Top NFL Things To Know
Not Our Best
Public StruggleThe betting public had a rough start to the NFL season. For this we go to Bet Labs, which has betting percentages for every game and for the public, we point to teams that get 51% of more of the tickets on the spread.
In Week 1, the betting public went 3-13 ATS, with the five teams to close as the favorite going 0-5 ATS. The bigger the bet pct, the worse it got — teams with 60%+ of tickets went 1-10 ATS in Week 1.
The 3-13 ATS mark in Week 1 is the worst for any single NFL week since Week 5 of the 2022 season (also 3-13 ATS) and the worst Week 1 in the 22-year history of our database.
New Era
Chiefs Home DogsIn Patrick Mahomes’ 68 career home starts, he has closed as an underdog just once, back in 2022 against the Bills. KC was +2.5 in Buffalo during the regular season and lost 24-20. In fact, he’s only closed -1.5 or shorter three times at home – all three games have come vs. the Bills.
Chalk Remains
Favorites Continue PaceWe had some chaotic line movement in Week 1, but if you focus on just the opening line, favorites went 13-3 SU to open the season … again. They went 13-3 SU last year, too, for a 26-6 SU mark for Week 1 favorites the last two years.
We are also just coming off a regular season to remember for the favorites. The best ATS season from a profit/ROI POV since 2017. Overall, favorites ended 2024, 195-77 SU (71.7%), the 3rd-best season since 1980.
In Week 1, road favorites went 5-1 SU. The one loss? The Ravens. Overall, road favorites are 85-29 SU (75%) since the start of last season.
The Bounce Back
Lions Face Ben JohnsonJared Goff and Dan Campbell are 14-12-1 SU, 19-8 ATS off a SU loss as a duo, but they’ve won and covered ten in a row dating back to November of 2022.
Since the beginning of the 2023 season, the Lions are 7-0 SU/ATS after a loss, the only undefeated team in the NFL.
Down The Tube
Unders CashWeek 1 was all about unders, even if it ended with some overs on Sunday and Monday Night Football.
Unders ended the week at 12-4, tied for the lowest mark for any season since 2000. But if you look at the last 20 years, the other Week 1s in contention for the best under star were 2023, 2010 and 2006. In those three years, the under went 17-29-2 in Week 2, with the under finishing above .500 in Week 2 in none of those three years.
Desperate Times
After Blowing Big LeadsThe Bears and Ravens both blew 10+ point leads in Week 1. Teams to blow a 10+ pt lead in Week 1 are 30-19 SU and 29-19-1 ATS in Week 2 since 1990. Within the first four weeks of the regular season, those desperate teams coming off blowing their previous games see their next game go 83-57-4 (59%) to the over, going over by almost 4 PPG.
New Home
Another Streak Breaker?Titans finally covered the spread last week after a 2-15 ATS season last year, the worst we’ve seen for any team in modern era. Titans haven’t covered the spread at home though since November of 2024, losing 8 straight ATS. That is the longest home ATS losing streak for any team since the Titans back in 2013-14 (lost 10 straight at home ATS).
Low, Low, Low
Few High TotalsThe Bills and Ravens over/under closed at 51.5 in Week 1, highest total of the week. They combined to score 81 pts, also the most of Week 1.
Through two weeks, we look like we’re only going to have one O/U of 50+ in the NFL, with none at that mark so far in Week 2. That would be the fewest totals of 50+ through two weeks since 2011.
Levels To This
Jets Big Home DogIf the Jets close +7 or higher at home vs. the Bills this week, this system triggers. Home dogs of 7 pts or more are 18-1-2 ATS in the first 9 games of the regular season since 2022 and 37-10-2 ATS since 2020.
Westgate NFL Supercontest Picks, Odds & Standings from Las Vegas
WESTGATE LAS VEGAS NFL SUPERCONTEST
| SUPERCONTEST WEEK 2: 09/09/25 – 09/15/25 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPERCONTEST WEEK 2 LINES/ODDS | BY # OF TEAMS | ||||
| PACKERS | -3 | vs. | Commanders | NYJ 243 | LAR 106 |
| DOLPHINS | -1 | vs. | Patriots | DEN 194 | TB 105 |
| BENGALS | -3.5 | vs. | Jaguars | ATL 192 | TEN 103 |
| RAVENS | -11.5 | vs. | Browns | DAL 179 | NYG 102 |
| COWBOYS | -6 | vs. | NY Giants | HOU 167 | BAL 98 |
| Rams | -5,5 | vs. | TITANS | PIT 165 | SEA 95 |
| Bills | -6.5 | vs. | NY JETS | ARI 162 | IND 87 |
| LIONS | -6 | vs. | Bears | PHI 161 | CHI 79 |
| STEELERS | -3 | vs. | Seahawks | DET 155 | NE 77 |
| 49ers | -3 | vs. | SAINTS | LV 155 | MIN 69 |
| CARDINALS | -6.5 | vs. | Panthers | JAX 148 | CLE 62 |
| Broncos | -1 | vs. | COLTS | MIA 145 | CAR 60 |
| Eagles | -1 | vs. | CHIEFS | KC 123 | GB 54 |
| VIKINGS | -3.5 | vs. | Falcons | LAC 122 | BUF 52 |
| TEXANS | -2.5 | vs. | Buccaneers | SF 111 | NO 42 |
| Chargers | -3.5 | vs. | RAIDERS | CIN 110 | WAS 22 |
| TOP 5 LW: 0-5 | YTD: 0-5 |
Sunday, September 14
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI at DET | 01:00 PM | DET -6.5 | +500 |
| CLE at BAL | 01:00 PM | CLE +13.5 | +500 |
| SEA at PIT | 01:00 PM | SEA +4.0 U 40.5 | +500 +500 |
| NYG at DAL | 01:00 PM | DAL -5.5 | +500 |
| NE at MIA | 01:00 PM | MIA -2.5 | +500 |
| SF at NO | 01:00 PM | SF -3.0 U 40.5 | +500 +500 |
| BUF at NYJ | 01:00 PM | NYJ +6.0 U 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| LA at TEN | 01:00 PM | U 41.5 | +500 |
| JAC at CIN | 01:00 PM | U 49.5 | +500 |
| DEN at IND | 04:05 PM | DEN -2.5 U 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| CAR at ARI | 04:05 PM | ARI -7.5 | +500 |
| PHI at KC | 04:25 PM | PHI -1.0 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| ATL at MIN | 08:20 PM | MIN -3.5 U 44.5 | +500 +500 |
NFL BEST BETS !
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................12 -23 - 0...................34.28%....................- 61.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................12 -23 - 0...................34.28%....................- 61.00
Monday’s 6-pack:
— Mets 5, Rangers 2 (10)- Alonso’s walk-off HR ended Mets’ 8-game skid.
— Mariners 11, Angels 2- Seattle has a one-game lead in AL West.
— Blue Jays 11, Orioles 2- Toronto leads the AL East by four games.
— A’s 7, Reds 4- The A’s sweep the Reds, are out of last place!!!
— Dodgers 10, Giants 2- Teoscar Hernandez went 4-6, scored twice.
— Padres 9, Rockies 6- Jackson Merrill hit a 3-run homer.
Quote of the Day
“When we execute with the players that we have and the scheme that we have, we got a high probability to be successful.”
Matthew Stafford
Monday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; what team did he play for the most?
Hint: He played in a World Series
Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.
Saturday’s quiz
When the Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, they beat Arizona.
************************************************
Cowboys drove 42 yards, kicked 46-yard FG with 0:04 left in OT.
Dallas kicked a 64-yard FG at end of regulation to force OT
Giants had taken lead on a 48-yard TD pass with 0:25 left.
Giants are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Wilson was 30-41/450 passing, with three TD’s.
Prescott was 38-52/361 passing with two TD’s.
Giants in 4th quarter: 14 plays, 186 yards, 21 points.
Giants in overtime: 6 plays, 3 yards, no points.
Bengals 31, Jaguars 27
QB Burrow injured the big toe on his left foot (check status)
Backup QB Browning scored the game-winning TD with 0:18 left.
Cincinnati ran ball 17 times for only 48 yards.
Bengals are 2-0 for the first time since 2018.
Cincinnati’s winning drive was 15 plays, 92 yards.
Ja’marr Chase caught 14 passes for 165 yards.
Jacksonville led 17-10 at halftime.
Jags’ QB Lawrence was 24-42/271 passing (3 TD’s, 2 INT’s)
Patriots 33 Dolphins 27
Patriots snap a five-game losing skid to the Dolphins in Miami.
Dolphins took 27-23 lead with 74-yard punt return for TD.
Patriots took lead back with 90-yard kickoff return for a TD.
It was first time since 1992 that a punt return TD was immediately followed by a kickoff return for a TD.
Dolphins are 0-2, giving up 33 points in both games.
New England’s first three drives: 36 plays, 209 yards, 15 points.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-17-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots were 7-12 on third down, Dolphins 4-10.
Colts 29, Broncos 28
Colts kicked 45-yard FG at gun to go to 2-0 for first time since 2009.
Colts missed 60-yard FG on previous play, but a 15-yard penalty on Denver gave Indy a second chance.
Indianapolis scored 4 TD’s, kicked 6 FG’s on its first 10 drives this season.
Indy hasn’t punted in its first two games.
Denver’s first four drives: 26 plays, 172 yards, three TD’s.
Denver rest of game: 29 plays, 147 yards, one TD.
Since 2017, Broncos are 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 14-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Eagles 20, Chiefs 17
Game was tied 10-10 at halftime.
Barkley ran ball 22 times for 88 yards and a TD.
Philly is 11-5 ATS in last sixteen games vs AFC teams.
Eagles are 12-2-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chiefs threw INT in red zone early in 4th quarter; Kelce dropped an easy throw.
KC’s first four drives of 2nd half: 24 plays, 90 yards, no points, 2 turnovers.
Chiefs are 0-2 for the first time since 2014.
Chiefs are o-2 in one-score games; before this year, they had won 11 consecutive one-score game.
]Lions 52, Bears 21
Goff passed for 334 yards, five TD’s, three of them to St. Brown
Detroit scored a TD on six of its last seven possessions.
Last 3+ years, Lions are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5+ years, Detroit is 11-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.
Since leading 17-6 in Week 1, Bears have been outscored, 73-28.
Chicago in 2nd half of this game: 32 plays, 131 yards, 7 points.
QB Williams is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, Chicago is 10-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Rams 33, Titans 19
Tennessee led 13-10 at halftime.
Rams in 2nd half: 35 plays, 262 yards, 23 points.
Titans in 2nd half: 31 plays, 75 yards, 6 points.
Last 3+ years, Rams are 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Rams outgained Tennessee, 439-252.
In two games, Rams have allowed one TD on 20 drives.
In two games, Titans have kicked 8 FG’s, scored only one TD.
Titans are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.
Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 79
Oliver Stone, 79
LeRoy Irvin, 68
Dan Marino, 64
Earnest Byner, 63
Sherman Douglas, 59
Jason Terry, 48
Mike Dunleavy Jr., 45
Terry McLaurin, 30
Easton Stick, 30
Seahawks 31, Steelers 17
Leading 17-14, Seahawks scored a TD when the Steelers didn’t cover a kickoff that went in the end zone and Seattle fell on it for a TD that made score 24-14.
Seattle in 2nd half: 33 plays, 207 yards, 17 points.
Seahawks outscored Pittsburgh, 395-267.
Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh led 14-7 at halftime.
Steelers in 2nd half: 33 plays, 183 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Steelers ran ball 21 times for only 72 times.
Last 3+ years, Pittsburgh is 4-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Cardinals 27, Panthers 22
Cardinals scored a defensive TD 1:33 into the game.
Arizona’s first four drives: 28 plays, 148 yards, 13 points.
Arizona led 20-3 at halftime, then hung on for dear life.
Down 27-22 with 1:58 left, Carolina recovered an onside kick, but was stopped on downs by the Cardinal defense.
Panthers in first half: 29 plays, 111 yards, 3 points.
Carolina ran the ball 19 times for only 49 yards.
QB Young is 6-24 as an NFL starter; Canales is 5-14 as a head coach.
Carolina is 9-16-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Ravens 41, Browns 17
Lamar Jackson was 19-29/225 passing, with four TD’s.
Ravens scored 40-41 points in first two games, but split the pair.
Ravens lead was only 10-3 at halftime.
Up 27-10, Ravens scored defensive TD on 63-yard fumble return.
Ravens in second half: 24 plays, 158 yards, 24 points.
Browns in second half: 38 plays, 250 yards, 14 points.
Since 2021, Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 6+ years, Cleveland is 4-14 ATS in AFC North road games.
Bills 30, Jets 10
Buffalo outgained the Jets, 403-154.
Bills ran the ball 43 times for 224 yards.
James Cook ran 21 times for 132 yards, two TD’s.
Last 4+ years, Bills are 8-5 ATS in AFC East road games.
Bills were 5-14 on third down, Jets 0-11.
Buffalo led 20-3 at halftime.
Jets in first half: 24 plays, 78 yards, 3 points.
Bills won ten of last 12 series games.
49ers 26, Saints 21
Backup QB Jones threw for 279 yards and three TD’s.
49ers led this game 16-7 at halftime.
SF ran the ball 26 times for only 77 yards.
49ers were 8-15 on third down, New Orleans 4-11
Saints’ first four drives: 17 plays, 57 yards, no points.
Last 4+ years, Saints are 7-13 ATS as a home underdog.
Rattler is 0-8 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Falcons 22, Vikings 6
Falcons ran 63 plays for 326 yards, Vikings 46 plays for 198.
Minnesota turned ball over four times on 10 drives.
Falcons led 9-6 at halftime.
Only TD of game came on an 88-yard drive by Atlanta late in game.
McCarthy was 11-21/158 passing with two INT’s.
Vikings in first half of their 2 games: 51 plays, 219 yards, 4 FG’s.
Last nine years, Minnesota is 1-7-1 SU in home openers.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Mets 5, Rangers 2 (10)- Alonso’s walk-off HR ended Mets’ 8-game skid.
— Mariners 11, Angels 2- Seattle has a one-game lead in AL West.
— Blue Jays 11, Orioles 2- Toronto leads the AL East by four games.
— A’s 7, Reds 4- The A’s sweep the Reds, are out of last place!!!
— Dodgers 10, Giants 2- Teoscar Hernandez went 4-6, scored twice.
— Padres 9, Rockies 6- Jackson Merrill hit a 3-run homer.
Quote of the Day
“When we execute with the players that we have and the scheme that we have, we got a high probability to be successful.”
Matthew Stafford
Monday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; what team did he play for the most?
Hint: He played in a World Series
Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.
Saturday’s quiz
When the Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, they beat Arizona.
************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..
Cowboys 40, Giants 37 OTCowboys drove 42 yards, kicked 46-yard FG with 0:04 left in OT.
Dallas kicked a 64-yard FG at end of regulation to force OT
Giants had taken lead on a 48-yard TD pass with 0:25 left.
Giants are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Wilson was 30-41/450 passing, with three TD’s.
Prescott was 38-52/361 passing with two TD’s.
Giants in 4th quarter: 14 plays, 186 yards, 21 points.
Giants in overtime: 6 plays, 3 yards, no points.
Bengals 31, Jaguars 27
QB Burrow injured the big toe on his left foot (check status)
Backup QB Browning scored the game-winning TD with 0:18 left.
Cincinnati ran ball 17 times for only 48 yards.
Bengals are 2-0 for the first time since 2018.
Cincinnati’s winning drive was 15 plays, 92 yards.
Ja’marr Chase caught 14 passes for 165 yards.
Jacksonville led 17-10 at halftime.
Jags’ QB Lawrence was 24-42/271 passing (3 TD’s, 2 INT’s)
Patriots 33 Dolphins 27
Patriots snap a five-game losing skid to the Dolphins in Miami.
Dolphins took 27-23 lead with 74-yard punt return for TD.
Patriots took lead back with 90-yard kickoff return for a TD.
It was first time since 1992 that a punt return TD was immediately followed by a kickoff return for a TD.
Dolphins are 0-2, giving up 33 points in both games.
New England’s first three drives: 36 plays, 209 yards, 15 points.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-17-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots were 7-12 on third down, Dolphins 4-10.
Colts 29, Broncos 28
Colts kicked 45-yard FG at gun to go to 2-0 for first time since 2009.
Colts missed 60-yard FG on previous play, but a 15-yard penalty on Denver gave Indy a second chance.
Indianapolis scored 4 TD’s, kicked 6 FG’s on its first 10 drives this season.
Indy hasn’t punted in its first two games.
Denver’s first four drives: 26 plays, 172 yards, three TD’s.
Denver rest of game: 29 plays, 147 yards, one TD.
Since 2017, Broncos are 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 14-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Eagles 20, Chiefs 17
Game was tied 10-10 at halftime.
Barkley ran ball 22 times for 88 yards and a TD.
Philly is 11-5 ATS in last sixteen games vs AFC teams.
Eagles are 12-2-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chiefs threw INT in red zone early in 4th quarter; Kelce dropped an easy throw.
KC’s first four drives of 2nd half: 24 plays, 90 yards, no points, 2 turnovers.
Chiefs are 0-2 for the first time since 2014.
Chiefs are o-2 in one-score games; before this year, they had won 11 consecutive one-score game.
]Lions 52, Bears 21
Goff passed for 334 yards, five TD’s, three of them to St. Brown
Detroit scored a TD on six of its last seven possessions.
Last 3+ years, Lions are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5+ years, Detroit is 11-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.
Since leading 17-6 in Week 1, Bears have been outscored, 73-28.
Chicago in 2nd half of this game: 32 plays, 131 yards, 7 points.
QB Williams is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, Chicago is 10-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Rams 33, Titans 19
Tennessee led 13-10 at halftime.
Rams in 2nd half: 35 plays, 262 yards, 23 points.
Titans in 2nd half: 31 plays, 75 yards, 6 points.
Last 3+ years, Rams are 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Rams outgained Tennessee, 439-252.
In two games, Rams have allowed one TD on 20 drives.
In two games, Titans have kicked 8 FG’s, scored only one TD.
Titans are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.
Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 79
Oliver Stone, 79
LeRoy Irvin, 68
Dan Marino, 64
Earnest Byner, 63
Sherman Douglas, 59
Jason Terry, 48
Mike Dunleavy Jr., 45
Terry McLaurin, 30
Easton Stick, 30
Seahawks 31, Steelers 17
Leading 17-14, Seahawks scored a TD when the Steelers didn’t cover a kickoff that went in the end zone and Seattle fell on it for a TD that made score 24-14.
Seattle in 2nd half: 33 plays, 207 yards, 17 points.
Seahawks outscored Pittsburgh, 395-267.
Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh led 14-7 at halftime.
Steelers in 2nd half: 33 plays, 183 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Steelers ran ball 21 times for only 72 times.
Last 3+ years, Pittsburgh is 4-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Cardinals 27, Panthers 22
Cardinals scored a defensive TD 1:33 into the game.
Arizona’s first four drives: 28 plays, 148 yards, 13 points.
Arizona led 20-3 at halftime, then hung on for dear life.
Down 27-22 with 1:58 left, Carolina recovered an onside kick, but was stopped on downs by the Cardinal defense.
Panthers in first half: 29 plays, 111 yards, 3 points.
Carolina ran the ball 19 times for only 49 yards.
QB Young is 6-24 as an NFL starter; Canales is 5-14 as a head coach.
Carolina is 9-16-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Ravens 41, Browns 17
Lamar Jackson was 19-29/225 passing, with four TD’s.
Ravens scored 40-41 points in first two games, but split the pair.
Ravens lead was only 10-3 at halftime.
Up 27-10, Ravens scored defensive TD on 63-yard fumble return.
Ravens in second half: 24 plays, 158 yards, 24 points.
Browns in second half: 38 plays, 250 yards, 14 points.
Since 2021, Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 6+ years, Cleveland is 4-14 ATS in AFC North road games.
Bills 30, Jets 10
Buffalo outgained the Jets, 403-154.
Bills ran the ball 43 times for 224 yards.
James Cook ran 21 times for 132 yards, two TD’s.
Last 4+ years, Bills are 8-5 ATS in AFC East road games.
Bills were 5-14 on third down, Jets 0-11.
Buffalo led 20-3 at halftime.
Jets in first half: 24 plays, 78 yards, 3 points.
Bills won ten of last 12 series games.
49ers 26, Saints 21
Backup QB Jones threw for 279 yards and three TD’s.
49ers led this game 16-7 at halftime.
SF ran the ball 26 times for only 77 yards.
49ers were 8-15 on third down, New Orleans 4-11
Saints’ first four drives: 17 plays, 57 yards, no points.
Last 4+ years, Saints are 7-13 ATS as a home underdog.
Rattler is 0-8 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Falcons 22, Vikings 6
Falcons ran 63 plays for 326 yards, Vikings 46 plays for 198.
Minnesota turned ball over four times on 10 drives.
Falcons led 9-6 at halftime.
Only TD of game came on an 88-yard drive by Atlanta late in game.
McCarthy was 11-21/158 passing with two INT’s.
Vikings in first half of their 2 games: 51 plays, 219 yards, 4 FG’s.
Last nine years, Minnesota is 1-7-1 SU in home openers.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite.
NFL
Weather Report
Monday, September 15
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 2
Monday’s games
Buccaneers @ Texans (-2.5)
Buccaneers (1-0)
LW, Tampa Bay (-1.5) won 23-20 in Atlanta.
Buccaneers had TD drives of 52-32-63 yards.
Mayfield is 53-56 as an NFL starter, 21-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 55-68 as a head coach, 29-27 with Tampa Bay.
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Bucs are 7-3 ATS in last ten games vs AFC opponents.
Bucs are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Texans (0-1)
Last week, Texans (+3.5) lost 14-9 to the Rams at SoFi.
Houston converted only 2-9 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 21-16 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 22-17 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019,, Texans are 6-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Ryans, Texans are 5-5-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Under Ryans, Houston is 9-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last 7 times they were favored in a home opener, Texans are 1-6 ATS.
Texans are 5-1 in games against Tampa Bay.
Bucs are 0-3 vs Texans in Houston, losing by 14-10-2 points.
Houston won last meeting, 39-37, two years ago.
Chargers (-3.5) @ Raiders
Chargers (1-0)
LW, Chargers (+3.5) beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil.
Bolts gained 394 yards, converted 7-13 on third down.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/7-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals .
QB Herbert is 42-40 as an NFL starter, 0-2 in playoff games.
Jim Harbaugh is 61-29-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Raiders (1-0)
LW, Raiders (+2.5) won 20-13 at New England.
Raiders threw for 333 yards, ran 24 times for only 56 yards.
QB Geno Smith is 41-44 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-131-1 as an NFL head coach, 11-11 in playoffs.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Last 3 years, Raiders are 5-4 ATS in home games vs AFC West opponents.
Chargers won six of last nine series games.
Bolts swept the Raiders last year, 22-10/34-20.
Chargers lost three of last four visits to Las Vegas.
Weather Report
Monday, September 15
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 2
Monday’s games
Buccaneers @ Texans (-2.5)
Buccaneers (1-0)
LW, Tampa Bay (-1.5) won 23-20 in Atlanta.
Buccaneers had TD drives of 52-32-63 yards.
Mayfield is 53-56 as an NFL starter, 21-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 55-68 as a head coach, 29-27 with Tampa Bay.
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Bucs are 7-3 ATS in last ten games vs AFC opponents.
Bucs are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Texans (0-1)
Last week, Texans (+3.5) lost 14-9 to the Rams at SoFi.
Houston converted only 2-9 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 21-16 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 22-17 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019,, Texans are 6-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Ryans, Texans are 5-5-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Under Ryans, Houston is 9-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last 7 times they were favored in a home opener, Texans are 1-6 ATS.
Texans are 5-1 in games against Tampa Bay.
Bucs are 0-3 vs Texans in Houston, losing by 14-10-2 points.
Houston won last meeting, 39-37, two years ago.
Chargers (-3.5) @ Raiders
Chargers (1-0)
LW, Chargers (+3.5) beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil.
Bolts gained 394 yards, converted 7-13 on third down.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/7-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals .
QB Herbert is 42-40 as an NFL starter, 0-2 in playoff games.
Jim Harbaugh is 61-29-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Raiders (1-0)
LW, Raiders (+2.5) won 20-13 at New England.
Raiders threw for 333 yards, ran 24 times for only 56 yards.
QB Geno Smith is 41-44 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-131-1 as an NFL head coach, 11-11 in playoffs.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Last 3 years, Raiders are 5-4 ATS in home games vs AFC West opponents.
Chargers won six of last nine series games.
Bolts swept the Raiders last year, 22-10/34-20.
Chargers lost three of last four visits to Las Vegas.
NFL BEST BETS !
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................14 -25 - 0...................35.89%....................- 62.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................14 -25 - 0...................35.89%....................- 62.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 3:
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-12.5)
— Bengals @ Minnesota (-2.5)
— Steelers (-1.5) @ New England
— Colts (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Texans (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
— Falcons (-5.5) @ Carolina
Quote of the Day
“Whether you think you can, or think you can’t, you’re right.”
Henry Ford
Tuesday’s quiz
LA/San Diego Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?
Monday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; he played the most for San Diego, playing for the Padres in the 1984 World Series.
Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.
**********************************************
Buccaneers 20, Texans 19
Bucs drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
Tampa Bay opens up 2-0 for the fifth year in a row.
Bucs’ first two drives: 23 plays, 147 yards, two TD’s
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Houston took a 19-14 lead on a 25-yard run by Chubb with 2:10 left.
Tampa Bay outgained the Texnas, 360-266.
In two games, Houston has converted 4-18 third down plays.
Since 2019, Texans are 6-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Chargers 20, Raiders 9
Chargers picked off three passes, outgained Raiders 317-218.
Chargers led 17-6 at halftime.
Chargers are 6-2 SU/8-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals.
Chargers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Raiders had drive of 19 plays, 62 yards; it took 11:07, but they kicked a FG.
Three drives after that, Raiders ran 14 plays for 27 yards, no points.
In two games (1-1), Raiders have run ball 43 times for 124 yards.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Tom Brady is part-owner of the Raiders; he was wearing a headset during the game Monday night, it is said that he consults with Raiders’ OC Chip Kelly on the game plan during the week.
How the BLEEP is he allowed to also broadcast games on network TV, where he meets with coaches of other teams during the week?!?!?!??
Raiders play Chicago in Week 4; if you’re Ben Johnson, do you want him in a production meeting where you will discuss your strategy??? I don’t think so.
NFL needs to put a stop to this.
— Through two weeks of the NFL…….
Home underdogs in divisional games are 1-5 ATS
Home underdogs in non-divisional games are 3-4 ATS
Home favorites in non-divisional games are 5-6 ATS
Home favorites in divisional games are 4-3 ATS
Overall, favorites are 17-15 ATS.
— Rough day for NFL quarterbacks………
Minnesota Vikings are expecting to start Carson Wentz this week, with JJ McCarthy nursing an ankle surgery.
Vikings are playing Cincinnati this week, which will be starting backup Jake Browning the next three months, after Joe Burrow had surgery on his foot/toe.
Commanders’ QB Jayden Daniels (knee) is a ??? for Washington’s game with the Raiders this week.
Also, Cowboys’ center Cooper Beebe is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a sprained ankle.
— Famous birthdays, September 16th
Ed Begley, Jr, 76
Mickey Rourke, 73
Wilbert Montgomery, 71
Robin Yount, 70
Eric Hipple, 68
Jennifer Tilly, 67
Orel Hershiser, 67
Tim Raines, 66
Chad Harville, 49
Dan Dickau, 47
Brandon Moss, 42
Robbie Grossman, 36
Aaron Gordon, 30
Quinn Priester, 25
Sam Howell, 25
— In college football…….
AAC home teams are 3-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC road teams are 9-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC favorites are 7-5, home dogs are 0-4.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS
Overall, ACC teams are 10-16 ATS out of conference.
Big 10 teams are 15-18 ATS out of conference.
Big X teams non-conference favorites are 9-8, underdogs are 3-4.
Conference USA teams are 11-6 ATS out of conference, 8-4 as road underdogs.
MAC teams are 15-10 ATS in non-conference games.
Mountain West teams are 13-7 ATS, road underdogs are 7-3 ATS
SEC home favorites are 7-11 ATS out of conference; overall, SEC teams are 15-13 ATS in non-conference games.
Sun Belt teams 12-14 ATS in non-conference games.
— Over the weekend, UCLA/Virginia Tech fired their football coaches; September is half-over today, and two college/minor league teams have already fired their coaches. Yikes.
— Phillies 6, Dodgers 5 (10)
Phillies clinch the NL East with this win.
Dodgers lead NL West by two games over San Diego.
Kyle Schwarber hit his 53rd home run; he has hit 22 homers off of lefties this year, tied with Stan Musial (1949), Matt Olson (2021) for most homers hit by a lefty off of lefties in one year.
— Diamondbacks 8, Giants 1
Arizona broke open a close game, scoring six runs in sixth inning.
Geraldo Perdomo was 3-fot-3 with 2 walks, scored a run.
Zac Gallen allowed two hits in six IP.
— Arizona is 1.5 games behind the Mets for the NL’s last playoff spot; Giants are now two games behind the Mets.
— Reds 11, Cardinals 6
Sal Stewart was 3-for-5, with 3 runs scored, 2 RBI
Cincinnati is also within two games of the NL’s last playoff spot.
— Astros 6, Rangers 3
Jeremy Pena was 2-for-4, with three RBI
Oft-injured Yordan Alvarez left this game with a sprained ankle.
Houston’s bullpen got 13 outs, didn’t allow run.
— Blue Jays 2, Rays 1 (11)
Trey Yesavage allowed a run in five IP in his MLB debut.
Toronto has a five-game lead in the NL East; their magic number is 8.
NFL spreads for Week 3:
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-12.5)
— Bengals @ Minnesota (-2.5)
— Steelers (-1.5) @ New England
— Colts (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Texans (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
— Falcons (-5.5) @ Carolina
Quote of the Day
“Whether you think you can, or think you can’t, you’re right.”
Henry Ford
Tuesday’s quiz
LA/San Diego Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?
Monday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; he played the most for San Diego, playing for the Padres in the 1984 World Series.
Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.
**********************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..
I’m not sure if/when you’ll be reading this; had some major Internet issues at Armadillo World HQ late Monday night. Hopefully you’re reading this and all is well with the world…….Buccaneers 20, Texans 19
Bucs drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
Tampa Bay opens up 2-0 for the fifth year in a row.
Bucs’ first two drives: 23 plays, 147 yards, two TD’s
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Houston took a 19-14 lead on a 25-yard run by Chubb with 2:10 left.
Tampa Bay outgained the Texnas, 360-266.
In two games, Houston has converted 4-18 third down plays.
Since 2019, Texans are 6-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Chargers 20, Raiders 9
Chargers picked off three passes, outgained Raiders 317-218.
Chargers led 17-6 at halftime.
Chargers are 6-2 SU/8-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals.
Chargers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Raiders had drive of 19 plays, 62 yards; it took 11:07, but they kicked a FG.
Three drives after that, Raiders ran 14 plays for 27 yards, no points.
In two games (1-1), Raiders have run ball 43 times for 124 yards.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Tom Brady is part-owner of the Raiders; he was wearing a headset during the game Monday night, it is said that he consults with Raiders’ OC Chip Kelly on the game plan during the week.
How the BLEEP is he allowed to also broadcast games on network TV, where he meets with coaches of other teams during the week?!?!?!??
Raiders play Chicago in Week 4; if you’re Ben Johnson, do you want him in a production meeting where you will discuss your strategy??? I don’t think so.
NFL needs to put a stop to this.
— Through two weeks of the NFL…….
Home underdogs in divisional games are 1-5 ATS
Home underdogs in non-divisional games are 3-4 ATS
Home favorites in non-divisional games are 5-6 ATS
Home favorites in divisional games are 4-3 ATS
Overall, favorites are 17-15 ATS.
— Rough day for NFL quarterbacks………
Minnesota Vikings are expecting to start Carson Wentz this week, with JJ McCarthy nursing an ankle surgery.
Vikings are playing Cincinnati this week, which will be starting backup Jake Browning the next three months, after Joe Burrow had surgery on his foot/toe.
Commanders’ QB Jayden Daniels (knee) is a ??? for Washington’s game with the Raiders this week.
Also, Cowboys’ center Cooper Beebe is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a sprained ankle.
— Famous birthdays, September 16th
Ed Begley, Jr, 76
Mickey Rourke, 73
Wilbert Montgomery, 71
Robin Yount, 70
Eric Hipple, 68
Jennifer Tilly, 67
Orel Hershiser, 67
Tim Raines, 66
Chad Harville, 49
Dan Dickau, 47
Brandon Moss, 42
Robbie Grossman, 36
Aaron Gordon, 30
Quinn Priester, 25
Sam Howell, 25
— In college football…….
AAC home teams are 3-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC road teams are 9-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC favorites are 7-5, home dogs are 0-4.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS
Overall, ACC teams are 10-16 ATS out of conference.
Big 10 teams are 15-18 ATS out of conference.
Big X teams non-conference favorites are 9-8, underdogs are 3-4.
Conference USA teams are 11-6 ATS out of conference, 8-4 as road underdogs.
MAC teams are 15-10 ATS in non-conference games.
Mountain West teams are 13-7 ATS, road underdogs are 7-3 ATS
SEC home favorites are 7-11 ATS out of conference; overall, SEC teams are 15-13 ATS in non-conference games.
Sun Belt teams 12-14 ATS in non-conference games.
— Over the weekend, UCLA/Virginia Tech fired their football coaches; September is half-over today, and two college/minor league teams have already fired their coaches. Yikes.
— Phillies 6, Dodgers 5 (10)
Phillies clinch the NL East with this win.
Dodgers lead NL West by two games over San Diego.
Kyle Schwarber hit his 53rd home run; he has hit 22 homers off of lefties this year, tied with Stan Musial (1949), Matt Olson (2021) for most homers hit by a lefty off of lefties in one year.
— Diamondbacks 8, Giants 1
Arizona broke open a close game, scoring six runs in sixth inning.
Geraldo Perdomo was 3-fot-3 with 2 walks, scored a run.
Zac Gallen allowed two hits in six IP.
— Arizona is 1.5 games behind the Mets for the NL’s last playoff spot; Giants are now two games behind the Mets.
— Reds 11, Cardinals 6
Sal Stewart was 3-for-5, with 3 runs scored, 2 RBI
Cincinnati is also within two games of the NL’s last playoff spot.
— Astros 6, Rangers 3
Jeremy Pena was 2-for-4, with three RBI
Oft-injured Yordan Alvarez left this game with a sprained ankle.
Houston’s bullpen got 13 outs, didn’t allow run.
— Blue Jays 2, Rays 1 (11)
Trey Yesavage allowed a run in five IP in his MLB debut.
Toronto has a five-game lead in the NL East; their magic number is 8.
NFL
Week 3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, September 18
8:15 PM ET
Miami VS Buffalo
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road.
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 14 games.
Buffalo is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games against Miami.
Sunday, September 21
1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Minnesota
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 18 games.
Cincinnati is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games.
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Minnesota is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis VS Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games.
Tennessee is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games against Indianapolis.
1:00 PM ET
Atlanta VS Carolina
Atlanta is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games.
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Green Bay VS Cleveland
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games.
Green Bay is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
Cleveland is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games.
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against Jacksonville.
Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home.
Jacksonville is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh VS New England
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New England.
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games.
New England is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS Philadelphia
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
LA Rams is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
LA Rams is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Philadelphia is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against LA Rams.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets' last 9 games.
NY Jets is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Jets is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against NY Jets.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Las Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Washington.
Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Denver VS Los Angeles
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 6 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
New Orleans VS Seattle
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 8 games.
New Orleans is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against New Orleans.
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
4:25 PM ET
Arizona VS San Francisco
Arizona is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games against Arizona.
4:25 PM ET
Dallas VS Chicago
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas' last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
Chicago is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 8 games against Dallas.
8:20 PM ET
Kansas City VS New York
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against NY Giants.
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games against NY Giants.
NY Giants is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants' last 20 games.
NY Giants is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games against Kansas City.
Monday, September 22
8:15 PM ET
Detroit VS Baltimore
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games.
Detroit is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games against Detroit.
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Week 3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, September 18
8:15 PM ET
Miami VS Buffalo
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road.
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 14 games.
Buffalo is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games against Miami.
Sunday, September 21
1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Minnesota
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 18 games.
Cincinnati is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games.
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Minnesota is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis VS Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games.
Tennessee is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games against Indianapolis.
1:00 PM ET
Atlanta VS Carolina
Atlanta is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games.
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Green Bay VS Cleveland
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games.
Green Bay is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
Cleveland is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games.
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against Jacksonville.
Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home.
Jacksonville is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh VS New England
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New England.
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games.
New England is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS Philadelphia
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
LA Rams is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
LA Rams is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Philadelphia is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against LA Rams.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets' last 9 games.
NY Jets is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Jets is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against NY Jets.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Las Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Washington.
Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Denver VS Los Angeles
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 6 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
New Orleans VS Seattle
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 8 games.
New Orleans is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against New Orleans.
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
4:25 PM ET
Arizona VS San Francisco
Arizona is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games against Arizona.
4:25 PM ET
Dallas VS Chicago
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas' last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
Chicago is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 8 games against Dallas.
8:20 PM ET
Kansas City VS New York
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against NY Giants.
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games against NY Giants.
NY Giants is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants' last 20 games.
NY Giants is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games against Kansas City.
Monday, September 22
8:15 PM ET
Detroit VS Baltimore
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games.
Detroit is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games against Detroit.
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 3
Thursday’s game
Dolphins @ Bills (–12.5)
Dolphins (0-2)
Dolphins lost their first two games,, giving up 33-33 points.
In two games, Miami has run ball only 27 times for 139 yards.
Miami is minus-4 in turnovers in two games.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-11 ATS as abroad underdog.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-27 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-27 as a head coach, 0-2 in playoffs.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-3 ATS in AFC East road games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Bills (2-0)
Buffalo won its first two games,. Scoring 41-30 points.
Last three years, Bills are 3-6-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
QB Allen is 85-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 95-52 as an NFL head coach.
Last five years, Bills are 21-16-1 ATS as a rhyme favorite.
Last four years, Bills are 6-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Buffalo is 10-5 ATS in last fifteen games coming off a win.
Bills won four in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
Dolphins covered three of last four visits to Buffalo.
Over is 8-5 in last thirteen meetings.
NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 4-3 ATS so far this year.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 3
Thursday’s game
Dolphins @ Bills (–12.5)
Dolphins (0-2)
Dolphins lost their first two games,, giving up 33-33 points.
In two games, Miami has run ball only 27 times for 139 yards.
Miami is minus-4 in turnovers in two games.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-11 ATS as abroad underdog.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-27 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-27 as a head coach, 0-2 in playoffs.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-3 ATS in AFC East road games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Bills (2-0)
Buffalo won its first two games,. Scoring 41-30 points.
Last three years, Bills are 3-6-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
QB Allen is 85-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 95-52 as an NFL head coach.
Last five years, Bills are 21-16-1 ATS as a rhyme favorite.
Last four years, Bills are 6-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Buffalo is 10-5 ATS in last fifteen games coming off a win.
Bills won four in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
Dolphins covered three of last four visits to Buffalo.
Over is 8-5 in last thirteen meetings.
NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 4-3 ATS so far this year.
Joe Burrow injury: Bengals to sign veteran QBs Mike White, Sean Clifford to the practice squad, per report
The Bengals recently lost Burrow for three months following a foot injury
he Cincinnati Bengals are set to be without star quarterback Joe Burrow for at least three months after he suffered a brutal toe injury that requires surgery. In the wake of Burrow's devastating injury, the Bengals are signing veteran quarterbacks Mike White and Sean Clifford to the team's practice squad, according to NFL Media.White signed with the Buffalo Bills in January 2025 and spent training camp and the preseason with the team. However, White was released during the final roster cuts. White was originally selected by the Dallas Cowboys in the fifth round of the 2018 NFL Draft. He has also spent time with the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins during his NFL career.
White has completed 61.4% of his passes for 2,247 yards and nine touchdowns, while tossing 13 interceptions throughout his career. White has seven career starts under his belt, which all came with the Jets during the 2021 and 2022 seasons. Ironically enough, White threw for a career-high 405 yards against the Bengals on Halloween during the 2021 season while playing for the Jets.
Meanwhile, Clifford was originally selected by the Green Bay Packers in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL Draft following a stellar career at Penn State. Clifford spent the past two seasons on Green Bay's active roster and practice squad before being released by the team during final roster cuts this season. He has only completed one career NFL pass, which came in 2023 in relief of Jordan Love.
The Bengals are quite familiar with Clifford's resume. Clifford worked out for the Bengals prior to the 2023 NFL Draft and did attend nearby St. Xavier High School in Cincinnati.
In the wake of Burrow's injury, the Bengals will turn to Jake Browning to lead the offense for the foreseeable future. In relief of Burrow, Browning completed 21-of-32 passes for 241 yards to go along with two touchdowns and three interceptions in Sunday's 31-27 win against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Brett Rypien will serve as the primary backup signal caller to Browning. Rypien landed on the Bengals practice squad after being released by the Minnesota Vikings during final roster cuts this summer. The veteran quarterback has spent time with the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams in addition to the Vikings and has logged four career starts.
Aaron Jones injury update: Vikings RB heading to injured reserve, out at least four weeks, per reports
Jordan Mason is expected to receive the bulk of the carries with Jones out
The Minnesota Vikings are placing running back Aaron Jones on injured reserve due to a hamstring injury suffered during his team's 22-6 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, according to multiple reports. Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell said Monday that Jones was unlikely to play in Week 3 against the Cincinnati Bengals. Now the 30-year-old Jones will be sidelined for at least the next four weeks.Jones has rushed for only 46 yards on 13 carries through the first two games of the season. Jones hauled in three catches for 44 yards -- including a 27-yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears in Week 1 -- that helped his team pull away for good. He ran for a career-high 1,138 yards in 2024 after signing with Minnesota last offseason following a seven-year stint with the Green Bay Packers to open his career. Jones signed a two-year, $20 million extension through the 2026 season earlier this offseason.
Jordan Mason in line for bigger role for Vikings
With Jones out, Jordan Mason will step into the lead back role in Minnesota. Mason, 26, was acquired via trade from the San Francisco 49ers in March after he ran for a career-high 789 yards during the 2024 campaign. Mason has 98 yards on 24 carries this season for the Vikings (1-1).Minnesota is also expected to sign Cam Akers as a depth piece on the heels of Jones' injury, per multiple outlets. Akers was a 2020 second-round pick of the Rams, where he played under Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell, then the team's offensive coordinator. Akers was acquired by the Vikings two other times -- in a trade from the Rams early in the 2023 season and then in 2024 in a trade with the Texans. Akers, who has has 2,025 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns in his career, spent this offseason with the Saints but did not make the 53-man roster.
The Vikings are three-point home favorites over the Bengals this weekend, per FanDuel Sportsbook, despite not having Jones and starting quarterback JJ McCarthy available.
McCarthy will miss multiple weeks with an ankle sprain, leaving backup Carson Wentz as the starter. The Bengals will also be playing with a backup QB as Jake Browning takes over for Joe Burrow, who went on IR with a turf toe injury.
NFL Week 2 injury panic meter: Joe Burrow, Bengals in disarray; Justin Fields status uncertain for Jets
Here's a gauge on some of the notable injuries to come out of Week 2
Injuries are a constant presence in the NFL, and through two weeks, there's already been a sizable collection of stars that have paid a visit to the blue medical tent. In Week 2, the seismic injury was found in Cincinnati, where star quarterback Joe Burrow exited the Bengals contest with the Jacksonville Jaguars due to a toe injury, which now has him sidelined indefinitely. On top of Burrow, the likes of Justin Fields, Aaron Jones, Jaylon Johnson and Patrick Surtain II were among the notable names to also come out of Week 2 dinged up.Below, we're going to roll through the key injuries that occurred during Week 2 and break out our panic meter to determine how concerned folks should be when it comes to these specific ailments.
Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow
Panic level: High
Burrow went down in the second quarter of Cincinnati's Week 2 matchup with the Jaguars after being sacked by Arik Armstead. The Bengals quarterback hobbled to the locker room, was eventually ruled out, and it's since been revealed that Burrow is dealing with turf toe. The injury requires surgery and is expected to sideline him for at least three months. Despite being 2-0 to start the year, this dramatically lowers the ceiling for Cincinnati in 2025, with Jake Browning set to take over as the starter.
New York Jets: Justin Fields
Panic level: MediumThe Jets quarterback is currently in concussion protocol after being sacked by Buffalo pass rusher Joey Bosa during Sunday's 30-10 defeat. Fields suffered the injury in the fourth quarter and did not return to the game, leaving Tyrod Taylor to finish out the contest under center. Fields will need to clear protocol before New York heads down to Tampa to face the Buccaneers in Week 3 next Sunday, and that's always a tricky endeavor, particularly in terms of playing the following week.
Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels
Panic level: MediumDaniels suffered a knee injury during Washington's Week 2 loss to the Green Bay Packers and underwent an MRI following the contest, according to NFL Media. The second-year quarterback was diagnosed with a knee sprain and while the injury doesn't appear to be too serious, his status for Week 3 against the Raiders is in doubt. If he's sidelined, Marcus Mariota would get the nod.
Chicago Bears: Jaylon Johnson
Panic level: HighChicago's Pro Bowl corner had missed all of training camp, the preseason, and the Bears Week 1 opener due to a groin injury, but was able to make his debut in Week 2 against Detroit. However, Johnson went down in the second quarter with another groin injury while trying to break up a pass. That injury is now reportedly set to sideline him indefinitely, and the team is still evaluating whether or not surgery is necessary, according to ESPN.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Alex Highsmith
Panic level: MediumHead coach Mike Tomlin told reporters postgame that outside linebacker Alex Highsmith suffered a high ankle sprain during Pittsburgh's Week 2 loss to the Seahawks.Highsmith initially appeared on the Steelers injury report with an ankle injury during last Friday's practice and seemingly aggravated it during the game. While this injury is expected to sideline him, NFL Media reports that he is not likely to land on injured reserve, meaning the team views this injury as less than a four-game absence. Still, losing a high-impact player like this isn't ideal for a Pittsburgh defense that has given up 30-plus points in each of the last two weeks.
Carolina Panthers: Robert Hunt
Panic level: HighPanthers head coach Dave Canales told reporters Monday that Hunt would be heading to injured reserve after tearing his left biceps during Sunday's loss to Arizona. Hunt, who is coming off a Pro Bowl season, will be placed on injured reserve.
Carolina Panthers: Austin Corbett
Panic level: HighIn conjunction with Hunt, Panthers coach Dave Canales also said that Corbett will beheading to injured reserve as well. He re-injured the MCL in his left knee, which is the same one he torn the ACL in during the 2022 season and had another MCL injury during the 203 season.
New York Jets: Jermaine Johnson II
Panic level: MediumJohnson suffered an ankle injury in the second quarter of Sunday's loss to Buffalo and did not return. While it's still unclear as to the severity of the injury, Johnson did post on X on Monday saying, "Thank God… y'all have no idea lol." That would appear to indicate that he avoided a serious injury, but it's still worth monitoring until official word comes in.
Washington Commanders: Austin Ekeler
Panic level: HighThis injury comes in the Week 2 opener on Thursday night. Ekeler was carted off the field during the fourth quarter of Washington's loss to Green Bay, and the worst fears have been realized. The veteran back suffered a torn Achilles tendon that will end his season.
Atlanta Falcons: A.J. Terrell
Panic level: MediumAtlanta's starting corner exited Sunday night's win over the Vikings in the first half after suffering a hamstring injury. The severity of Terrell's injury remains unclear, but soft tissue injuries always seem to vary on a case-by-case basis, so there should be a medium level of concern until more information comes in.
Dallas Cowboys: Cooper Beebe
Panic level: HighThe Cowboys starting center is expected to miss six to eight weeks with a high ankle sprain, according to NFL Media. That will land Beebe on injured reserve in all likelihood, and set up Brock Hoffman to take over at center for the foreseeable future.
Baltimore Ravens: Marlon Humphrey
Panic level: LowHumprhey went into the locker room in the fourth quarter due to a groin injury. While more information is needed to get a full scope of the severity of the injury, Baltimore was wrapping up a 41-17 blowout over the Browns. It's possible that Humprhey didn't push the envelope to get back into the contest because the game was already in hand, but that's purely speculation.
Baltimore Ravens: Kyle Van Noy
Panic level: HighVan Noy is bracing to potentially miss multiple games due to a hamstring injury he suffered on Sunday, according to ESPN. The veteran linebacker, who led the team with 12.5 sacks last year, went down with roughly 12 minutes to play in the second quarter. With Van Noy on the shelf, rookie linebacker Mike Green could see an uptick in snaps.
Minnesota Vikings: J.J. McCarthy
Panic level: MediumVikings coach Kevin O'Connell told reporters on Monday that second-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy came in with an ankle sprain following the team's Sunday night loss to the Falcons. The team does not anticipate having him for Sunday's Week 3 matchup against the Bengals, which would mean veteran Carson Wentz elevates to QB1. While McCarthy isn't expected to play this week, the injury isn't expected to be long term.
Minnesota Vikings: Aaron Jones
Panic level: MediumJones was initially listed as questionable to return after suffering a hamstring injury in the fourth quarter of Sunday's loss to Atlanta and did not return to action. Coach Kevin O'Connell told reporters Monday that Jones is still being evaluated, but is likely to be out this week. That paves the way for more touches for Jordan Mason.
Denver Broncos: Patrick Surtain II
Panic level: LowSurtain needed assistance getting off the field after suffering a lower leg injury midway through the second quarter of Sunday's loss to Indianapolis. However, the star corner was able to return to the field with his ankle heavily taped. While Surtain certainly wasn't 100% upon his return, being able to get back on the field does give a more optimistic view of his status moving forward.
