CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

[CNOTES]

Notes on the 2025 NFL schedule:

AFC East
Bills
Four of their first five games are at home.
Three of their first five games are in primetime.
Chiefs visit Buffalo in Week 9
Weeks 12-16, four road games in five weeks.

Dolphins
3/last 5 games are in cold weather: @ Jets, Steelers, Patriots.
Five primetime games, plus a game vs Washington, in Spain
Don’t play any 4:00 games.

Patriots
Weeks 5-7: 3 straight road games, at Buffalo, New Orleans, Tennessee
Week 7, Patriots @ Titans; Vrabel coached Tennessee from 2018-23.
Three of first four games at home.
Week 1, Raiders @ Patriots (Tom Brady owns part of Raiders now)

Jets
Week 1: Steelers @ Jets- Justin Fields played for Pittsburgh last year.
3/last 4 games are on the road.
Play Broncos in London in Week 6, don’t have a bye in Week 7.
Right now, 14 of their 17 games are at 1:00; low expectations.

AFC North
Ravens
Five of their first seven games are at home.
Weeks 5-8, have three home games and a bye week.
Weeks 9-11, 3 straight road games, at Miami, Minnesota, Cleveland
Play the Bengals in weeks 13/15.
Three of their last four games are on the road.

Bengals
Last three years, Bengals are 5-10 in Weeks 1-5, 25-10 from Week 6 on.
Three of their first four games are on the road.
Have four primetime games, plus four 4:25 games that aren’t on West Coast.
Weeks 7-10: three home games, then their bye week.

Browns
Browns have 40-year old QB Flacco, and two rookie QB’s,
Cleveland plays its first game and its last game against Cincinnati.
14 of their 17 games are in the Eastern time zone.
No primetime games; they play the Vikings in England in Week 5.

Steelers
Who will the QB be? Right now, it would be Mason Rudolph.
Only 5 of their 17 games are vs teams that were in playoffs last year.
Steelers have four primetime games, plus a game vs Vikings in Ireland.
Their games with the Ravens are in Weeks 14/18.

AFC South
Texans
Weeks 8-10, have three straight home games.
Visit SoFi Stadium twice; Week 1 vs Rams, Week 17 vs Chargers
Chargers beat Houston 32-12 in playoffs last year.
Visit Chiefs in Week 14; KC beat them 23-14 in playoffs LY.

Colts
Four of their first six games are at home.
Also visit SoFi Stadium twice; vs Rams in Week 4, Chargers in Week 7
Only one primetime game, Week 16 vs 49ers.
12 of their 17 games are in domed stadiums.

Jaguars
Play only one game in England this year, Week 7 vs Rams
Play only one primetime game, Week 5 vs Chiefs.
Two games vs Colts are in Weeks 14/17.
Two games vs Tennessee are in Week 13/18.

Titans
Weeks 4-6- 3 straight road games, at Houston, Arizona, Las Vegas (all domes)
No primetime games; league has low expectations for them.
Weeks 9-13- have four home games and their bye week.
Only cold weather game figures to be Week 14 in Cleveland.

AFC West
Broncos
First three games are against their three AFC West rivals.
Open season vs Chiefs on a Friday night in Brazil.
Five primetime games; league has high expectations for them.

Chiefs
Open season in Brazil vs Chargers; host the Eagles in Week 2.
5 of their first 8 games are in primetime.
Weeks 6-8, have three straight home games.
Play on both Thanksgiving/Christmas this year.

Raiders
Two of first three games are on East Coast, at New England/Washington
Raiders open season vs Patriots; Pete Carroll coached Patriots from 1997-99.
Weeks 15-16 are only time they play consecutive weeks on the road.

Chargers
Open season against the Chiefs, in Brazil.
Have two trips to east coast in Weeks 4, 6; lot of travel early on.
Three of their last four games are on the road. .
Five primetime games; league has high expectations for them.

Thanksgiving Day games:
Packers @ Detroit
Chiefs @ Dallas
Bengals @ Baltimore

Christmas Day games
Cowboys @ Washington
Lions @ Minnesota
Broncos @ Kansas City

NFC East
Cowboys
Open season at Super Bowl champion Eagles in Week 1.
Play four of their games on Thursdays.
Weeks 12-16, play four home games in five weeks.
Play on both Thanksgiving/Christmas this year.

Giants
Open season with road games at Washington/Dallas.
Two games vs Cowboys are in Weeks 2/18.
Have a late bye week, Week 14.
Have only one road game in the last five weeks.

Eagles
Don’t have back/back home games all season.
Two games vs Washington are in Weeks 16/18.
Two games vs Giants are in Weeks 6/8.
Host Bears on Black Friday afternoon, the day after Thanksgiving

Commanders
Washington is 18-1 to win Super Bowl; this time last year, they were 150-1
Their last four games are against NFC East rivals.
Weeks 4-8, play four road games in five weeks.
Have five primetime games, plus a Week 8 game in Spain.

NFC North
Bears
Their games vs Detroit are in Weeks 2/18
Three of their last four games are at home.
Weeks 4-9, have tour road games and a bye week.
Thought it was odd that Ben Johnson turned down Washington job LY, but left the Lions to coach division rival Chicago this year. Both teams have promising young QB’s.

Lions
Detroit has two new coordinators this year, the price of success.
Weeks 12-14, have three straight home games.
Week 15, they visit the Rams, a renewal of the Stafford-Goff thing.
Play on both Thanksgiving/Christmas this year.

Packers
Open season with home games vs Lions/Commanders.
Play three of last four games on the road.
Have four primetime games, four 4:25 games.
Two games with the Bears are in Weeks 14/16.

Vikings- unusual schedule
Week 1- visit Chicago on Monday night
Weeks 2-3- two home games
Weeks 4-5- a game in Ireland, a game in England
Week 6- bye
Week 7- host the Eagles
Weeks 8-16- six road games in nine weeks.
Weeks 17-18- home games vs Lions/Packers.

NFC South
Falcons
Week 5 is an early bye week.
Week 2 is at Minnesota, interesting if Kirk Cousins is still a Falcon.
12 of their 17 games are in domed stadiums.
Four primetime games, plus a Week 9 game in Germany,
They don’t have a bye week the game after playing in Germany.

Panthers
Three of their first four games are on the road.
Week 9 game in Germany, against the Falcons.
They don’t have a bye week the game after playing in Germany.
Two games with Tampa Bay are in Weeks 16/18.

Saints
It is unclear who Saints’ QB will be, but whoever it is will be young.
Open with home games vs Cardinals/49ers.
Finish with road games at Tennessee/Atlanta.
No primetime games; league has low expectations for them.

Buccaneers
Open season with road games, at Atlanta/Houston.
Weeks 13-15, have three straight home games.
Have four primetime games, three of them on road.
Four of their last five games are vs NFC South rivals.

NFC West
Cardinals
Three of their last four games are on the road.
12 of their 17 games are in domed stadiums.
Two games with the Rams are in Weeks 14/18.
Have only two games in the eastern time zone.

Rams
Three of their first four games are vs AFC East teams.
Play Jaguars in England in Week 7.
Week 8-12, have three home games and a bye week.
Two of their last three games are in primetime.

49ers
Open season with road games, against teams with new QB’s (Seattle/NO)
Three of their last four games are at home.
Have five primetime games, including two of last three weeks.
First game and last game are both against the Seahawks.

Seahawks
Sam Darnold faces his old team (Vikings) in Week 13.
Cooper Kupp plays against his old team (Rams) in Weeks 11/16
Seahawks have five trips to the eastern time zone.
Seattle finishes with road games, at Panthers/49ers.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s Den: Trends for NFL teams……​

Notes for NFL teams:
NFC East

Dallas
Missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 1998, they’re 4-12 in playoff games.
17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.

NJ Giants
Missed playoffs 11 of last 13 years.
Last two years, went 6-11/3-14.
Last seven years, they’re 9-12 ATS in NFC East home games.

Philadelphia
Since 2017, they’re 10-5 in playoff games (2 Super Bowl wins)
Since 2018, Eagles are 19-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, over is 21-12 in Philly’s regular season home games.

Washington
LY, Commanders made playoffs for second time in last nine years.
Before last year, Washington’s last playoff win was in 2005.
Last year, over was 12-5 in Washington’s regular season games.

NFC North

Chicago
Last four years, Chicago went 21-47, missing playoffs every year.
Since winning Super Bowl 40 years ago, Bears are 6-12 in playoff games.
Last five years, Bears are 10-20 ATS in divisional games.

Detroit
Last three years, Detroit went 36-15 in regular season, 2-2 in playoffs.
In the entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 3-14 in playoff games (0-12 on road)
Lions are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

Green Bay
Packers made the playoffs 12 of the last 15 years.
Since winning Super Bowl 15 years ago, Green Bay is 8-11 in playoff games.
Packers are 26-17-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a home favorite.

Minnesota
Vikings were 14-3 LY, but let QB Darnold walk anyway.
Since 2010, Minnesota is 2-6 in playoff games.
Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

NFC South

Atlanta
Falcons missed the playoffs the last seven years.
Since 2014, Atlanta is 20-40-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In their history, Falcons are 6-2 in home playoff games, 4-12 otherwise.

Carolina
Carolina missed the playoffs the last seven years.
In their history, Panthers are 9-8 in playoff games (5-2 at home)
Carolina’s last seven home games went over the total.

New Orleans
New Orleans missed the playoffs the last four years.
Since winning Super Bowl 16 years ago, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games.
Since 2014, Saints are 26-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers made the playoffs the last five years (27-24 last 3 years)
Tampa Bay is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Last three years, Buccaneers are 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South home games.

NFC West

Arizona
Cardinals missed playoffs the last three years, and eight of last nine.
Since making it to the Super Bowl 17 years ago, Arizona is 2-4 in playoff games.
Cardinals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA Rams
In eight years under McVay, Rams made playoffs six times (1-1 in Super Bowl)
McVay has a 8-5 record in playoff games.
Rams are 4-8-2 ATS last 14 games as a non-divisional road underdog.

San Francisco
49ers missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 2012, 49ers made playoffs six times; they went WWL all six years.
49ers are 7-9 ATS in last sixteen games as a home favorite.

Seattle
Seattle missed playoffs 3 of last 4 years, after making it 12 of previous 16 years.
Since losing Super Bowl 11 years ago, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Last year, Seahawks were 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven home games.

AFC teams
AFC East
Buffalo
Since 2017, Bills are 86-45 SU in regular season, 7-7 in playoffs.
Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 regular season games.

Miami
Dolphins made the playoffs twice in McDaniel’s three seasons as HC.
Dolphins lost their last six playoff games (last win, 2000)
Miami’s last six home games went over the total.

New England
Patriots made the playoffs once in five years since Brady left.
Vrabel’s is New England’s third HC in three years (4-13/4-13 last 2 years)
Patriots are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.

NJ Jets
Jets have had nine consecutive losing seasons, last made playoffs in 2010.
Jets haven’t played a home playoff game since 2002.
Since 2018, Jets are 7-14 ATS in AFC East home games.

AFC North

Baltimore
Lamar Jackson is 70-24 in regular season games, 3-5 in playoff games.
Ravens are 2-3 SU in last five home playoff games.
Last two years, Baltimore is 19-12 ATS as a favorite.

Cincinnati
Bengals went 9-8/9-8 last two years, but missed playoffs both years.
2021-22, Bengals went 22-11 in regular season, 5-2 in playoffs.
From 1991-2020, Cincinnati was 0-7 in playoff games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Cleveland
Since returning to NFL, Browns are 1-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland made playoffs twice in last five years, were 3-14 LY.
Last year, Browns were 3-12 ATS in their last fifteen games.

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh made the playoffs eight of the last 11 years.
Steelers haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Steelers are 25-14 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

AFC South

Houston
Texans won AFC South last two years, six of last 10 seasons.
Texans are 6-1 in home playoff games, 0-6 in road playoff games.
Since 2019, Houston is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite.

Indianapolis
Colts missed playoffs last four years, and eight of last 10 seasons.
Last year, over was 7-1 in their last eight games.
Over is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.

Jacksonville
Jaguars made the playoffs once in last seven seasons.
In their history, Jacksonville is 8-8 SU in playoff games.
Since 2016, Jaguars are 10-3 ATS as a home dog vs AFC South rivals.

Tennessee
Last three years, Titans missed playoffs, going 16-35 SU
Tennessee is 5-4 SU in its last nine road playoff games.
Last year, Titans were 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS at home.

AFC West

Denver
Broncos made playoffs last year for first time in nine years.
LY’s playoff loss in Buffalo was their first road playoff game since 2011.
Denver won/covered six of its last seven home games.

Kansas City
Last six years, Chiefs went 3-2 SU in Super Bowls.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 16-3 SU in playoff games.
Since 2020, Chiefs are 17-22 ATS as a home favorite.

Las Vegas
Raiders made the playoffs twice in the last 22 years.
Raiders haven’t won a playoff game since 2002.
Pete Carroll made playoffs in four of his last six years in Seattle.

LA Chargers
Chargers made playoffs two of last three years.
Jim Harbaugh is 55-25-1 SU as an NFL coach, 5-4 in playoff games.
Chargers’ last six regular season road games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes on the Baltimore Ravens:

Ravens are #21 in NFL in $$ spent on offense, #17 on defense.
Ravens are #4 in NFL in $$ spent on QB’s, #2 on RB’s
Ravens are #5 in NFL in $$ spent on linebackers

Baltimore was +6 in turnovers last year, with only 11 giveaways
Ravens were +30 in sacks last year (54-24)

Baltimore was 5-5 LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Baltimore was 7-0 LY in games decided by more than 8 points.

Last three years, Ravens are 17-8 ATS on the road.
Ravens are 19-10 ATS in last 29 games as a favorite.

 

[CNOTES]

Trends for AFC teams…….

Ravens
Last two years, they’re 24-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Ravens are 11-4-1 ATS in last sixteen games as an underdog.

Bills
Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs Miami.
Last five years, Bills are 35-10 ATS in their last nine games of the season.

Bengals
Bengals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite.
Bengals are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.

Browns
Cleveland is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
Last four years, Browns are 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.

Broncos
Denver covered its last eight games as a favorite.
Last four years, Broncos are 5-11 ATS in their last four games of the season.

Texans
Last five years, Houston is 6-13-1 ATS in Weeks 1-4.
Last four years, Texans are 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.

Colts
Since 2008, Colts are 2-15 ATS in Week 1
Last nine years, over is 8-1 in their Week 1 game.

Jaguars
Jaguars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Colts.
Last four years, Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.

Chiefs
Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four visits to Denver.
Kansas City is 8-2 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
Last eight years, Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in Week 1.

Raiders
Last four years, Las Vegas is 1-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs Denver.

Chargers
Last two years, Chargers were 9-4 ATS as road favorites.
Chargers covered four of their last five visits to Arrowhead.

Dolphins
Miami covered its last nine games against New England.
Last four years, Dolphins are 16-8-1 ATS vs AFC East rivals.

Patriots
Last two years, Patriots are 4-10-2 ATS at home.
Last three years, New England is 13-22-1 ATS as an underdog.

Jets
Last three years, Jets were 7-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Last four years, Jets were 8-15 ATS as a road underdog.

Steelers
Pittsburgh is 13-8 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 15-10 ATS in their last 22 divisional games.

Titans
Last three years, Titans were 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Last nine years, Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its home opener.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s Den: Trends for NFC teams​

Trends for NFC teams…….

Cardinals
Last three years, Arizona is 6-12 ATS in divisional games.
Last three years, Cardinals are 4-17 ATS in their last seven games.

Falcons
Last two years, Falcons are 12-22 ATS.
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games vs Carolina.
Last nine years, Falcons are 2-7 ATS in season openers.

Panthers
Last two years, Carolina was 4-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last six years, Panthers are 1-5 ATS in season openers.

Bears
Last four years, Chicago is 13-21 ATS as a road underdog.
Bears are 2-10 ATS in last dozen games against Green Bay.

Cowboys
Last four years, Dallas is 17-6-1 ATS in divisional games.
Last three years, Cowboys are 9-15 ATS as an underdog.

Lions
Last four years, Detroit is 17-6-1 ATS in divisional games.
Lions covered their last four season openers.
Detroit is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games vs Green Bay.

Green Bay
Last four years, Packers are 6-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Last ten years, Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its home opener.
Packers are 18-11-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.

Rams
Rams are 7-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Rams are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last two years, LA is 14-2 ATS in its last eight games of season.

Vikings
This year, Minnesota plays in Ireland in Week 4, then in England in Week 5
Vikings are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games vs Detroit.

Giants
Last two years, Giants are 12-18-2 ATS as an underdog.
Last eight years, Giants are 1-7 ATS in Week 1.
Last four years, Giants are 5-19-1 SU vs NFC East rivals.

Saints
Last four years, New Orleans is 6-11 ATS as a home underdog.
Saints covered their last seven visits to Tampa Bay.

Eagles
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven visits to Dallas.
Last three years, Philly is 11-8-1 ATS vs NFC East rivals.

49ers
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in last seven games vs Seattle.
49ers are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Seahawks
Last four years, Seattle is 9-20-1 ATS as a favorite, 6-13 at home.
Seahawks are 18-1-1 ATS at home, if they lost their previous two games.

Buccaneers
Bucs’ star LT Tristan Wirfs (knee) will miss first month of season.
Baker Mayfield is 17-29-2 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, Bucs are 10-3 ATS as a road underdog.

Commanders
This year, Washington has four games vs teams coming off a bye week.
Last five years, Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their home opener.
Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four visits to Dallas.

 

[CNOTES]

— Trends for the Chicago Bears
Bears’ new coach is Ben Johnson, former OC for the Lions
Chicago-Detroit play in Weeks 2 and 18.

Last three years, Bears are 15-36 SU.
Chicago was 5-12 LY, despite being +8 in turnovers.
Bears were 3-7 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears were 1-5 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
Chicago gave up 68 sacks last year.

This year, Bears are #9 in $$$ spent on offense, #4 on defense.
They’re #4 in $$$ spent on offensive line this year (#31 LY)

Last three years, Bears haven’t been favored in any road games.
Last three years, Bears are 9-15 ATS as a road underdog.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Cleveland Browns:
Kevin Stefanski is 40-44 in four years with the Browns, 3-14 last year.
Browns has only 12 takeaways last year, were minus-22 in turnovers.
Browns gave up 66 sacks last year, were minus-25 in sacks.
Former college QB Tommy Rees is the new OC; he was with Cleveland last year, was with Nick Saban at Alabama before that.
Last year, Browns were 3-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cleveland was 0-10 in games decided by more than 8 points.
Browns are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as an underdog.
Cleveland is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games.
Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.
This year, Browns are #19 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players.
This year, Browns are #6 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players, #1 on CB’s.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Dallas Cowboys:
Dallas went 7-10 LY, fired Mike McCarthy, after they made the playoffs the three years before that. Brian Schottenheimer is the new head coach. Dallas hasn’t played in the NFC title game since 1995.

This year, Dallas is #1 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players (#2 at QB).
Dallas is #13 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players

Last year, Cowboys were minus-6 in turnovers (22-28)
Last year, Cowboys were +14 in sacks (52-38)

Dallas was 2-5 LY in games decided by 9+ points, 5-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Cowboys were favored in only 3 of 17 games last year.

Last two years, Dallas is 6-12 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, over is 11-6 in their home games.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Cincinnati Bengals:
Bengals were 9-8 LY, 4-7 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bengals were 1-3 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Cincinnati is 22-14 ATS in last 36 games as a favorite.
Bengals are 17-9 ATS on the road.

Last two years, over is 21-13 in Bengal games.

Bengals are #3 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense, #1 on WR’s, #26 on OL.
Bengals are #25 in NFL in $$$ spent on defense, #26 on DL

 

[CNOTES]

— Trends for the Carolina Panthers:

Last three years, they’re 14-37 SU

This year, Carolina is #6 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense, #1 on offensive line
This year, Carolina is #16 in NFL in $$$ spent on defense, #4 on DL

Last year, Panthers were minus-5 in turnovers (17-22)
Last year, Panthers were 5-12, 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Carolina was 1-9 in games decided by more than 8 points.

Panthers are 0-5 ATS in last five games as a favorite.
Panthers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Buffalo Bills:

#8 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense, #29 on defense.
#9 in $$$ spent on QB’s, #24 on WR’s.

Last year, Bills were +24 in turnovers (32-8)
Last year, Bills were +25 in sacks (39-14)

Buffalo was 13-4 LY, 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Buffalo was 3-2 LY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes on the Baltimore Ravens:
Ravens are #21 in NFL in $$ spent on offense, #17 on defense.
Ravens are #4 in NFL in $$ spent on QB’s, #2 on RB’s
Ravens are #5 in NFL in $$ spent on linebackers

Baltimore was +6 in turnovers last year, with only 11 giveaways
Ravens were +30 in sacks last year (54-24)

Baltimore was 5-5 LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Baltimore was 7-0 LY in games decided by more than 8 points.

Last three years, Ravens are 17-8 ATS on the road.
Ravens are 19-10 ATS in last 29 games as a favorite.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes on the Atlanta Falcons:
They’ve spent the most $$$ of any team in the NFL on their offense this year; backup QB Kirk Cousins makes a lot of that money.

Falcons are #22 in $$$ spent on defense, defensive line is #27.

Atlanta was minus-6 in turnovers last year, with only 18 takeaways; they were 8-9, 6-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points, 2-1 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Last two years, Falcons are 11-23 ATS, 8-14 when favored, 3-9 as an underdog, 6-11 at home. Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.

 

[CNOTES]

— Quick facts on the Arizona Cardinals:
Head coach and both coordinators are in their third year with Arizona.

Arizona was 7-2 ATS as an underdog last year.
Last two years, Cardinals were 11-6 ATS at home.

Last year, Arizona was +11 in sacks (41-30)
Last year, Arizona was minus-3 in turnovers (17-20)

Last year, Cardinals were 8-9, 3-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Detroit Lions:
Last two years, Lions were 27-7 SU in regular season.
Last year, Detroit was 7-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Lions were +9 (24-15) in turnovers last year.

Since 2022, Detroit is 36-14 against the spread.
Lions are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.

Since 2022, over is 17-9 in Detroit home games.

From 1992-2022, Detroit was 0-8 in playoff games; then they won two playoff games in 2023, losing NFC title game 34-31 at San Francisco.

This year, Lions are #5 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense (#13 QB).

This year, Lions are #26 in $$$ spent on defensive players.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Denver Broncos:
Broncos were 10-7 LY, 1-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Broncos were 9-1 in games decided by 9+ points.

Last year was Denver’s first winning season since 2016.

Denver was 8-0 ATS as a favorite LY, 4-5 as an underdog.

Broncos were +6 (25-19) in turnovers LY,+39 in sacks (63-24).

Broncos are #24 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense, #7 on OL, #28 on QB’s.
Broncos are #15 in NFL in $$$ spent on defense, #25 on CB’s

 

[CNOTES]

Notes on the Green Bay Packers:
Made playoffs five of last six years, went 3-5 in those playoffs.
Last year, Packers were 11-6, 5-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last ten games as a road favorite.
Packers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten games as a home favorite.

Last year, Packers were +12 in turnovers (31-19)
Last year, Packers were +23 in sacks (45-22)

This year, Green Bay is #29 in $$$ spent of offense (#31 on WRs, #21 on OL)
This year, Green Bay is #3 in $$$ spent on defense (#2 on CB’s, #8 on DL)

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Houston Texans:
Went 10-7/10-7 in two years under DeMeco Ryans.
Last year, Texans were 7-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

This year, Texans are #18 in $$$ spent on offense (#23 on QBs)
This year, Texans are #9 in $$$ spent on defense.

Last year, Houston was +10 (29-19) in turnovers.

Last year, Houston was minus-5 (49-54) in sacks.

Last two years, under is 22-12 in Texans games.
Last two years, Texans are 7-11 ATS as a favorite, 9-6 as an underdog.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s Den: Trends for Week 1 NFL matchups……​

Early season trends for Week 1 NFL matchups:

— Cowboys @ Eagles
Dallas is 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS in its last six road openers.
Since 2007, Cowboys are 14-4 ATS in road openers.
Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine road openers.
This is first time Philly opened at home since 2019.
Last four years, Eagles are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1.
Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five home openers

— Chiefs vs Chargers (@ San Paolo, Brazil)
Last ten years, Chiefs are 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS in Week 1.
Over is 7-1-1 in Kansas City’s last nine Week 1 games.
Last six years, Chargers are 5-1 SU in Week 1.
Last five years, under is 4-1 in their Week 1 games.

— Giants @ Commanders
Since 2011, Giants are 2-11 SU/2-10-1 ATS in Week 1.
Last eight years, under is 7-1 in their Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Giants are 5-9-1 ATS in their road opener.
Last seven years, Washington is 4-3 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Over is 4-2 in their last six Week 1 games.
Last five years, Commanders are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in their home opener.

— Cardinals @ Saints
Last six years, Arizona is 3-3 SU/6-0 ATS in its road opener.
Last seven years, under is 5-2 in their road openers.
Last six years, Cardinals are 2-3-1 SU/5-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2015, Saints are 4-6 SU/2-8 ATS in their home opener.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.
Last 11 years, New Orleans is 5-6 SU/2-9 ATS in Week 1 games.

— Dolphins @ Colts
Last four years, Dolphins are 4-1 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 10 years, Miami is 6-4 SU/7-3 ATS in its road opener.
Under is 19-4 in their last 23 road openers.
Since 2014, Colts are 0-10-1 SU/2-8-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven Week 1 games.
Last six years, Colts are 3-3 SU/4-2 ATS in home openers.

— Raiders @ Patriots
Last six years, Raiders are 4-2 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2007, Raiders are 12-5-1 ATS in their road opener.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Last four years, Patriots are 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS in home openers.
Last seven years, under is 6-0-1 in their Week 1 games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.

Steelers @ Jets
Pittsburgh won/covered its last five road openers.
Under is 11-1 in their last dozen road openers.
This is 10th time in 11 years Steelers open on the road.
Last six years, Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Last two years, Jets won/covered their home opener.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.

Panthers @ Jaguars
Last six years, Panthers are 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Carolina is 5-11 SU/ATS in road openers.
Under is 8-4 in Carolina’s last 12 home openers.
Last 8 years, Jacksonville is 4-4 SU/5-3 ATS in Week 1.
Since 2012, Jaguars are 3-10 SU/ATS in home openers.
Jaguars’ last four home openers stayed under the total.

— Bengals @ Browns
Bengals started 0-1 in five of the last six seasons.
Under is 5-1 in their last six season openers.
Bengals are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six road openers.
Since 2005, Browns are 2-17-1 SU in Week 1 games.
Last six years, Browns are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in home openers.
Over is 5-1 in their last six home openers.

— Buccaneers @ Falcons
Last six years, Bucs are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU/ATS in its last ten road openers.
Over is 7-3 in Tampa Bay’s last ten home openers.
Last seven years, Falcons are 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2008, Atlanta is 12-5 SU/13-4 ATS in home openers.
Since 2004, under is 15-6 in their road openers.

— 49ers @ Seahawks
Since 2015, 49ers are 7-4 SU/6-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
49ers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road openers.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Seahawks started out 1-0 five of the last six years.
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
Under is 10-4 in their last 14 home openers.

— Titans @ Broncos
Last five years, Titans are 1-4 SU/ATS in season openers.
Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
Since 2012, Tennessee is 3-10 ATS in home openers.
Last six years, Denver is 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in Week 1 games.
Broncos’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
Last three years, Denver scored 16-16-6 points in its home opener.

— Texans @ Rams
Last six years, Texans are 1-5 SU/4-2 ATS in their road opener.
Under is 7-3 in its last ten road openers.
Last six years, Houston is 4-2 ATS in its season opener.
Under McVay, Rams are 6-2 SU/ATS in home openers.
Rams won six of last eight season openers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.

— Lions @ Packers
Last four years, Detroit is 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight season openers.
Lions are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road openers.
This is first time since 2018 that Packers are at home in Week 1.
Since 2013, Green Bay is 12-0 SU/9-3 ATS in home openers.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight home openers.

— Ravens @ Bills
Last nine years, Ravens are 7-2 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Since 2008, Baltimore is 11-6 ATS in road openers.
Over is 12-5-1 in Ravens’ last 18 road openers.
Last eight years, Bills are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS in Week 1.
Last six years, Buffalo os 5-1 SU/3-3 ATS in home openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last ten road openers.

— Vikings @ Bears
Last nine years, Minnesota is 6-3 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2017, Vikings are 1-5-1 SU/1-6 ATS in road openers.
Under is 10-1 in their last eleven home openers.
Last 11 years, Chicago started season 0-1 eight times.
Last five years, Bears are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in home openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.

 

[CNOTES]

— Notes for the Indianapolis Colts:
Colts went 9-8/8-9 in two seasons under Shane Steichen.
Lou Anumumo is the new defensive coordinator.
OC Jim Bob Cooter was Peyton Manning’s backup QB at Tennessee.

This year, Colts are #14 in $$$ spent on offense (last year, #3)
This year, Colts are #5 in $$$ spent on defense (last year, #17)

Indy was minus-4 in turnovers last year (25-29)

Colts were 8-5 LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Colts were 5-3 LY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Over is 12-5 in their last 17 home games.

Colts are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.