CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Sunday’s games
Bills (-2.5) @ Patriots
Bills (9-4)
Bills won five of their last seven games.
Buffalo scored 26+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 92-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 101-56 as an NFL head coach.


Bills are 13-12 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 14-16-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last five games, Buffalo is minus-4 in turnovers.
Last three weeks, Bills held foes to 253 yards/game.
Buffalo is 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.


Patriots (11-2)
Patriots won their last ten games (8-2 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 10-1 last eleven
QB Maye is 14-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 67-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
NE is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
Patriots held six of eight seven foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Patriots are 3-1 ATS in four AFC East home games.


Patriots (+7) won 23-20 at Buffalo in Week 5.
New England won three of last four series games.
Bills lost 23-16/29-25 in their last two visits to Foxboro.
Over is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.


Ravens (-2.5) @ Bengals
Ravens (6-7)
Baltimore lost its last two games, giving up 32-27 points.
Baltimore is 0-5 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jackson is 78-34 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 191-122 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 15-9 ATS last 24 games as a road favorite.
Ravens are 8-5 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
Ravens are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
Last three games, Baltimore converted 12-39 third down plays.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.


Bengals (4-9)
Bengals lost nine of their last eleven games.
Bengals scored 32-34 points in their last two games.
QB Burrow threw for 545 yards in his 2 games back from injury.
Burrow is 46-33-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 55-63-1 as a head coach.


Bengals covered five of last six games as an underdog.
Cincinnati is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as home underdogs.
Bengals are 9-6 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Bengals are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Bengals are 3-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.


Bengals (+7) upset Ravens 32-14 in Baltimore two weeks ago.
Ravens won five of last six series games.
Baltimore won its last three visits to Cincinnati (2-1 ATS).
Over is 8-2 in last ten meetings.


Jets @ Jaguars (-13.5)
Jets (3-10)
Jets split their last six games, after an 0-7 start.
Jets are 0-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last five games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207 TY.
Taylor is 29-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook was 14-30/163 LW; this would be his first start.
Aaron Glenn is 3-10 as a head coach.


Jets are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog
Jets are 12-17-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
Jets have three losses by more than 13 points.
Jets are minus-15 in turnovers this season.
Jets are 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


Jaguars (9-4)
Jacksonville won their last four games, giving up 13 ppg
Jaguars are 9-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Jacksonville has four wins by more than 13 points.
QB Lawrence is 32-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 9-4 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 6-4 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Jaguars are 18-14 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held 10 of last 12 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last two games, Jaguars are +4 in turnovers.
Jaguars gave ip 31+ points in three of their four losses.


Teams split last six series games.
Teams split their last four meetings in Jacksonville.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.


Chargers @ Chiefs (-5.5)
Chargers (9-4)
Short week/travel for Chargers after Monday night’s win.
Chargers won five of their last six games.
Bolts are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 40-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 68-33-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 1-4 ATS last five games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 15-11-2 ATS in last 28 AFC West road games.
Bolts are 8-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.


Chiefs (6-7)
Chiefs are 6-7 for the first time since 2012
Chiefs are 6-2 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up 21+.
Chiefs are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six home games.
QB Mahomes is 112-33 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 307-170-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 20-24 ATS last 44 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 18-26 ATS last 44 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs held six of last eight opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last six games, Chiefs team total: under 5-0-1.
Under is 7-1 in last eight Kansas City games.


Chargers (+2.5) beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil in Week 1.
Chiefs won six of last seven series games.
Chargers are 0-3 SU/2-1 ATS last three visits to Arrowhead.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Cardinals @ Texans (-9.5)
Cardinals (3-10)
Cardinals lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Last four games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51 yards.
Cardinals are 0-7 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-41 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-32 as an NFL head coach.


Last five games, Arizona gave up 37.4 ppg.
Cardinals are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 21-14 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 24-18 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.


Texans (8-5)
Houston won its last four games, by 7-3-4-4-10 points.
Texans are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Texans held 10 of 13 opponents under 300 TY.
Stroud is 26-20 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 30-21 in as an NFL head coach.


Houston is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 13-10-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Texans are 9-16-3 ATS last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
Houston is 4-0 in games decided by 10+ points, 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last ten games, Texans are +15 in turnovers.


Teams split last six series games.
Home team won all six games.
Cardinals lost last three visits to Houston, by 5-10-11 points.
Over is 3-3 in last six meetings.


Browns @ Bears (-7.5)
Browns (3-10)
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Browns are 0-10 when they allow more than 10 points.
Last three games, Browns are minus-4 in turnovers.
Rookie QB Sanders is 1-2 as an NFL starter
Stefanski is 44-58 as a head coach.


Browns are 2-8 SU/3-7 ATS in last ten games.
Browns are 9-19-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland is 8-14 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Browns are 2-7 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
Browns held last three opponents under 300 total yards.


Bears (9-4)
Bears won five of six, nine of last eleven games.
Bears are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 scoring less.
In wins, Chicago was +20 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 9-4 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 14-16 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Bears are 7-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Chicago is 8-9-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC opponents.


Browns won last two series games, 20-7/26-6.
This is Browns’ first visit to Chicago since 2017.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.


Commanders @ Giants (-2.5)
Commanders (3-9)
QB Daniels (left elbow) is out; backup Mariota will start.
Commanders are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Mariota is 36-45 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 63-59 as an NFL coach.


Last eight games, Commanders are minus-11 in turnovers.
Commanders are 0-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 9-3 last dozen games.
Washington is 16-26-1 ATS in last 43 games coming off a loss.
Washington is 4-9 ATS last 13 NFC East road games.


Giants (2-11)
Giants lost their last seven games (3-4 ATS)
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants have fired their head coach, defensive coordinator.
Rookie QB Dart is 2-6 as an NFL starter.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is also calling plays.


Giants are favored for the first time this season.
Giants are 21-19 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
Seven of Giants’ last eight games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Giants are 9-13 ATS in last 22 NFC East home games.
Giants are 5-6 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.


Washington (-6.5) beat Giants 21-6 at home in Week 1.
Commanders are 2-1-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four trips to New Jersey.
Under is 9-3 in last dozen meetings.


Raiders @ Eagles (-11.5)
Raiders (2-11)
Raiders lost seven games in a row, 11 of last 12.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last eight games, Raiders ran the ball for only 45.3 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-55 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-142-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders are 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 9-12-2 ATS last 23 games vs NFC opponents.
Raiders are 13-17-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas has seven losses by 11+ points this season.


Eagles (8-5)
Eagles lost last three games, by 3-9-3 points.
Philly is 5-0 when they score more than 21 points.
Eagles are 7-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Hurts is 59-28 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-28 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 9-11-1 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Eagles stayed under their team total.
Last two games, Eagles are minus-3 in turnovers.
Eagles are 10-7-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC teams.


Eagles won four of last six series games.
Raiders are 0-3 SU/1-1-1 ATS in last three visits to Philly.
Under is 4-3 in last seven meetings.


Colts @ Seahawks (-13.5)
Colts (8-5)
Colts have QB injury issues; 44-year old Philip Rivers might play.
Indy lost four of last five games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16 in losses)
QB Rypien is 2-2 is as NFL starter; Rivers is 139-113- he last played in 2020.
Rypien was on Seattle’s practice squad in 2023.
Steichen is 25-22 SU as a head coach


Colts are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Under Steichen, Colts are 13-10 as an underdog.
Last three games, Colts ran ball for 83 yards/game.
Last three games, Colts gained 255-281-285 total yards.
Colts are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC teams.


Seahawks (10-3)
Seahawks won seven of their last eight games.
Last two games, Seattle allowed no TDs, 3 FG’s on 21 drives.
Seahawks held 10 of last 12 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 45-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 20-10 as a head coach.


Seattle has six wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +7.
Seattle is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 15-4-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win
Opponents’ team total: under 9-3-1.


Seahawks won last two series games, 28-16/46-18.
Colts lost 46-18/28-13 in last two visits to Seattle.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Packers (-2.5) @ Broncos
Packers (8-3-1)
Packers won/covered their last four games.
Green Bay is 9-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
Green Bay scored 10-13-7 points in its losses.
QB Love is 28-20-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 79-41-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 28-19-1 ATS last 48 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Last four games, Green Bay is +5 in turnovers.
Packers converted 40 of last 75 third down plays.


Broncos (11-2)
Broncos won their last 10 games, last five by 3-3-3-1-7 points.
Seven of their last nine wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Denver held 4 of last 5 opponents under 80 rushing yards.
QB Nix is 21-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 190-116 as an NFL head coach, 29-19 with Denver.


Denver is 9-3 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Underdogs covered their last five games.
Denver is 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
Denver is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-4 in their last eleven games.


Home team won last four series games.
Packers lost 19-17/29-10 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Titans @ 49ers (-12.5)
Titans (2-11)
Tennessee snapped a seven-game losing skid last week.
Titans covered four of their last five games.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 2-11 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 3-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.


Titans were held under 300 TY in 11 of 13 games.
Titans are 8-16 ATS in last 24 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-9 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Titans held three of last four foes under 80 yards rushing.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


49ers (9-4)
49ers won last three games, by 19-11-18 points.
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 31-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 87-70 as an NFL head coach


49ers are 9-11 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
49ers’ last four wins were all by 10+ points.
Last three games, 49ers are +4 in turnovers.
49ers are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
49ers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.


Teams split last four series games.
This is Titans’ first visit to Santa Clara since 2017.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Panthers (-2.5) @ Saints
Panthers (7-6)
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses
QB Young is 13-27 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 12-18 as a head coach.


Since 2019, Panthers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Carolina is 3-0 ATS this year in last three post-bye games.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Four of last six games, Panthers gained less than 270 yards.
Carolina is 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 NFC South road games.


Saints (3-10)
Saints split their last four games, after a 1-7 start.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Saints gained less than 300 yards in seven of last eight games
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 2-3 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 3-10 as a head coach.


Saints are 7-15 ATS last 22 games as a home underdog.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
In seven of last eight games, Saints gained less than 300 yards.
Saints are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC South home games.


Saints (+5) won 17-7 at Carolina in Week 10.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers 388-175 that day.
Saints won five of last eight series games.
Carolina lost five of its last six visits to New Orleans.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.


Lions @ Rams (-6)
Lions (8-5)
Detroit is 4-4 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24-9-24 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 93-62-1 as an NFL starter, 51-35-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 55-42-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Lions are 14-10 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Lions are 25-14 ATS last 39 games coming off a win.
Last 12 games, Lions are +9 in turnovers.
Last three weeks, Detroit allowed 431 yards/game.


Rams (10-3)
Rams won seven of their last eight games.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
In their losses, Rams gave up 33-26-31 points.
QB Stafford is 49-28 as the Rams’ starter (123-121-1 overall).
McVay is 98-60 as an NFL head coach.


Last nine games, Rams outscored opponents 171-69 in first half.
Rams are 8-7 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in nine of last 12 games.
Rams are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Stafford/Goff were traded for each other five years ago.
Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Lions lost last three road series games, by 9-7-7 points.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.


Vikings @ Cowboys (-5.5)
Vikings (5-7)
Vikings lost six of their last eight games.
Vikings are 1-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last three games, Vikings held foes to 288-219-206 yards.
McCarthy is 3-4 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 39-26 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Five of last seven games, Vikings gained less than 270 yards.
Vikings are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Last five games, Vikings are minus-8 in turnovers.


Cowboys (6-6-1)
Dallas won three of its last three games, scoring 33-24-31-30 points.
Last five games, Dallas is minus-9 in turnovers
Dallas is minus-12 in turnovers in losses, +3 in wins.
QB Prescott is 84-57-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 6-6-1 as a head coach.


Cowboys are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-6 otherwise.
Cowboys are 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their home games this year.
Last eight games, Dallas’ team total: over 6-1-1


Cowboys won five of last six series games.
Vikings split last four visits to Dallas; last visit was 2019.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

 

[ozzy44]

2025 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST

SUPERCONTEST LEADERS PICKS & STANDINGS
SUPERCONTEST WEEK 15: 12/09/25 – 12/16/25
SUPERCONTEST WEEK 15 LINES/ODDS	BY # OF TEAMS
BUCCANEERS	-4.5	vs.	Falcons	BUF 232	PIT 98
TEXANS	-9.5	vs.	Cardinals	CAR 215	HOU 98
EAGLES	-11.5	vs.	Raiders	DET 192	CHI 97
JAGUARS	-13.5	vs.	NY Jets	GB 180	SF 94
BEARS	-7.5	vs.	Browns	MIA 179	ARI 86
Bills	-1	vs.	PATRIOTS	KC 176	MIN 84
Ravens	-2.5	vs.	BENGALS	DEN 170	NO 81
CHIEFS	-4.5	vs.	Chargers	BAL 164	JAX 79
NY GIANTS	-2.5	vs.	Commanders	NE 135	NYG 75
SEAHAWKS	-13.5	vs.	Colts	DAL 133	IND 72
Packers	-2	vs.	BRONCOS	CIN 130	NYJ 65
Panthers	-2.5	vs.	SAINTS	LAC 120	WAS 63
RAMS	-6	vs.	Lions	SEA 118	LV 60
49ERS	-13	vs.	Titans	CLE 116	TEN 58
COWBOYS	-5.5	vs.	Vikings	LAR 110	TB 57
STEELERS	-3.5	vs.	Dolphins	PHI 108	ATL 35
CAPS → HOME				TOP 5 LW:	YTD:
TEAM	W	L	T	LW	PTS
BIFFS ALMANAC	48	21	1		48.50
WK 15 PKS	ATL	BUF	BAL	LAR	MIN
SEANSDOLPHINS	45	24	1		45.50
WK 15 PKS	BAL	DEN	CAR	LAR	MIA
LEROY JONES	44	25	1		44.50
WK 15 PKS	PHI	BAL	CAR	TEN	PIT
2DYE4	43	25	2		44.00
WK 15 PKS	ATL	ARI	CHI	NO	LAR
SKINNY	43	26	1		43.50
WK 15 PKS	ARI	NYJ	KC	IND	SF
FEARLESS2	43	27	0		43.00
WK 15 PKS	CHI	BUF	GB	LAR	SF
HITMAN2	43	27	0		43.00
WK 15 PKS	LV	CHI	NE	NO	MIA
TAFT69	43	27	0		43.00
WK 15 PKS	NE	BAL	WAS	LAR	SF
ANGEL OF VENGEANCE	42	27	1		42.50
WK 15 PKS	ARI	BAL	CAR	LAR	MIA
INTEGRITY ALERT1	42	27	1		42.50
WK 15 PKS	PHI	BAL	KC	GB	MIA
INTEGRITY ALERT2	42	27	1		42.50
WK 15 PKS	PHI	BAL	KC	GB	MIA
INTEGRITY ALERT3	42	27	1		42.50
WK 15 PKS	PHI	BAL	KC	GB	MIA
WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPER CONTEST WEEK 15 LINES, ODDS, PICKS & STANDINGS

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, December 14​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NYJ at JAC	01:00 PM	JAC -13.5 O 40.5*****	+500 +500
LV at PHI	01:00 PM	PHI -12.5 O 38.5*****	+500 +500
ARI at HOU	01:00 PM	HOU -9.5*****	+500
BAL at CIN	01:00 PM	CIN +3.0***** O 51.5*****	+500 +500
WAS at NYG	01:00 PM	NYG -2.5 O 46.5*****	+500 +500
BUF at NE	01:00 PM	NE +1.0 U 49.5*****	+500 +500
CLE at CHI	01:00 PM	CHI -7.5*****	+500
LAC at KC	01:00 PM	LAC +6.0	+500
GB at DEN	04:25 PM	DEN +1.0 U 43.0*****	+500 +500
IND at SEA	04:25 PM	SEA -13.5	+500
DET at LA	04:25 PM	DET +6.0 U 55.0*****	+500 +500
TEN at SF	04:25 PM	SF -12.5***** O 44.5*****	+500 +500
CAR at NO	04:25 PM	CAR -2.5***** U 40.5*****	+500 +500
MIN at DAL	08:20 PM	MIN +5.5 O 47.5*****	+500 +500

 

[ozzy44]

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%...........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50

TOTALS..................16 -19 - 0.............45.71%............- 24.50

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 15

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Dolphins @ Steelers (-3)
Dolphins (6-7)
Miami won their last four games, after a 2-7 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all seven losses.
Dolphins are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 43-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 33-32 as a head coach.


Miami is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Miami is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Last four games, Dolphins ran ball for 192.3 yards/game.
Dolphins went over their team total seven of last ten games.
Last four games, Miami is +7 in turnovers.


Steelers (7-6)
Steelers lost five of last eight games, after a 4-1 start.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Steelers are +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers is 171-102-1 as an NFL starter
Tomlin is 198-124-2 as a head coach.


Steelers are 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Pittsburgh is 12-9 ATS last 21 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 17-13-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
Five of last seven games, Steelers ran ball for less than 100 yards.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


Dolphins won three of last four series games.
Underdogs covered last five meetings.
Miami is 1-3 SU/3-1 ATS last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.

 

[Udog]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Boise State 68, Saint Mary’s 67- Broncos shot 57.6% inside the arc.
— North Texas 58, South Alabama 57- UNT shot 9-40 on arc, 10-16 inside arc.
— Troy 86, UAB 85- Troy shot 14-28 on arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
— East Carolina 73, Buffalo 70- 9-2 Buffalo led by 12 with 5:37 left to play.
— USC 68, Washington State 61- Trojans were 27-34 on foul line, 1-13 on arc.
— Fairfield 73, Monmouth 65- Stags are 6-5, against schedule #352.

Quote of the Day
“I’m grateful that I was out there, and it was a blast. But, obviously, the emotions now are disappointment. This isn’t about me. We’ve got a team that was scrapping like crazy to try to stay alive and get in the postseason, so obviously, we’re all disappointed. We came up just short.”
Philip Rivers, after his first NFL game in five years

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.

Who was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft?

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

Saturday’s quiz
Philip Rivers played his college football at NC State.

******************************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Bills 35, Patriots 31
New England led 21-0 3:00 before halftime.
Bills’ next six drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 5 TD’s.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Bills won five of their last seven games.

Loss snaps New England’s 10-game winning streak.
Patriots still lead Buffalo by game in AFC East.
Patriots ran ball 25 times for 246 yards (9.8 yards/carry)
New England is 4-14-1 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.

Broncos 34, Packers 26
Green Bay led 16-14 at halftime.
Denver first 4 drives in 2nd half: 30 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
Broncos won their last 11 games, last six by 8 or fewer points.
Bo Nix threw for 302 yards, four TD’s.

Packers lost star LB Parsons (tore ACL) for the year.
Packers are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay was penalized 10 times for 75 yards.
Green Bay splits to the #7-seed in the NFC, last playoff spot.

Seahawks 18, Colts 16
Seattle kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
Colts had kicked a 60-yard FG with 0:47 left to take 16-15 lead.
Seahawks had 10 drives, scored no TD’s, kicked six FG’s.
Seattle ran ball 22 times for 50 yards; they were 2-13 on third down.

44-year old Philip Rivers threw for 120 yards in his first game in five years.
Seahawks outgained Indianapolis, 314-215.
Colts are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16-16 in losses)

Chargers 16, Chiefs 13
Chiefs will be out of the playoffs for first time since 2014.
QB Mahomes tore his ACL near the end of the game.
Kansas City led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 27 plays, 113 yards, 2 punts, 2 INT’s.

Chargers won six of their last seven games.
Bolts are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Chargers are 9-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are currently the #5-seed in the AFC.

Saints 20, Panthers 17
Carolina/Tampa Bay are both 7-7, tied for 1st in NFC South.
They play each other in two of the last three games.
Rookie K Smyth kicked 47-yard game-winning FG at the gun.
Carolina led 17-10 with 3:00 left in the game.

Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-6 when they don’t
Saints are 3-2 in last five games, after a 1-7 start.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 337-281.
Carolina was penalized 11 times for 103 yards.

Rams 41, Lions 34
Detroit led 24-17 at halftime.
Lions’ first three drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 6 yards, 3 punts.
Rams’ first three drives of 2nd half: 22 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
Former Ram Goff threw for 338 yards, three TD’s.

Former Lion Stafford threw for 368 yards, two TD’s.
WR Nacua caught nine passes for 181 yards.
Rams won eight of their last nine games.
Rams are 19-9 ATS in last 28 games as a favorite.

Ravens 24, Bengals 0
Bengals were shut out for first time with Burrow at QB.
Cincinnati had four drives get into Raven territory, but didn’t score.
Bengals ran 71 plays, but were only 3-15 on third down.
Ravens scored on a 95-yard pick-6 in fourth quarter.

Baltimore won its fourth straight road game.
RB Henry ran ball 11 times for 100 yards.
Ravens are 16-9 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
Ravens won six of last seven series games.

Famous birthdays, December 15th:
Art Howe, 79
Don Johnson, 76
Mo Vaughn, 58

Rodney Harrison, 53
Joey Bart, 29
Jonathan India, 29

Jaguars 48, Jets 20
QB Lawrence threw for 330 yards, five TD’s.
Jaguars’ first three drives: 19 times, 161 yards, 21 points.
Jacksonville won their last five games, giving up 10.4 ppg
Jaguars are 10-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.

Jacksonville leads Houston by a game in AFC South.
Jaguars are 7-4 ATS last eleven games as a home favorite.
Jets are 0-9 when they score less than 27 points.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook threw for 176 yards in his first NFL start.

Texans 40, Cardinals 20
QB Stroud threw for 260 yards, three TD’s.
Houston won its last six games, is right now #7-seed in AFC.
Houston’s first five drives: 34 plays, 213 yards, TD, three FG’s.
Texans led 23-7 at halftime.

Cardinals lost six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
Last six games, Arizona gave up 37.8 ppg.
Last five games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51-72 yards.
Cardinals are 0-8 when they allow more than 22 points.

Bears 31, Browns 3
Cleveland’s first six drives: 21 plays, 57 yards, six punts.
Chicago led 14-0 at halftime.
Bears won six of seven, 10 of last 12 games.
Bears lead NFC North by half-game, are #2-seed in NFC.

Bears outgained Cleveland, 361-192.
Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
Last four games, Browns are minus-7 in turnovers.
Browns are 0-11 when they allow more than 10 points.

Commanders 29, Giants 21
Washington snaps an eight-game losing skid.
Washington’s first four drives: 31 plays, 176 yards, 13 points.
Commanders led 22-7 at halftime.
QB Mariota threw for 211 yards and a TD.

Giants lost their last eight games (3-5 ATS)
Giants were favored for the first time this season.
Giants are 9-14 ATS in last 23 NFC East home games.
Eight of Giants’ last nine games went over the total.

Eagles 31, Raiders 0
Raiders in first half: 25 plays, 53 yards, no points.
Backup QB Pickett was 15-25/64 passing in his first start this year.
Eagles were 10-13 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
Raiders lost eight games in a row, and 12 of last 13.

Philadelphia led 17-0 at halftime.
Total yardage: Eagles 387, Raiders 75
Eagles lead NFC East by 2.5 games, are #3-seed in NFC.
Philly is 6-0 when they score more than 21 points.

49ers 37, Titans 24
49ers’ first five drives: 52 plays, 352 yards, 31 points.
San Francisco led 17-10 at halftime.
49ers were 9-15 on third down, Tennessee 3-9.
49ers won last four games, by 19-11-18-13 points.

Tennessee lost eight of its last nine games.
49ers outgained Tennessee, 430-306.
Titans are 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-10 ATS last ten games coming off a win.

Vikings 34, Cowboys 26
Vikings averaged 10.4 yards per pass attempt.
McCarthy threw for 250 yards and two TD’s.
Vikings won last two games, scoring 31-34 points.
Minnesota is 5-0 when it scores 27+ points.

Dallas outgained Vikings 423-327, tried FG’s on 6 of last 7 drives.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 33.
Cowboys were 2-12 on third down, Minnesota 2-9.
Over is 5-2 in their home games this year.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday, December 15​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIA at PIT	08:15 PM	MIA +3.0***** O 42.0*****	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%...........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50

TOTALS..................17 -20 - 0.............45.94%............- 25.00

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 7-pack:
There are seven unbeaten teams left in college basketball:
Arizona
Duke
Iowa State
Miami OH
Michigan
Nebraska
Vanderbilt

Quote of the Day
“It has been a tumultuous time. A lot of … first disbelief, then anger, then really, what we’re in right now is the kids, quite frankly, feel very betrayed, and we’re trying to work through that. Lots of arms around shoulders, lot of listening, lot of telling them that you love them, but showing it, because words are cheap, and that takes a lot of time. What it really takes is you being willing to listen.”
Michigan’s interim football coach, Biff Poggi

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

I write this with a heavy heart; this weekend in Los Angeles, Rob Reiner and his wife were murdered in their home- their 32-year old son is being charged with the crime.
Rob Reiner was a film director, producer, screenwriter, actor, and political activist; he was smart, decent, funny and very talented. We need more decent people in this world.
Our world is a lesser place today. RIP to the Reiners.

— Steelers 28, Dolphins 15
Pittsburgh won its 23rd straight Monday night home game.
Steelers are 8-6, lead AFC North by a game over the Ravens.
Steelers-Ravens play in Week 18 in Pittsburgh.
Rodgers was 23-27/224 passing, with two TD’s.
Dolphins in first 3 quarters on a cold night: 26 plays, 82 yards, 3 points.
Kicker Patterson booted a career-high 54-yard FG for an early 3-0 lead.
Miami only ran the ball 16 times, for 63 yards.
Miami is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.

— I’d like to see a breakdown of each quarterback’s interceptions:
Underthrows
Overthrows
Balls that bounced off of receivers’ hands
Deflected passes
Field position for the INT’s; think it would be interesting.

— First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye. All quarterbacks.
If that draft was held tomorrow, would they still go in the same order?

— Atlanta Falcons committed 19 penalties for 125 yards last week, and they still won at Tampa Bay. Hard to win with that many penalties.

— Famous birthdays, December 16:
Joyce Bulifant, 88
Jan van Breda Kolff, 74
Bart Oates, 67
Jeff Ruland, 67
Jerry Gray, 63
William Perry, 63
Bill Ripken, 61
Pete Fairbanks, 32

— Why are Oklahoma/Oklahoma State in different leagues?
Same with Washington/Washington State, Oregon-Oregon State.
It is nonsensical.

— Arizona Wildcats are first college basketball team in the last 30 years to beat five top 25 teams in the first nine games of a season.

— Hofstra beat Syracuse 70-69 in the Carrier Dome Saturday; Hofstra made 12-18 shots on the arc, 6-6 on the foul line, 10 days after they lost to Columbia of the Ivy League.

— Movie of the Day: A Few Good Men (1992)- A military lawyer tries to prove that two US Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were only following their base commander’s orders. Tremendous movie, directed by Rob Reiner, written by Aaron Sorkin.
Excellent cast: Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Kevin Pollak are the lawyers defending the Marines, Kevin Bacon is the opposing lawyer, Jack Nicholson is a Marine colonel- the scene when he is on the witness stand is one of the best scenes in movie history.
JT Walsh, Kiefer Sutherland, Noah Wyle, Joshua Malina are also in this movie, which you can see on BBC America these days.

Baseball transactions:
— Phillies signed OF Adolis Garcia for one year, $10M
— Twins signed 1B Josh Bell for one year, $7M
— Diamondbacks signed P Merrill Kelly for two years, $40M
— Mets signed IF/DH Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M
— Royals signed 3B Maikel Garcia for five years, $57.5M
— Blue Jays signed reliever Tyler Rogers for three years, $37M

— The guy that runs the Cardinals now, Chaim Bloom, is the guy who traded Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, when he was running the Red Sox. Yikes.

— Arizona 2B Ketel Marte’s no-trade list:
A’s
Pirates
Giants
Cardinals
Bronx

 

[Udog]

WEEK 16

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Philadelphia VS Washington
Philadelphia is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Washington.
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Green Bay VS Chicago
Green Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games.
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Green Bay is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games against Chicago.
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games against Green Bay.

Los Angeles VS Dallas
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas' last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games against LA Chargers.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

New York VS New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets' last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against New Orleans.
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans' last 10 games.
New Orleans is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games at home.

Kansas City VS Tennessee
Kansas City is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games.
Tennessee is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games against Kansas City.

Tampa Bay VS Carolina
Tampa Bay is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against Carolina.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 10 games at home.
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

Buffalo VS Cleveland
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Cleveland.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road.
Cleveland is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games.
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

Minnesota VS New York
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Giants.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Giants' last 9 games.
NY Giants is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
NY Giants is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants' last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota.

Cincinnati VS Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games against Miami.
Cincinnati is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games.
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home.

Atlanta VS Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games.
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
Atlanta is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games against Arizona.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road.
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games.
Arizona is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games against Atlanta.

Jacksonville VS Denver
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games.
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Denver.
Denver is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games against Jacksonville.
Denver is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville.

Las Vegas VS Houston
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Las Vegas' last 20 games.
Las Vegas is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Houston.
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against Las Vegas.

Pittsburgh VS Detroit
Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against Detroit.
Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games against Detroit.
Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home.

New England VS Baltimore
New England is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games.
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
New England is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games.
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games against New England.

San Francisco VS Indianapolis
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games.
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana

Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Jacksonville State 17, Troy State 13
Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.

— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.

— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs

— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.

— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)

— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.

— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.

— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)

— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)

— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.

— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22

— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.

— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.

— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?

— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.

— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.

— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.

— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.

— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara

 

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

*********************************************************************

Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, and NCAA Tournament trends……..

Was wondering if there are any trends that could identify teams that will win March Madness this year, so I broke down the last 13 teams that won the national title.

— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed

— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18

— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.

— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).

Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.

— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.

— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.

5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.

— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200

— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.

— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.

— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.

— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61

Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32

Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25

— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS

AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS

AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS

AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS

NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS

NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS

NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, December 18

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 16

Thursday’s game
Rams @ Seahawks (-1.5)
Rams (11-3)
Rams won eight of their last nine games.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
In their losses, Rams gave up 33-26-31 points.
QB Stafford is 50-28 as the Rams’ starter (124-121-1 overall).
McVay is 99-60 as an NFL head coach.


Rams are 12-2 ATS in last 14 NFC West road games.
Rams are 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Rams’ last seven games.
Rams went over team total in 10 of last 13 games.
Rams are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.


Seahawks (11-3)
Seahawks won eight of their last nine games.
Last three games, Seattle allowed one TDs, 6 FG’s on 21 drives.
Seahawks held 11 of last 13 opponents under 300 TY.
QB Darnold is 46-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 21-10 as a head coach.


Last three games, Seattle’s offense hasn’t scored a first half TD.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +8.
Seattle is 4-2 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 15-5-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win
Seahawks are 5-9 ATS in last 14 NFC West home games.
Opponents’ team total: under 9-4-1.


These teams are tied for first place in NFC West.
Rams won four of last five series games.
Rams won three of their last four visits to Seattle.
Under is 9-2 in last eleven meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, December 18​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LA at SEA	08:15 PM	LA +1.5***** U 42.5*****	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/18/2025................1 - 1 - 0...........50.00%............- 0.50
12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%...........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50

TOTALS..................18 -21 - 0.............46.15%............- 25.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack:
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros

Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade

Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?

Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Seattle 38, Rams 37 OT
Rams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.

— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.

— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.

— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.

— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46

— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.

— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State

— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.

— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.

— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.

— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19

— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)

— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)

— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.

— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Jaguars @ Denver (-3.5)
— Falcons (-3) @ Arizona
— Raiders @ Houston (-14.5)
— Steelers @ Detroit (-7)
— Patriots @ Baltimore (-3)
— 49ers (-5.5) @ Indianapolis

Quote of the Day
“My guess is most of the teams will not allow their pitchers to do it. That would be my guess.”
Reds manager Terry Francona, on whether teams will let their pitchers use the new challenge system when the season starts. Only pitchers, catchers, hitters can challenge pitches.

Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, what well-known actor played George Costanza’s father?

Friday’s quiz
Shreveport, LA hosts the Independence Bowl every year.

Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.

*****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random notes on a very windy night…….​

— Alabama 34, Oklahoma 24
Oklahoma led 17-0 early in the second quarter.
Alabama tied game on a pick-6 1:18 before halftime.
Sooners QB Matter threw for 307 yards, but the pick-6 was costly.
Crimson Tide advances to play Indiana in the next round of the playoffs.

— NC State 31, Memphis 7
Wolfpack’s first four drives: 16 plays, 144 yards, 21 points.
NC State led 31-7 at the half; rest of game was scoreless.
Memphis lost its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Gasparilla Bowls.

— Western Michigan 41, Kennesaw State 6
WMU scored on a 65-yard TD run on first play of theme.
Broncos ran ball 43 times for 303 yards (7 yards/carry)
Jalen Buckley ran ball for 174 yards and a TD.
Kershawn Fisher scored on a 47-yard fumble return.

— There was a three-way trade in baseball Friday:
Pirates acquired 2B Brandon Lowe, OF Jake Mangum, P Mason Montgomery
Astros acquired P Mike Burrows
Rays acquired OF Jacob Melton, P Anderson Brito

— Baltimore Orioles acquired P Shane Baz from division rival Tampa Bay; Orioles sent prospects to the Rays:
OF Slater de Brun
C Caden Borine
OF Austin Over
P Michael Fornet
Baz isn’t a free agent until after the 2028 season.

— NBA All-Star Game this year is going to be US vs the World; they’re trying to make the game more competitive. Hopefully this won’t make the game too competitive, but it should be more fun to watch this year.

— Baylor, Memphis, Miami are three college basketball teams who have totally new rosters this season. Baylor is 8-2, Memphis 4-6 (but they did upset Baylor), Miami is 10-2, albeit vs schedule #313.

— Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 79 (producer of Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 76
Jenny Agutter, 73
Tom Newberry, 63
Rich Gannon, 60
James Shields, 44
David Wright, 43
Jonah Hill, 42
De’Aaron Fox, 28
The great actor John Hillerman was born on this day in 1932.

— Villanova 76, Wisconsin 66, OT
Villanova led by 15 early in second half.
Wisconsin committed 16 turnovers, Wildcats only 8.
Villanova is 9-2, 1-2 vs top 100 teams.

— San Diego 82, Cal-San Diego 80
Toreros banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left for the win.
Toreros were a 13-point underdog.
San Diego led by 15 with 13:49 left in the game.
Cal-San Diego shot 66.7% inside arc, only 8-26 on the arc.

— Seton Hall 72, Providence 67
11-1 Seton Hall wins Big East opener; they played non-conference schedule #304
Providence is 7-6, 0-6 vs teams in the top 100.
Seton Hall plays Villanova Tuesday, which should be interesting.

— College sports has become minor league sports:
USC’s best player Rodney Rice is out for the year with an injured shoulder; Trojans then added Kam Woods to replace Rice. Woods has had an interesting career:
2020-21- Troy State
2021-22- Northwest Florida CC (won a national title there)
2022-23- North Carolina A&T
2023-24- NC State
2024-25- Robert Morris (scored 14.9 ppg)
2025-26- USC……..Mr Woods should write a book someday.

— Seattle 70, Washington 66
Impressive win for the Redhawks, who just moved up to the WCC.
Washington led by 9 early in the second half.
Teams combined to shoot 4-37 on the arc.
10-2 Seattle’s two losses were by a total of five points (Cal Poly/UCSB)

— Tulsa 82, Western Kentucky 81
Hilltoppers led 37-30 at halftime.
Tulsa has won eight in a row, is 11-1- they’re shooting 40.9% on arc (#5)
Tulsa shot 65% inside the arc.

— Louisville has a player, Isaac McKneely, who has an interesting stat line:
foul shots: 10-12
2-point shots: 8-14
3-point shots: 31-80
If you’re guarding this guy, you shouldn’t play help defense; McKneely’s only job is to shoot 3’s, can’t leave him alone on the arc.