Memphis 17
Middle Tennessee (+4.5) 31, New Mexico State 24 OT
— Baltimore Orioles signed reliever Ryan Helsley to a 2-year, $28M contract; Helsley had 21 saves for St Louis last year, but they traded him to the Mets at the trade deadline and he didn’t do well in New York, posting a 7.20 ERA in 22 games as a set-up man.
— Stanford Cardinal hired Washington Commanders QB coach Tavita Pritchard as its new football coach. Pritchard is a former Stanford quarterback who was also an assistant coach there from 2010-22.
— Texas A&M is 11-1 after getting upset Friday; they’ve beaten four teams who fired their coach during the season.
— Lions/Cowboys both play every year on Thanksgiving; how do they do the next week, with the little mini-bye built into their schedules?
Last 11 years, Dallas is 7-4 ATS in their game after Thanksgiving.
Last five years, Detroit is 4-1 in their game after Thanksgiving.
— Famous birthdays, November 30th:
Jim Chones, 76
Bob Tewksbury, 65
Bo Jackson, 63
Ben Stiller, 60
Shane Victorino, 45
Rich Harden, 44
Elisha Cuthbert, 42
Kaley Cuoco, 40
Chase Anderson, 38
Daylen Lile, 23
— Drake 84, Georgia Tech 74
Bad loss for ACC, losing to an MVC team that is outside the top 100.
Drake was 20-2y on foul line, Tech was 7-18.
Tech is 5-3, but 0-3 vs top 200 teams.
— Cal-Santa Barbara 74, Seattle 71
Seattle led by 8 early in the second half.
Seattle was +8 in turnovers, but got out-rebounded 33-18
Gauchos were 22-25 on foul line, Seattle 14-22.
— Penn 73, LaSalle 71
LaSalle led by 15 early in the second half.
Penn was 10-20 on the arc; they got out-rebounded 40-31.
6-9 junior Power played all 40:00, scored 29 points for Penn.
— LSU 96, DePaul 63
Tigers led 50-22 at halftime.
7-0 LSU has played schedule #328 so far.
It gets tougher now; next 3 games: @ Boston College, vs Texas Tech, SMU
— Some teams with worst continuity coming into the year:
Xavier
Baylor
Central Florida
Indiana
Maryland
Memphis
Miami FL
West Virginia
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Sunday’s games
49ers (-4) @ Browns
49ers (8-4)
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF is 2-11 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 30-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 86-70 as an NFL head coach
49ers are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
49ers are 11-6-1 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
49ers’ last four wins were all by 10+ points.
Last two games, 49ers allowed 36-69 rushing yards.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.
NFC West favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns (2-8)
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in last six games.
Browns held 7 of 11 opponents under 300 total yards.
Browns are 0-8 when they allow more than 10 points.
Rookie QB Sanders won his first NFL start last week.
Stefanski is 44-56 as a head coach.
Browns are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS at home this year.
Cleveland is 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games as a home underdog.
Browns are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in seven of last eight games.
Last seven games, Browns are +8 in turnovers.
AFC North underdogs are 7-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Home team won last five series games.
49ers lost last three visits to Cleveland, by 2-14-13 points.
Under is 5-0-1 in last six meetings.
Jaguars (-6.5) @ Titans
Jaguars (7-4)
Jacksonville won three of last five games, scoring 30.3 ppg
Last seven weeks, Jaguars are minus-5 in turnovers.
Jacksonville is 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Lawrence is 30-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 7-4 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2020, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 16-14 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held 8 of last 20 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 7-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in last ten AFC South road games.
Titans (1-10)
Tennessee is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six games.
Titans covered their last three home games.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 1-10 as an NFL starter.
Titans’ last three losses were by 7-3-6 points.
Titans were held under 300 TY in nine of 11 games.
Titans are 3-8 ATS in last 11 AFC South home games.
Tennessee is 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-3 in their last nine games.
Jacksonville won five of last six series games.
Jaguars won two of last three visits to Nashville.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 9-7 ATS in divisional games.
Texans @ Colts (-4.5)
Texans (6-5)
Houston won its last three games, by 7-3-4 points.
Texans are 5-0 when they score 20+ points.
QB Stroud (concussion) is expected back for this game.
Stroud is 24-20 as an NFL starter; he missed last three games.
Ryans is 28-21 in as an NFL head coach.
Texans are 12-9-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 11-10-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Texans held seven of last nine opponents under 300 total yards.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 3-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last eight games, Texans are +13 in turnovers.
Colts (8-3)
Indy lost two of last three games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jones is 33-48-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 25-20 SU as a head coach
Under Steichen, Colts are 13-11 ATS as an underdog.
Colts are 8-9 ATS last 17 games as a home underdog.
Colts are 3-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Colts are 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.
Colts’ team total: over 8-3.
Texans are 4-1-1 in last six series games.
Houston won its last three visits to Indy, by 1-4-2 points.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 16-11 ATS in divisional games.
Saints @ Dolphins (-6)
Saints (2-9)
Saints lost five of their last six games.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
Saints allowed 14-7 points in their two wins
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 1-2 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 2-9 as a head coach.
Saints are 5-6 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Saints are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
In six of last seven games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South underdogs are 11-14 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins (3-7)
Miami won two of last three games, after a 1-6 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all six of its losses.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they score less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 41-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 31-32 as a head coach.
Miami is 4-5-2 ATS last 11 games as a favorite.
Miami is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they run for less than 100 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total six of last eight games.
Miami is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC teams.
AFC East favorites are 7-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins won three of last four series games.
This is Saints’ first visit to Miami since 2017.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (-2.5) @ Jets
Falcons (4-7)
Atlanta snapped its five-game losing skid last week.
Falcons are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-7 when it allows more than 14 points.
QB Cousins is 85-78-2 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 33-54 as a head coach.
Atlanta is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 5-12 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Five of last six games, Falcons were held to 302 or fewer total yards.
Over is 3-1 in last four Atlanta games.
Jets (2-9)
Jets are 0-7 when they score less than 27 points.
Last three weeks, Jets gained 169-245-282 total yards.
Last five games, Jets are minus-6 in turnovers.
Taylor is 28-31-1 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 2-9 as a head coach.
Jets are 11-17 ATS last 28 games as a home underdog
Jets are 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 6-20-1 last 27 games vs NFC opponents.
Jets are minus-13 in turnovers this season.
AFC East underdogs are 11-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Atlanta won five of last six series games.
Falcons won their last three games vs Jets in New Jersey.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Rams (-10.5) @ Panthers
Rams (9-2)
Rams won last six games, allowing 3-7-10-26-19-7 points.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Last six games, Rams are +11 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 48-27 as the Rams’ starter (122-120-1 overall).
McVay is 97-59 as an NFL head coach.
Last seven games, Rams outscored opponents 126-42 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in seven of last ten games.
Rams are 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Panthers (6-6)
Short week for Panthers after Monday’s loss at San Francisco
Carolina is 4-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses
QB Young is 12-27 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 11-18 as a head coach.
Panthers are 15-10-1 ATS last 26 games as a home underdog.
Carolina is 5-0 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Last three games, Panthers ran ball for 73-67-69 yards.
Four of last five games, Carolina was held under 270 total yards.
Rams won last two series games, 24-10/30-27.
This is Rams’ first visit to Charlotte since 2019.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Cardinals @ Buccaneers (-3)
Cardinals (3-8)
Cardinals lost three in row, eight of last nine games.
Last three games, Arizona gave up 44-41-27 points.
Cardinals are 0-6 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-39 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-30 as an NFL head coach.
Eight of 11 Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 8-2 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-13 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 23-17 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
NFC West underdogs are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (6-5)
Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
QB Mayfield hurt his left shoulder LW (check status)
Mayfield is 58-61 as an NFL starter, 26-22 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 60-73 as a head coach, 34-32 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-5 giving up 24+.
Bucs are 4-2 in games decided by six or fewer points.
Over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s home games this year.
Buccaneers won last two series games, 19-16/30-27.
This is Cardinals’ first visit to Tampa since 2019.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Vikings @ Seahawks (-11.5)
Vikings (4-7)
Rookie QB Brosmer likely to get first NFL start here.
Wolford would be backup; he is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
Vikings lost three in row, five of their last six games.
Last eight games, Minnesota is minus-14 in turnovers.
O’Connell is 38-25 as an NFL head coach.
Vikings are 5-4 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Four of last five games, Vikings gained less than 270 yards.
Vikings are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.
Last five games, Vikings converted only 15 of 57 third down plays.
Seahawks (8-3)
Seahawks won five of their last six games.
Seattle’s three losses were by 3-4-2 points.
Seahawks held 8 of last 10 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 43-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 18-10 as a head coach.
Seattle has four wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +2.
Seattle is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
Minnesota won last two series games, 27-24/30-17.
Vikings are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Vikings won 27-24 at Seattle LY; Darnold played for Minnesota.
Raiders @ Chargers (-8.5)
Raiders (2-9)
Raiders lost five games in a row, nine of last ten.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last six games, Raiders ran the ball for only 51.7 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-53 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-140-1 as an NFL head coach.
Raiders are 11-17-2 ATS last 30 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 11-9 ATS last 20 AFC West road games.
Raiders are 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas has six losses by 11+ points this season.
Chargers (7-4)
Chargers won three of their last four games.
Chargers are 2-3-1 ATS in last six post-bye games.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 47-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 66-33-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Chargers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Bolts are 6-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers held three of last four opponents under 225 total yards.
Chargers won/covered last four series games.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road series games.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Bills (-3.5) @ Steelers
Bills (7-4)
Bills lost three of their last four road games.
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 90-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 99-56 as an NFL head coach.
Bills are 20-17 ATS last 37 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).
Bills are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Buffalo is 7-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last three games, Buffalo is minus-5 in turnovers.
AFC East road teams are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Steelers (6-5)
Pittsburgh lost four of its last six games.
Steelers are 5-0 when they allow less than 25 points.
Pittsburgh is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers (left wrist) is ???; backup Rudolph is 9-10-1 as an NFL QB
QB Rodgers is 170-101-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 197-123-2 as an NFL head coach.
Steelers are 10-5-1 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Pittsburgh is 12-6 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35-25-31 points in their five losses.
Steelers went over their team total seven of last eight games.
AFC North underdogs are 7-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buffalo won four of last five series games.
This is Bills’ first visit to Pittsburgh since 2019.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Broncos (-6) @ Commanders
Broncos (9-2)
Broncos won their last eight games, last three by 3-3-3 points.
Six of their last seven wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Denver held six of last eight opponents under 100 YR.
QB Nix is 19-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 188-116 as an NFL head coach, 27-19 with Denver.
Denver is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Denver is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall.
Denver is 7-1 ATS in last eight games vs NFC opponents.
Denver is 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a bye.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Commanders (3-8)
Commanders are 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six games.
Washington gave up 25-44-28-38-44 points in those five games.
Washington gave up 25+ points in its losses, 24 or less in wins.
QB Mariota is 36-44 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-57 as an NFL coach.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in eight of last nine games.
Commanders are 0-4 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 7-3 last ten games.
Washington is 1-7 ATS in last eight games coming off a bye.
Washington is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Teams split last six series games.
This is Broncos’ first visit to Washington since 2017.
Under is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Sunday’s games
49ers (-4) @ Browns
49ers (8-4)
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF is 2-11 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 30-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 86-70 as an NFL head coach
49ers are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
49ers are 11-6-1 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
49ers’ last four wins were all by 10+ points.
Last two games, 49ers allowed 36-69 rushing yards.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.
NFC West favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns (2-8)
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in last six games.
Browns held 7 of 11 opponents under 300 total yards.
Browns are 0-8 when they allow more than 10 points.
Rookie QB Sanders won his first NFL start last week.
Stefanski is 44-56 as a head coach.
Browns are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS at home this year.
Cleveland is 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games as a home underdog.
Browns are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in seven of last eight games.
Last seven games, Browns are +8 in turnovers.
AFC North underdogs are 7-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Home team won last five series games.
49ers lost last three visits to Cleveland, by 2-14-13 points.
Under is 5-0-1 in last six meetings.
Jaguars (-6.5) @ Titans
Jaguars (7-4)
Jacksonville won three of last five games, scoring 30.3 ppg
Last seven weeks, Jaguars are minus-5 in turnovers.
Jacksonville is 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Lawrence is 30-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 7-4 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2020, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 16-14 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held 8 of last 20 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 7-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in last ten AFC South road games.
Titans (1-10)
Tennessee is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six games.
Titans covered their last three home games.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 1-10 as an NFL starter.
Titans’ last three losses were by 7-3-6 points.
Titans were held under 300 TY in nine of 11 games.
Titans are 3-8 ATS in last 11 AFC South home games.
Tennessee is 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-3 in their last nine games.
Jacksonville won five of last six series games.
Jaguars won two of last three visits to Nashville.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 9-7 ATS in divisional games.
Texans @ Colts (-4.5)
Texans (6-5)
Houston won its last three games, by 7-3-4 points.
Texans are 5-0 when they score 20+ points.
QB Stroud (concussion) is expected back for this game.
Stroud is 24-20 as an NFL starter; he missed last three games.
Ryans is 28-21 in as an NFL head coach.
Texans are 12-9-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 11-10-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Texans held seven of last nine opponents under 300 total yards.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 3-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last eight games, Texans are +13 in turnovers.
Colts (8-3)
Indy lost two of last three games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jones is 33-48-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 25-20 SU as a head coach
Under Steichen, Colts are 13-11 ATS as an underdog.
Colts are 8-9 ATS last 17 games as a home underdog.
Colts are 3-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Colts are 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.
Colts’ team total: over 8-3.
Texans are 4-1-1 in last six series games.
Houston won its last three visits to Indy, by 1-4-2 points.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 16-11 ATS in divisional games.
Saints @ Dolphins (-6)
Saints (2-9)
Saints lost five of their last six games.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
Saints allowed 14-7 points in their two wins
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 1-2 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 2-9 as a head coach.
Saints are 5-6 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Saints are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
In six of last seven games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South underdogs are 11-14 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins (3-7)
Miami won two of last three games, after a 1-6 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all six of its losses.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they score less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 41-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 31-32 as a head coach.
Miami is 4-5-2 ATS last 11 games as a favorite.
Miami is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they run for less than 100 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total six of last eight games.
Miami is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC teams.
AFC East favorites are 7-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins won three of last four series games.
This is Saints’ first visit to Miami since 2017.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (-2.5) @ Jets
Falcons (4-7)
Atlanta snapped its five-game losing skid last week.
Falcons are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-7 when it allows more than 14 points.
QB Cousins is 85-78-2 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 33-54 as a head coach.
Atlanta is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 5-12 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Five of last six games, Falcons were held to 302 or fewer total yards.
Over is 3-1 in last four Atlanta games.
Jets (2-9)
Jets are 0-7 when they score less than 27 points.
Last three weeks, Jets gained 169-245-282 total yards.
Last five games, Jets are minus-6 in turnovers.
Taylor is 28-31-1 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 2-9 as a head coach.
Jets are 11-17 ATS last 28 games as a home underdog
Jets are 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 6-20-1 last 27 games vs NFC opponents.
Jets are minus-13 in turnovers this season.
AFC East underdogs are 11-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Atlanta won five of last six series games.
Falcons won their last three games vs Jets in New Jersey.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Rams (-10.5) @ Panthers
Rams (9-2)
Rams won last six games, allowing 3-7-10-26-19-7 points.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Last six games, Rams are +11 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 48-27 as the Rams’ starter (122-120-1 overall).
McVay is 97-59 as an NFL head coach.
Last seven games, Rams outscored opponents 126-42 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in seven of last ten games.
Rams are 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Panthers (6-6)
Short week for Panthers after Monday’s loss at San Francisco
Carolina is 4-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses
QB Young is 12-27 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 11-18 as a head coach.
Panthers are 15-10-1 ATS last 26 games as a home underdog.
Carolina is 5-0 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Last three games, Panthers ran ball for 73-67-69 yards.
Four of last five games, Carolina was held under 270 total yards.
Rams won last two series games, 24-10/30-27.
This is Rams’ first visit to Charlotte since 2019.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Cardinals @ Buccaneers (-3)
Cardinals (3-8)
Cardinals lost three in row, eight of last nine games.
Last three games, Arizona gave up 44-41-27 points.
Cardinals are 0-6 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-39 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-30 as an NFL head coach.
Eight of 11 Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 8-2 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-13 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 23-17 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
NFC West underdogs are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (6-5)
Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
QB Mayfield hurt his left shoulder LW (check status)
Mayfield is 58-61 as an NFL starter, 26-22 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 60-73 as a head coach, 34-32 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-5 giving up 24+.
Bucs are 4-2 in games decided by six or fewer points.
Over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s home games this year.
Buccaneers won last two series games, 19-16/30-27.
This is Cardinals’ first visit to Tampa since 2019.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Vikings @ Seahawks (-11.5)
Vikings (4-7)
Rookie QB Brosmer likely to get first NFL start here.
Wolford would be backup; he is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
Vikings lost three in row, five of their last six games.
Last eight games, Minnesota is minus-14 in turnovers.
O’Connell is 38-25 as an NFL head coach.
Vikings are 5-4 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Four of last five games, Vikings gained less than 270 yards.
Vikings are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.
Last five games, Vikings converted only 15 of 57 third down plays.
Seahawks (8-3)
Seahawks won five of their last six games.
Seattle’s three losses were by 3-4-2 points.
Seahawks held 8 of last 10 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 43-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 18-10 as a head coach.
Seattle has four wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +2.
Seattle is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
Minnesota won last two series games, 27-24/30-17.
Vikings are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Vikings won 27-24 at Seattle LY; Darnold played for Minnesota.
Raiders @ Chargers (-8.5)
Raiders (2-9)
Raiders lost five games in a row, nine of last ten.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last six games, Raiders ran the ball for only 51.7 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-53 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-140-1 as an NFL head coach.
Raiders are 11-17-2 ATS last 30 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 11-9 ATS last 20 AFC West road games.
Raiders are 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas has six losses by 11+ points this season.
Chargers (7-4)
Chargers won three of their last four games.
Chargers are 2-3-1 ATS in last six post-bye games.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 47-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 66-33-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Chargers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Bolts are 6-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers held three of last four opponents under 225 total yards.
Chargers won/covered last four series games.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road series games.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Bills (-3.5) @ Steelers
Bills (7-4)
Bills lost three of their last four road games.
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 90-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 99-56 as an NFL head coach.
Bills are 20-17 ATS last 37 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).
Bills are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Buffalo is 7-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last three games, Buffalo is minus-5 in turnovers.
AFC East road teams are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Steelers (6-5)
Pittsburgh lost four of its last six games.
Steelers are 5-0 when they allow less than 25 points.
Pittsburgh is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers (left wrist) is ???; backup Rudolph is 9-10-1 as an NFL QB
QB Rodgers is 170-101-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 197-123-2 as an NFL head coach.
Steelers are 10-5-1 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Pittsburgh is 12-6 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35-25-31 points in their five losses.
Steelers went over their team total seven of last eight games.
AFC North underdogs are 7-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buffalo won four of last five series games.
This is Bills’ first visit to Pittsburgh since 2019.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Broncos (-6) @ Commanders
Broncos (9-2)
Broncos won their last eight games, last three by 3-3-3 points.
Six of their last seven wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Denver held six of last eight opponents under 100 YR.
QB Nix is 19-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 188-116 as an NFL head coach, 27-19 with Denver.
Denver is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Denver is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall.
Denver is 7-1 ATS in last eight games vs NFC opponents.
Denver is 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a bye.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Commanders (3-8)
Commanders are 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six games.
Washington gave up 25-44-28-38-44 points in those five games.
Washington gave up 25+ points in its losses, 24 or less in wins.
QB Mariota is 36-44 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-57 as an NFL coach.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in eight of last nine games.
Commanders are 0-4 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 7-3 last ten games.
Washington is 1-7 ATS in last eight games coming off a bye.
Washington is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Teams split last six series games.
This is Broncos’ first visit to Washington since 2017.
Under is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
2025 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST
��
��
| SUPERCONTEST WEEK 13 LINES/ODDS | BY # OF TEAMS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPERCONTEST WEEK 13: 11/25/25 – 12/01/25 | |||||
| SUPERCONTEST LEADERS STANDINGS & SELECTIONS | |||||
| LIONS | -3 | vs. | Packers | HOU 304 | ATL 101 |
| Chiefs | -3 | vs. | COWBOYS | TB 258 | PHI 100 |
| RAVENS | -7 | vs. | Bengals | CLE 185 | NYJ 89 |
| EAGLES | -7 | vs. | Bears | BUF 171 | NE 87 |
| COLTS | -4.5 | vs. | Texans | MIA 153 | DAL 84 |
| BUCCANEERS | -2.5 | vs. | Cardinals | TEN 145 | PIT 83 |
| Jaguars | -6.5 | vs. | TITANS | DET 144 | CHI 80 |
| Rams | -10.5 | vs. | PANTHERS | SEA 144 | CIN 79 |
| DOLPHINS | -5.5 | vs. | Saints | IND 134 | LAR 74 |
| Falcons | -2.5 | vs. | NY JETS | NYG 133 | BAL 73 |
| 49ers | -5 | vs. | BROWNS | CAR 132 | JAX 69 |
| SEAHAWKS | -11.5 | vs. | Vikings | KC 121 | LV 66 |
| Bills | -3 | vs. | STEELERS | WAS 121 | GB 65 |
| CHARGERS | -9.5 | vs. | Raiders | DEN 120 | NO 65 |
| Broncos | -5.5 | vs. | COMMANDERS | SF 119 | MIN 56 |
| PATRIOTS | -7 | vs. | NY Giants | LAC 119 | ARI 36 |
| CAPS → HOME | TOP 5 LW: | YTD: | |||
| TEAM | W | L | T | LW | PTS |
| BIFFS ALMANAC | 44 | 15 | 1 | 44.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | BAL | PHI | IND | JAX | LV |
| 2DYE4 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 40.00 | |
| WK 13 PKS | GB | PHI | IND | NO | LV |
| SEANSDOLPHINS | 39 | 20 | 1 | 39.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | TEN | NI | NYJ | CLE | WAS |
| 91ACES | 39 | 21 | 0 | 39.00 | |
| WK 13 PKS | DET | TB | MIA | CLE | BUF |
| CHARLEY VARRICK | 37 | 21 | 2 | 38.00 | |
| WK 13 PKS | KC | CAR | CLE | WAS | NYG |
| LEROY JONES | 37 | 22 | 1 | 37.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | TB | CAR | BUF | LAC | NYG |
| TOROK9R | 37 | 22 | 1 | 37.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | IND | TB | CLE | PIT | WAS |
| YADONE | 37 | 22 | 1 | 37.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | KC | IND | JAX | CLE | BUF |
| SKINNY | 37 | 22 | 1 | 37.50 | |
| WK 13 PKS | TB | CLE | SEA | LV | WAS |
| AND THEN | 36 | 22 | 2 | 37.00 | |
| WK 13 PKS | DET | IND | ATL | SEA | BUF |
| WINORGOWORK | 36 | 22 | 2 | 37.00 | |
| WK 13 PKS | GB | KC | MIA | NYJ | LV |
Sunday, November 30
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL at NYJ | 01:00 PM | NYJ +3.0***** U 38.5***** | +500 +500 |
| JAC at TEN | 01:00 PM | TEN +6.0***** U 42.0***** | +500 +500 |
| LA at CAR | 01:00 PM | LA -10.5***** U 45.0 | +500 +500 |
| NO at MIA | 01:00 PM | NO +5.5***** U 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| ARI at TB | 01:00 PM | TB -3.5 O 44.5***** | +500 +500 |
| SF at CLE | 01:00 PM | CLE +5.0***** U 35.5***** | +500 +500 |
| HOU at IND | 01:00 PM | HOU +3.0***** U 44.5***** | +500 +500 |
| MIN at SEA | 04:05 PM | U 41.5***** | +500 |
| LV at LAC | 04:25 PM | LV +10.0 U 40.5***** | +500 +500 |
| BUF at PIT | 04:25 PM | BUF -3.0***** U 45.5***** | +500 +500 |
| DEN at WAS | 08:20 PM | DEN -6.0 U 43.0***** | +500 +500 |
CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !
11/30/2025.................9 - 8 - 0............52.94%............+ 1.00
11/28/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................37 -45 - 0...........45.12%.............- 62.50
11/30/2025.................9 - 8 - 0............52.94%............+ 1.00
11/28/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
11/27/2025.................2 - 3 - 0............40.00%............- 6.50
11/23/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
TOTALS.....................37 -45 - 0...........45.12%.............- 62.50
Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 14 NFL spreads……..
— Cowboys @ Detroit (-3)
— Dolphins (-2.5) @ NJ Jets
— Steelers @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Saints @ Tampa Bay (-8)
— Colts (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
— Titans @ Cleveland (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
”When there’s film sessions, everybody shows up, and when I check to a route, you do the right route…….we have our meetings every week. We have other opportunities outside of the facility, and look forward to seeing all the boys there.
I felt good enough to be out there, just not ready to take a snap under center, hopefully next week for that. Disappointed in my performance, disappointed in the offensive performance and got to flush it.”
Aaron Rodgers
Monday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin was once the head coach of which NFL team?
Sunday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban.
Saturday’s quiz
New Jersey Jets picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft.
**************************************************
49ers won their last three games, by 19-11-18 points.
49ers are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
49ers were 11-17 on third down, Cleveland 3-11.
49ers are 5-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
49ers led the Browns 10-8 at halftime.
Browns in 2nd half: 28 plays, 60 yards, no points.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in their last seven games.
Browns are 0-9 when they allow more than 10 points.
Jaguars 25, Titans 3
Jaguars scored TDs on 2 of first 3 drives, led 15-3 early.
Jacksonville won last three games, scoring 35-27-25 points.
Jaguars held 9 of last 11 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 8-3 ATS in last eleven AFC South road games.
Tennessee is 0-7 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven games.
Titans are 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC South home games.
Tennessee is 5-16-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 7-16 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Texans 20, Colts 16
QB Stroud threw for 276 yards after missing last three games.
Texans were 6-13 on third down, Colts 3-10.
Houston won its last four games, by 7-3-4-4 points.
Texans are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Colts’ first four drives: 18 plays, 71 yards, no points.
Houston led 10-6 at halftime.
Colts scored fewer than 20 points for first time this season.
Colts lost three of last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Dolphins 21, Saints 17
Miami won three of last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Down 19-11, Saints scored a TD with 1:17 left, but failed on 2-point try.
Saints recovered onside kick, got to Miami’s 36, but were stopped on downs.
De’Von Arcane ran ball for 134 yards and a TD.
Saints lost five of their last six games.
New Orleans is 0-10 when it allows more than 14 points.
In seven of last eight games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Jets 27, Falcons 24
Nick Folk kicked a 56-yard FG on last play to win on a rainy day.
Jets trailed 24-17, scored 10 points in last 1:53 of the game.
Jets are 3-2 in their last five games, after an 0-7 start.
WR Mitchell caught 8 passes for 102 yards and a TD.
Game was tied 7-7 at halftime.
Atlanta lost six of its last seven games.
Falcons are 0-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-8 when it allows more than 14 points.
Panthers 31, Rams 28
QB Young threw TD passes of 35-33-43 yards.
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is 5-0 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, throwing pick-6/INT in end zone.
LA allowed 33-26-31 points in their three losses.
Carolina was 7-15 on third down (3-3 on 4th), Rams 2-5.
7-6 Panthers are half-game behind Tampa Bay in NFC South.
Buccaneers 20, Cardinals 17
Buccaneers in first half: 34 plays, 147 yards, 10 points.
Tampa Bay led 10-3 at halftime.
Tampa Bay was 7-16 on third down, Arizona 3-8
Last eleven games, Tampa Bay is +9 in turnovers.
Cardinals are 0-7 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
Arizona’s first five drives: 27 plays, 128 yards, 3 points.
Cardinals lost four in row, nine of last ten games.
Arizona is 1-8 when they allow more than 17 points.
Famous birthdays, December 1st:
Bette Midler, 80
George Foster, 77
Larry Walker, 59
Steve Walsh, 59
DeSean Jackson, 39
Dan Straily, 37
Javier Baez, 33
Gary Payton II, 33
Seahawks 26, Vikings 0
Vikings lost four in row, six of their last seven games.
Last four games, Minnesota is minus-11 in turnovers.
#3 QB Brosmer was overmatched, threw an 85-yard pick-6.
Minnesota was shut out for first time since 2007.
Seattle kicked FGs on four of their first seven drives.
Seattle is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seahawks won five of their last six games.
Seahawks held 8 of last 10 opponents under 300 TY.
Chargers 31, Raiders 14
Chargers outgained the Raiders, 341-156.
Chargers converted 12-17 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8
QB Herbert broke a bone in his left (non-throwing) hand.
Bolts are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
Game was tied 7-7 at halftime.
Chargers in 2nd half: 31 plays, 199 yards, 24 points.
Raiders lost six games in a row, 10 of last 11.
Raiders are 11-18-2 ATS last 31 games as an underdog.
Bills 26, Steelers 7
Pittsburgh led 7-3 at halftime.
Bills scored a defensive TD on first play of third quarter.
Steelers in 2nd half: 21 plays, 95 yards, zero points.
Pittsburgh lost five of its last seven games.
Buffalo outgained the Steelers, 372-166.
Bills ran ball 51 times for 249 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
Bills are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Buffalo is 8-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Broncos 27, Commanders 26 OT
Both teams scored TD in OT; Washington went for 2 points/win, but failed.
Denver is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Broncos won their last nine games, last four by 3-3-3-1 points.
Seven of their last eight wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Backup QB Mariota threw for 294 yards, two TD’s.
Commanders kicked FG at gun of regulation to force OT.
Washington is 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
Commanders are 0-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Week 14 NFL spreads……..
— Cowboys @ Detroit (-3)
— Dolphins (-2.5) @ NJ Jets
— Steelers @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Saints @ Tampa Bay (-8)
— Colts (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
— Titans @ Cleveland (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
”When there’s film sessions, everybody shows up, and when I check to a route, you do the right route…….we have our meetings every week. We have other opportunities outside of the facility, and look forward to seeing all the boys there.
I felt good enough to be out there, just not ready to take a snap under center, hopefully next week for that. Disappointed in my performance, disappointed in the offensive performance and got to flush it.”
Aaron Rodgers
Monday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin was once the head coach of which NFL team?
Sunday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban.
Saturday’s quiz
New Jersey Jets picked Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 Draft.
**************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….
49ers 26, Browns 849ers won their last three games, by 19-11-18 points.
49ers are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
49ers were 11-17 on third down, Cleveland 3-11.
49ers are 5-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
49ers led the Browns 10-8 at halftime.
Browns in 2nd half: 28 plays, 60 yards, no points.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in their last seven games.
Browns are 0-9 when they allow more than 10 points.
Jaguars 25, Titans 3
Jaguars scored TDs on 2 of first 3 drives, led 15-3 early.
Jacksonville won last three games, scoring 35-27-25 points.
Jaguars held 9 of last 11 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 8-3 ATS in last eleven AFC South road games.
Tennessee is 0-7 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven games.
Titans are 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC South home games.
Tennessee is 5-16-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 7-16 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Texans 20, Colts 16
QB Stroud threw for 276 yards after missing last three games.
Texans were 6-13 on third down, Colts 3-10.
Houston won its last four games, by 7-3-4-4 points.
Texans are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Colts’ first four drives: 18 plays, 71 yards, no points.
Houston led 10-6 at halftime.
Colts scored fewer than 20 points for first time this season.
Colts lost three of last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Dolphins 21, Saints 17
Miami won three of last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Down 19-11, Saints scored a TD with 1:17 left, but failed on 2-point try.
Saints recovered onside kick, got to Miami’s 36, but were stopped on downs.
De’Von Arcane ran ball for 134 yards and a TD.
Saints lost five of their last six games.
New Orleans is 0-10 when it allows more than 14 points.
In seven of last eight games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Jets 27, Falcons 24
Nick Folk kicked a 56-yard FG on last play to win on a rainy day.
Jets trailed 24-17, scored 10 points in last 1:53 of the game.
Jets are 3-2 in their last five games, after an 0-7 start.
WR Mitchell caught 8 passes for 102 yards and a TD.
Game was tied 7-7 at halftime.
Atlanta lost six of its last seven games.
Falcons are 0-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-8 when it allows more than 14 points.
Panthers 31, Rams 28
QB Young threw TD passes of 35-33-43 yards.
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is 5-0 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, throwing pick-6/INT in end zone.
LA allowed 33-26-31 points in their three losses.
Carolina was 7-15 on third down (3-3 on 4th), Rams 2-5.
7-6 Panthers are half-game behind Tampa Bay in NFC South.
Buccaneers 20, Cardinals 17
Buccaneers in first half: 34 plays, 147 yards, 10 points.
Tampa Bay led 10-3 at halftime.
Tampa Bay was 7-16 on third down, Arizona 3-8
Last eleven games, Tampa Bay is +9 in turnovers.
Cardinals are 0-7 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
Arizona’s first five drives: 27 plays, 128 yards, 3 points.
Cardinals lost four in row, nine of last ten games.
Arizona is 1-8 when they allow more than 17 points.
Famous birthdays, December 1st:
Bette Midler, 80
George Foster, 77
Larry Walker, 59
Steve Walsh, 59
DeSean Jackson, 39
Dan Straily, 37
Javier Baez, 33
Gary Payton II, 33
Seahawks 26, Vikings 0
Vikings lost four in row, six of their last seven games.
Last four games, Minnesota is minus-11 in turnovers.
#3 QB Brosmer was overmatched, threw an 85-yard pick-6.
Minnesota was shut out for first time since 2007.
Seattle kicked FGs on four of their first seven drives.
Seattle is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seahawks won five of their last six games.
Seahawks held 8 of last 10 opponents under 300 TY.
Chargers 31, Raiders 14
Chargers outgained the Raiders, 341-156.
Chargers converted 12-17 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8
QB Herbert broke a bone in his left (non-throwing) hand.
Bolts are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
Game was tied 7-7 at halftime.
Chargers in 2nd half: 31 plays, 199 yards, 24 points.
Raiders lost six games in a row, 10 of last 11.
Raiders are 11-18-2 ATS last 31 games as an underdog.
Bills 26, Steelers 7
Pittsburgh led 7-3 at halftime.
Bills scored a defensive TD on first play of third quarter.
Steelers in 2nd half: 21 plays, 95 yards, zero points.
Pittsburgh lost five of its last seven games.
Buffalo outgained the Steelers, 372-166.
Bills ran ball 51 times for 249 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
Bills are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Buffalo is 8-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Broncos 27, Commanders 26 OT
Both teams scored TD in OT; Washington went for 2 points/win, but failed.
Denver is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Broncos won their last nine games, last four by 3-3-3-1 points.
Seven of their last eight wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Backup QB Mariota threw for 294 yards, two TD’s.
Commanders kicked FG at gun of regulation to force OT.
Washington is 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
Commanders are 0-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
NFL
Weather Report
Monday, December 1
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Monday night’s game
Giants @ Patriots (-7)
Giants (2-10)
Giants lost their last six games (3-3 ATS)
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants have fired their head coach, defensive coordinator.
Winston is 36-53 as an NFL starter; rookie Dart is 2-5.
Dart (concussion) has missed couple games; check status.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is calling plays.
Giants are 10-12 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog
Giants are 21-18 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Six of Giants’ last seven games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
Giants are 11-6-1 last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC East underdogs are 6-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
Patriots (10-2)
Patriots won their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 9-1 last ten
QB Maye is 13-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 66-50 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 13-12 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
NE is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Patriots held five of seven foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
Teams split last eight series games.
Underdogs covered six of last seven series games.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Weather Report
Monday, December 1
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 13
Monday night’s game
Giants @ Patriots (-7)
Giants (2-10)
Giants lost their last six games (3-3 ATS)
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants have fired their head coach, defensive coordinator.
Winston is 36-53 as an NFL starter; rookie Dart is 2-5.
Dart (concussion) has missed couple games; check status.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is calling plays.
Giants are 10-12 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog
Giants are 21-18 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Six of Giants’ last seven games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
Giants are 11-6-1 last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC East underdogs are 6-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
Patriots (10-2)
Patriots won their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 9-1 last ten
QB Maye is 13-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 66-50 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 13-12 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
NE is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Patriots held five of seven foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
Teams split last eight series games.
Underdogs covered six of last seven series games.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
