NFL
Week 1
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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 4
8:20 PM ET
Dallas VS Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 8 games.
Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games against Dallas.
Friday, September 5
8:00 PM ET
Kansas City VS Los Angeles
Kansas City is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
Kansas City is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Kansas City.
Sunday, September 7
1:00 PM ET
Arizona VS New Orleans
Arizona is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games.
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans' last 9 games against Arizona.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas' last 6 games.
Las Vegas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games.
Las Vegas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against New England.
Las Vegas is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh VS New York
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Pittsburgh is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games against NY Jets.
NY Jets is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets' last 7 games.
NY Jets is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Jets' last 19 games against Pittsburgh.
1:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Atlanta.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games.
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
1:00 PM ET
Miami VS Indianapolis
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games on the road.
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Indianapolis' last 18 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS Washington
NY Giants is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Giants' last 18 games.
NY Giants is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
NY Giants is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against Washington.
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games.
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Carolina VS Jacksonville
Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games.
Carolina is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Jacksonville.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games.
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games against Cincinnati.
4:05 PM ET
San Francisco VS Seattle
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games.
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Tennessee VS Denver
Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
Tennessee is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games against Denver.
Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games against Tennessee.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee.
4:25 PM ET
Houston VS Los Angeles
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
Houston is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
LA Rams is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.
4:25 PM ET
Detroit VS Green Bay
Detroit is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games.
Detroit is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games against Green Bay.
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Green Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.
Green Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit.
Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
8:20 PM ET
Baltimore VS Buffalo
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 19 games.
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games on the road.
Buffalo is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
Buffalo is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games against Baltimore.
Monday, September 8
8:15 PM ET
Minnesota VS Chicago
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Chicago.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Chicago is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games against Minnesota.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
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Week 1
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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 4
8:20 PM ET
Dallas VS Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 8 games.
Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games against Dallas.
Friday, September 5
8:00 PM ET
Kansas City VS Los Angeles
Kansas City is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
Kansas City is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Kansas City.
Sunday, September 7
1:00 PM ET
Arizona VS New Orleans
Arizona is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games.
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans' last 9 games against Arizona.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas' last 6 games.
Las Vegas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games.
Las Vegas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against New England.
Las Vegas is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh VS New York
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Pittsburgh is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games against NY Jets.
NY Jets is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets' last 7 games.
NY Jets is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Jets' last 19 games against Pittsburgh.
1:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Atlanta.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games.
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
1:00 PM ET
Miami VS Indianapolis
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games on the road.
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Indianapolis' last 18 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS Washington
NY Giants is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Giants' last 18 games.
NY Giants is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
NY Giants is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against Washington.
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games.
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Carolina VS Jacksonville
Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games.
Carolina is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Jacksonville.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games.
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games against Cincinnati.
4:05 PM ET
San Francisco VS Seattle
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games.
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Tennessee VS Denver
Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
Tennessee is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games against Denver.
Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games against Tennessee.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee.
4:25 PM ET
Houston VS Los Angeles
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
Houston is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
LA Rams is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.
4:25 PM ET
Detroit VS Green Bay
Detroit is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games.
Detroit is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games against Green Bay.
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Green Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.
Green Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit.
Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
8:20 PM ET
Baltimore VS Buffalo
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 19 games.
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games on the road.
Buffalo is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
Buffalo is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games against Baltimore.
Monday, September 8
8:15 PM ET
Minnesota VS Chicago
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Chicago.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Chicago is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games against Minnesota.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 1
Thursday
Cowboys vs Eagles (-7)
Dallas won its last three road openers, covered the last four.
Since 2020, Cowboys are 10-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Last five years, Dallas is 7-8 ATS in NFC East road games.
QB Prescott is 78-51 as an NFL starter.
This is Brian Schottenheimer’s first game as a head coach.
Under is 6-3 in Cowboys’ last nine season openers.
Last four years, Eagles are 15-11-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, Eagles are 7-5 ATS in NFC East home games.
Last four years, Philly is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last six years, Eagles are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in home openers.
QB Hurts is 51-23 as an NFL starter, 5-3 in playoff games.
Sirianni is 53-23 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoff games.
Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six season openers.
Over last 17 years, Super Bowl champ is 19-6-2 ATS in its Week 1 game the next year.
Eagles beat Dallas twice last year: 34-6/41-7.
Cowboys are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philadelphia.
Home teams covered five of last six series games.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games
Friday
Chargers vs Chiefs (-2.5) (@ Brazil)
Last six years, Chargers started season 1-0 five times.
Chargers are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS vs AFC West rivals last year.
Last year, Bolts were 3-2 ATS as an underdog. Last eight years,
QB Herbert is 41-40 as an NFL starter, 0-2 in playoff games.
Jim Harbaugh is as an NFL head coach.
Last eight years, Chiefs are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in Week 1
Kansas City is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five years, Chiefs are 10-20 ATS vs AFC West rivals.
QB Mahomes is 106-26 as an NFL starter, 17-3 in playoff games.
Andy Reid is 301-163-1 as an NFL head coach
Over last 22 years, team that lost the Super Bowl is 6-16 ATS in its season opener the next year.
Chiefs won six in row, 19 of last 22 series games.
KC beat Chargers twice last year, 19-17/17-10.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sunday’s games
Giants @ Commanders (-7.5)
Last eight years, Giants are 1-7 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
QB Wilson is 130-85-1 as an NFL starter, 23-32 last four years.
Daboll is 19-33-1 as an NFL head coach, 1-1 in playoffs.
Under Daboll, Giants are 12-10 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 5-4 ATS on road vs NFC East rivals.
Washington was 12-5 LY, its first winning year since 2016.
QB Daniels is 14-6 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 60-50 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoffs.
Last four years, Commanders are 4-7-1 ATS at home vs NFC East rivals.
Last 20 years, Washington is 1-5-1 ATS as a favorite in Week 1 games.
Last 12 years, Commanders are 4-8 ATS in Week 1 games.
Washington beat Giants twice LY, 21-18/27-22.
Previous five years, Giants were 7-2-1 SU/ATS vs Washington.
Giants are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits here.
Cardinals (-4.5) @ Saints
Last three years, Arizona is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Gannon, Cardinals are 3-3 ATS as a favorite.
Murray is 36-46-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 12-22 in two years as a head coach.
Cardinals lost last three season openers, giving up 44-20-38 points.
This is first time since 2018 that Arizona is favored in Week 1.
Saints won their last six season openers SU.
Last four years, Saints are 7-11 ATS as a home underdog.
This is Kellen Moore’s first game as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-6 as an NFL starting QB.
This would be rookie QB Shough’s first NFL game- he’ll be 26 in a few weeks.
Teams split last six series games.
Over is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
Dolphins @ Colts (-1)
Dolphins won four of last five season openers.
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten road openers.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-25 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-25 as a head coach, 0-2 in playoffs.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-15-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Dolphins are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games on artificial turf.
Since 2014, Colts are 0-10-1 SU in season openers.
Colts have split their last six home openers.
QB Jones 25-45-1 is as an NFL starter, with the Giants.
Steichen is 17-17 SU in two years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 12-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Colts won eight of last ten series games.
Teams split last six meetings played in Indy.
Raiders @ Patriots (-2)
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 21-16 ATS as a road underdog.
Raiders are 7-3 ATS in last ten road openers.
Last 2 years, Raiders are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Geno Smith is 40-44 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 181-131-1 as an NFL head coach, 11-11 in playoffs.
Carroll was 28-23 coaching New England from 1997-99.
Patriots lost three of last four season openers.
NE is 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS last four home openers.
NE is 8-16-3 ATS last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Maye is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel was 56-48 as head coach of the Titans.
Raiders won last two series games, after losing previous six.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in last four visits to Foxboro.
Tom Brady is now a part-owner of the Raiders.
Steelers (-2.5) @ Jets
Pittsburgh opens on road for 10th time in last 11 years.
Steelers won/covered four of their last five season openers.
Last four years, Pittsburgh is 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Rodgers is 164-97-1 as an NFL starter.
He played for the Jets the last two years (6-12).
Tomlin is 191-118-2 as an NFL head coach.
Tomlin won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2008.
Rodgers won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2010.
Steelers are 25-12-1 ATS last 38 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 11-1 in their last 12 road openers.
Jets are 9-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six season openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.
QB Fields is 14-30 as an NFL starter.
Fields played for the Steelers last year (4-2 in six starts).
This is Aaron Glenn’s first game as a head coach.
Last four years, Jets are minus-28 in turnovers.
Jets are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Teams split the last ten series games.
Steelers lost four of last five visits to the Garden State.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Panthers @ Jaguars (-2.5)
Last 4 years, Panthers are 11-20-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in last six season openers.
Panthers are 7-13 ATS last 20 games vs AFC opponents.
QB Young is 6-22 as an NFL starter,
Canales is 5-12 as a head coach.
Last 3 years, Carolina is 5-5-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last 5 years, Jaguars are 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2 years, Jaguars are 6-4 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Jaguars are 6-5-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Since 2012, Jacksonville is 3-10 ATS in its home opener.
Jaguars’ last four home openers stayed under the total.
QB Lawrence is 23-39 as an NFL starter.
This is Liam Coan’s first game as a head coach.
Carolina won four of six series games.
Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
These two head coaches were the last two OC’s for the Buccaneers.
Bengals (-5) @ Browns
Since 2021, Bengals are 14-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Bengals are 13-8-1 ATS on natural grass.
Last six years, Cincinnati started 0-1 five times.
QB Burrow is 43-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 51-54-1 as a head coach.
Under Taylor, Bengals are 8-9-1 ATS in AFC North road games,
Last three years, Cincinnati is +19 in turnovers.
Last four years, Browns are 7-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last three years, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in AFC North home games.
Browns are 3-2 SU in their last five home openers.
QB Flacco is 115-92 as an NFL starter (7-14 since 2020)
Last two years, Browns were -22/-11 in turnovers.
Stefanski is 41-46 as a head coach.
Over is 5-1 in Cleveland’s last six home openers.
Cincinnati won four of last six series games.
Bengals are 1-6 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Falcons
Since 2021, Tampa Bay is 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2020, Bucs are 12-10-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Since 2021, Bucs are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
Last three years, Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS on artificial turf.
Bucs won/covered five of last seven road openers.
Mayfield is 52-56 as an NFL starter, 20-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 54-68 as a head coach, 28-27 with Tampa Bay.
Last three years, Falcons are 4-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2019, Atlanta is 7-11 ATS in NFC South home games.
Last two years, Falcons are 7-16 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Penix was 1-2 as a starter as a rookie last year.
Morris is 29-47 as a head coach.
He was 17-31 as coach of Tampa Bay, from 2009-11.
This is 6th year in a row Falcons are at home in Week 1.
Last five years, Atlanta is 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in home openers.
Falcons won last three series games, by 3-6-5 points.
Bucs won four of last six visits to Atlanta.
Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
49ers (-1.5) @ Seahawks
Since 2020, 49ers are 16-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3 years, 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS in NFC West road games.
Since 2020, 49ers are 10-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Purdy is 27-15 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 78-66 as an NFL head coach
Under is 6-2 in San Francisco’s last eight road openers.
Last three years, Seahawks are 8-15-1 ATS at home.
Last four years, Seattle is 4-8 ATS in NFC West home games.
Since 2021, Seattle is 11-13-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Darnold is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald was 10-7 LY, in his first year as a head coach.
San Francisco won six of last seven series games.
49ers won/covered last three visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.
Titans @ Broncos (-7)
Last two years, Tennessee was 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Last year, Titans were 2-9 ATS as an underdog.
Titans were minus-16 in turnovers last year.
Last four years, Tennessee is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in Week 1.
Rookie QB Ward is making his first NFL start.
Callahan was 3-14 LY, his first year as an NFL head coach
Last year, Denver was 8-0 ATS as a favorite, 6-0 at home.
From 2015-23, Broncos were only 13-26-4 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Nix was 10-8 as a starter in his rookie season.
Payton is 179-114 as an NFL head coach, 18-17 with Denver.
Broncos lost four of last six home openers.
Under is 6-0 in their last six home openers.
Tennessee won three of last four series games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Texans @ Rams (-2.5)
Last 2 years, Texans were 10-7/10-7, 1-1 in playoffs both years.
Last 2 years, Houston was +11/+12 in turnovers.
QB Stroud is 21-15 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 22-16 in two years as an NFL head coach.
Under Ryans, Texans are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Ryans, Texans are 5-4-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Under Ryans, Houston is 9-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two years, Rams went 10-7/11-6 (1-2 in playoffs).
QB Stafford is 39-25 as the Rams’ starter (113-118-1 overall).
McVay is 88-57 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Rams are 8-12 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Rams were 6-3-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Last two years, Rams were 7-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams have won four of five games vs Houston (5-0 ATS)
Lions (-1.5) @ Packers
Last two years, Lions were 27-7 SU/24-10 ATS.
QB Goff is 85-57-1 as an NFL starter, 43-30-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 46-37-1 as an NFL head coach.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
Last two years, Lions were 11-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3 years, Detroit is 8-1 ATS in road games vs NFC North rivals.
Lions are 18-6 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Green Bay has had winning seasons 5 of last 6 years.
QB Love is as an NFL starter
LaFleur is as an NFL head coach.
Since 2018, Packers are 6-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Last 2 years, Green Bay was 1-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.
Packers are 12-12-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Detroit won five of last six series games.
Lions won/covered last three visits to Lambeau.
Over is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
Ravens @ Bills (-1.5)
Last 2 years, Ravens were 25-9 SU/22-12 ATS
QB Jackson is 73-29 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 185-115 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2017, Baltimore is 14-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Ravens are 20-6 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo has had six straight winning years (71-28 SU/55-42-3 ATS)
Last year, Bills were +24 in turnovers (32-8)
QB Allen is 83-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 93-52 as an NFL head coach.
Last five years, Bills are 22-17-1 ATS at home.
Buffalo is 19-5-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Ravens won four of last six series games.
Ravens lost 27-25 here in last year’s playoffs.
Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Monday
Vikings @ Bears (-1)
Vikings were 14-3 last year, dumped QB Darnold anyway.
2nd year QB McCarthy is making his first NFL start; he was hurt last year.
O’Connell is 34-19 as an NFL head coach.
Last two years, Vikings were 11-5-2 ATS on the road.
Under O’Connell, Minnesota is 4-4-1 ATS on road vs NFC North rivals.
Vikings are 14-11-4 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 26-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears have had four straight losing years; they have a new coach now.
This is Ben Johnson’s first game as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams was 5-12 as a starter in his rookie year LY.
Last two years, Chicago was 10-5-1 ATS at home.
Last five years, Bears were 3-11-1 ATS at home vs NFC North rivals.
Chicago is 6-11-2 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won eight of last nine series games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 1
Thursday
Cowboys vs Eagles (-7)
Dallas won its last three road openers, covered the last four.
Since 2020, Cowboys are 10-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Last five years, Dallas is 7-8 ATS in NFC East road games.
QB Prescott is 78-51 as an NFL starter.
This is Brian Schottenheimer’s first game as a head coach.
Under is 6-3 in Cowboys’ last nine season openers.
Last four years, Eagles are 15-11-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, Eagles are 7-5 ATS in NFC East home games.
Last four years, Philly is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last six years, Eagles are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in home openers.
QB Hurts is 51-23 as an NFL starter, 5-3 in playoff games.
Sirianni is 53-23 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoff games.
Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six season openers.
Over last 17 years, Super Bowl champ is 19-6-2 ATS in its Week 1 game the next year.
Eagles beat Dallas twice last year: 34-6/41-7.
Cowboys are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philadelphia.
Home teams covered five of last six series games.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games
Friday
Chargers vs Chiefs (-2.5) (@ Brazil)
Last six years, Chargers started season 1-0 five times.
Chargers are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS vs AFC West rivals last year.
Last year, Bolts were 3-2 ATS as an underdog. Last eight years,
QB Herbert is 41-40 as an NFL starter, 0-2 in playoff games.
Jim Harbaugh is as an NFL head coach.
Last eight years, Chiefs are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in Week 1
Kansas City is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five years, Chiefs are 10-20 ATS vs AFC West rivals.
QB Mahomes is 106-26 as an NFL starter, 17-3 in playoff games.
Andy Reid is 301-163-1 as an NFL head coach
Over last 22 years, team that lost the Super Bowl is 6-16 ATS in its season opener the next year.
Chiefs won six in row, 19 of last 22 series games.
KC beat Chargers twice last year, 19-17/17-10.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sunday’s games
Giants @ Commanders (-7.5)
Last eight years, Giants are 1-7 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
QB Wilson is 130-85-1 as an NFL starter, 23-32 last four years.
Daboll is 19-33-1 as an NFL head coach, 1-1 in playoffs.
Under Daboll, Giants are 12-10 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 5-4 ATS on road vs NFC East rivals.
Washington was 12-5 LY, its first winning year since 2016.
QB Daniels is 14-6 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 60-50 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoffs.
Last four years, Commanders are 4-7-1 ATS at home vs NFC East rivals.
Last 20 years, Washington is 1-5-1 ATS as a favorite in Week 1 games.
Last 12 years, Commanders are 4-8 ATS in Week 1 games.
Washington beat Giants twice LY, 21-18/27-22.
Previous five years, Giants were 7-2-1 SU/ATS vs Washington.
Giants are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits here.
Cardinals (-4.5) @ Saints
Last three years, Arizona is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Gannon, Cardinals are 3-3 ATS as a favorite.
Murray is 36-46-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 12-22 in two years as a head coach.
Cardinals lost last three season openers, giving up 44-20-38 points.
This is first time since 2018 that Arizona is favored in Week 1.
Saints won their last six season openers SU.
Last four years, Saints are 7-11 ATS as a home underdog.
This is Kellen Moore’s first game as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-6 as an NFL starting QB.
This would be rookie QB Shough’s first NFL game- he’ll be 26 in a few weeks.
Teams split last six series games.
Over is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
Dolphins @ Colts (-1)
Dolphins won four of last five season openers.
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten road openers.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-25 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-25 as a head coach, 0-2 in playoffs.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-15-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Dolphins are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games on artificial turf.
Since 2014, Colts are 0-10-1 SU in season openers.
Colts have split their last six home openers.
QB Jones 25-45-1 is as an NFL starter, with the Giants.
Steichen is 17-17 SU in two years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 12-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Colts won eight of last ten series games.
Teams split last six meetings played in Indy.
Raiders @ Patriots (-2)
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 21-16 ATS as a road underdog.
Raiders are 7-3 ATS in last ten road openers.
Last 2 years, Raiders are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Geno Smith is 40-44 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 181-131-1 as an NFL head coach, 11-11 in playoffs.
Carroll was 28-23 coaching New England from 1997-99.
Patriots lost three of last four season openers.
NE is 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS last four home openers.
NE is 8-16-3 ATS last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Maye is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel was 56-48 as head coach of the Titans.
Raiders won last two series games, after losing previous six.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in last four visits to Foxboro.
Tom Brady is now a part-owner of the Raiders.
Steelers (-2.5) @ Jets
Pittsburgh opens on road for 10th time in last 11 years.
Steelers won/covered four of their last five season openers.
Last four years, Pittsburgh is 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Rodgers is 164-97-1 as an NFL starter.
He played for the Jets the last two years (6-12).
Tomlin is 191-118-2 as an NFL head coach.
Tomlin won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2008.
Rodgers won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2010.
Steelers are 25-12-1 ATS last 38 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 11-1 in their last 12 road openers.
Jets are 9-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six season openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.
QB Fields is 14-30 as an NFL starter.
Fields played for the Steelers last year (4-2 in six starts).
This is Aaron Glenn’s first game as a head coach.
Last four years, Jets are minus-28 in turnovers.
Jets are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Teams split the last ten series games.
Steelers lost four of last five visits to the Garden State.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Panthers @ Jaguars (-2.5)
Last 4 years, Panthers are 11-20-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in last six season openers.
Panthers are 7-13 ATS last 20 games vs AFC opponents.
QB Young is 6-22 as an NFL starter,
Canales is 5-12 as a head coach.
Last 3 years, Carolina is 5-5-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last 5 years, Jaguars are 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2 years, Jaguars are 6-4 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Jaguars are 6-5-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Since 2012, Jacksonville is 3-10 ATS in its home opener.
Jaguars’ last four home openers stayed under the total.
QB Lawrence is 23-39 as an NFL starter.
This is Liam Coan’s first game as a head coach.
Carolina won four of six series games.
Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
These two head coaches were the last two OC’s for the Buccaneers.
Bengals (-5) @ Browns
Since 2021, Bengals are 14-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Bengals are 13-8-1 ATS on natural grass.
Last six years, Cincinnati started 0-1 five times.
QB Burrow is 43-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 51-54-1 as a head coach.
Under Taylor, Bengals are 8-9-1 ATS in AFC North road games,
Last three years, Cincinnati is +19 in turnovers.
Last four years, Browns are 7-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last three years, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in AFC North home games.
Browns are 3-2 SU in their last five home openers.
QB Flacco is 115-92 as an NFL starter (7-14 since 2020)
Last two years, Browns were -22/-11 in turnovers.
Stefanski is 41-46 as a head coach.
Over is 5-1 in Cleveland’s last six home openers.
Cincinnati won four of last six series games.
Bengals are 1-6 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Falcons
Since 2021, Tampa Bay is 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2020, Bucs are 12-10-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Since 2021, Bucs are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
Last three years, Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS on artificial turf.
Bucs won/covered five of last seven road openers.
Mayfield is 52-56 as an NFL starter, 20-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 54-68 as a head coach, 28-27 with Tampa Bay.
Last three years, Falcons are 4-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2019, Atlanta is 7-11 ATS in NFC South home games.
Last two years, Falcons are 7-16 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Penix was 1-2 as a starter as a rookie last year.
Morris is 29-47 as a head coach.
He was 17-31 as coach of Tampa Bay, from 2009-11.
This is 6th year in a row Falcons are at home in Week 1.
Last five years, Atlanta is 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in home openers.
Falcons won last three series games, by 3-6-5 points.
Bucs won four of last six visits to Atlanta.
Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
49ers (-1.5) @ Seahawks
Since 2020, 49ers are 16-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3 years, 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS in NFC West road games.
Since 2020, 49ers are 10-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Purdy is 27-15 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 78-66 as an NFL head coach
Under is 6-2 in San Francisco’s last eight road openers.
Last three years, Seahawks are 8-15-1 ATS at home.
Last four years, Seattle is 4-8 ATS in NFC West home games.
Since 2021, Seattle is 11-13-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Darnold is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald was 10-7 LY, in his first year as a head coach.
San Francisco won six of last seven series games.
49ers won/covered last three visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.
Titans @ Broncos (-7)
Last two years, Tennessee was 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Last year, Titans were 2-9 ATS as an underdog.
Titans were minus-16 in turnovers last year.
Last four years, Tennessee is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in Week 1.
Rookie QB Ward is making his first NFL start.
Callahan was 3-14 LY, his first year as an NFL head coach
Last year, Denver was 8-0 ATS as a favorite, 6-0 at home.
From 2015-23, Broncos were only 13-26-4 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Nix was 10-8 as a starter in his rookie season.
Payton is 179-114 as an NFL head coach, 18-17 with Denver.
Broncos lost four of last six home openers.
Under is 6-0 in their last six home openers.
Tennessee won three of last four series games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Texans @ Rams (-2.5)
Last 2 years, Texans were 10-7/10-7, 1-1 in playoffs both years.
Last 2 years, Houston was +11/+12 in turnovers.
QB Stroud is 21-15 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 22-16 in two years as an NFL head coach.
Under Ryans, Texans are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Ryans, Texans are 5-4-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Under Ryans, Houston is 9-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two years, Rams went 10-7/11-6 (1-2 in playoffs).
QB Stafford is 39-25 as the Rams’ starter (113-118-1 overall).
McVay is 88-57 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Rams are 8-12 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Rams were 6-3-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Last two years, Rams were 7-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams have won four of five games vs Houston (5-0 ATS)
Lions (-1.5) @ Packers
Last two years, Lions were 27-7 SU/24-10 ATS.
QB Goff is 85-57-1 as an NFL starter, 43-30-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 46-37-1 as an NFL head coach.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
Last two years, Lions were 11-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3 years, Detroit is 8-1 ATS in road games vs NFC North rivals.
Lions are 18-6 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Green Bay has had winning seasons 5 of last 6 years.
QB Love is as an NFL starter
LaFleur is as an NFL head coach.
Since 2018, Packers are 6-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Last 2 years, Green Bay was 1-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.
Packers are 12-12-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Detroit won five of last six series games.
Lions won/covered last three visits to Lambeau.
Over is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
Ravens @ Bills (-1.5)
Last 2 years, Ravens were 25-9 SU/22-12 ATS
QB Jackson is 73-29 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 185-115 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2017, Baltimore is 14-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Ravens are 20-6 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo has had six straight winning years (71-28 SU/55-42-3 ATS)
Last year, Bills were +24 in turnovers (32-8)
QB Allen is 83-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 93-52 as an NFL head coach.
Last five years, Bills are 22-17-1 ATS at home.
Buffalo is 19-5-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Ravens won four of last six series games.
Ravens lost 27-25 here in last year’s playoffs.
Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Monday
Vikings @ Bears (-1)
Vikings were 14-3 last year, dumped QB Darnold anyway.
2nd year QB McCarthy is making his first NFL start; he was hurt last year.
O’Connell is 34-19 as an NFL head coach.
Last two years, Vikings were 11-5-2 ATS on the road.
Under O’Connell, Minnesota is 4-4-1 ATS on road vs NFC North rivals.
Vikings are 14-11-4 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 26-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears have had four straight losing years; they have a new coach now.
This is Ben Johnson’s first game as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams was 5-12 as a starter in his rookie year LY.
Last two years, Chicago was 10-5-1 ATS at home.
Last five years, Bears were 3-11-1 ATS at home vs NFC North rivals.
Chicago is 6-11-2 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won eight of last nine series games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
So Im looking for support for my suicide pool pick as I was knocked out week 1 or 2 last year and i want to take ARZ week 1. I found this to give me some false confidence and remind myself how bad Spencer Rattler was ..
The Cardinals have a soft matchup in Week 1 against the Saints.
First-time head coach Kellen Moore named Spencer Rattler as New Orleans’ starting quarterback for Week 1.
Sadly for Moore, the Saints, and their fanbase, Rattler didn’t so much win the job.
He just wasn’t as dreadful as rookie Tyler Shough.
Rattler was Pro Football Focus’s (PFF’s) 37th-ranked passer among 98 with at least 10 dropbacks in the preseason, and Shough was tied for 51st.
More importantly, Rattler was a mess last season.
The Saints were 0-6 in Rattler’s six starts (Week 6 through Week 8 and Week 16 through Week 18), going 1-5 ATS.
New Orleans scored only 74 points in Rattler’s starts, averaging 12.3 points per game with a median of 10 points.
The Cardinals have a soft matchup in Week 1 against the Saints.
First-time head coach Kellen Moore named Spencer Rattler as New Orleans’ starting quarterback for Week 1.
Sadly for Moore, the Saints, and their fanbase, Rattler didn’t so much win the job.
He just wasn’t as dreadful as rookie Tyler Shough.
Rattler was Pro Football Focus’s (PFF’s) 37th-ranked passer among 98 with at least 10 dropbacks in the preseason, and Shough was tied for 51st.
More importantly, Rattler was a mess last season.
The Saints were 0-6 in Rattler’s six starts (Week 6 through Week 8 and Week 16 through Week 18), going 1-5 ATS.
New Orleans scored only 74 points in Rattler’s starts, averaging 12.3 points per game with a median of 10 points.
I know someone else posted this in a new trend thread but this is where it belongs. There is no other thread that has been so consistent over the years and CNotes and Udog do this for every sport everyday OMG thank you guys
We are just coming off a regular season to remember for favorites. The best ATS season from a profit/ROI POV since 2017. Overall, favorites ended 2024 195-77 SU (71.7%), the 3rd-best regular season since 1980. Favorites on the moneyline finished the regular season with a positive ROI in consecutive seasons for the first time since at least 2003. Not only that, but road favorites ended up finishing the regular season an absurd 80-28 SU.
For the Patriots and Commanders, 2025 has big expectations.
New England had a win total of 4.5 and won 4 games last year. This year, their win total is up to 8.5.
The Commanders entered last year at 150-1 to win it all and they are now 18-1 and a contender.
Jim Harbaugh is 5-0 SU/ATS in Week 1’s as an NFL head coach, he is covering the spread in those games by 8.3 PPG. That is the most ATS wins without a loss for any head coach in Week 1 in the Wild Card era since 1990. Tied for second on that list is Dan Campbell, who is 4-0 ATS in Week 1.
In Bo Nix’s early career as a starter, he has been a cover machine, going 12-5 ATS last year. In fact, Nix is only the fourth rookie QB to cover 11-plus games in a season in the Wild Card era since 1990, joining 2012 Russell Wilson, 2012 Andrew Luck, and 2008 Joe Flacco – with Flacco the only QB to cover 12+ games with Bo.
Nix has closed as a favorite eight times in his 17 career starts, and he is 8-0 SU/ATS, covering the spread by 14 points per game. Nix was the first rookie QB to start even 6-0 SU/ATS as a favorite all in their rookie year in the Super Bowl era.
In Joe Burrow’s NFL career, he is 46-29-1 ATS (61%), but Burrow has had his ATS struggles early in the season. He’s 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in his first two games of the year, and 42-23-1 SU and 43-22-1 ATS in game 3 or later. In the last 20 years, only 2 other QBs have one win or fewer and 8 losses or more within the first two games of the regular season: Josh McCown (0-8 SU) and Kerry Collins (1-8 SU).
Whether it's Joe Burrow, the Bengals or Zac Taylor, they seem to start slow. Taylor with Burrow and Andy Dalton as his QBs is 7-14-1 SU in September, including 5-7 SU as a favorite and 4-6 SU at home.
Cam Ward and JJ McCarthy will begin their NFL careers in Week 1 having to play on the road against non-first year QBs, though both 2nd year QBs. Since the NFL merger in 1970, rookie QBs having to play on the road in Week 1 are 8-21 SU and 13-14-2 ATS, losing those games SU by an average of 5.9 PPG. The rookie QB's team averages about 17.9 PPG scored. The last win SU came from Sam Darnold back in 2018.
There have been 28 No. 1 pick QBs since the merger in 1970. In their 1st start, they are 5-22-1 SU, 8-20 ATS with Caleb Williams breaking the drought of QBs winning last year, with the last one before Caleb being David Carr in 2002.
The Jaguars open the season as home favorites vs. the Panthers behind QB Trevor Lawrence.
The Cardinals open the season as road favorites vs. the Saints behind QB Kyler Murray.
Overall, Kyler is 15-17 SU as a favorite and Lawrence is 10-11 SU as a favorite. They are 2 of 6 QBs under .500 SU as a favorite over the last 20 years with min. 10 starts as a favorite – most starts of those listed QBs…
32 – Kyler Murray 15-17 SU
21 – Trevor Lawrence 10-11 SU
15 – Robert Griffin III 7-8 SU
15 – Marc Bulger 7-8 SU
Chiefs lost the Super Bowl last year by 18 pts, trailing 34-0 in the game at one point. In the Wild Card era (since 1990), we’ve seen 11 other teams lose by 14+ pts in the Super Bowl the year prior, and they went 4-7 SU and 2-9 ATS in Week 1 of the next season – they have lost seven consecutive games ATS in Week 1, with the last team to cover being the 1997 Patriots beating the Chargers at home.
When the Chiefs lead early, they are tough to beat. KC is 64-7 SU (90%) since 2018 when leading after the first quarter (best win pct of any NFL team), including 29-0 SU in the last three seasons. Their last loss came in the 2022 AFC Championship game vs. Bengals.
Dan Campbell is 11-3 ATS in September, going above .500 ATS in all four seasons. Who is the most profitable QB against the spread in Week 1 since 2003? The answer: Jared Goff, who is 8-0 ATS in his opener (4-0 SU/ATS with the Rams and 2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS with the Lions).
No head coach is better covering early than Matt LaFleur. Packers are 15-3 ATS within their first 3 games of the season since 2019, best of any team in the NFL – that mark includes 7-0 ATS at home in Lambeau Field.
The Falcons-Panthers-Saints-Bucs have a combined win total of 29 == fewest for any division this year. No division has entered the regular season with a combined win total of below 30 since the 2021 AFC South.
Lowest Combined Division Win Totals Last Decade
2025 NFC South – 29
2021 AFC South – 29
2018 AFC East – 29
2017 AFC East – 29.5
The 2017 Browns and 2008 Lions famously both went 4-0 SU in the preseason before going 0-16 SU in the regular season. The 2007 Patriots were 2-2 SU in the preseason and went 16-0 SU in the regular season. It's not perfect, but here are some preseason trends looking at the regular season.
Here are a few notes for Week 1
Top NFL Things To Know
Chalk City
Favorites Historic 2024 RunWe are just coming off a regular season to remember for favorites. The best ATS season from a profit/ROI POV since 2017. Overall, favorites ended 2024 195-77 SU (71.7%), the 3rd-best regular season since 1980. Favorites on the moneyline finished the regular season with a positive ROI in consecutive seasons for the first time since at least 2003. Not only that, but road favorites ended up finishing the regular season an absurd 80-28 SU.
Big Expectations
Up and ComersFor the Patriots and Commanders, 2025 has big expectations.
New England had a win total of 4.5 and won 4 games last year. This year, their win total is up to 8.5.
The Commanders entered last year at 150-1 to win it all and they are now 18-1 and a contender.
Perfect Jim
Harbaugh Loves Week 1'sJim Harbaugh is 5-0 SU/ATS in Week 1’s as an NFL head coach, he is covering the spread in those games by 8.3 PPG. That is the most ATS wins without a loss for any head coach in Week 1 in the Wild Card era since 1990. Tied for second on that list is Dan Campbell, who is 4-0 ATS in Week 1.
Bo Knows
Nix's Cover RateIn Bo Nix’s early career as a starter, he has been a cover machine, going 12-5 ATS last year. In fact, Nix is only the fourth rookie QB to cover 11-plus games in a season in the Wild Card era since 1990, joining 2012 Russell Wilson, 2012 Andrew Luck, and 2008 Joe Flacco – with Flacco the only QB to cover 12+ games with Bo.
Nix has closed as a favorite eight times in his 17 career starts, and he is 8-0 SU/ATS, covering the spread by 14 points per game. Nix was the first rookie QB to start even 6-0 SU/ATS as a favorite all in their rookie year in the Super Bowl era.
Slow Start
Burrow, Bengals Early StrugglesIn Joe Burrow’s NFL career, he is 46-29-1 ATS (61%), but Burrow has had his ATS struggles early in the season. He’s 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in his first two games of the year, and 42-23-1 SU and 43-22-1 ATS in game 3 or later. In the last 20 years, only 2 other QBs have one win or fewer and 8 losses or more within the first two games of the regular season: Josh McCown (0-8 SU) and Kerry Collins (1-8 SU).
Whether it's Joe Burrow, the Bengals or Zac Taylor, they seem to start slow. Taylor with Burrow and Andy Dalton as his QBs is 7-14-1 SU in September, including 5-7 SU as a favorite and 4-6 SU at home.
Road Beginnings
First Starts On RoadCam Ward and JJ McCarthy will begin their NFL careers in Week 1 having to play on the road against non-first year QBs, though both 2nd year QBs. Since the NFL merger in 1970, rookie QBs having to play on the road in Week 1 are 8-21 SU and 13-14-2 ATS, losing those games SU by an average of 5.9 PPG. The rookie QB's team averages about 17.9 PPG scored. The last win SU came from Sam Darnold back in 2018.
There have been 28 No. 1 pick QBs since the merger in 1970. In their 1st start, they are 5-22-1 SU, 8-20 ATS with Caleb Williams breaking the drought of QBs winning last year, with the last one before Caleb being David Carr in 2002.
Quite The Role
Jaguars, Cardinals Favored EarlyThe Jaguars open the season as home favorites vs. the Panthers behind QB Trevor Lawrence.
The Cardinals open the season as road favorites vs. the Saints behind QB Kyler Murray.
Overall, Kyler is 15-17 SU as a favorite and Lawrence is 10-11 SU as a favorite. They are 2 of 6 QBs under .500 SU as a favorite over the last 20 years with min. 10 starts as a favorite – most starts of those listed QBs…
32 – Kyler Murray 15-17 SU
21 – Trevor Lawrence 10-11 SU
15 – Robert Griffin III 7-8 SU
15 – Marc Bulger 7-8 SU
Different Start
Chiefs New BeginningsChiefs lost the Super Bowl last year by 18 pts, trailing 34-0 in the game at one point. In the Wild Card era (since 1990), we’ve seen 11 other teams lose by 14+ pts in the Super Bowl the year prior, and they went 4-7 SU and 2-9 ATS in Week 1 of the next season – they have lost seven consecutive games ATS in Week 1, with the last team to cover being the 1997 Patriots beating the Chargers at home.
When the Chiefs lead early, they are tough to beat. KC is 64-7 SU (90%) since 2018 when leading after the first quarter (best win pct of any NFL team), including 29-0 SU in the last three seasons. Their last loss came in the 2022 AFC Championship game vs. Bengals.
Strength vs. Strength
NFC North ShowdownDan Campbell is 11-3 ATS in September, going above .500 ATS in all four seasons. Who is the most profitable QB against the spread in Week 1 since 2003? The answer: Jared Goff, who is 8-0 ATS in his opener (4-0 SU/ATS with the Rams and 2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS with the Lions).
No head coach is better covering early than Matt LaFleur. Packers are 15-3 ATS within their first 3 games of the season since 2019, best of any team in the NFL – that mark includes 7-0 ATS at home in Lambeau Field.
Way South
NFC South StrugglesThe Falcons-Panthers-Saints-Bucs have a combined win total of 29 == fewest for any division this year. No division has entered the regular season with a combined win total of below 30 since the 2021 AFC South.
Lowest Combined Division Win Totals Last Decade
2025 NFC South – 29
2021 AFC South – 29
2018 AFC East – 29
2017 AFC East – 29.5
Beginning To Climb
Preseason ConnectionThe 2017 Browns and 2008 Lions famously both went 4-0 SU in the preseason before going 0-16 SU in the regular season. The 2007 Patriots were 2-2 SU in the preseason and went 16-0 SU in the regular season. It's not perfect, but here are some preseason trends looking at the regular season.
- 24 of the last 30 Super Bowl winners have had a .500 or better record in the preseason.
- 16 of the last 20 Super Bowl winners have been .500 ATS or better in the preseason
- Only one Super Bowl participant in the last 20 years went undefeated ATS in preseason (’13 Seahawks).
- Only 8 of 40 Super Bowl participants in the last 20 years covered 3+ games in the preseason.
Inside The Lab
Week 1 Bet Labs TrendsHere are a few notes for Week 1
- Week 1 divisional home underdogs are 23-7 ATS since 2010, including 10-2 ATS since 2018 and 18-4 ATS since 2012.
- Underdogs of 6.5 or more are 49-27 ATS in Week 1 since 2006 (19 seasons) – they are under .500 ATS in just 1 of those 19 seasons.
- 1 to 6.5 point underdogs are 132-90-6 ATS (60%) since 2016 – .500 ATS or better every single year the last 9 years.
- Divisional dogs in Week 1 are 40-41-2 SU, +$2,280 on a $100 bet (+28% ROI) since 2010.
Week 1 NFL Betting Trends:
The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 1. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.AJ’s Angles
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.* Divisional home underdogs are 18-10-2 SU and 24-6 ATS (80%) in Week 1 since ’09 (Win: +17.4 units, ROI: 58%, Grade 75)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND (+5.5 vs CIN), ATLANTA (+2.5 vs TB), SEATTLE (+2.5 vs SF), CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN)
* Teams with a rookie starting quarterback in Weeks 1-3 have seen their total go Under at a 28-10 (73.7%) rate in the last 38 such contests.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TEN-DEN (o/u at 42.5), MIN-CHI (o/u at 43.5)
* INDIANAPOLIS is on an impressive run of 15-2 SU and 14-3 (82.4%) ATS as a favorite of less than 3 points
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-1.5 vs MIA)
* NFL opening week road teams that won between 4-6 games the prior season are 54-23-5 ATS (70.1%) since 2004 (Win: +28.7 units, ROI: 37.3%, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CAROLINA (+3.5 at JAX), LAS VEGAS (+3 at NE), SAN FRANCISCO (-2.5 at SEA)
* PITTSBURGH’s Mike Tomlin is on crazy 32-9 (78%) Under the total run as a road favorite
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PIT-NYJ (o/u at 38.5)
* CINCINNATI is on an incredible 17-1 SU and ATS run as a road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-5.5 at CLE)
* Home teams are 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS in BAL-BUF head-to-head series since 1999
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs BAL)
#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS: NEW ORLEANS +6.5 vs Arizona (projections have line at +4.0)
NFL Week 1 Systems
These are angles that take into account line positioning, how the teams fared the previous year and transition into the follow-up season opener, and whether or not revenge is in play.SYSTEM #1: Divisional home underdogs are 18-10-2 SU and 24-6 ATS (80%) in Week 1 since 2009 (Win: +17.4 units, ROI: 58%, Grade 75)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND (+5.5 vs CIN), ATLANTA (+2.5 vs TB), SEATTLE (+2.5 vs SF), CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN)
SYSTEM #2: Home teams priced in the range of +3 to -3 in week 1 non-conference games have gone just 5-16 SU and 3-17-1 ATS since 2015 (Loss: -15.6 units, ROI: -78%, Grade 75)
System Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-3 vs HOU)
*WATCH FOR JACKSONVILLE vs CAR, -3.5 CURRENTLY
SYSTEM #3: NFL opening week road teams that won between 4-6 games the prior season are 54-23-5 ATS (70.1%) since 2004 (Win: +28.7 units, ROI: 37.3%, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CAROLINA (+3.5 at JAX), LAS VEGAS (+3 at NE), SAN FRANCISCO (-2.5 at SEA)
SYSTEM #4: Divisional road underdogs of 6.5 points or less are on a 17-14 SU and 21-10-1 ATS (67.7%) run since 2013. (Win: +10 units, ROI: 32.2%, Grade 65)
System Matches (PLAY): NY GIANTS (+6 at WAS), DETROIT (+2.5 at GB)
SYSTEM #5: Laying big points is rarely a good idea in a Week 1 NFL contest, as underdogs of 6.5 points or more might be just 11-32-1 SU but they are 30-13-1 ATS (69.8%) in Week 1 since 2013 (Win: +15.7 units, ROI: 36.5%, Grade 67)
System Matches (PLAY ALL ATS): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHI), NEW ORLEANS (+6.5 vs ARI), TENNESSEE (+8.5 at DEN)
SYSTEM #6: Opening week home favorites hosting teams that were above .500 the prior season are 50-30-5 ATS (62.5%) since ’00 (Win: +17 units, ROI: 21.3%, Grade 60)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANAPOLIS (-1.5 vs MIA), GREEN BAY (-2.5 vs DET), LA RAMS (-3 vs HOU), BUFFALO (-1.5 vs BAL)
SYSTEM #7: Week 1 favorites playing in a revenge spot from a loss the prior season are just 18-24 SU and 16-26 ATS (38.1%) over the last 13 seasons (Loss: -12.6 units, ROI: -30%, Grade 60)
System Matches (FADE ALL): TAMPA BAY (-2.5 at ATL), SAN FRANCISCO (-2.5 at SEA), GREEN BAY (-2.5 vs DET)
Team/Coach/QB Specific Situational NFL Betting Trends
These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:(451) DALLAS at (452) PHILADELPHIA
* DALLAS is 21-14 ATS (60%) in road/neutral games since 2021
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is 30-5 SU and 27-8 ATS in divisional games since 2017
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is on a 2-11 SU and ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of DALLAS (+8.5 at PHI)
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni boasts a 22-2 SU and 17-6 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-8.5 vs DAL)
(453) KANSAS CITY vs (454) LA CHARGERS
* KANSAS CITY is 10-18-1 ATS (35.7%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* KANSAS CITY is 56-38-1 ATS (59.6%) in road/neutral games since 2014
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of KANSAS CITY (-3 vs LAC)
(455) PITTSBURGH at (456) NY JETS
* PITTSBURGH is 23-30 ATS (43.4%) as a favorite since 2018
* PITTSBURGH is 102-69 Under the total (59.6%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH’s Mike Tomlin is on crazy 32-9 Under the total run as a road favorite
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 21-8 Over the total as a single-digit road favorite since 2015
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 9-13 SU and 6-16 ATS as a single-digit road favorite since 2021
Trends Match: 2 FADES of PITTSBURGH (-3 at NYJ), also 1 PLAY OVER, 2 PLAYS UNDER the total (o/u at 38.5)
* NY JETS’ Justin Fields is 11-26 SU and 14-21-2 ATS (40%) in Sunday games. The average line was +3.1, Team average PF: 19.6
Trend Match (FADE): NY JETS (+3 vs PIT)
(457) MIAMI at (458) INDIANAPOLIS
* MIAMI is 51-39 ATS (56.7%) as an underdog since 2014
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on a 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of MIAMI (+1.5 at IND)
* INDIANAPOLIS is on an impressive run of 15-2 SU and 14-3 ATS as a favorite of less than 3 points
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-1.5 vs MIA)
(459) CAROLINA at (460) JACKSONVILLE
* JACKSONVILLE is 8-49 SU and 14-42 ATS versus NFC foes since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is 19-28 ATS (40.4%) as a favorite since 2018
* JACKSONVILLE is 39-30 Under the total (56.5%) since 2021
Trends Match: 2 FADES of JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 vs CAR), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 46.5)
(461) NY GIANTS at (462) WASHINGTON
* NY GIANTS are 55-28 Under the total (66.3%) since 2020
* NY GIANTS’ Brian Daboll is on 19-8 Under the total surge as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-WSH (o/u at 45.5)
* WASHINGTON is 16-32 ATS (33.3%) vs. divisional opponents since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (-6 vs NYG)
(463) CINCINNATI at (464) CLEVELAND
* CINCINNATI is on an incredible 17-1 SU and ATS run as a road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015
* CINCINNATI is 56-31 ATS (64.4%) in road/neutral games since 2015
* CINCINNATI’s Zac Taylor boasts a 20-5 SU and 18-5 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-5.5 at CLE)
* CLEVELAND is 32-45 ATS (41.6%) at home since 2015
* CLEVELAND is 21-39 ATS (35%) vs. divisional opponents since 2015
* CLEVELAND’s Joe Flacco is 17-7 Under the total in starts versus divisional foes since 2016
Trends Match: FADE CLEVELAND (+5.5 vs CIN), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 47.5)
(465) LAS VEGAS at (466) NEW ENGLAND
* LAS VEGAS is 36-50 ATS (41.9%) in road/neutral games since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+3 at NE)
(467) ARIZONA at (468) NEW ORLEANS
* ARIZONA is 19-32 ATS (37.3%) as a favorite since 2016
* ARIZONA is 30-22 ATS (57.7%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* ARIZONA’s Kyler Murray is just 4-10 SU and ATS in his last 14 starts as a favorite
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of ARIZONA (-6.5 at NO)
* NEW ORLEANS is 24-42 ATS (36.4%) at home since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+6.5 vs AZ)
(469) TAMPA BAY at (470) ATLANTA
* TAMPA BAY is 36-50 ATS (41.9%) as a favorite since 2014
* TAMPA BAY’s Todd Bowles is on 13-4 Under the total run as road favorite
Trends Match: FADE TAMPA BAY (-2.5 at ATL), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 47.5)
* ATLANTA is 20-36 ATS (35.7%) at home since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): ATLANTA (+2.5 vs TB)
(471) TENNESSEE at (472) DENVER
* TENNESSEE is on a 7-28 SU and 7-27-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
* TENNESSEE is 33-49-1 ATS (40.2%) in non-divisional conference games since 2014
Trends Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (+8.5 at DEN)
* DENVER is 24-33 ATS (42.1%) as a favorite since 2017
* DENVER is 98-67 Under the total (59.4%) since 2015
Trends Match: FADE DENVER (-8.5 vs TEN), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 42.5)
(473) SAN FRANCISCO at (474) SEATTLE
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is on 8-4 Over the total surge vs. divisional opponents
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SF-SEA (o/u at 43.5)
* SEATTLE is 37-27 ATS (57.8%) as an underdog since 2016
* SEATTLE’s Sam Darnold is on a 8-2 SU and ATS surge as an underdog
Trends Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (+2.5 vs SF)
(475) DETROIT at (476) GREEN BAY
* DETROIT is 47-20-1 ATS (70.1%) overall since 2021
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 10-10 SU and 17-3 ATS as a single-digit underdog since 2021
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 16-5 SU and 16-4-1 ATS in divisional games since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+2.5 at GB)
* GREEN BAY is 20-15-1 ATS (57.1%) vs. divisional opponents since 2019
* GREEN BAY is 91-20 SU and 70-39 ATS as a home favorite since 2009
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 18-13 SU but 11-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of GREEN BAY (-2.5 vs DET)
(477) HOUSTON at (478) LA RAMS
* LA RAMS are 14-18 ATS (43.8%) vs. non-conference foes since 2018
* LA RAMS are 51-40 Under the total (56%) since 2020
Trends Match: FADE LA RAMS (-3 vs HOU), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 43.5)
(479) BALTIMORE at (480) BUFFALO
* BALTIMORE is 13-14 SU but 21-6 ATS as an underdog since 2018
* BALTIMORE is 44-23 ATS (65.7%) in road/neutral games since 2017
Trends Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+1.5 at BUF)
* BUFFALO is 40-29 ATS (58%) in non-divisional conference games since 2017
* BUFFALO’s Sean McDermott boasts a 15-3 SU and ATS record as a short favorite of less than 3 points since 2017
Trends Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs BAL)
(481) MINNESOTA at (482) CHICAGO
* MINNESOTA is 4-23 SU and 8-20 ATS as a divisional road underdog since 2010
* MINNESOTA is 57-46 Over the total (55.3%) since 2019
Trends Match: FADE MINNESOTA (-1.5 at CHI), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 43.5)
* CHICAGO is 9-24 SU and 11-22 ATS versus divisional opponents since 2019
* CHICAGO is 28-42-1 ATS (40%) as an underdog since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN)
NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems
This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2025 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Ben Johnson (Chicago), Brian Schottenheimer (Dallas), Liam Coen (Jacksonville), Kellen Moore (New Orleans), and Aaron Glenn (NY Jets) as well as re-tread coaches Pete Carroll (Las Vegas) and Mike Vrabel (New England).Rookie Coach Systems
(Games this week: DAL(+8.5)-PHI, PIT-NYJ(+3), CAR-JAX(-3.5), ARI-NO(+6.5), MIN-CHI(+1.5))
– Rookie head coaches haven’t been good at covering spreads at home over the last decade – 146-172-10 ATS (45.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ORLEANS, CHICAGO
– Rookie head coaches have also struggled in the large underdog role, going 27-113 SU (19.3%) and 66-74 ATS (47.1%) when catching 7 points or more since 2017.
System Match (FADE): DALLAS
– In a trend that seems to make sense as far as familiarity is concerned, the more familiar the opponent, the less successful rookie head coaches have been. Since 2015: Divisional games 111-125-4 ATS (47%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, CHICAGO
Retread Coach Systems
(Game this week: LVR-NE)
– Unlike the rookie HC’s, retread head coaches have been more proficient at covering point spreads at home since 2020. Here is the breakdown: Home games – 48-43 ATS (52.7%). Road/Neutral games – 47-52 ATS (47.5%).
System Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-3 vs LVR)
– Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites but respectable in the underdog role in their first seasons with a new franchise. As favorites since 2015, they’ve gone 91-66 SU but just 58-88-11 ATS, for 39.7%! As dogs (or pick ’em), 79-165 SU and 121-117-6 ATS (50.8%).
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (-3 vs LVR)
NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems
These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The starters out of the gate in 2025 include Cam Ward (Tennessee) and JJ McCarthy (Minnesota), although others could join them down the road.(Games this week: TEN(+8.5)-DEN, MIN(-1.5)-CHI)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #3 – Rookie quarterbacks have gotten off to slow starts of late
· As part of their overall recent struggles, rookie quarterbacks have struggled for bettors as early-season starters, going 6-23-1 SU and 11-18-1 ATS (37.9%) in their last 21 Week 1-3 games. They are also on a 28-10 UNDER the total (73.7%) run in their last 38 such contests.
System Matches: FADE TENNESSEE, FADE MINNESOTA
Also PLAY UNDER the total in: TEN-DEN (o/u at 42.5), MIN-CHI (o/u at 43.5)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Rookie quarterbacks have struggled on the road
· Since the start of the 2013 season, rookie starters have combined for a record of 137-123 ATS (52.7%) in home games but just 119-141 ATS (45.8%) in road/neutral games.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TENNESSEE, MINNESOTA
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
· Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 21 games, going 21-121 SU and 56-82-4 ATS (40.6%).
System Match (FADE): TENNESSEE
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, divisional matchups have been toughest for rookie starting quarterbacks
· The breakdown of success level against Division, Conference, and Non-Conference opponents has been definitive for rookie starting quarterbacks. Here are those trends:
– Since 2015, rookie QBs are just 48-105 SU and 64-84-4 ATS (43.2%) versus divisional opponents.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA
– Since 2018, rookie QBs have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 54-63 SU but 67-49 ATS (57.8%).
System Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #12 – Non-Sunday games have been a respite for rookie QB’s
· Rookie quarterbacks have fared reasonably well under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 20-23 SU and 27-14-2 ATS (65.9%) in their last 43 such tries. Moreover, they are 20-6-1 ATS (76.9%) in their last 27 Monday Night contests.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA
NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems
These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of 32 different veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This year, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh), Russell Wilson (NY Giants), and Geno Smith (Las Vegas).(Games this week: PIT(-3)-NYJ, NYG(+6)-WAS, LVR(+3)-NE)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #1 – Veteran quarterbacks start slow for their new teams
· It takes a little time for these veteran quarterbacks to find their footing with their new franchises. In fact, dating back to 2006, in the month of September, these guys have gone 42-27-1 Under the total (60.9%), averaging about 1.5 PPG less than usual offensively.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): PIT-NYJ, NYG-WAS, LVR-NE
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – By type of opponent, non-divisional conference matchups have been best for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams
· Since 2005, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 83-71 SU and 83-69-2 ATS (54.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, LAS VEGAS
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – Veteran quarterbacks have been atrocious in the road favorite role with new teams
· Since the start of the 2004 season, veteran starting quarterbacks playing their first seasons with new teams have performed terribly in the road favorite role, 45-35 SU but 29-50-1 ATS (36.7%).
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #11 – Veteran quarterbacks are consistent bets as smaller road underdogs with new teams
· Dating back to 2006, veteran starting quarterbacks in their first seasons with new teams have gone 35-31 SU and 44-22 ATS (66.7%) when playing as road underdogs of +5.5 points or fewer.
System Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS
TNF, SNF, and MNF Team NFL Betting Trends and Systems
The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 24-22 SU but 15-29-2 ATS (34.1%) in the last 46. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 44-27 SU and 42-26-3 ATS (61.8%).
System Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-8.5 vs DAL)
· NFL Home Favorites of 7 points or more are on a 30-2 SU and 21-9-2 ATS (70%) run on Thursday games since the start of the 2014 season.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-8.5 vs DAL)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have gone the complete opposite direction, showing a record of 24-14 SU and 17-21 ATS (44.7%) in their last 38 after going 40-18-2 ATS prior.
System Match (SLIGHT FADE): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs BAL)
Good SNF Team Trends
Buffalo 7-2 SU since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO ML (-112 vs BAL)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· NFL home underdogs on Monday Night are on a run of 14-17 SU and 17-13-1 ATS (56.7%) dating back to September 2021. The last 29 of these games have seen Under the total go 21-6-2 (77.8%) as well, games producing just 39.1 PPG.
System Matches: PLAY CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 43.5)
· Home teams have enjoyed little advantage in divisional MNF games of late, going 16-15 SU and 11-19-1 ATS (36.7%) in their last 31 tries.
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN)
UNDER the total MNF Team Trends
Chicago 10-3-1 UNDER L14
Minnesota 14-2 UNDER L16, incl. 9-1 on road
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-CHI (o/u at 43.5)
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Baltimore 28-12 SU and 25-14-1 ATS in the last 40
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+1.5 at BUF)
Buffalo 17-7 SU and 14-10 ATS primetime run
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs BAL)
Dallas 14-8 ATS in the last 22
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHI)
Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Chicago 4-13 SU and 6-11 ATS in the last 17
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+1.5 vs MIN)
UNDER the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Minnesota 25-12 Under primetime record since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-CHI (o/u at 43.5)
This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1(tie). NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (+2.5)
CHICAGO +1.5 (+2.5)
3. MIAMI +1.5 (+1.5)
4. NY JETS +3 (+0.8)
5. DETROIT +2.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WASHINGTON -6 (+1.7)
2. LA RAMS -3 (+0.9)
3. BUFFALO -1.5 (+0.7)
4. KANSAS CITY -3 (+0.5)
5. NEW ENGLAND -3 (+0.4)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. CHICAGO +1.5 (+3.9)
2. NY GIANTS +6 (+3.5)
3(tie). NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (+2.5)
TENNESSEE +8.5 (+2.5)
5. ATLANTA +2.5 (+1.4)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PHILADELPHIA -8.5 (+3.4)
2. BUFFALO -1.5 (+1.9)
3. CINCINNATI -5.5 (+1.7)
4. GREEN BAY -2.5 (+0.6)
5. JACKSONVILLE -3.5 (+0.3)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PIT-NYJ OVER 38.5 (+1.6)
2. ARI-NO OVER 43.5 (+0.9)
3. SF-SEA OVER 43.5 (+0.8)
4. HOU-LAR OVER 43.5 (+0.6)
5. TEN-DEN OVER 42.5 (+0.5)
September 02, 2025 - Trend Dummy
Philly had failed to cover 8 straight home games when laying 7 points or more before destroying the Cowboys last December to break that streak.
Now bettors have tasked them with doing it again in Week 1 as they open to Dallas as 7.5-point chalk kicking off the 2025 season Thursday night.
Other key tilts see the Chiefs visit the Chargers and Ravens at Bills in the AFC while the NFC North is likely going to either the Lions or Packers.
Elsewhere the Raiders have lost 11 straight as underdogs as they visit the Patriots, and the Colts haven’t won in 11 straight season openers as they visit Miami.
Eagles have won 9 straight divisional games as favorites (covering past 4)
OVER is 7-2 past 9 meetings
Eagles 5-1 ATS past 6 at home to Dallas
OVER is 5-1 past 6 Dallas September games
Cowboys have won 7 straight Thursday games SU
Eagles 9-1 SU, 7-2-1 ATS last 10 games played on a Thursday
Cowboys are 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games as the underdog.
Eagles 8-1 SU past 9 season openers
Chargers 3-22 SU past 25 games as home chalk
Chiefs 18-1 SU past 19 as favorites
Chiefs 19-3 SU in its last 22 games vs Chargers.
Chiefs won 10 straight SU at Chargers. 7-2-1 ATS
Chiefs failed to cover 5 straight divisional games
UNDER is 11-2 Kansas City’s last 13 divisional games
Chiefs are 23-4 SU in its last 27 games played in September.
OVER is 9-2 Kansas City’s last 11 Week 1 games (9-1 SU past 10)
Chargers played 5 straight home OVERS
Chargers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference games
Chargers is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 divisional game
UNDER is 16-3 LA Chargers’ last 19 games in September.
Lions are 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Lions 18-4 SU in its last 22 games.
Lions 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games against Green Bay.
Lions 19-4 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Lions 17-5 ATS in its last 22 divisional games
Lions 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games played in September.
OVER in 12 of Detroit’s last 14 games played in Week 1.
Packers 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
OVER is 14-5 Baltimore’s last 19 games.
OVER is 9-2 Baltimore’s last 11 games on the road.
Ravens 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games played in Week 1
Bills 30-5 SU in its last 35 games at home
UNDER is 9-3 Buffalo’s last 12 games played in Week 1.
Monday Night Football Trends
Chicago is 3-18 SU in its last divisional 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota’s last 11 games played on a Monday.
Minnesota is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 MNF road games
Minnesota is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games played on a Monday.
Chicago is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Minnesota 14-1 SU past 15 as road chalk
Philly had failed to cover 8 straight home games when laying 7 points or more before destroying the Cowboys last December to break that streak.
Now bettors have tasked them with doing it again in Week 1 as they open to Dallas as 7.5-point chalk kicking off the 2025 season Thursday night.
Other key tilts see the Chiefs visit the Chargers and Ravens at Bills in the AFC while the NFC North is likely going to either the Lions or Packers.
Elsewhere the Raiders have lost 11 straight as underdogs as they visit the Patriots, and the Colts haven’t won in 11 straight season openers as they visit Miami.
Dallas +7.5 @ Philadelphia Total 47.5
Super Bowl winners are 21-4 SU past 25 new seasons in Week 1Eagles have won 9 straight divisional games as favorites (covering past 4)
OVER is 7-2 past 9 meetings
Eagles 5-1 ATS past 6 at home to Dallas
OVER is 5-1 past 6 Dallas September games
Cowboys have won 7 straight Thursday games SU
Eagles 9-1 SU, 7-2-1 ATS last 10 games played on a Thursday
Cowboys are 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games as the underdog.
Eagles 8-1 SU past 9 season openers
Kansas City @ LA Chargers +3, Total 45.5
Chargers lost 12 straight SU as underdogs, 2-8-1 ATS past 11Chargers 3-22 SU past 25 games as home chalk
Chiefs 18-1 SU past 19 as favorites
Chiefs 19-3 SU in its last 22 games vs Chargers.
Chiefs won 10 straight SU at Chargers. 7-2-1 ATS
Chiefs failed to cover 5 straight divisional games
UNDER is 11-2 Kansas City’s last 13 divisional games
Chiefs are 23-4 SU in its last 27 games played in September.
OVER is 9-2 Kansas City’s last 11 Week 1 games (9-1 SU past 10)
Chargers played 5 straight home OVERS
Chargers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference games
Chargers is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 divisional game
UNDER is 16-3 LA Chargers’ last 19 games in September.
Detroit @ Green Bay -2.5, Total 47
Packers are 28-6 SU in its last 34 games at home against Detroit.Lions are 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Lions 18-4 SU in its last 22 games.
Lions 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games against Green Bay.
Lions 19-4 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Lions 17-5 ATS in its last 22 divisional games
Lions 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games played in September.
OVER in 12 of Detroit’s last 14 games played in Week 1.
Packers 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore @ Buffalo -1, Total 51
UNDER is 10-3 past 13 meetingsOVER is 14-5 Baltimore’s last 19 games.
OVER is 9-2 Baltimore’s last 11 games on the road.
Ravens 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games played in Week 1
Bills 30-5 SU in its last 35 games at home
UNDER is 9-3 Buffalo’s last 12 games played in Week 1.
Monday Night Football Trends
Minnesota @ Chicago +1.5, Total 44
Chicago is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.Chicago is 3-18 SU in its last divisional 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota’s last 11 games played on a Monday.
Minnesota is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 MNF road games
Minnesota is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games played on a Monday.
Chicago is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Minnesota 14-1 SU past 15 as road chalk
Early-Season ATS Trends (Week 1 Focus)
- Underdogs excel early in the season
Since 2000, Week 1 underdogs have gone 175–155–14 ATS (about 53%), showing they outperform expectations overall in the opening week. - Divisional underdogs shine
From 2014 onward, divisional underdogs in Week 1 are 37–15–1 ATS, a standout edge bettors should note. - The value of close underdogs (≤ 3 points)
Since 2015, underdogs with spreads of 3 points or fewer in Week 1 are 36–26–5 ATS, with 34 straight-up wins. These tight-line underdogs often outperform expectations. - Big underdogs also profitable early
In Weeks 1–3 of 2024, underdogs of 5.5+ points boasted a 13–2 ATS record and went 9–6 straight up—a clear indicator of early-season parity creating value on bigger dogs.
Team-Specific Week 1 ATS Trends
1. All-Time Week 1 Performance (Since 1979)
- Detroit Lions: ATS record of 26–19 (57.8%), averaging +0.4 points per game in Week 1 over 45 games—strong cover rate historically.
- Kansas City Chiefs: A standout ~60% ATS cover rate in Week 1.
- Cowboys: Also near 60% Week 1 ATS, averaging +2.5.
- 49ers: Just over 53% ATS, with a small positive average.
- On the low side, Buccaneers (40.9%), Saints (~40%), and Browns (~35%) have struggled Week 1 ATS—highlighting teams typically overvalued or shaky openers.
2. Week 1 ATS Record—Last 10 Years (2015–2024)
- Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots both sit at 5–4–1 (50%) ATS in Week 1 over the past decade.
- St. Louis/LA Rams: Excellent covers with 7–3 (70%) ATS.
- Kansas City Chiefs: Strong Week 1 performance with 7–3 (70%) ATS.
- Teams like the Giants notably underperform in Week 1 — only 2–8 (20%) ATS.
3. Week 1 ATS Record—Past 6 Seasons
Since 2017, the best Week 1 ATS performers include:
- Rams, Ravens, and Chiefs—all with 5–1 records.
Since 2020, Steelers, Cardinals, and Chargers have excelled with 4–1 ATS in openers.
4. Best All-Time Week 1 Team ATS
Going back to the 1990s:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have the best Week 1 ATS record since 1996: 19–10 (65.5%). Quite impressive for an expansion-era squad.
- Chargers, too, stand strong with 60.7% ATS in Week 1 over the same period.
Summary Table: Consistent Week 1 ATS Overperformers
| Team | Statistic & Insight |
|---|---|
| Lions | 26–19 (57.8%) Week 1 ATS all-time |
| Chiefs / Cowboys | ~60% Week 1 ATS covers, solid margins |
| 49ers | Slightly above average Week 1 ATS (~53%) |
| Rams / Chiefs | 7–3 (70%) Week 1 ATS last 10 years |
| Steelers / Patriots | 5–4–1 (50%)—average performance |
| Giants | Struggle ATS in Week 1: 2–8 (20%) |
| Rams / Ravens / Chiefs | 5–1 ATS Week 1 in past 6 seasons |
| Steelers / Cardinals / Chargers | 4–1 ATS in Week 1 since 2020 |
| Jaguars | Best Week 1 ATS since 1996: 19–10 (65.5%) |
| Chargers (long-term) | ~60.7% Week 1 ATS covers since 1996 |
Friday’s 6-pack:
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chargers’ history:
59,271—Philip Rivers
43,040— Dan Fouts
26,938— John Hadl
21,093— Justin Herbert
16,085— Stan Humphries
12,348— Drew Brees
Quote of the Day
“I ain’t talked to Aaron (Rodgers) since he left, so wish him the best this season. Yeah, but we ain’t chopped it up since he left.”
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson
Friday’s quiz
Which city does the movie Good Will Hunting take place in?
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
Wednesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was QB for the Jets, last time they played in a playoff game.
*****************************************
There was an hour-long lightning delay in the third quarter.
Eagles’ DL Jalen Carter got ejected before the first play; he spit on Dallas QB Prescott, while standing right next to an official.
There were 7 possessions in first half: 5 TD’s, 2 field goals. Eagles led 21-20 at half.
Eagles in first half: 30 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Eagles in second half: 34 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
Cowboys lost five of their last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last seven years, Eagles are 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS in home openers.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
Dallas in second half: 26 plays, 136 yards, no points.
Cowboys have covered their last five road openers.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten season openers.
— Buffalo Bills signed K Matt Prater to their practice squad; their regular kicker, Tyler Bass, has been banged-up with a hip injury. This would be Prater’s 20th year in the NFL.
— Bill Belichick has banned New England Patriots’ staff from watching his North Carolina team practice; his disdain towards the Patriots’ organization after his departure from the team two years ago apparently hasn’t lessened any.
Scouts from other teams are limited to watching just three sessions of UNC practice, but three sessions are better than none; not sure how this will help his recruiting going forward.
— Obscure Stat of the Day:
Milwaukee P Jose Quintana faced three batters in an inning Wednesday; all three guys hit a ground ball back to Quintana, the first time that happened in a 1-2-3 inning since 2017.
— New York Mets are going all-in on young starting pitchers; they’re calling up Brandon Sproat to start Sunday’s game in Cincinnati. Sproat is 8-6, 4.24 in 25 AAA starts this season.
— Detroit Lions signed QB CJ Beathard to their practice squad, to be their #3 QB, behind Jared Goff and Kyle Allen. Beathard has started 13 NFL games, for the 49ers/Jaguars.
— 20-year-old Kendall George, the 36th overall pick in the 2023 baseball draft, has stolen 97 bases in 110 games this year- he is hitting .290 with a .406 on-base percentage. George is one of the LA Dodgers’ top minor league prospects.
— Washington Nationals VP of Amateur Scouting Danny Haas has bolted Washington for the Baltimore Orioles.
— Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 86
Billy Kilmer, 86
Michael Keaton, 74
Willie Gault, 65
Jeff Brantley, 62
Brad Hopkins, 55
Ryan Spilborghs, 46
Colt McCoy, 39
TJ Warren, 32
Jarren Duran, 29
Steven Kwan, 28
Mac Jones, 27
William Devane is a great actor who grew up here in Albany; his father was Franklin D Roosevelt’s chauffeur when FDR was governor of New York.
— Phillies 2, Brewers 0
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Trea Turner had the go-ahead hit in the 7th.
Jhoan Duran got his 26th save this season.
— Pirates 5, Dodgers 3
Paul Skenes threw six shutout innings.
Dodgers got swept three straight in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 42-30 at home, 22-47 on the road.
— Rays 4, Guardians 2
Tampa Bay has won seven games in a row.
Ryan Pepiot threw five no-hit IP (90 PT), got the win.
Rays are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— Royals 4, Angels 3
Bobby Witt’s 8th inning home run was a game-winner.
Adam Frazier got his 1,000th career hit.
Royals are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— New York 8, Astros 4
Trent Grisham hit his career-high 30th home run.
New York holds the AL’s #1 Wild Card slot.
Astros still lead AL West by 3.5 games.
— White Sox 11, Twins 8
Minnesota led 7-4 after six innings.
Kyle Teel was 3-4 with three runs scored, four RBI
White Sox sweep the four game series in the Twin Cities.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chargers’ history:
59,271—Philip Rivers
43,040— Dan Fouts
26,938— John Hadl
21,093— Justin Herbert
16,085— Stan Humphries
12,348— Drew Brees
Quote of the Day
“I ain’t talked to Aaron (Rodgers) since he left, so wish him the best this season. Yeah, but we ain’t chopped it up since he left.”
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson
Friday’s quiz
Which city does the movie Good Will Hunting take place in?
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
Wednesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was QB for the Jets, last time they played in a playoff game.
*****************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…..
— Eagles 24, Cowboys 20There was an hour-long lightning delay in the third quarter.
Eagles’ DL Jalen Carter got ejected before the first play; he spit on Dallas QB Prescott, while standing right next to an official.
There were 7 possessions in first half: 5 TD’s, 2 field goals. Eagles led 21-20 at half.
Eagles in first half: 30 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Eagles in second half: 34 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
Cowboys lost five of their last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last seven years, Eagles are 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS in home openers.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
Dallas in second half: 26 plays, 136 yards, no points.
Cowboys have covered their last five road openers.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten season openers.
— Buffalo Bills signed K Matt Prater to their practice squad; their regular kicker, Tyler Bass, has been banged-up with a hip injury. This would be Prater’s 20th year in the NFL.
— Bill Belichick has banned New England Patriots’ staff from watching his North Carolina team practice; his disdain towards the Patriots’ organization after his departure from the team two years ago apparently hasn’t lessened any.
Scouts from other teams are limited to watching just three sessions of UNC practice, but three sessions are better than none; not sure how this will help his recruiting going forward.
— Obscure Stat of the Day:
Milwaukee P Jose Quintana faced three batters in an inning Wednesday; all three guys hit a ground ball back to Quintana, the first time that happened in a 1-2-3 inning since 2017.
— New York Mets are going all-in on young starting pitchers; they’re calling up Brandon Sproat to start Sunday’s game in Cincinnati. Sproat is 8-6, 4.24 in 25 AAA starts this season.
— Detroit Lions signed QB CJ Beathard to their practice squad, to be their #3 QB, behind Jared Goff and Kyle Allen. Beathard has started 13 NFL games, for the 49ers/Jaguars.
— 20-year-old Kendall George, the 36th overall pick in the 2023 baseball draft, has stolen 97 bases in 110 games this year- he is hitting .290 with a .406 on-base percentage. George is one of the LA Dodgers’ top minor league prospects.
— Washington Nationals VP of Amateur Scouting Danny Haas has bolted Washington for the Baltimore Orioles.
— Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 86
Billy Kilmer, 86
Michael Keaton, 74
Willie Gault, 65
Jeff Brantley, 62
Brad Hopkins, 55
Ryan Spilborghs, 46
Colt McCoy, 39
TJ Warren, 32
Jarren Duran, 29
Steven Kwan, 28
Mac Jones, 27
William Devane is a great actor who grew up here in Albany; his father was Franklin D Roosevelt’s chauffeur when FDR was governor of New York.
— Phillies 2, Brewers 0
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Trea Turner had the go-ahead hit in the 7th.
Jhoan Duran got his 26th save this season.
— Pirates 5, Dodgers 3
Paul Skenes threw six shutout innings.
Dodgers got swept three straight in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 42-30 at home, 22-47 on the road.
— Rays 4, Guardians 2
Tampa Bay has won seven games in a row.
Ryan Pepiot threw five no-hit IP (90 PT), got the win.
Rays are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— Royals 4, Angels 3
Bobby Witt’s 8th inning home run was a game-winner.
Adam Frazier got his 1,000th career hit.
Royals are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— New York 8, Astros 4
Trent Grisham hit his career-high 30th home run.
New York holds the AL’s #1 Wild Card slot.
Astros still lead AL West by 3.5 games.
— White Sox 11, Twins 8
Minnesota led 7-4 after six innings.
Kyle Teel was 3-4 with three runs scored, four RBI
White Sox sweep the four game series in the Twin Cities.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
Saturday’s 6-pack:
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chiefs’ history:
32,352— Patrick Mahomes
28,507— Len Dawson
21,459— Trent Green
17,608— Alex Smith
17,277— Bill Kenney
11,873— Steve DeBerg
Quote of the Day
“We knew it was going to be a dogfight, so we showed up today with our best effort. It was fun to see.”
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert
Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once the head coach of which NFL team?
Friday’s quiz
The movie Good Will Hunting take place in Boston.
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
***********************************************
Loss snaps Chiefs’ 11-game win streak in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Chiefs’ first three drives: 12 plays, 28 yards, three punts.
Last 5+ years, Chiefs are 10-21 ATS vs AFC West rivals.
Over last 23 years, team that lost the Super Bowl is 6-17 ATS in its season opener the next year.
Chargers in first half: 31 plays, 181 yards, 13 points.
Bolts were 7-13 on third down, Chiefs 5-14.
Just 4th win for the Chargers in last 23 games vs Kansas City.
Last seven years, Chargers started season 1-0 six times.
— Louisville 28, James Madison 14
Game was tied 14-all after the third quarter.
Louisville’s winning TD was scored by their defense with 13:05 left.
JMU had 12 penalties for 95 yards, Cardinals 5-49.
— Maryland 20, Northern Illinois 9
Maryland won its 17th consecutive non-conference game.
Malik Washington threw for 254 yards, two TD’s.
NIU ran ball for 180 yards, but averaged only 4.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Three NFL teams have two #1 picks in next year’s draft:
Rams, Cowboys, Browns
— August 30, 1990, the Astros traded 37-year old reliever Larry Andersen to the Red Sox, for a young 1B who was playing AA ball.
Andersen helped the Red Sox win the AL East that season, making 15 relief appearances and posting a 1.23 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 22 IP, but the young player wound up in the freakin’ Hall of Fame.
You may have heard of Jeff Bagwell; he hit 449 home runs, with an OPS of .948, while playing his whole 15-year career for Houston. Pretty good deal for the Astros.
— St Louis 1B Willson Contreras had his six-game suspension reduced to four games; he started serving it Friday night, won’t be back until Tuesday’s game.
— Still strikes me as weird when I see a pitcher with a single-digit uniform number; not sure why, but it does. Jack Flaherty, MacKenzie Gore, Blake Snell come to mind.
— Famous birthdays, September 6th:
Ron Boone, 79
Jane Curtin, 78
Kevin Willis, 63
Rosie Perez, 61
Idris Elba, 53
Eric Zeier, 53
Derrek Lee, 50
Jerry Blevins, 42
Mitch Moreland, 40
Sam Acho, 37
John Wall, 35
Dustin May, 28
— AL Wild Card race:
as of now, the three Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
0.5 games behind- Rangers
1 game behind- Royals
2 games behind- Rays
2.5 games behind- Guardians
— White Sox 7, Tigers 5
Not for nothing, but the White Sox are 5-0 this week.
Colson Montgomery homered, had four RBI.
Detroit still leads AL Central by 8.5 games.
— Mets 5, Reds 4
Cincinnati had bases loaded, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Mets now lead the fading Reds by six games in the NL Wild Card race.
Mets are 7-4 in last 11 games, Cincinnati 3-11 in its last 14.
— Orioles 2, Dodgers 1
Samuel Basallo hit a walk-off homer for Baltimore.
Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games.
— Blue Jays 7, New York 1
Kevin Gausman allowed four hits in 8 IP.
Toronto extends its AL East lead to four games.
Blue Jays are 8-3 vs New York this season.
— Giants 8, Cardinals 2
San Francisco has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Rafael Devers has homered four times in his last five games.
Giants trail the Mets by four games for the NL’s last Wild Card spot.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chiefs’ history:
32,352— Patrick Mahomes
28,507— Len Dawson
21,459— Trent Green
17,608— Alex Smith
17,277— Bill Kenney
11,873— Steve DeBerg
Quote of the Day
“We knew it was going to be a dogfight, so we showed up today with our best effort. It was fun to see.”
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert
Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once the head coach of which NFL team?
Friday’s quiz
The movie Good Will Hunting take place in Boston.
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
***********************************************
Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..
— Chargers 27, Chiefs 21Loss snaps Chiefs’ 11-game win streak in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Chiefs’ first three drives: 12 plays, 28 yards, three punts.
Last 5+ years, Chiefs are 10-21 ATS vs AFC West rivals.
Over last 23 years, team that lost the Super Bowl is 6-17 ATS in its season opener the next year.
Chargers in first half: 31 plays, 181 yards, 13 points.
Bolts were 7-13 on third down, Chiefs 5-14.
Just 4th win for the Chargers in last 23 games vs Kansas City.
Last seven years, Chargers started season 1-0 six times.
— Louisville 28, James Madison 14
Game was tied 14-all after the third quarter.
Louisville’s winning TD was scored by their defense with 13:05 left.
JMU had 12 penalties for 95 yards, Cardinals 5-49.
— Maryland 20, Northern Illinois 9
Maryland won its 17th consecutive non-conference game.
Malik Washington threw for 254 yards, two TD’s.
NIU ran ball for 180 yards, but averaged only 4.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Three NFL teams have two #1 picks in next year’s draft:
Rams, Cowboys, Browns
— August 30, 1990, the Astros traded 37-year old reliever Larry Andersen to the Red Sox, for a young 1B who was playing AA ball.
Andersen helped the Red Sox win the AL East that season, making 15 relief appearances and posting a 1.23 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 22 IP, but the young player wound up in the freakin’ Hall of Fame.
You may have heard of Jeff Bagwell; he hit 449 home runs, with an OPS of .948, while playing his whole 15-year career for Houston. Pretty good deal for the Astros.
— St Louis 1B Willson Contreras had his six-game suspension reduced to four games; he started serving it Friday night, won’t be back until Tuesday’s game.
— Still strikes me as weird when I see a pitcher with a single-digit uniform number; not sure why, but it does. Jack Flaherty, MacKenzie Gore, Blake Snell come to mind.
— Famous birthdays, September 6th:
Ron Boone, 79
Jane Curtin, 78
Kevin Willis, 63
Rosie Perez, 61
Idris Elba, 53
Eric Zeier, 53
Derrek Lee, 50
Jerry Blevins, 42
Mitch Moreland, 40
Sam Acho, 37
John Wall, 35
Dustin May, 28
— AL Wild Card race:
as of now, the three Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
0.5 games behind- Rangers
1 game behind- Royals
2 games behind- Rays
2.5 games behind- Guardians
— White Sox 7, Tigers 5
Not for nothing, but the White Sox are 5-0 this week.
Colson Montgomery homered, had four RBI.
Detroit still leads AL Central by 8.5 games.
— Mets 5, Reds 4
Cincinnati had bases loaded, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Mets now lead the fading Reds by six games in the NL Wild Card race.
Mets are 7-4 in last 11 games, Cincinnati 3-11 in its last 14.
— Orioles 2, Dodgers 1
Samuel Basallo hit a walk-off homer for Baltimore.
Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games.
— Blue Jays 7, New York 1
Kevin Gausman allowed four hits in 8 IP.
Toronto extends its AL East lead to four games.
Blue Jays are 8-3 vs New York this season.
— Giants 8, Cardinals 2
San Francisco has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Rafael Devers has homered four times in his last five games.
Giants trail the Mets by four games for the NL’s last Wild Card spot.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
Sunday’s 6-pack:
American League Wild Card race:
Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
1 game behind- Royals
1.5 games behind- Rangers
2.5 games behind- Guardians
3 games behind— Rays
7.5 games behind- Angels
8 games behind- Orioles
Quote of the Day
“We’ve got to be able to go handle success. We’ve just got to continue to push forward. This ain’t the same old South Florida, my brother.”
South Florida football coach Alex Golesh
Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson managed five different major league teams, led four of them to the postseason; what was the only team he didn’t make the playoffs with?
Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once head coach of the Raiders (2007-08)
Friday’s quiz
The movie Good Will Hunting take place in Boston.
*****************************************
You pay a team $500,000 to show up and play you, you’re not supposed to lose to that team.
South Florida not only upset the Florida Gators, they banked a half-million bucks.
USF kicked a 20-yard field goal at the gun for the win.
Bulls have started season with upsets over Boise State/Florida.
Florida committed 11 penalties for 103 yards.
— Iowa State 16, Iowa 13
Cyclones kicked a 54-yard field goal with 1:54 left for the win.
Iowa had won the previous six series games played in Ames.
Total yardage was only 238-214, in State’s favor.
— Baylor 48, SMU 45 OT
Baylor QB Robertson was 34-50/440 passing, for 440 yards, 4 TD’s.
SMU led 38-24 with 6:00 left in the game.
Baylor outgained the Mustangs, 601-458.
— NC State 35, Virginia 31
State QB Bailey was 16-23/200 passing, with a TD pass.
Cavaliers led 24-14 at halftime.
Virginia was 13-19 on third down, NC State 1-7
— Michigan State 42, Boston College 40 OT
Spartans’ QB Chiles threw for 231 yards, 4 TD’s.
BC led 21-14 at halftime.
Eagles threw for 390 yards, outgained Michigan State 457-380.
— Upsets of the Day:
South Florida (+17.5) 18, Florida 16
Army (+17.5) 24, Kansas State 21
Missouri State (+8.5) 21, Marshall 20
Jacksonville State (+7.5) 34, Liberty 24
Texas State (+3.5) 43, Tex-San Antonio 36
— Fresno State 36, Oregon State 27
Fresno drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:04 left.
Bulldogs scored on a pick-6 on the last play for the final margin.
Beavers’ QB Murphy was 31-48/371 passing (4 TD’s, 2 INT)
— Oklahoma 24, Michigan 13
Oklahoma outgained the Wolverines, 408-288.
Sooners led 14-0 at halftime.
Michigan QB Underwood completed only 9 of 24 passes, for 142 yards.
— Syracuse 27, UConn 20 OT
UConn led 14-6 at halftime.
UConn tied the game on a 41-yard FG with 0:01 left.
Syracuse QB Angeli was 33-53/417 passing, tin two TD’s.
— Clemson 27, Troy 16
Trojans led 16-3 at halftime on a rainy day in South Carolina.
Clemson was favored by 31 points; they ran ball for 103 yards in 2nd half.
Troy committed 10 penalties for 97 yards.
— UNLV 30, UCLA 23
Rebels outgained UCLA 250-110 in the first half, led 23-3 at half.
Bruins were on UNLV’s 25-yard line in last minute, but threw an INT
Lot of flags: UCLA had 14 penalties for 129 yards, UNLV 13 for 130.
— Famous birthdays, September 7th:
Joe Rudi, 79
Susan Blakely, 76
Bert Jones, 74
Corbin Bernsen, 71
Bill Schroeder, 67
Jason Isringhausen, 53
Kevin Love, 37
Sandy Alcantara, 30
Donovan Mitchell, 29
Heliot Ramos, 26
— Orioles 4, Dodgers 3
Yamamoto had a no-hitter going, led 3-0 with two outs in last inning.
Jackson Holliday homered, then Baltimore scored three more runs for an unlikely win.
Dodgers are 22-32 since the 4th of July.
— Astros 11, Rangers 0
Hunter Brown allowed four hits in 6 shutout IP.
Yordan Alvarez went 3-for-5 with a home run.
Astros lead AL West by 3.5 games over Seattle, 5 games over Texas.
— Cardinals 3, Giants 2
Jordan Walker’s walk-off 2-run double was the game-winner.
Justin Verlander allowed three hits in 6 scoreless IP.
Game ended the Giants’ streak of 18 straight games with a home run.
— Padres 10, Rockies 8
San Diego scored six runs in 2nd inning, cruised to an easy win.
Luis Arraez was 3-6 with two RBI for the Padres.
San Diego moves within a game of the Dodgers in the NL West.
— Diamondbacks 5, Red Sox 1
Brandon Pfaadt pitched six strong innings for Arizona.
Boston trails Toronto by 4.5 games in AL East.
Arizona has won six games in a row against the Red Sox.
— RIP to former player/manager Davey Johnson, who passed away at age 82.
Johnson played 13 years in the majors, had a .744 OPS; he hit 43 home runs for the Braves in 1973. He then managed five teams in the major leagues for 17 years, winning the ’86 World Series with the Mets.
He is an integral part of Mets’ history, on both sides; as an Oriole, he made the last out of the 1969 World Series.
RIP, sir.
— Most popular picks in Circa Casino’s survivor pool:
Broncos 7,173 entries
Cardinals 4,171
Eagles 1,811 (already won)
Jaguars 1,636
Bengals 1,231
American League Wild Card race:
Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
1 game behind- Royals
1.5 games behind- Rangers
2.5 games behind- Guardians
3 games behind— Rays
7.5 games behind- Angels
8 games behind- Orioles
Quote of the Day
“We’ve got to be able to go handle success. We’ve just got to continue to push forward. This ain’t the same old South Florida, my brother.”
South Florida football coach Alex Golesh
Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson managed five different major league teams, led four of them to the postseason; what was the only team he didn’t make the playoffs with?
Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once head coach of the Raiders (2007-08)
Friday’s quiz
The movie Good Will Hunting take place in Boston.
*****************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……
— South Florida 18, Florida 16You pay a team $500,000 to show up and play you, you’re not supposed to lose to that team.
South Florida not only upset the Florida Gators, they banked a half-million bucks.
USF kicked a 20-yard field goal at the gun for the win.
Bulls have started season with upsets over Boise State/Florida.
Florida committed 11 penalties for 103 yards.
— Iowa State 16, Iowa 13
Cyclones kicked a 54-yard field goal with 1:54 left for the win.
Iowa had won the previous six series games played in Ames.
Total yardage was only 238-214, in State’s favor.
— Baylor 48, SMU 45 OT
Baylor QB Robertson was 34-50/440 passing, for 440 yards, 4 TD’s.
SMU led 38-24 with 6:00 left in the game.
Baylor outgained the Mustangs, 601-458.
— NC State 35, Virginia 31
State QB Bailey was 16-23/200 passing, with a TD pass.
Cavaliers led 24-14 at halftime.
Virginia was 13-19 on third down, NC State 1-7
— Michigan State 42, Boston College 40 OT
Spartans’ QB Chiles threw for 231 yards, 4 TD’s.
BC led 21-14 at halftime.
Eagles threw for 390 yards, outgained Michigan State 457-380.
— Upsets of the Day:
South Florida (+17.5) 18, Florida 16
Army (+17.5) 24, Kansas State 21
Missouri State (+8.5) 21, Marshall 20
Jacksonville State (+7.5) 34, Liberty 24
Texas State (+3.5) 43, Tex-San Antonio 36
— Fresno State 36, Oregon State 27
Fresno drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:04 left.
Bulldogs scored on a pick-6 on the last play for the final margin.
Beavers’ QB Murphy was 31-48/371 passing (4 TD’s, 2 INT)
— Oklahoma 24, Michigan 13
Oklahoma outgained the Wolverines, 408-288.
Sooners led 14-0 at halftime.
Michigan QB Underwood completed only 9 of 24 passes, for 142 yards.
— Syracuse 27, UConn 20 OT
UConn led 14-6 at halftime.
UConn tied the game on a 41-yard FG with 0:01 left.
Syracuse QB Angeli was 33-53/417 passing, tin two TD’s.
— Clemson 27, Troy 16
Trojans led 16-3 at halftime on a rainy day in South Carolina.
Clemson was favored by 31 points; they ran ball for 103 yards in 2nd half.
Troy committed 10 penalties for 97 yards.
— UNLV 30, UCLA 23
Rebels outgained UCLA 250-110 in the first half, led 23-3 at half.
Bruins were on UNLV’s 25-yard line in last minute, but threw an INT
Lot of flags: UCLA had 14 penalties for 129 yards, UNLV 13 for 130.
— Famous birthdays, September 7th:
Joe Rudi, 79
Susan Blakely, 76
Bert Jones, 74
Corbin Bernsen, 71
Bill Schroeder, 67
Jason Isringhausen, 53
Kevin Love, 37
Sandy Alcantara, 30
Donovan Mitchell, 29
Heliot Ramos, 26
— Orioles 4, Dodgers 3
Yamamoto had a no-hitter going, led 3-0 with two outs in last inning.
Jackson Holliday homered, then Baltimore scored three more runs for an unlikely win.
Dodgers are 22-32 since the 4th of July.
— Astros 11, Rangers 0
Hunter Brown allowed four hits in 6 shutout IP.
Yordan Alvarez went 3-for-5 with a home run.
Astros lead AL West by 3.5 games over Seattle, 5 games over Texas.
— Cardinals 3, Giants 2
Jordan Walker’s walk-off 2-run double was the game-winner.
Justin Verlander allowed three hits in 6 scoreless IP.
Game ended the Giants’ streak of 18 straight games with a home run.
— Padres 10, Rockies 8
San Diego scored six runs in 2nd inning, cruised to an easy win.
Luis Arraez was 3-6 with two RBI for the Padres.
San Diego moves within a game of the Dodgers in the NL West.
— Diamondbacks 5, Red Sox 1
Brandon Pfaadt pitched six strong innings for Arizona.
Boston trails Toronto by 4.5 games in AL East.
Arizona has won six games in a row against the Red Sox.
— RIP to former player/manager Davey Johnson, who passed away at age 82.
Johnson played 13 years in the majors, had a .744 OPS; he hit 43 home runs for the Braves in 1973. He then managed five teams in the major leagues for 17 years, winning the ’86 World Series with the Mets.
He is an integral part of Mets’ history, on both sides; as an Oriole, he made the last out of the 1969 World Series.
RIP, sir.
— Most popular picks in Circa Casino’s survivor pool:
Broncos 7,173 entries
Cardinals 4,171
Eagles 1,811 (already won)
Jaguars 1,636
Bengals 1,231
| 2025 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST WEEK 1 — 09/02/25 – 09/08/25 | |||||
| SUPER CONTEST WEEK 1 LINES/ODDS | BY # OF TEAMS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAGLES | -8 | vs. | Cowboys | NYG 257 | TB 113 |
| Chiefs | -3 | vs. | Chargers | ATL 236 | HOU 105 |
| Steelers | -2.5 | vs. | NY Jets | PIT 229 | LAR 100 |
| Dolphins | -1 | vs. | COLTS | SEA 199 | NE 84 |
| JAGUARS | -3.5 | vs. | Panthers | CHI 182 | CAR 83 |
| COMMANDERS | -6 | vs. | NY Giants | BAL 178 | SF 80 |
| Bengals | -5 | vs. | BROWNS | DEN 165 | WAS 80 |
| PATRIOTS | -2.5 | vs. | Raiders | DET 156 | MIN 80 |
| Cardinals | -6.5 | vs. | SAINTS | GB 143 | BUF 78 |
| Buccaneers | -2 | vs. | FALCONS | ARI 131 | NO 69 |
| BRONCOS | -8.5 | vs. | Titans | CIN 129 | KC 59 |
| 49ers | -2.5 | vs. | SEAHAWKS | CLE 125 | LAC 55 |
| PACKERS | -2 | vs. | Lions | JAX 123 | NYJ 44 |
| RAMS | -3 | vs. | Texans | IND 121 | TEN 40 |
| Ravens | -1 | vs. | BILLS | MIA 115 | DAL 35 |
| Vikings | -1.5 | vs. | BEARS | LV 115 | PHI 31 |
