NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, December 25
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Thursday’s games
Cowboys (-8.5) @
Commanders
Cowboys (6-8-1)
Dallas lost its last three games, allowing 44-34-34 points.
Last seven games, Dallas is minus-9 in turnovers
Dallas is minus-12 in turnovers in losses, +3 in wins.
QB Prescott is 84-59-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 6-8-1 as a head coach.
Cowboys are 2-6 SU on the road this year.
Cowboys are 1-3 ATS last four games as a road favorite.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-8 otherwise.
Cowboys are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in their last five road games.
Last ten games, Dallas’ team total: over 6-3-1
Dallas is 8-5 ATS in last 13 NFC East road games.
Commanders (4-11)
39-year old #3 QB Josh Johnson will start here; his last start was in 2021
Johnson is 1-8 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 1-9 SU/2-8 ATS in their last ten games.
Washington is 0-10 when it allows more than 24 points.
Quinn is 64-60 as an NFL coach.
Last ten games, Commanders are minus-12 in turnovers.
Commanders are 1-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 10-4 last fourteen games.
Washington is 13-20-1 ATS in last 34 games coming off a loss.
Washington is 5-8-1 ATS last 14 NFC East home games.
Cowboys (+1.5) beat Washington 44-22 at home in Week 7
Dallas won seven of last nine series games.
Cowboys won/covered three of last four visits to Washington.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Lions (-7.5) @
Vikings
Lions (8-7)
Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-6 when they score less than 34 points.
Last four games, Detroit gave up 32.8 ppg.
QB Goff is 93-64-1 as an NFL starter, 51-37-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 55-44-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Lions are 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Lions are 11-2 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
Last 14 games, Lions are +11 in turnovers.
Detroit is 8-2 ATS last 10 NFC North road games.
Vikings (7-8)
Vikings last three games, scoring 31-34-16 points.
#3 QB Brosmer gets his second NFL start here (0-1 as starter)
Last seven games, Vikings are minus-10 in turnovers.
Minnesota is 1-8 when they score less than 27 points.
O’Connell is 41-26 as an NFL head coach.
Vikings are 5-6 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Vikings are 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in last 10 NFC North home games.
Vikings held four of last five opponents under 300 TY.
Vikings (+8) won 27-24 at Detroit in Week 9.
Detroit won four of last five series games.
Lions won 31-29/30-24 in their last two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 10-2 in last 12 meetings.
Broncos (-13.5) @
Chiefs
Broncos (12-3)
Broncos had their 11-game win streak snapped last week.
Seven of their last ten wins are by 4 or fewer points.
Last six games, Denver ran ball for 94.4 yards/game. .
QB Nix is 22-11 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 191-117 as an NFL head coach, 30-20 with Denver.
Denver is 2-8 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite (0-4 TY)
Underdogs covered their last seven games.
Denver is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.
Broncos are 6-9 ATS in last 15 AFC West road games.
Chiefs (6-9)
Chiefs are out of playoffs for first time since 2014
This week, Chiefs announced they’re moving to Kansas in 2031.
#3 QB Oladokun gets his first NFL start here.
He was 11-16/111 in his first NFL action last week.
Andy Reid is 307-172-1 as an NFL head coach
Chiefs are 6-3 giving up 20 or less points, 0-6 giving up 21+.
Chiefs scored 10-13-9 points.
Chiefs are 18-28 ATS last 46 games coming off a loss.
Last eight games, Chiefs team total: under 7-0-1.
Under is 9-1 in last nine Kansas City games.
Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in last 11 AFC West home games.
Broncos (+3.5) upset Chiefs 22-19 at home in Week 11.
Home team won last five series games.
Broncos are 0-9 SU/4-5 ATS in last nine visits to Arrowhead
Under is 5-0 in last five meetings.